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Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Partys candidates, Donald Trump and Mike
Pence as the Republican Partys candidates, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld as the Libertarian
Partys candidates and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka as the Green Partys candidates. Who
would you be more likely to vote for? (RANDOM ORDER)
Q1a. (P5a.) (IF NONE OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?
Clinton/
Kaine
Trump/
Pence
Johnson/
Weld
Stein/
Baraka
None
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
No
opinion
Likely Voters
Sept 1-4, 2016
43%
45%
7%
2%
1%
Registered Voters
Sept 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
44%
45%
39%
42%
42%
41%
37%
44%
37%
38%
9%
9%
9%
13%
9%
3%
5%
3%
5%
7%
3%
2%
2%
3%
3%
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
2%
*
1%
QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2016: Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Hillary Clinton as
the Democratic Partys candidate, Donald Trump as the Republican Partys candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian Party candidate, and Jill Stein as the
Green Party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for? (IF NONE OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward?
POLL
3
-2-
Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Partys candidates, Donald Trump and Mike
Pence as the Republican Partys candidates, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld as the Libertarian
Partys candidates and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka as the Green Partys candidates. Who
would you be more likely to vote for? (RANDOM ORDER)
Q1a. (P5a.) (IF NONE OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?
Q2. (P2.)
Is your mind made up about who you will vote for, or is it possible you would change your
mind?
Sept. 1-4
2016
Clinton/Kaine, mind made up
Clinton/Kaine, could change mind
Trump/Pence, mind made up
Trump/Pence, could change mind
Johnson/Weld, mind made up
Johnson/Weld, could change mind
Stein/Baraka, mind made up
Stein/Baraka, could change mind
Other, mind made up
Other, could change mind
Neither
No opinion
35%
9%
35%
6%
4%
5%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
*
FOR COMPARISON
Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Partys candidates,
and Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Partys candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?
Is your mind made up about who you will vote for, or is it possible you would change your mind?
July 29-31
2016
July 22-24
2016
July 13-16
2016
June 16-19
2016
44%
8%
36%
7%
*
1%
3%
*
39%
6%
40%
7%
1%
1%
4%
1%
40%
9%
35%
8%
2%
2%
4%
1%
37%
10%
33%
9%
2%
2%
6%
1%
NOTE: Tim Kaines name added after dialing began on Friday, July 22, 640 respondents were asked the question including Kaines name.
QUESTION WORDING FOR JULY 13, 2016: Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton as
the Democratic Partys candidate, and Donald Trump as the Republican Partys candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for --?
QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO JUNE 2016: If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --?
POLL
3
-3-
Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included only Hillary
Clinton as the Democratic Partys candidate and Donald Trump and as the Republican Partys
candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for? (RANDOM ORDER)
Q3a. (P1a.) (IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?
Clinton/
Kaine
Trump/
Pence
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
Likely Voters
Sept 1-4, 2016
48%
49%
1%
3%
Registered Voters
Sept 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
April 28-May 1, 2016
March 17-20, 2016
Feb. 24-27, 2016
Jan. 21-24, 2016
Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015
Oct. 14-17, 2015
48%
52%
45%
49%
47%
54%
53%
52%
48%
49%
49%
50%
46%
43%
48%
42%
42%
41%
41%
44%
47%
47%
46%
45%
1%
2%
2%
4%
4%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
5%
3%
4%
4%
6%
4%
4%
3%
4%
3%
3%
4%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
QUESTION WORDING LATE JULY: Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Tim
Kaine as the Democratic Partys candidates, and Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Partys candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?
QUESTION WORDING FOR JULY 13-16, 2016: Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton as
the Democratic Partys candidate, and Donald Trump as the Republican Partys candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for --?
QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO JUNE 2016: If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --?
FOR COMPARISON
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential
nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Businessman Donald Trump
Registered Voters
Sept. 4-8, 2015
Aug. 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
June 26-28, 2015
POLL
3
Clinton
Trump
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
opinion
48%
51%
56%
59%
48%
45%
40%
35%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
4%
6%
*
*
*
*
-4-
POLL
3
Sept. 1-4
2016
June 16-19
2016
59%
34%
*
*
1%
5%
55%
38%
*
*
1%
5%
-5-
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
Donald Trump
45%
54%
1%
Hillary Clinton
42%
56%
2%
Gary Johnson
24%
21%
32%
23%
Jill Stein
14%
23%
36%
27%
Mike Pence
46%
28%
12%
14%
Tim Kaine
38%
25%
16%
21%
POLL
3
-6-
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
Donald Trump
42%
56%
2%
Hillary Clinton
41%
57%
2%
Gary Johnson
23%
21%
33%
23%
Jill Stein
15%
22%
37%
26%
Mike Pence
43%
26%
16%
14%
Tim Kaine
35%
24%
19%
21%
POLL
3
-7-
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
Hillary Clinton
Registered Voters
September 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
April 28-May1, 2016
March 17-20, 2016
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
October 14-17, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
May 29-31, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
41%
43%
41%
43%
42%
49%
42%
44%
46%
46%
44%
43%
44%
46%
51%
57%
54%
55%
55%
57%
49%
57%
53%
53%
53%
52%
55%
49%
51%
46%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
3%
4%
2%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
1%
5%
3%
2%
All Americans
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
April 28-May1, 2016
March 17-20, 2016
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
October 14-17, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
May 29-31, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
November 21-23, 2014
May 29-June 1, 2014
March 7-9, 2014
October 18-20, 2013
May 17-18, 2013
March 15-17, 2013
November 16-18, 2012
May 29-31, 2012
September 23-35, 2011
42%
39%
41%
41%
48%
43%
42%
45%
47%
46%
44%
45%
46%
53%
59%
55%
57%
59%
61%
63%
67%
67%
69%
53%
55%
55%
56%
49%
56%
55%
52%
51%
50%
53%
48%
50%
44%
38%
42%
41%
37%
36%
33%
28%
29%
26%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
4%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
3%
3%
1%
3%
2%
6%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
4%
4%
4%
POLL
3
-8-
Q5. (FV1.) We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please
say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard
of them. (RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
65%
66%
62%
61%
62%
64%
65%
61%
64%
66%
58%
56%
56%
53%
51%
52%
53%
53%
51%
49%
51%
50%
31%
31%
34%
35%
35%
30%
32%
35%
34%
33%
40%
40%
42%
44%
46%
44%
39%
39%
44%
44%
40%
45%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
2%
3%
2%
4%
3%
3%
5%
2%
5%
3%
4%
2%
1%
1%
4%
2%
3%
3%
*
7%
7%
4%
5%
7%
4%
POLL
3
-9-
Unfav.
DK
50
42
54
53
55
53
41
43
39
41
5
4
6
6
56
38
51
54
52
53
45
44
40
44
43
46
5
6
4
4
9
48
47
46
44
6
9
51
44
49
52
44
53
44
43
5
3
7
5
56
52
45
55
39
43
50
39
5
5
5
6
48
56
56
62
56
65
65
66
48
40
41
35
42
31
30
31
4
4
3
3
2
4
5
3
67
63
61
61
60
60
60
64
61
60
29
33
33
33
36
35
36
34
33
35
4
4
6
6
4
5
4
2
6
5
1997
1997 Dec 18-21
1997 Oct 27-29
1997 Jun 26-29
1997 Feb 24-26
1997 Jan 31-Feb 2
1997 Jan 10-13
1996
1996 Oct 26-29***
1996 Aug 28-29**
1996 Aug 16-18**
1996 Aug 5-7**
1996 Jun 18-19
1996 Mar 15-17
1996 Jan 12-15
1995
1995 Jul 7-9
1995 Mar 17-19
1995 Jan 16-18
1994
1994 Nov 28-29
1994 Sep 6-7
1994 Jul 15-17
1994 Apr 23-24
1994 Mar 25-27
1994 Mar 7-8
1994 Jan. 15-17
1993
1993 Nov. 2-4
1993 Sept. 24-26
1993 Aug. 8-10
1993 July 19-21
1993 June 5-6
1993 April 22-24
1993 March 22-24
1993 Jan. 29-31
1992
1992 Nov. 10-11
1992 Aug 31-Sept 2
1992 Aug. 19-20
1992 July 17-18
1992 July 6-8
1992 April 20-22
1992 March 20-22
Fav.
60
56
61
51
51
55
56
Unfav.
