Lutz Ejemplo (Actualizado)

GENERACION DE DESCARGAS EN CUENCA
METODO PROPUESTO POR LA MISION TECNICA ALEMANA

1. CLCULO DE LOS PARMETROS PARA LA DESCRIPCIN DE LA ESCORRENTA PROMEDIO
1.1 COEFICIENTE DE ESCORRENTA
Mtodo de L-TURC
D P
PD
C
P
0.9
C: Coeficiente de escorrenta
P2
L2
D: Dficit de escurrimiento
L: Coeficiente de temperatura
P: Precipitacin media anual

T: Temperatura media anual
L 300 25 T 0.05 (T ) 3
Descripcin
Datos
Dato
Temperatura Media Anual: T
8.7
Precipitacin Media Anual: P
851.0
mm
Coeficiente de Temperatura: L
550.4
Dficit de Escurrimiento: D
469.1
Coeficiente de Escorrenta: C
Viene de "Resultados"
mm/ao
0.45
Mtodo de la Misin Alemana

C: Coeficiente de escorrenta
=3.16 10 ^12^(0.
571)^(3.686)
Evaporacin Total Anual: ETP
1222
0.28
E: Evaporacin
mm
1.2 PRECIPITACIN EFECTIVA

Precipitacin Efectiva segn el Bureao of Reclamation
P
P. Efectiva: PE (mm)
(mm)
Curva I
Curva II
Curva III
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
10.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
20.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
30.0
0.0
3.0
6.0
40.0
0.5
4.0
8.0
50.0
1.0
6.0
11.0
100
60.0
1.5
8.0
14.0
80
70.0
3.0
10.0
18.0
80.0
4.0
14.0
24.0
90.0
5.5
18.0
30.0
40
100.0
8.0
23.0
39.0
20
Figura 1: Porcin de Precipitacin Efectiv

140
120
Precipitacin
Efectiva (m m )
60
80
60
40
20
110.0
11.0
29.0
48.0
120.0
15.0
36.0
58.0
130.0
19.0
43.0
68.0
140.0
24.0
52.0
78.0
150.0
30.0
60.0
88.0
160.0
37.0
69.0
98.0
170.0
45.0
79.0
108.0
180.0
55.0
89.0
118.0
CE
0.15
0.30
0.45
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
Precipitacin Mensual
Curv a I
Curv a II
Coeficientes de Clculo - Precipitacin Efectiva

Coef.
Curva I
a0
0.609
Curva II Curva III Curva IV Curva V Curva VI Curva VII

-0.135
0.655
-0.446
-1.103
-1.027
-1E+00
a1
-0.029
0.030
-0.028
0.181
0.414
0.502
6E-01
a2
0.002
0.001
0.006
0.007
0.005
0.005
4E-03
a3
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
-1E-05
El rango de aplicacin de los coeficientes de la ecuacin

Polinmica de la PE est comprendida para 0 < P < 250 mm
1.3 CLCULO DE LA RETENCIN EN LA CUENCA
Descripcin
Altitud media de la cuenca
Dato
3500
msnm
Pendiente medio acuifero
2.0
Area de Lagunas e hidromorficas
54.0
km2
Area de acuiferos
96.0
km2
Area de la cuenca
698.4
km2
Retension ( R )
79.9
mm
1.4 GASTOS DE LA RETENCIN Y ABASTECIMIENTO DE LA RETENCIN
Coeficiente de agotamiento
Cuencas con agotamiento rpido.

Retencin entre 50 y 80 mm/ao y vegetacin p
a=-0.00252 * Ln (area) +
0.031
Descripcin
Dato
Area de la cuenca: A
698.4
Km2
Altitud Media de la Microcuenca: H
3500
msnm
Pendiente Media de la Microcuenca
0.95
m/m
Precipitacin Media Anual: P
851.0
mm
Evaporacin Total Anual: ETP
1222.0
mm
Temperatura Media Anual: T
8.70
Dficit de Escurrimiento: D
469.1
mm/ao
0.45
Coeficiente de Agotamiento: a
0.01
Relacin de Caudales (30 das): bo
0.65
Area de lagunas y acuferos
5.00
Km2
Gasto Mensual de Retencin: R
79.90
mm/ao
1.5 GENERACION DE CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

Precipitacin Mensual
P
Contribucin de la Retensin
Efectiva
Gasto
Abastecimiento
Caudales
Generados
Mes
N das
del mes
Enero
31
188.28
100.68
134.32
Febrero
28
179.96
89.50
125.24
Marzo
31
159.70
65.83
103.44
87.12
Abril
30
54.18
5.45
14.60
10.63
0.65
30.18
40.81
Mayo
31
9.83
0.25
0.93
0.64
0.41
18.98
19.62
Junio
30
6.18
0.09
0.70
0.44
0.27
12.65
13.08
Julio
31
8.74
0.20
0.85
0.57
0.17
7.73
8.29
Agosto
31
22.42
1.06
2.84
2.07
0.11
4.93
7.00
Setiem.
30
35.78
2.43
6.63
4.81
0.07
3.43
8.24
Octubre
31
43.89
3.58
9.77
7.08
0.04
2.01
Noviem.
30
49.52
4.54
12.30
8.93
0.05
3.99
4.94
Diciem.
31
92.53
17.44
39.83
30.12
0.35
27.96
2.15
851.0
291.0
451.5
381.9
1.000
79.9
381.9
Total
PE II
PE III
PE
bi
mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes
AO
Coeficientes
0.45
0.434
0.566
Gi
ai
mm/mes
7
mm/mes mm/mes
9
10
11
119.72
0.40
31.96
87.76
109.73
0.20
15.98
93.75
0.00
0.00
87.12
1.714
Ai
79.9
9.09
1.000
1.6 CALCULO DE LOS COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACION PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

