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Contributors: Jason Borschow, Andrew Flynn, Tim Hagamen, Jeff Howard, Steven
Johnston, Michael Jones, Ross Lipstein, Brieana Marticorena, Alex
McPhillips, Hanna Sankowska, Jon Sherman, Temilola Sobowale,
Nicholas Traverse, Helen Weng,
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Nancy Kassop and Richard M. Pious, “Resolved, presidents have usurped the
war power that rightfully belongs to Congress,” chapter 7 in Ellis and
Nelson, eds., Debating the Presidency, pp. 92-109. 18
David A. Yalof, "The Presidency and the Judiciary," in Michael Nelson, ed.,
The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 481-507. 21
David A. Yalof and John Anthony Maltese, “Resolved, the president has
too much power in the selection of judges,” chapter 8 in Ellis and Nelson, eds.,
Debating the Presidency, pp. 110-124. 23
Haynes Johnson and David S. Broder, The System: The American Way of
Politics at the Breaking Point (Little, Brown, 1997), chapter 10, pp. 194-224. 29
Sidney Milkis, "The Presidency and Political Parties," in Michael Nelson, ed.,
The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 341-382. 32
Marc Bodnick, "Going Public Reconsidered: Reagan's 1981 Tax and Budget Cuts,"
Congress and the Presidency, Vol. 17, No. 1 (Spring 1990), pp. 13-28. 38
Lawrence R. Jacobs, "The Presidency and the Press: The Paradox of the
White House Communications War," in Michael Nelson, ed.,
The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 283-310. 44
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Samuel Kernell, Going Public: New Strategies of Presidential Leadership 3rd edition,
(Congressional Quarterly Press, 1997), chapter 3, pp. 65-103. 45
Matthew R. Kerbel and Bartholomew H. Sparrow, “Resolved, the media are too
hard on presidents,” chapter 5 in Ellis and Nelson, eds.,
Debating the Presidency, pp. 60-74. 49
James David Barber, "Answering the Critics," in The Presidential Character: Predicting
Performance in the White House, 3rd ed. (Prentice-Hall, 1985), pp. 521-528. 52
Michael Nelson, "Evaluating the Presidency," in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency
and the Political System, pp. 1-27. 58
Marc Landy and Bruce Miroff, “Resolved, great presidents are agents of
Democratic change,” chapter 12 in Ellis and Nelson, eds.,
Debating the Presidency, pp. 179-197. 61
Paul Kengor, “Cheney and Vice Presidential Power,” in Gary L. Gregg II and
Mark J. Rozell, Considering the Bush Presidency
(Oxford University Press, 2004), pp. 160-174. 64
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Richard E. Neustadt, Presidential Power, chapter 11, pp. 230-268.
Neustadt Chapter 11
• Is the Presidency possible?
o Physically, it can take its toll, but it is possible.
o Morally and emotionally, the responsibility for avoiding nuclear annihilation seems
inhuman, but someone has to do it and has done so since Eisenhower’s terms, so it
must be possible.
o Intellectually, social and economic policy lacked clear direction, but no more than
they did during the great depression, and major events like the end of Vietnam were
no more significant than the two world wars.
o Operationally, it seems necessary only to remain “minimally effective.” The question
is whether to compare effectiveness to the low standard of Truman (who often had
approval ratings of between 20 and 30 percent), the best of each of the presidents
from Eisenhower to Nixon, or somewhere in between.
• Defense of Carter because of atomization of government.
o Congress became more dispersed, with increase in number of committees and sub-
committees decreasing committee chairmen’s power.
o Fragmentation of the “Administration” of presidential appointees (700+) because of
shortness of terms (<2 years on average). Simultaneously, tasks of these officials,
such as administering grants-in-aid and regulatory programs authorized by Congress,
increased dramatically.
o Increase in lobbyists on both sides of issues.
o Staffs increase for presidential and congressional administrations, fading the status of
elected officials into an indistinguishable crowd. In theory, the president could stand
alone as the only consistent face to the public. However, Carter weakened his position
because of factors including
A legislative program that pushed change in many areas such as energy, tax,
and welfare policy that had entrenched interests, which Senator Long
agglomerated.
Chief objectives that required implementation out of the scope of his powers
(foreign countries, private sector, etc.).
Overall weak interest in his campaign, politics, initiatives, etc.
“Transition hazards,” the result of being new “in and to the presidency.”
• In the narrow sense, the 11 weeks between election and inauguration
gives little time to create an Administration and corresponding
positions from the platform the candidate’s campaign ran on. Carter
spent the time in his home in remote Plains, Georgia, while his staff
grew bloated and full of in-fighting in Washington.
• In the broad sense, the first two years of governing are when the
President sees most of what any President will see.
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• The broad transition hazards were exemplified by JFK’s experience with the Bay of Pigs.
o JFK unknowingly cemented his position by strong declarations against Castro during
a T.V. debate with Nixon.
o After being briefed on current plans to send Cuban revolutionaries with covert U.S.
support to south-central Cuba near Trinidad to hopefully insight a anti-Castro
revolution, Kennedy gradually sought opinions, including from the Joint Chiefs of
Staff (but without their staff, out of concerns for secrecy), SecDef Robert McNamara,
SecState Dean Rusk, and CIA Director Allen Dulles. Compartmentalization resulted
not only in incomplete briefings but decision-makers not knowing about this
incompleteness.
o Everything that could go wrong did, and Kennedy was embarrassed, looking both
Ignorant, of the relationships of his advisors with each other, and of
institutional policy (such as that of the CIA), policy which his demand for
secrecy in turn caused to be crippling.
Hopeful, that a new administration has the ability to achieve what the past
could not, and corresponding arrogance that their combined intelligence and
luck thus far would be able to conquer all.
• Carter’s “pig,” the Lance affair, resulted in few of the lessons learned in Kennedy’s Bay of
Pigs affair.
o Lance was a respected friend of Carter’s. When he went through the Senate approval
process, his holdings in banks he owned came under question, and questionable
business practices eventually led to his resignation. During this process, Carter has
publicly supported Lance, which resulted in significant cost to both his prestige and
reputation.
o The Lance affair was so detracting on Carter’s public image largely because of
“piglets,” other public gaffes before the Lance affair that lowered public and press
expectations and confidence in Carter.
• Neustadt proposes that maybe expectations for incoming presidents should be more realistic
initially, as they learn their new roles. Alternatively, attention to fixing initial faults can
effectively retake public opinion.
• Neustadt claims television is the primary method to gain public opinion on coming into
office, but that the president faces three hurdles:
o He needs events that support his presence on television.
o He needs to be able to break the mold that years of holding the office build up.
o He needs a break from visual associations, so that viewers know how to react.
o An example of these three coming together was the 1978 Israel-Egypt summit at
Camp David, the praise from which boosted Carter’s Gallup Poll ratings from 42 to
56%.
o Neustadt claims that the differences he drew between reputation and prestige no
longer hold, that Washingtonians view of a president’s professional reputation is now
driven by his public prestige because a president who can wield public prestige can
coral local constituents to pressure their representatives to implement presidential
initiatives.
• Finally, Neustadt comments on the risks a president who can capture public sentiment via
televised appearances faces:
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o Neustadt proposes that only sustained fuel shortages, environmental risks, or
terrorism will allow such a president to build a “crisis consensus;” he claims any
other substantial innovation, liberal or conservative, will be divisive.
o There is the possibility, however, for a “contrived” consensus, consisting of
agreements between Washingtonians looking out for their own interests in lieu of an
actual crisis, which may be possible.
o The decisions whether and how to act upon actual or contrived crises to build
consensus makes the job of a telegenic president even more complicated, as this type
of individual is not as likely to be familiar with the complex negotiations necessary to
build any of these coalitions.
Roger B. Porter, "Of Hazards and Opportunities: Transitions and the Modern
Presidency," Paper prepared for Presidential Power Revisited Conference, Woodrow
Wilson Center, June 1996.
• Transitions have increased in complexity and challenges since Neustadt first published
Presidential Power, with more party changes and inexperienced leaders coming into office.
• Neustadt used Carter transition to show why 11 weeks are too short a period to transition into
public office (see above summary). Neustadt believed Reagan found solutions to many of the
problems Carter faced, in particular establishing working relationships between key aides and
the President, but that this formula was not accepted by all, as Clinton fell into many of
Carter’s mistakes during his transition.
• Neustadt’s recommendations for transitions are little planning before election, spending time
with staff before inauguration, and quickly organizing and insulating a staff after election.
• Risks during initial governing period from
o Overburdened cabinet appointees.
o Closer press coverage and public scrutiny.
o Atomization.
• Expectations of new presidents have risen
o Increased pressure to produce detailed proposals.
o Unified federal budget.
o Increased number of young, committed campaign staffers who prioritize campaign
promises.
o Increase in formal post-election transition activities.
• Porter’s interpretation of Neustadt’s risks new presidents face:
o Ignorance
Limited knowledge of Washington and its institutions and folkways.
Of nuances of foreign policy
• Example – Carter’s misguided arms control proposal.
Of executive branch capabilities, sensitivities, inclinations, routines, and
relationships.
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o Hubris/Arrogance.
Failure to learn from those who came before.
Failure to learn from those who remain.
Asserting that
• Previous administrations ignored problems that require immediate
attention
• The new administration must raise ethical standards.
o Haste
o Overreaching
Porter adds this as a risk to Neustadt’s original list.
Carter advanced many proposals that required one committee’s approval.
Carter failed to reveal any priorities between his proposals.
• Opportunities to be gained during transitions, on the new slate each president gets.
o Symbolic actions.
JFK made amends after his bitter campaign with Nixon, reaching out to
democrats and republicans alike.
Reagan reaches out likewise, and further to the press (not just politicians).
Clinton reached out, but only to congressional democrats.
Other signals are sent about intended relationships with the permanent
government, executive departments, and agencies over which they preside.
Work habits are also established.
o Organizational arrangements and institutional innovations.
Difficult to change after initially established because people take offense to a
change or demotion in responsibilities.
Chance to develop good working relationships within executive branch policy
communities.
o Legislative initiatives.
Congressional representatives want to make a good impression quickly, in
particular because of the number appointments the president makes within his
first few months of services.
This is in part because Congress tends to shift away from the president’s
political party in midterm elections, numerically decreasing his leverage.
Reagan, Bush, and Clinton all had greatest success with legislation in early
months (even though Bush faced democratic majorities throughout his
administration).
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Martha Joynt Kumar, George C. Edwards III, James P. Pfiffner, and
Terry Sullivan, “Meeting the Freight Train Head On: Planning for the
Transition to Power,” in The White House World, edited by Martha Joynt
Kumar and Terry Sullivan (Texas A&M University Press, 2003), pp. 5-23.
