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Speaking Notes Annette Frick

Design features for an effective wind energy policy for Viet Nam
Expert Workshop,
14-15 May, InterContinental Hotel Hanoi, Viet Nam

Dear Mr Cuong,
Distinguished guests,
Ladies and Gentlemen,

It is a great pleasure to welcome you all on behalf of the German Embassy to this workshop Design
features for an effective wind energy policy in Vietnam.

I am glad to see all the government institutions as well as the energy industry, both public and
private represented here, to discuss the policy framework for wind power in the next two days.

From our experience in renewable energy in Germany, I can tell you: dialogue between all
stakeholders is a critical element to make sure renewable energy markets develop at a rate that is
economically sustainable and acceptable to the entire society.

The German government is eager to share the German experience in the renewable energy sector
also through its development cooperation abroad. This is why we have committed ourselves to
making energy a priority sector in our cooperation with the government of Vietnam. On the basis of
Vietnams Green Growth Strategy we want to support especially the development of renewable
energy technologies as well as energy efficiency.

Both, our financial cooperation through KFW, as well as our technical cooperation through GIZ, are
working closely with the Ministry of Industry and Trade, as well as EVN and other institutions in the
energy sector. Projects and programmes are financed by a variety of German Federal Ministries (BMZ
/ BMUB / BMWi), all of them striving to design modern and sustainable energy policies on the basis
of their respective mandate

At this point, I would like to take the opportunity and thank you, Mr Cuong, and your Ministry and its
staff, for the fruitful and friendly cooperation in recent years, and also extend my word of thanks to
the colleagues from MOIT/GDE and GIZ for the organisation of this workshop!

As most of you know, the most prominent of the renewable energy technologies that we are jointly
working on, is wind power. Vietnam has an excellent potential for electricity generation from wind
resources. We acknowledge that Vietnam has a pressing need to expand its power generation
capacity. In the foreseeable future renewable energy alone is not sufficient in the short-term to
cover the increase of electricity demand.

BUT: renewable energy technologies, and wind power in particular, can make a big contribution to
meeting this need for power. In addition, renewable energy sources offer the opportunity to embark
on the transition to a more sustainable, green and CO2 neutral energy system that can even develop
a new industrial sector, and thereby create many new jobs.

To realise this potential, however, we need a conducive environment. Let me mention three brief
points which, judging from our experiences in Germany, may be decisive also for the development of
the RE sector in Vietnam.

The experience we have made in Germany has taught us that the transition of the energy system
towards renewables, which we call Energiewende (energy transition), is not an easy at times
even painful process as tough political decisions will have to be taken It is a challenge for an
industrialised country like Germany, and even more so for Vietnam. Nevertheless, I believe emerging
markets and economies such as Vietnam can benefit from experiences other countries have made
and thereby shorten the learning process

Renewable energy markets around the world have developed very quickly in the last few years.
Germany has been at the forefront, but so have Denmark, Spain, China, Brazil, and many others.
Most recently, South Africa, Egypt, and Morocco have made big steps forward and in this region,
the Philippines and Thailand present notable success stories.

While those countries differ widely in their economic structure and capacities, one thing they all have
in common is the following:

1) Renewable Energy deployment will not work without the private sector!

On the one hand, it is evident that the public sector does not have the capacity to cover the largescale investments that are required. We need private investors to step in, and provide capital for
wind power projects.

Neither has the public sector the flexibility, the entrepreneurial skills, and the innovative capacity
that is required to realise the energy transition.

Of course, the next point I am going to make, is one, that we all have heard a number of times, BUT,
in my view, it is still an important point to be made as long as it has not been achieved:

2) An attractive, and comprehensive, policy framework is needed to get the private sector on
board.

We, the public sector, have the responsibility to set the framework right. On the one hand, it should
ensure that the Government of Vietnam is not spending more on the development of a wind power
market than it has to. There should be no windfall profits for investors that eventually translate into
a loss for the tax-payer.

On the other, the framework provided, and the incentives given, have to be attractive enough for
investors to make a reasonable amount of profit from it.

This, of course, concerns the Feed-in Tariff, which GIZ has been working on closely with MOIT to help
adjust it to a reasonable level. And we will this discuss this in much greater detail later today.

At least as important, however, is to provide an overarching framework that defines all the processes
and procedures, regulations, and responsibilities of institutions in a clear and transparent way to
investors.

In Germany, we have done this in our Renewable Energy Law (Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz, EEG). It
clearly defines all mechanisms and regulations for renewable energy markets.

Before Germany started in 2000 implementing the first Law (EEG), there was no renewable energy
industry and the general know-how about wind energy was very limited. The only wind turbines that
had been installed were those of research institutes and private enthusiasts or environmentalists
from their private funds.

Since then, the electricity generation from wind power has increased tenfold! In 2014 alone, we have
installed nearly 5,000 MW (4,750 MW) of additional wind power capacity. The share of wind power
in overall electricity production is now 8.6 %.

Prices for wind power production have dropped substantially in Germany. The average
remuneration for wind energy is expected to be 9.6 EUR cents in 2015 and is expected to decline
further. However, the German market has also led to price reductions abroad, through learning
curves and significantly decreasing technology prices.

Now, of course we have our very own challenges in the energy sector in Germany with our aim to
phase out nuclear power by 2022, while reducing our CO2 emissions substantially at the same time.

However: to date, the Renewable Energy Law (EEG) has been a big success for us and has also
contributed to the development of an entire industry. The wind sector has increasingly
professionalised and on a macroeconomic level, Germany has profited substantially from it. We have
attracted lots of investment, have created thousands of jobs and have exported substantially and
this leads me to my third and last point:

3) Wind power creates jobs and industrial development

From the perspective of development cooperation, and indeed the perspective of a country on the
trajectory from a developing country towards an industrialised economy, I believe this is a critical
point.

With a clear policy framework, the wind power sector in Vietnam will be able to attract substantial
private investments, from both foreign as well as domestic capital investments that the public
sector does not have to make.

At the same time, if capacities and skills are build up at all levels, there will first be hundreds, and
later thousands of jobs in the wind industry. In the beginning, this will certainly involve construction,
as well as operation and maintenance. But once the market has been established, it will also move up
to the step of building up manufacturing capacities.

To support this process of local value creation, a highly technological sector such as wind power,
requires qualified people. For German Development Cooperation, this is a particularly fruitful field of
cooperation, linking our two priority areas Technical Vocational Training and Education (TVET) and
Energy. We very much look forward to working with the wind and the TVET sector to support the
training of wind technicians, for example.

Ladies and Gentlemen, let me conclude

The current situation provides an excellent opportunity for Vietnam to enter the wind market.
Vietnam will, in my view, benefit substantially in the medium- to long-term from the development of
a wind power market.

From the viewpoint of a development partner in Vietnam let me say that the indicator for successful
cooperation in the wind sector is not the construction and operationalization of a wind park, but
ultimately the up-scaling and widespread application of technologies. We are proven right when
whatever development impulse has been given by ODA will be up-scaled by market mechanisms on
the basis of sound regulatory frameworks.

Learning from international experiences in numerous other countries, Vietnam can avoid undesirable
developments that have taken place elsewhere (e.g. Germany). At a global level, the industry is well
established, the technology is proven, turbine prices are falling and the lessons of the economics of
the wind market have been learned elsewhere, all of this making it easier for Vietnam than for
preceding countries to introduce wind power

In this sense, I wish us a successful workshop and hope that the discussions taking place today and
tomorrow will lead to the conclusion of a regulatory framework that, this time, is attractive enough
to stimulate the wind energy market in Vietnam.

Thank you very much for your attention!

Implemented by

Ministry of Industry and Trade


General Directorate of Energy

German Development Cooperation in Viet Nam


Energy Sector

Page 1

Implemented by

Contents
1. Context of cooperation in the energy sector
2. GIZ Energy Support Programme
3. GIZ support on wind power 2014-2018

4. Objectives of the workshop

Page 2

Implemented by

GER
EEG

RE TAKE OFF
GLOBALLY

Generation
according revised
PDP VII

120

100
80

2020:
258.8-278.9 TWh

60
40

2030:
515.7-632.1 TWh

20

1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983

Electric P
(kW

1975: Unification

140

kWh per Capita

Energy Production (TWh)

1. Context Electricity Production historically

Electricity production from oil sources


Electricity production from natural gas sources
Electricity production from coal sources
Electricity production from hydroelectric sources
Electricity production from renewable sources, excluding hydroelectric

Source: WB (2015); IEA (2015); GDE (2015)


Page 3

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1. Context Growth of sector revised PDP VII

RE*;
5.0%
Gas/Oil
; 24.5%

Import;
2.1%

* including SHP
**including storage hydropower

RE*; Import;
6.5% 2.4%

Hydro**
; 39.9%

Coal
thermal
; 28.5%

Installed
Capacity

Gas/Oil;
14.8%

2014:
34 GW

Hydro**;
29.1%
Coal
thermal;
47.3%

2020:
61 GW

Nuclear; Import;
RE*; 3.0%
1.3%
10.2%

Gas/Oil;
17.1%

Hydro**;
17.9%

Coal
thermal;
50.4%

2030:
116 GW
Source: GDE (2015)
Page 4

Implemented by

1. Barriers for investments into RE (and EE)


Lack of national
(comprehensive) law
for RE
Limited access to
financing (equity &
debt)

Low electricity price

Limited capacities of
the transmission and
distribution grid

Complex and unclear


procedures for
investments

Limited data
availability (and poor
data quality)

Difficult access to
information

Page 5

2014 Portfolio Presentation GIZ in Vietnam

Implemented by

2. Portfolio GIZ Viet Nam (from July 2013)


GREEN GROWTH AS THE OVERARCHING FRAMEWORK

PRIORITY AREA
Vocational Training

Reform of
Technical and
Vocational
Education and
Training
Hai Phong
Polytechnic College
Bach Nghe

PRIORITY AREA

PRIORITY AREA

Biodiversity and Forest

Renewable Energy
Support Project

Environmental Policy and


sustainable Use of
Natural Resources

Climate Change &


Coastal Ecosystemns

Energy

Upscaling Wind
Energy in Viet Nam
Renewable Energy
and Energy Efficiency

Vocational training
for subway
operation staff

Outside Priority Areas

Centre of
Excellence for
Green TVET

The Macroeconomic Reforms/Green Growth programme


and other supplementary activities form a substantive and
structural bracket over the entire portfolio, generate
synergies, pursue common goals

DOING MORE in LESS AREAS:


Selectivity: 3 priority areas

Selected alignment to Viet Nams


development priorities and goals
Central framework of reference is the
National Green Growth Strategy of
Viet Nam
Concentration on 1-2 strategic
regions in each sector
Strengthening of the policy dialogue
Embassy/VNM-Government
Integrated programmes instead of
projects: Technical and financial
cooperation under one programme
concept and set of goals
Integration of matters of social
inclusion, (political) participation and
partnership with private sectors into
the priority areas

Page 6

Implemented by

2. GIZ Energy Projects in Viet Nam I/II


Energy
Efficiency

G 2 G Negotiations
(07/2013)

Smart Grid (BMZ/DKTI)

Renewable Energy

RE+EE (BMZ)

Wind II (BMZ/DKTI)
Bioenergy I (BMUB/IKI) - RESP
Wind I (BMUB)

2009
Legend:

2010
Preparation

2011

2012

Implementation

2013
Extension

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Project Idea
Page 7

Implemented by

2. GIZ Energy Support Programme areas of activity


GIZ Energy Support Programme
Action Areas
Legal and Regulatory
Frameworks

Capacity
Development

Technology
Cooperation

Policy Strategies

Government
Institutions

Research

Project Developers
and Investors/
Financial
Institutions

Private Sector

Support
Mechanisms
Regulations
Guidelines
Institution Building

Education

TVET

Knowledge Sharing; Thematic Studies; Pilot Projects


Page 8

Implemented by

3. GIZ Energy Support Programme past activities


Biomass

Solid Waste

Decision 24/2014/QD-TTg (29.06.2014)


FiT for electricity from CHP-Biomass
Power: 5.8 US-Cents/kWh
Avoided-Cost Tariff for electricity from
other Biomass plants
Annually calculated based on the
avoided cost for 1 kWh electricity from
imported coal
Duration of PPA: 20 Years

Decision: 31/2014/QD-TTg (05.05.2014)


Feed-in-Tariff for electricity from MSW
Incineration: 10.05 US-Cents/kWh
Landfill-Gas: 7.28 US-Cents/kWh
Duration of PPA: 20 Years

Page 9

Implemented by

3. GIZ Energy Support Programme past activities


Wind Power

GIZ/MoIT Wind
Measurement Campaign
Project from 2010-2015
10 sites in 8 provinces
80 m mast

Decision 37/2011/QD-TTg (29.06.2011)


Feed-in-Tariff for Wind Power
Tariff: 7,8 USCents/kWh (6.8+1)
Duration of PPA: 20 Years
Currently under revision

High quality sensors (5 with GSM connection)


Windspeed (80m/60m/40m) [m/s]
Weibull A-Parameter (80m/60m/40m)
Weigbull k-Parameter (80m/60m/40m)
Turbulence intensity (80m/60m/40m)

Climatological site characteristics:


Temperature (14m) [C]
Air pressure (6m) [hPa]
Relative humidity (14m) [%]

DATA will be published in the Framework of the WB Renewable


Energy Resource Mapping in Open Source Format soon
https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=zKJFPJnc-KLQ.khKu-oq60D0w

Page 10

Implemented by

4. Support on wind power 2014-2018


Action Area 1:
Legal and Regulatory
Frameworks

Action Area 2:
Capacity Development

Policy advice

Capacity Needs Assessment

Feed-in tariff

Action Area 3:
Technology Cooperation

Market information

Support to local banks


Investment Guidelines

Regulation, licensing

Support to local project developers

Strategic advice (local value creation)


Support to wind power association

Support to private sector partnerships

Systems analysis
Technical standards, guidelines, e.g.
ESIAs

Vocational training for wind

Vietnamese German research


cooperation

Short-term training courses

Update wind data quality

Page 11

Implemented by

4. Support on wind power 2014-2018 adjustment FIT

Quantitative:
Wind data
Pre-/feasibility
studies
International
comparison

PDP Targets:
1 GW Wind
Power by 2020
Assumptions
based on P/FS
questionnaires
and international
experience for:
CapEx
O&M
Capacity
Factor

Required investment and


assumed investor structure

Qualitative:
Interviews
Questionnaires
Assessment of
existing
Framework

Basis for analysis

Methodology

GIZ Wind FIT Study (2014)


1 GW by 2020:
Ca. US$ 2.1
billion over
next 5 years
At average debt
level of 70%
US$ 630m
equity
US$ 1.47b
debt
Assumed
investor types:
Highlysubsidized
Strategic
Fully
commercial

FIT
calculation
All investor types
must be targeted
with one FIT
Assumed IRR:
10% (internat.
experience)
Basis for
calculations:
LEC (levelized
costs of
electricity)
Additional
incentives like
tax breaks etc.

Result:
10.4 US/kWh (o-s)
Tariff-funded
levy on the electricity
price for 1GW by 2020
less than 5VND/kWh

General
recommendations:
FIT payment system should be
one-stop-shop (not FiT+VNEPF)
Government guarantee for
payments
Better wind measurements and
improved standards
Enforce standard agreements
(network connection and PPA)

Page 12

Implemented by

5. Objectives of the workshop

Discuss elements of a comprehensive policy for wind power

One comprehensive policy that integrates individual regulation

What does it need to address barriers?

How can we monitor wind power deployment effectively?

Regulation, PPAs, licensing procedures

Local value creation and capacity development

Develop vision for wind power (as part of the wider electricity sector)

In 2030, the wind energy sector in Viet Nam will.

Dialogue between government and private sector => issues of concern

Conclusions of the workshop and recommendations for follow-up


Page 13

Implemented by

Thank you for your attention!!


Ingmar Stelter
Programme Director, GIZ Energy Support Programme
ingmar.stelter@giz.de
+84 (0) 4 39 41 26 05

Page 14

20/05/2015

D N NH MY IN GI PH LC
PHU LAC WIND FARM
Hanoi 5/2015

Managing Agency: MoIT;


Project Proposing Agency: EVN;
Financing Agency: KfW;
Investment Owner: Thuan Binh Wind
Power JSC (TBW)

20/05/2015

Main Parameters
Capacity: 24 MW;
Wind Speed: 6.7m/s (60 m);
Location: Ph Lc Commune, Tuy Phong
District; Bnh Thun Province;
Volume: VND 1,089 bil.

Project Progress
Feasibility Study (FS): approved Jan 2010;
Loan Agreement Signing: 04 July 2013;
Local construction activities: 2013-2014;
Selection of consultants: contract signature Nov
2013;
EPC procurement: 2014-2015;
Expected Start: 6/2015

20/05/2015

TURBINES LAYOUT OF PHU LAC WIND FARM PROJECT

MEETING WITH KfW TO ARANGE THE LOAN FOR PHU LAC PROJECT

20/05/2015

CARRY OUT THE ESIA FOR PHU LAC PROJECT

PUBLIC CONSULTATION MEETING WITH LOCAL PEOPLE

20/05/2015

LAND COMPENSATION - CLEARANCE AT PHU LAC PROJECT

MINES CLEARANCE (PHASE 1)

20/05/2015

NG VO D N TRC KHI XY DNG

NG VO D N HIN TI

20/05/2015

20/05/2015

Main barriers to wind power development in VN


Category
1. Information:

Barriers
Lack of reliable information on: wind
measurement, operations

2.
High costs;
Economic/Financial: Intensive capital;
High domestic loan interest
3. Technical:

Insufficient human resource;


Poor infrastructure: roads, bridges,
ports, lines;
Lack of domestic technologies;
15
After-sales
market, O&M (-)

Biggest barrier:
wind power purchase price!

20/05/2015

EXPERIENCE & RECOMMENDATIONS


FOR INVESTORS:

Decision of financing sources: pros & cons;


Good understanding of current regulations:
rights & obligations;
FOR STATE MANAGEMENT AGENCIES:
Policies: extremely important;
Directions for financing sources.

VI HNH NH V CNG TY CP
PHONG IN THUN BNH (TBW)

SOME PICTURES ABOUT US

20/05/2015

KONG CHRO
PROJECT
3900 ha
EAH LEO
PROJECT
1920ha
LOI HAI PROJECT
523 ha
VINH HAO
PROJECT
572 ha

PHU LAC PROJECT


400ha

THE WIND FARM PROJECTS DEVELOPED BY EVNTBW

TBW TEAM at PHU LAC WIND FARM

10

20/05/2015

AFTER WORKING HOUR

11

20/05/2015

COLLECTING RUBBISH AT THE LOCAL BEACH

CHARITABLE ACTIVITIES TOWARD LOCAL PEOPLE

12

20/05/2015

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

EVNTBW: Clean Energy Friendly People!


25

13

12/05/2015

Best Practices in Wind Energy


by Gilles Beau 24 May 2015

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

Contents

Presentation of The Blue Circle


Presentation of Phuoc Minh & Dam Nai Projects
Best Practices in Wind Energy Industry
Other recommendations

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

12/05/2015

Introduction The Blue Circle

The Blue Circle is an Independent Power Producer:


100% based on Renewable Energies, with a main focus on Wind Power
Strong Team Experience in the Wind, Hydro and Solar Sector
Based in Southeast Asia (Headquarters in Singapore, Subsidiaries in Vietnam
and Thailand, and with presence in Cambodia Phnom Penh)
Initial Focus on Mekong River region (Thailand, Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam)
expanding into Indonesia in 2015

Vertically integrated with wind engineering team based in Singapore

Targeting Electricity Sales, not services or equipment


Independent Power Producer model
Partnership with Armstrong Asset Management

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

International Expertise
Wind

Solar

1,260 MW pipeline developed in France, USA, Vietnam and French West Indies
100 MW pipeline developed in France and USA
218m EUR of equity and bank project financing raised in France, Spain and the USA
7.5m EUR of project financing raised in France and 6m USD in Thailand
Project finance advisory on 500 MW in China, USA and Thailand
Project finance advisory on 37 MW in Thailand, Vietnam and Bangladesh
Wind Engineering experience of 950MW in North America, Australia and South Africa

Biomass
Hydro

12 MW acquired in the USA

2.5m EUR of equity financing raised in the USA

50 MW pipeline acquired in France

Project finance advisory on 110 MW in China

50m EUR of debt financing raised in France and UK

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

12/05/2015

TBC Milestones

The Blue Circle is the only wind focused developer in the Region with:

Development, financing and operating experience;


Local and international experience;
Financing capabilities;
Current portfolio under development of 600MW

Rolling out of Project Portfolio in Vietnam

March 2015: Policy awarded to develop


Dam Nai Wind Project in Ninh Thuan,
Vietnam

June 2014: Policy awarded to develop


Phuoc Minh Wind Project in Ninh Thuan,
Vietnam

Private Equity Investment Armstrong


Asset Management

Incorporation of
The Blue Circle

May 2014: Minority Investment from Armstrong Asset


Management
USD 40 million commitment for the construction of wind and solar
projects in Southeast Asia
SCAF Funding for project development
600 MW pipeline of wind projects under development in
Thailand, Vietnam and Cambodia

Nov 2013

Development of Project pipeline and


team building
2012-2013

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

Phuoc Minh Project

Phuoc Minh Project Location

Expected Capacity of About


30MW

100m Monitoring Mast installed on 14th September 2014

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

12/05/2015

Phuoc Minh Project

Phuoc Minh Project Location

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

Dam Nai Project

Dam Nai Location

Good proximity to the Substation


Relatively good winds expected
100m Monitoring Mast to be installed by End of May 2015
Or Beginning of June 2015

Expected total Capacity is about


40 to 60MW

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

12/05/2015

Best Practices Residential Areas

Example of Regulations or Best practices for Residential areas setback distance (m)
in Wind industry in different countries

The limit of 10dBA increase by the wind farm


is generally accepted in Europe for the night
time which is roughly equivalent to the
proposed 500m setback.