35
38
34
42
42
39
37
DK
5
6
5
7
6
6
7
49
51
47
48
46
47
43
43
41
48
45
47
48
51
8
8
5
7
6
5
6
50
49
50
44
44
44
6
7
6
50
48
48
56
52
55
57
44
47
46
40
42
40
36
6
5
6
4
6
5
7
58
62
57
56
50
61
61
67
34
27
33
34
31
27
31
22
8
11
10
10
19
12
8
11
49
56
48
51
45
38
39
30
25
31
24
30
39
26
21
19
21
25
25
23
35
POLL
3
-10-
Tim Kaine
Registered Voters
September 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
All Americans
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
Mike Pence
Registered Voters
September 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
All Americans
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
35%
39%
31%
24%
23%
21%
19%
17%
24%
21%
21%
24%
34%
27%
21%
19%
23%
30%
22%
24%
43%
29%
39%
26%
26%
31%
26%
21%
16%
22%
16%
27%
14%
17%
19%
25%
25%
34%
24%
30%
25%
21%
28%
22%
31%
17%
19%
24%
POLL
3
-11-
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
Donald Trump
Registered Voters
September 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
April 25-May 1, 2016
March 17-20, 2016
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
September 17-19, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
42%
35%
46%
39%
40%
41%
33%
38%
41%
41%
32%
38%
34%
56%
61%
51%
59%
59%
56%
65%
59%
55%
56%
60%
58%
59%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
4%
3%
3%
1%
3%
3%
2%
3%
2%
7%
3%
7%
All Americans
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
April 25-May 1, 2016
March 17-20, 2016
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
September 17-19, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
April 29-May 1, 2011
33%
43%
37%
38%
39%
31%
37%
40%
39%
31%
36%
33%
31%
61%
52%
59%
60%
57%
67%
60%
55%
57%
59%
59%
58%
64%
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
5%
4%
4%
1%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
9%
3%
7%
4%
POLL
3
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
50
33
41
38
58
47
2
2
3
10
7
9
-12-
Gary Johnson
Registered Voters
September 1-4, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
All Americans
June 16-19, 2016
Jill Stein
Registered Voters
September 1-4, 2016
POLL
3
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never
heard of
No
opinion
23%
18%
21%
16%
33%
47%
23%
18%
17%
15%
50%
17%
15%
22%
37%
26%
-13-
Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion
27%
19%
18%
14%
22%
24%
20%
25%
32%
31%
30%
29%
22%
38%
37%
30%
32%
31%
28%
24%
22%
24%
28%
29%
28%
20%
23%
37%
34%
30%
26%
36%
32%
19%
20%
20%
27%
24%
24%
24%
27%
26%
30%
25%
27%
25%
27%
25%
23%
26%
27%
23%
25%
30%
22%
17%
32%
24%
30%
28%
34%
32%
34%
23%
19%
19%
21%
24%
25%
23%
27%
17%
20%
22%
20%
23%
25%
29%
26%
27%
28%
25%
24%
30%
31%
16%
23%
23%
27%
17%
23%
31%
15%
17%
13%
13%
10%
10%
10%
13%
9%
9%
15%
11%
10%
13%
11%
13%
10%
9%
10%
11%
16%
17%
7%
11%
11%
13%
8%
9%
11%
18%
23%
16%
9%
10%
12%
10%
11%
5%
9%
6%
11%
9%
9%
12%
13%
12%
12%
10%
7%
12%
12%
8%
8%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
*QUESTION WORDING: How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for Congress this year -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat
enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?
POLL
3
-14-
Less
Same
(vol.)
No
Opinion
42%
49%
62%
47%
49%
48%
49%
40%
29%
37%
36%
36%
8%
12%
9%
14%
12%
15%
*
*
*
2%
3%
1%
Registered Democrats
Sept. 1-4, 2016
Feb. 24-27, 2016
Nov. 2-4, 2007
Oct. 27-29, 2006
Oct. 6-8, 2006
Aug. 30Sep.2, 2006
38%
46%
68%
52%
53%
49%
57%
42%
24%
33%
34%
37%
5%
12%
8%
12%
10%
13%
*
*
*
2%
3%
1%
Registered Republicans
Sept. 1-4, 2016
Feb. 24-27, 2016
Nov. 2-4, 2007
Oct. 27-29, 2006
Oct. 6-8, 2006
Aug. 30Sep.2, 2006
48%
58%
54%
42%
46%
46%
40%
30%
38%
40%
37%
35%
12%
12%
8%
16%
15%
18%
*
*
*
2%
2%
1%
POLL
3
-15-
Less
enthusiastic
Same (vol.)
No
opinion
REGISTERED VOTERS
2004 Oct 14-16*
2004 Sep 3-5*
2004 Aug 23-25*
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1*
2004 Jul 19-21*
2004 Mar 26-28
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1
2000 Oct 13-15
2000 Mar 10-12
2000 Jan 7-10
67
65
60
69
60
52
56
38
39
45
21
23
29
22
25
29
32
39
38
37
12
11
11
9
14
18
12
20
22
17
*
1
--1
1
*
3
1
1
Republicans
2004 Oct 14-16
2004 Sep 3-5
2004 Aug 23-25
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1
2004 Jul 19-21
2004 Mar 26-28
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1
2000 Mar 10-12
2000 Jan 7-10
70
62
62
64
52
53
54
46
53
21
28
28
25
30
25
30
29
30
12
13
9
11
15
20
15
22
16
1
*
1
*
2
1
1
1
1
Democrats
2004 Oct 14-16
2004 Sep 3-5
2004 Aug 23-25
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1
2004 Jul 19-21
2004 Mar 26-28
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1
2000 Mar 10-12
2000 Jan 7-10
70
62
63
76
67
53
59
35
40
21
28
27
19
20
32
34
45
41
10
7
10
6
12
13
6
19
17
-2
*
--1
1
1
2
POLL
3
-16-
Sept. 1-4
NET
ENERGY/ENVIRO. NET
2%
Climate change/Environment
1%
Drilling/Fracking/Energy
*
RELIGIOUS ISSUES NET
1%
Beliefs/Religion
1%
Morals
1%
OTHER DOMESTIC NET
4%
Abortion
2%
Care for seniors
1%
Social Security
1%
Marijuana
*
Crime
*
CANDIDATES NET
6%
Anti-Trump, general
2%
Anti-Clinton, general
1%
Dislike cands./Lesser of evils
1%
Partisanship
1%
Pro-Clinton, general
*
Pro-Trump, general
*
CANDIDATE TRAITS NET
9%
Honest/Trustworthy
5%
Competence/Qualified
2%
Leadership
1%
Stability/Sanity
1%
Character (general)
1%
Experience
1%
Integrity
*
Temperament
*
Gender
*
All important/Cant choose
None
Other
DK/No opinion/Refused
1%
2%
8%
2%
POLL
3
Sept. 1-4
NET
ENERGY/ENVIRO. NET
1%
Climate change/Environment
1%
Drilling/Fracking/Energy
*
RELIGIOUS ISSUES NET
1%
Beliefs/Religion
1%
Morals
*
OTHER DOMESTIC NET
4%
Abortion
2%
Care for seniors
1%
Social Security
1%
Marijuana
*
Crime
*
CANDIDATES NET
6%
Anti-Trump, general
3%
Anti-Clinton, general
2%
Dislike cands./Lesser of evils
1%
Partisanship
1%
Pro-Clinton, general
*
Pro-Trump, general
*
CANDIDATE TRAITS NET 11%
Honest/Trustworthy
5%
Competence/Qualified
2%
Leadership
1%
Stability/Sanity
1%
Character (general)
1%
Experience
1%
Integrity
1%
Temperament
*
Gender
*
All important/Cant choose
None
Other
DK/No opinion/Refused
-18-
1%
2%
8%
1%
41%
50%
43%
44%
43%
45%
56%
48%
54%
52%
51%
50%
3%
3%
3%
3%
5%
4%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
Terrorism
Sept. 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
Apr. 28-May 1, 2016
45%
48%
42%
45%
45%
50%
51%
48%
53%
51%
48%
45%
3%
4%
4%
4%
6%
4%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
Immigration
Sept. 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
Apr. 28-May 1, 2016
49%
55%
48%
50%
51%
47%
43%
47%
45%
44%
3%
2%
4%
4%
4%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
Foreign policy
Sept. 1-4, 2016
July 29-31, 2016
July 22-24, 2016
July 13-16, 2016
June 16-19, 2016
Apr. 28-May 1, 2016
56%
59%
50%
57%
57%
61%
40%
36%
45%
39%
36%
36%
4%
4%
4%
4%
5%
3%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
36%
6%
POLL 13
3
-19-
Donald
Trump
Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
Opinion
42%
43%
45%
50%
47%
45%
1%
3%
2%
6%
8%
7%
*
*
*
56%
56%
36%
32%
1%
2%
7%
9%
1%
1%
45%
39%
36%
*
2%
2%
5%
7%
7%
*
1%
*
15%
17%
17%
*
*
1%
*QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO SEPTEMBER 2016: Can handle the responsibilities of commander in chief
POLL 13
3
35%
37%
43%
50%
45%
38%
-20-
*
*
1%
METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 28% described themselves as Democrats, 32% described themselves as Republicans, and 40%
described themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect
national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling
error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce
crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups
with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".
