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Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB)

All virtue, no vice!

30 Mar 2016

Darpin Shah
darpin.shah@hdfcsec.com
+91-22-6171-7328

Siji Philip
siji.philip@hdfcsec.com
+91-22-6171-7324

Parul Gulati
parul.gulati@hdfcsec.com
+91-22-6639-3035

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) Structure

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB)


Rs 595 / share (80% of SOTP)

Kotak
Mahindra
Prime (KMP)
Auto Finance

Kotak
Mahindra
Investments
(KMI)

Loan Against
Shares

Rs 77/share

Rs 12/share

(10% of SOTP)

(1.6% of SOTP)

Kotak
Securities
(K-sec)
Broking

Rs 21/share
(2.9% of
SOTP)

Kotak
Mahindra
Asset
Management
(K-AMC)

Kotak
Mahindra
Capital
Company
(KMCC)

Asset
Management

Investment

Rs 15/share
(2.1% of
SOTP)

Re 1/share
(0.2% of
SOTP)

Banking

Kotak
Investment
Advisors

KM Old
Mutual Life
Insurance

Offshore &
Alternate
Investments

Life Insurance

Rs 9/share
(1.1% of
SOTP)

Rs 16/share
(2.2% of
SOTP)

Subs value post 20% holding co. discount

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

All virtue, no vice!


Kotak Mahindra Bank encapsulates most of the virtues
that should characterise a high quality Indian bank. Its
core lending business has sustainably high spreads,
durable fee streams and tightly controlled asset quality
on a strategically constructed loan mix.
A market leading (and synergistic) securities and
investment banking practice align it well with cyclical
tailwinds. Asset management and insurance businesses
look surprisingly small (given the evolution in other
verticals) but are now well positioned to outpace
system growth. The bank is well capitalised at 16%
(with Tier I at 15%).
Valuations are expectedly high at 3.6x standalone
FY18E ABV, adjusted for subs at 20% holdco discount.
Our SoTP of Rs 747 assigns 4.0x to standalone FY18E
ABV and lower multiples of 3.5/2.5x to the autofinance/LAS verticals. We initiate coverage with a BUY.
To us, KMB represents a high-quality and broad-based
play on Indian financial services, not just banks.

A consciously low exposure to stressed sectors (8.5%, lowest


among peers), granular book and focus on working capital
advances (rather than term loans or project finance) have
helped keep a tight leash on asset quality.

After the acquisition of e-VYSB, KMB created a bad bank, with


total funded and non-funded exposures of ~6%, i.e. Rs 25bn,
(2.5% for the merged entity). The cross-sell, product
diversification and cost benefits of the merger with e-VYSB are
now set to accrue. We expect significant improvement in cost
efficiency and branch productivity (parameters where Kotak
currently lags peers, esp post-merger). This improvement is
premised on a widening of the retail product mix, increase in
fee incomes, trimming of redundant costs and manpower and
operating leverage.
On the liability side, retail franchise, SA accretion and urban
visibility are running high with Kotak offering differential
savings rates (like IIB and YES).

Private Banks : PABV vs. RoAA


P/ABV (FY18E)

3.5

KMB

3.0
2.5

IIB

2.0
AXSB

1.5
CUB

DCB

1.0

FB

ICICIB
ROA (FY18E)

0.5
0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4

1.5 1.6

1.7 1.8

1.9 2.0

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

SOTP
Kotak Mahindra Bank - Standalone
Kotak Mahindra Prime - Car Finance
Kotak Mahindra Investments - LAS
Kotak Securities - Broking
Kotak Mahindra AMC - Asset Management
Kotak Life - Life Insurance
KMCC - Investment Banking
Kotak Alternative Assets
Offshore Funds
Total Value of Subsidiaries
Less : 20% Holding Discount
Total SOTP Value
Current Value
Upside (%)

Rs bn

Per Share

1,090.9
176.9
28.1
49.2
35.3
36.8
2.6
4.9
14.6
348.3
69.7
1,369.6
1254.5
9.2

595.3
96.5
15.4
26.8
19.3
20.1
1.4
2.7
8.0
190.1
38.0
747.4
684.6
9.2

Rationale
4x FY18E core ABV of Rs 149
3.5x FY18E core NW
2.5x FY18E core NW
15x FY18E Earnings
5% of FY18E AUM
23% APE CAGR FY16-18E; NBAP Margin at 16%.
1x FY18E core NW
7.5% of FY18E AUM
5% of FY18E AUM

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Contents
Lending Business : Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) : At A Glance ...6
Advances: Granular, diversified and well-picked ........7
Liability franchise: CASA strength to increase ........9
Margins to remain healthy .....12
Cost efficiencies: Room for improvement ....13
Branch productivity .....14
Non Interest Income ...15
Asset Quality : ultra conservative approach ...16
Merger with VYSB .....18
Five Quarters At A Glance ....21
Snapshot .....22
Standalone Financials .......23
Peer valuation .....25
Lending Business : Kotak Mahindra Prime: At A Glance ....26
Car finance .....27
Industry leading auto financier ......28
Financials ....29

Lending Business: Kotak Mahindra Investments : At A Glance ....30


LAS business ....31
Financials ....32
Capital Market Business: Kotal Securities : At A Glance ....33
K sec ...34
Financials ....35

Capital Market Business: Kotak Asset Management Company : At A Glance ...36


KAMC .....37
Financials .38
Capital Market Business - Kotak Mahindra Capital Co: At A Glance ....39
KMCC .....40

Insurance Business - Kotak Life Insurance Co : At A Glance ...41


K-Life ......42
5

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Lending Business : Kotak Mahindra Bank

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB)

Total Assets

Total Loans

Total Deposits

Total CASA

Rs 1,821bn

Net Impaired
Assets (%)

Rs 1,153bn

Rs 1,309bn

Rs 462bn

1.26%

RoAA(%)
1.4%

CRAR /Tier I
(%)
16.2/15%

Data as of Dec-15

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Advances: Granular, diversified and well-picked

KMBs corporate book (~31% of loans) comprises short-term


working capital loans with short tenures. The bank is focusing
on B/S funding (in strong groups) vs. project-level lending,
and is cautious towards the term/projects loans. However,
high-rated corporates will be growth drivers in the future.
The banks total funded and non-funded exposure to
stressed sectors (infra, metals, etc) at 8.5% is the lowest
amongst peers.
About 36% of KMBs loans are fixed rate, which benefits the
bank in a falling interest-rate regime.

A broader footprint, strong Tier-I (15%), diversified book,


improvement in macro environment, bottoming out of the
CV cycle and rising product penetration will help KMB
register strong loan growth. We have factored in loan CAGR
of ~18% over FY16-18E.