Qt
87.8
93.8
87.1
40.8
19.6
13.1
8.3
7.0
8.2
9.1
4.9
2.2
Qt-1
2.2
87.8
93.8
87.1
40.8
19.6
13.1
8.3
7.0
8.2
9.1
4.9
PE
119.7
109.7
87.1
10.6
0.6
0.4
0.6
2.1
4.8
7.1
8.9
30.1
1.7 RESULTADOS DE LA REGRESIN
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple
0.9802
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2
0.9607
R^2 ajustado
0.9520
Error tpico
8.5040
Observaciones
12
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
F
110.0413
Regresin
15916
7957.983
Residuos
650.8632
72.31813
11
16566.83
Total
Error tpico
Estadstico t
Probabilidad
Inferior 95%
Intercepci 0.5740
Coeficientes
3.379892
0.169826
0.868903
-7.07185
Qt-1
0.3214
0.071321
4.506934
0.001474
0.160101
PE
0.6605
0.057961
11.39591
1.2E-006
0.5294
Superior 95%
S EN CUENCA
ECNICA ALEMANA - 1980
A PROMEDIO
tados"
in de Precipitacin Efectiva Segn Bureao Of Reclamation
m)
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Precipitacin Mensual (m m )
Curv a I
Curv a II
Curv a III
mm/ao y vegetacin poco desarrollada (puna):
Caudales
Generados
m3/s
12
22.88
27.07
22.72
11.00
5.11
3.52
2.16
1.82
2.22
2.37
1.33
0.56
8.56
Valor crtico de F
4.7E-007
Superior 95%
Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
8.219838
-7.07185
8.219838
0.482781
0.160101
0.482781
0.791634
0.5294
0.791634
PRECIPITACION MEDIA DE LA CUENCA
Ao
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MAX.
MED.
MIN.
D.EST
Ene.
128.8
184.8
168.6
337.9
278.1
298.4
177.0
189.7
63.7
216.3
46.3
84.8
204.0
123.5
48.8
146.9
161.5
131.3
251.6
262.7
307.4
183.5
175.2
187.9
250.6
183.9
198.0
183.8
216.4
245.4
175.0
277.9
315.0
148.9
129.4
119.0
164.3
202.9
137.7
224.5
337.9
188.3
46.3
70.6
Feb.
144.5
160.8
196.1
246.5
204.6
307.6
195.8
159.8
250.9
77.1
111.0
54.5
279.0
114.4
45.1
136.0
149.6
187.1
54.7
97.6
284.7
169.9
162.2
174.0
232.1
170.3
101.2
309.5
229.4
97.3
294.1
273.9
236.3
200.3
136.7
221.7
124.0
219.3
148.3
240.5
309.5
180.0
45.1
72.1
Mar.
111.4
179.2
125.1
265.5
197.6
196.8
219.2
196.2
160.8
81.4
105.3
193.7
88.9
115.1
40.4
121.8
134.0
146.0
152.5
116.5
255.0
152.1
145.3
155.8
207.8
152.5
103.7
151.4
125.2
124.1
199.3
235.3
220.7
182.5
262.2
121.0
80.8
227.7
249.0
89.5
265.5
159.7
40.4
56.2
Abr.
57.0
33.6
60.2
36.3
93.7
111.6
34.6
36.8
31.2
32.3
46.3
30.2
96.3
28.9
14.7
44.2
48.6
68.5
20.8
97.3
92.5
55.2
52.7
56.5
75.4
55.3
30.2
131.9
38.5
9.7
91.7
53.4
76.0
65.0
38.2
49.8
38.7
59.5
40.4
34.1
131.9
54.2
9.7
27.3
May.
5.1
22.5
3.0
4.2
9.4
6.3
31.1
14.3
0.0
12.8
4.6
4.9
5.0
0.2
2.7
8.1
9.0
18.5
22.8
28.0
17.1
10.2
9.7
10.4
13.9
10.2
3.5
0.0
21.6
0.0
6.8
10.2
38.4
6.5
15.5
1.2
0.0
0.0
5.0
0.8
38.4
9.8
0.0
9.2
Jun.
7.1
5.9
11.8
1.1
4.5
29.3
3.8
16.0
0.0
13.8
2.3
0.8
4.2
28.5
1.7
5.1
5.6
0.0
13.7
0.0
10.6
6.3
6.1
6.5
8.7
2.2
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
15.5
1.9
5.0
0.0
15.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
12.8
29.3
6.2
0.0
7.3
Jul.
3.3
6.9
0.1
17.5
15.0
6.3
0.0
4.0
14.4
2.5
6.4
5.5
0.3
0.0
1.6
4.7
5.2
8.3
11.2
16.4
9.9
5.9
5.6
6.0
8.0
5.9
0.0
4.6
1.1
0.0
5.9
5.9
29.2
83.7
4.4
34.7
5.1
0.0
4.2
0.0
83.7
8.7
0.0
14.2
Ago.
12.2
4.8
14.8
6.3
21.6
105.7
12.5
23.7
0.8
3.5
25.7
1.7
82.9
32.2
6.5
19.5
21.4
25.4
10.8
4.9
40.8
24.4
23.3
24.9
33.3
24.4
4.9
38.3
88.9
0.0
15.5
22.1
34.2
16.3
24.1
17.6
8.4
15.8
0.0
3.2
105.7
22.4
0.0
23.1
Set.
35.1
56.6
12.4
40.0
65.0
71.8
23.6
140.2
29.6
19.0
10.8
37.8
39.9
40.1
10.5
31.5
34.7
36.2
1.3
27.0
66.0
39.4
37.6
40.3
53.8
30.3
34.5
34.4
65.8
0.0
55.8
10.3
21.8
31.4
26.0
38.2
55.6
4.0
23.1
0.0
140.2
35.8
0.0
25.2
Oct.
59.2
47.6
36.3
62.6
28.6
29.9
34.2
2.0
39.1
48.4
28.2
117.4
42.1
95.9
11.4
34.4
37.8
17.5
47.9
31.6
71.9
42.9
41.0
43.9
58.6
20.8
25.0
43.0
17.6
30.5
83.8
46.4
73.6
93.2
32.6
25.3
22.1
82.2
11.9
37.0
117.4
43.9
2.0
25.1
Nov.
53.6
42.6
10.4
56.3
67.3
43.0
23.8
9.1
119.9
94.9
37.8
60.9
89.8
63.6
13.2
39.7
43.7
31.6
45.6
49.8
83.2
49.7
47.4
50.8
67.8
46.0
40.0
49.8
78.1
15.3
15.5
38.9
42.2
87.2
36.5
45.3
15.4
130.5
28.6
16.1
130.5
49.5
9.1
28.2
Dic.
110.9
79.6
125.6
60.6
91.8
91.8
156.1
58.4
41.8
125.2
82.1
49.1
141.9
35.8
24.3
73.3
80.7
113.7
22.3
98.4
153.5
91.6
87.5
93.8
125.1
90.5
54.6
91.8
85.0
174.7
130.0
106.3
58.4
101.8
120.2
72.5
178.4
77.6
79.1
65.4
178.4
92.5
22.3
37.6
NUMEROS ALEATORIOS GENERADOS CON DISTRIBUCION NORMAL

