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construction
market survey
2016
Overstretched
and over-reliant:
a polarised market
Contents
Overview
1 Foreword
2 Overstretched and over-reliant:
the new global construction market
4 Thinking differently: seizing opportunities
in a new world
6 Global economic overview
10 Global cost performance analysis
22 Australia
24 Brazil
26 Canada
28 Chile
30 China
32 France
34 Germany
36 Hong Kong
38 India
40 Ireland
42 Kenya
44 Malaysia
46 Netherlands
48 Oman
50 Poland
52 Qatar
54 Russia
56 Rwanda
58 Singapore
60 South Africa
62 South Korea
64 Switzerland
66 Turkey
68 UAE
70 Uganda
72 UK London
74 UK other regions
76 USA New York City
78 USA other regions
80 Comparing construction costs
82 Terms and references
www. turnerandtownsend.com
Foreword
The past year has seen widespread economic
and political change across the world. High
levels of construction activity and skills
shortages, along with the knock-on effects of
commodity market volatility and economic
slowdown in China, are already having a
significant impact on the costs associated
with constructing real estate.
Steve McGuckin
Global Managing Director, Real Estate
Overstretched and
over-reliant: the new global
construction market
The global construction industry has polarised between intense competition and shrinking
demand. Our 2016 international construction market survey shows a changing picture, with
general slowdown in global construction activity and few locations seeing significant price
growth throughout the year.
Survey highlights:
city Zurich enters the survey as the worlds
Swiss
most expensive construction market, with typical
costs reaching USD3,683 per m2.
38
5
500bn
global markets
newcomers
Thinking differently:
seizing opportunities
in a new world
Whether operating within an overstretched or over-reliant market, there is one key
commonality the need to think differently. Fresh perspectives and strategies must be
at the heart of forward-planning for organisations seeking success in the newly divided
global real estate sector.
One of the key findings of this years international
construction market survey is that two distinct types
ofmarkets have emerged. These can be defined as
overstretched experiencing capacity constraints and
labour shortages, such as London and New York City, and
over-reliant who have suffered weak GDP growth due
to oversupply of commodities andweakening demand
from China, such as Australia and Brazil.
Embracing technology
Technology and innovation offers great opportunities to
improve, even if the industry finds it challenging to adopt.
If youre not up to date with the latest developments you
could be missing out on ways to fundamentally change
your business for the better.
Are you designing in 2D rather than 3D? What about 4D,
which adds a time element to the design process? Have
you looked at the benefits of technology like building
information modelling (BIM) can deliver by instantly
sharing measurement, quantities, designs and changes
between builders, architects and suppliers?
International construction market survey 2016
Global economic
overview
The global economy has suffered a turbulent year defined by the ripple effect of Chinas slowdown
and the bursting of the oil price bubble amid a general decline in commodity prices. Monetary
policies, politics and currency rates have also impacted on global economic growth in both
overstretched and over-reliant markets.
Global picture
Changing China
3.1%
3.4%
3.6%
6.9%
6.3%
6.0%
Overview
Monetary policies
Looking beyond China and the commodities markets,
monetary changes have been affecting global growth
prospects. The USA is in the process of a gradual move
towards a tighter monetary policy following a long period
of highly accommodative quantitative easing. This is in
contrast to several other major economies such as Japan
and the EU, where attempts to stimulate further growth are
seeing similar programmes maintained or even expanded.
Modest growth
Political upheaval
7%
29%
19%
Taking advantage
Construction costs in those markets most
affected by currency depreciation are rising as
the cost ofimporting raw materials has risen
significantly; however, generally these markets
represent good value opportunities for the global
investment community.
Assets in Brazil will be 29 percent cheaper in US
dollar terms in 2016 compared to 2015 just by virtue
of the depreciation of the Brazilian real. Similar
opportunities will be available in Malaysia, Russia
and South Africa, countries whose currencies have
fallen by 16 to 25 percent in the last year.
Overall construction costs in these locations will also
have fallen by a similar amount on a US dollar basis,
making them very competitive against global
standards. However, investors and developers should
take note of other considerations that affect the
viability of a project when entering these locations.
The volatility of an
over-reliant market
Over-reliant construction markets generally form part
of economies that are heavily reliant on mineral and
oil resources, including Perth, Santiago and So Paulo
and parts of the Middle East. Recent falls in commodity
prices have impacted these economies, lowering
their exchange rates, reducing employment, and
creating a downturn in their construction markets.
However, there are exceptions to the rule. Certain
markets, for example Moscow, are classed as
over-reliant but are still seeing major cost inflation.
This is happening because there are underlying
imbalances in the market, with the supply chain
not right-sized to meet demand. There are also
macro-economic factors such as sanctions, import
prices and currency devaluation that are driving
strong cost inflation. Due to the volatile nature
of these markets, this may change very quickly.
Global cost
performance analysis
Our survey has found that while average global construction prices are increasing, the rate of
price inflation is generally slowing. The classic economic theory of demand and supply driving
cost inflation also requires careful consideration. In over-reliant markets, wider macro-economic
and political drivers will make costs volatile in the year ahead.
2.9%
With similar results to our 2015 survey, this year sees most
markets rated as lukewarm or warm, indicating moderate
competition among contractors. See figure 1.
Lukewarm
Warm
Hot
Overheating
Moscow
Beijing
Amsterdam
Dublin
So Paulo
Brisbane
Bangalore
Kuala
Lumpur
Seattle
Doha
Hong Kong
London
Houston
Istanbul
San
Francisco
New York City and Seattle are the only markets worldwide
tobe considered overheating. Prices were up by four
andfive percent respectively in 2015, and in the case
ofSeattle are expected to rise eight percent in 2016.
Thisis due to shortage of contractors and skills, little
competition on bids and significant price hikes.
10
Johannesburg Kigali
Kampala
Munich
Melbourne
Nairobi
Muscat
Paris
Northern
Ireland
Scotland
Perth
Sydney
Santiago
UK central
Seoul
UK north
Singapore
UK south
Toronto
Warsaw
UAE
Zurich
Figure 2: Predicted construction market in the next 12 months rate of cost performance change
Cooling
Beijing
Hong Kong
Johannesburg
Kuala Lumpur
Muscat
Perth
Santiago
So Paulo
Singapore
UAE
Warming
Amsterdam
Dublin
Kigali
Kampala
London
Northern Ireland
San Francisco
UK central
UK north
11
Analysis
Moscow
Kampala
Seattle
So Paulo
Moscow
Istanbul
Istanbul
Dublin
Johannesburg
Santiago
Dublin
London
Santiago
San Francisco
London
Seattle
San Francisco
Hong Kong
UK central
So Paulo
Scotland
Hong Kong
UK south
Brisbane
Brisbane
UK south
Scotland
Sydney
UK central
UK north
UK north
Houston
Northern Ireland
Kuala Lumpur
Kuala Lumpur
Doha
Sydney
Johannesburg
Houston
Northern Ireland
Bangalore
Warsaw
Seoul
Amsterdam
Kigali
Toronto
Warsaw
Munich
Amsterdam
Kigali
Nairobi
Nairobi
Munich
Perth
Toronto
Melbourne
Doha
Bangalore
Perth
UAE
Singapore
Zurich
Melbourne
Seoul
Zurich
Singapore
Paris
Muscat
UAE
Paris
Muscat
Beijiing
-10
12
-5
Beijing
Beijing
0
Percentage
10
15
5
Percentage
10
15
Analysis
Zurich
London
Hong Kong
San Francisco
Seattle
UK south
UK north
Scotland
UK central
Northern Ireland
Dublin
Houston
Sydney
Paris
Doha
Perth
Amsterdam
Munich
Toronto
Melbourne
Brisbane
UAE
Singapore
Muscat
Santiago
Kigali
Seoul
Kampala
So Paulo
Nairobi
Kuala Lumpur
Beijing
Istanbul
Moscow
Johannesburg
Warsaw
Bangalore
500
13
Good governance
14
Contingency control
Exclusive relationship-building
Smart timing
Analysis
Cold
Moscow
So Paulo
Lukewarm
Beijing
Brisbane
Doha
Houston
Johannesburg
Kampala
Melbourne
Muscat
Northern Ireland
Perth
Santiago
Seoul
Singapore
Toronto
UAE
Warm
Amsterdam
Bangalore
Hong Kong
Istanbul
Kigali
Munich
Nairobi
Paris
Scotland
Sydney
UK central
UK north
UK south
Warsaw
Zurich
Hot
Dublin
Kuala Lumpur
London
San Francisco
Overheating
New York City
Seattle
15
Analysis
Preliminaries
16
So Paulo
Doha
London
Kuala Lumpur
Doha
Johannesburg
Perth
So Paulo
UK south
Muscat
Amsterdam
Istanbul
Warsaw
UAE
Scotland
Santiago
Nairobi
UK central
Moscow
UK north
Kigali
Brisbane
Sydney
Toronto
Santiago
Hong Kong
Hong Kong
Mumbai
Seoul
Kampala
Zurich
San Francisco
Munich
London
Johannesburg
Seattle
Northern Ireland
Paris
Houston
Munich
Melbourne
Dublin
Toronto
Amsterdam
Paris
Warsaw
Dublin
Singapore
Kuala Lumpur
Zurich
Muscat
Houston
Kigali
UK north
Istanbul
Sydney
UAE
Perth
Seattle
UK south
Mumbai
UK central
Kampala
Brisbane
San Francisco
Melbourne
Moscow
Beijing
Singapore
Scotland
Nairobi
Northern Ireland
Beijing
Seoul
0
5
10
Percentage
15
20
5
10
Percentage
15
20
17
Analysis
Margins
Squeezed margins are a growing problem in the global
construction industry, especially where there is a high
level of competition between consultants, contractors
and developers. However, with ongoing trade labour
shortages, costs keep increasing andthis has seen
margins fall to very low levels.