The Blue Circle Recommendation

500m buffer from residential area seems to be an appropriate setback


distance to minimize potential noise, shadow flicker issues

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

Best Practices Transmission Line


Example of Regulations or Best practices for High Voltage Transmission setback
distance (m) in Wind industry in different countries

Example for HV line >110 KV

The Blue Circle Recommendation


-High Tension Power lines (>110Kv) should have a limit of 1.1 x hub height + blade length
from right of way or 200 meters,
-Low tension Power lines (<110Kv) should have a limit of blade length + 10 meters of right of
way.
2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

10

12/05/2015

Best Practices Highway/ Railway


Example of Regulations or Best practices for Highway / Railway setback distance
(m) in Wind industry in different countries

The Blue Circle Recommendation


-Highways, Primary Roads and Railways should have a limit of 1.1 x hub height + blade length
from right of way or 200 meters,
-Other Public Roads excepting Highways should have a limit of blade length + 10 meters from
right of way.
2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

11

Best Practices Distance between


Wind Power plants

There is no real regulations nor best practices to the date on the minimum distance
between wind power projects.
However, The limit for wake loss effect generally accepted internationally between
wind turbines is 7 x rotor diameter in the main wind direction. This distance is also
recommended by turbine manufacturers for fatigue mitigation. Nevertheless, wind
turbines could be much closer if not in the main direction.

The Blue Circle Recommendation


7 x rotor diameter exclusion unless negotiated by the new project with a Consent Letter from
the existing project

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

12

12/05/2015

Best Practices Airport / Airfield /


Airbase

Each country has its own Aviation Authority Regulations with fairly different
recommendations of setbacks depending of importance of the Structure (how
high is the building/tower/wind turbine) and the type of Airport (major,
secondary, local, small airfield - civil, military, small private airfield, VOR or not
(VOR : VHF Omnidirectional Range) )
Generally Runway are oriented along the prevailing main Wind Direction
For Major Civil Airport, a setback distance of around 15km is generally used as
guide for Exclusion area
For secondary Civil airport / Military, a range from 5 to 10km round or elliptical
buffer (along the prevailing Wind direction/runway) are mentioned, though
some turbines have been located much closer at a few airports.

Example for Dam Nai site

The Blue Circle Recommendation


15 km round buffer from Major Airport like HCM, Ha Noi
5 km Elliptical buffer along main run way for secondary airport / military airbase

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

13

Other Recommendations

Some logistics concerns that can have strong impacts on projects


financing (roads, bridge, cranes, )
Grid which may be too weak in some areas to support good
integration and may therefore impacts financing
Permitting Process to be reviewed (for ex : showing proof of
debt financing before Investment Certificate Issuance and
therefore Final Feasibility Studies)
Financing difficult due to Lack of state Warranty on PPA offtaker

The Blue Circle is committed to make Wind Energy become a reality in Vietnam

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

14

12/05/2015

Contact Details

Thank You for your attention

51 Goldhill Plaza #12-11


Singapore, 308900
Email: contact@thebluecircle.sg

128 Payatai Plaza Building #12-C


Phayathai Road
Bangkok, 10400
Thailand

12th Floor, Vincom Center, Crosscoop


72 Le Thanh Ton, District 1
Ho Chi Minh City
Vietnam

Tel (SG): +65 6259 4921


http://www.thebluecircle.sg

2015 The Blue Circle Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

15

Implemented by

Ministry of Industry and Trade


General Directorate of Energy

Best Practices for PPAs and Licensing

Page 1

Implemented by

Best Practices for PPAs and Licensing


The fundamental function of a well-designed PPA is to mitigate
risk.

Graph demonstrates the risk premiums for different components


of infrastructure projects in the developed vs. developing world
Source: Deutsche Bank 2011
14/05/2015

Page 2

Implemented by

Risks

Description & Examples

Economic Risk

Risk that economic factors beyond the control of the project impact revenues, or
profitability: e.g. recessions, macroeconomic shocks, etc.

Political Risk

Risk of political instability, change of govt, etc.

Performance Risk

Risk that the wind or solar resource will fluctuate beyond projections, or
underperform: particularly disruptive if this occurs in the early years

Regulatory Risk

Risk that regulators change the rules of the game (e.g. Spain, Czech Republic with
FIT contracts). Investment performance relies on a stable regulatory regime.

Off-taker Risk

Risk that the buyer (e.g. utility) experiences financial difficulties, and can no longer
honor the PPA, or other obligations.

Technology Risk

Risk of technological malfunction, or higher-than-projected downtime, repairs, etc.

Construction Risk

Risk that construction faces local opposition, or delays due to operational or project
management failures

Revenue Risk

Fluctuations in revenues due to fluctuating prices of green certificates, variable


electricity pool prices for power plants that sell directly into the market, etc.

Currency Risk

Risk that the currency in which sales are denominated changes abruptly or
significantly over time in relation to the currency in which the project was financed
(e.g. EUR, USD)

14/05/2015

Page 3

Implemented by

What is a PPA?
A power purchase agreement (PPA) is a contract between two parties,
one who generates electricity for the purpose (the seller) and one who
is looking to purchase electricity (the buyer).
The PPA defines all of the commercial terms for the sale of electricity
between the two parties, including when the project will begin
commercial operation, schedule for delivery of electricity, penalties for
under delivery, payment terms, and termination.

14/05/2015

Page 4

Implemented by

What is a PPA?
Goal:
The goal of good PPAs is to provide a revenue stream to the
developer that is sufficient to recover their costs for a given project, plus
a reasonable return on investment. This is what constitutes a
bankable PPA.

Page 5

14/05/2015

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


1. A fixed cost-reflective, risk-adjusted tariff:
Tariff offered ($/kWh) to cover costs of building and operating the
electricity plant over its useful life, while allowing for a reasonable
rate of return
Tariff should provide sufficient revenues, or cash flow, to allow for
decommissioning at the end of the projects useful life
Risk-adjustment: areas with higher risk generally require a higher rate
of return in order to attract investment

14/05/2015

Page 6

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


2. Exchange rate:

For countries with more volatile currencies, it is advisable to index the


power purchase agreement in a major currency (EUR, USD, or Yen) in
order to eliminate currency risk.

Major developers will normally prefer to receive their payments in the same
currency as the one their debt payments are due.
This avoids friction losses due to currency exchange fees, and helps
reassure lenders that the cash flows from the project will be sufficient
to honor the projects debt obligations.
Page 7

14/05/2015

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


3. Inflation risk :

A bankable PPA should ideally include some degree of inflation indexation


to take into account inflation and to mitigate the risk that the real value of
the projects cash flows is materially depreciated over the course of the
projects life.

For solar and wind projects an inflation indexation of 5-20% of the tariff
value is generally recommended
should ideally offset, at a minimum, the inflation risk facing the
proportion of project expenditures incurred locally (e.g. O&M
expenses).
14/05/2015

Page 8

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


4. Dispatch risk:

Require utilities to purchase all power produced by the project. This is often
referred to as a take and pay arrangement.
particularly important for wind and solar projects, as these incur large
fixed costs that can only be recovered from power sales, which are
predicated on a certain number of full load hours per year, based on
the local solar or wind resource.
Without a guarantee that the power will be purchased when it is
produced, lenders and investors will be unable to confirm that the
revenues from power sales will be sufficient to cover debt payments.
Page 9

14/05/2015

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


5. Regulatory or Legal Risk :

Clearly stipulate what happens if the laws or regulations change

Clearly stipulate who is responsible for any loss revenues that result
applies to any additional or retroactive taxation that were not part of

the original agreement.


Most lenders require that the utility, or off-taker, assumes any legal or
regulatory risk.

14/05/2015

Page 10

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


6. Force Majeure Risk :

Include clear provisions describing what happens in the event of a major


event that is beyond the control of the project owner or developer (e.g.
tsunami, lightning strike, etc.)

In some cases, these factors will be covered by insurance; in other


cases they will not.

The PPA should clearly outline (or better, negotiate) what risks the
developer or investor is responsible for assuming.

Page 11

14/05/2015

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


7. Dispute resolution mechanism :

Include a dispute resolution mechanism in the event of a disagreement on


the terms of the contract, or agreement.
For major projects, this can occur in an international forum; for smaller
projects, alternative dispute resolution mechanisms should be provided

that ensure a neutral and impartial arbitration.

14/05/2015

Page 12

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


8. Termination clauses:

Outline the specific conditions under which the off-taker or the project owner
can terminate the PPA
Any termination should provide for sufficient grace period to both
parties, as well as cure rights.
Termination clauses should also include specification of a

methodology for determining the total amount of any termination


payment, so that the value of the assets can be compensated.
The termination payment should be equal, at a minimum, to the
14/05/2015

outstanding debt owed by the project developer.

Page 13

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


9. Interconnection risk :

clearly stipulate which party is responsible for connecting the facility to the
network

clearly stipulate how the costs of any additional network upgrades beyond
the connection point with be shared.
In many cases, the costs of any upstream upgrades are assumed by
the utility, and not by the project developer
The project developer is responsible for connecting the facility to the
network at an agreed-upon point, and for building any substations or
14/05/2015

other equipment required to connect the facility.

Page 14

Implemented by

Key Requirements for Bankable PPAs


10. Counterparty risk :

It is critical to identify the counterparty to the PPA (the entity purchasing the
power) and to ensure that it is sufficiently capitalized to make all payments
to IPPs as stipulated in the PPAs.

It is advisable to reduce the complexity of the revenue streams as much as


possible (e.g. the Env. Fund): cash flows should come from one wellcapitalized entity. This reduces counterparty risk.

