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Graham Pyatt
World Bank
Redistribution with Growth has to be an important book by several
standards. As indicated by its authorship, the volume is the product of
various minds and is essentially the result of a joint effort by individuals
from the World Bank (Ahluwalia, Chenery, and Duloy) and from the
Institute of Development Studies (IDS) in Sussex, England (Bell and
Jolly). In fact, many others have been involved, and in their preface the
authors indicate that the original idea for some such effort came from
Dudley Seers, but illness prevented him from participating in it to fruition. However, Seers did manage to play a limited role as one of the
seven others to whom particular contributions are attributed.
The outcome is something between a book and a collection of essays,' built initially on the complementary experiences of the World
Bank-deriving both from its role as a multilateral development agency
and its expertise in quantitative economic modeling-and of the IDS,
Sussex, which has played such a significant role in the International
Labour Office World Employment Programme and is deservedly recognized for its insistence that development should not be perceived simply
in narrow economic terms. The result, then, is some variations on common
themes by five principal authors with seven supporting parts as the ultimate product of a workshop of 19 in Bellagio; discussion of a draft at a
conference of 49 in Sussex (including myself, incidentally); and, no
doubt, a great deal more by way of thought, comment, and hard work.
The book is in three parts: part I, "Reorientation of Policy" (chaps.
1-8); part II, "Quantification and Modeling" (chaps. 9-13); and part
* Hollis Chenery, Montek S. A. Ahluwalia, C. L. G. Bell, John H. Duloy,
and Richard Jolly. Redistributionwith Growth. London: Oxford University Press,
1974. Pp. xx+304.
1 The authors'preface (p. v) states: "Although we agree on the major themes
advanced, we have not tried to produce a 'committee report' that would reconcile
all our differences.Such an attempt seems inappropriatein a document that tries to
bring together the perceptions of policymakers as to the nature of economic and
political problems and the suggestions of researchers as to how to solve them."
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equal weights or poverty weights: to count a 1 percent increase as contributing more to the growth of welfare if it is experienced by a poorer
person. There is a surprising absence of references to the economic theory literature in this discussion, which is a pity given the important contributions which have been made in recent years.
The chapter moves from the question of welfare measures to a brief
discussion "toward a theory of distribution and growth," followed by
"alternative strategies." In the former the major (and clearly valid) contention is that an explicit treatment of asset ownership is essential to understanding inequality, and that policy to help target groups must focus
on the factors of production they own rather than simply on the markets
in which they sell their services. This leads to the identification of four
basic strategies: maximizing GNP growth, redistributing investment, redistributing consumption, and the transfer of existing assets. It is then
argued that maximizing GNP growth is slow to benefit the poor, given an
initial position of underemployment. In contrast, poverty alleviation
through current transfers will obviously result in short-term gains but
may be at the expense of longer-term growth. Large-scale asset transfers
going beyond land reform, for example, are not likely to be politically
acceptable, while reductions in population growth rates can make the
position easier from a number of points of view. In arguing that the redistribution-with-growth strategy of directing increments of investment
(especially public) toward target groups is the main thrust to be followed, the analogy is drawn with an international aid strategy of assisting
investment and hence the capacity to be more self-sustaining in the future.
This chapter is crucial to the whole volume. The arguments about
alternative economic strategies make reference to a simulation model
which is set out in chapter 11 and which, when we come to it, is simply
not good enough. In particular, the transfer of existing assets, even restricted to land reform, is no longer encompassed. Meanwhile, the structure within the chapter of social preference functions on the one hand,
and a model of technical and behavioral characteristics on the other, is
familiar enough in economics. However, there are aspects of its use in
the present context which could benefit from being much more explicit.
Specifically, the set of alternatives between growth and inequality is not
defined by technology alone but depends crucially on the range of policy
options which are entertained. If the latter is limited, then the resulting
redistribution will be limited also even though, in terms of the objective
function, the weight given to poverty alleviation is very substantial. Much
more might be achieved by a less radical statement of objectives associated with a more far-ranging exploration of potential policies.
Chapter 3 focuses on the political framework within which redistribution with growth is conceived. In it Bell provides an excellent sketch
of the coalition of interest groups and the processes of accommodation
which often characterize pursuit of governments' main objective-to stay
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correctingfactorprice distortions.But yet againwe come up againstthe
politicalrealitiesof both capitaland labor markets.
PartI of the book is completedby a chapteron internationaldimensions by Jolly.He putshis fingerfirmlyon whatworriesme throughmuch
of the earlierchapters-that "the extent of worldinequalityand poverty
is too seriousandpersistenta problemfor adequateremediesto be found
only within the range of currentlyrealistic debate" (p. 159). He then
proceedsto discussthe scale and natureof internationaltransferswhich
would be substantiveand even appearpossible in comparisonwith the
magnitudesinvolvedin the change in oil prices, which was only recent
at the time of writing.While recognizingthat such developmentsmay
"appearvisionaryandunrealistic"(p. 167), Jollyis not necessarilyindulging idle speculationwhen he says, "In the longer run, the world as a
whole, rich countriesand poor, could tire of the instabilitystimulated
by [developmentsin the bargainingpower of primaryproducers]and
supportmoves towardsa more rationalworld system, involvingorderly
financialtransferswithin,for example,some form of world income tax"
(p. 167).
In defaultof such majorchanges,there remainsa great deal which
could be done at the internationallevel to supportthe internalpolicies
of countries,or even simply to give them a chance. Jolly goes through
the list of trade,technology,privateinvestment,monetaryarrangements,
militaryactivities,and aid to make the point. He suggeststhat in the first
two areas,at least, thereare optionsfrom which all countriesmightgain
in terms of a more rationalstructureof world productionand by a reallocationof scientificresearchand developmentefforttowardthe problems underlyingmaldistribution.The internationalmobilityof labor, as
opposed to that of capital and goods, does not feature much in this
discussion.
Part II of the book is disappointing."AvailablePlanningModels"
(chap. 9) discussesextensionsof input-outputto cope with distribution
and employmentissues-a theme taken up in chapter 13 on "Research
Directions."Only sketchesof the extensionsare offered,and hence the
case for moreresearchin this areais presented.Chapter10 on "Sectoral,
Regional and ProjectAnalysis"is similarlyconcernedwith pointingup
the relevanceof previousresearchand the extensionswhich are desirable
for the future.2Both chapterscontainthreadswhich,it is suggested,need
to be drawntogetherwith those in chapter11, "A Model of Redistribution with Growth,"in order to arriveat an appropriateframeworkfor
evaluatingpolicy options. But even discountingthe obviousinternalde2 The material in chapters9 and 10 is drawn largely from two recent volumes:
Charles R. Blitzer, P. Clark, and L. Taylor, eds., Economy-wide Models and DepartmentPlanning (London: Oxford University Press, 1975); and Louis M. Goreux
and Alan S. Manne, eds., Multi-Level Planning: Case Studies in Mexico (Amster-
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Korea (Irma Adelman), and Taiwan (Gus Ranis)-could all with advantagehave been permitedmore space. Equally,the samplecould well
havebeen extendedto countrieswhichhad less concernwith distribution,
and others with concernbut less success. However, these brief reviews
of experienceremainvery worthwhileand bring out a numberof issues
which the main text skips over. Not least nationalizationand trades
unions loom much largerhere than earlier, as does the vexed question
of the role to be playedby the privatesector.One would like to see these
issuesof appropriateformsof organizationaddedto the researchagenda.
To sum up Redistribution with Growth is not easy. In the first
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