Loan growth FY12-18E


Loans (LHS)

Rs bn
2,000

YoY (%)

35
30

1,500

25

20

1,000

15
10

500

5
-

0
FY18E

FY17E

Acquiring e-VYSB in 2QFY15 contributed significantly to KMBs


SME/business banking portfolio, which now stands at ~20% of
loans (vs. <10% earlier). These are mostly working capital
loans with tenures of <1.5 years. While most private banks are
aggressively growing their SME portfolios, KMBs management
has guided for selective growth (It is mindful of SMEs linked to
leveraged corporates/stressed sectors).

While the management guides for outpacing system loan


growth at ~1.8-2.0x in the long run, it is cautious in the short
term and expects growth of ~15% driven by the retail segment
(urban traction) and better-rated corporates.

FY16E

FY15

Mortgages form ~19% of the retail loans, while PL and CV/CE


are ~8% and 6%, respectively.

KMBs consolidated loan book stands at Rs 1.4trn as on Dec15, with 15.5% contribution from KMP (car financing), and
3.4% from KMI (LAS business).

FY14

FY13

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) has a well-diversified loan book


(Rs 1.15trn) with a tilt towards granular segments like retail,
agri and SME (~69% of loans as of Dec-15). The bank has a
presence in several high-yielding segments like self-employed
non-professional (SENP), tractors, cars, etc.

FY12

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research


7

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Advances: Growth unchallenged


Standalone Loan Book

Consol Loan Book

Standalone Composition

YoY (%) - RHS

30.0

406

1411

1347

1255

886

406
861

396
814

382
771

358
717

340
710

329
682

330
684

318

20.0

15.0
10.0

5.0
3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

1QFY13

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

663

5.0

4QFY13

10.0

316

15.0

670

1,153

1,117

1,036

20.0

VYSB

25.0

3QFY13

25.0

406
662

406
646

396
609

382
569

358
530

340
531

329
506

330
505

318
485

454

Consol Composition

CV and CE

Agri Finance

Mortgage Loans

PL

Business Banking

Corp Banking

CV and CE
Mortgage loans
Corp Banking

100%

Agri Finance
PL
Others

Auto loans
Business Banking

100%

80%

80%

60%

60%

40%

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

0%

2QFY13

0%

1QFY13

20%
2QFY13

40%

20%

1QFY13

200

423

400

502

300

600

293

800

316

1,000

KMB

300

30.0

Rs bn
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0

613

1,200

35.0

2QFY13

YoY (%) - RHS

293

VYSB

570

KMB

Rs bn
1,400

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research; Data from 1QFY16 onwards includes the e-VYSB merger effect.
8

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Consolidated aggregate (funded + non funded) exposure


(%)
Auto Loans
Personal Loans
HL/LAP
Credit cards
Other retail
Total Retail
Commercial Real Estate
Engineering
Automobiles
NBFCs
Telecom
Iron and steel
Drugs and Pharmaceuticals
Chemical, dyes, paints etc
Other Infrastructure
Power
Construction
Fertilisers
Roads and Ports
Other industries
Total

1QFY15
23.9
4.0

2QFY15
23.1
4.2

3QFY15
22.0
4.4

4QFY15
21.9
4.4

1QFY16
15.0
3.6

2QFY16
14.4
3.6

3QFY16
16.1
3.7

13.9

13.7

13.7

14.0

13.2

12.8

12.4

0.6
7.6
50.0
3.6
4.5
4.0
1.5
5.2
9.4
5.9
16.0
100.0

0.5
5.8
47.3
3.8
5.0
3.6
1.5
1.6
2.0
2.5
2.8
2.8
9.5
0.9
0.4
16.5
100.0

0.6
7.5
48.1
3.8
4.5
3.9
1.4
2.2
1.8
2.4
4.0
2.4
8.8
0.7
0.4
15.6
100.0

0.6
9.4
50.3
2.9
5.0
3.2
3.3
2.5
2.3
3.0
7.5
2.0
7.9
0.8
0.3
9.1
100.0

0.4
17.2
49.4
3.7
4.1
3.4
3.0
3.0
1.7
2.2
2.5
1.7
6.1
0.8
0.4
18.2
100.0

0.4
11.7
42.9
4.3
3.9
3.5
3.5
2.6
2.4
1.5
2.2
2.2
1.5
1.6
0.8
0.6
26.6
100.0

0.5
1.7
34.4
4.7
4.0
4.0
3.7
2.6
2.2
2.2
1.9
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.0
0.6
34.1
100.0

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Liability franchise: CASA strength to increase

5
FY18E

FY17E

FY16E

FY14

FY15

0
FY13

Deposits : Quarterly trend


KMB

Rs bn
1,400

VYSB

YoY (%) - RHS

1,232

1,309

2QFY16

3QFY16

749
4QFY15

1,168

731
3QFY15

1QFY16

681
2QFY15

460

614
1QFY15

460

591
4QFY14

447

547
3QFY14

412

526
2QFY14

390

525
1QFY14

400
200

400

510
4QFY13

600

409

800

413

1,000

423

1,200

377

With e-VYSBs network, wide suite of retail products, and


improving branch productivity, we expect KMBs CASA to grow
at 37% CAGR over FY15-18E and form ~37.5% of total
deposits.

10

500

515

15

3QFY13

The avg. cost of SA remained lower at 5.5.% for KMB (stable


over the past few quarters) vs. peers at ~6%.

20

1,000

FY12

25

362

Avg. SA deposits at e-VYSB branches grew strongly over the


past three quarters, with ~31% in 3Q, 23% in 2Q and 18% in
1Q.

%
35

30
1,500

455

YoY (%) - RHS

2QFY13

The strong growth in SA deposits nudged up KMBs share of


low-cost deposits. KMBs CASA proportion improved from ~32%
in FY12 to ~36.4% in FY15. Coupled with the CASA deposits, its
sweep deposits stood at ~5.8%.

Deposits (LHS)

Rs bn
2,000

359

The banks SA deposits grew at 41% CAGR during FY12-15 as


against 71/40% CAGR for YES/IIB, which also had higher savings
deposit rates at 7/6%.

Deposits : FY12-18E

416

After the liberalisation of savings interest rates, KMB was one of


the few private banks to offer differential interest rates. It offers
6% on deposits above Rs 1 lakh and 5% below <Rs 1 lakh.