POLL 13
3
-21-
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
43%
47%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
44%
37%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
7%
7%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
2%
4%
None of the above
2%
3%
Other
*
1%
No opinion
1%
2%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
Total
----Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
43%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
44%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
7%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
2%
None of the above
2%
Other
*
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----90%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
2%
+/-6.0
Total
----Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
43%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
44%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
7%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
2%
None of the above
2%
Other
*
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----51%
40%
3%
3%
3%
*
*
+/-7.5
3549
----44%
45%
9%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-8.5
5064
----36%
51%
4%
2%
4%
*
1%
+/-6.5
$50K
or more
------42%
46%
7%
2%
2%
*
1%
+/-4.5
65+
----37%
52%
3%
2%
3%
*
3%
+/-5.5
Republican
-----3%
88%
4%
*
4%
*
1%
+/-6.0
South
----43%
45%
6%
3%
4%
*
1%
+/-6.0
Under
45
----54%
28%
13%
4%
1%
1%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------36%
51%
6%
3%
2%
*
2%
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------56%
29%
9%
2%
2%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----28%
48%
15%
6%
2%
*
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----30%
52%
10%
1%
2%
1%
3%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------70%
17%
6%
5%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0
Liberal
----82%
5%
6%
3%
3%
*
*
+/-7.5
West
----46%
40%
10%
2%
1%
*
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----37%
52%
4%
2%
3%
*
2%
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------49%
23%
35%
66%
10%
6%
2%
1%
3%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----54%
29%
9%
4%
2%
1%
2%
+/-6.0
Urban
----59%
26%
9%
2%
2%
*
2%
+/-6.5
Conservative
------15%
74%
6%
1%
3%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----37%
52%
5%
2%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Rural
----29%
57%
8%
2%
4%
*
1%
+/-7.5
POLL 13
3
-22-
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----3%
98%
*
45%
84%
*
97%
48%
8%
*
*
4%
1%
*
*
2%
3%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-23-
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
43%
49%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
45%
38%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
7%
7%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
2%
4%
None
1%
2%
Other
*
1%
No opinion
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
Total
----Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
43%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
45%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
7%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
2%
None
1%
Other
*
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----92%
3%
3%
1%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0
Total
----Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
43%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
45%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
7%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
2%
None
1%
Other
*
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----51%
41%
3%
3%
1%
*
*
+/-7.5
3549
----44%
45%
9%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-8.5
5064
----38%
53%
5%
2%
2%
*
*
+/-6.5
$50K
or more
------42%
48%
8%
2%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5
65+
----38%
55%
3%
2%
2%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Republican
-----3%
90%
4%
*
3%
*
*
+/-6.0
South
----44%
46%
6%
3%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.0
Under
45
----54%
29%
13%
4%
1%
1%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------37%
53%
6%
3%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------57%
30%
10%
2%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----29%
49%
16%
6%
1%
*
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----32%
54%
11%
1%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------71%
18%
6%
5%
*
*
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----83%
6%
6%
3%
*
*
*
+/-7.5
West
----46%
40%
10%
2%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----39%
54%
4%
2%
1%
*
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------49%
24%
36%
68%
11%
6%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----56%
30%
9%
4%
1%
1%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----61%
27%
9%
2%
1%
*
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------15%
75%
6%
1%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----37%
53%
5%
2%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Rural
----29%
60%
8%
2%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5
POLL 13
3
-24-
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----3%
100%
*
45%
86%
*
100%
49%
8%
*
*
4%
1%
*
*
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-25-
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
42%
51%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
40%
30%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
8%
6%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
3%
6%
None of the above
4%
5%
Other
*
*
No opinion
1%
2%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Total
----Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
42%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
40%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
8%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
3%
None of the above
4%
Other
*
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----88%
2%
2%
4%
2%
1%
2%
+/-5.5
Total
----Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
42%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
40%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
8%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
3%
None of the above
4%
Other
*
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----49%
39%
4%
3%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0
3549
----44%
41%
11%
*
2%
1%
1%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------39%
45%
10%
2%
4%
*
1%
+/-4.5
5064
----36%
47%
5%
2%
8%
*
2%
+/-6.0
65+
----37%
51%
3%
2%
3%
*
3%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----5%
83%
5%
*
6%
*
1%
+/-5.5
South
----40%
41%
9%
5%
5%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Under
45
----51%
25%
13%
5%
4%
*
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------37%
45%
8%
4%
5%
*
1%
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------56%
28%
9%
2%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----31%
39%
16%
6%
6%
*
1%
+/-6.0
Midwest
----34%
45%
12%
1%
4%
1%
4%
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------69%
17%
6%
4%
3%
*
1%
+/-7.0
Liberal
----78%
7%
6%
4%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0
West
----49%
35%
9%
3%
4%
*
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----37%
49%
5%
2%
5%
*
2%
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------47%
24%
34%
57%
11%
9%
1%
4%
4%
5%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----49%
25%
11%
6%
5%
1%
3%
+/-6.0
Urban
----55%
26%
10%
3%
3%
*
2%
+/-6.0
Conservative
------15%
71%
8%
1%
4%
*
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----39%
46%
8%
2%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Rural
----29%
51%
7%
6%
6%
*
1%
+/-7.0
POLL 13
3
-26-
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----4%
97%
*
45%
77%
*
97%
47%
11%
*
*
5%
1%
*
*
2%
5%
1%
3%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----37%
23%
21%
8%
5%
1%
5%
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-27-
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
44%
52%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
41%
31%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
9%
6%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
3%
6%
None
3%
4%
Other
*
*
No opinion
*
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Total
----Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
44%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
41%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
9%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
3%
None
3%
Other
*
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----90%
3%
2%
4%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5
Total
----Clinton/Kaine, the Democrats
44%
Trump/Pence, the Republicans
41%
Johnson/Weld, the Libertarians
9%
Stein/Baraka, the Green party
3%
None
3%
Other
*
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----50%
40%
4%
3%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0
3549
----45%
41%
12%
*
2%
1%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------39%
46%
11%
2%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5
5064
----38%
49%
6%
2%
4%
*
*
+/-6.0
65+
----38%
53%
3%
2%
2%
*
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----5%
85%
6%
*
3%
*
*
+/-5.5
South
----41%
42%
9%
5%
3%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Under
45
----52%
27%
13%
5%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------38%
46%
8%
4%
3%
*
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------57%
29%
10%
2%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----32%
40%
17%
6%
5%
*
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----36%
48%
12%
1%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------70%
17%
6%
4%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----79%
7%
6%
4%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0
West
----49%
35%
9%
3%
4%
*
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----39%
50%
6%
2%
3%
*
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------48%
24%
35%
59%
12%
9%
1%
4%
2%
4%
1%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----52%
27%
12%
6%
2%
1%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----58%
27%
10%
3%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------15%
73%
8%
1%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----39%
47%
8%
2%
3%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Rural
----30%
55%
7%
6%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
POLL 13
3
-28-
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----5%
100%
*
46%
79%
*
100%
47%
11%
*
*
5%
1%
*
*
2%
3%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----40%
28%
23%
8%
*
1%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-29-
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------83%
82%
83%
82%
17%
18%
17%
17%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----83%
17%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----81%
19%
*
+/-8.5
5064
----84%
16%
*
+/-6.5
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------83%
82%
17%
18%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
$50K
or more
------83%
17%
*
+/-5.0
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----83%
17%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----87%
13%
*
+/-6.0
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----83%
17%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----86%
14%
*
+/-7.5
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----83%
86%
82%
82%
17%
14%
18%
18%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----84%
15%
*
+/-5.5
Republican
-----86%
14%
*
+/-6.0
South
----85%
15%
*
+/-6.5
Under
45
----77%
23%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------82%
17%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------82%
18%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----75%
25%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----71%
29%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------82%
18%
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----88%
12%
*
+/-7.5
West
----88%
12%
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----85%
14%
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------81%
83%
19%
16%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----75%
25%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----82%
18%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------85%
15%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----86%
13%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----83%
86%
87%
100%
17%
14%
13%
*
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----78%
22%
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-30-
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------78%
77%
79%
78%
22%
23%
21%
22%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----78%
22%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----77%
23%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------80%
20%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----80%
19%
1%
+/-6.0
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------78%
75%
22%
24%
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-6.0
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----78%
22%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----81%
18%
*
+/-5.5
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----78%
22%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----86%
14%
*
+/-7.0
Mind made up
Might change mind
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----78%
82%
77%
76%
22%
18%
23%
23%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----82%
16%
1%
+/-5.5
Republican
-----81%
18%
*
+/-5.5
South
----78%
21%
1%
+/-6.0
Under
45
----71%
29%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------76%
23%
1%
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------80%
20%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----71%
28%
1%
+/-6.0
Midwest
----66%
34%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------77%
22%
1%
+/-7.5
Liberal
----81%
19%
*
+/-7.0
West
----84%
16%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----82%
17%
1%
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------79%
76%
21%
23%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----69%
30%
1%
+/-6.0
Urban
----78%
21%
1%
+/-6.0
Conservative
------83%
17%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----83%
17%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----79%
80%
85%
100%
21%
19%
14%
*
*
1%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----71%
29%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----*
100%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-31-
Total
----37%
6%
40%
6%
3%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------37%
39%
6%
10%
40%
33%
6%
5%
3%
5%
4%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
Total
----37%
6%
40%
6%
3%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----82%
10%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
3549
----37%
7%
39%
6%
4%
5%
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------38%
4%
41%
7%
2%
5%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.5
POLL 13
65+
----33%
4%
47%
8%
2%
2%
1%
2%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------51%
6%
26%
4%
3%
7%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----21%
7%
42%
7%
7%
9%
4%
2%
*
*
1%
*
+/-6.5
5064
----34%
4%
47%
6%
1%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
*
+/-6.5
Republican
-----2%
1%
80%
10%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
*
+/-6.0
-32-
Under
45
----43%
10%
24%
5%
7%
6%
3%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------30%
7%
46%
7%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-5.0
Liberal
----76%
7%
5%
1%
5%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----34%
4%
47%
6%
1%
3%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------43%
19%
6%
4%
31%
59%
5%
9%
4%
3%
7%
3%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----44%
12%
23%
7%
5%
4%
3%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------14%
2%
68%
7%
2%
5%
*
1%
*
*
2%
*
+/-5.5
Question P5/P5A/P2
P5. Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to
choose between Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Party's candidates,
Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Party's candidates,Gary Johnson and
Bill Weld as the Libertarian Party's candidates and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka as
the Green Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?
