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gender (HR, 0.558; p [ 0.033), presence of the solid component (HR, 1.976; p [ 0.016), and presence of a micropapillary
component (HR, 2.371; p [ 0.018) were prognostic for
progression-free survival. Multivariable analysis revealed
that tumor size was an independent prognostic factor for
overall survival (HR, 2.083; 95% condence interval, 1.433
to 3.029; p < 0.001) and progression-free survival (HR, 2.036;
95% condence interval, 1.546 to 2.681; p < 0.001) and that
the presence of the solid component (HR, 2.045; 95% condence interval, 1.172 to 3.568; p [ 0.012) was an independent prognostic factor for progression-free survival.
Conclusions. Solid component and tumor size signicantly correlate with prognosis in stage IB pulmonary
adenocarcinoma.
ung cancer is one of the leading causes of cancerrelated death worldwide [1], of which adenocarcinoma is the most frequent histologic type, with increasing
incidence trends during the past decades [2]. Histologic
and molecular heterogeneity of pulmonary adenocarcinoma has been recognized [3, 4]. Components, as well as
the percentage of each component, differ in pulmonary
adenocarcinomas. However, according to the 2004 World
Health Organization classication of pulmonary adenocarcinoma, more than 80% of invasive pulmonary
adenocarcinomas are classied as mixed type [5], which
could not present the histologic heterogeneity. In 2011 the
International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer,
the American Thoracic Society, and the European
Respiratory Society (IASLC/ATS/ERS) proposed a new
histologic classication of pulmonary adenocarcinoma [6]
with several important modications to the previous
World Health Organization classication:
First, the term bronchioloalveolar carcinoma is
discontinued.
Second, adenocarcinoma in situ and minimally invasive adenocarcinoma are introduced to the classication.
Third, the classication recommends performing
comprehensive histologic subtyping with semiquantitative
assessment in 5% increments, and each adenocarcinoma
Accepted for publication Oct 31, 2014.
*
GENERAL THORACIC
GENERAL THORACIC
962
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PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR LUNG CANCER
Results
Clinicopathologic Characteristics
The clinicopathologic characteristics of the 187 patients
(80 men, 107 women) are reported in Table 1. Patents
were an average age of 60.3 years (range, 34 to 82 years),
153 (81.8%) were nonsmokers, and 18 (9.6%) had history
of diabetes mellitus. The average tumor size was 3.2 cm
(range, 0.8 to 5.0 cm). The diameters of most of the tumors
(82 [43.9%]) were between 3 and 5 cm, followed by tumors
that were between 2 and 3 cm (65 [34.8%]) and those 2 cm
Survival Analysis
The follow-up period was a mean of 4.5 years (range, 1 to
8.6 years). The 5-year PFS rates and the 5-year OS rates
are summarized in Table 2. To investigate the effect of
each component on survival, we compared the survival
rates of patients with and without each component, as
reported in Table 3. The presence of the micropapillary
component and the solid component signicantly correlated with the PFS rate (p 0.015 and p 0.014, respectively; Figs 1 and 2).
Cox Regression
Univariable and multivariable analyses results are summarized in Tables 4 and 5. Gender, age, smoking status,
tumor size, visceral pleural invasion, lymphovascular
invasion, tumor necrosis, and presence of each component were included in the analysis. For OS, tumor size
and the presence of the solid component were included in
multivariable analysis, but only tumor size (hazard ratio
[HR], 2.083; 95% condence interval [CI], 1.433 to 3.029;
p < 0.001) was an independent prognostic factor for OS.
For PFS, gender, tumor size, presence of the micropapillary component and presence of the solid component were included in multivariable analysis, but only
tumor size (HR, 2.036; 95% CI, 1.546 to 2.681; p < 0.001)
and presence the solid component (HR, 2.045; 95% CI,
1.172 to 3.568; p 0.012) were identied as prognostic
factors.