1QFY13

40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


10

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research


80.0

YES

20.0

10.0

60.0

40.0

20.0

IIB
AXSB

3QFY16

IIB

HDFCB

2QFY16

AXSB
HDFCB

KMB

1QFY16

ICICIBC

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

272

462

447

401

65

64

500
50.0

400
40.0

146

146

148

126

138

135

130

123

134

119

119

231

212

190

188

163

154

151

149

134

123

111

119

20

20

16

66

64

68

69

VYSB

4QFY15

KMB
15

19

19

15

18

15 17

300

3QFY15

YES

KMB

2QFY15

CASA (%) Vs. Peers


100

1QFY15

40.0

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15 14 17

69

68

70

71

Rs bn

4QFY14

17

200

3QFY14

15

1QFY15 13 18

4QFY14

3QFY14
13 17

2QFY14 13 16

71

71

TD

2QFY14

15 14

66

67

Deposits Break-up

1QFY14

ICICIBC

3QFY16

50.0

2QFY16

14 13

13 13

1QFY14 13 15

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

73

61

66

SA

1QFY16

AXSB

4QFY15

3QFY15

IIB

2QFY15

13

66

68

CA

1QFY15

4QFY14

HDFCB

3QFY14

19

16 12

1QFY13 13 13

4QFY12

3QFY12

16 11

16 10

2QFY14

1QFY14

KMB

4QFY13

30.0

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

2QFY12

1QFY12

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Liability franchise
CASA : Quarterly trend
YoY (%) - RHS

30.0

ICICIBC

IIB
AXSB

ICICIBC

20.0

10.0

SA Growth Vs. Peers


140.0
YES

120.0

100.0
YES

HDFCB

KMB

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research


11

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Margins to remain healthy


Calc YoA

NIM RHS

%
5.2
5.0

4.8
4.6
4.4
4.2

4.0
3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3.8

NIM vs. Peers

NIM : continue to remain healthy (FY12-18E)

KMB

4.68

HDFCB

IIB

AXSB

ICICIBC

YES

5.5

4.64
4.55

Calc CoF

16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
3QFY13

Yield / COF And NIM Movement

2QFY13

KMB enjoys one of the highest NIMs (4.3%) in the industry,


driven by a steady rise in CASA proportion, diversified and
superior asset mix, and ~36% of the book being fixed in nature.
High capital adequacy also helps. The banks focus is on selfemployed non-professional (SENP) customers to generate
higher yields vs. peers.
Despite similar CASA proportion, e-VYSBs NIM was in the 3.53.7% range. Hence, post the merger, KMBs NIM dropped ~6070bps to ~4.2% still the best in the industry.
With the continued SA momentum, focus on high-yielding SENP
customers, increasing proportion of CV/CE business (<6% vs.
20% in FY12) and higher proportion of fixed rate book (lower
impact of the revised MCLR guidelines), we expect KMBs
calculated. NIM to remain healthy at ~4.5% over FY16-18E.

1QFY13

4.58

KMB

5.0

4.61
4.51

4.5

HDFCB
IIB
ICICIBC

4.0
4.42

3.5

AXSB

YES

3.0

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

FY18E

3QFY14

FY17E

2QFY14

FY16E

1QFY14

FY15

4QFY13

FY14

3QFY13

FY13

2QFY13

FY12

1QFY13

2.5

12

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Cost efficiencies: Room for improvement

40.0

20.0

12.8

12.5

15.9

4.2
8.2

4.2

4.1
7.7

30.0

9.3

3.8
7.4

4.4
7.0

3.6
6.3

3.5
6.1

3.4
6.0

3.4
6.1

5.6 3.3

5.1 3.0

5.0

5.3 3.1

10.0

10.0

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

C/I Ratio (%) vs. Peers


KMB

%
80.0

HDFCB

IIB

AXSB

ICICIBC

YES

70.0

60.0

KMB

HDFCB

50.0

IIB

40.0
ICICIBC

2QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

1QFY16

AXSB

3QFY16

YES
30.0
4QFY13

We believe improving productivity (more product offerings


across geographies), higher cross sell and contained opex (led
by merger synergies) will drive operational/cost efficiency. The
management is confident of achieving C-I ratio of <50% in
FY17E. We have factored in C-I ratio of 55.3% and C-AA at 3.1%
over FY16-18E.

YoY (%) - RHS

15.0

3QFY13

KMBs cost structures are relatively higher. The in-house legal


team and the VYSB acquisition have pushed the banks staff
cost/branch to Rs 4.8mn vs. private peers, who spend about Rs
2.7-3.3mn/branch. Thus, the banks cost efficiency ratios are
below par, with C-I ratio and C-AA at ~52% and 2.9%,
respectively, vs. 32-47% and 1.8-2.5% (except IIB at 3%) for
peers.

VYSB

50.0

2QFY13

Non-interest income contribution at ~29% of total income and


~1.6% of avg. assets is lower than private players (~1.7-2.7%).

KMB

Rs bn
20.0

1QFY13

KMBs productivity (per branch) is lower than its private peers.


The loan/branch is ~21% lower than AXSB/YES and ~13% vs.
HDFCB (retail-oriented bank). Its SA/branch, too, is at the lower
end of the spectrum (Rs 200mn) vs. peers (Rs 240-330mn).

Opex : Quarterly Trends

2QFY13

KMBs cost efficiency ratios are below par because of (1) Lower
productivity per branch, (2) Lower non-interest income
contribution (% of total income and average assets), and (3)
Relatively higher cost structure despite superior NIM.

1QFY13

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


13

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Branch productivity : room for improvement


C-AA assets (%)

Deposits / branch :

KMB

HDFCB

IIB

AXSB

ICICIBC

YES

KMB

4.8

KMB

Rs mn
1,600

5.3

HDFCB

IIB

AXSB

ICICIBC

YES

1,400
1,200

IIB

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

CASA / branch :

Loans / branch :
KMB

Rs mn
1,400

600

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

1.3

4QFY13

ICICIBC

YES

1QFY13

1.8

IIB

ICICIBC

800

3QFY13

AXSB

2.3

2QFY13

2.8

KMB

HDFCB

1,000

3QFY16

HDFCB

3.3

2QFY16

3.8

YES

AXSB

1QFY16

4.3

HDFCB

IIB

AXSB

ICICIBC

KMB

YES

1,200

YES

AXSB

KMB

Rs mn
700

HDFCB

IIB

AXSB

ICICIBC

YES

AXSB

600
500

ICICIBC
1,000
IIB
800

HDFCB

400

HDFCB
ICICIBC

KMB

300

IIB

YES

200

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

1QFY13

100

600

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


14

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Non Interest Income


Non Interest Income : Quarterly Trend

Fee Income : Growth and % of Loans

Non int. income (Rs bn)

Fee income (Rs bn)

YoY (RHS %)

8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
-

120.0

% of loans (RHS)

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

YES
HDFCB

3QFY16

2QFY16

KMB
1QFY16

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

ICICIBC

4QFY15

KMB

15.0

YES
IIB

3QFY15

20.0

ICICIBC

AXIS

2QFY15

HDFCB

25.0

AXSB

1QFY15

30.0

IIB

4QFY14

YES
AXSB

35.0

HDFCB

3QFY14

40.0

KMB

%
2.9
2.7
2.5
2.3
2.1
1.9
1.7
1.5
1.3

2QFY14

IIB

ICICIBC

45.0

YES

1QFY14

ICICIBC

4QFY13

AXSB

3QFY13

IIB

2QFY13

HDFCB

1QFY13

KMB

1QFY15

Non Interest Income % of Avg. Assets

Non Interest Income % of Total Income


%
50.0

4QFY14

1QFY13

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

(20.0)

3QFY14

2QFY14

20.0

1QFY14

40.0

4QFY13

60.0

3QFY13

80.0

2QFY13

100.0

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


15

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Asset Quality : ultra conservative approach

Only a handful of banks (mostly private banks with retail


lending tilt) have been able to weather Indias macro
slowdown, sharp decline in commodity prices and the RBI AQR
to come out reasonably unscathed on asset quality.