Also, the entity should be provided with implicit or explicit backing (i.e.
guarantee) from the government of Vietnam.
Page 15

14/05/2015

Implemented by

FIT Licensing Procedures: Ontario, Canada


Example of the Generation License Application Process

Online form submitted detailing location, connection point, etc.

Signed application form (via post)

Check or money order to pay for the license (via post)

A non-refundable application fee of:

$100 for projects of 10.0 megawatts or less;


OR

$1000 for projects of more than 10.0 megawatts;

Also, unless exempt, projects >10MW must pay an annual registration fee of
$800.
Process is simple and streamlined, and uses standard documents and forms

14/05/2015

Page 16

Implemented by

Overview of Licensing Procedure in Viet Nam (1)


Preliminary Study, Approval to Conduct Wind
Measurements: ~21 days total
Site Permit, Land Allocation: ~50 days
Location Registration and Wind Resource Data:
~15 days after receiving application
Market Study, Investment License, Grid
Connection Agreement, PPA Discussion: ~45 days
Preparation of the Site for Wind Construction: 1030 days
Source: AHK Study 2015 Page 17

14/05/2015

Implemented by

Overview of Licensing Procedure in Viet Nam (2)


Investment Report
PPA Contract Agreement
Construction Permit, Ownership Title:
~65 days
Grid Interconnection Contract
Generation License
14/05/2015

Source: AHK Study 2015 Page 18

Implemented by

Comments on Vietnam PPA and Licensing


-

No wind PPA has yet been signed in Vietnam with foreign investors

Process to discuss the contract and PPA issues is time-consuming


and unclear

The process for obtaining an investment license as well as


construction and interconnection-related permits differs by province
and is also often unclear

Tax issues (namely the application of VAT) in the SPPA should be


further clarified

An independent dispute resolution mechanism is still lacking: this


can significantly deter foreign investors

Page 19

14/05/2015

Implemented by

Best Practices for PPAs and Licensing


-

Clear responsibilities within agencies for different stages of the contracting


process: Permits, licenses, grid connection, etc.

Clear coordination between different levels of government

Clear rules at each step of the process: grid code, licensing, environmental
approvals, etc.

One-Stop-Shop for all permits and licensing requirements

Well trained, dedicated agency staff

Clear and standardized online forms and procedures

Sovereign guarantee for the counterparty

Stakeholder feedback forums (e.g. conferences, roundtables, etc.)

Dispute resolution mechanism


14/05/2015

Page 20

10

Implemented by

Concluding Remarks
-

Connecting the PPA procedures with the licensing procedures in a coherent


way is important to streamline project approvals

The process for licensing should be clearly published on a website

The list of required documents should be clear upfront to avoid delays

Many countries moving to a one-stop-shop approach


-

This helps concentrate expertise within a particular government agency, or


department, and cultivate clear institutional roles and responsibilities

14/05/2015

Page 21

Implemented by

Recommendations for the PPA and Licensing Aspects


1.

Provide a clear online portal with a description and diagrams of the


licensing process

2.

Establish a one-stop-shop for for all PPA and licensing-related aspects

3.

Strengthen the PPA counterparty structure by consolidating payment


responsibilities under one entity and providing sovereign backing from the
government

4.

Clarify responsibilities

5.

Build capacities amongst institutions

14/05/2015

Page 22

11

Implemented by

Sample PPAs

World Bank, PPP in infrastructure resource center, http://ppp.worldbank.org/publicprivate-partnership/sector/energy/energy-power-agreements/power-purchaseagreements#key_features

NREL 2010, Power Purchase Agreement Checklist for State and Local Governments
http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/46668.pdf

Ferrey, Steven; Moreno, Alejandro. 2013. Small scale generation : issues in


standardizing power purchase agreements. View point ; no. 337. Washington DC :
World Bank. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/03/17760146/smallscale-generation-issues-standardizing-power-purchase-agreements

http://www.epa.gov/greenpower/buygp/solarpower.htm

Example Wind Power (Sri Lanka): http://www.ceb.lk/download/db_sppa/windpower.pdf

14/05/2015

Page 23

Implemented by

Sample PPAs

RCREEE 2012, Power Purchase Agreement Model for Electricity Generated From
Renewable Energy in RCREEE Member States, http://www.rcreee.org/wpcontent/uploads/2013/03/ModelsGuides_PowerPurchaseAgreementModelForElectricity
GeneratedFromRenewableEnergyInRCREEEMemberStates_2012_EN.pdf

http://mfin.gov.mt/en/home/enemalta/Documents/World%20Bank%20ppa%205.pdf

http://ppp.worldbank.org/public-private-partnership/sector/energy/energy-poweragreements/power-purchase-agreements#key_features

Example Wind Power (Sri Lanka): http://www.ceb.lk/download/db_sppa/windpower.pdf

California (solar): https://ucmshare.ucmerced.edu/docushare/dsweb/Get/Document129839/SOLAR+POWER+PURCHASE+AGREEMENT.pdf

Kenya (larger 10 MW):


http://www.erc.go.ke/images/docs/Standardized_PPA_for_Large_Scale_Generators_M
ore%20than_10MW.pdf

14/05/2015

Page 24

12

Implemented by

Thank you for your attention!


Toby D. Couture
Founder & Director of E3 Analytics

www.e3analytics.eu

Page 25

13

20/05/2015

MINISTRY OF INDUSTRY AND TRADE


General Department of Energy

CURRENT STATUS OF WIND


POWER DEVELOPMENT IN
VIETNAM
Pham Thuy Dung
Lead Specialist, Department of New and Renewable Energies
May 2015

AGENDA
1. Policies and targets for renewable energy
(RE) development
2. Potentials for wind energy resources and
current development of wind power
projects
3. Support policies and mechanisms for
development

4. Constraints, shortcomings and solutions


Pham Thuy Dung Pham Thuy Dung

May 2015

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

20/05/2015

1. Development policies and targets

2012 National Green Growth Strategy goal: Development of a lowcarbon economy on a sustainable basis, reduced GHG emissions and
increased GHG absorption

Reduced GHG emissions to 266 mil. tons of CO2


For energy sector: reduced GHG emissions to 141.1 mil. tons of CO2 (53%) by 2020.
Promotion of effective exploitation and increased RE share as one of key solutions.

PDP VII:

2011-2015: Vietnams power demand continues to increase at 14.1%/year


2016-2020: Reduce to 9.9%/year
2021-2025: Grow at 8.1%/year
2016-2030: Grow at 7.2%/year

In response to this, the GoV plans to increase the RE share in the national
energy mix (Decision 1208/QD-TT):
2020 : RE share of 4.5%
2030 : RE share of 6%.

Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

1. Development policies and targets


RE Share
in power generation and import mix up to 2030
(PDP VII -2011)

2.10%
3%
4.50%

2020

6%

24%
46.80%

2030

4%

19.60%

10%

9%

15%

56%

Pham Thuy Dung

Hydro power
Coal
Natural gas
RE
Nuclear
Imported

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

20/05/2015

1. Development policies and targets


Targets

for RE utilization up to 2030

2020: RE power will account for


approx. 5.6% of total installed
capacity:

RE Capacity (MW)

1000MW from wind power,


500MW from biomass and 2700
MW from other RE types.
2030: RE power will account for
approx. 9.4% of total installed
capacity:
6200MW from wind power,
2000MW from biomass and
5600MW from other RE types.

Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

2.1. Potentials for windpower


Theoretical Potential for Wind Power
Mean speed at
80m height
(m/s)

Estimated Developable
Land Area
(km2)

Theoretical
Potential
(MW)

<4

95,916

959,161

4-5

70,868

708,678

5-6

40,473

404,732

6-7

2,435

24,351

7-8

220

2,202

8-9

20

200

>9

10

Tng

209,933

2,099,333

Source: Wind Resource Atlas of Vietnam, WB report 2010


(assumed average density of 10MW/km2)
Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

20/05/2015

Technical Potential
MoIT 2012 Assessment
No.

Province

H Tnh

Qung Bnh

Kon Tum

Bnh nh

Gia Lai

Ph Yn

Daklak

District

Speed (m/s)
6.0 6.5

6.5 - 7.0

> 7.0

K Anh

3.9

Qung Ninh

7.9

L Thy

11.9

KonPlng

3.9

Ph M

7.9

Ph Ct

11.9

Quy Nhn

11.9

TP Pleiku

11.9

Mang Yang

39.6

Krong Cho

15.8

Ch S

63.4

Ch Prong

83.2

TX Tuy Ha

7.9

Tuy Ha

11.9

Ea H'leo

55.5

Krong Nng

7.9

Krong Buk

47.5

C M'gar

15.8

Area (km)

Potential (MW)

3.9

15.6

19.8

79.2

3.9

15.6

31.7

126.8

213.9

855.6

19.8

79.2

126.8

507.0

Pham
Ngo Thi
Thuy
ToDung
Nhien

Hanoi,
Berlin,14-15
1-5 July
May,2013
2015

Technical Potential - 2012


No.

8
9

10

Province

Khnh Ha
Ninh Thun

Bnh Thun

11

B Ra Vng Tu

12

Bn Tre

13

Tr Vinh

14

Sc Trng

Area (km)

Pham
Ngo Thi
Thuy
ToDung
Nhien

District

Speed (m/s)
6.0 - 6.5

6.5 - 7.0

> 7.0

Cam Ranh

32

Ninh Hi

7.9

11.9

Phan Rang

31.7

Ninh Phc

126.8

59.4

TP Phan Thit

83.2

19.8

4.0

Tuy Phong

75.3

59.4

27.7

Bc Binh

114.9

51.5

11.9

Hm Thun Bc

7.9

Hm Thun Nam

67.3

7.9

3.9

7.9

Bnh i

7.9

Ba Tri

4.0

Thnh Ph

31.7

Chu Thnh

3.9

Duyn Hi

67.3

Vnh Chu

Area (km)

Potential
(MW)

320

128.0

237.7

950.6

534.7

2138.6

7.9

31.6

43.6

174.3

71.2

284.9

16

16.0

64.0)

1,105

210

47

1.363

5,451

Hanoi,
Berlin,14-15
1-5 July
May,2013
2015

20/05/2015

2.2. Current development of wind power projects

Local wind power development plans


Bnh Thun, July 2012: 700MW up to 2020;
Ninh Thun, April 2013: 220 MW up to 2020;
Sc Trng, May 2014: 200MW up to 2020;

Bn Tre, March 2015: 150 MW up to 2020.