Ao
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MED.
Ene.
0.99
1.71
0.34
-0.32
-0.34
0.26
-0.65
-0.97
0.67
-0.73
0.00
-0.18
-1.75
-0.49
-1.98
-0.19
-1.19
2.34
0.02
-0.64
-1.62
-0.14
-2.07
-0.57
-0.02
-0.62
-0.32
-0.15
-1.89
1.07
0.09
0.40
0.20
0.71
1.81
-0.83
0.68
-1.44
-2.13
-1.32
0
Feb.
-2.21
0.94
1.07
-1.14
0.67
1.87
-0.24
2.12
0.07
-0.02
0.72
-1.66
0.80
-1.47
0.06
0.35
-0.03
-0.32
-0.68
0.00
-2.38
1.69
-0.42
0.53
-2.94
-1.21
1.43
0.00
-0.57
0.76
0.60
-0.78
0.53
-0.31
1.55
-1.21
-2.11
0.61
-1.28
-0.64
0
Mar.
-1.81
1.35
0.20
1.41
-1.87
-2.83
-1.49
0.44
0.14
-0.05
0.38
-0.16
0.07
-1.67
0.72
2.43
-0.60
-0.24
1.68
0.86
1.22
0.32
-0.77
-0.27
0.31
0.04
-0.24
0.54
-0.69
-2.21
0.13
0.01
-0.17
0.10
-0.50
0.58
-1.11
-0.27
-0.61
1.05
0
Abr.
-0.13
-0.09
-0.52
2.19
-0.22
-0.48
-0.71
0.53
-0.53
1.35
1.00
1.73
0.47
2.13
-1.25
-0.66
1.61
-0.60
0.70
-1.70
-1.09
-0.20
-1.06
0.31
1.08
0.96
-1.36
1.91
-1.10
0.13
0.76
0.44
-0.56
-1.05
0.36
0.66
0.88
0.19
-0.80
0.14
0
May.
1.70
-0.85
0.89
-1.01
0.13
-0.72
-0.38
-0.51
-0.36
0.92
0.28
0.28
0.30
-0.71
0.18
-1.82
-1.00
0.58
-2.12
0.46
0.85
0.93
1.24
-1.07
0.56
0.85
0.47
1.45
0.80
2.07
0.80
0.77
-1.90
-1.12
1.30
-1.35
1.38
1.03
-0.29
-0.67
0
Jun.
-1.01
1.23
0.75
1.57
1.35
-1.19
-0.42
1.76
0.20
1.03
-1.27
0.52
0.14
0.92
-0.84
1.10
-0.20
1.44
-0.29
0.69
0.94
-1.33
1.43
-1.08
-0.36
-1.03
-0.14
-1.08
-0.20
0.60
0.99
-1.33
-1.25
-1.36
-1.17
-0.18
-1.49
-1.68
-0.51
0.13
0
Jul.
-2.49
-0.17
-0.59
-2.10
-1.09
-0.31
-0.47
-0.09
-0.35
1.15
-0.89
0.48
-0.78
1.56
-0.79
0.75
0.43
-1.21
1.03
-1.60
-0.05
0.97
-1.87
-0.17
0.30
0.89
0.18
0.75
0.22
-0.20
0.07
-0.57
0.96
-1.69
0.17
1.21
-1.28
-0.06
-0.34
0.21
0
Ago.
0.71
0.02
-0.09
-2.34
-1.37
1.14
-0.40
-0.10
-1.07
1.07
1.42
-0.49
-0.94
0.75
-1.62
0.24
-1.15
-0.42
-0.71
0.53
0.05
0.21
-0.01
-0.63
-0.41
0.55
-0.71
-2.12
1.26
1.78
-1.06
0.49
0.53
0.04
-1.80
1.11
-0.37
-0.42
0.67
1.15
0
Set.
-1.40
1.64
0.53
-0.55
-1.00
-1.19
0.07
0.38
-0.02
-1.61
-0.81
-0.95
0.95
0.90
0.35
0.64
0.86
-0.87
0.78
-1.08
-0.50
-1.45
-1.60
-0.09
1.13
0.96
0.50
-0.11
-1.91
0.49
-1.16
1.32
0.53
-1.32
-0.36
-1.96
0.18
-1.26
-0.40
0.87
0
Oct.
-0.46
0.90
-0.29
-0.15
-0.48
-1.94
-1.16
2.57
0.42
0.06
1.89
-0.17
0.59
-0.77
0.99
-0.78
-0.90
1.05
-0.20
-1.48
1.82
0.99
-1.43
0.95
-1.42
-0.98
0.50
-0.41
0.01
-0.68
0.14
-0.45
-1.49
0.97
-0.65
-0.65
-0.46
1.02
0.07
-0.70
0
Nov.
0.35
0.27
-0.52
-0.75
1.24
-0.38
0.24
-0.07
-0.88
1.92
-1.76
-0.23
0.51
-0.15
-1.18
-0.35
0.11
-0.58
1.78
1.30
-0.80
1.69
0.60
-0.76
1.18
-0.76
1.87
0.00
0.92
0.09
-2.05
-0.54
0.74
-0.26
-0.35
1.28
-0.53
0.63
-2.60
0.62
0
Dic.
-1.02
0.52
0.55
2.21
-2.31
0.71
1.09
-0.79
1.25
-0.02
0.31
0.98
0.35
0.92
1.25
0.58
-0.93
-2.23
0.33
2.72
-0.13
0.09
0.52
1.55
-0.70
1.58
0.78
1.00
-1.41
0.62
-0.75
1.20
-1.26
-0.70
1.46
-1.95
1.54
0.02
-0.82
1.06
0
D.EST
1
1
1
Fuente: Elaboracin propia
PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA GENERADA