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• Establishing any new ethical guidelines.
• Provide opinion on Executive Orders – must be able to say no to the
President.
Press Secretary – Set press expectations and establish Presidential-Press
relationship.
• Must know president’s positions, because this person represents them
to the world.
Office of Management and Administration – covers all non-policy issues that
can snag a transition.
• Learning from Predecessors
o Outgoing team
Chief of Staff is appointed early so they can communicate with their
predecessor on who would be capable candidates to fill lower positions.
Help is often available but new team is often too arrogant to accept it.
o Bring in a team with WH experience.
This does not necessarily exclude campaign members, as having someone
who knows why the president was elected and how to implement the
mandates he was elected for is optimal.
o Retaining and Using WH Institutional Memory
• Developing a strategic plan
o Because so many decisions must be made, it is essential to set priorities and stick to
them.
Roger B. Porter, "The President and the National Agenda," in James P. Pfiffner, ed., The
Managerial Presidency, pp, 319-333
Heightened expectations – increase in size and complexity of government has put focus on
President to develop a comprehensive and coherent agenda, campaign promises as a source for
expectations, past success of presidents has caused us to expect success, revolution of
communications has made it possible for him to influence more people
Electoral Issues - campaign promises, these commitments play a powerful role, but over tie, the
electoral mandate fades, and people forget, so a President must act fast if he wants any campaign
commitments to see fruition ( as long as you don’t promise to not do something i.e. “read my lips
no new taxes”)
Maturing Issues – these are issues that are debated over an extended period of time, crucial to act
on these once they hit the end of their “gestation periods” (possible ID), example Tax Reform
Act 1986 that Porter negotiated for Reagan
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Crisis Issues – definition of crisis “crisis issues aer issues where advocates for change are able to
demonstrate convincingly that failure to act immediately will result in a significant deterioration
in the underlying situation” these issues are very few, especially domestically
CONCLUSION– the central task of the president is less one of advancing fresh, imaginative
approaches to problems, and more one involving definition timing and the building of coalitions
James P. Pfiffner, The Strategic Presidency: Hitting the Ground Running, 2nd edition,
chapter 6, pp. 111-127.
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John H. Kessel, Presidents, the Presidency, and the Political Environment,
chapter 2, pp. 21-52.
Actors: Staff members of the White House legislative liaison office are the ones who speak most
directly for the president and who are most concerned with high priority legislation. The
departmental legislative units cooperate with the White House Staff on administration legislative
initiatives but are specifically responsible for legislation originating in their own department. The
Office of Legislative Reference judges all legislation to determine whether or not it is in accord
with the president’s overall program, and tracks it thereafter. This was started by FDR and it is
called Legislative Clearance. Coordination between the president and congressional leaders is
handled in meetings between these groups, while the president’s chief legislative assistant
coordinates efforts between his staff and departmental units.
Congressional Liaison Activities: Those working with the members make sure the
administration is aware of the legislators’ proposals , channel their requests from projects (pork
barrel stuff basically) and patronage (hiring their friends/family to the administration) to the
decision makers in the administration, and to help members of congress to campaign, and to get
their goodwill. This helps to smooth the way for legislation,
The chances of success for a president in legislative initiatives, but changes are success are
determined more by:
1. whether the president was elected by a large majority
2. whether he has a high approval rating
3. whether his party was able to gain seats in the same election
4. whether his party has majorities in both chambers
5. whether the issue groups have preferences that correspond to the president’s
6. whether the legislative leaders and the president have good leadership skills
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David E. Price, “House Democrats Under Republican Rule: Reflections on the Limits of
Partisanship,” Miller Center Report, vol. 20, no. 1 (Spring/Summer 2004), pp. 21-28.
• Subject: to study the growth of partisanship and the escalation of partisan tactics under
Republican rule.
• Efforts to strengthen the parties began in the 1970s with the Democrats. Although the
original intent was to decentralize, the result was the opposite. Party leadership strengthens
and younger members become more involved.
• Floor amending limited increasingly more often by Rules committee (closed rules). This
allows the majority to push through more extreme legislation. For example, with the Clinton
impeachment Delay prevented a vote on censure, betting that Republicans would rather vote
to impeach than let Clinton off the hook.
• Democratic Speaker Jim Wright had few qualms about using his power to push through
legislation. Gingrich further strengthened the parties.
• Although some thought that Bush would be a more centrist president who would work with
the opposition (compassionate conservative), he actually governed from the “right-in’ as
opposed to the “center-out”. This limited the role of Democrats and caused an increase in the
level of polarization. Increase in party unity in voting patterns.
• Bush administration’s increase in partisanship was the result of several factors
o Right wing agenda of White House
o Narrow Republican majority in the house
o Desire to counterweight the less conservative Senate
• Price argues that increasingly polarized politics are dangerous because it makes
‘dedistributive’ policies (those that are necessary but undesirable politically such as raising
taxes or reducing benefits) less likely. Previously, these would have had bipartisan support,
thereby spreading the blame between parties. However, with decreased cooperation, the
political risk of dedistributive policies increases, making them less likely.
• There has recently been increased coercion within the Republican Party to get the votes
needed to win. Winning with as little bipartisan accommodation as possible is considered
ideal.
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Matthew Dickinson, "The President and Congress," in Michael Nelson, ed.,
The President and the Political System, pp. 455-480.
-Constitution says that two branches of government must collaborate to fulfill their constitutional
obligations, from legislating to conducting foreign policy.
-Article 1, Section 1, “all legislative Powers herein granted shall be vested in a Congress of the
US”
-Article I, Section 7—president gets to veto bills
-Article II, Section 3—president shall recommend to Congress “such Measures as he shall judge
necessary and expedient” (presidents see this as their right/duty to submit legislation, with no
guarantee, of course that it will be passed).
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-presidents, senators, and reps come to their shared constitutional tasks with different political
needs and goals—this was the original intent expressed in Federalist 51 . . .this prevents any
branch from abusing its authority, but still be effective
-parties developed because they provided the presidency with a popular base of support and
rescued the president from dependence on Congress.
-parties also bridge the constitutional gap between president and Congress . . .allowing them to
have allegiances and get things passed, also nationalizes Congressional elections more, allows
for unified political front, parties did decline for a while though
-Era when outcomes of presidential and Congressional elections became less unified
(incumbents were often reelected to Congress due to electoral reforms such as direct primaries,
financed reforms, and electronic media)
-allowed those Congressmen who had helped people be reelected
-peaked in 1980s, presidential landslides did not guarantee Congressional shifts
-divided government does not necessarily mean gridlock (inability to get anything
passed)ÆDemocratic conservatives and Republican Centrists frequently cross party lines to vote
with the opposition, and presidents can cultivate bipartisan coalitions of support.
Congress and the President in the Post-Reform Era: Toward More Responsible Party
Government?
-Turnabout in party influence came about because Republicans began making inroads among
voters in areas that were once solidly Democratic (south), changed location of the party’s
constituencies, civil rights legislation further alienated southern conservatives, lots of party
switching (parties forcefully split on social issues like school busing, affirmative action, and
crime and punishment), also national population shifts SW
-redistricting of Congressional voting districts to make them minority-majority
-changing nature of campaign finance (soft money allowed parties to build up their power until
McCain-Feingold Act of 2002 ended this, although through 527 groups, parties got around this).
-voter turnout declined due to dissatisfaction with parties
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-vetos are an important and oft forgotten form of power of Congress, especially one with a small
majority
-examples of second-term presidents who misread the elections returns and overreached (maybe
even Bush II): FDR w/court packing scheme, LBJ sending more troops to Vietnam, Reagan Iran-
Contra scandal.
Marc J. Hetherington and Richard J. Ellis, “Resolved, the president is a more authentic
representative of the American people than is Congress,” chapter 6 in Ellis and Nelson,
eds., Debating the Presidency, pp. 75-91.
• Pro: Hetherington
o Although the American system was structured so that members of the House would
be more responsive to the public than the president (term lengths), the result is the
opposite: the House is the least representative branch. He cites the difference
between the moderate character of most Americans and the extreme, ideologically
driven voting patterns of Congressmen
o As a result, the president is the best representative of the public’s will, although an
imperfect one. He must appeal to a broader cross section of voters and is thus more
likely to represent more moderate view.
o In the last 20 years, parties have grown increasingly ideological and polarized. They
are moving apart very quickly in terms of their views. The strength of the parties, in
combination with the relatively extreme views of the leaders results in generally more
extreme legislation
o Hetherington discusses some of the reasons for this change.
South is no longer a Democratic stronghold and has moved clearly to the
right. The Southern members of the Democratic party tended to balance out
the more liberal representatives from other areas.
Campaign finance reform shifted the goals of congressmen away from
patronage (constituent service) towards policy making. Those who were most
concerned with implementing policy were the ideologues and extremists.
Redistricting increased the advantage incumbents had, making it easier to get
reelected. This tends to make members less concerned with public opinion
and thus less representative. The only election the incumbent generally has to
worry about is the primary, which tends to push positions further from the
middle.
With many states virtually guaranteed to one party or another, presidential
candidates must compete primarily over ‘battleground states’ which forces
them towards the middle.
• Con: Ellis
o Although the president is the only official selected by the entire American people, he
does not do a better job of representing the public than the political deliberations of
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the larger Congress. Ellis argues that voters do not vote based on the positions of
presidential candidates (nor do they have a good sense of what those positions are).
As a result, the president cannot be said to especially representative. The centrist
positioning of candidates obscures their positions.
o In presidential elections, voters are more likely to consider factors like character,
temperament and experience. These factors are not indications of representation.
o In addition, presidents are less likely to represent the will of the people because the
voter must choose a single candidate (set of positions). Presidential candidates would
have to create issue platforms that were ideologically consistent (similar to the way
voters do). Instead, they put together platforms that are likely to win elections.
o Ellis takes issue with the claim that presidential elections push candidates towards the
center. He points to Bush’s strategy of getting out his conservative base in
battleground states rather than racing to the center.
o Democratic responsiveness (representation) is often not considered a virtue in
presidents. Ideally, they have strong views which they are confident in independent
of public opinion.
o In this essay, Fisher argues that Congress should play a role in administrating the legislation
it passes.
o Lessons from the Continental Congress which established the executive departments
Deliberative assembly not suited to detail oriented execution
o How Congress can affect the execution of legislation
The president does not have the power to determine how all laws are carried out. If
Congress gives power to an independent officer and that officer faithfully follows the
law, the president does not need to be involved. Fisher cites an example from the
Marbury v. Madison case that distinguished between ministerial and discretionary
executive duties. The ministerial duties of a department cannot be dictated by the
president, who only has discretionary duties.
Investigative duties are central to the ability of Congress to ensure accountability.
