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Charles Littrell
Executive General Manager, Policy, Research and Statistics
Australian Prudential Regulation Authority
Globally and in some instances locally, this benign view of the good fit between
securitisation and APRAs statutory objectives changed rapidly from 2007 and
particularly 2008. The apparently inevitable rise of securitisation in Australia
reversed sharply, a trend which now shows some sign of moderating.
In traversing the last five years, we have learned at least four lessons about
securitisation.
First, lending models based upon laying off all the funding and all the capital to
other parties, the so-called originate to distribute model, create unacceptable
agency risks. Allowing lenders to lend without the constraints associated with
putting their own money, or at least their shareholder money at risk, too easily
leads to an unrestrained focus upon lending volume at the cost of lending quality.
This insight has led to more global focus upon skin in the game for the original
lender, and any new Australian securitisation regime will need to respect this
outcome.
Second, a number of international firms, using the complexities of securitisation
and structured credit more generally, created investments that were more likely to
fail than was advertised. Australian regulated entities were the victims rather
than the instigators of these schemes, which I suppose is some comfort.
Third, as illustrated in this chart, the securitisation markets can suddenly close
even to the highest quality underlying assets in the simplest structures. Had the
public sector not supported Australian securitisation via the AOFM then this chart
would have been even flatter since 2008, with near zero issuance for
approximately 18 months. The securitisation markets vulnerability to near-total
closure means that liquidity risk is at least as high in securitisation as it is in normal
banking, and the usual cautions associated with lending long and borrowing short
apply.
Finally, the fact that securitisation markets can close even to good credits, for
extended periods, means that securitisation-reliant business models are at risk of
being placed in de facto run-off. This strongly suggests that no prudentially
regulated lender should rely too heavily upon securitisation for funding. As shown
in this chart, closing securitisation markets were an inconvenience for the largest
Australian banks, but were a strategic constraint for some of our mid-sized ADIs.
Happily for the ADIs and the Australian economy, depositors have more than
covered the gap, but we cannot always rely upon this outcome.
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In addition to these core lessons, you will recall that APRA last made major
changes to the securitisation requirements in APS 120 in January 2008. Our intent
was as a supervisory matter to check the ADI industrys implementation of the new
approach, which among other things no longer required APRA pre-approval for each
issue. What we discovered in subsequent supervisory reviews was not always
pleasing. Too many ADIs had engaged in securitisation without completing some of
the basic governance requirements, including board oversight. Some ADIs had
interpreted the rules, particularly on risk retention, in a way which ranged
between convenient and wrong. Less troublingly but not well catered for in the
current APS 120, a number of ADIs had commenced securitisation for funding
purposes only.
From 2010 until now, APRA has issued a number of ad hoc industry letters. These
letters are intended to allow the securitisation market to continue, until APRA has
the ability to undertake more fundamental reforms to the relevant prudential
infrastructure. For the past two years Basel III has taken centre stage for
prudential reform purposes, and neither APRA nor industry has had the capacity to
address securitisation in any fundamental way. It is also the case that the Basel
Committee and IOSCO, among others, continue to develop international
frameworks for securitisation, and APRA intends to comply with those frameworks
as they reach completion.
Happily, APRAs policy development capacity is now freeing up beyond Basel III.
After conducting initial and informal discussions with some participants in the
securitisation markets, we are currently drafting a discussion paper to commence
the process of prudential reform for securitisation.
In our proposed reforms, APRA intends to push three themes:
explicitly catering for funding-only securitisation, subject to some prudential
limits;
greatly simplifying the overall prudential regime; and
addressing the lessons learned about securitisation which I previously referred
to: agency risk, liquidity risk, and business model risk.
I remind listeners that todays talk is not the discussion paper. APRA has
considerable work and consultation in front of it to turn todays themes into
specific prudential proposals.
Funding-only securitisation
We propose first to define the approach to funding-only securitisation. Such an
arrangement is characterised by three features:
the originating ADI retains substantially all the credit risk, and all the capital
requirements associated with the underlying asset portfolio;
APRAs prudential requirements will ensure that such arrangements are sensibly
managed in liquidity terms; and
the issue is not a covered bond in disguise.
Our current thinking is that we can achieve a sensible prudential outcome in the
following way.
APRAs expectation is that ADIs would place B notes with investors outside the ADI
sphere.
To this end, APRA intends to propose that ADIs holding another
originators B notes will attract a 100 per cent equity deduction for any such
holding. ADIs swapping B notes create no net credit transfer, but do shift risk from
the original fully informed lender to less informed secondary lenders. In a systemic
stability sense, APRA would much prefer to see B notes shifted to less levered
investors, such as insurance companies and superannuation funds.
I note that APRAs B note thinking and resultant prudential capital arrangements
have yet to be optimised with international skin in the game requirements, and
with issues such as the sellers share, LMI cover, and profits left in or expected by
the securitisation vehicle. These issues will doubtless feature in our upcoming
consultation.
Other issues
APRAs prudential arrangements currently allow for synthetic securitisation, under
which an ADI can enter a credit derivative, and claim capital benefits for loans
remaining on the ADI balance sheet. For various reasons ADIs have been slow to
take up this opportunity. Thinking more in a systemic stability sense, APRA is
increasingly unconvinced that allowing synthetic securitisation is a good strategy
for Australia. Accordingly, we are likely to commence consultation on the basis
that synthetic securitisations will no longer produce capital benefits.
Similarly, current arrangements allow for remarkably complicated and opaque resecuritisation instruments to be originated, traded, and held by ADIs, often at low
risk weights. It is not evident that these instruments have any practical use, and
painfully evident that these instruments have been acquired by investors, including
Australian investors, who were unable to understand the risks inherent in them.
Accordingly, APRAs likely position for consultation is that ADIs are expected not to
hold subordinated securitisation instruments, or any resecuritisation instruments,
and any such holdings will attract an equity deduction. It will be up to industry to
argue the case for any more liberal treatment.
Finally, APRA observes that there has been much discussion of master trusts over
the years. We will be interested to hear any views on how our proposed reforms
might facilitate or retard the development of master trusts.
APRAs prudential objectives
I will close by summarising APRAs prudential objectives.
First, we want to ensure that Australian securitisation arrangements do not
encourage lax lending or tempt market participants to take advantage of each
other through excess complexity.
Second, APRA expects that Australian A notes will be among the safest and simplest
securitisation investments available globally. This should help restore and protect
Australian access to local and global securitisation markets.
Third, we wish to ensure that credit risk is concentrated in the B notes, and that
these notes are held in expert and properly capitalised hands. These hands will