C
Tot.
728.0
824.7
764.3
1134.7
1077.2
1298.5
911.6
850.1
752.1
727.2
506.9
641.3
1074.4
678.3
220.8
665.2
731.7
783.9
655.2
830.2
1392.6
831.0
793.4
850.9
1135.1
792.2
595.7
1039.5
967.5
697.0
1073.4
1096.0
1147.7
1021.8
825.7
761.7
692.7
1019.4
727.2
723.8
1392.6
851.0
220.8
223.9
0.64
0.61
0.55
Ao
Ene.
Feb.
Mar.
1969
81.9
88.1
60.7
1970
117.5
98.0
97.8
1971
107.2
119.5
68.2
1972
214.9 150.3 144.8
1973
176.8 124.7 107.8
1974
189.8 187.6 107.4
1975
112.6
119.4
119.6
1976
120.7
97.4
107.0
1977
40.5
153.0
87.7
1978
137.5
47.0
44.4
1979
29.5
67.7
57.4
1980
53.9
33.2
105.7
1981
129.7 170.1
48.5
1982
78.5
69.8
62.8
1983
31.0
27.5
22.1
1984
93.4
82.9
66.4
1985
102.7
91.2
73.1
1986
83.5
114.1
79.6
1987
160.0
33.4
83.2
1988
167.1
59.5
63.6
1989
195.5 173.6 139.1
1990
116.7
103.6
83.0
1991
111.4
98.9
79.2
1992
119.4
106.1
85.0
1993
159.4 141.5
113.4
1994
116.9
103.8
83.2
1995
125.9
61.7
56.6
1996
116.9
188.7
82.6
1997
137.6 139.9
68.3
1998
156.0
59.3
67.7
1999
111.3
179.4 108.7
2000
176.7 167.0 128.4
2001
200.3 144.1 120.4
2002
94.7
122.1
99.5
2003
82.3
83.3
143.0
2004
75.7
135.2
66.0
2005
104.5
75.6
44.1
2006
129.0 133.7 124.2
2007
87.5
90.4
135.8
2008
142.7 146.7
48.8
MAX. 214.9 188.7 144.8
MED.
119.7 109.7
87.1
MIN.
29.5
27.5
22.1
D.EST
44.9
43.9
30.7
0.20
Abr.
11.2
6.6
11.8
7.1
18.4
21.9
6.8
7.2
6.1
6.3
9.1
5.9
18.9
5.7
2.9
8.7
9.5
13.4
4.1
19.1
18.1
10.8
10.3
11.1
14.8
10.8
5.9
25.9
7.5
1.9
18.0
10.5
14.9
12.8
7.5
9.8
7.6
11.7
7.9
6.7
25.9
10.6
1.9
5.4
0.06
May.
0.3
1.5
0.2
0.3
0.6
0.4
2.0
0.9
0.0
0.8
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.0
0.2
0.5
0.6
1.2
1.5
1.8
1.1
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
1.4
0.0
0.4
0.7
2.5
0.4
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
2.5
0.6
0.0
0.6
0.11
Jun.
0.8
0.7
1.3
0.1
0.5
3.3
0.4
1.8
0.0
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.5
3.2
0.2
0.6
0.6
0.0
1.6
0.0
1.2
0.7
0.7
0.7
1.0
0.3
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.8
0.2
0.6
0.0
1.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.5
3.3
0.7
0.0
0.8
0.06
Jul.
0.2
0.4
0.0
1.1
1.0
0.4
0.0
0.3
0.9
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.7
1.1
0.6
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.4
1.9
5.4
0.3
2.3
0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
5.4
0.6
0.0
0.9
0.09
Ago.
1.1
0.4
1.4
0.6
2.0
9.7
1.2
2.2
0.1
0.3
2.4
0.2
7.6
3.0
0.6
1.8
2.0
2.3
1.0
0.4
3.8
2.2
2.1
2.3
3.1
2.3
0.4
3.5
8.2
0.0
1.4
2.0
3.1
1.5
2.2
1.6
0.8
1.5
0.0
0.3
9.7
2.1
0.0
2.1
0.13
Set.
4.7
7.6
1.7
5.4
8.7
9.6
3.2
18.9
4.0
2.6
1.5
5.1
5.4
5.4
1.4
4.2
4.7
4.9
0.2
3.6
8.9
5.3
5.1
5.4
7.2
4.1
4.6
4.6
8.8
0.0
7.5
1.4
2.9
4.2
3.5
5.1
7.5
0.5
3.1
0.0
18.9
4.8
0.0
3.4
0.16
Oct.
9.5
7.7
5.9
10.1
4.6
4.8
5.5
0.3
6.3
7.8
4.6
19.0
6.8
15.5
1.8
5.5
6.1
2.8
7.7
5.1
11.6
6.9
6.6
7.1
9.5
3.4
4.0
6.9
2.8
4.9
13.5
7.5
11.9
15.0
5.3
4.1
3.6
13.3
1.9
6.0
19.0
7.1
0.3
4.1
DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (mm)

Coeficientes de Regresin Mltiple:
b1
S
Modelo Matemtico:
Ao
Prom.
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MAX.
Ene.
Feb.
Mar.
87.8
93.8
87.1
56.6
74.3
62.4
88.7
95.0
97.3
78.6 106.1
80.0
151.5 147.2 145.2
123.1 123.3 109.2
133.1 169.5 122.6
81.6 105.4
111.6
91.0
96.7 102.9
32.5
112.2
94.7
95.7
62.4
49.9
30.5
56.0
56.9
42.5
34.2
81.2
89.4 142.6
78.5
63.5
65.3
61.0
22.9
26.2
24.4
64.6
76.5
72.0
73.1
84.3
75.2
64.7
96.3
83.9
114.0
58.4
76.3
113.0
76.2
68.1
136.7 156.3 144.2
89.6
99.8
87.9
79.3
90.9
81.2
86.1
98.9
88.2
113.9 127.1
116.7
86.9
95.6
86.3
91.1
72.3
60.9
82.8 151.9 104.6
97.0 123.5
84.5
111.7
76.6
67.3
87.1 147.8 120.0
127.0 150.8 133.8
141.8 142.0 125.5
68.7 102.9
99.5
65.5
78.5
119.7
59.2 107.5
79.4
75.7
72.3
51.6
97.5 121.0 121.2
63.5
79.2
115.0
98.8 128.4
75.3
151.5 169.5 145.2
0.57399
8.50401
b2
R^2
0.32144
0.98016
b3
Qt = b1 + b2*Qt-1 + b3*PEt + Z*S*(1 - R^2)^0.