Average global construction project margins fell from an
already low 6.3 percent in 2015 to 6.1 percent in 2016,
and in nearly half of the regions surveyed margins were
between five and six percent. See figure 8.
Seoul and Northern Ireland continue to suffer the
lowest margins in the world, with three and
3.5 percent respectively.
Margins remain stronger in regions with lower levels of
project risk and less competition, but even in these areas
margins still remain lower than in previous years. Some
of the markets that continue to enjoy high margins include
Doha, Johannesburg, Kuala Lumpur and So Paulo, all
markets in which margin rates are at ten percent or higher.
Wages
Labour costs include basic hourly wages, allowances,
taxes, annual leave costs, and, where paid by the
employer, workers compensation and health insurance,
pensions and travel costs and fares. They exclude
overheads, margins, overtime and bonuses.
In figure 9, Zurichs average construction labour costs
lead the world, with wages reported at a slightly higher
level than New York City and well ahead of two of the
other USA regions, San Francisco and Seattle, which
place third and fourth. The four Australian cities in our
survey, Brisbane, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney are next
highest, followed by Houston and then London. A high
degree of regional variation persists in the USA and the
UK, with labour in second-tier cities often much cheaper
than in major cities.
18
UK
north
Scotland
Toronto
Amsterdam
Seattle
Northern
Ireland
Munich
Zurich
New York City
UK
central
Moscow
Warsaw
Beijing
Muscat
Dublin
London
San Francisco
Mumbai
Istanbul
UK
south
Doha
Seoul
Kuala
Lumpur
Paris
UAE
Houston
Nairobi
Kampala
So Paulo
Kigali
Singapore
Hong Kong
Brisbane
Johannesburg
Santiago
Perth
Melbourne
Sydney
High cost
36-50 USD per hour
Mid cost
11-35 USD per hour
Low cost
0-10 USD per hour
19
Analysis
Surplus
Beijing
Perth
Santiago
So Paulo
20
In balance
Amsterdam
Doha
Istanbul
Kampala
Kuala Lumpur
Moscow
Munich
Muscat
Nairobi
Paris
Sydney
Toronto
Warsaw
UAE
Skills shortages
Bangalore
Brisbane
Dublin
Hong Kong
Houston
Johannesburg
Kigali
London
Melbourne
New York City
Northern Ireland
San Francisco
Scotland
Seattle
Seoul
Singapore
UK central
UK north
UK south
Zurich
21
Australia
Tides turn from resources to services industries
Economic overview
The economy is adjusting to the wind down of the
resources boom as services industries pick up the slack,
but the effect is quite mixed from state to state. Brisbane,
Perth and Adelaide have been most affected byfalling
resources investment. However, with high commodity
prices no longer propping up the exchange rate, the
tourism, education and non-mining exports sectors are
becoming more competitive. This is encouraging more
activity in traditional services centres such as Sydney
and Melbourne where real estate, property services
and financial services are doing well.
Future outlook
Infrastructure programmes should help cushion the impact
as the highly cyclical residential construction upswings
run out of steam, with delays in Brisbane, Perth and
Adelaide potentially leading to a slowdown there. However,
tourism driven by the lower Australian dollar, will help the
Gold Coast and northern Queensland, where construction
of several exciting resort complexesareunderway.
Brisbane
AUD
Melbourne
AUD
Perth
AUD
Sydney
AUD
Sydney USD
(exchange
rate: 1.38)
5,150
4,010
5,000
3,900
4,950
3,920
5,200
4,150
3,770
3,010
860
1,575
850
1,650
830
1,750
900
1,700
650
1,230
1,545
3,150
3,750
1,620
3,000
4,000
1,620
3,130
4,550
1,800
3,300
5,500
1,300
2,390
3,990
1,650
3,350
2,000
3,300
1,821
3,170
2,400
3,200
1,740
2,320
3,100
3,550
5,550
3,000
3,750
5,900
2,990
3,540
5,860
3,100
3,800
5,800
2,250
2,750
4,200
2,450
4,150
3,700
2,350
4,200
3,600
2,370
4,240
3,640
2,800
5,500
3,800
2,030
3,990
2,750
820
1,050
3,350
750
1,000
3,700
780
960
4,040
800
1,000
3,800
580
720
2,750
1,685
3,060
1,735
1,840
2,650
2,520
1,650
2,750
1,800
1,980
2,750
2,400
1,670
3,030
1,870
1,920
2,930
2,630
2,000
3,500
2,000
2,200
2,850
2,650
1,450
2,540
1,450
1,590
2,070
1,920
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
22
Brisbane
AUD
Melbourne
AUD
Perth
AUD
Sydney
AUD
Sydney USD
(exchange
rate: 1.38)
2,550
1,750
2,750
2,300
1,850
2,500
2,260
1,820
2,530
2,700
2,100
2,700
1,960
1,520
1,960
25
40
300
2,200
135
140
5,100
420
1,250
35
800
23
37
310
2,150
125
140
5,500
398
1,350
37
800
12
40
320
2,120
130
140
4,950
430
1,210
35
780
25
55
320
2,500
120
140
4,800
300
1,300
35
800
18
40
232
1,812
87
101
3,478
217
942
25
580
15
120
70
75
85
61
46
250
15
110
70
60
85
64
48
275
15
120
53
51
90
61
45
450
20
110
58
65
84
53
50
312
14
80
42
47
61
38
36
226
80
75
70
55
85
88
78
78
55
95
102
85
75
55
110
80
75
70
55
80
58
54
51
40
58
160
1,150
3,410
510
2,050
260
4
8
12
12
4
165
1,350
3,500
570
2,000
280
5
9
15
15
5
180
1,210
3,450
760
2,020
250
4
8
12
12
4
200
1,319
3,400
785
2,430
250
3
10
14
12
3
145
956
2,464
569
1,761
181
2
7
10
9
2
2,100
2,200
2,120
2,200
1,594
Brisbane
Melbourne
Perth
Sydney
warm
staying
the same
3.5%
3.0%
4.5%
12.0%
84
1.91
Retail
Market:
Tendering:
Cost escalation 201516:
Cost escalation 201617:
Contractors margin:
Preliminaries:
Location factor (USD):
PPP coefficient:
23
Brazil So Paulo
Construction weighed down by recession, but pockets of investment give a brighter outlook
Economic overview
Brazils economy remains mired in a deep recession
following the fall in global commodity prices and political
mismanagement. In 2015, GDP fell 3.6 percent and
interest rates and inflation increased to 14.25 percent
and ten percent respectively, while the Brazilian real
hasdepreciated by 40 percent over the year.
Future outlook
Political uncertainty, tighter monetary policy, persistently
low commodity prices and a lack of investor confidence
are likely to prolong Brazils economic weakness, with an
upturn not expected until 2017 or 2018. The central bank
forecasts a further GDP contraction of 1.9 percent in
2017, although the IMF prediction is almost double at 3.5
percent. However, the ongoing weakness of the Brazilian
real has significantly improved Brazils competitiveness in
global markets for manufacturing and made the country
a more attractive investment destination.
