Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Introduction
Insurgency and counterinsurgency are two sides of the same coin. The salient
feature of this form of conflict is the gross disproportion of insurgent political
aims to their military means relative to those of the counterinsurgent. In its
classical form, insurgency possesses most or all of the following
characteristics: limitations on the commitment of political will and military
resource by one or more of the belligerent parties, and a consequent restriction
of some operational techniques and capabilities (although this is often the case
in conventional conflicts, it is particularly prevalent in unconventional ones);
participation of a nonstate group (sometimes backed by an external state
power) fighting against a state authority with the aim of achieving certain
political, social, or economic gains; a nature that is protracted and politically
complex; and predominant occurrence in the Third World. Contemporary
scholars are divided on the extent to which these characteristics of classical
insurgency still pertain to the transnational or global insurgency that has
dominated the interest of the field in the first decade of the twenty-first
century, though the trend is to the view that a major rethinking is warranted
and that insurgency has evolved beyond its classical form, possibly into
qualitatively new types of conflict.
Most armed forces have historically regarded the practice of, and the study of,
insurgency and counterinsurgency to be a niche area despite the fact that
these have been the most prevalent forms of conflict since 1945 (Holsti 1996).
Indeed, pinning it down in the literature can be difficult because of the variety
of terms used to describe the subject, which include, inter alia, low-intensity
conflict, small wars, irregular wars, guerrilla wars, revolutionary wars,
as well as the awkward mouthful MOOTW or Military Operations Other than
War. The latter is a particularly telling formulation illustrating how insurgency
has tended to be conceived as a phenomenon that exists outside a traditional
understanding of proper war (Smith 2003). The post9/11 wars in Afghanistan
and Iraq changed all that: the United States, navely, did not expect to fight an
insurgency in either place until this was forced upon them by events that they,
and a handful of their major allies, had failed to control. The result has been an
enormous increase in interest in insurgency as a field of academic study and as
a matter of practical concern to armies that are now racked by debate about
whether and how to adapt their structures to meet the challenge. The study of
insurgency and counterinsurgency has been thrust into the limelight because
the norm of regular conflict now looks decidedly irregular a trend that looks
likely to continue for some time (Evans 2003; Gray 2005).
There is nothing new about the use of guerrilla tactics per se; asymmetry is a
recent buzzword for something which is, in fact, inherent to war in all periods of
history. Herodotus, the father of history, wrote of the Persian warrior king
Darius in 512 BCE struggling unsuccessfully to subdue Scythian tribes who
used scorched earth and guerrilla tactics to force him into retreat from their
lands. Nor is there anything uniquely irregular about such tactics: concealed
movement, ambush, raiding these are all core functions of regular forces.
Asprey (2002) exhaustively documents the prevalence of guerrilla war
throughout history, but guerrilla tactics do not equal insurgency. The distinction
is well made by Beckett, who argues that it is only in the mid-twentieth century
that guerrilla warfare became revolutionary in both intent and practice with
social, economic, psychological and, especially, political elements grafted on to
traditional irregular military tactics [] (2001:viii).
Not all will agree with Beckett. Perhaps the most salient change was that in the
nineteenth century, when not fighting each other, the Western powers were
fighting to build empires through conquest, whereas in the twentieth they were
struggling to police them (and ultimately to retreat from them with the least
loss of dignity). There are, however, hints of modern insurgency, particularly in
the nineteenth century, which are worthy of consideration. Clausewitz, for
instance, was chiefly interested in guerrilla warfare as a strategy within a
conventional military framework, but he did write on people's war in On War,
which he described as a kind of nebulous vapoury essence, never
condens[ing] into a solid body []. Friedrich Engels, a serious student of
military affairs as were many early communists from Marx to Lenin and
Trotsky also wrote perceptively about irregular warfare: insurrection is an art
quite as much as war or any other, and subject to certain rules of proceeding,
which, when neglected, will produce the ruin of the party neglecting them, he
wrote in Revolution and Counterrevolution in Germany (1852), advising
insurrectionists that their meager strengths amounted to not much more than
surprises and possession of the moral ascendant.