Wind measurement programs

2009 2010: 3 sites (MOIT/WB)

2012 2014: 10 sites (MOIT/GIZ)

2016 1018: 20 sites (MOIT/KfW)

Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

2.2. Current development of wind power projects

Registration, preparation, deployment and


operation:
Number of projects registered: 48, total capacity of
4,876MW
Number of projects put into operation: 03 (52MWFurlander1.5, GE1.6, Vestas2.0)

Financing sources:
ODA: 02 projects (PhuLac- KfW, LoiHai- Danida)
State budget: 01 project (Ph Qu Island)
Government guarantee: 01 project (Bc Liu
Project, financed by US Eximbank)
IPP: remaining projects
Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

20/05/2015

3. Support mechanisms for wind power project


development

Decision No.37/2011/QD-TTg dated 29 July 2011 on the promulgation of


support mechanisms for the development of wind power projects in Vietnam:
Wind power development planning
Support mechanisms for the development of wind power projects:
-

Power purchase responsibility: EVN shall be required to purchase all power generated
from RE sources on the basis of SPPA.

Price support to grid-connected wind power projects:


-

7.8 US$/kWh (VAT exclusive; subject to VND/USD fluctuation)

Infrastructure/land incentives

Subsidies for off-grid wind power projects

Decision No.130/2007/QD-TTg dated 02 August 2007 on several financial


mechanisms/policies for CDM investment projects. Products from CDM
projects shall be subsidized by VEPF.

Decree No. 75/2011/ND-CP dated 8 August 2011 on investment credit: The


development of and investment in wind power projects shall be entitled to the
state support to investment credits.

Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

3. Support mechanisms for wind power project


development

Circular No. 32/2012/TT-BCT by MOIT dated 12 Nov 2012 stipulating the


development of wind power projects and SPPA for wind power projects:
Procedures for development of wind power projects: project proposal, wind
measurement report, project preparation, feasibility study results, preliminary
implementation solutions, decommissioning conditions, operating and reporting
mechanism, justifications for project effectiveness, equipment, safety regulations
during construction stage, land use issues, environmental protection, etc.
Application for price support from VEPF.
Registration sequence for the development of off-grid wind power projects.
SPPA for wind power projects

Circular No. 06/2013/TT-BCT by MOIT dated 8 March 2013 stipulating


contents, sequence, procedures for appraisal and approval of wind power
development plans.
National Wind Power Development Plan
Provincial Wind Power Development Plan
Budget for planning exercise

Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

20/05/2015

3. Support mechanisms for wind power project


development
Supplementary instruments:

Import tax: Import tax exemption for equipment which is


not domestically manufactured.

Corporate income tax:


Tax rate: 10% for the first 15 years, possible extension up to 30 years
Tax exemption for the first 4 years, 50% reduction for next 9 years

Fast depreciation: 1.5 times faster than normal projects.

Exempt land-use tax/charges.

Exempt environmental protection fees.

Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

4. Constraints and shortcomings


1.

National reliable, systematic and consistent database.

2.

Economic and financial aspects: Investment costs for RE projects


are higher than those for conventional energy projects in Vietnam.

3.

Technical human resource: At present, no RE discipline can be


found in universities TVET institutions, creating a big gap of human
resources for this new green technology area.

4.

Technical infrastructure: Vietnams infrastructure (roads, bridges,


power system, traffic equipment, etc.) is out of date. Goods
transportation is of great difficulties.

5.

National grid connection

6.

Supply of auxiliary equipment and services: most main and


auxiliary equipment for RE is not localized. For wind power, some
manufacturers can be found in the domestic market, such as GE US,
CS Wind Tower Korea, etc., but all their products are exported to the
world market.

7.

Implementation arrangements

Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

20/05/2015

4. Solutions
Management
Focal points for planning management, technical assistance
for the development of RE support/policy mechanisms; ODA
sources for development support or RE projects;
Resource mapping and RE database;
Establishment of national standards for wind power
technology equipment;
Development of support mechanisms for domestic equipment
manufacturing and service industry in the wond power sector;
Organization of capacity development programs for
universities TVET institutions;
Considerations on the possible promulgation of RE Law.

Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

4. Solutions
RE Potential Maps

RE potential maps
Wind

Solar energy
Biomass energy
Hydro power

Database of hydro power,


wind, solar and biomass
projects
Planning management
Mapping of RE pipeline,
approved, on-going and gridconnected projects.

Management of licensing
procedure
Pham Thuy Dung

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

20/05/2015

4. Solutions
RE Database

RE-related mechanisms/policies
National and provincial RE
development strategies and goals
Financial mechanisms for and
interest support to RE
development

Database of RE pipeline,
approved, on-going and gridconnected projects

Legal and
policy
frameworks

Integrated
Database on
Renewable
Energy

Database of RE projects
GIS map(s) and reports on RE
potential assessment reports
Information on RE technologies,
enterprises/research institutions
RE-related training/capacity
building materials/handbooks

Pham Thuy Dung

Strategy
and targets

Local Skills

Financing
resources

R&D
innovation
RE
Database
(potentials,
projects,...)

Hanoi, 14-15 May, 2015

Implemented by

Wind in Viet Nam


A Vision for a Sectorial Development

Page 1

Implemented by

Agenda
Development of the global wind market
Wind energy in Viet Nam benefits
Decentralised deployment
Energy security
Value creation and jobs
Wind in 2030: a vision for the sector

15/05/2015

Page 2

Implemented by

Deployment of Renewable Energy globally


Renewables as a share of global capacity additions
90%
80%

Non-Renewables
(Coal, Gas Nuclear, Oil)

81%

70%

Renewable
energy
expanding
quicker than
conventional
energy

58%

60%
50%
40%
30%
20%

Renewables

42%

19%

10%
0%
Total net capacity
added per year [GW]
Renewables
Non-renewables (Coal,
Gas, Nuclear, Oil)

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

104

134

150

153

134

180

200

174

185

232

234

233

207

20

22

34

36

41

47

56

67

85

94

115

116

120

84

111

116

116

93

133

145

107

100

138

118

117

87
Source: IRENA database

15/05/2015

Page 3

Implemented by

Overview development of the global wind energy


sector (I/II)
Global Cumulative Installed Wind Capacity 1997-2014
400,000

MW

369,553

350,000

318,596

300,000

283,068
238,139

250,000

197,953

200,000

159,089

150,000

120,725

100,000
50,000
0

47,620
31,100 39,431
17,400 23,900
7,600 10,200 13,600

59,091

73,959

93,911

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Source: GWEC (2015)

15/05/2015

Page 4

Implemented by

Overview development of the global wind energy


sector (II/II)

Source: GWEC (2015)

15/05/2015

Page 5

Implemented by

Costs of wind power


0.4

4500

0.35

4000

0.3

3500

0.25

3000

0.2

2500

0.15

2000

0.1

1500

0.05

1000

India

China

Brazil

United
States

Germany

CAPEX

Europe

Vietnam (23 Vietnam


Western
projects) (Nearshore) Europe
(offshore)

LCOE [US$/kWh]

CAPEX [US$/kW]

Comparison of Wind Power CAPEX and LCOE


5000

LCOE

Overall steadily decreasing costs and increasing efficiency


Regional differences
15/05/2015

Page 6

Implemented by

Wind energy in Viet Nam


Technical Potential
Economic Potential
Decentralised Deployment
Installation Times
CO2 Neutral
Industrial Development

()
Source: AWS Truepower (2011)

15/05/2015

Page 7

Implemented by

Benefits wind

Decentralised deployment
South and centre (close to load centres)
Capital requirements for transmission
Regional development (investments,
jobs)
Local ownership
Electrification of remote areas/islands

Source: ECNmag (2011)

15/05/2015

Page 8

Implemented by

Benefits wind

Security of supply

Increase generation capacity quickly


Medium-term costs of energy
Reduce dependence on foreign imports
Decrease dependence on volatility of
world markets (e.g. coal)
Foreign reserves
Increase overall energy independence

15/05/2015

Page 9

Implemented by

Benefits wind - Job effects of wind energy


Potential jobs per megawatt technology

15/05/2015

Page 10

Implemented by

Benefits wind - Jobs in wind energy


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Grid
Connection

Installation

Financial Services

Education

Reconstruction/
Recycling

O&M

R&D

Consulting

Policy-makers

Legal advisers

Project developers

Wind power technicians (Inst., O&M)

Site engineers

Operations managers

Environmental consultants

Financial advisers

Construction engineers
(foundations, roads, etc.)

Manufacturing

Procurement specialists

Researchers

15/05/2015

Page 11

Implemented by

Benefits - Job effects of wind (e.g. South Africa)


Renewable Energy Programme launched 2011/12
Investment of more than USD 14 billion
4000 MW of RE capacity, 64 new IPPs

1984 MW of wind; 32 IPPs


Investment into wind USD 4.7 billion

Source: PPIAF, 2014

15/05/2015

Page 12

Implemented by

Benefits - FDI in Wind


FDI in installed generation capacity

FDI in manufacturing

Source: Krueger (2011)

15/05/2015

Page 13

Implemented by

Regional shifts from developed to emerging countries continued


in wind and solar technologies, predominantly in the manufacturing
and installation segments of the value chain IRENA (2015)

5/12/2015

Page 14BWE/Tim Riediger


Source:

Implemented by

Vision 2030 Installations and Market


Added capacity p.a. surpasses 1GW in 2030
for the third time
Large amounts of FDI attracted; but 60% of
financing from Viet Nam
Second reduction in feed-in tariff (after first
one in 2025)
Wind power contributes positively to lowering
average generation costs
Regional deployment in Vietnam leads to
reduced investment costs for transmission
Commissioning times for new wind parks are
amongst the quickest in the world
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Implemented by

Vision 2030 a vibrant industry


Local banks offer attractive conditions for
financing wind power
With fifth international turbine manufacturer
building up manufacturing facilities, Viet Nam is
the leading producer of equipment in Southeast
Asia
VietWIND 2030 (leading industry event in the
region, organised by the VN Wind Association)
attracts more than 1,000 visitors
The first graduates of the Vietnam Excellence
Center for Vocational Training in Wind Power
celebrate their 10th year after graduation

15/05/2015

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Implemented by

Vision 2030 a vibrant industry


Local banks offer attractive conditions for
financing wind power
With fifth international turbine manufacturer
building up facilities in Vietnam, country is the
leading producer of wind power equipment in
Southeast Asia

VietWIND 2030 (leading industry event


organised by the VN Wind Association)
attracts more than 1,000 visitors
The first graduates of the wind power
vocational training school celebrate their 10th
year after graduation

