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Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
QQQ
2,561.70 INR
2645.00 INR
0.97
1.53
5,017.67
Exemplary
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
Morningstar Pillars
Analyst
Quantitative
Economic Moat
Valuation
Uncertainty
Financial Health
Narrow
QQQ
Medium
Wide
Fairly Valued
High
Strong
Quantitative Valuation
TCS
IND
Undervalued
Fairly Valued
Overvalued
Current
5-Yr Avg
1.02
23.5
20.2
34.2
1.53
24.7
32.4
42.6
1.10
Sector Country
0.87
21.7
15.6
14.5
20.4
1.80
0.81
18.0
20.4
9.8
10.5
1.05
Source: Morningstar
Bulls Say
OThe growing adoption of IT services in
continental Europe and emerging markets
provides a long-term growth avenue for TCS. We
expect the firm to supplement its organic growth
in these markets with acquisitions.
OTCS is poised to benefit from spending related
to emerging SMAC technologies. The firms early
investments in a Silicon Valley customer
collaboration center and its digital enterprise
offerings should help drive its future service
relevance.
OThe company boasts one of the lowest attrition
rates in the industry (approximately 12%), which
helps with operating stability.
Bears Say
OTCS derives a significant portion of its revenue
from banking, financial services, and insurance,
North America, and application development and
maintenance. Any notable pullback in these
businesses will have a magnified effect on the
firms operating performance.
OTCS has to quell ongoing wage inflation, which
has the potential to eat into operating margins.
OThe company lacks a strong consulting practice
and is exposed to commodification. Therefore, it
needs to continually innovate in order to remain
relevant in the marketplace.
Analyst Note
Investment Thesis
Late last week TCS reported a solid start to its fiscal year.
Good demand from the company's core markets such as
North America, Financial Services, Retail, and Life
Sciences helped drive healthy bookings and constant
currency revenue growth. As a result, our outlook for the
year remains unchanged and we reiterate our INR 2,645
fair value estimate and narrow economic moat rating.
Economic Moat
Andrew Lange, Analyst, 16 April 2015
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
QQQ
2,561.70 INR
2645.00 INR
0.97
1.53
5,017.67
Exemplary
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
Close Competitors
Currency (Mil)
Market Cap
TTM Sales
Operating Margin
TTM/PE
USD
65,507
32,817
13.47
22.78
USD
36,930
10,752
17.91
25.19
USD
30,024
7,670
20.32
21.98
Risk
established within a client, TCS end-to-end services
portfolio and ubiquitous global presence allow the firm to
cross-sell and develop deeper roots with clients. At the
end of fiscal 2014, TCS had expanded its $1 million-plus
client base to more than 1,500 from roughly 360 in 2005,
which demonstrates its ability to attract and expand
within large clients. In addition, we estimate group
revenue from repeat business to be in the high 90s. This
high rate of repeat business exemplifies clients
reluctance to switch between IT service vendors as
established end-to-end vendors become more intertwined
in the central IT operations of its customers. Still, we are
reluctant to assign TCS a wide economic moat, given the
firms use of an industrial model that leverages a largely
junior workforce that often relies on scale to be
competitive. In addition, TCS lacks a strong consulting
practice and faces competitive threats in service areas
such as business process outsourcing and application
development and maintenance.
Valuation
Andrew Lange, Analyst, 16 April 2015
Management
Andrew Lange, Analyst, 02 March 2015
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
QQQ
2,561.70 INR
2645.00 INR
0.97
1.53
5,017.67
Exemplary
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
QQQ
2,561.70 INR
2645.00 INR
0.97
1.53
5,017.67
Exemplary
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
of
Late last week TCS reported a solid start to its fiscal year.
Good demand from the company's core markets such as
North America, Financial Services, Retail, and Life
Sciences helped drive healthy bookings and constant
currency revenue growth. As a result, our outlook for the
year remains unchanged and we reiterate our INR 2,645
fair value estimate and narrow economic moat rating.
TCS' recent results continue to reinforce our view of the
digital era (or what we have previously termed as
Outsourcing 2.0). We believe the proliferation of digital
technologies will require the offshore Indian IT service
vendors to provide more operationally differentiated
services instead of just traditional cost-cutting. Notably,
during the quarter, TCS announced the launch of a new
AI-based automation platform called Ignio. Ignio aims to
automate most of the tasks that currently make up IT
maintenance and has the ability to pre-emptively fix
system failures before they happen. We foresee these
types of technology platforms to help drive digital-related
revenue streams in the next era of IT outsourcing. To that
end, TCS also broke out its digital revenue for the first
time. Digital, which is spread across numerous service
lines, contributed to 12.5% of group revenue for the
quarter and grew double-digits on a sequential basis.