Abr.
40.8
27.9
36.1
33.4
54.6
47.5
53.9
40.1
39.1
34.4
22.4
26.1
32.7
38.9
26.5
8.8
28.6
33.0
35.7
28.6
33.0
57.6
35.7
32.2
36.6
49.2
36.6
22.4
53.6
31.4
23.6
51.9
51.0
50.1
39.7
44.4
33.3
23.2
47.5
41.8
29.4
57.6
May.
19.6
11.8
12.1
12.5
17.1
16.4
17.3
14.3
13.1
11.2
9.4
9.5
11.6
13.6
8.2
3.7
7.9
10.4
13.5
8.2
12.9
20.8
13.6
12.8
11.5
17.6
13.8
8.5
19.5
12.6
10.6
18.5
18.3
16.0
12.3
17.1
9.7
9.7
17.1
13.9
9.2
20.8
Jun.
13.1
3.7
6.4
6.4
8.0
7.8
6.9
5.0
8.1
4.4
5.9
2.3
5.0
5.4
6.5
0.9
4.8
4.1
6.7
3.9
5.6
9.2
3.8
6.9
3.5
6.5
3.9
3.1
5.6
4.4
4.7
7.7
6.0
4.4
3.3
4.7
4.6
1.9
4.1
4.4
4.7
9.2
Jul.
Ago.
8.3
7.0
-1.1
1.8
2.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
1.4
-1.4
2.4
1.0
2.7
9.2
1.6
1.4
3.2
2.9
2.2
0.0
3.9
3.3
0.5
4.0
3.0
1.0
1.4
5.0
4.5
4.9
0.0
-1.0
3.2
3.1
2.6
1.3
1.6
2.1
3.5
1.5
1.1
1.9
3.9
4.4
3.2
3.3
0.8
2.2
1.7
1.9
3.4
3.2
3.2
3.7
1.8
0.6
3.5
1.5
2.3
8.2
1.9
3.3
3.4
1.3
2.1
3.2
4.4
4.7
3.2
2.6
2.5
0.7
5.0
4.6
-0.1
0.6
1.8
1.6
1.8
1.9
2.3
2.9
5.0
9.2
Set.
8.2
2.6
8.1
3.0
3.0
5.5
8.5
3.2
14.4
3.2
1.4
1.9
3.1
6.9
6.8
1.6
5.1
5.1
3.4
2.1
2.3
7.2
3.4
2.7
4.7
7.7
5.6
4.4
4.0
6.8
2.2
4.6
4.1
4.7
2.6
2.7
3.1
5.9
-0.1
2.8
2.5
14.4
Oct.
9.1
7.2
9.3
5.0
8.0
4.8
4.2
3.9
8.5
6.3
6.3
6.4
13.9
8.0
12.1
3.5
5.0
5.2
4.8
6.1
2.9
12.8
7.4
4.1
7.9
7.6
3.4
5.3
5.9
4.6
3.7
11.2
6.3
8.1
12.5
4.1
3.5
4.3
10.5
2.8
4.5
13.9
MED.
86.8
100.8
90.4
MIN.
22.9
26.2
24.4
D.EST
30.1
34.3
27.3
36.8
8.8
10.9
13.0
3.7
3.7
5.1
0.9
1.8
2.4
-1.1
1.3
2.6
-1.4
2.1
4.3
-0.1
2.6
6.5
2.8
2.9
ADA
PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA GENERADA CON C

