Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Pergamon
0261-5177(95RR)I 15--8
A travel decision model is developed to assess the relationship between planning time and
explanatory variables related to a specific trip. The determinants of planning time strongly
suggest that there is a pattern of stable behaviors in the planning of a pleasure vacation. Higher
levels of education extend planning time. Age and distance are positively correlated with
planning time while familiarity and the use of a travel agent are negatively correlated with
planning time.
Kcywords: planning time, distance, travel agent, familiarity, age, education
123
Theoretical framework
Planning a vacation trip is part of a complex decision
process involving many determinants which can be
identified only if the structural scheme is well established. Theoretically this scheme would describe a
phenomenon in terms of a list of variables that make
124
125
126
No
Percentage of total
United States
Canada
Europe
Mexico
Other
Total
79
54
26
17
15
191
41.4
28.3
13.6
8.9
7.8
100.0
than the distance travelled. Subsequently, distance travelled was estimated using road distances
provided by the Canadian Automobile Association and air distances provided by airlines servicing specific destinations.
An eleven-point scale (0-10) was used to measure
usage of travel agents' services. A pilot test
indicated that the use of a scale was easier to
recall than, say, the frequency of usage or the
number of visits or telephone calls to a travel
agency.
Familiarity with the destination was measured
subjectively as a self-reported score using a (~10
scale.
Limiting the questionnaire to the previous two
years diminished the risk of 'recall' questions with
regard to travel behavior.
Results
Usage
No
74
35
12
8
19
43
38.7
18.3
6.3
4.2
11).0
22.5
191
11}0.11
Explanatory
variables
Distance
Familiarity
Previous visits
Age
Schooling
Travel Agent
Coefficient
0.415
-1). 1611
-(I. 141
1.001
0.853
0.119
St. error
t-value
P~2-tail)
11.176
t).1186
0.11311
0.394
0.310
0.036
2.311
- 1.86
4.70
2.54
2.75
-L31
< 11.111
n.s.
< ().01
< 0.(11
< I).01
< ().01
R-squared 59.3%
Adjusted R-squared 55.2%
O v e r 61% of the respondents had used the services of a travel agent. This finding is comparable to
a study by Etzel and Wahlers 2'~ in terms of usage of a
travel agent. Moreover, it is interesting to note thai
over 64% of the tourists who indicated 'high usage"
of the services of the travel agent (a score of 10)
travelled a distance of over 1082 miles, which is
more than double the distance travelled by the
average respondent. This finding tends to suggest
that the farther away the destination the higher the
reliance on the services of a travel agent. The
distribution of the planning time is shown in Table 3.
The average planning time of the respondents in
the sample is 14.8 weeks. Data provided by Rao et
al ~ suggest an average planning horizon of 10.3
weeks for US outbound travelers visiting Mexico
and 15.5 weeks for those visiting Europe.
Regression
To test the five hypotheses in relation to planning
time, several regression equations were used. The
following regression model yielded the best results:
Y = f(Xt, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6), where:
Y = planning time, defined as the actual period
devoted to planning the trip. It includes
precise actions such as enquiries, p a p e r
searching, calling or visiting travel agencies
and was measured by days or weeks.
X~ = distance from origin to destination. As respondents indicated only their destination, it
Table 3
No
Percentage of total
10
16
12
23
28
30
38
34
5.2
8.4
6.3
12.0
14.7
15.7
19.9
17.8
191
1(10.0
X~ =
X3 =
X4 =
X5 =
X,, =
127
Discussion
The determinants of planning time strongly suggest
that there is a pattern of stable behaviors in the
planning of a pleasure vacation. Planning is an
essential function in a trip which tends to vary in an
orderly manner. Although the increasing level of
competition and the widespread availability of package deals have exerted a downward pressure on
travel costs, a vacation is still an expensive activity
and the tourist is highly motivated to plan any trip
adequately. The planning process not only ensures
that uncertainty is reduced, but also acquaints the
tourist with particular details of the destination and
provides the opportunity to realize some savings. By
planning ahead, destinations can be compared, costs
can be evaluated and decisions can be reached that
better respond to needs and optimize satisfaction.
The statistical significance of the explanatory
model has several direct implications for the tourism
industry:
Higher levels of education extend planning time.
Educated tourists require more information and
more time to reach travel decisions. 29"32For these
tourists a trip yields utility which in turn is a
function of the importance of the decision to
travel. 33 They will try to obtain the maximum
return from their trip and will devote time and
effort to ensure that their trip is well organized.
Fragmented evidence 2v suggests an increase in the
level of education among tourists in general.