KMBs asset quality remains relatively healthy, led by a


diversified loan book which focuses on granular
retail/SME/agri loans. The lower exposures to stressed
segments and predominance of short-term working capital
loans in the lending mix has also helped.

KMBs marginally higher net impaired assets at 1.3% (NNPA 1%


+ restructured book 0.3%) can be attributed to the VYSB
acquisition and the buyout of stressed loans.

Unlike its peers, KMB has not utilised the additional


regulatory forbearance like ARC sale, flexible 5:25
restructuring and SDR.

After e-VYSBs acquisition, KMB created a bad bank, with


total funded and non-funded exposures of ~6%, i.e. Rs 25bn,
(2.5% for the merged entity). The bad bank includes NPAs,
restructured assets, sale to ARC and standard stressed assets
largely from the corporate segment.
Asset quality at KMBs subsidiaries is at comfortable levels. As
of Dec-15, KMPs (car finance) NNPAs were 0.4%, while the
LAS business (Kotak Mahindra Investments) had NNPAs of
0.06% only.

At a consolidated level, GNPAs stood at Rs 28.7bn, i.e. 2.01%,


and NNPAs at Rs 12bn, i.e. 0.85%.

We expect KMBs asset quality to remain flawless over the


FY16-18E period, given the lower exposure to stressed
sectors and cautious lending in the corporate sector. We
expect GNPAs of ~2% by FY18E after factoring in avg.
slippages of 1.05% and credit cost of 0.5%. For KMP, we have
conservatively factored in GNPAs of 0.77% by FY18.

Asset Quality : gradual improvement expected


GNPA (Rs bn; LHS)

NNPA (Rs bn; LHS)

GNPA (%)

NNPA (%)

35.0

2.5

30.0

2.0

25.0
20.0

1.5

15.0

1.0

10.0

0.5

5.0
-

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

FY18E

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research

16

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Asset Quality
Standalone Asset Quality : recent spike led by the merger
NNPA (%)
%

GNPA (LHS)
2.5

2.0

20.0

1.5

1.0

15.0

1.0

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

Peer comparison : Impaired assets (%)

KMP

1QFY13

Subsidiaries NNPA : near flawless


KMI

KMB

%
6.0

2.0

5.0

1.5

4.0

HDFCB

IIB

AXSB

ICICIBC

YES
ICICIBC

AXSB

3.0

1.0

KMB

2.0
0.5

IIB
HDFCB

1.0
3QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

YES

2QFY13

1QFY13

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

2QFY16

2.5

0.5

5.0

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

10.0

3QFY14

0.5

5.0

2.0

25.0

1.5

15.0
10.0

NNPA (%)
%

30.0

2QFY14

20.0

GNPA (%)

2.5

1QFY14

25.0

NNPA (LHS)

Rs bn
35.0

4QFY13

GNPA (%)

3QFY13

NNPA (LHS)

Rs bn
30.0

2QFY13

GNPA (LHS)

Consol Asset Quality : Subsidiaries performing well

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


17

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Merger with VYSB

The progress in 9MFY16

KMB acquired VYSB via a merger in 2QFY15. The share swap ratio
was 0.725 shares of KMB for every share of VYSB, effectively
valuing VYSB at Rs 160bn as at Nov-14.

KMB maintains its guidance on complete integration by


April/May 2016 .

Aggregate integration cost of Rs 1.42bn incurred till 3QFY16


(total integration cost guidance at Rs 2.0bn).

Increase in branch network from 641 to 1,214 (fourth largest


amongst private banks in the country) with no major overlap
and deepening presence in the south, where VYSB has a strong
foothold.

Stable staff cost despite adding ~2,000 employees and


continued branch rationalisation and rental savings.

There is continued momentum in customer acquisition, with


additions of ~100,000 customers / month.

Increase in loan book to Rs 1,210bn (from Rs 814bn), with


diversification across segments. The bank benefitted from
access to VYSBs traditionally strong of SME lending franchise
(38% of loans vs. <10% for KMB).

Avg. Saving deposits at e-VYSB branches reported strong


growth of ~31% YoY vs. ~23% in 2QFY16 and 18% in 1QFY16.

Improvement in insurance cross sell during 9MFY16 and rising


traction in credit cards.

KMB created a bad bank, with total funded and non-funded


exposures of ~6%, i.e. Rs 25bn, (2.5% for the merged entity).
The bad bank includes NPAs, restructured assets, sale to ARC
and standard stressed assets largely from the corporate
segment.

KMB has largely provided for e-VYSBs stressed assets


(including provisions on SR and credit substitutes).

The merger led to :

Liability profile was stable, as both banks had CASA proportion


at similar levels (31-33%).
With lower proportion of impaired assets and better Tier-I, the
acquisition was not a drag on KMBs balance sheet. After the
merger, GNPAs stood at ~1.6% (vs. reported standalone KMB of
1.6%) and Tier-I of 15%.

18

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Complementarity to Drive Higher Customer Wallet Share


Fuller Customer Segment Coverage

Significant Product Complementarities


VYBS

KMB

Merged

Commercial Banking (CV,CE etc)

Consumer Finance

Agriculture/Tractor

VYBS

KMB

Merged

Large Corporates

Mid Corporates

SMEs (including Traders)

High Net Individuals

Deposits - CA

Mass Affluent

Deposits - SA

Mass Market

NRIs

Private Banking / Broking / IB

MNCs

Asset Management / Insurance

Corporate & Business Banking

Fees (Fx, Trade)

Larger Share of Customer Wallet


Expand Customer / Product horizons
Serve customers nationally and internationally
Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research
19

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Merger with VYSB


Retail loans break up

Branch distribution region wise

Other 8%

East 5%

West 30%
South 38%

Mortgages
39%

Commercial &
Auto 40%

PL 12%

North 27%

Deposits break up

Loan book break up


Agri 12%

CA 15%
SME 17%

SA 17%
Retail 40%

TD 68%
CD 8%
Large 33%

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


20

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMB : Five Quarters At A Glance


