Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvanians

Marginal Frequency Report, weighted data, Registered Voters

Republican N = 549; Democrat N = 510

April 9 18, 2016

REG. Some people are registered to vote, and many others are not. Are you CURRENTLY
REGISTERED to vote at your present address?
Democrat
100%
0%

Yes
No

Republican
100%
0%

RegPARTY. Are you currently registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or as

something else?
Democrat
100%
0%
0%
0%

Democrat
Republican
Independent
Something else

Republican
0%
100%
0%
0%

Vote_Apr. Many people will vote in the primary election for president in April; however, many other
people will not. What would you say are the chances of your voting in the April presidential primary? Are
you certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances fifty-fifty you will vote, or dont you think that
you will vote in the April presidential primary?
Democrat
83%
8%
5%
4%
1%

Certain to vote
Will probably vote
Chances 50-50
Dont think will vote
Dont know

Republican
82%
10%
4%
4%
0%

Pol_Int. Some people don't pay much attention to political campaigns. How about you? Would you say
that you arein the 2016 presidential campaign?
Democrat
72%
25%
3%

Very much interested

Somewhat interested
Not very interested

Republican
77%
19%
4%

RightDir. All in all, do you think things in Pennsylvania are generally headed in the right direction, or do
you feel that things are off on the wrong track?
Democrat
34%
51%
16%

Right direction
Wrong track
Dont know

Republican
13%
77%
10%

Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvanians

Marginal Frequency Report, weighted data, Registered Voters
Republican N = 549; Democrat N = 510

April 9 18, 2016

MIP_PA. What do you think is the MOST IMPORTANT problem facing PENNSYLVANIA TODAY?
Democrat
1%
3%
3%
19%
2%
1%
0%
36%
1%
0%
0%
2%
2%
2%
4%
15%
0%
1%
2%
7%

Civil liberties
Crime, drugs, violence, guns
Economy, finances
Education, school
Energy issues, gas prices
Environment
Foreign policy, terrorism, war
Government, politicians
Healthcare, insurance
Immigration
Retaining, attracting businesses
Roads, infrastructure, transportation
Senior issues, social security
Social issues
Taxes
Unemployment, personal finances
Values, morals
Welfare
Other
Don't know

Republican
1%
2%
6%
7%
1%
1%
1%
39%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
13%
14%
1%
1%
3%
6%

IntFav. Please let me know your opinion of some people involved in politics today. Is your opinion of
[FILL name] favorable, unfavorable, undecided, or havent you heard enough about [FILL name] to have
an opinion? (rotated)
Democrat
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Republican
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Strongly
favorable
44%
29%
10%
7%
3%

Somewhat
favorable
25%
37%
31%
6%
9%

Somewhat
unfavorable
9%
11%
18%
6%
14%

Strongly
unfavorable
16%
13%
14%
76%
64%

Strongly
favorable
27%
16%
17%
4%
5%

Somewhat
favorable
19%
29%
38%
6%
14%

Somewhat
unfavorable
14%
17%
13%
7%
14%

Strongly
unfavorable
30%
27%
12%
80%
58%

Undecided
5%
7%
8%
4%
6%
Undecided
9%
10%
10%
3%
6%

Dont
know
1%
4%
19%
2%
5%
Dont
know
0%
2%
10%
0%
3%

Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvanians

Marginal Frequency Report, weighted data, Registered Voters
Republican N = 549; Democrat N = 510

April 9 18, 2016

DemPrim. If the 2016 Democratic primary election for U.S. SENATOR were being held today and the
candidates included (rotated) John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak, would you vote for John
Fetterman, Katie McGinty, Joe Sestak, some other candidate, or aren't you sure how you would vote?
Democrat
33%
27%
8%
2%
29%

Joe Sestak
Katie McGinty
John Fetterman
Other Candidate
Do not know

CertDemSen. Are you absolutely CERTAIN you will vote FOR [fill] in the election, or are you still making
up your mind? (344 respondents with named vote choice)
Democrat
67%
33%