P5a. As of today, do you lean more toward...
P2. Is your mind made up about who you will vote for, or is it possible you would
change your mind?
Base = Likely voters
North
east
----46%
5%
37%
5%
1%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-7.5
Midwest
----22%
10%
46%
8%
3%
8%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Total
----37%
6%
40%
6%
3%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-3.5
South
----39%
5%
40%
6%
3%
3%
2%
*
*
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----37%
13%
44%
74%
6%
2%
8%
11%
40%
67%
31%
3%
6%
8%
5%
3%
3%
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
4%
2%
1%
*
2%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
West
----42%
5%
36%
4%
7%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
*
+/-7.5
Urban
----52%
9%
23%
4%
4%
5%
2%
*
*
*
1%
*
+/-6.5
Suburban
----33%
4%
48%
5%
2%
4%
2%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----2%
86%
*
45%
2%
14%
*
*
76%
*
87%
49%
9%
*
13%
*
3%
*
*
4%
5%
*
*
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----21%
7%
50%
10%
5%
2%
*
2%
*
*
2%
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-33-
Total
----35%
9%
35%
6%
4%
5%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
38%
9%
14%
35%
27%
6%
4%
4%
4%
5%
1%
2%
3%
2%
3%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Total
----35%
9%
35%
6%
4%
5%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----77%
13%
1%
2%
2%
1%
*
3%
*
1%
*
*
+/-5.5
3549
----34%
10%
36%
5%
6%
6%
*
*
*
1%
2%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------35%
4%
40%
7%
3%
8%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----33%
6%
42%
7%
1%
5%
1%
1%
*
*
4%
*
+/-6.0
College
Grad
------50%
7%
24%
4%
3%
7%
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----22%
10%
34%
7%
8%
9%
4%
2%
*
*
5%
*
+/-6.0
POLL 13
3
65+
----33%
6%
45%
8%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0
-34-
Republican
-----2%
3%
75%
10%
1%
5%
*
*
*
*
3%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----39%
13%
21%
6%
7%
6%
3%
3%
*
*
2%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------28%
9%
39%
7%
4%
4%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
*
+/-4.5
Liberal
----67%
13%
5%
2%
5%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----33%
6%
44%
7%
2%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------42%
18%
7%
6%
30%
49%
5%
10%
4%
5%
8%
4%
1%
1%
*
2%
*
*
1%
*
2%
4%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----39%
13%
19%
8%
6%
7%
3%
2%
*
1%
2%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------13%
2%
65%
8%
2%
6%
*
1%
*
*
3%
*
+/-5.0
Question P5/P5A/P2
P5. Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to
choose between Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Party's candidates,
Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Party's candidates,Gary Johnson and
Bill Weld as the Libertarian Party's candidates and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka as
the Green Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?
P5a. As of today, do you lean more toward...
P2. Is your mind made up about who you will vote for, or is it possible you would
change your mind?
Base = Registered voters
North
east
----45%
5%
35%
5%
1%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
3%
*
+/-7.0
Midwest
----22%
14%
38%
9%
4%
8%
*
1%
*
1%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Total
----35%
9%
35%
6%
4%
5%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
South
----34%
7%
35%
6%
3%
6%
2%
3%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----35%
14%
41%
68%
9%
2%
11%
15%
35%
59%
28%
2%
6%
9%
5%
3%
4%
5%
3%
3%
5%
4%
5%
3%
2%
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
3%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
West
----40%
9%
32%
3%
6%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
4%
*
+/-7.0
Urban
----47%
11%
23%
4%
3%
7%
3%
*
*
*
2%
*
+/-6.0
Suburban
----32%
7%
43%
4%
4%
4%
1%
*
*
1%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----2%
80%
*
46%
3%
20%
*
*
69%
*
85%
47%
10%
*
15%
*
4%
*
*
5%
7%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
3%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----21%
8%
43%
12%
4%
3%
*
6%
*
*
2%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----*
40%
*
28%
*
23%
*
8%
*
1%
*
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-35-
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Hillary Clinton, the Democrats
47%
56%
Donald Trump, the Republicans
48%
38%
Other
1%
1%
Neither
4%
5%
No opinion
*
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
Total
----Hillary Clinton, the Democrats
47%
Donald Trump, the Republicans
48%
Other
1%
Neither
4%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----96%
3%
*
*
1%
+/-6.0
Total
----Hillary Clinton, the Democrats
47%
Donald Trump, the Republicans
48%
Other
1%
Neither
4%
No opinion
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----53%
43%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.5
3549
----47%
48%
1%
4%
1%
+/-8.5
5064
----40%
57%
1%
3%
*
+/-6.5
$50K
or more
------43%
51%
1%
4%
*
+/-4.5
65+
----40%
54%
*
4%
1%
+/-5.5
Republican
-----3%
91%
1%
4%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----45%
49%
*
6%
*
+/-6.0
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----Hillary Clinton, the Democrats
47%
16%
56%
91%
Donald Trump, the Republicans
48%
79%
38%
6%
Other
1%
1%
1%
*
Neither
4%
4%
5%
2%
No opinion
*
*
1%
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
Under
45
----59%
33%
1%
6%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------40%
55%
1%
4%
1%
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------60%
33%
1%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----34%
55%
2%
10%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----37%
56%
2%
4%
1%
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------75%
20%
1%
4%
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----90%
7%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.5
West
----53%
41%
*
6%
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----40%
55%
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------52%
26%
40%
69%
1%
*
7%
3%
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----60%
33%
*
6%
1%
+/-6.0
Urban
----65%
30%
1%
5%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------16%
77%
1%
4%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----40%
55%
*
4%
1%
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----3%
100%
*
47%
89%
*
99%
50%
1%
*
*
*
5%
*
*
3%
1%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----32%
62%
1%
4%
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-36-
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------48%
36%
57%
37%
49%
59%
40%
59%
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
3%
2%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----48%
49%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----47%
49%
1%
3%
*
+/-8.5
5064
----40%
57%
2%
1%
*
+/-6.5
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------48%
58%
49%
39%
1%
1%
3%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
$50K
or more
------44%
52%
1%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----48%
49%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----96%
4%
*
*
*
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----48%
49%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----53%
44%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----48%
16%
57%
93%
49%
79%
39%
6%
1%
1%
1%
*
3%
3%
3%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----41%
56%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5
Republican
-----3%
93%
1%
3%
*
+/-6.0
South
----47%
49%
*
3%
*
+/-6.0
Under
45
----61%
33%
1%
4%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------41%
56%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------61%
34%
1%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----37%
55%
2%
6%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----37%
58%
2%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------77%
20%
2%
*
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----90%
7%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.5
West
----53%
43%
1%
4%
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----41%
56%
1%
2%
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------52%
26%
41%
71%
1%
1%
6%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----63%
34%
*
3%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----67%
30%
1%
2%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------16%
79%
2%
3%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----40%
56%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----3%
100%
*
48%
91%
*
100%
50%
2%
*
*
*
4%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----32%
63%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-37-
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Hillary Clinton, the Democrats
46%
57%
Donald Trump, the Republicans
44%
32%
Other
1%
*
Neither
8%
10%
No opinion
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Total
----Hillary Clinton, the Democrats
46%
Donald Trump, the Republicans
44%
Other
1%
Neither
8%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
Democrat
----95%
4%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5
Total
----Hillary Clinton, the Democrats
46%
Donald Trump, the Republicans
44%
Other
1%
Neither
8%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.5
North
east
----52%
42%
1%
4%
*
+/-7.0
3549
----47%
44%
1%
6%
1%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------41%
50%
1%
7%
1%
+/-4.5
5064
----39%
53%
1%
7%
*
+/-6.0
65+
----41%
53%
*
5%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----4%
87%
1%
7%
1%
+/-5.5
South
----45%
45%
*
9%
*
+/-5.5
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----Hillary Clinton, the Democrats
46%
21%
54%
90%
Donald Trump, the Republicans
44%
71%
36%
6%
Other
1%
1%
1%
*
Neither
8%
8%
8%
3%
No opinion
1%
*
1%
*
Sampling Error
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
Under
45
----57%
30%
1%
11%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------40%
49%
1%
9%
1%
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------60%
31%
1%
7%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----36%
46%
2%
16%
1%
+/-6.0
Midwest
----38%
51%
1%
8%
2%
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------75%
19%
1%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----83%
9%
1%
7%
*
+/-7.0
West
----53%
37%
*
10%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----40%
53%
*
6%
1%
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------51%
26%
39%
62%
1%
*
8%
10%
1%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----57%
30%
*
11%
1%
+/-6.0
Urban
----61%
31%
1%
7%
1%
+/-6.0
Conservative
------16%
76%
1%
6%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----40%
49%
*
10%
1%
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----4%
97%
*
48%
84%
1%
99%
48%
1%
*
*
*
10%
2%
*
4%
1%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----36%
58%
1%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----47%
37%
3%
10%
3%
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-38-
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------48%
38%
56%
36%
46%
56%
37%
56%
1%
1%
1%
1%
5%
5%
6%
7%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----48%
46%
1%
5%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----47%
48%
1%
4%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------41%
52%
1%
5%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----40%
54%
2%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------48%
60%
46%
33%
1%
1%
5%
7%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----48%
46%
1%
5%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----95%
4%
*
*
*
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----48%
46%
1%
5%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----52%
43%
2%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----48%
21%
55%
92%
46%
73%
38%
6%
1%
1%
1%
*
5%
5%
6%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----41%
54%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----4%
89%
1%
6%
*
+/-5.5
South
----47%
47%
*
6%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----59%
32%
1%
8%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------42%
51%
1%
6%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------61%
33%
1%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----39%
49%
2%
10%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----39%
55%
1%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------77%
19%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----83%
11%
1%
6%
*
+/-7.0
West
----53%
38%
*
9%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----41%
55%
1%
4%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------52%
27%
41%
65%
1%
1%
6%
7%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----60%
33%
*
6%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----63%
31%
1%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------16%
77%
1%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----41%
52%
1%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----4%
98%
*
49%
87%
1%
100%
49%
1%
*
*
*
7%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----36%
59%
1%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----49%
40%
3%
