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SPOTLIGHT REPORT
October 2015
Executive Summary
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
94
19
96
19
Brewpubs
19
Microbreweries
Regional Breweries
Craft Breweries
Non-Craft Breweries
Total Breweries
13-14
GROWTH
(%)
13-14
GROWTH
2,863
3,418
19.4%
556
54
46
-14.8%
-8
2,917
3,464
18.8%
548
13-14
GROWTH
(%)
Craft Breweries
$16.1
$19.6
21.7%
Non-Craft Breweries
$83.9
$81.9
-2.4%
$100.0
$101.5
1.5%
Total Sales
EMPLOYMENT
(FTE*)
# OF CRAFT
BREWERIES^
California
$4,693
13.8%
44,720
444
$2,316
6.8%
20,171
113
New York
$2,191
6.5%
20,818
154
Pennsylvania
$1,964
5.8%
20,867
139
Colorado
$1,634
4.8%
19,251
175
Illinois
$1,324
3.9%
13,982
114
Oregon
$1,295
3.8%
14,883
207
Ohio
$1,261
3.7%
10,731
103
Washington
$1,006
3.0%
13,148
246
$33,893
100.0%
363,703
3,418
% OF TOTAL
ECONOMIC
IMPACT
Texas
ECONOMIC
IMPACT
(MILLIONS)
REGION
U.S. TOTAL
# OF
BREWERIES
2014
34% Yes
52% No
Multi-Tenant
Single-Tenant
Regional 19.1%
Millions
YEAR ESTABLISHED
7.0
BREWPUBS
MICRO
REGIONAL
8,543
9,442
47,454
20,682
1990-1999
7,946
13,664
45,813
15,179
2000-2009
7,119
9,270
22,197
9,673
2010+
7,732
6,702
57,164
7,717
7,733
7,569
42,088
9,758
5.0
4.0
3.0
Grand Total
ALL
1980-1989
6.0
80.9%
Micro
48.2%
20,682
% of Colliers
Markets
with Incubator 51.8%
Space
20,000
15,179
15,000
Brewpub
51.0%
49.0%
9,673
10,000
2.0
5,0000%
50%
Multi-tenant
0.0
7,717
52% No
34% Yes
100%
Single Tenant
Millions
9
+
1980-1989
1990-1999
2000-2009
2010+
9 observes
As reported in their
August
IBIS
that
9report,
89 2015
80
10
00
-19
19
-19
20
-2
0
r
0
9
0parallel
o
8
i beer production
Sources: CoStar, Colliers International
9
regional craft
tends
to
the
nearby
0
r
9
1
1
0
2
tP
Sources: CoStar, Colliers International
Es (areas of higher population tend to have a higher
population
Source: Colliers International
Brewpub
Micro
Regional
share of establishments). Additionally, relative to their large beer
Total Occupied SF by Type, Year Established
manufacturing
counterparts,
the smaller size of craft beer
Sources:
CoStar, Colliers International
Total
Occupied SF by Type, Year Established
establishments means that craft beer operations tend to prefer to
8.0
be near major metro areas. Our survey findings confirm this.
Colliers surveyed the space of 1,457 craft breweries across 29
7.0
% of Occupied Space by Building Tenancy
markets, which together account for an estimated 14.9 million SF
6.0
of commercial space where beer manufacturing occurs.Real Estate Formats Used by Craft
Breweries
5.0
Flex
0.10
4.0
Multi Tenant
3.5 Multi-Tenant
3.0 39.9%
3
Single Tenant
Single-Tenant
60.1%
2.52.0
21.0
1.50.0
99
89
09
80
-19
19
20
-19 International
1
0
r
0
Sources:
CoStar,
Colliers
9
0o
8
i
9
0
r
9
1
1
20
tP
0.5Es
Brewpub
Growth Phase
Micro
Mature Growth
Sources: CoStar, Colliers International
Phase
Sources: CoStar, Colliers International
Regional
Stabilization /
Maturity Phase
1.7
1.6
1.5
Retail-industrial
2.38
1.4
Retail-restaurant
1.3
1.2
Retail-bar
1.1
Retail-store
1.38
1.29
0.57
1
Industrial-Warehouse
CA
PA 0.38 , OR
, IL
o,
go
d
ia ,
ieg
ic a
ph
lan
l
t
h
D
r
e
C
n
Po
ilad
Sa
0.10
Office
Ph
n
De
ver
,C
0.5
1.5
10
20
Regional
2.5
Top 5 Metros
Craft
Brewery
SF Growth
Top 5 Metrosby
by Craft
Brewery
Growth (% growth
13'-14')
(% growth 13-14)
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
,N
tte
lo
ar
Ch
o,
ag
ic
Ch
IL
ia,
b
lum
SC
Co
o,
eg
i
nD
Sa
CA
on
rm
Ve
25000
3% Stabilization/
20000
Maturity Phase
20,682
15,179
15000
9,673
10000
7,717
5000
Source: Colliers International
As of September 10, 2015 Heineken has a 50% stake in Lagunitas in an effort to expand operations globally. Lagunitas will no longer be considered a craft