Rs mn
Net Interest Income
Non Interest Income
Operating income
Operating expenses
Pre provision profits
Provisions and contingencies
PBT
Provision for Tax
PAT
Balance Sheet items/ratios
Deposits (Rs bn)
CASA (%)
Advances (Rs bn)
Retail (%)
Agri (%)
Business banking (%)
Corp (%)
Others (%)
CD ratio (%)
Profitability
Calc. Yield on Advances (%)
Calc. Cost of Funds (%)
NIM (%)
Cost-Income Ratio (%)
Tax Rate (%)
Asset Quality
Gross NPA (Rs bn)
Net NPA (Rs bn)
Gross NPAs (%)
Net NPAs (%)
Coverage Ratio (%)
Restructured Book (%)

3QFY15
15.5
7.0
22.5
12.3
10.2
0.9
9.3
3.2
6.1

4QFY15
11.2
6.7
17.9
9.3
8.6
0.7
7.9
2.7
5.3

1QFY16
16.0
5.9
21.9
15.9
6.0
3.1
2.9
1.0
1.9

2QFY16
16.8
6.2
22.9
12.5
10.4
1.8
8.7
3.0
5.7

3QFY16
17.7
7.2
24.9
12.8
12.1
2.4
9.7
3.4
6.3

YoY (%)
13.9
3.2
10.6
4.1
18.4
157.3
4.7
6.1
4.0

QoQ (%)
5.2
17.3
8.5
2.7
15.4
33.4
11.7
12.2
11.5

1,190
31.7
1,052
30.1
14.3
20.1
34.6
0.9
88.4

749
36.4
662
39.6
18.3
9.7
30.7
1.8
88.4

1,168
34.3
1,036
32.6
14.7
20.7
30.1
1.8
88.7

1,232
36.2
1,117
32.2
15.3
20.3
30.4
1.8
90.6

1,309
35.3
1,153
32.7
14.6
20.3
30.6
1.9
88.1

10.0
362.3
9.6
253.1
29.7
22.0
(406.9)
102.1
(29.8)

6.3
(97.0)
3.3
44.4
(75.0)
1.7
18.3
10.6
(253.6)

11.7
7.2
3.9
54.8
34.1

9.2
5.2
3.4
51.9
33.6

14.4
8.5
5.0
72.7
34.9

11.4
6.6
4.2
54.5
34.4

11.1
6.4
4.2
51.6
34.6

(61.4)
(78.4)
31.2
(321.9)
44.3

(23.7)
(20.0)
2.6
(290.0)
14.6

19.8
9.0
1.9
0.9
54.7
0.7

12.4
6.1
1.9
0.9
50.8
0.2

24.2
10.8
2.3
1.0
55.5
0.4

26.6
11.7
2.4
1.0
56.0
0.4

26.9
11.1
2.3
1.0
58.7
0.3

35.6
23.7
44.7
10.9
398.6
(35.2)

1.3
(4.9)
(4.6)
(8.3)
268.5
(6.1)

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research; Proforma of VYSB + KMB for 3QFY15; 4QFY15 - KMB standalone; 1QFY16 onwards merged entity
21

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMB : Snapshot
Rs bn
Loans
Chg (%)
Deposits
Chg (%)
Net Interest Income
Chg (%)
NIM (%)
Core C-I Ratio (%)
PPOP
Chg (%)
PBT
Chg (%)
PAT
Chg (%)
EPS (Rs)
Core ABV (Rs)
Core RoAA (%)
Core RoAE (%)
GNPA (%)
NNPA (%)

FY13
484.7
24.0
510.3
32.4
32.1
27.6
4.6
52.5
21.6
30.3
19.7
23.3
13.6
25.4
18.2
117.2
1.83
15.6
1.6
0.6

FY14
530.3
9.4
590.7
15.8
37.2
16.0
4.6
51.5
25.8
19.5
22.7
15.2
15.0
10.4
19.5
145.9
1.76
13.83
2.0
1.1

FY15
661.6
24.8
748.6
26.7
61.7
65.8
4.7
54.8
41.9
62.6
37.5
65.2
24.8
65.1
24.2
168.3
1.94
14.13
1.9
0.9

FY16E
1,197.3
12.2
1,348.4
11.6
73.3
18.8
4.4
60.9
41.5
(1.1)
31.3
(16.7)
20.8
(16.1)
11.4
118.1
1.41
11.00
2.3
1.2

FY17E
1,398.7
16.8
1,589.4
17.9
85.1
16.2
4.6
57.2
52.9
27.5
44.4
42.1
29.6
42.1
16.1
131.2
1.45
11.83
2.3
1.2

FY18E
1,659.4
18.6
1,885.7
18.6
97.5
14.5
4.5
55.3
63.2
19.5
54.8
23.4
36.5
23.4
19.9
148.8
1.54
13.40
2.0
0.9

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research

22

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMB : Standalone Financials


Income Statement
(Rs mn)
Interest Earned
Interest Expended
Net Interest Income
Other Income
Fee Income (CEB)
Treasury Income
Total Income
Total Operating Exp
Employee Expense
PPOP
Provisions
Prov. for NPAs (incl.
std prov.)
PBT
Provision for Tax
PAT

Balance Sheet
FY14
87,671
50,471
37,200
13,997
8,531
1,818
51,198
25,426
11,722
25,772
3,047

FY15
97,199
54,961
42,237
20,285
12,263
3,148
62,522
32,547
14,667
29,975
1,645

FY16E
162,546
89,266
73,280
26,649
17,361
3,875
99,930
58,473
29,120
41,456
10,202

FY17E
202,258
117,119
85,140
32,593
22,029
4,250
117,733
64,856
32,521
52,877
8,468

FY18E
233,116
135,644
97,472
39,329
28,210
3,750
136,801
73,626
36,719
63,175
8,382

1,473

2,582

9,727

7,993

7,907

22,725
7,699
15,025

28,330
9,670
18,660

31,255
10,439
20,816

44,409
14,833
29,576

54,793
18,301
36,492

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research

(Rs mn)
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Share Capital
Reserves
Shareholder's Funds
Savings
Current
Term Deposit
Total Deposits
Borrowings
Other Liabilities
Total Liabilities

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

FY18E

3,852
3,862
9,163
9,163
9,163
118,899
137,579
227,754
253,860
286,080
122,751
141,441
236,917
263,022
295,243
100,870
140,361
272,332
359,478
458,334
87,408
131,813
214,883
231,000
248,325
402,445
476,429
861,205
998,912 1,179,038
590,723
748,603 1,348,420 1,589,390 1,885,697
129,041
121,497
223,789
246,166
270,779
33,338
48,580
85,054
93,559
102,915
875,853 1,060,121 1,894,179 2,192,136 2,554,634