15/05/2015

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Implemented by

Thank you for your attention

Peter Cattelaens
Technical Advisor

GIZ Up-Scaling of Wind Power Project


peter.cattelaens@giz.de
+ 84 4 3941 2605 (ext 122)
Source: BWE/Tim Riediger

Page 18

Implemented by

Ministry of Industry and Trade


General Directorate of Energy

Policy design

A comprehensive framework for wind power

Page 1

Implemented by

Current Status
-

Attractive wind resource

Growing number of developers securing land and licenses

Feed-in tariff policy in place

However, wind development so fallen short of Viet Nams potential


As a result: Viet Nam is not on track to reach its RE targets

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Current Status
Primary issues holding back wind development:
-

Tariff price too low based on the available wind resources

Lack of clarity regarding long-term vision

Lack of capacity to monitor development and implement the


strategy

Permitting processes and licensing remain unclear

Power Development Plan (PDP) continues to focus heavily


on fossil fuels (notably, coal)

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Current Status
Two step process is underway:
1) Improving the investment and regulatory conditions to enable
the first 1.000MW of wind power to be developed and
integrated into the network
2) Create the experience and momentum required to achieve Viet
Nams longer term RE target of over 6.000MW of wind by 2030

15/05/2015

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Best Practices in RE Policy Support


-

Success is about more than just the tariff

It requires a holistic approach. This includes:

A clear planning regime,

Clear licensing procedures,

Clear permitting processes,

Transparent grid access framework,

Guaranteed purchase (must-take)

Clear curtailment rules

Long-term contracts or PPAs

Independent dispute resolution mechanism


Page 5

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Creating the Conditions for Wind Investment

Wind power is now broadly competitive with conventional supply


options (coal, natural gas, and nuclear)

The challenge is how to foster, and finance, an increasingly


renewable electricity supply mix
Two main options:
1. Government financed, or
2. Via a greater involvement of the private sector: Independent
Power Producers (IPPs)

Most countries are opting for the latter: IPPs

15/05/2015

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Creating the Conditions for Wind Investment

However, in order to attract a wider variety of actors into the


market (e.g. IPPs), electricity markets need to adopt new
rules to govern this new activity

Governments must also adopt clear regulations and institutional


procedures (permitting, licensing, etc.)

In order to have successful IPP-based wind development, it is


necessary for institutional structures to evolve along with the
evolution of the new electricity market structure

15/05/2015

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RE Technologies

RE projects are capital intensive: high ratio of fixed to variable


costs

When private actors enter the market to finance wind projects,


they need long-term certainty (to recover high upfront costs)

This requires clarity on rules and procedures, counterparty risk,


purchase price, curtailment, etc.

The goal is to create an attractive regulatory and policy


environment

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Source: E3 Analytics 2014, EIA 2013

Page 9

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RE Finance

Financing is often highly leveraged (70:30 to 80:20 capital


structure common)

Non-recourse, cash-flow based lending

Typically linked to a PPA, FIT, or off-taker agreement ($/kWh)

Long amortization periods (8-25 years)

Often highly reliant on legal and regulatory frameworks, and


therefore, on policy stability

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RE Finance

Governments and regulators can help reduce the cost to


ratepayers by reducing the cost of capital that lenders and
investors require to finance RE projects.

How can governments are regulators achieve this?


1. Financial De-risking: low-interest loans, currency risk
guarantees, risk insurance, etc.
2. Policy De-risking: stronger, stable policy environments (e.g.
long term PPAs, binding RE targets, priority dispatch,
inflation coverage, interconnection, etc.)

Page 11

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Lower cost of capital means lower LCOE

Source: UNDP 2013, Derisking RE Investment


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Risks

Description & Examples

Economic Risk

Risk that economic factors beyond the control of the project impact revenues, or
profitability: e.g. recessions, macroeconomic shocks, etc.

Political Risk

Risk of political instability, change of govt, etc.

Performance Risk

Risk that the wind or solar resource will fluctuate beyond projections, or
underperform: particularly disruptive if this occurs in the early years

Regulatory Risk

Risk that regulators change the rules of the game (e.g. Spain, Czech Republic with
FIT contracts). Investment performance relies on a stable regulatory regime.

Off-taker Risk

Risk that the buyer (e.g. utility) experiences financial difficulties, and can no longer
honor the PPA, or other obligations.

Technology Risk

Risk of technological malfunction, or higher-than-projected downtime, repairs, etc.

Construction Risk

Risk that construction faces local opposition, or delays due to operational or project
management failures

Revenue Risk

Fluctuations in revenues due to fluctuating prices of green certificates, variable


electricity pool prices for power plants that sell directly into the market, etc.

Currency Risk

Risk that the currency in which sales are denominated changes abruptly or
significantly over time in relation to the currency in which the project was financed
(e.g. EUR, USD)

Source: E3 Analytics 2015


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Concluding Remarks

To achieve strong, robust


wind market development,
the current framework in Viet
Nam needs to change

Fortunately, the changes


required are relatively small

What is required is an
evolutionary approach

15/05/2015

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Policy Framework Recommendations


1. Formulate overarching policy document clarifying objectives,
regulation, procedures, and responsibilities (incl. for monitoring)
2. Strengthen the purchase tariff (current tariff is too low, and
the 1 cent contribution from the VNEPF is too uncertain)
3. Clarify the counterparty structure (who purchases the power,
and under what terms)
4. Streamline RE-related administrative procedures under one
agency, or entity

Page 15

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Implemented by

Thank you for your attention!


Toby D. Couture
Founder & Director of E3 Analytics
www.e3analytics.eu

Page 16

Implemented by

Ministry of Industry and Trade


General Directorate of Energy

Policy design

A comprehensive framework for wind power

Page 1

Implemented by

Recommendations for the Policy Framework


1. Formulate overarching policy document clarifying objectives,
regulation, procedures, and responsibilities (incl. for monitoring)
2. Strengthen the purchase tariff (current tariff is too low, and the
1 cent contribution from the VNEPF is too uncertain)
3. Clarify the counterparty structure (who purchases the power,
and under what terms)
4. Streamline RE-related administrative procedures under one
agency, or entity

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Recommendations for Monitoring-related Aspects


1. Establish a process for publishing annual RE market reports
(via MOIT, or a government research institute)
2. Organize an annual conference to bring stakeholders together
to discuss issues, and find common solutions
3. Adopt a regulation-based approach to geographic dispersion
(with regional planning for different provinces)
4. Introduce periodic revisions (e.g. every 3 years) of the policy
and regulatory framework to provide a clear timeframe for
adjustments

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Recommendations for PPA and Licensing Aspects


1.

Provide a clear online portal with a description and diagrams of the


licensing process

2.

Establish a one-stop-shop for for all PPA and licensing-related


aspects

3.

Strengthen the PPA counterparty structure by consolidating


payment responsibilities under one entity and providing sovereign
backing from the government

4.

Clarify responsibilities

5.

Build capacities amongst institutions

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Recommendations for funding mechanism


Desirable properties of FiT paying agency

One-stop-shop

Low credit risk

Low liquidity risk

FiT payments legally enforceable

Governmental secured or backed

Tax

Tariff

ODA

FiT paying agency

Implementation:

Governmental agency

Escrow account

Trust fund

May reside with EVN, ERAV, etc.

15/05/2015

Wind farm operator

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Recommendations (continued)
1. Redesign of FiT distribution payment as one-stop-shop
2. Government guarantee for FiT of sufficient level: 10.4 UScents/kWh
3. Provide better quality wind speed measurements & improved
standards
4. Provide comprehensive information on wind power planning at
provincial and national level
5. Remove current uncertainties regarding overlapping land use
planning
6. Address present limits in local consulting and engineering
capacity and logistics
7. Integrate tax-break opportunities to developers and manufacturers
etc.
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Open Discussion

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Thank you for your attention!!


Toby D. Couture

Dr. Dominik Dersch

Founder & Director

Managing Director

of E3 Analytics

Matobis AG

www.e3analytics.eu

Dominik.Dersch@matobis.de

15/05/2015

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Implemented by

Ministry of Industry and Trade


General Directorate of Energy

Monitoring

Overall costs and geographic distribution of the deployment of wind power

Page 1

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Monitoring Wind Power Development


Primary challenges for policymakers emerge in a few key areas:

Controlling policy costs (Spain, Czech Republic, US, etc.)

Meeting targets on time (many countries)

Ensuring project development and transmission construction


are aligned (China)

Grid integration (South Africa)

Implementing and communicating adjustments to the policy


(UK, Ontario, Spain)

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Monitoring Wind Power Development

Several different components to monitor:

Project applications / project pipeline

Project interconnections

Installed capacity / monthly and annual output

Etc.

Two of the main issues in Viet Nam currently are ensuring


balanced wind power development across the regions, and
controlling costs
See: Kreycik, C., Couture, T., Cory, K., (2011). Innovative FIT Designs that Limit Policy Costs,
National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), Available at: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/50225.pdf
15/05/2015

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Monitoring Wind Power Development


This presentation will therefore focus on:
1) Monitoring and controlling the total cost of procurement: this is
necessary to give policymakers the confidence to continue
scaling up wind power development in Viet Nam
2) Ensuring balanced geographic dispersion: this is required to
avoid regional hot spots and ease grid integration

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Monitoring Wind Power Development

Cost Monitoring:

Most countries produce annual reports summarizing the total


incremental (i.e. additional) costs of RE procurement

Additional costs are often bundled into a fixed charge ($/kWh)


and passed onto ratepayers:

US: Public Benefit Charges

Germany: EEG-Umlage (EEG Surcharge)

France: CSPE (Contribution to the Public Service of Electricity)

Also analyse the impacts on the market: electricity rates, job


creation, avoided fossil fuel imports, GHG reductions, etc.
Page 5

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Monitoring Wind Power Development

Cost Monitoring:

Monitoring RE development costs is almost universal

Different countries use different methodologies

Virtually all calculation methodologies have flaws (even in


Germany!)

The important aspect is to consider (and quantify) both the


positive effects of RE development (jobs, reduced fossil imports,
long-term price stability, etc.) as well as the costs (e.g. small
additional surcharge on customer rates)
Only in this way can decision makers make balanced decisions
See: Kreycik, C., Couture, T., Cory, K., (2011). Innovative FIT Designs that Limit Policy Costs,
National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), Available at: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/50225.pdf
15/05/2015

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Monitoring Wind Power Development

Policymakers also control costs via mechanisms like degression


(annual % decrease in PPA prices offered: more common for solar
PV), and by the use of caps to control market growth (almost
universal in FIT policies)

Caps (MW) can be technology specific, and even region-specific

However, Viet Nam remains far from achieving its RE targets: caps
should therefore not act to restrict wind power development, particularly
in the early stages

See: Kreycik, C., Couture, T., Cory, K., (2011). Innovative FIT Designs that Limit Policy Costs,
National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), Available at: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/50225.pdf
Page 7

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Ensuring Balanced Geographic Dispersion


Two primary approaches:
1.