We can see in these studies of guerrilla warfare some basic precepts which
have a degree of timelessness: animation of the people by some passionate
cause ideally resistance to occupation; tactics which rely upon surprise;
and, above all, the avoidance of setpiece battle. However, the first and,
arguably, the most influential theorist of insurgency was T.E. Lawrence
(Lawrence of Arabia) whose insights stemmed from his almost certainly
exaggerated exploits in the Middle East in World War I (for romantics, see
Lawrence of Arabia [1962, directed by David Lean]; for sober history, Wilson
1992). His book The Seven Pillars of Wisdom (1926/1997) has undeniable
aesthetic and philosophical merit, but the gist of his thoughts on insurgency is
succinctly expressed in an essay The Science of Guerrilla Warfare (1929). His
characterization of the relationship of the regular and irregular mindset is still
germane: Armies were like plants, immobile as a whole, firm-rooted, nourished
through long stems to the head. We might be a vapour, blowing where they
listed (Lawrence 1926:182).
Lawrence described insurgency as a moral contest not a physical one (which is,
of course, what Napoleon said about war in general another illustration of the
difficulty of finding the truly distinctive threads in this subject). He recognized
that insurgent strength derived from strategy, not tactics: Arab strength lay in
flexibility and patience not combat power; they had strategical rather than
tactical strength (1929). Moreover, presaging later theorists of insurgency,
Lawrence spoke of the necessity of a cause to motivate the insurgents. As
much as many were motivated by the prospect of loot, it was conviction
ultimately that motivated the fighters: Their only contract was honour
demonstrative use of force and not showing weakness on the logic that
uncivilized peoples understand and respect the rifle and the sword
(1906:401) is also not infrequently expressed still.
Yet, at the same time, Callwell observed that some tactics were more
exasperating than others and to be avoided because depredation causes
enmity which is sometimes contrary to the strategic purpose of the war. Later
in the book, he talks about operations in Burma where great care was taken to
separate marauders from the people in order not to exasperate the latter
(1906:1478). Hence the temptation to suggest that in a rudimentary way
Callwell observes the essential rule of counterinsurgency that the vital thing
that armies require to prevail in this sort of warfare is the good will (or at least
neutrality) of the host population. On the other hand, the advice not to engage
in pointless depredation is more than balanced by advice on when and how to
engage in deliberate, putatively educative, and necessary depredation.
His most important contribution, however, is to recognize the aforementioned
principle observed by Lawrence that the fundamental asymmetry of insurgency
lies in the fact that, while tactics favor the regular army, strategy favors the
irregular. This is because, says Callwell,
In spite of sea power, in spite of the initiative, in spite of science, and in spite of
the wealth, of the reserve of fighting strength and of the resources at their
back, the trained and organized armies of the civilized country have
undoubtedly the worst of it as regards strategical conditions, and that it is so is
actually in a large degree traceable to the very causes which establish their
tactical superiority, and which eventually lead as a rule to the triumph of the
forces of civilization. For it is the elaborate organization of the regular troops
which cramps their freedom in the theatre of war, and it is the excellence of
their armament and the completeness of their kit which over-burdens them
with non-combatant services and helps to tie them to their base.
(1906:85)
This observation of Callwell's alone makes it worth bracketing any study of
counter-insurgency with him. But the British approach to small wars in
something relatively close to its modern form is delineated more or less
comprehensively in Charles Gwynn's Imperial Policing (1934). The essential
principles are these: civil power is supreme; force must be used discriminately
(Gwynn actually talks of minimum force exercised in a timely way but
discriminate force captures the essence of both); and coordination of civil
and military instruments is vital.
The United States Marine Corps Small Wars Manual (1940) shows a lot of
commonality with Callwell's and Gwynn's work: all recognize the inherent
complexity of small wars, the absence in them of anything like a frontline, the
problems of obtaining good intelligence, the importance of not alienating the
population through excessive force and discourtesy, the need for an integrated
political-military approach, and, perhaps most importantly, that success in
counterinsurgency is more likely achieved through political rather than military
means. However, while there is a recognition of the need for the modulated use
of force, there remains, as Beckett (2001) puts it, a certain obsession with
firepower which is a characteristic of the American way of war often observed
by scholars.
Also important is the French tache d'huil or oil spot strategy which has a
Maoist Insurgency
A good analogy for the way in which classical insurgency works in a body politic
is the way cancer works in a living organism. What starts as just a few
malignant cells slowly metastasizes, spreads throughout the body, eventually
killing. Robert Taber famously described this as the war of the flea:
The flea bites, hops, and bites again, nimbly avoiding the foot that would crush
him. He does not seek to kill his enemy at a blow, but to bleed him and feed on
him, to plague and bedevil him, to keep him from resting and to destroy his
nerve and his morale. All of this requires time. Still more time is required to
breed more fleas. What starts as a local infestation must become an epidemic,
as one by one the areas of resistance link up, like spreading inkspots on a
blotter.