Comment
Clinical trials have failed to demonstrate a survival
benet for adjuvant chemotherapy in stage IB NSCLC
patients, so consensus has not been reached on adjuvant
chemotherapy for stage IB NSCLC until now. The randomized controlled clinical trials JBR10 [21] and Cancer
and Leukemia Group B (CALGB) 9633 [22, 23] indicated
that postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy could prolong
patients survival time and increase survival rates in patients with stage IB NSCLCs, but recent updated data of
the two trials [9, 10] revealed that adjuvant chemotherapy
did not improve survival.
On the basis of the results mentioned above, routine
use of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage IB NSCLC was
XU ET AL
PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR LUNG CANCER
963
Variables
Gender
Male
Female
<70 years
70 years
Never
Current/former
Yes
No
2cm
>2cm and 3cm
>3cm and 5cm
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Lepidic-predominant
Acinar-predominant
Papillary-predomination
Micropapillary-predominant
Solid-predominant
Invasive mucinous adenocarcinoma
Fetal
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Age
Smoking status
History of diabetes
Tumor size
Lepidic component
Acinar component
Papillary component
Micropapillary component
Solid component
not recommended by American College of Chest Physicians [8]. However, the National Comprehensive Cancer
Network recommended adjuvant chemotherapy for highrisk stage IB NSCLC patients [24]. The risk factors were
poorly differentiated tumors, vascular invasion, wedge
resection, tumors larger than 4 cm, visceral pleural
involvement, and incomplete lymph node sampling [24].
It is possible that a subset of stage IB NSCLC patients can
benet from adjuvant chemotherapy, yet the subset remains unrecognized. To identify the patients who might
benet from adjuvant chemotherapy, we have to discern
poor prognostic factors, and then, clinical trials could be
designed to conrm which factors feature the subset.
IASLC/ATS/ERS proposed new classication for lung
adenocarcinoma in 2011 [6]. The prognostic value of the
new classication has been veried in a number of
studies [1220]. Some research [12, 1618] conrmed that
80
107
147
40
153
34
18
169
40
65
82
150
37
13
174
14
173
2
120
31
5
19
9
1
21
166
140
47
61
126
17
170
49
138
(42.8)
(57.2)
(78.6)
(21.4)
(81.8)
(18.2)
(9.6)
(90.4)
(21.4)
(34.8)
(43.9)
(80.2)
(19.8)
(7.0)
(93.0)
(7.5)
(92.5)
(1.1)
(64.2)
(16.6)
(2.7)
(10.2)
(4.8)
(0.5)
(11.2)
(88.8)
(74.9)
(25.1)
(32.6)
(67.4)
(9.1)
(90.9)
(26.2)
(73.8)
the subtypes of adenocarcinoma in situ, minimally invasive adenocarcinoma, and lepidic-predominant adenocarcinoma had 5-year survival rates approaching 100%.
Micropapillary-predominant and solid-predominant adenocarcinomas were indicated to have poor survival, and
papillary-predominant and acinar-predominant adenocarcinomas were supposed to have intermediate survival.
Hung and colleagues [19] and Yoshizawa and
colleagues [13] investigated the value of the new classication in stage I NSCLC. Hung and colleagues [19]
found that micropapillary-predominant and solidpredominant adenocarcinomas were associated with
recurrence and that solid-predominant adenocarcinoma
correlated with worse postrecurrence survival. Yoshizawa
and colleagues [13] discovered that solid-predominant,
micropapillary-predominant, invasive mucinous, and
colloid-predominant adenocarcinomas had lower 5-year
GENERAL THORACIC
Characteristics
964
XU ET AL
PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR LUNG CANCER
Subtype
Patients
(No.)
5-Year PFS
Rate
(%)
5-Year OS
Rate
(%)
2
120
31
5
19
9
100
71.2
69.7
0
57
88.9
100
84.5
80.2
0
78.9
100
GENERAL THORACIC
Lepidic-predominant
Acinar-predominant
Papillary-predominant
Micropapillary-predominant
Solid-predominant
Invasive mucinous
adenocarcinoma
OS overall survival;
58
0.893
81.2
0.751
166
140
70.4
68
0.569
83.5
80.5
0.282
Absent
Present
47
61
71.2
69.9
0.945
91.1
81.2
0.893
Absent
Micropapillary Present
component
Absent
Solid
Present
component
Absent
126
17
68.1
37.8
0.015
84.1
80.8
0.397
170
49
71.6
58
0.014
83.4
75.5
0.064
138
72.6
Acinar
component
Papillary
component
5-Year
5-Year
Patients PFS Rate p OS Rate p
(No.)