7%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-39-
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------59%
56%
63%
52%
34%
40%
29%
40%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
5%
3%
8%
7%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Total
----59%
34%
*
*
1%
5%
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----61%
32%
*
*
*
7%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------61%
33%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.5
5064
----54%
41%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-6.0
Under
Total
$50K
--------59%
60%
34%
34%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
5%
5%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Total
----59%
34%
*
*
1%
5%
+/-3.5
Democrat
----87%
9%
*
*
*
4%
+/-5.5
Total
----59%
34%
*
*
1%
5%
+/-3.5
North
east
----63%
32%
*
2%
1%
2%
+/-7.0
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----59%
37%
66%
85%
34%
55%
28%
11%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
5%
7%
5%
4%
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----51%
41%
1%
*
1%
7%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----29%
61%
*
*
1%
9%
+/-5.5
South
----58%
35%
*
*
1%
6%
+/-5.5
Under
45
----68%
25%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------54%
39%
*
*
1%
6%
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------71%
22%
*
*
1%
5%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----59%
35%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-6.0
Midwest
----55%
41%
*
*
*
4%
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------78%
18%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
Liberal
----81%
15%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0
West
----62%
29%
*
*
1%
9%
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----54%
39%
*
*
1%
6%
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------66%
44%
27%
47%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
6%
7%
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----73%
20%
*
*
*
6%
+/-6.0
Urban
----71%
20%
*
*
1%
8%
+/-6.0
Conservative
------36%
55%
*
1%
2%
7%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----57%
40%
*
*
*
2%
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----34%
87%
26%
57%
57%
9%
66%
37%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
8%
4%
7%
5%
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----46%
46%
*
*
1%
7%
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----68%
24%
*
1%
1%
6%
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-40-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
31%
51%
32%
56%
68%
47%
66%
2%
1%
3%
2%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
56%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----40%
57%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5
5064
----39%
60%
1%
*
*
+/-6.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
48%
56%
49%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
$50K
or more
------40%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
56%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----88%
7%
5%
*
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
56%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----47%
50%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----42%
17%
49%
80%
56%
82%
48%
16%
2%
1%
2%
4%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----38%
61%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5
Republican
-----4%
95%
*
*
*
+/-6.0
South
----40%
58%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0
Under
45
----48%
48%
4%
1%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------39%
60%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------48%
47%
5%
*
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----26%
73%
*
1%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----33%
64%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------69%
29%
2%
1%
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----78%
18%
3%
*
*
+/-7.5
West
----47%
52%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----39%
60%
1%
*
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------40%
26%
55%
73%
4%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----51%
46%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----59%
40%
1%
*
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------17%
82%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----37%
61%
2%
*
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----4%
89%
3%
44%
95%
7%
97%
55%
*
4%
*
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----28%
69%
3%
*
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-41-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------41%
32%
50%
32%
57%
66%
48%
66%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----39%
58%
3%
*
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------37%
61%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5
5064
----38%
61%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------41%
50%
57%
48%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----86%
9%
5%
*
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----45%
52%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----41%
21%
47%
78%
57%
78%
50%
18%
2%
1%
2%
4%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----39%
60%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----4%
95%
*
*
*
+/-5.5
South
----41%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----47%
49%
3%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------38%
61%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------48%
47%
4%
*
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----30%
69%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----34%
64%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------65%
32%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----71%
26%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0
West
----45%
53%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----38%
61%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------39%
27%
57%
72%
4%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----49%
48%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----54%
45%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------17%
82%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----37%
61%
2%
*
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----5%
87%
3%
44%
94%
10%
96%
54%
*
3%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----32%
66%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----35%
60%
3%
1%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-42-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------38%
31%
43%
36%
25%
32%
19%
28%
21%
23%
20%
21%
16%
14%
18%
15%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----38%
25%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----40%
20%
27%
13%
*
+/-8.5
5064
----33%
29%
21%
16%
*
+/-6.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------38%
35%
25%
21%
21%
25%
16%
19%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
$50K
or more
------42%
25%
19%
15%
*
+/-4.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----38%
25%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----60%
7%
16%
16%
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----38%
25%
21%
16%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----51%
21%
13%
14%
*
+/-7.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----38%
22%
43%
59%
25%
38%
21%
9%
21%
23%
21%
17%
16%
17%
16%
16%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----37%
30%
18%
15%
*
+/-5.5
Republican
-----15%
41%
27%
17%
*
+/-6.0
South
----33%
28%
20%
18%
*
+/-6.0
Under
45
----42%
19%
22%
17%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------30%
28%
24%
19%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------53%
18%
17%
12%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----36%
28%
21%
15%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----29%
24%
30%
17%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------46%
13%
22%
19%
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----63%
13%
19%
5%
*
+/-7.5
West
----40%
23%
23%
14%
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----36%
28%
21%
15%
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------51%
26%
21%
32%
15%
25%
13%
16%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----45%
19%
19%
18%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----48%
16%
23%
14%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------21%
35%
24%
20%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----36%
27%
20%
17%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----18%
64%
16%
39%
39%
5%
41%
26%
27%
15%
26%
19%
16%
16%
17%
15%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----26%
31%
25%
18%
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-43-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
30%
40%
33%
24%
31%
18%
27%
21%
21%
21%
22%
19%
18%
21%
18%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
24%
21%
19%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----36%
22%
25%
17%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------39%
26%
19%
17%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----31%
29%
21%
19%
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
32%
24%
21%
21%
23%
19%
24%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
24%
21%
19%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----56%
9%
17%
18%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
24%
21%
19%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----50%
21%
15%
14%
*
+/-7.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----35%
22%
39%
55%
24%
37%
21%
10%
21%
23%
20%
16%
19%
18%
20%
18%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----37%
30%
18%
15%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----15%
40%
27%
18%
*
+/-5.5
South
----31%
28%
20%
21%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----38%
19%
21%
22%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------28%
27%
23%
23%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------52%
19%
17%
12%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----32%
26%
20%
22%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----26%
24%
25%
24%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------43%
15%
19%
23%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----53%
16%
16%
15%
*
+/-7.0
West
----39%
22%
23%
17%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----34%
28%
20%
17%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------50%
24%
21%
30%
15%
26%
14%
20%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----43%
18%
19%
19%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----44%
17%
23%
16%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------19%
35%
26%
20%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----34%
27%
18%
21%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----17%
59%
15%
38%
37%
7%
42%
27%
27%
14%
26%
19%
18%
20%
17%
17%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----24%
29%
25%
22%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----29%
16%
29%
27%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-44-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------46%
52%
41%
53%
28%
25%
30%
25%
14%
13%
15%
14%
12%
9%
15%
8%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
28%
14%
12%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----45%
27%
18%
11%
*
+/-8.5
5064
----50%
28%
12%
9%
*
+/-6.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------46%
42%
28%
24%
14%
14%
12%
20%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
$50K
or more
------47%
31%
13%
8%
*
+/-4.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
28%
14%
12%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----18%
48%
16%
18%
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
28%
14%
12%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----43%
36%
11%
9%
*
+/-7.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----46%
62%
41%
20%
28%
16%
31%
48%
14%
14%
14%
14%
12%
8%
14%
18%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----48%
26%
16%
11%
*
+/-5.5
Republican
-----70%
9%
15%
7%
*
+/-6.0
South
----48%
24%
16%
12%
*
+/-6.0
Under
45
----38%
31%
14%
16%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------49%
21%
13%
16%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------40%
40%
14%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----53%
24%
11%
12%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----52%
24%
13%
11%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------27%
36%
15%
23%
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----14%
55%
17%
14%
*
+/-7.5
West
----39%
28%
15%
18%
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----49%
27%
14%
10%
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------44%
59%
39%
16%
9%
16%
7%
9%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----39%
30%
16%
16%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----31%
37%
14%
18%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------67%
13%
11%
9%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----55%
26%
12%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----73%
19%
74%
47%
8%
50%
6%
29%
13%
14%
13%
12%
7%
16%
7%
12%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----49%