BRL
USD
(exchange
rate: 4.04)
6,700
4,700
1,660
1,160
1,800
1,900
450
470
2,800
2,800
6,000
690
690
1,490
2,800
3,920
690
970
3,500
6,800
7,500
870
1,680
1,860
3,400
5,800
5,500
840
1,440
1,360
2,050
2,100
5,250
510
520
1,300
1,950
3,500
1,950
2,100
2,600
2,340
480
870
480
520
640
580
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
24
BRL
USD
(exchange
rate: 4.04)
2,500
3,500
4,100
620
870
1,010
35
25
315
5,200
86
80
6,500
270
1,300
85
1,500
33
165
160
200
230
140
100
300
9
6
78
1,287
21
20
1,609
67
322
21
371
8
41
40
50
57
35
25
74
42
37
36
30
98
10
9
9
8
24
370
4,490
2,460
1,300
4,730
288
9
17
15
24
2
92
1,111
609
322
1,171
71
2
4
4
6
0.5
1,462
362
Retail
cold
cooler
7.5%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
41
2.26
25
Canada Toronto
While resources construction drops, residential projects keep market stable
Economic overview
Future outlook
Commercial construction is expected to continue
growing strongly in 2016 before slowing in 2017 and
then returning to growth in line with long-term trend
averages. Infrastructure construction is set to maintain
its current growth trajectory, boosted by the new
governments promise to pump in an additional
CAD60bn over the next decade.
CAD
USD
(exchange
rate: 1.39)
6,050
4,300
4,350
3,090
850
1,175
610
850
1,885
2,445
3,350
1,360
1,760
2,410
2,000
4,150
1,440
2,990
3,900
6,100
7,200
2,810
4,390
5,180
1,500
3,700
2,900
1,080
2,660
2,090
950
1,050
2,200
680
760
1,580
3,000
4,000
1,500
2,000
1,800
2,100
2,160
2,880
1,080
1,440
1,290
1,510
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
26
CAD
USD
(exchange
rate: 1.39)
2,600
2,300
2,700
1,870
1,650
1,940
16
25
200
2,025
130
112
3,500
180
1,100
47
1,150
11
92
60
60
78
70
38
225
12
18
144
1,457
94
81
2,518
129
791
34
827
8
66
43
43
56
50
27
162
67
59
55
51
80
48
42
40
37
57
180
1,500
1,550
980
2,400
325
6
11
11
11
8
129
1,079
1,115
705
1,727
234
4
8
8
8
5.9
1,880
1,353
Retail
lukewarm
staying the same
2.0%
2.0%
6.0%
10.0%
84
1.91
27
Chile Santiago
Commodity prices dampen investment prospects
Economic overview
Future outlook
CLP
USD
(exchange
rate: 717)
1,493,800
1,201,900
2,080
1,680
383,600
613,800
540
860
750,000
1,100,000
1,560,000
1,050
1,530
2,180
879,100
1,301,200
1,230
1,810
890,000
1,086,300
1,756,650
1,240
1,520
2,450
867,600
2,186,850
1,935,900
1,210
3,050
2,700
364,750
482,400
2,509,500
510
670
3,500
655,000
780,000
598,000
412,000
615,000
476,805
910
1,090
830
570
860
670
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
28
CLP
USD
(exchange
rate: 717)
1,106,000
762,300
1,229,300
1,540
1,060
1,710
7,170
12,800
96,795
806,625
35,000
32,000
1,548,720
87,500
200,000
23,500
615,000
6,750
43,020
19,200
28,680
45,760
17,925
21,510
74,000
10
18
135
1,125
49
45
2,160
122
279
33
858
9
60
27
40
64
25
30
103
5,680
5,019
4,302
3,585
8,850
8
7
6
5
12
95,800
682,584
1,045,000
142,500
860,400
60,500
1,800
4,830
3,050
2,580
2,050
134
952
1,457
199
1,200
84
3
7
4
4
2.9
690,000
962
Retail
lukewarm
cooler
6.0%
6.0%
7.0%
12.0%
42
476.39
29
China Beijing
Growth slows as transition to a consumer-led economy hits construction hard
Economic overview
China is experiencing some difficulty managing the
transition from an investment-led economy to one driven
by consumption, with growth falling to 6.8 percent in
2015, although domestic consumption does now account
for 66 percent of growth.
Future outlook
Overall, economic growth is forecast to fall to 6.5 percent
for 2016. Construction of housing and infrastructure will
continue to be a major part of the economy but at a lower
rate of growth than seen in recent years. A key Beijing
project is the Winter Olympic Games in 2022. This will
entail considerable investment, with a new high speed
rail line planned to connect the venue with the city.
RMB
USD
(exchange
rate: 6.52)
10,000
8,000
1,530
1,230
2,000
4,500
310
690
4,200
6,500
8,000
640
1,000
1,230
3,700
5,500
570
840
4,500
5,400
6,000
690
830
920
5,800
13,000
9,000
890
1,990
1,380
2,300
2,600
5,800
350
400
890
4,000
4,500
3,800
2,800
3,800
2,500
610
690
580
430
580
380
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
30
RMB
USD
(exchange
rate: 6.52)
5,700
3,600
4,000
870
550
610
34
54
500
4,400
90
180
6,500
210
1,300
220
2,700
48
210
385
390
320
60
200
510
5
8
77
675
14
28
997
32
199
34
414
7
32
59
60
49
9
31
78
33
33
30
20
40
5
5
5
3
6
390
2,700
4,100
580
2,850
500
30
25
60
35
8
60
414
629
89
437
77
5
4
9
5
1.2
2,300
353
Retail
lukewarm
cooler
-10.0%
0.0%
4.0%
5.0%
28
3.00
31
France Paris
Construction is strengthening but contractors fight for work
Economic overview
French GDP is slowly recovering towards pre-recession
levels but the country is still experiencing high
unemployment of around ten percent while wages are
stagnating and prices are decreasing mildly. Nationally,
housing market prices have been falling, which has
affected investment confidence.
Future outlook
EUR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.92)
3,650
2,400
3,970
2,610
570
1,152
620
1,250
1,720
2,250
2,800
1,870
2,450
3,040
1,600
2,050
1,740
2,230
2,200
2,750
3,100
2,390
2,990
3,370
1,950
3,500
2,600
2,120
3,800
2,830
720
890
1,800
780
970
1,960
1,250
2,030
1,250
1,550
1,950
1,600
1,360
2,210
1,360
1,680
2,120
1,740
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
32
EUR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.92)
2,300
1,900
2,500
2,500
2,070
2,720
14
26
140
1,700
45
65
3,200
115
650
65
991
10
65
32
30
62
31
81
105
15
29
152
1,848
49
71
3,478
125
707
71
1,077
11
71
35
33
67
33
88
114
46
40
32
25
40
50
44
35
27
44
102
890
2,700
650
1,690
140
3
4
6
7
3
111
967
2,935
707
1,837
152
3
4
7
8
3.3
1,300
1,413
Retail
warm
staying the same
-1.2%
0.5%
5.0%
10.0%
73
1.03
33
Germany Munich
Robust economy paves the way for construction to thrive
Economic overview
Germanys preeminent position as an exporter of
engineering and high-value manufactured goods is being
assisted by the fall in the value of the euro, which makes
prices more competitive in global markets. The same
sectors are also benefitting from lower costs of steel
andenergy.
Future outlook
Despite the weakening of the global economy, it is
expected that the German economy will remain robust.
Several large infrastructure projects will be underway
over the next decade, including the new Munich central
station, second main line of Munichs Metrorail and the
completion of a new terminal at Berlin airport.
