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DOI 10.1007/s00431-013-2017-4
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Received: 3 December 2012 / Revised: 18 April 2013 / Accepted: 19 April 2013 / Published online: 8 May 2013
# Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013
Introduction
Perturbations in development in early life may contribute to
disorders of insulin action and glucose homeostasis, such as
insulin resistance (IR) and type 2 diabetes [31]. The association of birth size, as an indicator of pre-natal conditions,
and these disorders has been examined in many studies.
Both low and high birth weight have been implicated, but
often in separate studies of heterogeneous populations [14,
25, 31].
1208
There is some evidence that the influence of pre-natal conditions on later glucoseinsulin homeostasis is mediated by
subsequent growth trajectory [19]. However, fewer studies have
simultaneously characterized pre-natal and post-natal growth
and type 2 diabetes risk factors such as IR. In studies with data
at two ages (birth weight and current, pre-adolescence, weight),
current weight is the strongest predictor of IR, with birth weight
tending to be statistically significant only after adjustment for
current size in some studies [1, 21, 30], and remaining nonsignificant in others [33]. The interpretation of this is contentious [21, 22, 29], but it has been suggested it points to a role of
the post-natal environment affecting growth and associated
factors between the two stages [5, 22].
Longitudinal studies with measures of body size at multiple time points have identified birth to 3 years [26], birth to
7 years [7] and 18 months to late childhood [11] as potential
critical periods of growth for insulin indicators of metabolic
health (insulin sensitivity, IR and fasting insulin, respectively). A chronic high or rising (regardless of birth size)
growth trajectory between birth and 14 years has also been
associated with higher IR and fasting insulin [15]. In contrast, Gardner and colleagues [12] found current weight
(9 years) rather than weight velocity most influential, and
Larnkjaer and colleagues [18] found no effect of growth in
infancy on IR at 17 years. The heterogeneity in the sample
used (pre- or term birth), timing and type of measurement
(including weight, weight for height and body composition),
insulin measure and statistical methods all contribute to
these inconsistencies.
Despite calls for studies to use the life course plot methods
developed by Cole [5] to jointly investigate the influence of
pre- and post-natal growth on IR [21, 25], to date no studies
have used this method in a sample of children born at term.
These methods use a set of regression equations that enables
reporting of (1) the effect of accelerated growth (a change in a
childs relative position in the distribution of size) between
two time points and (2) the specific effect of body size at
multiple points in childhood on IR. Thus, the life course plots
generated with such methods help to elucidate the magnitude
and direction of any observed associations.
The aim of this study was to investigate the associations,
and any interactions, between size at birth and growth across
childhood with a surrogate estimate of IR at 9 years. We
applied the life course plot methods proposed by Cole [5] to
data from a contemporary cohort of children born at term
who have been prospectively followed from before birth.
Methods
The childs primary care giver provided written informed
consent to participate in the Generation 1 study using the
consent form of the universitys Human Research Ethics
1208
There is some evidence that the influence of pre-natal conditions on later glucoseinsulin homeostasis is mediated by
subsequent growth trajectory [19]. However, fewer studies have
simultaneously characterized pre-natal and post-natal growth
and type 2 diabetes risk factors such as IR. In studies with data
at two ages (birth weight and current, pre-adolescence, weight),
current weight is the strongest predictor of IR, with birth weight
tending to be statistically significant only after adjustment for
current size in some studies [1, 21, 30], and remaining nonsignificant in others [33]. The interpretation of this is contentious [21, 22, 29], but it has been suggested it points to a role of
the post-natal environment affecting growth and associated
factors between the two stages [5, 22].
Longitudinal studies with measures of body size at multiple time points have identified birth to 3 years [26], birth to
7 years [7] and 18 months to late childhood [11] as potential
critical periods of growth for insulin indicators of metabolic
health (insulin sensitivity, IR and fasting insulin, respectively). A chronic high or rising (regardless of birth size)
growth trajectory between birth and 14 years has also been
associated with higher IR and fasting insulin [15]. In contrast, Gardner and colleagues [12] found current weight
(9 years) rather than weight velocity most influential, and
Larnkjaer and colleagues [18] found no effect of growth in
infancy on IR at 17 years. The heterogeneity in the sample
used (pre- or term birth), timing and type of measurement
(including weight, weight for height and body composition),
insulin measure and statistical methods all contribute to
these inconsistencies.
Despite calls for studies to use the life course plot methods
developed by Cole [5] to jointly investigate the influence of
pre- and post-natal growth on IR [21, 25], to date no studies
have used this method in a sample of children born at term.