0.18
Nov.
9.7
7.7
1.9
10.2
12.1
7.8
4.3
1.6
21.6
17.1
6.8
11.0
16.2
11.5
2.4
7.2
7.9
5.7
8.2
9.0
15.0
9.0
8.5
9.2
12.2
8.3
7.2
9.0
14.1
2.8
2.8
7.0
7.6
15.7
6.6
8.2
2.8
23.5
5.2
2.9
23.5
8.9
1.6
5.1
0.33
Dic.
36.1
25.9
40.9
19.7
29.9
29.9
50.8
19.0
13.6
40.7
26.7
16.0
46.2
11.7
7.9
23.9
26.3
37.0
7.3
32.0
50.0
29.8
28.5
30.5
40.7
29.4
17.8
29.9
27.7
56.9
42.3
34.6
19.0
33.1
39.1
23.6
58.1
25.3
25.7
21.3
58.1
30.1
7.3
12.3
Tot.
304.5
371.8
360.0
564.6
487.2
572.6
425.7
377.3
333.8
306.4
206.6
250.7
450.2
267.0
98.1
295.4
325.0
345.1
308.8
362.3
618.5
369.1
352.4
377.9
504.2
363.5
284.5
468.4
416.4
349.5
485.7
537.9
528.9
405.2
374.1
333.3
304.7
462.7
358.2
376.8
618.5
382.1
98.1
104.5
n=
73
Ao
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MAX.
MED.
MIN.
D.EST
Ene.
59.4
106.0
92.1
246.5
190.3
209.3
99.3
110.3
14.5
133.8
6.2
27.2
122.9
55.2
7.2
73.9
86.1
61.3
165.8
176.1
217.8
104.8
97.7
108.7
165.0
105.2
117.6
105.1
133.9
160.2
97.6
190.1
224.9
75.6
59.8
51.7
88.4
121.9
66.4
141.2
246.5
111.9
6.2
59.7
Feb.
72.0
85.4
115.9
161.2
123.4
217.9
115.7
84.6
165.2
22.3
45.7
9.8
191.2
48.3
5.8
65.1
76.1
108.0
9.9
36.0
196.5
93.2
86.7
96.7
148.1
93.5
38.5
219.7
145.7
35.7
205.3
186.4
151.9
119.6
65.6
138.7
55.5
136.5
75.0
155.7
219.7
105.1
5.8
60.3
Mar.
45.9
101.2
56.4
178.7
117.2
116.5
136.4
116.0
85.4
25.0
41.5
113.8
30.0
48.8
4.1
53.9
63.4
73.1
78.5
49.8
169.0
78.2
72.6
81.3
126.3
78.5
40.3
77.6
56.5
55.6
118.7
151.0
137.8
104.0
175.6
53.2
24.7
144.1
163.5
30.3
178.7
86.9
4.1
46.4
Abr.
11.0
2.0
12.6
2.7
33.2
46.1
2.3
2.9
1.4
1.7
6.2
1.2
35.0
1.0
0.2
5.4
7.2
17.2
0.0
35.7
32.4
10.2
9.0
10.8
21.3
10.2
1.2
61.8
3.4
1.0
31.8
9.3
21.6
15.2
3.3
7.7
3.5
12.3
4.0
2.1
61.8
12.4
0.0
14.4
May.
2.3
0.1
3.2
2.7
1.0
1.9
1.4
0.2
4.7
0.4
2.5
2.4
2.4
4.6
3.3
1.4
1.1
0.0
0.2
0.8
0.0
0.9
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.9
3.0
4.7
0.1
4.7
1.8
0.9
3.4
1.8
0.1
4.0
4.7
4.7
2.4
4.3
4.7
2.0
0.0
1.6
Jun.
1.7
2.1
0.6
4.1
2.6
1.1
2.9
0.1
4.7
0.3
3.5
4.3
2.7
0.9
3.8
2.3
2.2
4.7
0.3
4.7
0.8
1.9
2.0
1.9
1.2
3.6
4.7
4.1
4.7
4.7
4.7
0.1
3.7
2.4
4.7
0.1
4.7
4.7
4.7
0.4
4.7
2.7
0.1
1.7
Jul.
3.0
1.7
4.6
0.0
0.2
1.9
4.7
2.8
0.2
3.4
1.9
2.2
4.5
4.7
3.9
2.5
2.3
1.3
0.7
0.1
0.9
2.1
2.1
2.0
1.4
2.1
4.7
2.5
4.1
4.7
2.1
2.1
1.0
26.5
2.6
2.3
2.3
4.7
2.7
4.7
26.5
3.1
0.0
4.1
AS (mm)
0.66052
DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERAD
*PEt + Z*S*(1 - R^2)^0.5

Nov.
4.9
9.7
9.0
2.8
9.0
11.6
6.6
4.9
4.3
15.8
16.2
5.0
12.0
14.4
11.8
1.9
6.5
7.6
5.2
10.1
9.0
13.6
10.9
8.3
8.3
12.5
6.2
9.3
8.4
12.5
3.7
3.6
6.6
9.1
14.7
5.8
8.6
3.2
20.3
1.8
4.7
20.3
Area
Dic.
2.2
26.3
21.2
29.1
19.1
21.3
23.3
37.0
13.6
16.1
32.7
20.2
16.2
36.1
13.2
7.9
19.1
19.2
24.0
9.0
27.9
37.8
23.9
22.7
25.3
30.7
23.9
16.2
24.2
21.2
40.1
28.8
27.0
14.5
26.3
30.0
16.6
41.8
23.8
17.2
17.4
41.8
Tot.
381.9
283.1
387.7
360.9
562.7
474.0
557.6
410.1
397.9
333.1
309.5
219.4
256.4
440.2
284.3
100.9
296.4
321.2
342.0
321.9
354.0
604.6
382.7
344.2
374.5
496.1
369.4
295.9
465.5
408.9
349.4
485.8
536.3
525.3
388.3
375.7
335.2
290.1
466.1
346.1
380.2
604.6
Ao
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MAX.
Jan
30
15.24
23.89
21.18
40.82
33.17
35.86
22.00
24.52
8.75
25.79
8.23
11.45
24.08
17.10
6.18
17.40
19.71
17.43
30.71
30.46
36.84
24.14
21.38
23.19
30.70
23.42
24.54
22.31
26.13
30.10
23.46
34.22
38.21
18.50
17.66
15.95
20.41
26.27
17.11
26.62
40.82
698.4
Feb
28
21.45
27.41
30.63
42.49
35.61
48.93
30.43
27.92
32.38
18.00
16.16
9.87
41.17
18.86
7.56
22.09
24.34
27.81
16.87
22.01
45.14
28.82
26.25
28.56
36.71
27.61
20.88
43.84
35.65
22.11
42.65
43.53
40.99
29.72
22.67
31.02
20.88
34.92
22.86
37.08
48.93
Km2
Mar
31
16.27
25.37
20.85
37.87
28.47
31.97
29.11
26.83
24.70
13.01
14.85
21.17
20.48
15.92
6.37
18.77
19.62
21.87
19.90
17.76
37.59
22.91
21.18
23.00
30.43
22.51
15.88
27.27
22.04
17.54
31.30
34.90
32.73
25.95
31.21
20.70
13.46
31.60
29.99
19.65
37.87
Apr
30
7.51
9.73
9.01
14.71
12.81
14.51
10.80
10.52
9.27
6.04
7.03
8.80
10.47
7.14
2.38
7.72
8.89
9.61
7.72
8.90
15.52
9.63
8.69
9.87
13.24
9.87
6.04
14.43
8.46
6.36
13.99
13.75
13.50
10.70
11.97
8.98
6.26
12.79
11.27
7.91
15.52
May
31
3.07
3.16
3.26
4.45
4.28
4.51
3.74
3.42
2.92
2.46
2.47
3.03
3.56
2.15
0.98
2.07
2.70
3.53
2.14
3.37
5.43
3.55
3.35
3.00
4.60
3.60
2.22
5.09
3.27
2.77
4.83
4.78
4.18
3.20
4.45
2.54
2.53
4.45
3.62
2.41
5.43
Jun
30
0.99
1.72
1.72
2.16
2.10
1.86
1.34
2.18
1.19
1.58
0.61
1.34
1.47
1.74
0.24
1.30
1.10
1.79
1.05
1.50
2.48
1.03
1.85
0.93
1.74
1.06
0.85
1.52
1.18
1.27
2.08
1.63
1.18
0.88
1.26
1.25
0.51
1.09
1.19
1.26
2.48
Jul
31
-0.28
0.71
0.50
0.36
0.63
0.70
0.42
0.85
0.57
1.03
0.13
0.78
0.37
1.18
0.00
0.84
0.68
0.42
0.92
0.30
1.02
0.84
0.20
0.45
0.87
0.83
0.47
0.91
0.60
0.48
0.88
0.54
1.14
0.83
0.64
1.30
-0.04
0.47
0.46
0.61
1.30
8.6
1.8
4.3
23.5
7.9
8.1
380.8
100.9
100.9
MED. 23.38 29.10 23.57