Management is adamant that over the midterm most of
TCS' services will be predominantly digitally focused, and
we agree. In order to meet this new operating paradigm
and future demand environment, the firm plans to re-skill
its work force via its Digital Learning Platform, which will
train roughly 100,000 employees to be more digital savvy
across all industry verticals. We think these strategic
moves will help TCS defend its narrow moat position and
keep competitive and technology risks at bay for the
foreseeable future. Still, we see the firm fairly valued at
these levels and would recommend a larger margin of
safety before investing.
Tata Reports Solid Full-Year Results and BroadBased Growth; Shares Fairly Valued
Andrew Lange, Analyst, 16 April 2015
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Page
Page
5 of1 8of 1
Quantitative Equity Report | Release Date: 21 July 2015 | Reporting Currency: INR | Trading Currency: INR
Sector
Industry
2,561.70
2,526.92
5,051.9
a Technology
Information Technology
Services
Country of Domicile
IND India
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Sales/Share
Forecast Range
Forcasted Price
Dividend
Split
Total Return
Quantitative Scores
2,992
Scores
Momentum:
Quantitative Moat
Wide
100
Valuation
Fairly Valued 12
Quantitative Uncertainty High
96
Financial Health
Strong
92
100
14
98
83
2,244
100
5
100
94
1,496
2,345.00
52-Wk
2,839.70
5-Yr
2,839.70
748
TCS
828.55
IND
Undervalued
Fairly Valued
Overvalued
Valuation
Sector
Median
Country
Median
24.7
32.4
42.6
1.10
9.3
5.6
0.87
21.7
15.6
14.5
20.4
1.80
2.1
1.5
0.81
18.0
20.4
9.8
10.5
1.05
1.1
0.8
Sector
Median
Country
Median
11.6
6.2
0.4
10.1
3.5
6.5
1.02
23.5
20.2
34.2
1.53
9.2
5.5
Profitability
Return on Equity %
Return on Assets %
Revenue/Employee (Mil)
3.1
41.2
29.6
2.2
Score
100
Quantitative Moat
80
60
40
20
0
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Financial Health
Current 5-Yr Avg
Distance to Default
Solvency Score
Assets/Equity
Long-Term Debt/Equity
2015
Sector
Median
Country
Median
0.6
459.9
1.6
0.1
0.6
558.7
1.9
0.2
0.8
1.4
0.0
1.4
0.0
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
29.9
40.4
37.6
47.1
27.2
7.4
29.9
32.1
28.4
60.9
26.1
30.2
24.1
29.5
29.0
25.8
26.6
24.0
0.9
17.0
10.4
-7.4
74.9
56.6
21.2
24.5
1.5
-5.0
1.38
25.1
6.1
1.35
18.7
4.1
1.10
27.2
5.9
1.33
23.3
5.6
1.53
23.5
5.5
Total Return %
+/ Market (Morningstar World
Index)
Dividend Yield %
Price/Earnings
Price/Revenue
Undervalued
Fairly Valued
Overvalued
3,585
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
TTM
300,289
8.0
373,245
24.3
488,938
31.0
629,895
28.8
818,094
29.9
919,797
12.4
82,896
70,006
110,206
32.9
90,680
139,233
26.3
104,135
180,897
29.9
139,173
254,019
40.4
191,639
283,856
11.7
214,971
Operating Income
% Change
Net Income
74,062
-10,448
63,614
21.2
66,381
-18,503
47,878
12.8
70,084
-20,071
50,013
10.2
116,150
-26,378
89,771
14.3
147,514
-31,262
116,253
14.2
147,514
-31,262
116,253
12.6
35.67
33.0
32.50
46.27
29.7
24.46
53.07
14.7
24.46
70.99
33.8
25.48
97.67
37.6
45.79
109.67
12.3
59.31
EPS
% Change
Free Cash Flow/Share
11.00
94.35
1,957
6.00
125.20
1,957
17.00
125.20
1,959
17.00
151.13
1,959
25.00
248.61
1,959
34.00
247.41
1,959
Dividends/Share
Book Value/Share
Shares Outstanding (Mil)
41.0
27.9
23.3
1.20
1.5
42.1
30.1
24.3
1.24
1.3
38.4
28.0
21.3
1.32
1.4
40.7
29.7
22.1
1.34
1.4
43.6
32.1
23.4
1.37
1.4
23.4
1.4
Profitability
Return on Equity %
Return on Assets %
Net Margin %
Asset Turnover
Financial Leverage
39.5
27.6
720
39.1
29.5
368
38.7
28.5
28
37.8
28.7
15
39.5
31.1
10
43.4
30.9
Gross Margin %
Operating Margin %
Long-Term Debt
184,667
7.1
245,048
7.7
295,792
8.4
386,457
8.9
491,948
9.0
550,240
Total Equity
Fixed Asset Turns
Dec
245.0
212.9
160.7
132.0
Mar
215.5
164.3
132.6
Total
818.1
629.9
488.9
26.78
23.63
17.51
27.20
27.20
18.10
14.30
27.27
18.46
14.70
97.67
70.99
53.07
34.3
32.5
31.2
22.9
21.0
13.5
2013
2014
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information
contained herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution
is prohibited without written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869.