Congress can subpoena witnesses and documents and is thereby entitled to punish
those who refuse to comply with jail time.
Agencies sometimes consult with the appropriate committees before acting in
particular areas. They will often defer to the committees judgment, further
demonstrating how congress is involved with the executive powers.
As a result of the power of the purse, Congress exerts some control over the agencies
as well. In return for granting agencies the ability to move money between programs,
Congress (in the form of committees) must be consulted to approve of the
‘reprogramming’.
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o Legislative veto and the INS v. Chadha case
Legislative veto is a power granted to Congress that enabled it to control executive
decisions without passing law. As a result, these ‘vetoes’ were not subject to
presidential veto nor did they require his signature. They were given to the Congress
in exchange for powers granted to the executive that gave it greater discretion.
In the INS v. Chadha case, the court decided that such legislative vetoes were
unconstitutional because they were not within the powers of a legislative branch.
Fisher takes issue with this ruling, citing the other ‘shortcuts’ that Congress uses to
get legitimate extra-legislative powers.
In spite of the courts decision, the legislative veto survives. Fisher argues that this is
because it was part of a bargain, the second part of which (greater discretion for the
executive) was not struck down by the court. It’s also a practical matter: in cases
where effective government it opposed by formalism, effective government wins.
This was the case when the Reagan administration challenged the use of legislative
vetoes by citing the Chadha case but ultimately gave in to Congress.
o Why does Congress intervene?
Intervention is necessary to ensure that appropriated funds are used in the manner in
which they were directed.
Congressmen also intervene on behalf of their constituents who are constitutionally
entitled to petition for a redress of grievances. Constituents may point out aspects of
the law which are contradictory or ineffective.
Fisher argues that Congress intervenes when the executive fails to ensure that laws
are properly enacted. He cites the Iran contra scandal as an example of Congress
legitimately getting involved with the ‘micro-management’. Reagan allowed
Congress to investigate the national security operations of his administration because
he was unable to remain accountable for the activities in his administration. As a
result, Congress got more oversight in national security policy (specifically with
covert actions).
o Limits of Intervention
Bribery and conflict of interest statutes are among the limitations on congressmen.
Legislative activities are protected by the law but political activities are generally not.
For example, a congressman can say anything on the floor of the House but is still
subject to law (such as libel laws) when sending publications to constituents.
Nancy Kassop and Richard M. Pious, “Resolved, presidents have usurped the war power
that rightfully belongs to Congress,” chapter 7 in Ellis and Nelson, eds., Debating the
Presidency, pp. 92-109.
• Alexis de Tocqueville observed that the Atlantic Ocean kept America isolated, so that the
nation had no neighbors and no enemies. Thus, although the law allows the president to be
strong, circumstances keep him weak.
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• During the Civil War, the executive power increased but subsided into its general
decentralized pattern of authority after
• The Cold War stopped this pattern of wartime centralization and peacetime reaction and this
was replaced by the war on terror
• Anxiety about the nation’s safety has caused an increase in executive power
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Richard E. Neustadt, Presidential Power, chapter 12, pp. 269-294.
• Reagan was the last Roosevelt Democrat we shall see as president- restored the public image
of the office to a place of popularity, influence, initiative, was a pacesetter and tonesetter
• The combination of incuriosity and delegation and commitments and convictions framed
Reagan’s operating style
• Examines Iran-Contra because a president only has himself and present choices to bear on his
prospects and often he judges wrong...but how?
• Reagan had charm and was dependent on his people. He drew confidence from audience
reaction to his personal performance
• His staff worked to develop “themes of the day” and “themes of the week” and he knew how
to read a script and follow on- was very successful on television news
• Was ignorant about substantive detail. He just wanted happy endings on a few major story
lines.
• Reagan recovered from the Iran Contra affair and it was a success story
• Lt. North testified that William Casey, director of the CIA and Reagan’s campaign manager
in 1980 had directed him in all his activities, including arms sales to Iran, so public opinion
assigned Reagan responsibility and knowledge
• His management style: choose targets and men, leave the details to them—except he was
careless in his choice of words and casual in his choice of men. His wish to keep the Contras
fighting and his determination to find private funds was not a secret.
• Commitment was substituted for detail. Decisiveness was reinforced by his self-confidence.
• But Reagan was applauded for not following Carter’s style of micro management. However,
in this case his failure is from the textbook case of how he failed to guard prospective
influence, probe his power stakes, and manage those things he must do himself
• “Backward mapping” can help sort out the contradictions between short and long-run risk.
Think of the actual result at which one aims, then postulating the prerequisite last action from
the appropriate arm of government, then thinking quickly of the actions in between.
• It is not a panacea however- Neustadt then turns to two examples of successes (ch. 13) before
deciding what other aspects might help a President think more precisely and gauge prospects
more accurately.
Page 20
David A. Yalof, "The Presidency and the Judiciary," in Michael Nelson, ed., The
Presidency and the Political System, pp. 481-507.
Page 21
- 1984 election: Walter Mondale attacks the conservative leanings of the Court during his
campaign; strategy ultimately doesn’t work as Reagan wins, citing his record of 4 years
of peace and prosperity
- 1988 election: Michael Dukakis attacks Bush’s stance on social issues and the future
composition of the Court; like Mondale, this strategy also fails as Republican Party
succeeds with widespread post-Reagan support
- 1992: Clinton, not wishing to repeat the failures of Mondale and Dukakis, decides to not
make the Court a campaign issue; concludes that Court-related rhetoric sways few voters
and is worthless
- although some presidents may choose not to make the Supreme Court an election issue,
they still fulfill campaign promises to choose jurists in support of their agenda
Case Study: Reagan’s Supreme Court appointees (O’Connor, Rehnquist for Chief Justice, Bork,
Douglas Ginsburg, and Kennedy) all had backgrounds as judges, not as political figures,
although each had conservative political leanings
Presidential Powers and the Supreme Court: Limited Checks and Tenuous Balances
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- throughout most of its history, the Court has rarely challenged the power of the president
(exceptions: Truman and Youngstown Steel case, Nixon and Watergate)
- this has changed recently with the depoliticized Court Æ justices feel no sense of
political allegiance to a president; for example, Court has upheld statute requiring
independent counsel in cases where president may have broken law in case of Morrison
v. Olsen (1988)
Conclusion: Author argues that depoliticized Court has become arrogant and more far reaching
in power, as evidenced in Bush v. Gore where they essentially decided a presidential election
David A. Yalof and John Anthony Maltese, “Resolved, the president has too much power
in the selection of judges,” chapter 8 in Ellis and Nelson, eds.,
Debating the Presidency, pp. 110-124.
“Resolved, the president has too much power in the selection of judges,”
Pro argument:
- argues that presidential arrogance drives the current process; presidents simply choose
who they want to nominate for a seat without consulting senators
- how did this happen?: generally because of the growth of presidential power during the
20th century
- sees a lack of lively dialogue and debate between the president and the senate as a
problem for the nomination and confirmation process
- history: Constitutional framers originally sought a close partnership between the
president and the senate in choosing and confirming nominees, not wishing to give the
president or the senate too much power; this original intention has been lost
- Federalist 77: Hamilton calls for importance of senate check on president’s appointment
power
- Senate has failed to seek a more active role recently in appointment process (case of
Harriet Miers is an exception); this has given the president too much power
- Why senate has deferred to power of president: (1) increased media coverage of
confirmation hearings has prompted nominees to remain silent on many issues,
preventing senators from getting the clarification and information necessary to mount an
opposition; (2) significant political costs for senators who oppose the president’s
nominee, if they are in the same party
Con argument:
- argues that framers actually wanted only the president to have a role in nomination
process; cites Article II, Section 2 of Constitution: “president shall nominate, and by and
with the advice and consent of the senate, shall appoint… judges of the supreme court.”
Clearly states that president will nominate, while senate will only have role in actual
confirmation and appointment
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- Federalist 76: Hamilton argues that one man is better suited than a large body to “analyze
and estimate the peculiar qualities adapted to particular offices.” Argues this because one
person cannot be distracted by the multiple views and special interests of a large group
- Madison and Hamilton argued that senate involvement is only to make sure that president
hasn’t made an error or chosen out of partiality
- Argues that senate opposition has actually increased over past few decades; e.g. since
1968, 30% of Supreme Court nominees have been rejected or withdrawn; use of filibuster
to block nominations has become more prevalent
- Contends that Senate has too much power in appointment process and that it has led to a
messy confirmation process; increased media coverage has prompted senators to focus
more on embarrassing a nominee by attacking their policy positions and details from their
past rather than on legitimate legal issues; the result is a “bloodbath” for the nomination
process
Daniel J. Tichenor, "The Presidency and Interest Groups: Allies, Adversaries, and Policy
Leadership” in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 311-340.
A word of explanation: I will summarize each paragraph briefly, if you need to go back to any
part, just count the paragraphs.
This article shows the factors affecting the relationship between the president and interest
groups:
- whether or not organized interests are affiliated or unaffiliated with the president’s
political party
- whether the historical circumstances have granted the president a broad or narrow
capacity to exercise political leadership
Tichenor explores the four possible combinations of these variables through historical evidence.
1. In the presidential election campaigns candidates are accused of being linked to interest
groups, they distance themselves from them, example: 2004:
John Kerry: liberal groups out of touch with the values of mainstream Americans
Bush: “Big Oil, big drug companies, big HMOs, and Benedict Arnold CEOs
2. The interest groups are also important once the election is settled
The ones that supported the winning candidate remind him of their agenda
The ones that supported the loosing candidate fundraise to fight the president’s agenda
3. Presidents distance themselves from interest groups
Most Americans view organized interest with suspicion
negative perception of a President who serves a special interest
eg. criticism of Bush, early in his first term: Arctic drilling, arsenic levels in drinking
water, global warming
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4. Pros of appealing to Congress instead
are in office for longer
are easier to get through to, more specialized
there is more of them! (535 v. 1)
5. Despite these disincentives they can rarely disregard one another
President needs them for money, organizational support and votes in election
Interest groups can provide a means for expanding support of the President’s agenda
6. Incentives for interest groups
President’s enormous power in agenda setting, policy formation, budget making and
details of implementation
President’s can alter the prevailing interest groups they encounter
7. Focus of this paper: interaction in domestic policymaking
8. The relationship between presidents and interest groups is frustrating and full of tensions
Friends, Foes, and Policy Leadership: A Framework of Presidential Interest Group Relations
9. Drastic rise in the # of interest groups in beginning of the XXth century
10. Roosevelt % Wilson were suspicious of IG, but couldn’t ignore ones that could help them
govern
11. Progressive Era interest groups
National Woman Suffrage Association
Congressional Union
12. Introduces two variables
(1) relationship or interest group to the President’s party
(2) the varying opportunities for presidential leadership
13. Both parties are linked with interest groups. This relationship can be either collaborative or
adversarial
14. Broad or narrow opportunities to advance domestic policy
broad: Woodrow Wilson, Franklin Roosevelt, Lyndon Johnson, Ronald Reagan
narrow: others: more challenging
15. There are four types of interactive politics. Collaborative breakthrough politics: White House
sponsorship and co-optation of interest
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16. Adversarial breakthrough politics – interest group opponents are challenging presidents who
have enormous political capital, but may inspire sympathy for a threatened cause and acquire
new resources.
