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Financing Mix
17. The Trade off
18. Cost of Capital Approach
19. Cost of Capital: Follow up
20. Cost of Capital: Wrap up
21. Alternative Approaches
22. Moving to the optimal
Financing Type
23. The Right Financing
Investment Return
14. Earnings and Cash flows
15. Time Weighting Cash flows
16. Loose Ends
Dividend Policy
24. Trends & Measures
25. The trade off
26. Assessment
27. Action & Follow up
28. The End Game
Valuation
29. First steps
30. Cash flows
31. Growth
32. Terminal Value
33. To value per share
34. The value of control
35. Relative Valuation
The
beta
for
Disneys
stock
in
November
2013
was
1.0013.
The
T.
bond
rate
at
that
Zme
was
2.75%.
Using
an
esZmated
equity
risk
premium
of
5.76%,
we
esZmated
the
cost
of
equity
for
Disney
to
be
8.52%:
Cost
of
Equity
=
2.75%
+
1.0013(5.76%)
=
8.52%
Disneys
bond
raZng
in
May
2009
was
A,
and
based
on
this
raZng,
the
esZmated
pretax
cost
of
debt
for
Disney
is
3.75%.
Using
a
marginal
tax
rate
of
36.1,
the
aeer-tax
cost
of
debt
for
Disney
is
2.40%.
Aeer-Tax
Cost
of
Debt
=
3.75%
(1
0.361)
=
2.40%
The
cost
of
capital
was
calculated
using
these
costs
and
the
weights
based
on
market
values
of
equity
(121,878)
and
debt
(15.961):
Cost
of
capital
=
6
One
approach
is
to
use
the
regression
beta
(1.25)
and
then
unlever,
using
the
average
debt
to
equity
raZo
(19.44%)
during
the
period
of
the.
Unlevered
beta
=
=
1.25
/
(1
+
(1
-
0.361)(0.1944))=
1.1119
AlternaZvely,
we
can
back
to
the
source
and
esZmate
it
from
the
betas
of
the
businesses.
Business
Media
Networks
Parks
&
Resorts
Studio
Entertainment
Consumer
Products
InteracZve
Disney
Opera,ons
Revenues
$20,356
$14,087
EV/Sales
3.27
3.24
$5,979
3.05
$18,234
13.49%
1.10
$18,234.27 13.49%
$3,555
$1,064
0.83
1.58
$2,952
$1,684
2.18%
1.25%
0.68
1.22
$2,951.50
2.18%
$1,683.72
1.25%
$135,132.1
1
100.00%
8
$45,041
$135,132 100.00%
0.9239
I. Cost of Equity
$0
$13,784
EBITDA
DepreciaZon
$
2,485
$12,517
$
2,485
$12,517
Same
as
0%
debt
Same
as
0%
debt
EBIT
Interest
$10,032
$0
$10,032
$434
Same
as
0%
debt
Pre-tax
cost
of
debt
*
$
Debt
Pre-tax
Int.
cov
23.10
AAA
3.15%
10% of $137,839
11
Rating is
Aaa/AAA
Aa2/AA
A1/A+
A2/A
A3/A-
Baa2/BBB
Ba1/BB+
Ba2/BB
B1/B+
B2/B
B3/B-
Caa/CCC
Ca2/CC
C2/C
D2/D
Spread is
Interest rate
0.40%
3.15%
0.70%
3.45%
0.85%
3.60%
1.00%
3.75%
1.30%
4.05%
2.00%
4.75%
3.00%
5.75%
4.00%
6.75%
5.50%
8.25%
6.50%
9.25%
7.25%
10.00%
8.75%
11.50%
9.50%
12.25%
10.50%
13.25%
12.00%
14.75%
12
D/(D + E)
D/E
$ Debt
EBITDA
Depreciation
EBIT
Interest expense
Interest coverage ratio
Likely rating
Pretax cost of debt
20.00%
25.00%
$27,568
$12,517
$2,485
$10,032
$868
11.55
AAA
3.15%
Iteration 1
(Debt @AAA rate)
30.00%
30/70=42.86%
$41,352
$12,517
$2,485
$10,032
$1,302
7.70
AA
3.45%
Iteration 2
(Debt @AA rate)
30.00%
$1,427
7.03
AA
3.45%
13
14
You
need
taxable
income
for
interest
to
provide
a
tax
savings.
Note
that
the
EBIT
at
Disney
is
$10,032
million.
As
long
as
interest
expenses
are
less
than
$10,032
million,
interest
expenses
remain
fully
tax-deducZble
and
earn
the
36.1%
tax
benet.
At
an
60%
debt
raZo,
the
interest
expenses
are
$9,511
million
and
the
tax
benet
is
therefore
36.1%
of
this
amount.
At
a
70%
debt
raZo,
however,
the
interest
expenses
balloon
to
$11,096
million,
which
is
greater
than
the
EBIT
of
$10,032
million.
We
consider
the
tax
benet
on
the
interest
expenses
up
to
this
amount:
Maximum
Tax
Benet
=
EBIT
*
Marginal
Tax
Rate
=
$10,032
million
*
0.361
=
$
3,622
million
Adjusted
Marginal
Tax
Rate
=
Maximum
Tax
Benet/Interest
Expenses
=
$3,622/$11,096
=
32.64%
15
16
17
18
Task
Use
the
cost
of
capital
approach
to
esZmate
the
opZmal
nancing
mix
for
your
company
19
Read
Chapter
8