APPLICATION OF
FUNDS
Cash & Bank Balance
Investments
G-Secs
Advances
Fixed Assets
Other Assets
Total Assets

59,799
62,624
141,737
160,047
171,731
254,845
304,211
480,040
551,435
633,296
174,654
228,817
401,155
468,870
546,852
530,276
661,607 1,197,287 1,398,663 1,659,414
11,069
12,067
16,291
17,920
19,712
19,863
19,612
58,824
64,072
70,482
875,853 1,060,121 1,894,179 2,192,136 2,554,634

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research

23

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMB Financials
(Rs mn)
Valuation ratios
EPS
Earnings growth (%)
BVPS (ex reval.)
Adj. BVPS (Core)
ROAA (%)
ROAE (%)
ROAE (%) (Core)
Core P/E (x)
Core P/ABV (x)
P/PPOP (x)
Dividend Yield (%)
PROFITABILITY
Yield on Advances (%)
Yield on Investment (%)
Cost of Funds (%)
Cost of Deposits (%)
Core Spread (%)
NIM (%)
OPERATING
EFFICIENCY
Cost/Avg. Asset Ratio
(%)
Cost-Income Ratio (Excl
Treasury)

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

FY18E

19.5
10.4
153.4
145.9
1.76
13.8
13.8
25.7
3.43
10.2
0.1

24.2
24.2
176.2
168.3
1.94
14.1
14.1
18.4
2.64
8.8
0.1

11.4
11.6
126.1
118.1
1.41
11.0
11.0
50.2
4.83
15.1
0.1

16.1
42.1
140.0
131.2
1.45
11.8
11.8
34.3
4.22
11.9
0.1

19.9
23.4
157.2
148.8
1.54
13.1
13.4
26.7
3.58
9.9
0.1

13.2
7.5
7.0
6.9
6.1
4.6

12.5
7.9
6.9
6.8
5.6
4.7

12.7
8.0
7.3
6.7
5.4
4.4

12.2
7.9
6.9
6.6
5.4
4.6

12.0
7.8
6.8
6.5
5.2
4.5

3.0

3.4

4.0

3.2

3.1

51.5

54.8

60.9

57.2

55.3

(Rs mn)
BALANCE SHEET
STRUCTURE RATIOS
Loan Growth (%)
Deposit Growth (%)
C/D Ratio (%)

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

FY18E

9.4
15.8
89.8

24.8
26.7
88.4

81.0
80.1
88.8

16.8
17.9
88.0

18.6
18.6
88.0

Equity/Assets (%)

14.0

13.3

12.5

Equity/Advances (%)
CASA (%)
Total Capital Adequacy
Ratio (CAR)
Tier I CAR
ASSET QUALITY
Gross NPLs (Rs bn)
Net NPLs (Rs bn)
Gross NPLs (%)
Net NPLs (%)
Coverage Ratio (%)
Provision/Avg. Loans (%)
ROAA TREE
Net Interest Income
Non Interest Income
Treasury Income
Operating Cost
Provisions
Provisions for NPAs
Tax
ROAA
Leverage (x)
ROAE

23.1
31.9

21.4
36.4

19.8
36.1

12.0
18.8
37.2

18.8

17.2

16.7

15.8

15.0

17.8

16.2

16.1

15.3

14.6

10.6
5.7
2.0
1.1
45.9
0.3

12.4
6.1
1.9
0.9
50.8
0.4

27.9
14.6
2.3
1.2
47.8
1.0

32.0
16.1
2.3
1.2
49.5
0.6

32.8
15.4
2.0
0.9
53.2
0.5

4.34%
1.63%
0.21%
2.97%
0.36%
0.15%
0.90%
1.75%
7.89
13.83%

4.36%
2.10%
0.33%
3.36%
0.17%
0.20%
1.00%
1.93%
7.33
14.13%

4.96%
1.80%
0.26%
3.96%
0.69%
0.48%
0.71%
1.41%
7.81
11.00%

4.17%
1.60%
0.21%
3.17%
0.41%
0.35%
0.73%
1.45%
8.17
11.83%

4.11%
1.66%
0.16%
3.10%
0.35%
0.30%
0.77%
1.54%
8.50
13.07%

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research

11.6
17.8
37.5

24

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Banks : Peer valuation


AXSB
CUB
DCBB
FB
ICICIBC #
IIB
KMB#
BOB
OBC
SBIN #
UNBK

Mcap
(Rs bn)
1,053
55
22
80
1,379
558
1,255
337
27
1,530
89

CMP
TP
ABV (Rs)
P/E (x)
Rating
(Rs)
(Rs) FY16E FY17E FY18E FY16E FY17E FY18E
444 BUY
537
206
236
275 12.7 11.2
9.6
93
BUY 107
46
53
60 12.3 11.0
9.4
76
BUY 101
57
63
69 12.8 12.7
10.0
47
BUY
69
43
48
53 12.4
9.1
7.7
238
BUY 285
113
124
141
8.7
8.3
6.4
946
BUY 1,045
289
333
387 24.1 18.4
14.9
685
BUY
747
118
131
149 50.2 34.3
26.7
146
BUY 147
74
88
113 -17.3 13.6
8.5
89
BUY 124
172
177
212
8.8
4.0
3.3
197
BUY 218
110
115
132
9.8
8.1
6.2
129
BUY 137
137
152
179
6.2
4.0
3.1

P/ABV (x)
RoAE (%)
RoAA (%)
FY16E FY17E FY18E FY16E FY17E FY18E FY16E FY17E FY18E
17.2 16.9 17.1 1.67 1.61 1.56
2.16 1.88 1.62
15.7 15.5 15.9 1.52 1.50 1.53
2.03 1.77 1.55
10.1
9.2 10.6 0.95 0.77 0.79
1.33 1.22 1.10
8.0 10.0 10.9 0.74 0.89 0.91
1.08 0.98 0.88
14.2
12.4 13.9 1.78 1.58 1.70
1.62 1.42 1.18
16.8 16.3 17.4 1.88 1.98 1.99
3.27 2.84 2.44
10.7 11.9 13.4 1.38 1.45 1.54
4.83 4.22 3.58
-5.0
6.3
9.4 -0.27 0.32 0.46
1.96 1.66 1.29
2.3
4.9
5.6 0.13 0.27 0.30
0.52 0.50 0.42
8.7
9.6 11.3 0.51 0.57 0.65
1.26 1.22 1.02
7.4 10.3 12.3 0.37 0.53 0.63
0.94 0.85 0.72

Source: HDFC sec Inst Research, #Adjusted for subsidiaries

25

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Lending Business : Kotak Mahindra Prime

Kotak Mahindra Prime


(KMP)

Total Loans

Total car
Loans

Calc. NIM (%)

NNPA (%)

RoAA (%)

