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Mock Paper Mark Scheme

Advanced Subsidiary/Advanced GCE


General Certificate of Education

Subject STATISTICS

Paper No. Mock S1

Question
number
1.

Scheme

Marks

Let J represent the weight of a Jar J N(260.00, 5.452)


266 260

P( J < 266) = P Z <

5.45

M1 A1

= P(Z < 1.10)


A1

= 0.8643
(NB: calculator gives 0.86453: accept 0.864 0.865)
Let C represent weight of coffee in a Jar C N(101.8, 0.722)
100 101.8

P(C < 100) = P Z <

0.72

= P(Z < 2.50)

M1 A1

A1

= 0.0062
P(J < 266 & C < 100) = 0.8643 0.0062
= 0.0054

UA009018 AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1)

M1
A1

(8)

Statistics S1 Mark Scheme

Question
number
2. (a)
(b)

Scheme

Marks
B1 (1)

Mode = 23
For Q 1 :

n
= 10.5 11th observation Q 1 = 17
4

For Q 2 :

n
= 21 =
2

For Q 3 :

3n
= 31.5 32nd observation Q 3 = 31
4

1
2

B1

(21st & 22nd) observations Q 2 =

23 + 24
= 23.5 M1 A1
2

B1

(4)

(c)

10

20

30

40

50

Box plot

M1

Scale & label

M1

Q1, Q2, Q3

A1

11, 43

A1 (4)

Number of Daisies

(d)

(e)

From box plot or


Q 2 Q 1 = 23.5 17 = 6.5
Q 3 Q 2 = 31 23.5 = 7.5

(slight) positive skew

Back-to-back stem and leaf diagram

UA009018 AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1)

B1

(1)

B1

(1)

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Statistics S1 Mark Scheme

Question
number
3. (a)

Scheme
y=

467
200

B1

(can be implied)

x = 2.5 y + 755.0

M1

467
= 2.5
+ 755.0
200
= 749.1625
Sy =

A1
(accept awrt 749)

9179 467

200 200

M1 A1
A1

S x = 2.5 6.35946
= 15.89865
Standard deviation <

A1

= 6.35946

(b)

Marks

M1
(accept awrt 15.9)

2
3

A1

(interquartile range)

B1

Suggest using standard deviation since it shows less variation in the


lifetimes

B1

UA009018 AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1)

(9)

(2)
(11)

Statistics S1 Mark Scheme

Question
number
4. (a)

Scheme

Marks

P(correct at third attempt) = 0.4 0.4 0.6

M1
A1

= 0.096
(b)

P(A = a) 0.6
(c)

0.24

0.096

0.064

B1

All P(A = a) correct

B1

(accept awrt 0.974)

A1

E(A) = a P(A = a) = (1 0.6) + . . . + (4 0.064)

M1

= 1.624

A1

(accept awrt 1.62)

E(A2) = a2 P(A = a) = (12 0.6) + . . . + (42 0.064)

M1

= 3.448

A1

(2)

M1

Var (A) = 3.448 (1.624)2


= 0.810624

(2)

M1

P(correct number) = 1 (0.4)4


= 0.9744

(d)

a = 1, 2, 3, 4

(2)

(accept awrt 0.811)

A1

(6)

F(1 + E(A)) = P(A 1 + E(A))


= P(A 2.624)
= 0.84

UA009018 AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1)

M1
A1

(2)

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Statistics S1 Mark Scheme

Question
number

Scheme

5. (a)

Marks

Sauna
0.35
Swim

Tree with correct


number of branches

M1

0.2, 0.3, 0.5

A1

All correct

A1

0.65
0.2

No Sauna

(3)

Sauna
0.2
0.3
Run
0.8
No Sauna
Sauna
0.5

0.45
Cycle
0.55
No Sauna

(b)
P(used sauna) = (0.2 0.35) + (0.3 0.2) + (0.5 0.45)

A1

= 0.355
(c)
P(swim | sauna used) =

M1 A1
(3)

P(swim & sauna)


P(sauna)
0.2 0.35
0.355

M1 A1

= 0.19718

(accept awrt 0.197)

A1

(3)

(d)
P(swim | sauna not used) =

P(sauna not used swim) P(swim)

M1

P(sauna not used)

P(sauna not used | swim) = 1 0.35 = 0.65

B1

P(sauna not used)

M1 A1 f.t.

= 1 0.355 = 0.645

P(swim | sauna not used) =

0.65 0.2
0.645

= 0.20155

UA009018 AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1)

M1
(accept awrt 0.202)

A1

(6) (15)

Statistics S1 Mark Scheme

Question
number

Scheme

Marks

6. (a)
y
Scales & labels B1
Points B2, 1, 0 (3)

90

80

Temp
C

70

60

50

15

25

35

45

55

Speed (mph)

(b)
(c)

Points lie reasonably close to a straight line

B1

b=

11780
8 20615 260 589
=
= 1.40238
2
8400
8 9500 (260)

a=

589
260
(1.40238)
= 28.0476175 (accept awrt 28.0)
8
8

(accept awrt 1.40)

(1)

M1 A1

M1 A1 (4)

y = 28.0 + 1.40 x

(d)

a surrounding air temperature when tyre is stationary

B1

b for every extra mph, temperature rises by 1.40 C

B1

UA009018 AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1)

(2)

Statistics S1 Mark Scheme

(e)

(f )

y = 28.0 + 1.40 50 = 98

B1

Regression line is only a line of best fit and does not necessarily pass
through all points

B1

12 mph reasonable to use line; 12 is just below lowest x-value

B1; B1

85 mph not reasonable to use line; 85 is well outside range of values

B1; B1 (4)

(2)

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UA009018 AS/Advanced GCE Mathematics: Mock Papers with Mark Schemes (Part 1)

Statistics S1 Mark Scheme

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