16.1
15.1
2015
Morningstar
Morningstar Equity
Equity Analyst
Analyst Report
Report |Page 6 of 8
Fundamental Economic
Fair Value
Moat Rating Estimate
Analysis
Uncertainty
Assessment
QQQQQ
QQQQ
QQQ
QQ
Q
Star
Rating
Economic Moat
The economic moat concept is a cornerstone of Morningstars investment philosophy and is used to distinguish high-quality companies with sustainable competitive advantages. An economic moat is a structural
feature that allows a firm to sustain excess returns
over a long period of time. Without a moat, a companys profits are more susceptible to competition. Companies with narrow moats are likely to achieve normalized excess returns beyond 10 years while wide-moat
companies are likely to sustain excess returns beyond
20 years. The longer a firm generates economic profits,
the higher its intrinsic value. We believe lower-quality
no-moat companies will see their returns gravitate to-
ward the firms cost of capital more quickly than companies with moats will. We have identified five sources of
economic moats: intangible assets, switching costs,
network effect, cost advantage, and efficient scale.
Uncertainty Rating
The Morningstar Uncertainty Rating demonstrates our
assessment of a firms cash flow predictability, or valuation risk. From this rating, we determine appropriate
margins of safety: The higher the uncertainty, the wider
the margin of safety around our fair value estimate before our recommendations are triggered. Our uncertainty ratings are low, medium, high, very high, and extreme. With each uncertainty rating is a corresponding
set of price/fair value ratios that drive our recommendations: Lower price/fair value ratios (<1.0) lead to positive recommendations, while higher price/fair value
Economic Moat
C O M PE T I T I V E F O R C E S
WIDE
Moat Sources:
Intangible
Assets
NARROW
NONE
Switching
Costs
COMPANY PROFITABILITY
Network
Effect
Cost
Advantage
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Efficient
Scale
Morningstar
Morningstar Equity
Equity Analyst
Analyst Report
Report |Page 7 of 8
Quantitative Uncertainty: This rating describes our level of uncertainty about the accuracy of our quantitative
fair value estimate. In this way it is analogous to Morningstars fair value uncertainty ratings.
Quantitative Economic Moat: The quantitative moat
rating is analogous to Morningstars analyst-driven
economic moat rating in that both are meant to describe the strength of a firms competitive position.
Uncertainty Rating
Price/Fair Value
2.00
Q
1.75
175%
1.50
1.25
1.00
0.75
155%
125%
95%
135%
105%
80%
125%
115%
110%
QQQ
90%
85%
80%
70%
60%
0.50
50%
QQQQ
QQQQQ
0.25
Low
Uncertainty Rating
Medium
High
Very High
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. See last page for important disclosures.
Last Price
Price/Fair Value
Dividend Yield %
Industry
Stewardship
QQQ
2,561.70 INR
2645.00 INR
0.97
1.53
5,017.67
Exemplary
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
21 Jul 2015
Conflicts of Interest:
-No material interests are held by Morningstar or the
Equity Analyst in the financial products that are the
subject of the research reports or the product.
2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. Data as originally reported. The information contained
herein is not represented or warranted to be accurate, correct, complete, or timely. This report is for information purposes only, and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Redistribution is prohibited without
written permission. To order reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869.