17. Collaborative politics as usual – can produce either weak or strong ties between presidents
and the IG affiliated with their party:
weak if presidents moves towards political center to secure policy achievements
strong if presidents are eager to shore up pol. support from their ideological base
18. Adversarial politics as usual – allows oppositional IG to frustrate president’s policies
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32. Big business launched opposition to New Deal by forming American Lib. League, ties with
General Motors and Du Pont family’s financial empire
33. League officers hoped to gather support of 2-4 million, only managed to enlist 75,000
members, aggressive opposition, accusing FDR of being socialist
34. FDR was proud to have “earned the hatred to entrenched greed”
35. FDR used the links of Republican party with the Liberty League to win second term
36. Conclusion: FDR wins landslide victory, Liberty League shuts down
Gearge H. W. Bush, Centrist Reform and the Competitiveness Council: Collaborative Politics as
usual
40. George H. W. Bush had narrow opportunities, thus an incentive to embrace centrist reforms;
can be observed in his approach towards environment and civil rights
41. Limited opportunities
Rep. Party had only 175 seats in House of Representatives
wanted to launch some popular environmental reforms to foster support
42. Sent to Congress an ambitious clean air bill Æ marginalized traditional Rep. interest group
allies in industry and business
43. Americans with Disabilities Act – adding disabled to the list of groups protected against
discrimination, a dread to the business world, because of high costs of compliance, but immense
public support for the initiative
44. Bush created Council on Competitiveness to limit the scope of these reforms by regulation
and to appease the traditional allied interest groups of the Rep. party
45. Closed door meetings, less burdensome regulations to the benefit of businesses and industries
46. Conclusion: great success of the business groups to achieve incremental policy gains in a
difficult political environment, closed door, no TV lights is a good strategy in such conditions
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49. By 1994 the reform proposal was dead, in part because of some IGs who were Clinton’s
adversaries
50. Two biggest interest group opponents: Health Insurance Association of America (HIAA) and
the National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB), represented small and mid-sized
insurance companies that would go out of business if Clinton’s reform was adopted, joined also
by Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PRMA), got the Republican party
to oppose it, to prevent reviving of the Dem. Party’s appeal as a protector of middle class interest
51. Adversaries spent a lot of money opposing Clinton’s reform, showing it as reducing the
quality of health care, eliminating indiv. choice of health providers, encouraging bloated govt.,
increasing taxes to fund universal coverage
52. Policy was never put to vote in Congress as public support decreased from 67% to 44%,
shows possibility for interest groups adversaries to block the pragmatic ambitions of modern
presidents in periods of pol. as usual
Conclusion
60. Intrinsic feature of contemporary American politics, we can recognize patterns across time,
like Skowronek’s regime cycles; except for rare moments where presidents have broad political
opportunities, interest groups can orchestrate effective strategic politics of their own
61. Presidents with transformational policy aspirations but ordinary leadership opportunities find
interest group relations trying.
62. When president has limited leadership opportunities, the groups that oppose him have more
tangible benefits than the ones that are with him and can exercise more influence (Clinton’s
adversaries)
63. It’s great to be the President’s buddy during breakthrough politics, but such relationships are
no guarantee of pragmatic achievement (Reagan and Christian right)
64. As American Liberty League saw, it’s difficult to oppose a popular president
65. George W. Bush was extremely adept to reward his interest group allies and confound his
opponents by mastering the regulatory methods of collaborative politics as usual Æ “As this
investigation of presidential interest group relation suggests, the most significant and enduring
bias of the American political system is its hostility toward nonincremental reform
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Haynes Johnson and David S. Broder, The System: The American Way of Politics at the
Breaking Point (Little, Brown, 1997), chapter 10, pp. 194-210.
1. Justice Black condemns lobbies as a threat to democracy and an effective government and
thought their evilness would lead to “the death they deserve”
2. Ironically, lobbies have extended their reach and power since then
3. Health care reform may be the most expensive lobbying battle in history: estimates of the total
amount spent range from $100mln to $300mln.
4. The opponents won not because of financial advantages, but because of other factors.
5. “It’s not money, it’s votes” Gephard, the majority leader of Democrats said after defeat
6. In this struggle, interest groups showed they could manipulate public opinion and mobilize
Main Street supporters, they used similar strategies as they used to get Bush Sr. and Reagan
elected: fund-raising, field organizing, advertising, PR, speed of electronic communication
7. This operations illuminate how The System operates today and why many citizens believe the
govt. no longer represents them
8. Our picture of lobbying process in out-of-date
9. There was a true war for the Health Care Reform, the Democrats were taken by an intense
political assault by surprise
10. Groups that mobilized against the reform: HIAA, Healthcare Leadership Council, the
Business Roundtable, NFIB, but also some that belonged to the Christian right
11. Lobbies met with opposition to create an effective strategy to kill the bill
12. Sarah Steelman (major player among the lobbyists): Extraordinary set of circumstances that
combined to make this victory possible
13. Steelman: unity of Republican coalition combined of social conservatives, the deficit hawks,
the business groups
14. Steeleman: her point is documented and she spoke form practice
15. Clinton knew it was going to be a difficult project: (1) change always seems complicated,
easier to oppose it, (2) its easier to get people frightened than to live on their hopes
16. As opposition grew stronger the supporters were always thinking hwo to get a better deal
17. HIAA and NFIB especially active in the war
18. Change of leadership in company: Bill Gradison and Charles N. (Chip) Kahn III enter,
Gradison is perceived as “soft spoken”
19. HIAA represented 270 small and medium sized firms that sold health policies to businesses,
groups and individuals
20. Five largest insurers from that group severed their ties with HIAA because they saw more
advantage for themselves if the reform was introduced
21. HIAA endorsed the goal of universal coverage and the employer mandate as a way of
financing it
22. Seemingly it seemed to be “an industry offer to cooperate” but in reality they were opposed
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23. Everyone thought that being a wartime consigliere was not in Gradison’s style
24. Discussion between Gradison and the Clinton’s get off to a rocky start and then go downhill
25. Differences of opinion: (1) whether all insurance companies could continue on the market
place or just the certified ones
26. (2) Cost controls (premium caps) were another issue
27. (3) “Pure community rating” – Gradison supported the system now in place that made the
sicker pay more for their insurance
28. These issues were irreconcilable with Clinton’s reform
29. Gradison writes a letter to the First Lady to voice his support for the reform, but also show
some of his reservations toward it
30. Person who hired Gradison was actually a loyal Democrat and a Clinton supporter
31. Any talks with Gradison fail
32. HIAA gets very angry at an attack memo produced by the Democrats to counter an HIAA
advertising campaign
33. Garison was playing a double game: wanted to be seen as accommodating, but knew that the
differences were to large to be bridged
34. HIAA also had two able Washington pollsters, Hamilton and McInturff
35. HIAA launches a $3.5mln advertising campaign right when Clinton was bound to originally
submit his reform plan
36. The men in the street ads are modestly effective but draw little media attention
37. Reason: public distrusts the insurance industry (apart from their own agent)
38. Gradison launches a major TV campaign
39. But HIAA’s CEOs were supportive of a TV campaign
40. Young middle-class couple campaign
41. HIAA avoids being blatantly negative – wants to retain a seat at the bargaining table
42. “Harry and Louise” ads
43. Pollsters identify an issue: people support the reform, but “people don’t believe the federal
government can get anything done”
44. HIAA intensifies public distrust of government as their main strategy
45. Even before, negative attitude of the public towards the government was growing
46. Reasons: assassination of Martin Luther King and Kennedy, ruin of reputation of Johnson
and Nixon, Vietnam, Watergate, CIA conspiracy theories, hostility to government regulators and
tax collectors, deficit spending
47. Presidents of both parties (Reagan and Clinton) were elected by running “against
Washington,” didn’t exploit the successes of the government
48. Successes: expansion of basic civil rights, cleaner and safer environment, improvement in
health and well-being of senior citizens, economy growth
49. Yet these successes remained unseen by the “public mind”
50. Operating in such negative climate, opponents of activist government thrived
51. According to pollsters, HIAA could exploit these skepticism in their campaigns
52. Kahn and Gradison were both initially scepticapl about such an approach
53. But they changed their minds
54. McInturff was amazed by the influence their TV campaign was making
55. HIAA became a major player in the debate by moving early, aggressively and publicly
56. “We ran the ads and all hell broke loose” – Kahn
57. Democrats tried to threaten the actress who was starring as Louise, didn’t succeed
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58. White House was well aware of the damage done by the ads
59. The First Lady responded with a furious attack against insurance companies
60. The First Lady’s attack was spontaneous and was seen by most as too aggressive
Haynes Johnson and David S. Broder, The System: The American Way of
Politics at the Breaking Point (Little, Brown, 1997), chapter 10, pp. 210-224.
The article primarily uses the defeat of Clinton Healthcare plan as example of the how much
influence special interest groups can have on government policies.
Players:
Bill Gradison – President of the Health Insurance Association of America (HIAA) – against
Healthcare Reform, former House Representative
Ira Magaziner – spokesman for Clinton, assigned to speak with Gradison to reach a compromise
on the Reform
Harry and Louise – names of the characters who acted as a middle-age couple against the
Healthcare reform in television ads, this was financed through the HIAA
John Motley – chief lobbyist for the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) –
against Healthcare Reform
Johnson and Broder introduce the chapter by discussing how sophisticated special interests had
become and the power they brought to Washington. They use the war on Clinton’s Healthcare
Reform to demonstrate how powerful special interest groups were. Up to the time of the article
the lobbying against healthcare cost was the most ever spent on the part of special interest
groups, estimated between $100 million and $300 million. And this money was not only spent on
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buying politicians’ time but on grassroots efforts to get the American public to support their war
against universal healthcare. The organizations most against it were the Health Insurance
Association of America (HIAA) because they didn’t want to lose control over the market. And
the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) didn’t want it because they didn’t want
to have it to be mandatory for small business owners to provide health insurance to their
employees.