(2002:489)
There remain, however, three other intertwined elements of classical insurgent
technique that ought to be discussed: parallel governance structures;
intelligence; and, narrative. What is in contest in insurgency is the consent of
the population to be governed. What the insurgent must do, therefore, in order
to detach the population's loyalty from the state, is demonstrate a greater
capacity for governance by providing public goods in society which are
normally provided by the state (such as justice, health care, and other social
services) intimidation is also used in combination. Good intelligence is
therefore crucial because the insurgent needs a detailed knowledge of the
population's sympathies, interrelationships, and assets in order to know who to
intimidate, co-opt, and tithe. Fall (1965) illustrates this logic nicely, pointing out
that insurgent violence is not so much aimed at destroying the government
forces (because that is beyond their means) but at establishing a competitive
system of control over the population. And, finally, there is the narrative,
which is both the story from which the group's aims are derived, as well as the
way in which they are expressed a story that is continuously reshaped in
order to remain resonant with the target population. The narrative of Irish
resistance to Britain, for instance, depended on absorbing new political ideas
into successive generations of insurgent message: across two centuries of
republicanism, tangential, sometimes overlapping, and sometimes separate,
themes as distinct as Romantic nationalism, land rights, republicanism,
socialism, sacrificial Catholicism, anti-constitutionalism, and secession from the
imperial occupier were woven into the narrative.
Now let us explore briefly the doctrines that emerged to counter Maoist
insurgency. One French view of counterinsurgency, which we see in Trinquier's
(1964) work, is uncompromising and strongly enemy-centric no doubt
because it emerged during the wars in Indochina and Algeria, two of the
hardest fought insurgencies of the postcolonial era (Horne 1977; see also
Windrow 2004). As the French Army saw it, Algeria could not be lost because
they were in a fight, as one officer put it, to halt the decadence of the West
and the march of communism. That is our duty, the real duty of the army. That
is why we must win the war in Algeria. Indochina taught us to see the truth
(quoted in Horne 1977:165). What is characteristic of this view is the tension
between the recognition that in counterinsurgency the population is the
strategic prize and the determination to employ expedient tactics which
undermine the satisfaction of that objective.
Given such ends as noted above, all means were considered justified. Victory
]
]
]
]
]
have been relatively consistent in putting the theory into practice (Mockaitis
1990; also Nagl 2005).
The case for British excellence in counterinsurgency rests largely upon its
success in the Malayan Emergency against which an unfavorable contrast is
usually drawn with American performance in Vietnam. Nagl (2005), for
instance, argues that the British Army prevailed in Malaya because it was more
tactically and mentally flexible and a better learning organization than the
American Army in Vietnam. This probably overstates the case for British
capability as more recent studies of Malaya have illustrated the uneven
implementation of counterinsurgency there (Stubbs 1989); and, Malaya aside,
examples of British counterinsurgency in Palestine, Aden, and Kenya were
hardly stellar achievements (Townshend 1986; Newsinger 2001; Walker 2005).
It is the case, nonetheless, that Malaya looms large in the counter-insurgency
literature mainly due to the contribution of Sir Robert Thompson whose semitheoretical handbook Defeating Communist Insurgency (1966/2005) became
something of a counterinsurgency bible from the 1960s onward. He outlined
five principles of counterinsurgency which have been very influential:
1 The counterinsurgent must act within the law because governmental
legitimacy inheres from being seen to do so.
2. The counterinsurgent must have a clear political aim in order to be
able to meaningfully refute insurgent propaganda and narratives.
3. The counterinsurgent must have an overall plan in order to align the
efforts of all involved civil and military, intelligence and police.
4. The counterinsurgent must give priority to defeating the insurgent's
campaign of political subversion, not the physical destruction of the insurgent
per se.
5. In the guerrilla phase of the insurgency, the counterinsurgent must
secure its base areas first (as in an oil spot manner) because the government
cannot be everywhere at once.
At the heart of this concept of counterinsurgency, says Mackinlay (2007), lies a
simple equation:
Which can be explained as (I) the insurgent, having won over by subversion the
support of the population (POP), becomes greater than the sum of the opposing
security forces (SF) and the government (GOV). The key to success or failure
was (and probably still is) the disposition of the population. Thompson's
overriding concern was to protect the population and insulate it from insurgent
subversion which was to be achieved through the tactic of clear and hold. In
his own words: winning the population can tritely be summed up as good
government in all its aspects [] (1966/2005:11112).