brewery since
0 Heineken has a stake greater than 25%.
1980-1989
1990-1999
2000-2009
2010+
Millions
90%
1.6
21% Mature
Growth Phase
70%
60%
Regional
19.1%
3% Stabilization/
Maturity Phase
40%
30%Micro
48.2%
51.8%
20%
10%
Charlotte, NC
Chicago, IL
Brewpub
51.0%
49.0%
50%
Multi-Tenant
Source:
Colliers
International
San
Diego, CA
Vermont
Columbia, SC
0%
% of Occupied
Space
by Building
Tenancy
Type
% of
Occupied
Space
by&Building
76% Growth
Phase
80.9%
50%
100%
Single-Tenant
%%ofofSingle
vs. Multi-Tenant
by Year Established:
Space Single
vs. Multi-TenantSpace
by Yr Established:
Regional Breweries
Regional Breweries
Tenancy
4,000
100%
Total Occupied SF by Type, Year Established
Regional 19.1%
Micro
80.9%
Multi Tenant
Multi-Tenant
Single Tenant
Single-Tenant
39.9%
60.1%
48.2%
Millions
51.8%
51.0%
3,000
3.0
49.0%
2,000
1,500
100%
18.9%
11.3%
500
1990-1999
10.5%
1980-1989
2.0
50%
40.6%
1,000
Multi-Tenant
2000-2009
96
94
19
19
1.0
0%
81.1%
88.7%
89.5%
20%5.0
0%4.0
59.4%
2,500
40%
6.0
Sources:Sources:
CoStar, Colliers
International
CoStar,
Colliers International
Brewpub
3,500
80%
8.0
60%
7.0
98 000
19
2010+
Brewpubs
00
2
2
Single-Tenant
06
04
20
20
Microbreweries
08
20
10
20
12
20
Regional Breweries
0.0
9
Real Estate Formats Used by
Craft Breweries
+
89
Source:
09 Association
80
99 Brewers
10
or
19
19
-1
0-
90
20
0-
20
8
Multi-Tenant
Single-Tenant
9
0
ri
19 formats 1were
Colliers
markets were asked
for the top 3 craft beer brands in their market and to identify
which
used
20 by those brands:
tP
Es
Top
5 Metros
by
Craft
Brewery
Inventory
Share
of Top
Craft
Breweries
inofEach
Market by Tye of Facilty
Share of Top%
Craft
Breweries
inBreweries
Each
Market
Tye
Facilty
of Top
Craft
inbyEach
Market
by Type of
Millions
Facility
1.7
Total Occupied SF by
Type, Year Established
Retail-Industrial
Retail-Industrial
1.6
Millions
etail-Restaurant
8.0
Retail-Bar
7.0
6.0
Retail-Store
79.3%
79.3%
46.0%
1.5
Retail-Restaurant
1.4
1.3
46.0%
43.0%
Retail-Bar
43.0%
19.0%
Retail-Store
19.0%
ior
Es
r
tP
0
98
Sources: CoStar,
9 Colliers International
9
98
-1
80
19Craft
Brewpub
9
-19
99
0-
9
00
Sources: CoStar,
International
2.31 Colliers
Facility by
Maturity
of Market
80%
25,000
80%
20,682
20,000
0
01
15,000
40%Retail-industrial
Retail-restaurant
10,000
20%
Retail-bar
0%
5,000
Regional
Growth
Retail-store
Industrial-Warehouse
0
1980-1989
0
1 Commercial
Beer
Real Estate Spotlight | Colliers International
20
Micro
90%
100%
60%
1.2
5.0
12.7%
trial-Warehouse Industrial-Warehouse
12.7%
1.1
4.0
Flex 3.3%
Flex 3.3%
1
3.0
L
R
A
I
PA
CO
,
,C
,O
Office 3.3%
ia ,
er,
ago Office ph3.3%
go
nd
v
e
c
a
2.0
i
i
l
n
l
t
r
e
Ch
De
nD
Po
ilad
Sa
Ph 0%60% 20%
0%
20%
40%
80% 40%
100%
60%
80% 100%
1.0
0.0
3.00
Share of
Top Craft
Breweries
Using a Retail-Industrial
Share of Top Craft
Breweries
Using
a Retail-Industrial
Brewpub
Micro
Regional
% Facility
of TopbyCraft
Breweries
Using
a
Retail-Industrial
5 Metros
by
Craft
Brewery
Growth
(% growth 13'-14')
Facility
by Maturity
of
Market
Maturity
ofTop
Market
2.50
Office
80%
70%
2.38
40%
40%
30%
20%
20%
1.38
9,673
1.29
7,717
0% Mature Growth
Stabilization/
10% 0.57
Growth
Mature Growth
Stabiliz
Charlotte, NC
Chicago, IL Maturity
Columbia, SC San Diego, CA
V
Matu
0.38
1990-1999
2000-2009
2010+
Sources: CoStar,
Colliers International
0.10
Flex
60%
60%
50% 15,179
0.10
Findings
RANK:
ESTIMATED SF
RANK: SF
GROWTH
RATE
13-14
Chicago, IL
18
Philadelphia, PA
26
10
Portland, OR
14
San Diego, CA
MARKET
RANK: PERCAPITA
FOOTPRINT
RANK: TOTAL
BREWERIES
RANK: TOTAL
BREWERIES
IN PLANNING
RANK: AVG HH
EXPENDITURE
ON BEER &
ALE (MSA)
27
16
17
28
Denver, CO
19
14
Seattle, WA
28
11
21
8
Cincinnati, OH
20
13
14
Asheville, NC
15
17
24
Minneapolis-St.Paul, MN
22
14
19
26
Vermont
10
12
22
Boston, MA