HIAA at first tried to speak with Hillary to see how they could work out a plan together, but she
refused to meet with them. So they began ad campaigns to get the public to stand behind them
and against universal healthcare. They used two characters, Harry and Louise, to depict middle-
class Americans who questioned the actual benefits of the Healthcare policy. This in turn left
questions in the mind of American television watchers who didn’t want the government to take
something over it may not do well. Hillary was extremely upset about these commercials and
openly attacked HIAA for telling lies to the public. This only got HIAA even more upset and
determined to win their battle.
Another large special interest group involved in defeating Healthcare was NFIB. They didn’t like
universal healthcare mandates because it would mean hurting small business owners who would
not be able to afford it. Clinton was more open to speak with members of NFIB and gained the
opportunity when Faris asked him to speak. But the members were unimpressed. Furthermore,
Motley initiated a successful movement of small business owners in Montana, a state with a
large percentage of small business owners to back him up. Then he carried this into Louisiana,
Washington, Georgia, Oregon, Pennsylvania, and Florida.
With the strong support of special interest groups against Health Care Reform (Clintoncare),
Clinton and Hillary lost their battle.
Sidney Milkis, "The Presidency and Political Parties," in Michael Nelson, ed.,
The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 341-382.
Thesis: The modern presidency has led to a weakening of political parties beginning with FDR
and continuing with Nixon and Johnson, while Reagan and Bush have tried to revamp parties to
give them more strength, with limited success.
FDR: While Wilson suggested that the parties would lose influence with a stronger president, he
didn't put this into action very well, however FDR did. FDR filled the positions around him with
"New Deal" people versus strictly Democrats and never organization Democrats. He also let a
wide scale campaign to unseat Conservative Democrats in 12 states. However, he was only
successful in 2 of those 12 states and had difficulty fighting the party establishment. By being a
strong president he weakened party control and destroyed party unity. The administrative reform
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bill of 1939 (a compromise of the failed version of the bill in 1938) "represents the genesis of the
institutional presidency" by creating the Executive Office of the President including the White
House Office and strengthening the Bureau of the Budget.
LBJ: There was fear in the Johnson White House that the Democratic Party could not be trusted
to convey the message of the Great Society to the American people. Humphrey thought they
weren't intellectually equipped to handle the explanations. Johnson attempted to de-emphasize
the traditional role of the party and severely attacked the Democratic National Convention,
slashing its budget and eliminating several of its important programs. He even left an ineffective
leader but put the White House liaison in control of the new, scaled-back activities. Johnson also
increased the power of the presidency by creating task forces made up of academics outside of
politics in virtually all areas of public policy. These reports later made up the majority of the
Great Society.
Nixon: Continued separating the presidency from party politics though with a conservative bent
but especially through the Watergate scandal disassociating the party from the president.
Reagan: Brought the party back to the presidency by playing a large role as the leader of the
party. He fund-raised and reversed much of the institutional legacy of the New Deal. He was so
popular that he used that to rally support for the Republicans and get them seats in Congress and
funds. His conservative movement was a forceful political movement that became part of the
Republican Party due to the institution already set up versus anything Reagan really tried to do.
Bush: Continued to try and get Republican support and strengthen the party. Put his chief
advisor as RNC chair instead of in the White House and led aggressive party political
campaigns. However, the difficulty he had in rallying support showed how hard it is to have a
President as a strong party figure.
Clinton: Perot's showing of 19% showed how much the Pres was separated form the party
system. Clinton tried to bring the party back and get support of the party-president relationship
but had some trouble early on getting support for his programs and made it a bitter partisan fight
over some issues. However as time progressed he did a better job of getting strength for the
party and shifted the Democratic Party toward the middle with moderate programs aimed at
making parts of both parties happy.
Page 33
Samuel Kernell, Going Public: New Strategies of Presidential Leadership, chapters 1-2, 4-
5; pp. 1-64 and 104-178.
Contributed by: Temilola Sobowale
Chapters 1-2:
Kernell’s thesis: a change in the degree of going public and inferring a change in the character of
leadership.
Going public: strategy whereby a president promotes himself and his policies in Washington by
appealing to the Amer. people for support
Strategy: (1) place president and his messages before the Amer. people in a way that enhances
his chances of success in Washington. (2) force compliance from Washingtonians by going over
their heads to appeal to their constituency.
(eg) televised press conference, address to the nation, speech, visit, White House ceremony.
RARE pre-1960: Teddy Roosevelt’s “bully pulpit,” Woodrow Wilson’s whistle stop tour of the
country on behalf of his League of Nations Treaty, FDR’s radio “fireside chats.”
Stable bargaining state of Washington institutionalizes informal rules (such as reciprocity) that
regulate behavior and reduce uncertainty. Within framework of institutionalized pluralism, the
president is in a uniquely well-suited position to construct coalitions across the broad
institutional landscape of Congress, the bureaucracy, interest groups, courts, and state
Page 34
governments. President within framework of “separated institutions sharing power” (Neustadt)
checks and is checked by relationships of “mutual dependence.” (Neustadt) The ideal president is
one who seizes the center of the Washington bazaar and actively barters with fellow politicians
to build winning coalitions.
Institutionalized pluralism decayed because of the decline of political parties inside and outside
of Washington, which meant the erosion of friendly relations among political elites within and
across institutions that made bargaining easier and occasionally unnecessary.
Decline of parties, president must depend on looser, more individualistic political relations—go
public.
Presidents from Carter through Clinton have all had White House pollsters taking continuous—
weekly, even daily—readings of public opinion.
Before recommending a policy course, they assess its costs in public support.
Because most members of the Washington community depend on the public to support them or
their interests, Washingtonians anticipated reactions of how the public views the President
influences their willingness to give the President what he wants.
1972 Democratic convention adopted the proposed reforms of the McGovern Frasier
Commission.
Effect of the reforms has been to transfer the nomination of the party’s candidate from the party
leaders at the convention to the mass electorate in primary elections and caucuses. Erode parties’
presence:
From 1960 to 1980, the percentage of Democratic senators attending their party’s convention fell
from 68 to 17 percent, and for representatives, from 45 to 11 percent.
Chapter 4:
I. Intro
The more recent the president, the more often he goes public.
Often presidents will go public to solicit support for a legislative program stalled in
Congress or to define US position in an international crisis.
“public relations”- the routines by which presidents go public; public relations
perform the homeostatic function of maintaining public support for the President.
Examples of public relations include: public speaking, political travel, & appearances
before special constituencies outside Washington.
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A. Public Addresses
Appeals for support to constituencies outside Washington are the core activities of going
public.
2 types of public addresses: major and minor; major- when president speaks directly to
national audience over radio or television; minor-when president speaks to a special
audience either in person or via some broadcast medium.
B. Public Appearances
At times visual images can convey messages more effectively than talk
Appearances can be distinguished by locale-the number of public appearances outside
DC generally reflects the president’s non-Washington origins and divided party control
of government.
C. Political Travel
Travel abroad to appear presidential more and more common.
Ex. Nixon’s visit to China-networks broadcast over 41 hours of the 7 day trip
A. “Rise of going public has proceeded more or less incrementally w/ each president taking
advantage of the precedents &
extensions of the public activity offered by his predecessors.” Reasons for this growth:
IV. Conclusion
The style of leadership in the White House is changing. Modern presidents rely upon public
opinion for their leadership in Washington. Every President since Teddy Roosevelt had used
public opinion & drawn on the precedents and departed only marginally from the public acts of
his predecessors. During the past half century trends in presidents going public-from political
travel to public addresses and appearances have moved steadily upward.
CHAPTER 5:
President Reagan and His First Three Budgets: A Classic Case of Going Public in Action
As president, “when presented at critical moments with the choice to deal or to go public,
he preferred to go public-sometimes exclusively, other times in combination with
bargaining.”
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“Ronald Reagan’s first three years contained all the variation in prestige and legislative
accomplishment necessary to study the downside as well as the upside of public
leadership. Success came early and in heaping portions, but it did not last. By the
beginning of his third year, with his popularity spent, the president struggled to preserve
the earlier budgetary achievements of real growth in defense expenditures, reductions in
social programs and, and a 25 percent cut in income taxes…The politics that ensued in
each of his first three budget seasons differed greatly, however. And yet they did so in a
manner altogether consistent with the theory of individualized pluralism”
Reagan as an Outsider
Previous career in movies, television and public affairs
Spokesman for General Electric traveled across the country giving speeches and
personally meeting with employees.
1967 starts career in politics as governor of California
“He skipped those formative experiences that take place mainly in legislatures- city
councils, state assemblies, and Congress-and that expose a politician to bargaining and to
Compromise.”
Extensive campaign experience as a presidential candidate
Political ideology further distanced him from Washington-Republican conservatism
The Great Communicator: Reporter Lou Cannon described Reagan using this term. He wrote,
“with the forum of national television available to the President, Reagan was certain that his own
communicative skills were sufficient to persuade Congress and the country to do whatever it was
that was asked of them.”
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He set off on another public appeal, scheduling himself for major television addresses
and live radio broadcasts, and sent his lieutenants to engage in budget negotiations with
the House Democratic and Senate Republican leadership and used their failure to try and
provoke public support… “For a president who goes public, failure at the bargaining
table may be rewarded with success in the public arena”
However, President Reagan exerted far less influence over the budget in 1982-both its
substance and politics- than over the preceding year…”In large part this change in
fortune must be credited to his reduced political capital with Congress. The further he cut
domestic spending, the fewer the number of natural allies that remained. Budget politics
in 1982 reflected the president’s decline in public opinion. High interest rates and
unemployment rates and swelling projected deficits had sapped his popularity.”
By 1983, even after again trying to use public appeals to influence Congress, Reagan
failed to sway the 98th Congress and “for the first time since Ronald Reagan had entered
office, the Democrats would take to conference a budget of their own making”
“By the close of the 1983 budget season, President Reagan had assumed a defensive
posture, threatening vetoes and promising public appeals at least on those issues where
even an unpopular president might be able to elicit a favorable public response.”
Marc Bodnick, "Going Public Reconsidered: Reagan's 1981 Tax and Budget Cuts,"
Congress and the Presidency, Vol. 17, No. 1 (Spring 1990), pp. 13-28.
“This paper examines the thesis of the public presidency. In light of the success of Ronald
Reagan, many revisionist scholars have criticized traditional models of presidential politics.
Whereas traditional views emphasized the bargaining presidency, these recent scholars now
argue that, today, the politics of rhetoric dominate the politics of bargaining. This paper
examines the central case study of the going public model, Reagan's 1981 tax and budget cuts, a
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critical case because it represents Reagan’s central legislative success and because many scholars
and pundits have credited this success to Reagan’s frequent televised public appeals. The case
reveals that a strong bargaining dynamic played a part in the 1981 process, and that going public
strategies were not as dominant as previously thought.”