MIN.
6.18
7.56
6.37
D.EST
8.10
9.90
7.13
Medio anual 8.61
8.61
8.61
9.92
2.38
2.92
3.38
0.98
0.97
1.38
0.24
0.48
0.62
-0.28
0.34
8.61
8.61
8.61
8.61
ca u
GENERADA CON CURVA NUMERO
Ago.
0.5
2.5
0.2
1.9
0.1
41.8
0.5
0.2
4.3
3.0
0.5
3.8
26.0
1.7
1.9
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.7
2.4
4.2
0.3
0.2
0.4
1.9
0.3
2.4
3.3
30.0
4.7
0.1
0.1
2.2
0.1
0.3
0.0
1.3
0.1
4.7
3.1
41.8
3.8
0.0
8.6
Set.
2.4
10.9
0.5
3.9
15.2
19.1
0.2
68.5
1.1
0.0
0.7
3.2
3.9
4.0
0.8
1.5
2.3
2.7
4.0
0.7
15.8
3.7
3.1
4.0
9.5
1.3
2.3
2.2
15.7
4.7
10.5
0.8
0.1
1.5
0.5
3.3
10.4
2.8
0.2
4.7
68.5
6.1
0.0
11.3
Oct.
12.1
6.7
2.7
13.9
0.9
1.2
2.2
3.7
3.6
7.1
0.9
50.5
4.6
34.7
0.6
2.2
3.2
0.0
6.9
1.5
19.2
4.9
4.2
5.3
11.9
0.0
0.4
5.0
0.0
1.3
26.6
6.3
20.2
32.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
25.5
0.5
3.0
50.5
8.2
0.0
11.5
Nov.
9.4
4.8
0.8
10.7
16.5
5.0
0.3
1.1
52.4
34.0
3.2
13.0
30.6
14.5
0.4
3.8
5.2
1.5
5.9
7.7
26.2
7.6
6.7
8.2
16.8
6.1
3.9
7.7
22.9
0.1
0.1
3.6
4.7
28.9
2.8
5.9
0.1
60.7
0.9
0.1
60.7
10.9
0.1
13.9
Dic.
45.6
23.9
56.8
12.9
31.9
31.9
81.6
11.7
4.5
56.5
25.5
7.4
69.8
2.6
0.3
20.0
24.6
47.7
0.1
36.5
79.4
31.8
29.0
33.3
56.5
31.0
9.9
31.9
27.4
97.3
60.3
42.2
11.7
39.0
52.6
19.6
100.4
22.7
23.6
15.4
100.4
35.2
0.1
25.4
Tot.
265.3
347.3
346.4
639.2
532.5
693.7
447.5
402.1
342.0
287.5
138.3
238.8
523.6
221.0
32.3
232.0
273.8
317.9
273.0
352.0
762.2
339.6
314.3
353.4
560.2
332.7
228.9
525.6
444.4
374.7
559.6
592.9
583.2
447.5
369.7
286.9
296.1
540.7
348.6
365.0
762.2
388.3
32.3
153.0
SUALES GENERADAS (m3/s)
Aug
31
0.47
0.46
0.52
-0.37
0.27
2.41
0.36
0.77
0.01
0.87
1.04
0.27
1.29
1.27
-0.25
0.80
0.35
0.56
0.40
0.49
1.14
0.87
0.58
0.49
0.83
0.98
0.16
0.39
2.15
0.86
0.35
0.83
1.23
0.69
0.18
1.19
0.16
0.42
0.51
0.75
2.41
Sep
30
0.70
2.19
0.80
0.81
1.48
2.29
0.86
3.89
0.86
0.38
0.50
0.84
1.85
1.83
0.43
1.38
1.38
0.92
0.57
0.62
1.95
0.92
0.73
1.25
2.08
1.51
1.19
1.07
1.83
0.60
1.23
1.10
1.25
0.71
0.72
0.83
1.60
-0.02
0.75
0.68
3.89
Oct
31
1.87
2.43
1.31
2.10
1.25
1.08
1.01
2.22
1.64
1.63
1.68
3.62
2.08
3.14
0.91
1.29
1.35
1.25
1.60
0.76
3.33
1.94
1.07
2.06
1.98
0.89
1.37
1.55
1.21
0.97
2.91
1.64
2.12
3.26
1.08
0.91
1.12
2.75
0.74
1.17
3.62
Nov
30
2.61
2.42
0.76
2.42
3.13
1.77
1.33
1.16
4.26
4.36
1.36
3.24
3.89
3.19
0.50
1.75
2.04
1.40
2.72
2.42
3.67
2.94
2.23
2.22
3.37
1.68
2.50
2.27
3.36
1.00
0.96
1.78
2.45
3.95
1.57
2.33
0.85
5.46
0.48
1.26
5.46
Dec
31
6.86
5.53
7.60
4.99
5.55
6.07
9.66
3.54
4.21
8.52
5.27
4.22
9.42
3.44
2.06
4.99
5.02
6.26
2.35
7.27
9.86
6.23
5.91
6.58
7.99
6.24
4.23
6.31
5.52
10.45
7.50
7.04
3.79
6.87
7.83
4.33
10.89
6.20
4.48
4.54
10.89
Prom.
(m3/s)
6.40
8.75
8.18
12.73
10.73
12.66
9.25
8.98
7.56
6.97
4.94
5.72
10.01
6.41
2.28
6.70
7.26
7.74
7.25
7.99
13.66
8.65
7.78
8.47
11.21
8.35
6.69
10.58
9.28
7.88
11.01
12.15
11.90
8.77
8.44
7.61
6.55
10.53
7.79
8.66
13.66
0.67
-0.37
0.54
1.16
-0.02
0.70
1.71
0.74
0.76
2.33
0.48
1.16
6.14
2.06
2.11
8.61
2.28
2.29
8.61
8.61
8.61
8.61
8.61
8.61
CAUDALES GENERADOS CON EL MTODO LUTZ
ca u dal (m/s )
Ro w 108
Ro w 112
PP mensual total
Limite superior
(mm)
0.0
25.4
50.8
76.2
101.6
127.0
152.4
177.8
Porcion de la precipitacin
Aprovechable por las plantas (mm)
Dficit o Escurrimiento (mm)
III
IV
V
VI
VII
I
II
III
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
22.9
20.4
17.9
15.4
12.9
10.4
0.0
2.5
5.0
44.5
38.1
28
17.9
15.4
10.4
1.3
6.3
12.7
63.5
49.5
30.5
20.4
15.4
10.4
3.8
12.7
26.7
76.2
54.6
33
20.4
15.4
10.4
8.9
25.4
47.0
83.8
57.1
33
20.4
15.4
10.4
19.1
43.2
69.9
86.4
57.1
33
20.4
15.4
10.4
34.3
66.0
95.3
86.4
57.1
33
20.4
15.4
10.4
57.2
91.4 120.7
C
0.15
0.30
0.45
II
0
25.4
49.5
72.4
92.7
107.9
118.1
120.6
Curvas de agua aprovechable por las plantas segn el Bureao of Reclamation