These methods use a set of regression equations that enables
reporting of (1) the effect of accelerated growth (a change in a
childs relative position in the distribution of size) between
two time points and (2) the specific effect of body size at
multiple points in childhood on IR. Thus, the life course plots
generated with such methods help to elucidate the magnitude
and direction of any observed associations.
The aim of this study was to investigate the associations,
and any interactions, between size at birth and growth across
childhood with a surrogate estimate of IR at 9 years. We
applied the life course plot methods proposed by Cole [5] to
data from a contemporary cohort of children born at term
who have been prospectively followed from before birth.
Methods
The childs primary care giver provided written informed
consent to participate in the Generation 1 study using the
consent form of the universitys Human Research Ethics
insulin (U/mL)fasting glucose (mmol/L)/22.5), as recommended for epidemiological studies of children [17].
Variables were considered potential confounders if there
was reasonable evidence in the literature for an independent
association between them and the exposure (birth weight) and
outcome (child HOMA-IR). There are a range of pregnancy
factors that could contribute to birth weight, but are not
independent contributors to IR. In the absence of any established confounders, maternal education at the time of pregnancy (as a proxy for socioeconomic status) was the only
candidate [16]. Pubertal stage is on the pathway between
growth and IR, and hence was not included as a confounder.
The analysis set for the present study comprised the
151 children born after 37 weeks of gestation with valid
measures of height, weight and insulin resistance at
9 years. The distribution of HOMA-IR was positively
skewed, which was addressed in the analyses. The age
in days at which the 9-year blood sample was taken
was included in all models. All models that included
birth size were adjusted for gestational age in days,
even though all births were term.
To overcome previously identified problems with interpreting back transformation of log-transformed data [24], generalized linear models (GLMs) with log-link function and a
Gaussian distribution were used to estimate the effects of standardized birth weight and birth BMI on HOMA-IR at 9 years
[4]. In the GLMs that were initially fit, HOMA-IR at age 9 years
was regressed on standardized birth size (i.e. z-weight0 or zBMI0). Maternal education was also included in these initial
models as a potential confounder. We then added a quadratic
term for standardized birth size to allow for the possibility of a
non-linear association between HOMA-IR and birth size.
A second series of GLMs that regressed HOMA-IR at
age 9 years on body size at birth and at age 9 years were
then fit so as to derive regression coefficients for subsequent
display in life course plots [5]. Such plots can be used to
demonstrate the effect of growththat is, change, over time
in a childs relative position in the distribution of body
sizeon HOMA-IR. We considered four distinct parameterizations of the regression model, with the four models
distinguished by the interaction terms included.
Specifically, the regression models included interactions
between (1) birth size and size at age 9 years, (2) birth size
and change in size, (3) change in size and size at age 9 years
and (4) average of birth size and size at age 9 years, and
change in size, respectively.
In a final set of fitted models, HOMA-IR at age 9 years was
regressed on all available measurements of body size (as well as
maternal education). Separate models were fit for z-weight and
z-BMI. The number of observations available for these analyses
was slightly smaller (n=143) due to missing interim measurements of body size between the ages of 6 months and 3.5 years.
The coefficients from these models were also displayed in life
1209
Results
At 9 years, 151 children provided a fasting blood sample, had
gestational age 37 weeks and valid measures of height,
weight, glucose and insulin. At 9 years, the median fasting
glucose was 4.9 mmol/L [interquartile range (IQR), 4.75.2],
the median insulin was 11.3 U/mL (IQR, 9.013.0) and the
median HOMA-IR score was 2.3 (IQR, 1.93.0). A total of
6.6 % of children had mild fasting hyperglycaemia
(>5.6 mmol/L) and normal fasting plasma insulin levels.
The mean maternal age at the birth of these study children was 30.45.3 years, and for 44 mothers (29.1 %) this
was their first child. Just over half (n=78, 51.7 %) of the
women had completed high school (but not further education) prior to the birth of the study child. Mothers of children
not providing a fasting blood sample at 9 years were no
younger or less educated than those who took part (p>0.5),
and the sample included the full spectrum of maternal education levels. Table 1 shows the body size characteristics of
children included in the analyses.
The initially fitted regression models showed that the two
measures of body size at age 9 years were positively associated with HOMA-IR (adjusted for current age) (Table 2).
Neither z-weight 0 nor z-BMI 0 was associated with
HOMA-IR (adjusted for gestational age). Including quadratic
terms for birth size in the statistical models provided no evidence
for a non-linear relationship between birth size and HOMA-IR.
Figure 1 presents a life course plot of the percent change
in HOMA-IR associated with z-BMI0 and z-BMI9y when
both variables were included in the same model (solid line).
After controlling for z-BMI9y, z-BMI0 was inversely associated (p = 0.008) with HOMA-IR at 9 years. z-BMI 9y
remained positively associated with HOMA-IR (p<0.001)
and the magnitude of this association was slightly larger
after adjustment for z-BMI0.