(%)
Value
(%)
Value
Component
Lepidic
component
Present
21
Absent
Present
OS overall survival;
85.7
XU ET AL
PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR LUNG CANCER
965
CI condence interval;
HR
95% CI
p Value
1
0.573
1.014
0.2761.192
0.9751.054
0.136
0.497
1
0.53
0.1601.751
0.298
1
0.307
2.083
0.0422.257
1.4333.029
0.246
<0.001
1
1.232
0.4703.229
0.672
1
2.42
0.8386.987
0.102
1
1.619
0.4905.351
0.430
1
0.825
0.2502.725
0.752
1
1.685
0.6434.417
0.289
1
1.054
0.4902.268
0.893
1
1.571
0.5464.515
0.402
1
2.003
0.9464.241
0.07
HR
95% CI
p Value
2.083
1.4333.029
<0.001
HR hazard ratio.
component might be regarded as a confounding variable of tumor size in the outcome of multivariable
analysis. Furthermore, the micropapillary component
was present in only 17 tumors, so sample size was
another explanation for the result.
Results of some studies have supported the prognostic
signicance of the new pathology classication, but these
studies enrolled cases of two or more stages. Our study is
the rst to focus on stage IB lung adenocarcinoma.
Furthermore, sample size of this study was larger than
the sample size of stage IB lung adenocarcinoma in most
of other studies.
In conclusion, our research suggests that the solid
component and tumor size correlate with prognosis of
stage IB pulmonary adenocarcinoma.
GENERAL THORACIC
Gender
Male
Female
Age
Smoking status
No
Yes
History of diabetes
No
Yes
Tumor size
Pleural invasion
No
Yes
Lymphovascular invasion
No
Yes
Necrosis
No
Yes
Lepidic component
No
Yes
Acinar component
No
Yes
Papillary component
No
Yes
Micropapillary component
No
Yes
Solid component
No
Yes
Multivariable Analysis
966
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PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR LUNG CANCER
GENERAL THORACIC
Variables
Gender
Male
Female
Age
Smoking status
No
Yes
History of diabetes
No
Yes
Tumor size
Pleural invasion
No
Yes
Lymphovascular invasion
No
Yes
Necrosis
No
Yes
Lepidic component
No
Yes
Acinar component
No
Yes
Papillary component
No
Yes
Micropapillary component
No
Yes
Solid component
No
Yes
CI condence interval;
Multivariable Analysis
HR
95% CI
p Value
1
0.558
1.007
0.3260.954
0.9791.036
0.033
0.618
1
1.325
0.6972.517
0.39
1
0.955
1.991
0.3802.396
1.5232.604
0.921
<0.001
1
1.01
0.5201.958
0.978
1
1.613
0.6434.057
0.309
1
1.433
0.5713.599
0.443
1
1.085
0.4912.401
0.84
1
1.204
0.6342.287
0.571
1
1.02
0.5791.796
0.946
1
2.371
1.1584.854
0.018
1
1.976
1.1363.437
0.016
HR
95% CI
p Value
2.036
1.5462.681
<0.001
1
2.045
1.1723.568
0.012
HR hazard ratio.
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2. Gabrielson E. Worldwide trends in lung cancer pathology.
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heterogeneity of oncogenic driver mutations in surgicallyresected lung adenocarcinoma: implications of percutaneous biopsy-based molecular assay for target-directed
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5. Motoi N, Szoke J, Riely GJ, et al. Lung adenocarcinoma:
modication of the 2004 WHO mixed subtype to include the
major histologic subtype suggests correlations between
papillary and micropapillary adenocarcinoma subtypes,
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7.
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17.
967
GENERAL THORACIC
13.
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PROGNOSTIC FACTORS FOR LUNG CANCER