MANPOWER INC.

EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK SURVEY

SECOND QUARTER 2003

MODEST INCREASE IN HIRING
ACTIVITY OVER PREVIOUS YEAR
While many of the sectors show THE OUTLOOK BY INDUSTRY 1988-2003
moderately lower expectations
than those issued three months MINING CONSTRUCTION
ago, seven out of 10 sectors
indicate that hiring activity will
be higher than intentions voiced
for the second quarter of 2002.
However, eight of the categories
envision softer staffing scenes
than were projected three
MANUFACTURING - DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURING - NON-DURABLE GOODS
months ago. Mining and
Construction are the only cate-
gories that foresee increases
over both last year and last
quarter. The healthiest increase
in hiring from the previous year
is foreseen in the key Durable
Goods Manufacturing sector. TRANSPORTATION & PUBLIC UTILITIES WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES
Non-Durable Goods Manufac-
turers and Services employers
anticipate fair increases in
staffing activity this quarter
compared to a year ago.
Minimal increases from the
previous year are forecast in
Wholesale & Retail Trades and FINANCE, INSURANCE & REAL ESTATE EDUCATION - PUBLIC & PRIVATE
Finance, Insurance & Real
Estate. Lower expectations
from the previous year are
voiced in Transportation &
Public Utilities, Education and
Public Administration.

SERVICES PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION

NET HIRING STRENGTH, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

NET HIRING STRENGTH, UNADJUSTED
THE NATIONAL OUTLOOK 1988-2003

NET HIRING STRENGTH, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

NET HIRING STRENGTH, UNADJUSTED

BY INDUSTRY CATEGORY
net % +/-
% % no % % don’t net % seasonally
INDUSTRY CATEGORIES increase change decrease know +/- adjusted

MINING 19 65 10 6 9 8

CONSTRUCTION 31 55 7 7 24 15

MFG.–DURABLE GOODS 23 61 10 6 13 10

MFG.–NON-DURABLE GOODS 22 63 9 6 13 12

TRANS. & PUBLIC UTILITIES 15 68 10 7 5 5

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES 24 60 10 6 14 13

FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE 19 68 7 6 12 11

EDUCATION - PUBLIC & PRIVATE 12 74 9 5 3 5

SERVICES 24 64 6 6 18 15

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 18 67 10 5 8 4

ALL INDUSTRIES 22 63 9 6 13 11

UNITED STATES
THE NORTHEAST OUTLOOK 1988-2003

NET HIRING STRENGTH, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

NET HIRING STRENGTH, UNADJUSTED

BY INDUSTRY CATEGORY NORTHEAST

net % +/- Employers in the Northeast foresee
% % no % % don’t net % seasonally
INDUSTRY CATEGORIES increase change decrease know +/- adjusted modest job growth for the year’s second
MINING 25 75 0 0 25 23 quarter. The picture is slightly brighter
than the outlook issued last year at this
CONSTRUCTION 29 56 9 6 20 14
time, but not as vigorous as three months
MFG.–DURABLE GOODS 21 64 10 5 11 9 ago. The most active hiring plans are
voiced by the Construction industry, while
MFG.–NON-DURABLE GOODS 22 61 11 6 11 9
Durable Goods Manufacturers foresee
TRANS. & PUBLIC UTILITIES 14 66 13 7 1 1 marked improvement over the plans
WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES 25 56 14 5 11 14
reported last year. Projections in
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing are
FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE 18 65 11 6 7 4 slightly better than those voiced 12
EDUCATION - PUBLIC & PRIVATE 8 82 7 3 1 4 months ago, but down moderately from
the first quarter. Transportation & Public
SERVICES 23 66 6 5 17 14
Utilities firms anticipate the most negative
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 14 64 16 6 -2 -4 conditions in seven years. The second
quarter outlook in Public Administration
ALL INDUSTRIES 21 63 11 5 10 9
is the softest in 11 years, although
prospects are brighter than they were
CONNECTICUT
MAINE three months ago. Education employers
MASSACHUSETTS report the lowest reading since 1997.
NEW HAMPSHIRE Hiring in Wholesale & Retail Trades is
NEW JERSEY
NEW YORK expected to match last year’s forecast,
PENNSYLVANIA but is off from last quarter.
RHODE ISLAND
VERMONT
THE MIDWEST OUTLOOK 1988-2003