EUR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.92)
3,245
2,309
3,530
2,510
631
794
690
860
1,445
2,238
2,645
1,570
2,430
2,880
1,607
1,811
1,750
1,970
2,055
2,869
3,154
2,230
3,120
3,430
1,658
3,388
2,196
1,800
3,680
2,390
651
783
1,831
710
850
1,990
1,170
1,679
1,170
1,272
1,882
1,485
1,270
1,820
1,270
1,380
2,050
1,610
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
34
EUR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.92)
2,136
1,933
2,340
2,320
2,100
2,540
14
27
137
1,396
43
71
3,764
105
639
51
900
7
55
30
25
58
31
82
94
16
29
149
1,518
47
77
4,091
114
694
55
978
8
59
33
28
63
34
89
102
47
40
40
29
43
51
43
43
32
46
112
857
3,052
700
1,873
104
3
4
5
8
4
122
931
3,317
761
2,036
113
3
4
6
9
4.5
1,301
1,414
Retail
warm
staying the same
1.7%
2.0%
5.0%
11.0%
68
1.05
35
Hong Kong
Construction is strong, but skills shortages threaten pace and potential of projects
Economic overview
Future outlook
HKD
USD
(exchange
rate: 7.75)
44,633
28,026
5,760
3,620
11,418
19,722
1,470
2,540
19,722
23,874
26,988
2,540
3,080
3,480
19,722
26,988
2,540
3,480
19,722
31,140
35,292
2,540
4,020
4,550
29,064
35,292
39,443
3,750
4,550
5,090
15,570
16,608
28,026
2,010
2,140
3,620
31,140
39,443
24,912
22,836
24,912
15,570
4,020
5,090
3,210
2,950
3,210
2,010
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
36
HKD
USD
(exchange
rate: 7.75)
31,140
24,912
31,140
4,020
3,210
4,020
135
145
1,401
12,165
332
394
41,841
1,339
5,626
498
6,695
135
727
332
540
945
239
581
2,906
17
19
181
1,570
43
51
5,399
173
726
64
864
17
94
43
70
122
31
75
375
123
156
134
87
179
16
20
17
11
23
726
6,712
3,906
2,176
13,390
2,098
73
89
61
31
16
94
866
504
281
1,728
271
9
12
8
4
2
6,695
864
Retail
warm
cooler
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
12.0%
80
9.27
37
India Bangalore
Construction is booming and confidence high but projects are wracked by delays and red tape
Economic overview
Energy, infrastructure and manufacturing strength are
behind a positive outlook for the Indian economy. Fiscal
and monetary policies are geared towards sustaining
growth while bringing down inflation, while investor
confidence has hit a new high as foreign direct investment
rose 61.6 percent to USD34.9bn.
Future outlook
Indias GDP is forecast to grow at around 7.5 percent
in2016, in a year in which infrastructure will be a key
investment driver. Some big new game-changing projects
are under consideration including the Delhi-Mumbai
Industrial Corridor (DMIC) and the Navi Mumbai
International Airport (NMIA). The government of India
also has a programme to develop 100 smart cities
countrywide, and its Make in India programme, designed
to encourage funds for development in the logistics and
manufacturing sectors, is underway.
INR
USD
(exchange
rate: 68.5)
86,400
66,950
1,260
980
28,050
43,150
410
630
39,600
43,150
48,550
580
630
710
28,050
45,350
410
660
31,300
45,350
60,000
460
660
880
48,550
99,850
77,750
710
1,460
1,140
30,200
37,750
46,400
440
550
680
36,650
48,550
30,100
27,350
46,000
30,200
540
710
440
400
670
440
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
38
INR
USD
(exchange
rate: 68.5)
57,150
42,150
36,100
830
620
530
400
500
7,800
54,900
600
1,350
87,500
9,600
14,000
2,500
40,000
250
2,050
2,200
1,800
500
650
1,200
5,000
6
7
114
801
9
20
1,277
140
204
36
584
4
30
32
26
7
9
18
73
90
85
75
55
121
1.3
1.2
1.1
0.8
1.8
5,000
34,500
43,050
7,000
42,500
5,750
285
350
280
570
135
73
504
628
102
620
84
4
5
4
8
2
25,000
365
Retail
warm
staying the same
0.3%
2.5%
6.0%
9.0%
29
31.47
39
Ireland Dublin
Construction activity is heating up, despite patchy infrastructure investment
Economic overview
Ireland is now the fastest-growing economy in the EU
following the difficult years of the global financial crisis.
Growth in GDP for the year to January 2016 was a
remarkable 9.2 percent, driven by higher consumer
spending, improving business confidence, higher
investment and a resurgent construction sector.
Future outlook
Construction activity will mainly be driven by a raft of
large projects in Dublin, with demand uneven in other
parts of the country. Construction prices look set to
increase by six percent and the industry will continue
to face resourcing challenges to meet demand.
EUR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.92)
4,000
2,800
4,350
3,040
650
1,050
710
1,140
1,700
2,150
3,050
1,850
2,340
3,320
1,400
2,400
1,520
2,610
2,500
3,600
3,600
2,720
3,910
3,910
1,825
3,100
2,400
1,980
3,370
2,610
800
1,050
1,900
870
1,140
2,070
1,550
1,900
1,600
1,700
1,900
2,050
1,680
2,070
1,740
1,850
2,070
2,230
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
40
EUR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.92)
2,600
2,350
2,900
2,830
2,550
3,150
12
22
155
1,050
40
28
2,025
95
550
60
800
8
70
38
34
53
33
86
155
13
24
168
1,141
43
30
2,201
103
598
65
870
9
76
41
37
58
36
93
168
32
32
32
25
32
35
35
35
27
35
100
880
600
500
1,700
225
5
5
5
6
3
109
957
652
543
1,848
245
5
5
5
7
3.3
1,350
1,467
Retail
hot
warmer
6.0%
6.0%
5.0%
10.0%
79
1.12
41
Kenya Nairobi
Growth exceeds expectations as costs stay stable
Economic overview
Kenya is seeing solid growth in most sectors of economic
activity. The economy has a diverse mix of industries based
on tourism, services and commodities. Strong public
infrastructure spending has also supported growth. With
less reliance on oil exports and Chinese finance than its
neighbours, this is helping to insulate the country from
economic problems in the global economy, such as the
fall in commodity prices. The oil price slump has in fact
been a net benefit as energy import costs have fallen.
Future outlook
The outlook for continued investment in infrastructure
and construction in Kenya is bright. The exchange rate has
fallen and while this will add to import costs, the tourism
export sector should recover significantly as security
concerns abate. Housing, particularly around Nairobi,
and tourism accommodation should continue to grow.
Unlocking the nascent PPP market will be another economic
growth driver, which will help improve the lives of
Kenyan people.
KSH
USD
(exchange
rate: 102)
267,000
190,714
2,620
1,870
41,500
49,300
410
480
79,800
84,460
127,000
780
830
1,250
62,220
78,000
610
760
78,400
100,000
124,400
770
980
1,220
97,500
132,700
134,400
960
1,300
1,320
35,900
49,000
107,000
350
480
1,050
50,400
79,800
52,000
68,100
72,200
50,400
490
780
510
670
710
490
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
42
KSH
USD
(exchange
rate: 102)
62,800
50,400
67,200
620
490
660
357
306
15,000
112,000
600
2,000
204,000
6,400
19,800
3,550
38,400
400
2,000
2,000
5,000
900
2,600
3,200
10,302
4
3
147
1,098
6
20
2,000
63
194
35
376
4
20
20
49
9
25
31
101
306
180
146
100
305
3
1.8
1.4
1
3
13,200
98,300
98,300
15,700
196,500
10,900
306
306
357
1,428
360
129
964
964
154
1,926
107
3
3
4
14
3.5
54,600
535
Retail
warm
staying the same
1.0%
2.0%
7.0%
7.0%
34
54.27
43
Future outlook
MYR
USD
(exchange
rate: 4.34)
6,623
4,635
1,530
1,070
1,133
1,751
260
400
3,296
4,305
6,026
760
990
1,390
1,988
4,882
460
1,120
2,977
3,966
4,470
690
910
1,030
5,191
6,335
9,898
1,200
1,460
2,280
2,009
2,575
4,305
460
590
990
2,482
3,172
1,658
1,936
2,760
2,070
570
730
380
450
640
480
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
44
MYR
USD
(exchange
rate: 4.34)
4,882
4,161
5,305
1,120
960
1,220
35
50
288
4,069
39
70
10,000
233
1,009
130
1,150
10
150
217
97
162
47
118
309
8
12
66
938
9
16
2,304
54
232
30
265
2
35
50
22
37
11
27
71
31
20
23
10
56
7
5
5
2
13
258
3,800
3,500
422
8,696
775
15
28
28
29
16
59
876
806
97
2,004
179
3
6
6
7
3.8
1,800
415
Retail
hot
cooler
3.0%
3.0%
12.5%
10.0%
42
2.75
45
Netherlands Amsterdam
Buoyant residential construction sector boosts economy
Economic overview
The Dutch economy remains reasonably strong with
low unemployment of 6.4 percent, low inflation and
reasonably solid growth of two percent during 2015.