2.

15/05/2015

Tariff-based approaches
a.

Germany

b.

France

c.

Denmark

Regulatory approaches
a.

Cape Verde

b.

Ontario

c.

South Africa
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Tariff-based Approaches

Mostly applied for wind energy (Germany, France,


Switzerland, Denmark, and China) but also for solar
(France and China)

Primary Reasons:

Reduce accumulation of wind power plants in certain


areas: hot spots

Reduce grid congestion issues / ease grid integration

Increase public acceptance

Minimize visual impact

Ensure fair compensation for projects across regions


(avoiding excess profits in the windiest regions)
Page 9

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Implemented by

1a. Germanys Reference Turbine Model


-

A theoretical reference turbine has been established:


- Hub height: 30m
-

Average wind speed of 5.5m/s

This reference turbine will produce a certain


reference yield (kWh/yr)

All wind projects are benchmarked against this


reference yield

Source: Couture et al. 2010: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/44849.pdf


See also: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.466289.de/dp1387.pdf
15/05/2015

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1a. Germanys Reference Turbine Model


-

First 5 years: all wind projects receive the same


flat initial rate:
Initial Tariff Value: EUR 89,3/MWh (in 2012)
Base Tariff Value: EUR 48,7/MWh (in 2012)

Source: Couture and Gagnon 2010


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1a. Germanys Reference Turbine Model


After the initial 5-year period:
Highest and lowest production years are
removed
Average of the three (3) middle years is taken
This average is then compared to the
reference yield
If this is above 150% of the reference yield,
the payment level drops automatically to the
lower base tariff value after year 5 (60
months).
For every 0.75% shortfall, projects receive an
additional 2 months of compensation at the full
initial tariff (EUR 89,3/MWh):
e.g. 60 months + 2 months, etc.

Note: If a project cannot demonstrate that it will achieve an average of 60% of


the reference yield, the grid operator (BNetzA) is not required to pay the FIT.
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Example: Project with >150% of the reference yield (2012)


First 5 years
(Initial 60 months)

Years 6 20
(Remaining 180 months)

EUR 89.3/MWh

EUR 48.7/MWh

Example: Project with 135% of the reference yield (2012)


FIT for initial 100 months
(i.e. 5 years + 40 months)

FIT for remaining 100 months


240 months

EUR 89.3/MWh

EUR 48.7/MWh

Source: Couture et al. 2010: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/44849.pdf


See also: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.466289.de/dp1387.pdf
Page 13

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Map of the
geographic
spread of wind
farms in Germany
(2012)

Source:
http://www.bbsr.bund.de/BBSR/DE/Veroeffentlichungen/AnalysenKompakt/2014/DL_01_201
4.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=3
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1b. Monitoring Wind Power Development: France


France adopts a different approach:

No reference turbine

Based on the number of full load hours (FLH)

All producers receive the same payment for the first 10 years

For years 10-15, the tariff depends on the number of average


full load hours during the previous 10 years.

Page 15

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France: Wind Tariff Differentiation


-

After year 10, all wind projects in France will fall somewhere on
this curve, and receive the corresponding tariff for the remaining
5 years of the FIT contract. .

Source: Couture et al. 2010. http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/44849.pdf


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1c. Monitoring Wind Power Development: Denmark


Between 2000 and 2002, Denmark used a unique policy approach:
- No reference turbine
- Like France, also based on the number of full load hours (FLH)
- All producers receive the same FIT payment (EUR cents 5.8/kWh) for
the first 22,000 full load hours of output.
- On high quality wind sites, this could be reached in 6-7 years; on less
productive sites, this could take 10 years or more.

- Afterwards, they received a fixed premium of EUR cents 1.6/kWh on


top of the spot market price until year 20.
Source: Munksgaard & Morthorst 2008
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1c. Monitoring Wind Power Development: Denmark


Denmarks approach has a number of
advantages:
- It ensures that all wind power projects, even
at less windy sites, will ultimately receive
sufficient revenues to pay off their debt
- After the 22,000 FLH are reached, the policy
moves producers into the spot market,
fostering market integration
- It treats all projects equally, while avoiding
windfall profits
- It is also far easier to design and implement
than either France or Germanys approach
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Monitoring Wind Power Development


2. Regulatory Approaches

All countries use regulation, land-use planning, permitting, etc.


to regulate the geographical location of wind projects
a.

Cape Verde

b.

Ontario

c.

South Africa

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Monitoring Wind Power Development


2a. Cape Verde
-

Established Renewable Energy Development Zones in


collaboration with local stakeholders and different levels of
government

This enabled the national government and the utility to identify


suitable areas for RE project development

Different sites were designated for wind, for solar, etc.

Maps that defined the zones were published

Access rights are granted to developers who win the competitive


solicitations
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10

Implemented by

Monitoring Wind Power Development


2b. Ontario
-

Established three different zones based on the available


transmission capacity:
1. Green zones: where adequate transmission capacity is
available for new RE projects
2. Yellow zones: where some transmission capacity is available,
but not in great quantities
3. Red zones: where little to no transmission capacity is available
for new RE development

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Monitoring Wind Power Development


2c. South Africa
-

Established Renewable Energy Development Zones:


-

Areas with lowest environmental impact while yielding the highest


social and economic benefit to the country

Good wind/solar resources

Environmental and other authorizations already secured based


on pre-assessment and pre-planning

Goal: Time efficient infrastructure development

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11

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Monitoring Wind Power Development


2c. South Africa
-

Public consultation process

Terrestrial and aquatic biodiversity assessment

Agricultural impact assessment

Bird and bat assessments

Heritage assessments

Landscape/visual assessment

Socio-economic assessment

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Monitoring Wind Power Development: South Africa

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Source: https://redzs.csir.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/SEA-Phase-2-Presentation.pdf
Page 24

12

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Monitoring Wind Power Development: South Africa

15/05/2015

Source: https://redzs.csir.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/SEA-Phase-2-Presentation.pdf
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Concluding Remarks
Oversight is a continuous process. It requires:
-

Strong and competent administration

A commitment to periodic reporting (e.g. annual reports)

A flexible implementation strategy (adapting to changing market


circumstances)

A layered approach

Clear strategy with targets

Transparent rules

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13

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Concluding Remarks
- There are no major challenges integrating low shares (<10%)
of variable RE (vRE) technologies (IEA 2014)
- However, avoiding hot spots remains important
- A sound planning and monitoring regime is therefore required
- New inverter and control technologies (e.g. reactive power
supply) can also help stabilize the grid and improve system
integration of wind power
-

These are now required for all large wind plants in Germany

15/05/2015

Source: http://www.iea.org/textbase/npsum/givar2014sum.pdf

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Monitoring Wind Power Development


Most successful wind power strategies have a few shared
elements:
1. Strong political support;
2. High level of awareness;
3. A solid base of actors engaged in implementation of the strategy;
4. Well-staffed agencies for administration, permitting, licensing, etc.
5. Stable, long-term policies and regulations

15/05/2015

Page 28

14

Implemented by

Recommendations for Monitoring-related Aspects


1. Establish a process for publishing annual RE market reports (via
MOIT, or a government research institute)
2. Organize an annual conference to bring stakeholders together to
discuss issues, and find common solutions
3. Adopt a regulation-based approach to geographic dispersion
(with regional planning for different provinces)
4. Introduce periodic revisions (e.g. every 3 years) of the policy and
regulatory framework to provide a clear timeframe for adjustments

Page 29

15/05/2015

Implemented by

Thank you for your attention!


Toby D. Couture
Founder & Director of E3 Analytics
www.e3analytics.eu

Page 30

15

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Ministry of Industry and Trade


General Directorate of Energy

Local value creation

Wind power is more than power generation

Page 1

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Agenda

Local value creation introductory remarks

Local/domestic value creation along the value chain for wind energy
projects

Examples for deployment of wind energy through joint efforts of policy,


industry, training institutions and research: China and Brazil

Summary

Remarks for discussion

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Why do we discuss in this workshop the question of local


value creation (potentials) in the wind sector?
Besides clean energy, deployment of wind energy creates value

through income generation,


through additional knowledge in a high tech sector and
through better air quality among others

Potential domestic value creation depends on

political strategies
capability of the industrial sector
specific knowledge of wind energy experts
ability to cooperate internationally
structure of the conventional power sector
access to fossil fuels

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We distinguish between

Direct, indirect and induced jobs

Jobs in the renewable energy sector itself are classified as direct,


whereas jobs in supporting industries, such as steel or software, are
referred to as indirect. Jobs in all other sectors that benefit from any
of the various macroeconomic feedbacks (for example, consumption
expenditures by employees in the direct or indirect industries) are defined as induced (The Socio-economic Benefits of Solar and Wind Energy, IRENA,
2014, p. 26).

Value creation can be measured e.g. by counting the number of jobs


created or hours worked, net income of the employees involved, or
the equipment manufactured, or as a percentage of investment, or
taxes levied.

Value creation can be analyzed at regional, provincial or national as


well as on sector levels.

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Added value considerations on GDP level


Ernest &Young compared wind energy with CCGT (combined cycle gas
turbine) in different European countries.
From the perspective of a domestic economy, higher capital expenditure
(CAPEX) and higher operational expenditure (OPEX) costs for wind lead to a
higher contribution to GDP compared to CCGT,
more wind energy system components are produced domestically and
the more fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas *) have to be imported.

*) Imported fuels, products or services, e.g. through external expertise in project development or imported material
do not add to local value!

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Value creation along the value chain

Project Planning/Development
Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

(*):
Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Project
Realisation

Pro
Develo

Supporting
Processes

P
M

Consulting

resource and energy yield assessments


feasibility studies
environmental impact assessments
legal activities/approval process
infrastructure planning
technical, financial and economic project planning/ project design etc.
(*) A value chain reflects most of the life-cycle of a wind energy project

2015-05-14

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Value creation along the value chain:


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Manufacturing
Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

sourcing of raw materials


component manufacturing and assembly
manufacturing of subcomponents, such as
rotors,
blades,
nacelles,
generators,
brakes,
towers,
cables, etc.
in supplying industry like steel industry
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Value creation along the value chain: Installation


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

Installation phase: labour-intensive works (can be carried out by local


engineering and construction companies)

civil engineering
infrastructure works
side preparation
access roads
cranes and transport*)
Foundation
and assembling of wind farm.

