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c. Project liability and shareholders equity accounts that will not rise spontaneously with
sales (e.g., notes payable, long-term bonds, preference shares and ordinary shares) but
may change due to financing decisions that will be made later.
d. Determine if additional funds will be needed through the following formula:
Additional Funds Needed (AFN) = Required Increase in Asset
Spontaneous Increase in Liabilities Increase in Retained Earnings
The additional financing needed will be raised by borrowing from the bank as note
payable, by issuing long-term bonds, by selling new ordinary shares or by some combination of
actions.
Step 3. Raising the AFN
The financing decision will consider the following factors:
(1) Target capital structure
(2) Effect of short- term borrowing in its current ratio
(3) Conditions in the debt and equity markets, or
(4) Restrictions imposed by existing debt agreements.
Step 4. Consider financing feedbacks.
Depending on whether additional funds will be borrowed or will be raised through
ordinary shares, consideration should be given on additional interest expense in the Income
Statement, thus decreasing the retained earnings.
Apply the iteration process using the available financing mix until the AFN would
become so small that the forecast can be considered complete.
Illustrative Case 1. Financial Forecasting (Percent of Sales Method)
The Elixir Company has the following statements which are representative of the
companys historical average.
Statement of Comprehensive Income
Sales
P 6 000 000
Cost of Sales
3 600 000
Gross Profit
2 400 000
Operating expenses
1 140 000
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)
1 260 000
Interest Expense
_210 000
Earnings before taxes (EBT)
1 050 000
Taxes (35%)
_367 500
Earnings after taxes (EAT)
P682 500
Dividends
P409 500
Statement of Financial Position
Assets
Cash
Accounts Receivable
Inventory
Current assets
P 150 000
1 200 000
2 250 000
3 600 000
2 400 000
P 6 000 000
Liabilities and Equity
Accounts payable
Accrued wages
Accrued taxes
Current Liabilities
Notes payable bank
Long-term debt
Ordinary shares
Retained earnings
Total liabilities and equity
P 750 000
30 000
__60 000
P 840 000
210 000
450 000
3 600 000
___900 000
P 6 000 000
The firm is expecting a 20% increase in sales next year, and management is concerned
about the companys need for external funds. The increase in sales is expected to be carried out
without any expansion of fixed assets, but rather through more efficient asset utilization in the
existing store. Among liabilities, only current liabilities vary directly with sales.
Using the percent of sales method, determine whether the company has external
financing needs or surplus of funds.
Solution:
Step 1. Forecast the Statement of Comprehensive Income
The projected income statement will show the following:
Sales
Cost of Sales
Gross Profit
Operating expenses
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)
Interest Expense
Earnings before taxes (EBT)
Taxes (35%)
Earnings after taxes (EAT)
Dividends (36% payment)
P 7 200 000
4 320 000
2 880 000
1 368 000
1 512 000
_210 000
1 302 000
_455 700
P846 300
P304 800
P 900 000
36 000
____72 000
P 1 008 000
210 000
450 000
3 600 000
___1 441 500
P 6 709 500
_____10 500*
P 6 720 000
Supporting computations:
(1) Cash= 2.5 % x P 7.2M
(2) Accounts receivable = 20% of P 7.M
(3) Inventory = 37.5 % x P 7.2M
(4) No percentages are computed for fixed assets, notes payable, long-term debt, ordinary shares
and retained earnings because they are not assumed to maintain a direct relationship with sales
volume. For simplicity, depreciation is not explicitly considered.
(5) Accounts payable = 12.5% of P 7.2M
(6) Accrued expenses = 0.5% of P 7.2M
(7) Accrued taxes = 1% of P 7.2M
(8) Retained earnings = P 900 000 + P 846 300 P 304 800
Formula Method
Additional financing needed (AFN) may also be computed as follows:
Additional Funds Needed (AFN) =
Required Increase in Asset Spontaneous Increase in Liabilities Increase in
Retained Earnings
where:
Required Increase in Asset =
Change in sales x (Current assets (present)/ Sales (present))
Spontaneous Increase in Liabilities =
Change in sales x (Current liabilities (present)/ Sales (present))
Increase in Retained Earnings =
Earnings after taxes Dividend payment
Therefore:
AFN =
[(1 200 000) (3 600 000/ 6 000 000) (1 200 000) (840 000/ 6 000 000)
(846 300 304 800)]
= 720 000 168 000 541 500
= P 10 500