17%
18%
16%
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-45-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------43%
49%
38%
49%
26%
25%
27%
25%
14%
13%
15%
14%
16%
12%
20%
12%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
26%
14%
16%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----44%
28%
15%
12%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------48%
30%
13%
9%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----48%
26%
12%
14%
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------43%
34%
26%
24%
14%
15%
16%
27%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
26%
14%
16%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----17%
47%
15%
21%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
26%
14%
16%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----44%
34%
11%
10%
*
+/-7.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----43%
58%
39%
18%
26%
18%
29%
45%
14%
13%
15%
14%
16%
11%
18%
23%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----47%
26%
16%
12%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----68%
9%
16%
7%
*
+/-5.5
South
----45%
22%
17%
17%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----35%
28%
15%
22%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------45%
21%
14%
20%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------39%
39%
13%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----47%
22%
12%
20%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----47%
25%
11%
18%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------27%
32%
14%
27%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----16%
50%
15%
19%
*
+/-7.0
West
----35%
28%
17%
20%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----48%
26%
14%
12%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------43%
53%
39%
16%
9%
17%
8%
14%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----36%
27%
17%
19%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----31%
35%
14%
19%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------65%
13%
11%
10%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----51%
24%
13%
11%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----69%
18%
73%
46%
9%
47%
7%
29%
14%
15%
13%
12%
8%
21%
7%
13%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----44%
18%
15%
23%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----38%
18%
19%
24%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-46-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
53%
38%
54%
54%
45%
61%
44%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
54%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----46%
53%
1%
*
*
+/-8.5
5064
----53%
45%
2%
*
*
+/-6.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------45%
39%
54%
60%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
$50K
or more
------46%
52%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
54%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----6%
93%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
54%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----41%
57%
1%
*
*
+/-7.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----45%
71%
37%
7%
54%
27%
62%
92%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----52%
47%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5
Republican
-----85%
14%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
South
----48%
52%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
Under
45
----30%
69%
1%
*
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------53%
46%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------29%
70%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----49%
49%
2%
*
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----52%
47%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------19%
81%
1%
*
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----10%
89%
1%
*
*
+/-7.5
West
----38%
60%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----52%
46%
1%
*
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------36%
66%
63%
32%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----29%
69%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----28%
72%
*
*
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------73%
26%
*
*
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----52%
47%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----82%
3%
93%
48%
16%
96%
6%
52%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----58%
39%
3%
*
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-47-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
49%
35%
51%
56%
47%
64%
47%
2%
3%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
56%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----42%
55%
3%
*
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------46%
52%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5
5064
----49%
48%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
32%
56%
65%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
56%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----6%
92%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
56%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----40%
59%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----42%
64%
36%
7%
56%
35%
63%
91%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----51%
48%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----81%
17%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5
South
----45%
54%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----29%
69%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------48%
50%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------28%
70%
2%
*
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----42%
55%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----47%
48%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------18%
80%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----12%
86%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
West
----34%
65%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----50%
48%
2%
*
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------35%
60%
64%
38%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----28%
70%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----28%
71%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------71%
28%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----47%
51%
2%
*
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----78%
3%
93%
47%
20%
95%
6%
52%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----55%
42%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----28%
65%
6%
*
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-48-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------24%
30%
18%
22%
21%
26%
18%
22%
23%
21%
25%
24%
32%
23%
39%
31%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----24%
21%
23%
32%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----28%
18%
25%
29%
*
+/-8.5
5064
----19%
20%
24%
37%
*
+/-6.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------24%
24%
21%
21%
23%
22%
32%
33%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
$50K
or more
------25%
21%
24%
30%
*
+/-4.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----24%
21%
23%
32%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----24%
16%
22%
39%
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----24%
21%
23%
32%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----26%
21%
21%
33%
*
+/-7.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----24%
19%
25%
27%
21%
24%
20%
16%
23%
26%
22%
21%
32%
30%
32%
37%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----15%
26%
26%
32%
*
+/-5.5
Republican
-----15%
27%
27%
30%
*
+/-6.0
South
----23%
21%
24%
33%
*
+/-6.0
Under
45
----34%
20%
20%
26%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------21%
22%
24%
34%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------29%
21%
23%
27%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----32%
22%
21%
25%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----22%
21%
29%
28%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------27%
18%
21%
34%
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----29%
20%
19%
32%
*
+/-7.5
West
----24%
24%
20%
32%
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----18%
22%
25%
35%
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------30%
16%
22%
23%
21%
27%
27%
34%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----25%
17%
24%
34%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----23%
21%
25%
32%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------20%
24%
26%
31%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----22%
21%
24%
33%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----20%
23%
14%
22%
26%
15%
29%
24%
27%
22%
28%
24%
27%
40%
29%
30%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----24%
24%
22%
30%
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-49-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------23%
29%
18%
22%
21%
25%
17%
22%
23%
20%
25%
24%
33%
25%
40%
32%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----23%
21%
23%
33%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----27%
19%
23%
31%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------27%
22%
22%
30%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----18%
20%
24%
39%
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------23%
20%
21%
21%
23%
23%
33%
36%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----23%
21%
23%
33%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----22%
16%
21%
40%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----23%
21%
23%
33%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----26%
21%
21%
33%
*
+/-7.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----23%
18%
25%
24%
21%
25%
20%
17%
23%
28%
22%
21%
33%
29%
34%
38%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----15%
25%
27%
32%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----16%
26%
29%
29%
*
+/-5.5
South
----22%
20%
24%
34%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----32%
20%
21%
28%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------21%
21%
23%
35%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------29%
20%
23%
28%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----31%
22%
19%
29%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----22%
21%
25%
31%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------25%
18%
21%
36%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----24%
24%
17%
35%
*
+/-7.0
West
----23%
23%
21%
33%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----17%
22%
24%
37%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------30%
18%
22%
22%
21%
26%
27%
34%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----26%
15%
26%
33%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----25%
22%
22%
31%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------21%
24%
25%
30%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----22%
19%
24%
35%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----22%
20%
14%
22%
24%
16%
30%
24%
27%
22%
27%
23%
27%
42%
28%
31%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----20%
22%
25%
32%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----31%
9%
22%
37%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-50-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------14%
16%
13%
13%
23%
29%
19%
24%
27%
26%
27%
27%
36%
30%
41%
36%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----14%
23%
27%
36%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----17%
26%
31%
26%
*
+/-8.5
5064
----10%
21%
27%
43%
*
+/-6.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------14%
15%
23%
24%
27%
23%
36%
38%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5
$50K
or more
------15%
25%
28%
33%
*
+/-4.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----14%
23%
27%
36%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----17%
23%
24%
36%
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----14%
23%
27%
36%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----19%
26%
20%
34%
*
+/-7.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----14%
7%
16%
19%
23%
25%
23%
23%
27%
27%
26%
24%
36%
41%
34%
35%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----12%
22%
29%
37%
*
+/-5.5
Republican
-----8%
24%
28%
40%
*
+/-6.0
South
----12%
23%
29%
36%
*
+/-6.0
Under
45
----20%
27%
22%
31%
*
+/-8.0
Non
College
Grad
-------12%
22%
27%
38%
*
+/-5.0
College
Grad
------18%
27%
25%
30%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----18%
23%
28%
31%
*
+/-6.5
Midwest
----14%
19%
27%
39%
*
+/-7.5
Non-White
--------18%
23%
24%
35%
*
+/-8.0
Liberal
----17%
27%
27%
29%
*
+/-7.5
West
----12%
26%
29%
33%
*
+/-7.5
45 and
Older
-----11%
22%
29%
38%
*
+/-4.0
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------17%
10%
28%
22%
24%
30%
31%
38%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Moderate
----19%
21%
27%
33%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----17%
23%
24%
36%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------9%
24%
25%
42%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----13%
21%
28%
38%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----10%
18%
7%
13%
24%
22%
25%
26%
29%
24%
30%
25%
37%
36%
39%
36%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-4.0