140
Precipitacion efectiva (mm)
120
Curvas de pre
180
160
Precipitacion
efectiva (mm)
I
II
III
140
100
120
80
VI
20
40
60
100
60
80
40
60
40
20
20
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Precipitacion Total (mm)
160
180
0
0
Prec
Dficit o Escurrimiento (mm)

IV
V
VI
VII
0
0
0
0
7.5
10.0
12.5
15.0
22.8
32.9
35.4
40.4
45.7
55.8
60.8
65.8
68.6
81.2
86.2
91.2
94.0 106.6 111.6 116.6
119.4 132.0 137.0 142.0
144.8 157.4 162.4 167.4
0.60
0.75
0.90
1.00
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
Curvas de precipitacion efectiva segn el Bureao of Reclamation

+
180
160
Precipitacion
efectiva (mm)
I
II
III
140
120
VI
VII
20
40
60
IV
100
80
60
40
20
0
0
80
100
120
Precipitacion Total (mm)
140
160
180
Ecuaciones de las curvas de PE

y = 4E-06x3 + 0.0023x2 - 0.0285x + 0.6091
y = 1E-05x3 - 0.0008x2 + 0.0303x - 0.1348
y = -1E-05x3 + 0.0058x2 - 0.0276x + 0.6545
y = -2E-05x3 + 0.0067x2 + 0.1806x - 0.4455
y = -2E-05x3 + 0.0054x2 + 0.4135x - 1.103
y = -1E-05x3 + 0.0049x2 + 0.5021x - 1.0273
y = -1E-05x3 + 0.0037x2 + 0.6474x - 1.103
a0
0.6091
-0.1348
0.6545
-0.4455
-1.103
-1.0273
-1.103
Coeficientes
a1
a2
-0.0285
0.0023
0.0303
0.0008
-0.0276
0.0058
0.1806
0.0067
0.4135
0.0054
0.5021
0.0049
0.6474
3.70E-03
a3
4.00E-06
1.00E-05
-1.00E-05
-2.00E-05
-2.00E-05
-1.00E-05
-1.00E-05

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GENERACION DE DESCARGAS EN CUENCA

METODO PROPUESTO POR LA MISION TECNICA ALEMANA

P: Precipitacin media anual

Temperatura Media Anual: T

Precipitacin Media Anual: P

Mtodo de la Misin Alemana

1.2 PRECIPITACIN EFECTIVA

Figura 1: Porcin de Precipitacin Efectiv

Coeficientes de Clculo - Precipitacin Efectiva

Curva II Curva III Curva IV Curva V Curva VI Curva VII

El rango de aplicacin de los coeficientes de la ecuacin

1.3 CLCULO DE LA RETENCIN EN LA CUENCA

Pendiente medio acuifero

Area de Lagunas e hidromorficas

1.4 GASTOS DE LA RETENCIN Y ABASTECIMIENTO DE LA RETENCIN

Cuencas con agotamiento rpido.

Altitud Media de la Microcuenca: H

Pendiente Media de la Microcuenca

Precipitacin Media Anual: P

Evaporacin Total Anual: ETP

Temperatura Media Anual: T

Relacin de Caudales (30 das): bo

Area de lagunas y acuferos

Gasto Mensual de Retencin: R

1.5 GENERACION DE CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes mm/mes

1.6 CALCULO DE LOS COEFICIENTES DE CORRELACION PARA EL AO PROMEDIO

1.7 RESULTADOS DE LA REGRESIN

Coeficiente de determinacin R^2

Promedio de los cuadrados

ECNICA ALEMANA - 1980

in de Precipitacin Efectiva Segn Bureao Of Reclamation

mm/ao y vegetacin poco desarrollada (puna):

PRECIPITACION MEDIA DE LA CUENCA

NUMEROS ALEATORIOS GENERADOS CON DISTRIBUCION NORMAL

PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA GENERADA

DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (mm)

Qt = b1 + b2*Qt-1 + b3*PEt + Z*S*(1 - R^2)^0.

PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA GENERADA CON C

DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERAD

*PEt + Z*S*(1 - R^2)^0.5

MED. 23.38 29.10 23.57

GENERADA CON CURVA NUMERO

SUALES GENERADAS (m3/s)

CAUDALES GENERADOS CON EL MTODO LUTZ

Curvas de agua aprovechable por las plantas segn el Bureao of Reclamation

Precipitacion Total (mm)

Dficit o Escurrimiento (mm)

Curvas de precipitacion efectiva segn el Bureao of Reclamation

Precipitacion Total (mm)

Ecuaciones de las curvas de PE

Potrebbero piacerti anche

Qt = b1 + b2Qt-1 + b3PEt + ZS(1 - R^2)^0.

PEt + ZS*(1 - R^2)^0.5