Future outlook
EUR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.92)
3,557
2,353
3,870
2,560
581
1,130
630
1,230
1,636
2,227
2,692
1,780
2,420
2,930
1,523
1,974
1,660
2,150
2,322
2,639
3,166
2,520
2,870
3,440
1,868
3,300
2,459
2,030
3,590
2,670
804
908
1,770
870
990
1,920
1,214
1,531
1,214
1,403
1,995
1,689
1,320
1,660
1,320
1,530
2,170
1,840
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
46
EUR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.92)
2,200
1,974
2,300
2,390
2,150
2,500
13
25
200
1,191
36
49
2,600
108
651
81
1,153
17
77
48
36
70
26
45
150
14
28
218
1,295
39
53
2,827
117
707
88
1,253
19
84
52
39
76
29
49
163
44
36
32
25
41
48
39
35
27
45
97
986
2,681
414
1,362
134
2
5
9
5
2
105
1,072
2,914
450
1,481
146
2
6
10
6
2.2
1,322
1,437
Retail
warm
warmer
2.0%
2.0%
5.0%
13.0%
69
1.01
47
Oman Muscat
Transition from resources to infrastructure underway in a diversifying economy
Economic overview
Future outlook
OMR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.385)
1450
980
3,770
2,550
300
370
780
960
380
480
640
990
1,250
1,660
550
620
1,430
1,610
520
660
800
1,350
1,710
2,080
670
1,000
1,150
1,740
2,600
2,990
390
370
550
1,010
960
1,430
560
890
490
480
550
1,450
2,310
1,270
1,250
1,430
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
48
OMR
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.385)
470
510
870
1,220
1,320
2,260
3
3
38
350
12
12
934
53
128
16
445
2
12
10
28
20
11
12
44
8
8
100
910
30
30
2,430
140
330
42
1,160
5
31
26
73
52
29
31
114
2
2
2
1
4
6
6
5
3
10
26
250
210
222
500
61
1
1
2
4
1
70
650
550
580
1,300
160
3
3
4
9
3
260
680
Retail
lukewarm
cooler
0.0%
0.0%
8.0%
10.0%
35
0.21
49
Poland Warsaw
On the road to recovery with strong forecasts and stable growth
Economic overview
The GDP growth rate in 2015 was only 3.6 percent,
considerably lower than the average 4.5 percent for the
years 2006 to 2015. Consumer prices are falling and this
may delay spending as expectations of further price
reductions could cause the economy to slow further.
Interest rates have remained low, adding to residential
construction demand; however, this is offset somewhat
by unemployment riding a little high at 11 percent.
Future outlook
Overall, the investment forecast for 2016 is improving, given
mild monetary policies, low interest rates and significant
allocation of EU funds for road improvements. A change
of government could potentially hamper confidence.
PLN
USD
(exchange
rate: 3.97)
8,300
4,300
2,090
1,080
1,700
2,350
430
590
3,400
4,200
4,600
860
1,060
1,160
2,400
3,600
600
910
2,700
3,400
3,400
680
860
860
4,200
6,600
4,600
1,060
1,660
1,160
1,700
1,800
2,500
430
450
630
2,100
2,900
2,400
2,550
2,850
2,700
530
730
600
640
720
680
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
50
PLN
USD
(exchange
rate: 3.97)
2,200
2,400
3,500
550
600
880
25
95
570
3,500
95
120
9,000
500
1,150
55
2,600
17
120
92
92
115
69
70
550
6
24
144
882
24
30
2,267
126
290
14
655
4
30
23
23
29
17
18
139
25
29
25
25
45
6
7
6
6
11
275
2,700
4,300
950
6,500
370
8
12
5
19
5
69
680
1,083
239
1,637
93
2
3
1
5
1.3
4,400
1,108
Retail
warm
staying the same
2.0%
2.0%
5.0%
13.0%
33
2.05
51
Qatar Doha
Collapse in oil prices puts pressure on construction
Economic overview
Future outlook
QAR
USD
(exchange
rate: 3.64)
4,050
4,050
1,110
1,110
4,875
7,125
10,865
1,340
1,960
2,980
8,925
7,650
2,450
2,100
9,600
11,975
13,800
2,640
3,290
3,790
7,825
12,900
13,450
2,150
3,540
3,700
4,340
4,845
6,200
1,190
1,330
1,700
6,985
9,825
6,885
6,750
7,760
1,920
2,700
1,890
1,850
2,130
Car parks
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
52
QAR
USD
(exchange
rate: 3.64)
6,695
5,800
9,325
1,840
1,590
2,560
42
47
625
4,725
135
120
14,600
670
1,980
188
4,280
27
202
156
235
365
67
118
835
12
13
172
1,298
37
33
4,011
184
544
52
1,176
7
55
43
65
100
18
32
229
48
43
27
14
51
13
12
7
4
14
302
3,355
4,235
3,065
6,975
750
19
13
78
16
3
83
922
1,163
842
1,916
206
5
4
21
4
1
3,400
934
Retail
lukewarm
staying the same
2.7%
1.5%
12.0%
14.0%
57
2.82
53
Russia Moscow
Falling commodity prices and political sanctions begin to bite
Economic overview
Russian GDP fell 3.7 percent in 2015 as inflation rose and
the Russian ruble continued to fall against the US dollar.
The main factors behind this fall remain collapsing commodity
prices and sanctions imposed over actions in Ukraine.
Future outlook
Uncertainties in the geopolitical situation related to Ukraine
and Syria, along with the volatility of the commodity
markets, mean forecasts for the years ahead are difficult.
However, it isexpected the economy will contract less in
2016 and will experience weak growth in 2017.
RUB
USD
(exchange
rate: 77.01)
200,000
125,000
2,600
1,620
30,000
35,000
390
450
60,000
65,000
70,000
780
840
910
45,000
70,000
580
910
50,000
70,000
75,000
650
910
970
60,000
110,000
90,000
780
1,430
1,170
38,000
45,000
70,000
490
580
910
30,000
45,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
30,000
390
580
450
520
580
390
60,000
45,000
55,000
780
580
710
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
54
RUB
USD
(exchange
rate: 77.01)
610
820
9,240
65,700
1,540
1,740
111,400
8,905
49,140
2,980
32,900
620
3,850
3,150
2,910
3,450
890
1,670
8,550
8
11
120
853
20
23
1,447
116
638
39
427
8
50
41
38
45
12
22
111
720
720
720
650
1,050
9
9
9
8
14
5,780
42,500
71,440
18,060
53,750
7,293
256
230
63
531
102
75
552
928
235
698
95
3
3
1
7
1.3
60,000
779
cold
staying the same
12.0%
8.0%
7.0%
8.0%
38
41.52
55
Rwanda Kigali
Optimism abounds as new developments spur construction growth
Economic outlook
High foreign and public investment and strong export
performance was at the heart of growth in Rwanda in
2015. Growth was driven by strong activity in agriculture,
construction and services. Inflation remains well contained,
although the monetary stance remains accommodative,
with higher than expected credit growth. Consumer prices
increased 6.8 percent year-on-year in December 2015.
Future outlook
Real GDP growth is expected to be in excess of seven
percent per annum across 2016-17, driven by foreign
and public investment and strong export performance.
However, mining exports are dropping due to lower
prices and demand in export markets, and combined with
US dollar appreciation this is putting strong downward
pressure on the Rwandan franc.
Numerous infrastructure projects will be important for
construction industry growth, including road construction
works, a new peat power plant, and the construction of
Bugesera Airport.