Rural
----12%
26%
28%
33%
*
+/-7.5
Might
Change
Mind
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
POLL 13
3
-51-
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------15%
19%
13%
13%
22%
28%
17%
24%
26%
24%
27%
27%
37%
29%
43%
37%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----15%
22%
26%
37%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----19%
25%
30%
26%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------16%
25%
26%
33%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----9%
20%
26%
45%
*
+/-6.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------15%
17%
22%
21%
26%
23%
37%
40%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----15%
22%
26%
37%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----18%
22%
23%
37%
*
+/-5.5
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----15%
22%
26%
37%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----19%
25%
21%
35%
*
+/-7.0
Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----15%
7%
18%
21%
22%
24%
22%
21%
26%
29%
25%
23%
37%
39%
36%
35%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----11%
22%
29%
38%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----7%
25%
29%
39%
*
+/-5.5
South
----14%
22%
29%
35%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----23%
25%
21%
32%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------15%
20%
26%
39%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------18%
28%
24%
30%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----20%
20%
25%
35%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----15%
18%
25%
41%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------23%
19%
22%
36%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----22%
25%
21%
33%
*
+/-7.0
West
----14%
26%
25%
35%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----11%
21%
29%
40%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------17%
10%
29%
21%
23%
29%
31%
39%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----20%
18%
27%
34%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----20%
21%
24%
35%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------8%
25%
27%
39%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----13%
21%
26%
40%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----11%
19%
7%
15%
24%
20%
25%
26%
30%
21%
31%
24%
36%
39%
37%
35%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----12%
24%
29%
34%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----19%
11%
29%
41%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-52-
Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------27%
28%
26%
26%
19%
19%
19%
17%
18%
20%
16%
18%
14%
13%
15%
15%
22%
20%
25%
24%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
19%
18%
14%
22%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----21%
22%
16%
18%
22%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------28%
23%
16%
16%
16%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----34%
20%
15%
10%
21%
*
+/-6.0
Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------27%
24%
19%
15%
18%
18%
14%
13%
22%
30%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
19%
18%
14%
22%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----28%
21%
19%
14%
18%
*
+/-5.5
Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----27%
19%
18%
14%
22%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----28%
26%
18%
14%
13%
*
+/-7.0
Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----27%
30%
26%
25%
19%
17%
19%
17%
18%
16%
18%
22%
14%
19%
13%
14%
22%
17%
24%
21%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----33%
20%
14%
16%
17%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----28%
22%
16%
17%
17%
*
+/-5.5
South
----27%
19%
16%
13%
25%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----18%
17%
20%
16%
28%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------26%
18%
18%
14%
24%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------25%
20%
18%
16%
20%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----24%
14%
18%
12%
32%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----27%
12%
15%
17%
30%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------27%
22%
18%
12%
21%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----23%
21%
21%
12%
23%
*
+/-7.0
West
----25%
20%
24%
13%
19%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----32%
20%
16%
13%
19%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------24%
26%
18%
17%
18%
18%
16%
15%
23%
24%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----21%
12%
20%
20%
28%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----25%
19%
22%
14%
20%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------33%
23%
15%
12%
17%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----28%
18%
15%
15%
25%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----28%
28%
33%
31%
22%
18%
25%
23%
14%
21%
16%
19%
15%
12%
14%
11%
21%
21%
11%
15%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----26%
21%
17%
13%
22%
1%
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----13%
5%
16%
25%
41%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-53-
Question 7
Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less
enthusiastic?
Base = Registered voters
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
43%
41%
40%
49%
45%
53%
49%
8%
11%
6%
11%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
49%
8%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----36%
56%
8%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------45%
47%
8%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----46%
43%
11%
*
+/-6.0
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
39%
49%
54%
8%
8%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
49%
8%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----42%
52%
6%
*
+/-5.5
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
49%
8%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----47%
45%
8%
*
+/-7.0
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same as usual
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----42%
45%
41%
38%
49%
42%
52%
57%
8%
13%
7%
5%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----45%
46%
9%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----49%
40%
11%
*
+/-5.5
South
----47%
48%
5%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----37%
56%
6%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------45%
47%
8%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------36%
55%
9%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----36%
55%
9%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----34%
58%
8%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------46%
51%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----40%
54%
6%
*
+/-7.0
West
----39%
47%
14%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----45%
45%
10%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------35%
43%
58%
45%
8%
12%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----30%
59%
11%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----41%
53%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------54%
38%
8%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----42%
49%
9%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----48%
39%
56%
50%
40%
55%
31%
41%
12%
6%
13%
10%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----44%
44%
13%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----22%
74%
5%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-54-
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------41%
32%
49%
32%
56%
64%
48%
64%
3%
3%
3%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
56%
3%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----43%
52%
4%
1%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------38%
60%
3%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----37%
59%
3%
1%
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------41%
49%
56%
46%
3%
4%
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
56%
3%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----81%
17%
1%
1%
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----41%
56%
3%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----48%
49%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----41%
20%
47%
79%
56%
75%
50%
19%
3%
5%
2%
2%
*
*
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----40%
58%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----4%
92%
4%
*
+/-5.5
South
----37%
59%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----46%
50%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------36%
60%
3%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------53%
44%
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----34%
62%
4%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----31%
67%
1%
1%
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------65%
33%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----77%
20%
2%
*
+/-7.0
West
----50%
44%
5%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----38%
59%
3%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------45%
24%
50%
72%
4%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----48%
48%
4%
1%
+/-6.0
Urban
----54%
44%
1%
1%
+/-6.0
Conservative
------15%
82%
3%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----35%
60%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----5%
82%
1%
42%
91%
15%
98%
57%
4%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----31%
64%
5%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----40%
54%
6%
1%
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-55-
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
33%
55%
37%
51%
63%
41%
59%
3%
3%
4%
3%
1%
1%
*
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
51%
3%
1%
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----40%
56%
3%
1%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------40%
56%
3%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----39%
55%
5%
1%
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------45%
54%
51%
41%
3%
4%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
51%
3%
1%
+/-3.5
Democrat
----88%
10%
1%
1%
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----45%
51%
3%
1%
+/-3.5
North
east
----50%
47%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----45%
23%
51%
84%
51%
72%
45%
14%
3%
5%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----40%
56%
3%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----7%
90%
2%
1%
+/-5.5
South
----43%
54%
2%
1%
+/-5.5
Under
45
----53%
43%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------39%
57%
3%
1%
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------57%
38%
4%
1%
+/-5.0
Independent
-----34%
58%
7%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----35%
61%
4%
1%
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------65%
30%
3%
1%
+/-7.0
Liberal
----81%
14%
4%
1%
+/-7.0
West
----51%
42%
6%
1%
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----40%
56%
4%
1%
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------52%
28%
43%
69%
4%
3%
1%
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----53%
44%
2%
1%
+/-6.0
Urban
----58%
40%
1%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------16%
80%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----39%
55%
5%
1%
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----6%
90%
1%
46%
90%
9%
97%
52%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----34%
60%
4%
2%
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----41%
50%
6%
3%
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-56-
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------49%
41%
57%
41%
47%
56%
39%
56%
3%
3%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----49%
47%
3%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----48%
48%
4%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------43%
53%
3%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----40%
56%
4%
*
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------49%
60%
47%
36%
3%
3%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----49%
47%
3%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----91%
8%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----49%
47%
3%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----54%
45%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----49%
26%
57%
88%
47%
70%
40%
11%
3%
5%
3%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----41%
56%
2%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----11%
85%
3%
*
+/-5.5
South
----48%
49%
3%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----64%
32%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------44%
52%
3%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------62%
35%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----43%
52%
6%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----43%
54%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------73%
24%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----84%
13%
3%
*
+/-7.0
West
----55%
39%
7%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----41%
56%
3%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------55%
33%
40%
65%
5%
3%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----62%
35%
2%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----65%
33%
2%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------19%