11
22
17
24
Houston, TX
12
25
15
26
23
Milwaukee, WI
13
18
18
25
Cleveland, OH
14
25
15
16
St. Louis, MO
15
17
20
20
18
10
Atlanta, GA
16
16
24
14
11
20
19
NYC/Long Island, NY
17
23
29
11
Madison, WI
18
24
16
23
13
Maine
19
12
13
10
10
22
Nashville, TN
20
10
19
19
Charlotte, NC
21
23
25
21
11
Kansas City, MO
22
21
21
22
20
15
South Florida
23
13
28
21
12
18
San Francisco, CA
24
12
24
13
29
Grand Rapids, MI
25
27
16
23
25
Charleston, SC
26
17
27
28
6
4
Columbus, OH
27
11
26
26
27
Greenville, SC
28
29
29
15
Columbia, SC
29
27
28
29
12
Grand Total
14,921,662
20.7%
0.15
1,457
418
$164.47
Sources: CoStar, Brewers Association, Colliers International, Investopedia, BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey, American Community Survey
Note: Estimated SF only includes brewpubs, micro & regional breweries. We took averages of brewpubs and microbreweries based on year established (1980-1989, 1990-1999,
2000-2009, 2010-present) to develop estimates of space where data was not readily available.
Conclusion
The rise of craft beer in recent years is attributable to changing
tastes, which have led consumers to seek out a more localized diverse
selection of beer. Craft brewing continues to take market share
away from traditional non-craft brewers. If the recent trends are any
indication of the future of the craft brewery market for the US, then
the forecast is indeed bright for craft beer. In the markets surveyed by
Colliers International there are more than 400 breweries in the planning
stages. Should all those planned breweries ultimately open their doors,
we can estimate an additional 3.1 million SF of craft brewery inventory
to be occupied in the near future based on typical brewery sizes, which
will boost the already-burgeoning craft beer industry. The vast majority
of these new breweries will continue to follow the existing model
of primarily occupying industrial space, while also including a retail
component within their operational space.
Of the 29 markets surveyed, the top 5 markets represent 45% of the
total space occupied by craft breweries and 50% of breweries in the
planning phase. The larger markets will continue to see the bulk of
growth in commercial real estate space occupied by breweries, but
smaller craft beer markets present growth opportunities as well. Lesssaturated craft beer markets like Milwaukee, New York City/Long Island,
and Nashville only represent 9% of the total craft beer inventory, but
Jeff Simonson
Senior Research Analyst | USA
+1 760 930 7941
jeff.simonson@colliers.com
88
Although the IBIS World: 2015 Craft Beer Production Industry Report
projects a somewhat flattening growth in the next few years relative to
the last few years, the real impact of craft beer in the commercial real
estate sector will be felt as existing craft breweries capture a larger
market share and begin to implement expansion plans to facilitate the
distribution of their product across markets more efficiently. As craft beer
gains market share, there will be increasing pressure by the major beer
companies to protect their profits, which will inevitably result in more
buyouts of craft brewers. Such buyouts would reduce growth in craft
brewery space due to consolidation of the industry. Nevertheless, the
craft beer industry will continue to be a growth industry both in market
share and within the commercial real estate arena as a result of its
engaged and growing consumer base.
Pete Culliney
Director of Research | Global
+1 212 716 3698
pete.culliney@colliers.com
Colliers International
666 Fifth Avenue
New York, NY 10103
+1 212 716 3500
colliers.com
International
North American Research & Forecast Report | Q4 2014
| Office Market Outlook | Colliers International