Frank Kitson covers much of the same ground as Galula and Thompson in his
book Low-intensity Operations (1971) which sets out his own principles of
counterinsurgency. Most frequently remarked upon is Kitson's emphasis on
good intelligence, a topic addressed by the others cited above (Galula was very
aware of its importance and how to get it: through the population, naturally
another reason for his focus on them as the critical objective), but Kitson more
than any other developed the argument in detail a theme that is picked up
very strongly in current US doctrine: Without good intelligence,
counterinsurgents are like blind boxers wasting energy flailing at unseen
Insurgency in Transition
Now let us look at insurgency in transition in the 1960s through the 1990s from
the classical Maoist form which we have been considering thus far to an
evolved form with somewhat different characteristics. That the Maoist form of
insurgency evolved is not surprising, for as we have already observed
insurgency is a quintessentially bottom-up form of warfare hence the term
people's war; it is axiomatic, therefore, that insurgencies reflect the societies
from which they emerge. After World War II, there were four sociotechnological
developments that interest us cheap jet air travel, mass communication, the
acceleration of urbanization, and the availability of modern arms because,
taken together, they have driven the evolution of insurgency. In the days of
vacuum tubes and steam ships, insurgencies had generally been confined to
particular countries or regions if only because of the low speed of
transactional flows of people, goods, and ideas. In the days of global media and
cheap air travel, however, insurgencies began to transcend distance in ways
that raised the question of which population was the center of gravity, the one
in theater, the one at home, or both? As Hammes (2004a:74) noted of the
Vietnamese defeat of the United States:
The insurgents continually lost on the battlefield, yet they won the war.
Strategically, they shifted the focus from the battlefield to the political arena
[] We consistently sought big battles against those forces. As a result we
virtually ignored the key battle for political credibility and strength essential in
this new form of warfare.
This brings us back to the question of why strong democratic powers often lose
small wars. According to Merom (2003), it is because their domestic structures
prevent them from escalating the conflict to the levels of violence and brutality
needed to secure victory. There would seem to be two important conclusions to
be drawn at this point. The first is that democracies, in particular, struggle with
counterinsurgency. The second is that the feedback mechanism, which
connects what the armed forces are doing in distant theaters of war and what
the public at home knows and feels about it, which Hammes and Merom
highlighted as vital (in different ways), is the media.
Another development which had, and continues to have, a transformative
effect on insurgency is urbanization. Insurgency, typically, has been seen as a
rural phenomenon hence the longstanding correlation in the public
consciousness of insurgency with steaming jungles or impenetrable mountains.
But, actually, insurgency has had a strong urban orientation for a long time;
indeed, the Battle of Algiers was an urban phenomenon as may be seen in
the eponymous classic film (The Battle of Algiers, 1966, directed by Gilles
Pontecorvo). The urbanization of insurgency is often erroneously connected
with the career of revolutionary icon Che Guevara ironically, given his
notoriety, spectacularly ineffective, as an insurgent; his theory of insurgency,
foco, failed everywhere that it was tried, including in Bolivia where he met his
whose major states were weary of the whole mess the name Black
September comes from a bloody Jordanian crack-down on Palestinian
organization in September 1970). The point, however, is not whether terrorism
works (diverse opinion exists on the matter, see Pape 2003; Abrahms 2006);
the fact is that it is a main tactic of insurgency which has increased in
importance from roughly the 1960s onward in line with the growth of the mass
media. Yet it bears repeating that the trend exists over many decades. Even
looking at Marighela's Minimanual, we see that the essential operational
technique of the urban insurgent was not the causing of fear and damage
locally (these were secondary objectives): the primary objective was the
attraction of the media spotlight which was believed to have a force multiplying
effect.
The British campaign in Northern Ireland against the Provisional Irish
Republican Army (PIRA) from 1967 until the signing of the Good Friday
Agreement in 1998 represents a fascinating case study of the use of the media
by insurgents, in part because arguably the most effective PIRA attack
involved no violence. The death of the PIRA's Bobby Sands in 1981 on the sixtysixth day of his hunger strike in a British prison manufactured a media image
which had an impact far beyond the explosive and fragmentation radius of any
bomb. In Athens, Antwerp, Milan, Oslo, Brisbane, and Chicago there broke out
anti-British street demonstrations; 110,000 American longshoremen refused to
man any British ship for 24 hours. And the New York Times would write: By
willing his own death [] Bobby Sands has earned a place on Ireland's long role
of martyrs and bested an implacable British Prime Minister which led the
Boston Globe to lament: He is myth now, part of an elaborately cultivated
contrivance about the past (O'Malley 1990:45).