77%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----43%
53%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----11%
94%
5%
49%
84%
5%
93%
50%
5%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----39%
57%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----54%
39%
7%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-57-
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------56%
48%
63%
49%
40%
46%
34%
47%
4%
5%
3%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----56%
40%
4%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----58%
36%
6%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------52%
43%
5%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----47%
47%
7%
*
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------56%
64%
40%
32%
4%
4%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----56%
40%
4%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----95%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----56%
40%
4%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----63%
33%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----56%
30%
63%
92%
40%
64%
32%
7%
4%
4%
4%
1%
*
1%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----50%
47%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----20%
74%
5%
1%
+/-5.5
South
----53%
43%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----67%
29%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------50%
45%
5%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------70%
26%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----48%
45%
7%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----50%
47%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------76%
20%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----84%
12%
4%
*
+/-7.0
West
----60%
33%
7%
1%
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----49%
46%
5%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------64%
40%
32%
55%
4%
4%
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----71%
25%
3%
1%
+/-6.0
Urban
----69%
28%
3%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------27%
68%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----50%
44%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----21%
97%
13%
53%
73%
2%
82%
44%
6%
1%
5%
2%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----46%
48%
5%
1%
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----68%
24%
7%
1%
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-58-
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------58%
49%
66%
48%
36%
44%
29%
45%
6%
7%
5%
6%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----58%
36%
6%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----59%
31%
10%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------52%
40%
7%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----50%
45%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------58%
70%
36%
26%
6%
3%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----58%
36%
6%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----95%
3%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----58%
36%
6%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----61%
33%
5%
1%
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----58%
28%
67%
95%
36%
64%
28%
3%
6%
8%
5%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----46%
49%
4%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----21%
72%
7%
*
+/-5.5
South
----59%
37%
4%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----74%
20%
6%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------55%
39%
5%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------66%
27%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----54%
38%
8%
1%
+/-6.0
Midwest
----50%
42%
8%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------86%
12%
3%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----92%
5%
3%
*
+/-7.0
West
----63%
31%
6%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----48%
46%
5%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------59%
41%
34%
52%
7%
6%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----71%
22%
7%
1%
+/-6.0
Urban
----74%
23%
3%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------29%
65%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----51%
42%
6%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----22%
97%
17%
56%
70%
1%
77%
41%
8%
2%
6%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----46%
45%
8%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----67%
23%
11%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-59-
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
35%
49%
33%
50%
57%
44%
57%
1%
1%
1%
1%
6%
7%
5%
8%
*
1%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
50%
1%
6%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----42%
52%
1%
5%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------39%
52%
*
7%
1%
+/-4.5
5064
----41%
52%
*
7%
*
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
50%
50%
44%
1%
2%
6%
5%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
50%
1%
6%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----85%
12%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----42%
50%
1%
6%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----45%
49%
1%
5%
1%
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----42%
23%
48%
80%
50%
67%
45%
15%
1%
*
1%
2%
6%
9%
5%
3%
*
1%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----40%
53%
1%
4%
2%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----5%
85%
1%
8%
1%
+/-5.5
South
----41%
50%
2%
6%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----46%
44%
2%
8%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------37%
55%
1%
6%
1%
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------54%
39%
*
7%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----33%
57%
2%
8%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----32%
60%
*
7%
1%
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------66%
31%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----80%
12%
2%
6%
*
+/-7.0
West
----52%
40%
*
7%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----41%
53%
1%
5%
1%
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------46%
26%
45%
64%
1%
1%
9%
8%
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----49%
44%
1%
6%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----55%
38%
2%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------17%
75%
*
6%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----37%
57%
*
6%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----5%
84%
2%
45%
86%
12%
93%
52%
*
2%
1%
*
8%
3%
3%
3%
1%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----34%
57%
1%
7%
1%
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----35%
45%
4%
15%
1%
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-60-
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------56%
48%
62%
47%
36%
44%
29%
43%
1%
1%
1%
*
7%
7%
8%
8%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----56%
36%
1%
7%
1%
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----58%
35%
*
6%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------54%
38%
*
7%
1%
+/-4.5
5064
----48%
42%
1%
8%
1%
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------56%
61%
36%
29%
1%
1%
7%
9%
1%
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----56%
36%
1%
7%
1%
+/-3.5
Democrat
----95%
3%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----56%
36%
1%
7%
1%
+/-3.5
North
east
----57%
35%
1%
7%
*
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----56%
32%
63%
91%
36%
58%
29%
5%
1%
*
1%
*
7%
9%
7%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----50%
42%
*
6%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----20%
69%
1%
9%
2%
+/-5.5
South
----55%
36%
1%
6%
1%
+/-5.5
Under
45
----66%
25%
*
9%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------50%
41%
*
8%
1%
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------70%
22%
1%
7%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----49%
39%
1%
11%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----51%
39%
1%
9%
1%
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------80%
15%
1%
4%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----86%
9%
*
5%
*
+/-7.0
West
----60%
32%
*
8%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----50%
42%
1%
7%
1%
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------62%
38%
28%
52%
1%
*
8%
9%
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----74%
21%
*
5%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----71%
24%
*
4%
1%
+/-6.0
Conservative
------26%
63%
1%
9%
2%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----48%
42%
1%
10%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----21%
94%
13%
52%
67%
2%
78%
43%
1%
*
1%
*
10%
5%
6%
4%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----47%
43%
1%
8%
1%
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----68%
14%
1%
15%
1%
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-61-
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------50%
42%
57%
41%
45%
53%
37%
52%
*
*
*
*
5%
4%
5%
6%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
45%
*
5%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----49%
44%
*
6%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------46%
49%
*
5%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----47%
50%
*
3%
*
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------50%
61%
45%
35%
*
*
5%
5%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
45%
*
5%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----93%
6%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----50%
45%
*
5%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----57%
42%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----50%
29%
57%
90%
45%
66%
38%
8%
*
*
*
*
5%
6%
4%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----45%
52%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0
Republican
-----10%
81%
*
8%
*
+/-5.5
South
----49%
46%
*
5%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----59%
34%
*
7%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------45%
50%
*
5%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------63%
32%
*
5%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----44%
50%
1%
5%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----42%
50%
1%
7%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------75%
24%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----89%
9%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0
West
----56%
39%
*
5%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----46%
51%
*
3%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------56%
33%
39%
60%
*
*
5%
7%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----61%
34%
*
5%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----62%
34%
1%
3%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------21%
73%
1%
5%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----45%
48%
*
7%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----10%
94%
6%
49%
82%
3%
91%
49%
1%
*
1%
*
7%
3%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----41%
55%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----55%
33%
*
11%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-62-
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
30%
39%
26%
50%
59%
41%
57%
*
1%
*
*
15%
11%
19%
17%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-4.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
50%
*
15%
*
+/-3.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----37%
47%
1%
16%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------33%
53%
*
14%
*
+/-4.5
5064
----29%
53%
*
17%
*
+/-6.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
41%
50%
41%
*
1%
15%
17%
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
50%
*
15%
*
+/-3.5
Democrat
----73%
13%
1%
14%
*
+/-5.5
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----35%
50%
*
15%
*
+/-3.5
North
east
----37%
48%
*
14%
*
+/-7.0
Clinton
Trump
Both
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error
Lean
White
All
DemoTotal Evang. Others crat
----- ----- ------ -----35%
16%
40%
67%
50%
72%
43%
15%
*
*
1%
1%
15%
11%
16%
17%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.0 +/-5.0
65+
----34%
55%
*
10%
1%
+/-5.0
Republican
-----2%
85%
*
13%
*
+/-5.5
South
----34%
50%
*
15%
*
+/-5.5
Under
45
----40%
41%
1%
17%
*
+/-7.0
Non
College
Grad
-------33%
54%
*
13%
*
+/-4.5
College
Grad
------40%
39%
1%
20%
*
+/-5.0
Independent
-----27%
54%
*
19%
*
+/-6.0
Midwest
----26%
56%
1%
17%
*
+/-7.0
Non-White
--------57%
29%
1%
12%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----66%
14%
*
20%
1%
+/-7.0
West
----43%
42%
1%
14%
*
+/-7.0
45 and
Older
-----31%
54%
*
14%
*
+/-3.5
White
White
Non
College College
Grad
Grad
------- ------36%
20%
44%
65%
*
*
20%
15%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-5.0
Moderate
----40%
42%
*
17%
*
+/-6.0
Urban
----43%
40%
*
17%
*
+/-6.0
Conservative
------12%
76%
1%
10%
*
+/-5.0
Suburban
----33%
53%
1%
13%
*
+/-5.0
Lean
Mind
Repub- ClinMade
lican
ton
Trump
Up
------ ----- ----- ----2%
70%
1%
38%
86%
11%
94%
51%
*
1%
*
*
12%
17%
6%
10%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.5
Rural
----26%
57%
*
17%
*
+/-7.0
Might
Change
Mind
-----23%
48%
1%
27%
*
+/-8.0
POLL 13
3
-63-