This article directly attacks the arguments presented by Jeffery Tulis (Rhetorical Presidency) and
Kernell (Going Public) and specifically counter-argues their theories. He argues that going
public was simply not as important to the passage of the 1981 tax and budget cuts, as revisionist
view would believe. Rather, traditional bargaining was almost always the primary tool, and
going public largely a secondary tool, used principally to reinforce preexisting coalitions. This
agrees with Neustadt in that nothing replaces bargaining, and this bill and all legislation are
formed through a process of bargaining.
Kessel’s summary is superb and I recommend reading it first. In case you don’t own the book, I
have copied it below.
“Actors. The press secretary has the core responsibility of briefing the press. He or she is
assisted by the deputy and assistant press secretaries (and their staffs) in the upper level press
office and the lower level press office, and by still others who work in the photo office and
handle press advance. The responsibilities of the communications director are more plastic, but
they include long-term planning and focusing on relatively specialized communication channels.
All try to present their president in a positive light, but the means of doing so vary from one
communication to the next. Speechwriters have their own organizational home somewhere in
this communications complex, but the location varies from administration to administration.
Coordination is carried out through senior staff meetings, and in many administrations
encompasses a “line of the day.” The Chief of staff is now heavily involved in coordination, and
often personally plays a major communications role.
Media Liaison Activities. The media relations activities include daily press briefings,
presidential press conferences, and preparing speeches for the president. Each of these activities
involves an enormous amount of work. The day-to-day activities are punctuated by press crisis
triggered by unexpected events that have major news consequences.
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meetings as time permits. High standing with the president and other senior aides eases the press
secretary’s information gathering tasks considerably. Decision making revolves around what
information to release, when and under what circumstances. Such decisions are difficult to make
when lives are at stake, when delicate negotiations are under way when medical information is
involved, and when presidential policies are still being shaped. Since the government and the
media control different resources, exercising influence is not a matter of persuasion per se but
instead of what Timothy Cook has called “the negotiation of newsworthiness.” Those briefing
the press want to use governmental resources to focus on stories important to the White House
while maintaining their own reputations for integrity.”
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3. News Summary – Began by Nixon, staffed by about 5, prepared report with
relevant news articles from previous day.
4. Press Advance Office – functions are primarily logistical
5. Photo Office – supplies photographers.
III Coordination
A. Degrees of Control:
1. Very Controlling- All reporters routed through PS (Hagerty, Ike’s PS)
a. facilitated coordination, but other presidential assistants never become
well-know to public.
2. Very little control – Reporters call pres. assistants directly (Salinger, JFK’s
PS)
a. Problems – reporters attributed staffer’s view to Kennedy, and stories
about staff conflict appeared when conflicting opinions were expressed.
B. Line of the Day:
1. Nixon began, and the idea was to control the media by giving them a single
theme.
2. Theme decided upon in meeting run by Chief of Staff, and then disseminated
to WH staffers, cabinet members, and executive branch personnel.
C. Meetings and the Chief of Staff
1. Reagan and Clinton both utilized meetings in order to build a cohesive
communications strategy. In the meetings, the Chief of Staff often made the
overall decision, and then either the PS or CD would implement the strategy.
B. Press Conferences
1. Pres. Press Conferences began during the Wilson Admin.
2. By 1955, printed stories were supplemented by television pieces.
3. JFK introduced live television coverage
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a. Pro: speak directly to the American people.
b. Con: President addresses multiple audiences – he could be
misinterpreted or make a misstatement.
c. Held bi-weekly conferences, none of successors followed
4. How frequently did/should Ps hold press conferences?
a. IKE, JFK, LBJ two per month, however, after 1969 the frequency
dropped to only 1 per month
b. Argument against press conf.: Too time demanding! In Nixon era
preparation took 48 hours, and Reagan would begin preparing 5 day in
advance.
c. Argument for press conference: Kessel asserts, “President becomes
more knowledgeable about a range of things, and what he learns can
improve his performance across the board.” Kessel is in favor of more
press conferences.
C. Speeches
1. Presidents strategically time their major addresses. They speak when their
approval rating has changed (either moved up or down), when military threats are
receding, or following a major crisis. Presidents avoid speaking when the
unemployment rate or the inflation rate is going up, and prefer not to be identified
with bad news.
2. The number of people who will contribute to a speech depends largely on 2
factors: Has the fundamental policy decision been made? If not, then interested
parties will work for an angle that favors their preferences. How complex does
the speech need to be? Simple speeches require the input from only one agency,
but the State of the Union Message requires input from several agencies.
3. Kessel warns about the danger of including language in a speech that may
provoke foreign adversaries, or stake out permanent positions. In Kennedy’s first
State of the Union Message he added provocative language about Soviet
intentions without consulting any foreign policy aides. In Bush’s 1988
acceptance speech he said “Read my lips: No New Taxes,” and in 1990 he had to
raise taxes. Clinton said, “I want you to listen to me… I did not have sexual
relations with that woman, Miss Lewinsky”.
D Coping with Crisis
1. Three elements that affect the ease with which press crisis can be handled:
a. Press secretary’s access to the decision makers. Larry Speakes, PS for
Reagan, was uninformed about the invasion of Grenada in 1983 (he was at
two removes from the decision makers), and when he found out he only
had 2 hours to prepare before he presented to the press. Salinger, on the
other hand, was close to JFK and as a result had 34 hours to prepare before
he presented on the Cuban Missile Crisis.
b. Whether the relevant facts are known. The facts were not known
regarding the 1975 assassination attempt on Ford and the emergency
hospitalization of President Bush after he collapsed.
c. The need for secrecy. Crises that involve terrorists must be kept secret.
When it was discovered that the Soviets had missiles in Cuba, extreme
measures were taken to keep the info secret.
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V. Information Gathering in Media Relations
A. The routine of the PS, more or less:
1. PSs gather information before their early afternoon daily press briefing
by reading several newspapers on their way into work, making calls once
they arrive, meeting with the president (individually), and contacting WH
staff members.
B. Key to being effective at information gathering
1. Must have good standing among staff members, especially when secret
matters are being discussed. When terrorists hijacked TWA flight 847
in1985, Speakes was not included on the crisis management group. As a
result, he was uninformed about the decisions and ill-equipped to report to
the press.
C. Contemporary method for gathering information.
1. Began by Reagan, and continued by Clinton, PS was given access to all
meetings in the administration. Of course, implementing this shadow
method depends on the relationship between the P and the PS.
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VII Exercising Influence in Media Relations
A. Aides to the President are skilled in using resources, but they can’t control the press.
B. The president is most influential in shaping media relations (anything he says is
news), and then the PS - he is the most visible contact between the president and the
press. However, the network of relationships is very complicated
C. The WH asserts influence through visual content for television (setting and staging),
and the press has more control over the verbal content because they choose how much
critical comment to add.
D. President’s own reputation for honesty will have a large affect on how it is received.
E. WH targets certain newspapers that are widely read in Washington (Washington Post,
New York Times, Wall Street Journal), and the television networks because of their
national audiences.
F. The WH releases unfavorable stories when coverage is low (late Friday), and tries to
divert attention from such a story by releasing a catchy story at the same time.
Lawrence R. Jacobs, "The Presidency and the Press: The Paradox of the
White House Communications War," in Michael Nelson, ed.,
The Presidency and the Political System, pp. 283-310.
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Samuel Kernell, Going Public: New Strategies of Presidential Leadership 3rd edition,
(Congressional Quarterly Press, 1997), chapter 3, pp. 65-103.
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o Blacksheeting: reporters would informally divide up coverage of Washington
events and share the carbon copies of their articles for others to rewrite for their
home papers
• Formal expression of professional collegiality were professional associations such as the
National Press Club
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• Identified four classes of information that would be presented in these “delightful family
conferences”:
1. occasional direct quotations permitted only through written authorization from the
White House
2. press conference comments attributed to the president “without direct quotations”
3. background information to be used in stories without a reference to the White House
4. “off the record” remarks not to be repeated to absent reporters
• Appointed Stephen Early as the White House’s first press secretary to administer
the policy of authorized direct quotations and other relations with the press
• Gave the press corps what they had sought for more than a decade: assurance of
hard news, openly conveyed
• Strengthened the press conference in other ways
o Met with the press openly and routinely (Tuesdays and Fridays)
o By the time of his death in April 1945, he had invited correspondents into the
Oval Office on 998 occasions
o Used the conferences to make significant announcements
Never sent reporters away empty-handed
Reporters often praised his “timing” and packaging in ways that enhanced
an item’s newsworthiness
o Relied upon the press conference almost exclusively
• Only gave one private interview ever
o The next press conference was an angry one
o The reporters accused Roosevelt of favoritism, which was made more
unacceptable by extending it to a bureau chief rather than a member of the
working press
• Roosevelt succeeded in splitting off Washington correspondents from the editorial stance
of their papers
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o Many felt that they had become a more formal affair
• Eisenhower held press conference on average about twice a month
• Admitted television crews in 1955
o Mostly altered presidential-press relations by creating a precedent
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• Bush did not perform well on television
• Called brief, impromptu morning sessions in which networks were allowed a few minutes
to assemble the cameras if they were interested in covering the conference
• Little time for correspondents to prepare difficult questions
• Could not complain that the precedent was inaccessible
• President rarely used these conferences to make newsworthy remarks
• Revamped format was viewed not as a restoration of the press conference but rather as a
means of pacifying the press
Matthew R. Kerbel and Bartholomew H. Sparrow, “Resolved, the media are too hard on
presidents,” chapter 5 in Ellis and Nelson, eds., Debating the Presidency, pp. 60-74.
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“Governance morphed into marketing”
o The Horserace
Detracts from real policy; distracts from government; bogs down the
government
• Con: Bartholomew H. Sparrow
o Two-way street: media and president are “mutually dependent”
o Presidents use the media to exercise their dominion
Contested issues
Agenda setting
News framing
Michael Nelson, "The Psychological Presidency," in Nelson, The Presidency and the
Political System, pp. 170-194.
Examines the two seminal works on the Psychological Presidency by James David Barber. First
is The Presidential Character: Predicting Performance in the White House (1972) and the
second is The Pulse of Politics: Electing Presidents in the Media Age (1980).
Made famous for predicting that Nixon (active-negative) would experience failure, possibly at
the hands of a scandal that he would stubbornly try to hide. TIME magazine likes him and posts
columns about him every election after that for a while.
Character – the way the President orients himself toward life – not for the moment, but
enduringly. It grows out of the childhood experience.
Personality also includes worldview and style, but Barber points to character as main
determinant since childhood-shaped character affects development of adolescence- and early
adulthood-shaped worldview and style.