NET HIRING STRENGTH, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

NET HIRING STRENGTH, UNADJUSTED

BY INDUSTRY CATEGORY MIDWEST

net % +/- The Midwest anticipates a slight decline
% % no % % don’t net % seasonally
INDUSTRY CATEGORIES increase change decrease know +/- adjusted
in hiring since last quarter, but expecta-
MINING 14 57 29 0 -15 -21 tions are edging up from 12 months ago.
While Durable Goods Manufacturers
CONSTRUCTION 36 51 7 6 29 10
foresee a moderate increase in job
MFG.–DURABLE GOODS 23 62 10 5 13 10 openings compared to last year, this is
the only region to register a cutback from
MFG.–NON-DURABLE GOODS 21 65 9 5 12 12
last quarter. Services employers in the
TRANS. & PUBLIC UTILITIES 14 73 8 5 6 3 Midwest are the only ones that did not
WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES 24 63 8 5 16 14
improve their outlook from last year.
This area of the country is also the only
FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE 16 76 4 4 12 11
region not to show an improvement in
EDUCATION - PUBLIC & PRIVATE 12 74 10 4 2 6 Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing.
A slight increase is anticipated in Public
SERVICES 22 66 7 5 15 12
Administration. In the Wholesale & Retail
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 22 65 9 4 13 5 Trades sector, prospects rose slightly
over last year, but registered the greatest
ALL INDUSTRIES 22 65 8 5 14 11
decline from last quarter of all the regions.
ILLINOIS Conversely, the Midwest is the only part
INDIANA of the country to forecast an increase in
IOWA job opportunities in Education over the
KANSAS
MICHIGAN second quarter of 2002. Construction
MINNESOTA fell slightly from last quarter, but a modest
MISSOURI
NEBRASKA increase in prospects from last year
NORTH DAKOTA is reported.
OHIO
SOUTH DAKOTA
WISCONSIN
THE SOUTHERN OUTLOOK 1988-2003

NET HIRING STRENGTH, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

NET HIRING STRENGTH, UNADJUSTED

BY INDUSTRY CATEGORY SOUTH

% % no % % don’t
net % +/-
net % seasonally
While expectations here are lower than
INDUSTRY CATEGORIES increase change decrease know +/- adjusted three months ago, the South shows the
MINING 15 67 10 8 5 5 greatest improvement in hiring prospects
of all regions over a year ago. Both the
CONSTRUCTION 30 57 6 7 24 17
key Durable Goods and Non-Durable
MFG.–DURABLE GOODS 24 60 9 7 15 12 Goods Manufacturing industries antici-
pate more activity than they did last year.
MFG.–NON-DURABLE GOODS 21 66 8 5 13 12
Also painting the most optimistic pictures
TRANS. & PUBLIC UTILITIES 15 68 8 9 7 7 in the country are the Finance, Insurance
& Real Estate, Wholesale & Retail Trades
WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES 24 60 9 7 15 16
and Services sectors. But Transportation
FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE 20 68 6 6 14 14 & Public Utilities employers foresee the
EDUCATION - PUBLIC & PRIVATE 13 73 6 8 7 9 weakest job market in seven years. The
outlook remains steady in Construction
SERVICES 25 63 5 7 20 17
and Education compared to last year
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 18 69 7 6 11 9 and slightly better than three months ago.
On the other hand, prospects in Public
ALL INDUSTRIES 23 63 7 7 16 15
Administration remain the same as three
ALABAMA MARYLAND months ago, but less than a year ago.
ARKANSAS MISSISSIPPI A modest decrease in hiring is foreseen
DELAWARE NORTH CAROLINA in Mining since last quarter, but expecta-
DISTRICT OKLAHOMA
OF COLUMBIA SOUTH CAROLINA tions are brighter than they were last year.
FLORIDA TENNESSEE
GEORGIA TEXAS
KENTUCKY VIRGINIA
LOUISIANA WEST VIRGINIA
THE WESTERN OUTLOOK 1988-2003

NET HIRING STRENGTH, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

NET HIRING STRENGTH, UNADJUSTED

BY INDUSTRY CATEGORY WEST

% % no % % don’t
net % +/-
net % seasonally
Overall prospects in the West have
INDUSTRY CATEGORIES increase change decrease know +/- adjusted declined compared to last quarter,
MINING 28 60 6 6 22 21 but represent a modest upturn from
last year. Non-Durable Goods Manufac-
CONSTRUCTION 26 60 5 9 21 15
turers have issued the country’s most
MFG.–DURABLE GOODS 24 58 10 8 14 10 optimistic plans, with a moderate
increase anticipated over last year.
MFG.–NON-DURABLE GOODS 28 52 8 12 20 19
Durable Goods Manufacturers predict
TRANS. & PUBLIC UTILITIES 20 60 13 7 7 11 a substantial increase compared to last
year and a modest one from last quarter.
WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES 23 57 11 9 12 14
Transportation & Public Utilities
FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE 21 61 10 8 11 10 employers in this region are the only
EDUCATION - PUBLIC & PRIVATE 15 67 13 5 2 1 ones in the country to forecast more
opportunities than last year. However,
SERVICES 28 55 8 9 20 18
prospects were stronger three months
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 19 64 12 5 7 3 ago. The greatest declines among all
the regions are expected in the West
ALL INDUSTRIES 24 57 10 9 14 13
in Finance, Insurance & Real Estate,
Education and Public Administration.
ALASKA
ARIZONA Small increases in hiring activity for the
CALIFORNIA April through June period are anticipated
COLORADO
HAWAII in Construction and Services.
IDAHO
MONTANA
NEVADA
NEW MEXICO
OREGON
UTAH
WASHINGTON
WYOMING
INTERNATIONAL HEADQUARTERS
5301 North Ironwood Road
Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53217

www.us.manpower.com

The quarterly Employment Outlook

Survey has been conducted as a
public service of Manpower Inc. for
27 years. The survey was designed
and is administered by Manpower’s
Market Research and Analysis
Department, utilizing a statistically
representative sample of nearly 16,000
public and private employers from
among ten industrial sectors in 468
U.S. markets.
The second quarter 2003 survey
is a measurement of employment
plans for the permanent workforce.
The survey results reflect the intentions
of the sample employers interviewed.
Some of these intentions may change
unexpectedly upon the conclusion of
this survey.

©Copyright. Manpower Inc. 2003. All rights reserved.