Hybrid Wars
Martin Van Creveld's The Transformation of War (1991), published just at the
end of the Cold War, was the first of many books that have sought to
understand the increasing irregularity of warfare. The gist of Van Creveld's
argument was that regular war that is, high intensity and interstate was
dead for two main reasons: first, changes in the way we think about territory,
nationality, and identity have made wars of conquest nigh on impossible; and,
second, the proliferation of nuclear weapons has had a prophylactic effect on
conventional warfare between states who rightly fear its escalatory potential. In
its place was a proliferation of wars between states and organizations other
than states. Van Creveld concluded that, for the most part, the advantage in
this new era of warfare lies with the nonstate actor.
Around the same time, in a Marine Corps Gazette (1989) article, William S. Lind
introduced the concept of Fourth Generation warfare (4GW), a putatively new
form of warfare which was said to work by collapsing the enemy internally
rather than physically destroying him. Rather like Van Creveld, Lind saw this
development as being driven by broader historical changes, notably: the
decline of the nation-state's monopoly of violence; the rise of cultural, ethnic,
and religious conflict; and technological innovation, particularly the use of off
the shelf or dual purpose technology by insurgents for warlike purposes. 4GW
has many contemporary adherents. Noteworthy among these is T.X. Hammes
(2004b), whose seminal article War Evolves into the Fourth Generation
specified its characteristics: 4GW does not attempt to win by defeating the
undistinguished and occasionally inaccurate. But the final third, in which Smith
logically and self-critically attempts to understand the continuing purpose of his
profession at a time of historical change, is extremely worthwhile.
A final concept that requires mention is hybrid war, an idea that attempts to
capture an apparent change in the character of warfare. The leading figure
behind this concept is Frank Hoffman, who defined it thus: Hybrid Wars
combine a range of different modes of warfare including conventional
capabilities, irregular tactics and formations, terrorist acts including
indiscriminate violence and coercion, and criminal disorder (2007:14). The
distinguishing characteristic of hybrid wars is that the adversary employs all
forms of conflict, conventional and unconventional, simultaneously in a
coordinated manner at the tactical and operational level. Also, such conflicts
take place within complex terrain, amongst the people, and exploit the virtual
dimension to great effect. We can see in this parallels with the other concepts
discussed in this section upon which the hybrid war concept is built. The
essential starting point of the hybrid wars concept is the belief common among
strategists, but enunciated most clearly by Michael Evans (2003:139), that the
future of warfare defies easy categorization:
The merging of modes of armed conflict suggests an era of warfare quite
different from that of the recent past [] The possibility of continuous,
sporadic, armed conflict, its engagements blurred together in time and space,
waged on several levels by a large array of national and subnational forces,
means that the reality of war in the first decade of the twenty-first century is
likely to transcend a neat division into distinct categories, symmetry and
asymmetry.
The concept has been criticized most cogently by Glenn (2009), who argues
essentially that it is old wine in a new bottle, simply describing conflicts which
are as easily explained by existing theoretical constructs but it has captured
the minds of top policy makers in the United States and United Kingdom.
Adapting the armed forces to meet the hybrid wars challenge has met with
institutional resistance within some parts of the American military which fear
the loss of high-end war-fighting capabilities (see point/counterpoint of Gentile
2008 and Nagl 2008; F. Hoffman 2007; also Betz 2007). This debate has yet to
play out in budgeting and policy (Ucko 2008). From an intellectual perspective,
a helpful factor in the hybrid wars concept is its implicit challenge to the
traditional binary thinking that divides war into conventional and
unconventional stereotypes in neither of which is it easy to place most actual
contemporary conflicts.
Post-Maoist Insurgency
This brings us to the War on Terror and its major campaigns (notably Iraq and
Afghanistan) which have generated a voluminous literature. The difficulties of
the American military in, first, apprehending that they were fighting an
insurgency in Iraq and, second, adapting themselves to it afterwards has been
well reported. Less well researched are the British failures of
counterinsurgency, which have also been extensive, and the institutional
response to them which lags behind the American efforts to reform (Betz and
Cormack 2009). As fascinating as these accounts are, they contain relatively
few new lessons about the theory of insurgency; indeed, a main reason the
best are so blistering (especially Packer 2005; Aylwin-Foster 2006;
Chandrasekaran 2006; Ricks 2006, 2009) is that the conduct of both campaigns
violated most, if not all, of the principles of counterinsurgency discussed above.