4 character types:
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- active-positive – preferable type – consistency between much activity and the
enjoyment of it, indicating relatively high self-esteem and relative success in relating to the
environment . . . shows an orientation to productiveness as a value and an ability to use his styles
flexibly, adaptively
- ie Jefferson, FDR, Truman, JFK, Ford, Carter, Bush, Clinton
- active-negative – activity has a compulsive quality, as if the man were trying to make
up for something or escape from anxiety into hard work . . . seems ambitious, striving upward,
power-seeking . . . stance toward the environment is aggressive and has a problem in managing
aggressive feelings
- ie Adams, Wilson, Hoover, LBJ, Nixon
- all tend to persist in disastrous courses of action (Alien and Sedition Acts,
League of Nations, depression policy, Vietnam, Watergate)
- passive-positive – receptive, compliant, other-directed character whose life is a search
for affection as a reward for being agreeable and cooperative . . . low self-esteem (on grounds of
being unlovable)
- ie Madison, Taft, Harding, Reagan
- passive-negative – low self-esteem based on a sense of uselessness . . . in politics
because they think they ought to be . . .tendency is to withdraw, to escape from the conflict and
uncertainty of politics by emphasizing vague principles and procedural arrangements
Claims to apply to humankind for all time in various ways, relates it to American politics after
1900 with emergence of mass media, first newspaper than radio and television
- reason for the pulse – after a conflict election, a reaction sets in. Conscience calls for
a cleansing of the temple of democracy. But the troubles do not go away, and four
years later the public yearns for solace or conciliation. After another four years,
Barber, claims, the time for a fight will come around again, and so on.
Claims that 1904 was conscience, partly due to progressive mass media of muckrakers, then
conciliation in 1908, conflict in 1912, and so on.
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Criticism – what about recent elections? Was placid election of 96 really conflict? Was mean-
spirited Gore/Bush in 00 really conscience, and conciliation the equally disdainful 04 election?
Does not seem to fit.
In chapter added to The Presidential Character in 1992, Barber adds a fit between the two
books. Conciliation is conducive to election of passive-positives, conflict to active-negatives,
conscience to passive-negatives, and active-positives can win at any time because of their energy
and high self-esteem. Although Barber doesn’t go on to test the accuracy of the prediction,
Nelson does, and finds it successful in predicting 16 of 23 elections from 1904 to 1996, but with
10 active-positive presidents, leaving a track record of 6 of 13 for the ones that he took a risk on.
Still, if he had gone further to suggest that campaigns can hide the actual character of candidates,
and that the ones that didn’t accord with the theory would reveal their characters later and be
rebuked for them, he would have been right for all but three instances.
Barber’s goal – avoid psychopathologies in presidents and help encourage election of active-
positives – involve greater sensitivity on the part of the presidents and citizens to the ideas of the
other
Main solution is journalism – he understands the need of journalists to make stories that engage
interest, but he claims that stories about the histories and personalities of the candidates would
engage further interest
- avoid the pulse by being sensitive to own psychological states and those of the
candidates
- encourage knowledge of actual candidate characters to facilitate electing active-
positives and avoid rigidities, compulsions, and other dangerous attributes of active-
negatives
James David Barber, "Answering the Critics," in The Presidential Character: Predicting
Performance in the White House, 3rd ed. (Prentice-Hall, 1985), pp. 521-528.
Chapter at end of Barber’s The Presidential Character: Predicting Performance in the White
House, a book that emphasizes President’s personality and style from a psychological point of
view (as viewed over a lifetime and not just while campaigning or in office) as the best way to
predict a president’s performance once in office. The personality styles are active-positive,
passive-positive, active-negative, and passive-negative. In this chapter, he responds to 10
criticisms that he has heard about his book:
1) Bias – idea that his evidence s skewed to support his point and partisan politics. His
response is that the evidence is out there for all to use, and his thesis tests well against the
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facts. He encourages critics to test alternative theories to the facts and see if they work as
well.
2) Personalism – idea that the book puts too much emphasis on the psychology of an
individual and not enough on the institution of the Presidency, historical events and
situations, other forces. His response is that a lot does actually boil down to the single
individual that is the President and that the bureaucracy and press must respond to or
cater to that person and personality. President takes events and interprets and acts on
them – still a personal thing.
3) Citizen shrinks? – book is written in accessible everyday English rather than academic
jargon. He responds that public already makes personality judgments on politicians, and
this book should participate in that discourse, not ignore it.
4) Psychoanalytic mumbo jumbo? – Psychoanalysis is a questionably effective science even
in the psychological realm – isn’t it imprecise and foolish to use in the political realm.
No, he responds – psychoanalysis is fundamentally about noticing patterns in behavior
over extended periods of time. This is not about Freudian slips or psychoanalytic
speculation – just noticing patterns of behavior and thought reported over the years that
seem to emerge in different forms from different individuals.
5) The Iron Box – Some say the book focuses too much on specific people, and other critics
say the book makes too many general categorizations, like lumping Ford and Roosevelt
together. Barber responds that both criticisms apply to the book, and that he finds an
importance in the specificity and the generality of his arguments. He notes that broad
patterns help characterize similarities in the personalities and actions of various
presidents, and that ideosyncraces help fill in the brushstrokes with unique manifestations
of these personality traits that are valuable in keeping the patterns realistic and
heterogeneous.
6) Fake active-positives? – Here, he notes that his analysis of personality types was NOT
confined to what the president’s campaign was like or how he acted once he was in his
first term as Pres. He uses analysis from the whole life to characterize a personality.
Examples: “Reagan was riding horses back when he was still an FDR democrat,” while
Eisenhower pasted up smiles just for the campaign.
7) The Mechanists – Don’t think the book was just about models that can be immediately
applied to realities. There are important subtleties in each experience and predictive
power does not entail strict adherence to a simplification. He emphasizes to remember
that no models are perfect and future scrutiny, research, and modifications are always
necessary.
8) Change in adulthood – Notes the concern that personality and style may change between
early adulthood and late adulthood when the campaign and Presidency happens. Barber
responds that this is often not so much the case, and that looking from biographies to
presidencies, there is certainly much more continuity than change. He also mentions that
further research into the predictive power of midlife changes on politicians would be
helpful.
9) Downplaying worldview – Critics argue that worldview and ideology and beliefs of the
president are downplayed in an account of the person of the president that emphasizes
personality and style. Barber responds that worldview has shown to be much more
malleable in the White House than has personality, that pragmatism often removes much
a President’s idealism and ideology from affecting all decisions, and presidents often
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operate in conjunction with current political winds, however they interpret it. Example:
liberal/conservative divide has not been a powerful predictor of Pres. performance.
10) Inside my head - most trivial criticism, he writes. Just the idea that critics have
speculated that he got his idea from others or from professors or from some other source.
This is a silly criticism, but his main response is that he can’t sort out all the influence of
his various mentors and readings, but that’s not the point. “Newton may or may not have
been beaned by someone else’s apple, but what is interesting is what, in a lifetime of
labor, he made of the event.”
Conclusion – while other branches may become more predominant in the future than they
currently are, this is for now a Presidential era, and it is up to the people who are Presidents to
shape our country and world.
Introduction:
There is much discussion of the degree of influence of the President’s character on his
performance in the White House. On of most influential accounts is Baraber’s Presidential
Character: Predicting Performance in the White House (1972).
- Barbers defn. of character – the way the President orients himself to life
o 2 key dimensions
The president’s activity level in office
Whether the president gives the impression that he enjoys his political
life
- leads to 4 characters: active/passive – positive/negative
- active-positives tend to be most successful, active-negatives are most
prone to big failures and to persevering rigidly in a failed policy, which he
predicted of Nixon and that made him famous
- In debate, Renshon defends Barber’s view but not with the 4 character types – instead,
offers specific examples of character affecting policy, especially W. Bush
- In debate, Skowronek takes the opposing point of view - character is not as influential
and that given a president’s place in political time, performance is relatively similar regardless of
differences in character
Pro; Renshon:
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Qualifier – character doesn’t explain it all. There are other political actors and instituational
limits that keep the President from entirely shaping the govt. But the influence is rather
substantial.
Presidents will consolidate a leadership style that is cognitive (smart – ie Kennedy and Carter),
interpersonal (charming – ie Reagan and Clinton), and characterological (depend on character
traits like resolve and perseverance – ie W. Bush), and different presidents exhibit a different
blend of traits that display their character
- Clinton was articulate but lacking in personal integrity, while W. is opposite
Uses example of W. Bush’s character integrity (having convictions and being able to follow
through with them) to show that character is critical for presidential performance.
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His unique framing of this event based on his character, and further
demonstration of character in sticking to his guns, will change the
course of history and clearly affect his performance in the White
House
Thus, character matters (you think this argument has to have more to
it, but it doesn’t – it’s a really bad argument)
Con; Skowronek:
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Presidency and political system is more telling of leadership prospects than
the contingencies of personality and skill
- politics of preemption – governmental commitments of the previously dominant
political party still appear timely and politically resilient, but the president is linked
with the political opposition to them
o ie Tyler, Andrew Johnson, Cleveland, Wilson, Nixon, Clinton
o Enjoys independence by virtue of opposition stance
o Offer hybrid solutions and disavow orthodoxies of all kinds
o Play upon latent interest cleavages and factional discontent within the ranks of
the regime’s traditional supporters
o Historically unique in its tendency to produce impeachment hearing and/or
character criticisms
Partly because regime supporters portray the need to compromise and
reject orthodoxy as unprincipled and self-indulgent
- politics of articulation – governmental commitments of the previously dominant
political party again appear to hold out robust solutions to the problems of the day,
and the president is affiliated with them
o ie Bush and W Bush
o president is minister to the faithful
o service coalition interests, relative orthodoxy
o need to reconcile old party commitments with current political possibilities
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Michael Nelson, “Evaluating the Presidency,” in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency and
the Political System, pp. 1-27.
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-Journalists, despite their being cynical of the president, often give him favorable coverage due
to occupational necessity. The need for reporters to file several stories each day means presidents
or their press aides get to set the agenda with the information they supply reporters. Another
reason is the use of spin by presidents and their press aides to give meaning to stories in a way
that will give a positive appearance of the president.
-Additionally, journalists tend to view the executive as the center of government; by reporting on
his victories or defeats versus other institutions, the connection between a strong president and a
good president is reinforced.
-Citizens: Contradiction. People have many contradictions in the way they view presidents. They
want a chief of government who will unite them and a chief of state who will lead them (and,
thus, divide them). They expect much of the president, yet they also want Congress to dominate
the president in policymaking. This makes the people philosophical congressionalists: they tend
to side with the Congress in cases of institutional relations, yet they want a strong president.
