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With the Bank of Japans announcement on Jan. 29 to navigate into negative interest rate territory by
charging interest on reserve deposits, yields on government debt have fallen precipitously. The yield
on 10-year Japanese government bonds recently fell to a record negative 0.135%, below the BOJs
negative 0.1% reserve deposit rate. With the BOJ purchasing government bonds at an unprecedented
annual rate of approximately 80 trillion yen, it is becoming exceedingly difficult for the BOJ
governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, to deny that these policies are not a form of government debt
monetization. We explain why below. (See also: How Negative Interest Rates Work.)
Debt Monetization
The willingness of the private sector to hold government debt will depend on the return and riskiness
of that debt relative to alternative investments. Any government that issues debt far in excess of what
it could collect in taxes is perceived as an excessively risky investment and will likely have to pay
increasingly higher interest rates. Thus, a governments fiscal policy has definite market constraints.
However, central banks have the power to manipulate interest rates. In fact, it is interest rates that
they are targeting when they carry out their daily open market operations (OMO) to achieve price
stability. The central bank typically states an interest rate target it believes will help it achieve its
inflation target, and then increases or decreases the reserves of commercial banks through asset
purchases typically short-term government bonds in order to achieve that target (QE has extended
these purchases to other assets like MBSs as well as longer term government debt). (See also: Open
Market Operations vs. Quantitative Easing).
The central bank then, by purchasing government bonds in private markets can keep interest rates
low, and in a sense, monetize government debt. However, these daily OMO are not what the more
hawkish types have in mind when they talk about government debt monetization. What they have in
mind is when central banks, by using their power to create money, accommodate massive deficit
spending by the government, inflating the governments debt to levels where it is not clear how or if
it will ever be paid off. Such a move causes one to wonder how independent the central bank really
is.