Contribution to
consol

Rs 219bn

Rs 164bn

4.7%

0.4%

2.4%

Loans : 15%
PAT : 15%

Per share
value for
KMB: Rs
77/share

Data as of Dec-15; per share vale after 20% holdo discount

26

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMP - Car finance

25.0

150

20.0

100

15.0
10.0

50

5.0

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

Cal. NIM
%

6.0

5.6

5.5
5.0

5.2

5.2
5.1

4.8

4.5

5.2

4.9

4.8
4.5

4.8

4.8

4.8

4.8

4.6

4.7

4.0
3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

3.5
2QFY14

We have assigned 3.5x to KMPs core adj. networth to arrive


at a valuation of Rs 177bn i.e. Rs 96.5 per share of KMB. After
a 20% holdco discount, KMP contributes Rs 77/sh to our SOTP

Car Loans YoY

30.0

1QFY14

Over FY16-18E, we expect core earnings to grow at ~12% CAGR,


with ~14% AUM growth and NIM decline of ~15bps to 4.8%. We
conservatively factor in higher provisioning cost (~31% CAGR)
and expect PAT growth of ~11% CAGR. Return ratios are
expected to further moderate with RoAA of ~2.4%.

Total Loans YoY

200

4QFY13

KMPs total loans grew ~15% in 9MFY16, led by similar growth


in auto loans. Core earnings grew ~8% and PAT was flat at Rs
3.7bn. KMP contributed ~15% each of consolidated
loans/profits in the same period.

Car Loans

%
35.0

3QFY13

KMPs disbursements and AUM grew at 9% and 12.6% CAGR


during FY12-15. With ~30bps fall in calculated NIM (5%), core
earnings grew ~12%. Further, a ~40% rise GNPAs (Rs 1.5bn,
77bps) pushed up provisioning cost by ~49% CAGR. This, in
turn, resulted in PAT growth of <10% CAGR and RoAA declined
to ~2.8% from ~3.1% in FY12.

Total Loans
Rs bn
250

2QFY13

As of Dec-2015, KMP had 78 branches in 18 states and a wide


network of direct marketing associates, brokers and agencies.

Loan book and growth

1QFY13

KMP is a leading NBFC that provides asset financing for


passenger cars, multi-utility vehicles and pre-owned cars. It also
offers inventory and infrastructure funding to car dealers. As of
FY15, KMP contributed ~22% of total loans and ~17% of
consolidated profits of KMB

1QFY13

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


27

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMP : Industry leading auto financier


PAT & Growth

ROAA
%

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

2.0

1QFY14

(5.0)

4QFY13

800

3QFY13

2.2

2QFY13

2.5

2.4

2.4

3QFY16

2.4

900
1QFY13

2.6
2.7

2QFY16

5.0

2.7

2.7

1QFY16

1,000

2.6

4QFY15

10.0

2.7

2.9
2.7

3QFY15

1,100

2.8

2QFY15

15.0

1QFY15

1,200

2.9

2.9

4QFY14

20.0

2.9

2.9

3QFY14

1,300

3.0

2QFY14

25.0

1QFY14

1,400

3.1

3.2

4QFY13

30.0

3QFY13

YoY

2QFY13

KMP - PAT (LHS)

1QFY13

Rs mn
1,500

NNPA :
Rs mn
1,200

NNPA (LHS)

NNPA (RHS %)

0.6

1,000

0.5

800

0.4

600

0.3

400

0.2

200

0.1
3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

0
1QFY13

Source: Bank, HDFC sec Inst Research


28

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMP : Financials
Quarterly (Rs bn)
Total Loans
YoY (%)
Car Loans
YoY (%)
% of total loans
Net Interest Income
YoY (%)
cal. NIM (%)
Total Income
YoY (%)
PBT
YoY (%)
PAT
YoY (%)
NNPA (Rs mn)
NNPA (%)
(Rs bn)
Total Loans
YoY (%)
Net Interest Income
YoY (%)
Calc. NIM (%)
PBT
YoY (%)
PAT
YoY (%)
RoAA (%)
RoAE (%)
GNPA (%)
NNPA (%)

1QFY14
170.9
21.1
130.6
17.0
76.4
2.1
31.4
4.8
25.3
26.5
1.8
28.8
1.2
24.5
310.0
0.2
FY15
191.5
10.0
9.1
6.6
4.96
7.7
3.0
5.1
3.3
2.78
16.4
0.8
0.4

2QFY14
169.5
11.7
131.4
11.7
77.5
2.2
25.0
5.2
26.5
17.8
1.9
12.4
1.3
9.6
510.0
0.3
FY16E
214.2
11.9
10.0
10.0
4.91
8.3
7.0
5.4
7.0
2.68
15.0
0.8
0.4

3QFY14
168.6
5.1
130.7
6.8
77.5
2.2
5.9
5.1
26.0
6.6
1.9
20.3
1.2
17.1
630.0
0.4
FY17E
244.4
14.1
11.1
11.2
4.83
9.2
10.5
6.0
10.5
2.61
14.3
0.8
0.3

4QFY14
173.7
2.1
132.7
3.9
76.4
2.4
20.6
5.6
28.3
17.9
1.9
10.3
1.3
5.9
560.0
0.3

1QFY15
185.2
8.3
134.2
2.8
72.5
2.2
5.4
4.8
26.7
5.5
1.8
2.2
1.2
2.6
650.0
0.3

FY18E
284.6
16.5
12.7
14.8
4.81
10.5
15.0
6.9
15.0
2.61
14.3
0.8
0.3

2QFY15
188.2
11.0
139.5
6.2
74.1
2.3
3.2
4.9
27.8
4.9
1.9
(0.5)
1.3
640.0
0.3

3QFY15
190.7
13.1
142.3
8.9
74.6
2.2
2.3
4.6
26.8
3.1
1.8
(3.7)
1.2
(2.4)
830.0
0.4

RoAA TREE
Net Interest Income
Non Interest Income
Operating Cost
Provisions
Tax
ROAA
Leverage (x)
ROAE

4QFY15
197.1
13.4
147.3
10.9
74.7
2.5
5.0
5.2
30.9
9.2
2.2
13.5
1.4
13.5
788.3
0.4
FY15
4.96%
1.18%
1.78%
0.12%
1.46%
2.78%
5.90
16.39 %

1QFY16
197.3
6.5
150.7
12.3
76.4
2.4
8.8
4.8
27.7
3.7
1.8
1.2
(0.8)
986.4
0.5

2QFY16
200.1
6.3
157.5
13.0
78.7
2.4
4.4
4.8
29.8
7.2
2.0
2.6
1.3
1.6
800.5
0.4

3QFY16
218.5
14.6
164.3
15.4
75.2
2.5
12.3
4.7
29.7
10.8
1.9
5.5
1.3
5.0
874.0
0.4

FY16E
4.91%
1.18%
1.81%
0.20%
1.41%
2.68%
5.60
14.99%

FY17E
4.83%
1.15%
1.79%
0.20%
1.38%
2.61%
5.47
14.30%

FY18E
4.81%
1.10%
1.75%
0.19%
1.37%
2.61%
5.47
14.26%

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


29

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Kotak Mahindra Investments : LAS# business