They are also operational presidentialists: they like presidents who lead and Congresses who
follow. Likewise, Americans are emotional presidentialists: their political heroes from the past
are presidents. People have a strong emotional attachment to presidents: their beginnings in
office are marked by a “honeymoon” effect, times of foreign policy importance stimulate a “rally
around the flag” effect, and feelings are once again stirred once a president passes away. The
presidency is endowed with symbolic and political importance by the people.
-Congressmen: Constituency Centeredness: Congressmen are chiefly concerned with winning
reelection. However, this constituency centeredness enhances presidential strength in three areas:
1) the power to initiate (Congress is often distracted from lawmaking by its pursuit of re-election,
so it often wants the president to initiate legislative action and speed the process along); 2) the
power of popularity (when president’s have high support among voters, Congressmen are likelier
to follow presidential leadership); and 3) power in foreign policy (the president usually
dominates in this domain, leading Congress to follow his lead).
-Bureaucrats: Careerism: They are motivated by self-interest: they want to keep their jobs, and
this entails a strong president whom they feel loyal to. Regardless of their party, civil servants
loyal to a president’s policies will receive special favors. Presidents can curry favor with civil
servant by expanding their ranks (Carter) or eliminate those civil servants who unfavorably view
their policies by downsizing or replacement with partisans (Reagan). Regardless of their genuine
loyalty to presidents or their desire to move ahead in their job, civil servants tend to look
favorably on strong presidents.
-Conclusion: Views of the presidency come from different groups and are largely superficial:
scholars base their assessments on overreactions to the latest president, journalists (post-
Watergate and Vietnam) view him cynically, citizens want “chief-of-state-like symbolic
leadership and chief-of-government-like political leadership,” Congressmen view him through
their constituency, and civil servants view him through their own careers.
-Scholars and journalists view those presidents who institute significant policy changes as strong,
while citizens want strong and unifying presidential action. Congressmen and civil servants see
their careers furthered by strong presidential action.
-However, what people define as strength varies person to person. Scholars see administrative
duties as a distraction from moral and political leadership, but bureaucrats only see strong action
when decisions affect their own careers. People see strength where there is unity, while
journalists see strength in defying opposition.
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-Also, emphasis on strength and machinations of modern presidents to appear as strong may lead
presidents to take more credit than they deserve and become distracted from serving the best
interests of the country.
Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr., “Rating the Presidents: From Washington to Clinton,” Political
Science Quarterly, Vol. 112, (Summer 1997), pp. 179-190.
-In 1948, Arthur Schlesinger, Sr. polled 55 leading histories for a poll in order to rank the
presidents’ performances in the White House as follows: “great,” “near great,” “average,”
“below average,” and “failure.” The results ran in Life magazine, and in the 1990s, the New York
Times Magazine asked his son, Arthur Jr., to replicate the rest of his father.
-It is accepted by many people that historians tend to have a liberal bias.
-Presidents who served during wartime tend to be regarded as greater presidents.
-Methodologies of ranking presidents have varied over the years.
-Scholars tend to consistently regard nine Great and Near Greats: Lincoln, Washington, FDR;
Jefferson, Jackson, Polk, T. Roosevelt, Wilson, and Truman. Occasionally John Adams,
Cleveland, and Eisenhower join the top nine.
-Grant and Harding are consistent Failures. They are always joined at the bottom by Buchanan,
Pierce, Filmore, Taylor, and Coolidge.
-People with political views opposed to some of the Great/Near Great presidents tend to oppose
their high placement on the list.
-There is much more fluctuation of rankings for the middle presidents.
-Eisenhower has increased in the rankings, as more of his personality has become visible and as
he has been compared to later presidents.
-Most presidents fall into the Average category.
-There is not much correlation between height or education and presidential greatness. Youth
appears to be a comparative advantage.
-Henry Adams notes that great presidents are like captains: they possess a vision of an ideal
America, which helps them steer the ship of state.
-They must convince Congress and the electorate that their vision is correct. Crises are no
guarantee for greatness; only those who utilize the bully pulpit and react can be considered great.
-Those who were involved in wars before or during their presidencies tend to fare well.
-Great presidents tend to not be “middle-roaders;” they must take risks, be decisive, and divide
the nation before uniting it.
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Marc Landy and Bruce Miroff, “Resolved, great presidents are agents of democratic
change,” chapter 12 in Ellis and Nelson, eds., Debating the Presidency, pp. 179-197.
-Pro (Landy): Great presidents create “conservative revolutions” that fundamentally alter the
political landscape and align the political system with our constitutional principles. They were
great agents for change because they’re great teachers that did not coerce Americans to make
these democratic changes. To make these changes, presidents utilize rhetoric and party
leadership.
-Examples: Jefferson brought the nation together after a divisive election (1800). His
“revolution” had elements of style and substance: he made the presidency more democratic.
Jackson helped to institute a party system that encouraged more participation in democracy. He
also defended the Constitution with his Nullification Proclamation (1832). Lincoln defended the
Constitution by freeing the slaves and holding the Union together. Franklin Roosevelt achieved
his New Deal conservative revolution through his “fireside chats” that spoke to people about the
need restore economic rights. The actions of Eisenhower, Kennedy, and Johnson helped
increase the protection of civil rights and promote equality, principles consistent with the
Constitution.
-Con (Miroff): Thinking these changes are caused by great presidents makes a more passive
citizenry. In some cases, presidential action has hurt our democracy. Certainly presidents played
in role in bringing about these democratic changes, but presidents were not the agents of these
changes. Rather, these changes were initiated by other people, and presidents only later helped
bring about these changes. In many cases, presidents were initially reluctant to bring these
changes.
-Jackson rode the democratic wave, rather than creating it. Lincoln needed the abolitionist
educators to pave his way. Theodore Roosevelt needed the muckrackers before he could start
trust-busting. FDR reacted to the small farmers and workers in need. Kennedy and Johnson
needed protestors to speak up against injustices before they would finally act. The “first movers,”
who were regular citizens, did the groundwork which allowed presidents to act. Presidents would
not have acted in these ways without these changes being initiated from the bottom up, rather
than from the top to the bottom. The risk in believing these changes came from the presidents
themselves is that citizens will become apathetic or turn a blind eye to the damage presidents
have done while in office.
-Jackson had his prejudices. Lincoln curtailed some civil liberties. Theodore Roosevelt was cozy
with some powerful capitalists. Franklin Roosevelt abused the FBI and interned Japanese
Americans. Kennedy and Johnson ordered the monitoring of Martin Luther King, Jr. and some
civil rights groups. Presidential ambition can quickly lead to presidential arrogance. Democratic
change depends on citizens more than the greatness of presidents.
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William E. Gienapp, “Abraham Lincoln and Presidential Leadership,” in James M.
McPherson, ed., We Cannot Escape History (University of Illinois Press, 1995), pp. 63-85.
Intro…
• Being President is difficult. Evaluating presidents is also difficult.
• Problems with evaluating presidents:
o Similar actions in different contexts can lead to strikingly dissimilar results
o Predicting presidential success: nearly impossible
o Qualities that made a president unpopular at the time may make them look great in
retrospect (ex: arry Truman)
• ***Five categories in evaluating presidential leadership***
o President as leader of his party
o President as Chief Executive Officer (administrator, bureaucracy)
o President as head of Government (relations with congress)
o President as conductor of diplomatic relations and military affairs
o President as leader of the American people
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With regard to Lincoln’s Leadership of the Military:
• Left legislation to congress. Lincoln: “I ma in an emergency do things on military grounds
which cannot be done constitutionally by Congress.”
• Only exception: 13th Amendment (abolition of slavery)
• Example of his deft handling of congress: Cabinet Crisis in December 1862 (details not
important. Main point: Lincoln maintained control over his cabinet even when challenged)
• Not active in legislation or diplomacy. Very active in military strategy.
o As with his cabinet, he listened to advice of experts but made his own decisions.
o Devised war plans himself.
o Evidence: Realized that south had tactical superiority on the battle field, so he used
the fact that the union army was so much larger to keep pressure on multiple fronts.
o Handled his personal relationships with his generals well.
o Bottom line: he sometimes miscalled the shots, but there was no doubt he was calling
them.
o
With regard to Lincoln’s Leadership of the American People…
• Displayed uncanny ability to read the public. Nonetheless, gave very few speeches.
• Eloquent in his public remarks (written and verbal)
• Evidence: Emancipation decision…
o Lincoln waited until the public sentiment behind it before he announced it.
o Actually reversed several attempts by others to do it early on
o Frederick Douglas (the black abolitionist leader!) even agreed that had Lincoln
announced it too early, he would have lost the support he needed to make it happen…
Conclusion…
• Tremendous self-confidence and ability to motivate people were his key assets
• Author asks: Why didn’t his contemporaries recognize his greatness?
o Lacked presidential stature when he entered the Qhite House
o Negatives: limited education, backwood stories, strange accent, etc.
o Negative: faced a LOT of divisive issues
o His conciliatory attitude may have been viewed as weakness
• Interesting point: had Lincoln been defeated in his bid for a second term (right as the war was
turning) history would have marked him as a failure…
• Unlike modner historians, his contemporaries couldn’t see the big picture with regard to the
war (how monumental an undertaking it was)
• Basically, contemporaries can’t see the forest through the trees. We should all mediate on
this….
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Paul Kengor, “Cheney and Vice Presidential Power,” in Gary L. Gregg II and Mark J.
Rozell, Considering the Bush Presidency (Oxford University Press, 2004), pp. 160-174.
Cheney’s backround…
• Cheney’s defense and foreign policy background is unprecedented for VPs.
o Extensive experience in congress and working for former Presidents
o First VP who previously served as a secretary of defense
Successfully orchestrated first gulf war
o Cheney at gravitas – a certain respectability and seriousness that George W. Bush
lacked
• Author: Cheney was tailor-made for challenges the administration would face
o In addition to foreign policy and defense expertise, he worked for Halliburton (oil /
energy company) – which gave him insight on the ramifications of Middle East
turmoil on the US Economy.
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“September 11th VP”
• Cheney mobilized the White House (until Bush was contacted, he was running the show)
• Remaining in the White House, he dispatched all those in the line of presidential succession
(including the president) to different parts of the country to ensure succession if the White
House / Capital was targeted
• Advised president on decision to shoot down commercial jets if they didn’t land
• Cheney announced Bush Doctrine of not distinguishing between terrorists and the countries
that harbor them as well as other policies:
o US was preparing for long war
o War was NOT against Islam
• Cheney recommended the creation of the Department of Homeland Security
• Then, Cheney disappeared….
o Shadow government days
• Also, Cheney was the tip of the spear on the public relations campaign to sell the American
people on invading Iraq
Conclusion
• Haha, best line of this book: “Cheney is not a wreath layer; he’s a policy player.”
o Wartime vice president
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