Certain to vote
Still making up mind

LeanDemSen. As of today, do you lean more to (rotated) John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, or Joe
Sestak? (148 undecided respondents)
Democrat
18%
15%
3%
64%

Katie McGinty
Joe Sestak
John Fetterman
Do not know

DemPresPrim. If the Democratic primary election for president was being held today and the candidates
included (rotated) Hillary Clinton, and Bernie Sanders, would you vote for Hillary Clinton, Bernie
Sanders, some other candidate, or aren't you sure how you would vote?
Democrat
55%
29%
5%
11%

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Other Candidate
Do not know

CertDem. Are you absolutely CERTAIN you will vote FOR [fill] in the election, or are you still making up
your mind? (418 respondents with named vote choice)
Democrat
83%
17%

Certain to vote
Still making up mind

LeanDem. As of today, do you lean more to (rotated) Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders?
(63 undecided respondents)
Democrat
26%
24%
50%

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Do not know

Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvanians

Marginal Frequency Report, weighted data, Registered Voters
Republican N = 549; Democrat N = 510

April 9 18, 2016

RepPresPrim. If the Republican primary election for president was being held today would you vote for
(rotated) Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, or aren't you sure how you would vote
Donald Trump
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Dont know

Republican
36%
26%
24%
15%

CertRep. Are you absolutely CERTAIN you will vote FOR [fill] in the election, or are you still making up
your mind? (465 respondents with vote choice)
Certain to vote
Still making up mind

Republican
75%
24%

Lean_Rep. As of today, do you lean more to (rotated) Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, or John Kasich?
(84 undecided respondents)
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Do not know

Republican
22%
16%
15%
46%

PresIss. What issue will matter most to you as you think about choosing a [Republican/Democratic]
candidate for president?
Democrat
2%
1%
3%
1%
7%
3%
3%
2%
1%
2%
3%
1%
1%
32%
0%
2%
1%
7%
8%
1%
9%
10%

Bipartisanship
Candidate who will put country back on track, in general
Civil liberties
Crime, drugs, violence, guns
Economy, finances
Education, schools
Elder issues, social security
Environment
Global Events
Government, politicians
Healthcare, insurance
Immigration, illegal immigrants
Justice system, lawyers
Personal characteristic of candidate
Retaining, attracting business
Social Issues
Taxes
Terrorism, war, foreign policy
Unemployment, personal finances
Values and morality
Other
Do not know

Republican
3%
3%
5%
1%
10%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6%
1%
5%
1%
25%
1%
0%
2%
16%
5%
3%
8%
0%

Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvanians

Marginal Frequency Report, weighted data, Registered Voters
Republican N = 549; Democrat N = 510

April 9 18, 2016

GovRole2. Do you believe the actions of the United States government should mostly be aimed at
maintaining and representing a common constitution and legal order or do you believe the actions of the
United States government should be mostly aimed at maintaining and representing a common heritage,
religion, and tradition?
Democrat
80%
11%
9%

Republican
71%
19%
9%

Constitution and legal order

Heritage, religion, and tradition
Dont know

IntHard. Now Im going to ask you about various events that happen to people. Im interested in those
that happened to you at any point during the last 12 months, that is since [fill one year agos date]. Did
any of the following hardships happen to you in the last 12 months? (rotated)
Democrat
% Yes
15%
8%
7%
7%
5%
5%
4%
3%
2%
0%

Did you experience a reduction in pay for any reason?

Were you unemployed and looking for work for as long as a month?
Were you unable to get needed medical care because you couldnt
afford it?
Did you lack health insurance coverage?
Were you let go or permanently laid off from your job?
Did you fall behind in paying your rent or mortgage?
Were you unable to purchase needed food because you couldnt
afford it?
Did you have any utilities, such as water, heat, or electricity, shut off
because you couldnt afford the bill?
For financial reasons, did you have to temporarily live with others or
in a shelter or on the street?
Were you evicted from your apartment or house?