Indeed, a standard oil spot strategy was posited by the counterinsurgency
expert Andrew Krepinevich in a 2005 Foreign Affairs article as the solution for
the insurgency in Iraq and rejected outright by the Pentagon (Ricks 2009).
Probably the most important book to emerge from the conflict is the United
States Army and Marine Corps counterinsurgency field manual FM324 (2005).
However, even its admirers admit that the manual is an elegant codification of
principles that have been well understood for decades (Betz 2007; F. Hoffman
2007) which tends to suggest that the lessons of today's insurgencies are not
altogether different from previous ones and ought not to have had to be
relearned so painfully.
While not entirely new, there are three themes in insurgency research that
have gained more theoretical prominence and empirical grounding as a result
of recent campaigns. The first of these is the notion that sound
counterinsurgency depends upon good cultural understanding of the society in
conflict: counterinsurgency needs to be infused with anthropology, a discipline
invented to support warfighting in the tribal zone wrote Montgomery McFate,
the senior social scientist for the American military's Human Terrain System
(McFate 2005). This is a controversial view in the anthropological community
(as well as the non-anthropological community which is beginning to question
whether the relatively static and ahistorical approach to culture that is typical
of anthropology is all that relevant for military and political purposes). The
second is the issue of reconstruction and development which is increasingly
seen (though the thesis is academically untested) as the sine qua non of
counterinsurgency. There has been a good deal of research on civil military
cooperation (or CIMIC; see Ankersen 2007), and even more on nationbuilding (Ignatieff 2003; Fukuyama 2006), much of which points to the
sobering likelihood that the proliferation of actors in contemporary
counterinsurgencies both governmental and nongovernmental make the
realization of the principle of coordination of civil and military assets practically
unachievable. The third is the aforementioned evolution of insurgency into the
virtual territories of the mind (Mackinlay and Al-Baddawy 2008) caused by
the advent of humanity in general into the Information Age.
Taken together, these developments are worrying for strategists because what
they suggest is that counterinsurgency, which has always been a contingent
and complicated exercise, is now an order of magnitude more difficult.
Bacevich (2006), for example, writes that the apparent advantages of Western
conventional forces have been undercut by new enemies employing a panoply
of techniques including terrorism (i.e., intimidation), as well as propaganda,
subversion, popular agitation, economic warfare, and hit-and-run attacks on
regular forces. His plainly put conclusion: The sun has set on unquestioned
Western military dominance. Bluntly, the East has solved the riddle of the
Western Way of War. But really how new is this? After all, more than a
hundred years ago, Callwell called such wars protracted, thankless,
invertebrate, and advised that they be avoided if at all possible; however,
recognizing that not all could be avoided, it seemed sensible to maintain skills
to fight such wars. In a nutshell, this is still the view of counterinsurgency
experts such as Kilcullen who argue that we should avoid insurgencies
wherever possible because they are costly and rarely very fruitful, but given
our conventional supremacy any sensible enemy will choose to fight us in an
[insurgent] manner and, therefore, we should be prepared (2009:2689).
Indeed, Kilcullen is something of a contemporary Callwell though the parallel
is usually drawn to Lawrence because of Kilcullen's essay Twenty-eight
Articles (2006b), one better than Lawrence's 27 Articles (1917). His major
contribution to the field is the concept of global insurgency (Kilcullen 2005),
which he sees as possibly sufficiently different from classical insurgency as to
require fundamental reappraisals of conventional wisdom (2006a:61415).
Global insurgency, as he describes it, is a popular movement which feeds on
local grievances, integrating them into broader ideologies and linking disparate
conflicts through globalized communications, and which seeks to change the
(global) status quo like all insurgencies through an admixture of terrorism,
subversion, propaganda, and open warfare (Kilcullen 2005). As significant in
the study of global insurgency is Mackinlay who shares with Kilcullen much
commonality. At the center of both analyses is the transnational essence of the
phenomenon, and both remark upon the networked nature of global insurgency
which allows it to act in a concerted manner despite an apparent lack of
structure (a point debated in the literature vociferously by Sageman 2004,
2008; F. Hoffman 2007).