*) For a project of 150 MW, transportation requirements could be as much as 689 truckloads,
140 railcars and 8 ships
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Value creation along the value chain:


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development

Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Grid Connection
Grid
Connection

Education

Reconstruction/
Recycling

O&M

R&D

Consulting

Requires highly skilled grid operators responsible for integrating


fluctuating wind electricity (grid planning and grid management)
(wind prediction becomes an issue)

local companies to prepare the infrastructure to facilitate grid


connection (underground cabling, cabling work within the wind farm
itself (between turbines) connecting the farm to the grid, substation)
Grid extension may be required.
Development and upgrading of grid infrastructure to integrate renewables can contribute to broader value
creation in terms of improving the reliability of electricity supply.
2015-05-14

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Value creation along the value chain: O & M


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

Long-term activity offering opportunities for domestic value creation,


regardless of a countrys local renewable energy technology manufacturing capabilities.

2015-05-14

regular plant monitoring


equipment inspections
repair services and management of spare parts
commercial management
(but some investors provide service personnel)

Page 10

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain:


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Decommissioning
Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

At the end of a wind farm:

deconstruction,
recycling, disposal or reselling of components
refurbishing of equipment

And a process for repowering can be started with additional value added
along the value chain.
2015-05-14

Page 11

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain:


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Policy Making (I/III)


Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

Cross-cutting policy instruments stimulate deployment of wind energy


and foster building of a domestic wind energy industry by encouraging

investments (real, immaterial and financial)


technology transfer/international cooperation
by investing in technical infrastructure
strengthening firm-level capabilities
by providing financing
by providing legal and economic frame work
by providing and promoting education and training
by stimulating research and innovation.

2015-05-14

Page 12

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain:


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Policy Making (II/III)


Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

Policy has to set long term targets for a permanent increase of the share
of wind energy on the general energy mix
and guarantee legal frame work conditions to create a calculable basis for
long term planning for

Investors
Developers
Manufacturers
Operators
education and training centers, training departments of the industry
but also for the personal career planning of wind energy experts

2015-05-14

Page 13

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain:


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Policy Making (III/III)


Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

To protect an infant industry local content requirements can be useful


(as many European have done in their early stages, but local players now request that this
should be consistent with international trade agreements).

In designing such a strategy

2015-05-14

existing areas of expertise should be considered


a learning-by-doing process should be initiated
but strategy should be time-bound and accompanied by measures
that facilitate financing of the industry, the creation of a strong
domestic supply chain and a skilled workforce.
Page 14

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain:


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Financial Services

Installation

Financial Services

Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

Create financing schemes for Government funds and prepare for


financial services from domestic bank sector
Insufficient funds to finance necessary expansion of power capacity
at all and also for large scale wind energy deployment
Investment is required from official development aid or through foreign
direct investment.

Funds may also come from private investors (green funds) and from
municipalities.
2015-05-14

Page 15

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain:

Education & Training (I/II)


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Grid
Connection

Education

O&M

R&D

Reconstruction/
Recycling

Consulting

Education and training are

key elements for the development of a sustainable energy sector


essential for creating value
should be part of an integrated planning for national renewable energy
strategies

Training of trainer for schools, technical universities, vocational training


centers or in training departments of industries generates value,
Communication skills to overcome hierarchical barriers important
2015-05-14

Page 16

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain:

Education & Training (II/II)


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Grid
Connection

Education

Reconstruction/
Recycling

O&M

R&D

Consulting

Value generated by providing the skills:


necessary to support the development of the industry
to upgrade the knowledge of project developer, approval authorities,
banking sector, grid operator, operation and maintenance personal,
political decision makers, consultants, financing experts, etc.
Besides individual skills and experiences, learning processes for and inside
of institutions and organizations have to be considered; Organizations
often fail at transformational learning
Opportunities to gain practical experience (on-the-job-training) requested
2015-05-14

Page 17

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain:


Research & Development
Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Grid
Connection

Education

Reconstruction/
Recycling

O&M

R&D

Consulting

Research & development : Value created through


knowledge that can lead to technological breakthroughs
improvements of products and services
increasing the applicability of technologies to local conditions.
Work in research institutions creates value.
Spin-offs often create additional value (production of inverter).
International cooperation and joint ventures in research & development
(home and abroad) have been successful.
2015-05-14

Page 18

Implemented by

Value creation along the value chain: Consultancy


Project
Realisation

Supporting
Processes

Project
Development
Policy
Making

Manufacturing

Installation

Financial Services

Grid
Connection

Reconstruction/
Recycling

O&M

Education

R&D

Consulting

Consultancy is required in all parts along the value chain, i.e.

technical expertise
legal competence

Lawyers to assist in drafting and reviewing contracts and legal structures, including
tax legislation or financial issues
Technical consultants to evaluate the wind potential on a specific site

Economists to prepare bankable business plans


Environmental engineers to assess the environmental impacts of a project
2015-05-14

Page 19

Implemented by

Potential domestic value creation (I/II)


Development status
Value Chain

Beginning of
wind energy
development

First projects
realized, local
industries
suitable for
participating

Many projects
realized, national
wind industry
developing

Project
development

medium if PD are
available
otherwise low

medium to high

high

Manufacturing

Rather low, few


local components

Local components

high if systems &


components are
locally produced

Installation

Low to medium

medium

high

Grid connection

high

high

high

Operation &
maintenance

Low to medium

high

high

The Potential domestic value creation in a country depends much on its status
of wind energy sector development
Page 20

10

Implemented by

Potential domestic value creation (II/II)


Development status
Value Chain

Beginning of
wind energy
development

First projects
realized, local
industries
suitable for
participating

Many projects
realized, national
wind industry
developing

Consulting

medium if consultants available

medium to high

high

Capacity
Building

medium if trainer
available

Medium to high

high

Research &
development

low

medium

high

Financial
services

medium

increasing

high

Policy making

required

required

required

The Potential domestic value creation in a country depends much on its status
of wind energy sector development
The Socio-economic Benefits of Solar and Wind Energy, Irena 2014/revised KK

Page 21

Implemented by

Rapid deployment through joint efforts of policy,


industry, training institutions and research (I/III)
China:

Cooperation between Chinese and German university


Joint training program of NWPU and CDG/GIZ for stakeholder along the
value chain
Support for the partner university to become an excellence center for
wind energy through special training for the lecturers of the university
Start with license production
Renewable Energy Law 2006 (REL): based on bid prices from
government tenders
Use of unilateral CDM
WEC manufacturing industries are state-owned,
Preferential loans, tax benefits and funding from the Renewable Energy
Development Fund for renewable energy projects.
High tech center in Baoding for renewable energy technologies

20.05.2015

Page 22

11

Implemented by

Rapid deployment through joint efforts of policy,


industry, training institutions and research (II/III)
China:

Student exchange with German universities


Organization of world conferences on wind energy
Expert discussions among high level political decision makers,
parliamentarians, researcher, industry, wind farm operator,
education, utilities bilateral
Year long training programs for O&M-personal (GTZ)
Capacity building on grid connection and grid management (GTZ)
Clear government targets: economic growth not at the expense of the
environment : Producing at least 15% of its overall energy output from
renewable energy sources by 2020
Bidding procedures for foreign investors and manufacturers only open
for WECs China has not felt competitive at the time

20.05.2015

Page 23

Implemented by

Rapid deployment through joint efforts of policy,


industry, training institutions and research (III/III)
China:

Steady increase in developing knowledge inside the industries/own


development departments;

Development departments installed in G together with German licensor

Intensified contacts between NDRC, industry and universities


Support for translation and editing of technical books
Supporting participation of trained experts in international conferences
Presentation of the findings to state secretaries and ministers
Wind Turbine Test Lab IEC61400
Introduction of new grid code (+LVRT)
Support for wind power prediction system
Wind Turbine Training Test Bench
Newly designed train-of-trainer program.

20.05.2015

Page 24

12

Implemented by

Moderate deployment through joint efforts of policy,


industry, training institutions and research
Brazil:

Participating in the German ELDORADO program: 1st wind farm in Fortaleza


High tech knowledge given (Embraer aircraft industry) but no WEC manufacturer
Own research department for RET as department of state owned electricity
holding
Long term training in Germany combined with expert workshops (utilities,
researcher and government) (most wind experts came from hydro power sector)
Wind farm as a joint venture between German manufacturer and Brazilian utility
Curricula for wind course at university in Rio, support for training material
Specialist workshops on economics and on financing schemes
Intensive discussion on Feed-in-law and auction scheme
Expert training from Wind measurement to Due Diligence
Capacity building on grid connection and grid management
LCR failed (monopoly position, export of blades as result, few installations in B.
Finally, Argentinean WEC manufacturer started production and installation in B.

20.05.2015

Page 25

Implemented by

Summary I/III
Development of wind energy can create high economic values and social
and environmental benefits for Vietnam but he potential of domestic value
creation depends on:
the political support resp. on the legal, economic and financial framework conditions,
on the development status of the domestic renewable energy sector,
and to a very great extent on the knowledge and experience of
experts along the renewable energy value chain
The more services performed on the different levels of the value chain
nationally, the higher the national value added (direct added value, indirect
and induced values)
To add local value, employment opportunities have to be extended on all
relevant sectors. This needs capacity building and international
cooperation
2015-05-14

Page 26

13

Implemented by

Summary II/III
Vietnam can import high technology at reasonable prices and thus contribute
to possibly lower prices for wind electricity
if negotiations with deliverers are favorable,
but without direct added local economic value.
Or Vietnam tries to develop the wind energy sector on all levels as fast as
possible. Increasing economic added value can then be realized,

but it may need some time to reach international quality level and low
costs for the equipment,
but an increasing number of Vietnamese experts are gaining also
knowledge and experience in a high tech sector useful also for other
technical developments, needed on Vietnams planned way to become
a industrialized country by 2020.

2015-05-14

Page 27

Implemented by

Summary III/III
Environmental and socio-economic advantages
Environmental benefits can be achieved even when most of the components
or the complete wind farm equipment is imported and project developing is
done by foreign experts. But, as said, there is hardly any economic direct
domestic value added!
Socio-economic and environmental advantages of wind energy deployment:
increasing air quality
less acid rain
reduced costs for unemployment
a more balanced trade balance and balance of payment (saving foreign
currency and reduce dependency from fluctuating exchange rates and
increasing dependency from import of fossil fuels).
Technical, managerial knowledge will increase as well as environmental
sensibility and better understanding of climate issues are possible
2015-05-14

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14

Implemented by

Thank you very much for your attention


and please share with us your ideas on which sector
you feel capacity building to create jobs and value is
needed next (i.e. project developers, manufacturing
sector, O&M)
and how GIZ could support you offering adequate
capacity building
Klaus Knecht
Consultant
Mail.: Kknecht-frb-Ber@t-oneline.de
Tel.: +49 (0)30 392 49 79

15/05/2015

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15

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