DEMO I now have a final few questions for statistical purposes only.
CNTY. Region of state (What is the name of the county you live in?)
Democrat
11%
19%
12%
8%
12%
27%
11%

Allegheny
Central
Northeast
Northwest
Philadelphia
Southeast
Southwest

Republican
8%
34%
12%
10%
2%
24%
10%

Republican
% Yes
17%
6%
6%
6%
4%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%

Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvanians

Marginal Frequency Report, weighted data, Registered Voters
Republican N = 549; Democrat N = 510

April 9 18, 2016

AGE. What was your age on your last birthday?

Democrat
3%
8%
9%
15%
21%
44%

18-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65 and older

Republican
3%
7%
9%
17%
26%
39%

EDUC. What was the highest grade level of schooling you have completed?
Democrat
3%
20%
16%
8%
25%
28%

Non high school graduate

High school graduate or GED
Some college
Associates degree or technical degree
Bachelors degree
Post graduate degree

Republican
1%
24%
15%
14%
27%
19%

MAR. What is your CURRENT marital statusare you single, married, separated, divorced, or a
widower?
Democrat
68%
17%
8%
7%
1%

Married
Single, Never Married
Widow or widower
Divorced
Separated

Republican
75%
9%
8%
7%
1%

IDEO. Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative?

Democrat
48%
35%
13%
4%

Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Dont know

Republican
3%
22%
72%
3%

PARTY. Regardless of how you are registered in politics, as of today, do you think of yourself as a
Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
Democrat
3%
2%
5%
7%
12%
18%
53%
2%

Strong Republican
Republican
Lean Republican
Independent
Lean Democrat
Democrat
Strong Democrat
Dont know

Republican
48%
20%
19%
7%
2%
2%
1%
1%

Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvanians

Marginal Frequency Report, weighted data, Registered Voters
Republican N = 549; Democrat N = 510

April 9 18, 2016

GUN. Are you a gun owner?

Democrat
22%
78%
0%

Yes
No
Dont know

Republican
50%
49%
2%

GUN2. Generally speaking, do you favor or oppose creating more laws that regulate gun ownership?
Democrat
60%
17%
6%
13%
5%

Republican
16%
14%
15%
51%
5%

Strongly favor
Somewhat favor
Somewhat oppose
Strongly oppose
Dont know

Hisp. Are you Hispanic or Latino, or not?

Democrat
2%
98%

Yes
No

Republican
1%
99%

RACE. Which of the following categories best describes your racial background?
Democrat
90%
11%

White
Non-white

Republican
97%
3%

REL. Do you consider yourself to be Protestant, Catholic, some other religion, or not affiliated with any
religion?
Democrat
27%
34%
16%
24%

Protestant
Catholic
Some other religion
Not affiliated with any religion

Republican
51%
30%
9%
10%

BAC. Do you consider yourself to be a born-again Christian or fundamentalist, or not?

Democrat
12%
86%
2%

Yes
No
Dont know

Republican
37%
62%
1%

Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvanians

Marginal Frequency Report, weighted data, Registered Voters
Republican N = 549; Democrat N = 510

April 9 18, 2016

WORK. Are you currently working fulltime, part-time, going to school, keeping house or something
else?
Democrat
39%
39%
12%
4%
3%
2%
1%

Full-time
Retired
Part-time
Something else
Disabled
Unemployed
Going to school

Republican
44%
36%
12%
3%
3%
1%
1%

INCOME. And, just for statistical purposes, we need to know if your total family income is above or
below $50,000 per year?
Democrat
10%
11%
11%
19%
17%
27%
6%

Under $25,000
$25-$35,000
$35-50,000
$50-75,000
$75-100,000
Over $100,000
Dont know

Republican
8%
8%
11%
20%
16%
31%
6%

DONE. Sex of respondent:

Democrat
44%
56%

Male
Female

Republican
51%
49%