But Mackinlay advances the theory of insurgency further, suggesting that
across a range of categories there is a sea change from Maoist to post-Maoist
insurgency (Mackinlay 2009): Maoist insurgent objectives were national,
whereas post-Maoist objectives are global; the population involved in Maoist
insurgency was manageable (albeit with difficulty), whereas the populations
(note the plural) involved in post-Maoist insurgency are dispersed and
unmanageable; the center of gravity in Maoist insurgency was local or national,
whereas in post-Maoist insurgency it is multiple and possibly irrelevant; the all
important subversion process in Maoist insurgency was top-down, whereas in
post-Maoist insurgency it is bottom-up; Maoist insurgent organization was
vertical and structured, whereas in post-Maoism it is an unstructured network;
and whereas Maoist insurgency took place in a real and territorial context, the
post-Maoist variant's vital operational environment is virtual.
Mackinlay's and Kilcullen's work are the best available syntheses of a number
of important themes that are at the cutting edge of insurgency research. These
include: the examination of global insurgency as Islamic activism, defined as
the mobilization of contention to support Muslim causes by Wiktorowicz
(2008:2), using social movement theory which was originally designed to
explain how more benign movements use various techniques to animate their
adherents to achieve political or social change; analyses of the concept of
globalized Islam and the virtual Ummah (Roy 1994, 2006; Kepel 2004,
2006), the deterritorialized population which is the prize of global insurgency,
and of its relationship with the process of radicalization, particularly of Muslims
in European countries which increasingly face what are essentially domestic
counterinsurgencies amongst a significant non-integrating minority (Neumann
2009); the nature of the virtual dimension of insurgency (Betz 2008) and a
twenty-first century concept of propaganda of the deed (Bolt and Betz 2008);
and detailed studies of the ideology, beliefs, and ideas of the enemy
sometimes referred to as Jihadi studies.
References
Abrahms, M. (2006) Why Terrorism Does Not Work. International Security (31)
(2), 4278.
Ankersen, C. (2007) Civil-Military Cooperation in postconflict Operations.
Abingdon: Routledge.
Arregun-Toft, I. (2005) How the Weak Win Wars: A Theory of Asymmetric
Conflict. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Asprey, R. (2002) War in the Shadows: The Guerrilla in History, (2 vols.) Lincoln:
iUniverse.
Aylwin-Foster, N. (2006) Changing the Army for Counterinsurgency Operations.
Military Review, 215.
Bacevich, A. (2006) The Islamic Way of War. The American Conservative,
September 11. At www.amconmag.com/article/2006/sep/11/00007/, accessed
Aug. 2009.
Beckett, I. (2001) Modern Insurgencies and Counterinsurgencies. Abingdon:
Routledge.
Betz, D.J. (2007) Redesigning Land Forces for Wars amongst the People. Journal
of Contemporary Security Policy (28) (2), 22143.
Betz, D.J. (2008) The Virtual Dimension of Contemporary Insurgency and
Counterinsurgency. Small Wars and Insurgencies (19) (4), 51343.
Betz, D.J., and Cormack, A. (2009) Iraq, Afghanistan and British Strategy. Orbis
(53) (2), 31936.
Bolt, N., and Betz, D.J. (2008) Propaganda of the Deed 2008: Understanding the
Phenomenon. London: RUSI.
Byman, D. (2007) Understanding Proto-insurgencies. Santa Monica: RAND.
Callwell, C.E. (1906) Small Wars: Their Principles and Practice. London: HMSO.
Chandrasekaran, R. (2006) Imperial Life in the Emerald City. New York:
Bloomsbury.
Crelinston, R. (1989) Terrorism and the Media: Problems, Solutions, and
Counter-problems. Political Communication and Persuasion (6) , 31139.
Di Marco, L., (2006) Losing the Moral Compass: Torture and Guerre
Revolutionnaire in the Algerian War. Parameters (36) (2), 6376.
Ellul, J. (1965) Propaganda: The Formation of Men's Attitudes. New York: Knopf.
Engels, F. (1852) Revolution and Counter-Revolution in Germany. At
www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1852/germany/ch17.htm, accessed Aug.
2009.
Evans, M. (2003) From Kadesh to Kandahar: Military Theory and the Future of
War. Naval War College Review (16) (3), 13250.
Fall, B. (1965) The Theory and Practice of Insurgency and Counterinsurgency.
Naval
War
College
Review
(April),
4656.
At
www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/navy/art5-w98.htm, accessed Aug. 2009.
