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Approach
Two types of approaches:
Qualitatively based maintenance rules
Quantitatively based maintenance rules
The qualitatively based maintenance rules will give an initial
insight in vital components (high failure consequences,
components with high repair costs, etc.).
These dominant components will mainly dictate the
maintenance concept. The other components are
consequential, and do not require further effort.
Types of costs
Three types of costs in maintenance planning:
1.
2.
Costs of inspection
3.
Degradation
In hydraulic engineering, a (component) of a
structure can be in a number of different 'states',
depending on its degrading resistance.
A failure is defined as the event in which
- due to deterioration - the resistance drops below
the design stress or the failure level.
For example: the minimum water to be withstood,
or the crest-level of a dyke.
Example
Suppose the crest level of an embankment is 2
meters, and the failure level is 1,50 meters.
Suppose the preventive maintenance level is
1,80 meters. The settlement each year is 0,02 m
(no uncertainty).
What is the preventive maintenance interval?
cost of failure
minimum
repair cost
optimum
maintenance interval
replacement
6
5
preventive replacement
corrective replacement
3
2
1
0
10
0 preventive age
replacement interval
20
30
40
50
time [year]
Example
We have an embankment, and we want to know the preventive maintenance
interval.
The crest level decline is 0,01 m per year, and the standard deviation is 0,02 m
(normal distribution). The crest level is now 1,5 m, and the failure level is 1,30
m. Suppose that an acceptable safety level is a failure probability of 0,01 per
year.
The failure probability after 5 years: the mean decrease of the embankment
is 5x0,01=0,05 and standard deviation=5x0,02=0,0447
P(x<1,30)=P(u<(1,30-1,45)/0,0447)=P(u<-3,35) = 0,0004
After 10 years:
P(x<1,30)=P(u<(1,30-1,40)/0,0632) = P(u<-1,58) = 0,0571
After 15 years:
P(x<1,30)=P(u<(1,30-1,35)/0,0775) = P(u<-0,64) = 0,2611
After 20 years:
P(x<1,30)=P(u<(1,30-1,30)/0,0894) = P(u<0) = 0,5
After 25 years:
P(x<1,30)=P(u<(1,30-1,25)/0,1) = P(u<0,5) = 0,6915
Exercise