RWF
USD
(exchange
rate: 747)
2,857,000
2,040,714
3,820
2,730
344,400
436,800
460
580
722,400
764,400
1,142,400
970
1,020
1,530
504,000
588,000
670
790
722,400
848,400
1,276,800
970
1,140
1,710
1,016,400
1,276,800
1,260,000
1,360
1,710
1,690
294,000
428,400
1,276,800
390
570
1,710
415,800
706,500
510,675
561,825
595,650
420,000
560
950
680
750
800
560
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
56
RWF
USD
(exchange
rate: 747)
1,016,400
680,400
672,000
1,360
910
900
3,360
2,520
163,800
1,080,000
10,920
25,200
2,802,240
104,160
235,200
30,240
338,520
3,360
25,200
83,160
42,000
101,640
22,680
54,000
84,000
4
3
219
1,446
15
34
3,751
139
315
40
453
4
34
111
56
136
30
72
112
2,588
2,025
1,643
1,125
3,431
3.5
2.7
2.2
1.5
4.6
174,798
890,400
1,068,480
140,280
2,241,960
89,040
2,520
2,520
2,625
16,800
9,240
234
1,192
1,430
188
3,001
119
3
3
4
22
12
1,150,800
1,540
Retail
warm
warmer
1.0%
2.0%
7.0%
10.0%
53
574.93
57
Singapore
Public investment underpins construction industry as private oversupply worsens
Economic overview
Future outlook
SGD
USD
(exchange
rate: 1.39)
5,200
4,000
3,740
2,880
1,230
1,740
880
1,250
2,029
2,509
2,911
1,460
1,800
2,090
1,500
2,770
1,080
1,990
1,869
3,030
3,939
1,340
2,180
2,830
3,313
4,353
5,202
2,380
3,130
3,740
2,156
2,450
3,080
1,550
1,760
2,220
4,000
4,626
2,727
2,002
2,579
1,540
2,880
3,330
1,960
1,440
1,860
1,110
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
58
SGD
USD
(exchange
rate: 1.39)
3,214
2,107
3,380
2,310
1,520
2,430
75
25
158
1,519
37
65
4,018
142
1,365
25
845
10
87
80
63
205
28
82
267
54
18
114
1,093
27
47
2,891
102
982
18
608
7
62
58
45
147
20
59
192
28
20
28
17
28
20
14
20
12
20
108
1,176
700
350
2,156
120
12
8
18
13
2
78
846
504
252
1,551
86
9
6
13
10
1
2,000
1,439
Retail
lukewarm
cooler
0.0%
1.0%
5.0%
8.0%
59
1.29
59
Future outlook
The countrys turbulent political and economic climate is
set to impact negatively on the construction sector, with
cost escalation projected to rise and tender rates expected
to increase at a rate higher than inflation in 2016 and
through to 2017. This is due to increased builders input
costs driven by labour rates, fuel costs and the impact
of the weak currency on imported components.
ZAR
USD
(exchange
rate: 15.52)
27,700
19,500
1,780
1,260
5,000
6,000
320
390
8,200
11,000
14,500
530
710
930
8,900
11,500
570
740
9,900
15,000
18,400
640
970
1,190
13,500
22,500
21,400
870
1,450
1,380
4,600
5,100
12,000
300
330
770
7,000
12,500
7,700
8,300
9,500
7,000
450
810
500
530
610
450
12,500
9,300
9,900
810
600
640
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
60
ZAR
USD
(exchange
rate: 15.52)
82
137
1,274
10,733
245
333
31,000
854
3,550
320
2,043
44
457
373
298
700
165
350
1,350
5
9
82
692
16
21
1,997
55
229
21
132
3
29
24
19
45
11
23
87
65
49
49
33
137
4
3
3
2
9
1,121
10,088
4,250
1,540
26,000
2,250
65
103
90
57
21
72
650
274
99
1,675
145
4
7
6
4
1
8,700
561
lukewarm
cooler
2.6%
6.8%
12.0%
11.0%
42
9.38
61
Future outlook
South Korea is set for recovery and the future is bright,
but its overdependence on exports is likely to keep the
economy stagnant for another year or two. This will weigh
heavily on confidence and new projects will struggle to
proceed. In the meantime, public sector-driven extensions
to transport and city infrastructure are likely to be the
main construction activities, with oil and gas fabrication,
shipbuilding and residential construction remaining
in a lull.
KRW
USD
(exchange
rate: 1,187)
3,110,750
2,176,950
2,620
1,830
670,450
976,350
560
820
1,342,050
1,646,800
2,073,450
1,130
1,390
1,750
1,219,000
1,659,450
1,030
1,400
1,342,050
1,951,550
2,073,450
1,130
1,640
1,750
1,794,000
3,828,350
2,452,490
1,510
3,230
2,070
1,076,400
837,200
3,109,600
910
710
2,620
1,375,400
2,033,775
1,627,020
1,315,600
1,674,400
1,435,200
1,160
1,710
1,370
1,110
1,410
1,210
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
62
KRW
USD
(exchange
rate: 1,187)
2,032,050
1,136,200
2,236,750
1,710
960
1,880
6,680
6,680
135,000
1,251,400
31,000
41,000
2,008,500
265,000
318,000
47,800
266,000
4,800
46,500
37,100
53,000
43,260
11,600
23,870
214,000
6
6
114
1054
26
35
1692
223
268
40
224
4
39
31
45
36
10
20
180
26,000
23,000
21,000
16,000
34,000
22
19
18
14
29
84,700
748,000
998,000
682,000
979,000
137,600
2,800
3,300
3,200
6,720
2,270
71
630
841
575
825
116
2
3
3
6
1.9
950,000
800
Retail
lukewarm
staying the same
0.0%
2.0%
3.0%
12.0%
46
781.15
63
Switzerland Zurich
Leading the way thanks to a prosperous economy, despite high labour costs
Economic overview
Switzerland remains politically and economically stable
and prosperous, and is less affected by regional issues
than EU and eurozone member states. Interest rates
were held at a record low of 0.75 percent through 2015,
and the Swiss franc is widely considered overvalued
since the peg to the euro was abandoned in early 2015.
House prices are very high, with mortgage debt levels
correspondingly elevated, indicating the possibility that
the market is at risk of being in an economic bubble.
Future outlook
The outlook for construction is positive, with 2.9 percent
growth forecast to 2019. The phasing out of nuclear energy
plants offers significant opportunity in the construction of
renewable energy infrastructure, while the banking and
finance, manufacturing and pharmaceuticals industries
will continue to play a key role in keeping the local
construction sector relatively buoyant.
CHF
USD
(exchange
rate: 1)
5,700
4,400
5,700
4,400
1,100
1,300
1,100
1,300
2,500
3,900
4,500
2,500
3,900
4,500
2,800
3,200
2,800
3,200
3,600
5,100
5,500
3,600
5,100
5,500
3,200
5,900
4,300
3,200
5,900
4,300
1,600
2,400
4,400
1,600
2,400
4,400
2,000
2,900
2,000
2,200
3,200
2,600
2,000
2,900
2,000
2,200
3,200
2,600
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
64
CHF
USD
(exchange
rate: 1)
3,700
3,400
4,100
3,700
3,400
4,100
25
47
241
2,457
75
124
5,113
185
1,124
89
1,583
12
96
53
88
102
54
144
164
25
47
241
2,457
75
124
5,113
185
1,124
89
1,583
12
96
53
88
102
54
144
164
98
96
91
72
98
96
91
72
197
1,507
5,370
1,231
3,295
183
5
6
9
14
7
197
1,507
5,370
1,231
3,295
183
5
6
9
14
7
2,288
2,288
Retail
warm
staying the same
0.0%
0.5%
5.0%
12.0%
114
2.10
65
Turkey Istanbul
High public infrastructure spend poised to revive faltering construction industry
Economic overview
The erosion of the Turkish lira since the second half of 2013
has raised the price of foreign currency imports, while
interest rates continue to rise.
Future outlook
TRY
USD
(exchange
rate: 2.95)
6,000
4,000
2,030
1,360
1,250
1,450
420
490
2,450
2,700
2,850
830
920
970
1,850
2,550
630
860
1,800
2,450
2,550
610
830
860
2,400
4,550
3,450
810
1,540
1,170
1,350
1,850
2,800
460
630
950
1,680
2,250
1,990
1,950
2,550
1,800
570
760
670
660
860
610
2,400
1,950
2,300
810
660
780
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
TRY
USD
(exchange
rate: 2.95)
40
40
280
2,600
65
100
4,400
320
1,050
43
825
17
113
90
88
100
39
53
330
14
14
95
881
22
34
1,492
108
356
15
280
6
38
31
30
34
13
18
112
30
30
30
20
40
10
10
10
7
14
200
1,540
2,450
600
2,200
340
7
20
10
10
4
68
522
831
203
746
115
2
7
3
3
1.4
2,200
746
warm
staying the same
7%
8%
8%
10%
43
1.76
67
UAE
Oil price fall stifles activity, but Dubai bucks the trend
Economic overview
The falling price of oil has had a significant negative effect
in the UAE given the regions heavy reliance on the
commodity. With the dirham pegged to the US dollar, the
strength of the American currency has been pushing up
the cost of living across the Middle East, having a
particularly serious impact on housing costs.
Future outlook
Expected low cash availability is driving concerns that the
coming two years will be challenging for the UAE economy.
Despite this, plans remain in place for a number of
ambitious construction projects, including the worlds
tallest twin towers, an underwater hotel and a rainforest
in the desert.