Fukuyama, F. (2006) Nation-building: Beyond Afghanistan and Iraq. Baltimore:
Johns Hopkins University Press.
Galula, D. (1963) Pacification in Algeria, 19561958. Santa Monica: RAND.
Galula, D. (1964) Counterinsurgency Warfare: Theory and Practice. New York:
Praeger.
Gentile, G. (2008) Let's Build an Army to Win All Wars. Joint Force Quarterly (52)
, 2733.
Glenn, R.W. (2009) Thoughts on Hybrid Conflict. Small Wars Journal. At
http://smallwarsjournal.com/bl...g/journal/docs-temp/188-glenn.pdf,
accessed
Aug. 2009.
Gray, C. (2005) Another Bloody Century. London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson.
Gurr, T.R. (1971) Why Men Rebel. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Gwynn, C. (1934) Imperial Policing. London: Macmillan.
Hammes, T.X. (2004a) War Evolves into the Fourth Generation. Journal of
Contemporary Security Policy (26) (2), 84102.
Hammes, T.X. (2004b) The Sling and the Stone. Osceola, WI: Zenith Press.
Hoffman, B. (2006) Inside Terrorism. New York: Columbia University Books.
Hoffman, F. (2007) Conflict in the Twenty-first Century. Arlington: Potomac
Institute for Policy Studies.
Holsti, K.J. (1996) The State, War and the State of War. Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press.
Horne, A. (1977) A Savage War of Peace. New York: Viking.
Ignatieff, M. (2003) Empire Lite: Nation-building in Bosnia, Kosovo and
Afghanistan. London: Vintage.
Katzenbach, E., and Hanrahan, G. (1955) The Revolutionary Strategy of Mao
Tse-Tung. Political Science Quarterly (70) , 32140.
Kepel, G. (2004) The War for Muslim Minds. Cambridge: Harvard University
Press.
Kepel, G. (2006) Jihad: The Trail of Political Islam. London: I.B. Tauris.
Kilcullen, D. (2005) Countering Global Insurgency. Journal of Strategic Studies
(28) (4), 597617.
Kilcullen, D. (2006a) Counter-insurgency Redux. Survival (48) (4), 11130.
Kilcullen, D. (2006b) Twenty-eight Articles: Fundamentals of Company-level
Counterinsurgency. Military Review (May-June), 1038.
Kilcullen, D. (2009) The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of
a Big One. London: Hurst.
Kitson, F. (1971) Low-intensity Operations: Subversion, Insurgency and
Peacekeeping. London: Faber and Faber.
Krepinevich, A. (1986) The Army and Vietnam. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins
University Press.
Krepinevich, A. (2005) How to Win in Iraq. Foreign Affairs (84) (5), 87104.
Krulak, C. (1999) The Strategic Corporal: Leadership in the Three Block War.
Marines Magazine (28) (1), 2834.
Larteguy, J. (1962) The Centurions. New York: Dutton.
Lawrence, T.E. (1917) 27 Articles. The Arab Bulletin, August 20.
Lawrence, T.E. (1929) The Science of Guerrilla Warfare. Encyclopaedia
Britannica, 14th ed.. New York: Encyclopaedia Britannica.
Lawrence, T.E. (1997) The Seven Pillars of Wisdom. London: Wordsworth.
Originally published 1926.
Lind, W.S. (1989) The Changing Face of War: Into the Fourth Generation. Marine
Corps Gazette October, 226. At www.d-n-i.net/fcs/4th_gen_war_gazette.htm,
accessed Aug. 2009.
McFate, M. (2005) The Military Utility of Understanding Adversary Culture. Joint
Force Quarterly (38) (3), 428.
Mack, A. (1975) Why Big Nations Lose Small Wars. In K. Knorr (ed.) Power
Strategy and Security: A World Politics Reader. Princeton: Princeton University
Press, pp. 12651.
Collier.
Windrow, M. (2004) The Last Valley: Dien Bien Phu and the French Defeat in
Vietnam. London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson.
Zarrow, P. (2005) China in War and Revolution, 18951949. Abingdon:
Routledge.
Online Resources
David J. Betz is Senior Lecturer in the War Studies Department at King's College
London. He is the head of the Insurgency Research Group there, as well as the
Academic Director of the MA War in the Modern World. He has written on
information warfare, the future of land forces, the virtual dimension of
insurgency, propaganda of the deed, and British counterinsurgency in such
journals as the Journal of Strategic Studies, the Journal of Contemporary
Security Studies, and Orbis.