Moreover, on average, the level of satisfaction
with pleasure vacations has been shown to be
inversely related to the level of education. 34 A
higher level of education is conducive to lower
levels of satisfaction. Stated differently, one can
say that tourists with higher levels of education
would tend to be less satisfied with their pleasure
vacation experience. This fact is probably due to
the size of the gap between expectation and
realization. People with more education tend to
set higher goals, and consequently some divergence between their expectations and their
realizations can be expected to occur. Lower
levels of satisfaction could also be due to 'imperfections' in tourism supply. Such imperfections result from misinformation and a disequilibrium between the needs of the more educated
tourist and the offerings of the tourism industry.
Consequently, planning time would reduce uncertainty and improve the 'potential' level of satisfaction of the tourist.
Age is positively correlated with planning time.
The older a tourist is, the more planning time is
required. 35 A scatter diagram of planning time
(dependent variable) and age (independent variable) seems to suggest that the relationship between the two variables is a 'step' function. This is
indicative of a differential in planning time by
128
and reduces risk and uncertainy. Opposite arguments can also be presented where planning time has
a low utility and the consumer is often caught in a
non-productive cobweb process. While it is outside
the scope of this paper to measure the utility of the
tourist planning time one can at least argue that the
length of search allows travel agencies to influence
the destination selection decision and to augment
business volume. Mayo 41 suggested that planning
time is consumed in obtaining numerous details
about a trip.
The results of this research allow marketers of
tourism to segment their business not only in terms
of destinations but also on the basis of the information
provided as it relates to the sociodemographic
characteristics of the tourists, This fact should be
recognized by travel agencies and reflected in their
publicity and marketing. Time scarcity is part of the
post-Keynesian consumption function, and has
received recent emphasis. Travel agencies are not
only 'facilitators" or travel brokers, but also 'money
and time savers'. They should be more concerned
with the vacation rather than the destination, and
the element of more efficient planning should be
clearly highlighted in their publicity. Moreover airline companies should recognize that planning time
is positively correlated to distance. Such a finding
should be considered in seasonal air fare promotions
and further research should assess the availability of
'bargain vacations' with respect to planning time.
While this paper identifies variables having a
statistical significance in determining planning time,
the following changes may be introduced to improve
the explanatory power of the model:
'Familiarity" should be an objectively measured
variable. An index of familiarity based on factual
information, such as number of articles read on
the destination/number of visits to travel agencies
could be developed.
The analysis could be segmented by types of
destination and purpose of trip. 'Sun-seekers'
may devote less time planning a trip than tourists
seeking cultural activities. The information collected in the present study did not permit such
differentiation. Future research should consider
'purpose of trip' as a possible explanatory variable.
The size of the travel party could be introduced in
the model. Planning time would probably tend to
increase with the number of individuals in a given
party. Further research should investigate this
relationship.
Further research could, explicitly, take into consideration attitude of the individual (eg risktakers, risk-averters) and its influence on planning time.
An ex p o s t measure of satisfaction may also be
introduced. Is longer planning time conducive to
129
References
%an Raaij, W F and Francken, D A 'Vacation decisions, activities and satisfactions" Annals of Tourism Res'earch 1984 11
101-112
2jenkins, R L 'Family vacation decision-making" Travel Research
1978 16(4) 2-7
3Francken, D A and van Raaij, W F 'Satisfaction with leisure
time activities" Leisure Research 1981 13(4) 33%352
4Davis, H L and Rigaux, B P 'Perception of marital roles in
decision processes' Consumer Research 1974 1(1) 51-62
-SMyers, P B and Moncrief, L W 'Differential leisure travel
decision-making between spouses' Annals" of Tourism Research
1978 5 157-165
6Smith, L 'Women: the taste-makers in tourism" Annals of
Tourism Research 1979 6 49-60
7Van Raaij, W F "Consumer research on tourism, mental and
behavioral constructs' Annals of Tourism Research 1986 13 1-9
SSchul, P and Crompton, J L 'Search behavior of international
vacationers: travel-specific lifestyle and sociodemographic variables' Travel Research 1983 22 25-30
'~Woodside, D J and Jenkins, J M 'Cognitive distance: a neglected
issue in travel behavior' Travel Research 1992 31 24-29
mBronner, F and de Hoog, R. 'A recipe for mixing decision
ingredients' European Res'earch 1985 13 109-115
l~Snepenger, D, Meged, K, Snelling, M and Worrall, K 'Information search strategies by destination-naive tourists' Travel Re-
130
a3Murphy, P E "Preferences and perceptions of urban decisionmaking groups: congruence or conflicts'?' Regional Studies 1978 12
749-759
44Crompton, J l. ',Structure of vacation destination choice sets"
Annals ~l"Tourism Research 1992 19 420-434
131