AED
USD
(exchange
rate: 3.67)
16,300
11,000
4,440
3,000
3,400
4,100
930
1,120
4,285
5,340
7,200
1,170
1,460
1,960
6,190
7,000
1,690
1,910
5,890
7,400
9,000
1,600
2,020
2,450
7,500
11,000
13,000
2,040
3,000
3,540
4,400
4,150
6,180
1,200
1,130
1,680
6,300
10,000
5,550
5,400
6,200
1,720
2,720
1,510
1,470
1,690
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
68
AED
USD
(exchange
rate: 3.67)
5,300
5,755
9,780
1,440
1,570
2,660
32
31
425
3,900
130
140
10,500
600
1,435
180
5,000
20
140
110
310
225
120
135
500
9
8
116
1,063
35
38
2,861
163
391
49
1,362
5
38
30
84
61
33
37
136
31
29
27
18
45
8
8
7
5
12
240
3,400
3,500
2,500
6,900
680
13
11
17
40
13
65
926
954
681
1,880
185
4
3
5
11
4
2,900
790
Retail
lukewarm
cooler
0.0%
0.0%
8.0%
10.0%
43
2.39
69
Uganda Kampala
Infrastructure investment propelling construction expansion
Economic overview
Major economic indicators for the last quarter of 2015
revealed a weak Ugandan shilling, high interest rates and
rising costs of construction. The fiscal balance is likely to
remain firmly in deficit given weak public spending controls,
lower levels of aid and high spending on infrastructure.
Trade with South Sudan has fallen at least 60 percent
since the end of 2013 due to instability in the region,
while the situation in Burundi a key market for
Ugandas manufactured goods and produce must
be quickly resolved if it is not to negatively affect the
Ugandan economy.
Future outlook
A moderate increase in real GDP growth to an annual
average of above five percent across 2016-20 will likely
be spurred by public investment and robust private
consumption. The successful development of vital
infrastructure, including the upgrading of the electricity
and road networks, represent key priorities for the
coming years.
UGX
USD
(exchange
rate: 3,395)
12,725,751
8,600,000
3,750
2,530
1,414,200
1,793,600
420
530
2,966,400
3,138,800
4,691,000
870
920
1,380
2,069,600
2,688,000
610
790
2,966,400
3,483,700
5,242,900
870
1,030
1,540
4,173,600
5,242,900
5,000,000
1,230
1,540
1,470
1,207,200
1,759,100
5,242,900
360
520
1,540
1,697,500
2,919,000
1,931,600
2,276,500
2,621,400
1,800,000
500
860
570
670
770
530
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
70
UGX
USD
(exchange
rate: 3,395)
4,173,600
2,793,900
2,759,400
1,230
820
810
13,800
10,300
672,600
4,074,000
44,800
103,500
10,185,000
427,700
965,800
124,200
1,390,000
13,800
103,500
341,500
172,500
417,400
93,100
204,000
344,900
4
3
198
1,200
13
30
3,000
126
284
37
409
4
30
101
51
123
27
60
102
9,500
3,200
6,500
3,000
9,500
3
1
2
1
3
650,000
3,656,200
4,387,400
576,000
9,206,000
365,600
10,300
10,300
11,900
69,000
37,900
191
1,077
1,292
170
2,712
108
3
3
4
20
11.2
4,725,500
1,392
Retail
lukewarm
warmer
9.5%
9.8%
6.0%
9.0%
43
2,273.96
71
UK London
London remains a forerunner, despite strained supply chain
Economic overview
Despite healthy GDP growth, increasing by 2.3 percent
over 2015, the UKs economic outlook is uncertain due
to the referendum on whether the country will remain
part of the EU. UK investment growth now looks to be
weakening, and construction output slowed a little towards
the end of 2015.
Future outlook
There is emerging evidence the residential demand that
is fuelling escalation of construction prices could peak
in2016. Tender pricing will remain volatile for the next
18months and will outperform UK general inflation levels,
with tender price inflation expected to run at 4.9 percent
in 2016, compared with 5.1 percent in 2015. London will
continue to be the dominant driving force of tender price
inflation in the UK.
GBP
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.68)
3,680
2,730
5,410
4,010
680
1,050
1,000
1,540
2,350
2,700
3,300
3,460
3,970
4,850
1,950
2,800
2,870
4,120
2,500
3,100
3,500
3,680
4,560
5,150
2,240
3,250
2,840
3,290
4,780
4,180
840
1,000
1,940
1,240
1,470
2,850
1,720
3,170
2,520
2,510
2,800
1,820
2,530
4,660
3,710
3,690
4,120
2,680
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
72
GBP
USD
(exchange
rate: 0.68)
1,950
1,350
1,650
2,870
1,990
2,430
16
19
165
1,125
55
61
2,067
101
725
48
998
10
76
31
30
88
41
44
163
23
27
243
1,654
81
90
3,039
149
1,066
71
1,467
15
112
46
44
129
60
65
239
39
35
32
22
44
57
52
47
32
65
115
870
910
480
1,700
106
4
5
6
7
3
169
1,279
1,338
706
2,500
155
5
8
8
10
4
1,220
1,794
Retail
hot
warmer
5.1%
4.9%
5.5%
14.8%
100
1.00
73
UK other regions
Northern infrastructure and London halo drives growth with a guarded market outlook
Construction market and trends
Outside of London, there is a real sense of a variable-speed
construction economy. Across the south, the pull of demand
and a close geographical proximity to London is having
a clear impact on tender prices with consistent pressures
on capacity. The Cambridge market in particular is
experiencing high levels of construction activity, which
in a relatively small market is putting significant pressure
on costs.
Infrastructure is driving regional markets across the
North and sentiment remains positive around the future
outlook in this sector. HS2 is expected to provide a
catalyst for wider real estate development activity in the
key cities along its route, notably in the midlands and
Future outlook
Overall, the next year is likely to be less predictable
andregional variations are expected to widen. With
limited capacity remaining a key feature of the industry,
upwardcost pressures and therefore price increases
areexpected in almost all areas over the coming
12months,albeit at a reduced pace in comparison
totheprevious year.
UK South
GBP
UK North
GBP
Scotland
GBP
Northern
Ireland
GBP
UK Central
GBP
3,360
2,470
3,225
2,400
3,050
2,300
2,870
2,250
3,000
2,315
640
1,010
580
865
550
800
510
730
550
775
1,840
1,915
2,520
1,600
1,800
2,365
1,550
1,700
2,200
1,400
1,580
2,080
1,600
1,750
2,255
1,730
2,530
1,610
2,100
1,600
2,100
1,330
1,860
1,565
2,065
1,840
2,575
3,150
1,515
2,460
2,925
1,650
2,500
2,900
1,460
2,250
2,660
1,485
2,440
2,910
1,840
2,730
2,415
1,600
2,650
2,100
1,575
2,500
2,050
1,400
2,450
2,030
1,600
2,600
2,050
735
880
1,785
665
785
1,650
650
775
1,600
610
710
1,480
670
795
1,650
1,420
2,415
1,995
1,940
2,260
1,735
1,295
1,650
1,450
1,630
1,950
1,530
1,200
1,600
1,400
1,500
1,900
1,500
1,080
1,480
1,350
1,400
1,810
1,330
1,295
1,635
1,400
1,590
1,950
1,525
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
74
UK South
GBP
UK North
GBP
Scotland
GBP
Northern
Ireland
GBP
UK Central
GBP
1,810
1,260
1,550
1,675
1,170
1,495
1,650
1,100
1,475
1,530
1,020
1,330
1,670
1,155
1,490
15
18
155
1,082
51
51
1,875
91
613
44
700
10
17
146
1,045
40
39
1,700
89
494
32
631
11
15
135
980
35
33
1,500
85
480
34
650
5
12
88
750
31
20
1,450
72
443
30
600
10
16
144
1,007
38
38
1,670
88
485
32
626
8
59
31
29
70
26
42
140
6
49
29
26
58
23
35
114
6
49
29
26
55
24
35
105
4
42
26
21
51
20
34
88
6
50
29
27
58
22
36
112
35
32
31
20
38
31
25
24
19
32
28
26
23
19
30
24
20
18
15
26
29
25
24
19
31
105
839
839
440
1,620
97
3
4
4
6
3
87
750
745
420
1,400
96
3
4
4
4
2
87
750
770
360
1,200
95
3
4
3
4
2
70
690
430
340
1,150
94
3
4
3
4
2
86
750
740
410
1,350
96
3
4
4
4
2
1,130
890
900
600
870
UK South
UK North
Scotland
Northern
Ireland
UK Central
warm
staying
the same
3.8%
4.3%
4.3%
13.5%
86
0.91
warm
warmer
Retail
Market:
Tendering:
Cost escalation 201516:
Cost escalation 201617:
Contractors margin:
Preliminaries:
Location factor (USD):
PPP coefficient:
3.3%
3.1%
4.5%
12.3%
76
0.81
warm lukewarm
staying
warmer
the same
4.0%
2.5%
3.5%
3.0%
4.0%
3.5%
13.0%
11.0%
74
61
0.79
0.66
warm
warmer
4.0%
3.3%
4.2%
12.3%
74
0.79
75
Future outlook
New York City appears to be at the crest of the market,
and a downward trend is expected by 2017. The luxury
rental sector is expected to saturate as large-scale
developments near completion. The capital also has a
pressing need to increase affordable housing.