Results followed a similar pattern when HOMA-IR was
instead regressed on z-weight0 and z-weight9y (p=0.036 for
z-weight0, p<0.001 for z-weight9y). The addition of body
size at age 9 years (z-weight9y or z-BMI9y) significantly
improved the fit of each model compared to models with
birth size alone. Coefficients for z-BMI and z-weight were
unchanged after adjustment for maternal education.
These models suggest an effect of accelerated growth
between birth and 9 years, which was supported by modeling the change in z-score (9 years minus birth). A 1 standard
1210
Table 1 Characteristics of children included and excluded from
the analyses
Characteristic
Included in analyses
Mean SD
Birth characteristics
(n=368)
(n=151)
39.71.2
3,478.0487.0
50.42.1
13.71.3
0.131.0
0.471.0b
(n=260)
9.70.4
35.18.8
138.46.6
18.23.4
0.481.1
0.491.2
39.71.2
3,490.8465.4
50.52.2
13.71.3
0.181.0
0.481.0
(n=151)
9.60.2
33.57.2
137.66.3
17.62.6
0.331.1
0.331.1
All size at 9-year models adjusted for age at time of blood sample
(days)
p value
0.679
0.224
0.154
0.082
<0.001
z-BMI9y
13.81 (8.91, 18.92)
Measure of birth size and body size at age 9 years
z-weight0
5.28 (9.97, 0.36)
z-weight9y
16.73 (11.61, 22.08)
z-BMI0
6.16 (10.46, 1.66)
z-BMI9y
14.70 (9.90, 19.70)
Interactions between birth size and current body size
1. z-weight0 z-weight9y
1.86 (6.90, 3.46)
2. z-weight0 (z-weight9y z-weight0)
2.99 (5.10, 11.77)
3. z-weight9y (z-weight9y z-weight0)
3.68 (11.61, 4.95)
4. (z-weight0 z-weight9y)/2(z-weight9y
0.40 (5.21, 4.65)
z-weight0)
4.46 (8.59, 0.15)
1. z-BMI0 z-BMI9y
2. z-BMI0 (z-BMI9y z-BMI0)
1.95 (9.52, 6.25)
3. z-BMI9y (z-BMI9y z-BMI0)
2.09 (10.12, 6.66)
4. (z-BMI0 +z-BMI9y)/2(z-BMI9y z-BMI0) 1.90 (6.62, 3.06)
<0.001
0.036
<0.001
0.008
<0.001
0.486
0.480
0.392
0.873
0.043
0.631
0.628
0.446
1211
Discussion
This is the first study to use the methods proposed by Cole
[5] to investigate the influence of size at birth and growth
across childhood on a surrogate measure of IR in late
childhood using a representative sample of children born
at term. These life course plot methods allow the simultaneous assessment of the effects of size at different time
points, and the effects of growth between time points, on
IR. We found an inverse association between birth size and
HOMA-IR at 9 years only after adjustment for body size at
9 years. This observed effect persisted after adjusting for
1212
In non-human species such as sheep and rodents, restriction of placental growth, a common cause of intra-uterine
growth restriction, reduces weight and BMI at birth [8, 13].
In sheep, this is followed by early onset catch-up growth and
central obesity and insulin resistance, with the latter likely to
reflect both obesity-mediated impairment as well as intrinsic
abnormalities in skeletal muscle or liver [8, 13]. This pattern
of growth and fat accumulation appears, in part, attributable
to impaired appetite control and possibly leptin resistance
[8], but may involve additional mechanisms [2, 9]. There are
similar patterns in rodents where exposure to excess nutrition post-natally interacts with pre-natal nutritional restriction to induce later obesity and sometimes insulin resistance
[3, 27].
The only previous study of pre- and post-natal growth
and IR in children employing the same analytical methods
as this study was in pre-term infants [5, 11]. That study also
found an inverse association between birth weight and IR
only after adjustment for current size. In contrast to our
results, weight gain between 18 months and 912 years
was identified as being of greater importance than weight
gain from birth to 18 months. The likely explanation for the
contrasting findings is the different pattern of post-natal
growth experienced by pre-term compared to term infants.
When body size at each time point was included in the
model, there was a suggestion that growth around 3.5 years
may be particularly relevant for IR. Outcomes from other
studies with similar measures of body size at multiple time
points, but using different analytical methods, have been
conflicting [7, 18, 26], ranging from no effect of post-natal
growth [18], to birth to 3 years [26], birth to 7 years [7] or only
current weight [12] being significant. All of these studies,
including ours, are restricted by the number and timing of
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