The high-tech sector is not expanding as quickly as
expected but large scale developments are in full swing
and public infrastructure projects such as aviation, rail
and utilities, are on the rise.
USD
Metric
(m2)
US Standard
(ft2)
6,270
3,553
583
330
1,411
2,247
131
209
2,769
5,068
5,748
257
471
534
2,351
3,710
218
345
2,978
5,455
5,570
277
507
517
2,811
5,016
3,428
261
466
318
1,223
1,675
5,058
114
156
470
2,912
3,858
1,872
2,288
3,068
1,976
271
358
174
213
285
184
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
USD
International building costs, in 2016
Metric
(m2)
US Standard
(ft2)
3,658
1,829
3,128
340
170
291
38
37
300
2,000
90
250
6,000
275
1,800
90
2,250
20
165
100
63
155
55
29
11.28
229
1,814
8
23
5,443
26
167
8
2,250
2
15
9
53
14
17
57
465
5
43
102
87
78
77
130
102
87
78
77
130
147
1,100
1,300
561
2,512
242
5
10
7
12
6
112
998
1,300
561
2,279
22
1.60
0.95
27.03
3.80
1.87
3,600
3,600
Retail
overheating
staying the same
4.2%
4.5%
7.0%
12.5%
127
2.23
77
Future outlook
Residential construction booms in Seattle and San
Francisco will remain strong in 2016 to keep pace with
continued growth in the technology industry. Houston
is likely to experience a cooling in new construction
due to continued softness in the energy sector.
Houston
USD
San Francisco
USD
Seattle
USD
Metric
(m2)
US Standard
(ft2)
Metric
(m2)
US Standard
(ft2)
Metric
(m2)
US Standard
(ft2)
4,646
2,599
432
241
5,859
3,320
544
308
5,090
3,054
473
284
521
1,122
48
104
1,318
2,099
122
195
784
1,832
73
170
1,189
2,081
4,692
110
193
436
2,588
4,736
5,370
240
440
499
1,527
2,301
4,900
142
214
455
2,220
2,648
206
246
2,197
3,466
204
322
2,189
2,749
203
255
2,081
3,407
2,968
193
317
276
2,783
5,097
5,204
259
474
484
2,199
4,103
3,665
204
381
340
1,856
3,625
2,093
172
337
194
2,627
4,687
3,203
244
435
298
2,464
3,868
2,341
229
359
218
714
892
4,272
66
83
397
1,167
1,367
4,726
108
127
439
953
1,289
4,500
89
120
418
1,836
171
2,721
253
2,189
203
2,958
1,122
1,275
1,530
1,122
275
104
118
142
104
3,605
1,749
2,138
2,867
1,846
335
163
199
266
172
3,288
1,527
1,731
1,802
1,476
305
142
161
167
137
3 Star travellers
5 Star luxury
Resort style
Industrial
78
Houston
USD
International building costs, in 2016
San Francisco
USD
Seattle
USD
Metric
(m2)
US Standard
(ft2)
Metric
(m2)
US Standard
(ft2)
Metric
(m2)
US Standard
(ft2)
2,550
1,122
2,540
237
104
236
3,418
1,709
2,666
318
159
248
3,054
1,222
2,596
284
113
241
12
17
270
1,559
56
99
4,999
250
1,030
55
1,132
9
5.18
206
1,414
5
9
4,535
23
96
5
1,247
20
28
285
1,984
78
151
5,600
250
1,076
70
2,000
15
8.53
218
1,800
7
14
5,080
23
100
7
2,000
16
20
281
1,870
76
112
5,450
246
1,129
68
1,247
12
6.02
214
1,697
7
10
4,944
23
105
6
1,247
14
92
58
55
139
36
33
274
1
9
5
46
13
11
3
25
11
129
32
58
148
47
38
400
1
12
3
48
14
14
4
37
14
105
68
56
145
45
36
392
1
10
6
47
14
14
3
36
58
50
45
40
96
58
50
45
40
96
95
66
64
51
100
95
66
64
51
100
80
61
62
50
105
80
61
62
50
105
138
979
1,020
449
1,999
235
4
9
6
10
5
105
888
1,020
449
1,814
22
1.22
0.85
23.17
3.05
1.52
137
1,000
1,250
500
2,433
237
4
9
6
10
5
105
907
1,250
500
2,207
22
1.22
0.84
22.71
3.05
1.52
133
996
1,016
460
2,124
236
4
9
6
10
5
102
903
1,016
460
1,927
22
1.24
0.85
23.08
3.10
1.55
2,040
2,040
3,000
3,000
2,600
2,600
Retail
Houston
Market:
Tendering:
Cost escalation 201516:
Cost escalation 201617:
Contractors margin:
Preliminaries:
Location factor (USD):
PPP coefficient:
International construction market survey 2016
lukewarm
staying
the same
3.0%
2.5%
5.0%
10.6%
83
1.52
San
Francisco
Seattle
hot overheating
warmer
staying
the same
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
8.0%
6.0%
5.3%
8.5%
10.0%
103
97
1.85
1.76
79
Comparing
construction costs
It is important to compare construction costs between
countries to inform expansion decisions. It can also enable
productivity comparisons, highlighting how different
practices and tools such as BIM can improve design and
delivery. Opportunities to improve the efficiency of the
construction sector and reduce costs are also opportunities
to grow the global economy faster.
Advantages
Disadvantages
Figure 10: CBD Offices high-rise prestige using a single currency (USD) exchange rates
8,000
6,000
4,000
80
Seattle
San Francisco
London
Zurich
Houston
Sydney
UK north
UK south
UK central
Hong Kong
Perth
Dublin
Scotland
Paris
Northern Ireland
Doha
Amsterdam
Munich
Melbourne
Toronto
Brisbane
Santiago
UAE
Singapore
Seoul
Kigali
Muscat
So Paulo
Kampala
Kuala Lumpur
Beijing
Nairobi
Warsaw
Istanbul
Moscow
Bangalore
Johannesburg
2,000
Advantages
Disadvantages
4,000
Doha
London
Santiago
Muscat
Northern Ireland
UAE
Houston
UK north
Hong Kong
Sydney
San Francisco
Seattle
UK central
Scotland
UK south
Paris
Dublin
Beijing
Seoul
Amsterdam
So Paulo
Munich
Perth
Nairobi
Warsaw
Singapore
Zurich
Kuala Lumpur
Brisbane
Kampala
Kigali
Melbourne
Toronto
Moscow
Istanbul
Bangalore
Johannesburg
2,000
Advantages
Disadvantages
Figure 12: CBD offices high-rise prestige using location factors in USD London = 100
140
120
100
80
60
40
Zurich
London
San Francisco
Seattle
Melbourne
UK south
Sydney
Toronto
Perth
Houston
Brisbane
Hong Kong
Dublin
UK north
UK central
Scotland
Paris
Amsterdam
Munich
Northern Ireland
Doha
Singapore
Kigali
Seoul
UAE
Istanbul
Kampala
Santiago
Johannesburg
Kuala Lumpur
So Paulo
Moscow
Muscat
Nairobi
Warsaw
Beijing
Bangalore
20
81
Labour costs
Labout costs are the all-inclusive cost to the employer,
which includes the basic hourly wage, allowances, taxes,
annual leave cost, and where paid by the employer,
workers compensation and health insurance, pensions
and travel costs and fares. It excludes overheads,
margins and overtime and bonuses.
82
83
84
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Turner & Townsend. All rights reserved June 2016. Thiscontent
is for general information purposes only and does notpurport to
constitute professional advice. We do not make anyrepresentation
or give any warranty and shall not be liable forany losses or
damages whatsoever, arising from reliance on information
contained in this document.