Kotak Mahindra Investments


(KMI)

Total Loans
Rs 47.6bn

Calc NIM (%)


6.4%

NNPA (%)

RoAA (%)

0.06%

4.5%

Contribution to
Loans : 3.4%
PAT : 4.3%

Per share value for


KMB: Rs 12

Data as of Dec-15; per share vale after 20% holdo discount


# Loans against securities

30

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMI : LAS Business

240

730

0.1

0.50

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

0.00
2QFY14

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

3QFY16

2QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

1QFY16
0.1

1.00

390

360

300

560

680

710

400

470

470

250

360

170

310

4QFY14

50

0.1

7.4

0.1

15.6

1.50
0.5

100

0.2

8.6

11.7

160

230

110

210

2.0

2.00

150

23.8 23.6

20.0

2.50

0.2

30.0

32.7 34.3

NNPA (%; RHS)

1.0

30.2

2.2

200

40.2

10.0

NNPA (Rs mn)

47.6

40.0

PAT

NNPA (%) : remains comfortable

0.5

Rs bn
50.0

3QFY14

We have assigned 2.5x to KMIs core adj. networth to arrive at


a fair value of Rs 28.1bn i.e Rs 15.4 per share of KMB. After a
20% holdco discount, KMI contributes Rs 12/sh to our SOTP
Customer assets : Strong growth momentum

110

For 9MFY16, AUM grew ~58% YoY, thus leading to core and net
earnings growth of ~60% each. Asset quality was unblemished
with NNPAs at a mere 6bps. It contributed ~3.4% of total loans
and 4.3% of consolidated earnings.

2QFY14

800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0

140

AUM growth of ~64% (100%+ in FY15) CAGR and ~120bps rise


in calc. NIM led to ~54% rise in core earnings over FY12-15.
Further, with flat provisions, net earnings grew ~115% CAGR.

Total Income

Rs mn

10

Total Income and PAT : Quarterly trend

1QFY14

Kotak Mahindra Investments is primarily in the loan-againstsecurities (LAS) business. It also lends to several corporates and
the real estate sector. As of FY15, KMI contributed ~3.7% of
total loans and ~3.5% of consolidated profits.

1QFY14

31

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMI : Financials
Rs mn
Total Loans
YoY (%)
NII
YoY (%)
Calc. NIM
Total Income
YoY (%)
PBT
YoY (%)
PAT
YoY (%)

Rs bn
Total Loans
YoY (%)
Net Interest Income
YoY (%)
Calc. NIM (%)
PBT
YoY (%)
PAT
YoY (%)
RoAA (%)
RoAE (%)

1QFY14
8600

2QFY14
7410

3QFY14
11740

4QFY14
15550

130

200

190

270

140

10.0
210

7.9
230

7.9
310

70

180

160

240

10

110

110

160

FY15
32.1
107.6
1.74
121.4
6.83
1.58
145.7
1.06
152.9
4.47
20.20

FY16E
36.9
15.0
2.46
40.9
6.60
2.26
42.6
1.50
41.0
4.34
21.67

FY17E
42.5
15.0
2.70
10.0
6.31
2.47
9.5
1.64
9.5
4.14
19.35

FY18E
48.8
15.0
2.97
9.7
6.02
2.71
9.7
1.80
9.7
3.95
17.65

1QFY15
23830
177.1
300
130.8
6.1
360
157.1
260
271.4
170
1,600.0

2QFY15
23590
218.4
390
95.0
6.6
470
123.8
380
111.1
250
127.3

3QFY15
30200
157.2
440
131.6
6.5
470
104.3
370
131.3
240
118.2

ROAA Tree
Net Interest Income
Non Interest Income
Operating Cost
Provisions
Tax
ROAA
Leverage(x)
ROAE

4QFY15
32680
110.2
500
85.2
6.4
710
129.0
570
137.5
400
150.0

FY15
6.5%
1.0%
1.4%
0.2%
1.9%
4.0%
5.1
20.2%

1QFY16
34310
44.0
480
60.0
5.7
560
55.6
460
76.9
300
76.5

2QFY16
40240
70.6
630
61.5
6.8
680
44.7
550
44.7
360
44.0

FY16E
6.3%
0.7%
1.0%
0.2%
1.9%
3.8%
5.6
21.7%

FY17E
6.2%
0.7%
1.0%
0.2%
1.9%
3.8%
5.2
19.8%

3QFY16
47610
57.6
700
59.1
6.4
730
55.3
600
62.2
390
62.5

FY18E
6.1%
0.6%
0.9%
0.2%
1.9%
3.7%
5.0
18.4%

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

32

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Capital Market Business

Kotak Securities (K-sec)

Avg Daily Vol.


64.8bn

Market share
2.7%

Total income

Net earnings

Contribution to

Rs 7.48bn

Rs 2.0bn

PAT : 8.3%

Per share value for


KMB: Rs 21

Data as of Dec-15; per share vale after 20% holdo discount

33

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Kotak Securities (K-Sec)

3.5

100.0

Rs mn
1,200

3.0

80.0

1,000

60.0

800

40.0

600

20.0

400

0.5

200

0.0

(20.0)

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

3QFY16

2QFY16
3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

1.0

3QFY14

1.5

2QFY14

2.0

YoY

300.0
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
(50.0)
(100.0)
1QFY14

2.5

PAT (LHS)

4QFY13

YoY (%) RHS

PAT : Quarterly trend

3QFY13

Total Income (Rs bn)

1QFY16

2.0

4QFY15

0.0
3QFY15

2.2
2QFY15

20.0
1QFY15

2.4

4QFY14

40.0

3QFY14

2.6

2QFY14

60.0

1QFY14

2.8

4QFY13

80.0

3QFY13

3.0

We have assigned 15x to K-Secs net earnings to arrive at


valuations of Rs 49bn i.e Rs 26.8 per share of KMB. After a
20% holdco discount, K-Sec contributes Rs 21/sh to our SOTP
Total income : Quarterly trend

Market Share (%) RHS

100.0

2QFY13

Over FY16-18E, we have factored in a total income growth of


6% CAGR with 8% volume growth. PAT growth is expected to
be a mere 4% CAGR.

Avg Daily Vol (bn)

2QFY13

Pick-up in macros, improving pipeline for IPO/OFS and


disinvestments, coupled with deeper product offering to eVYSB customers, will drive momentum.

Volume and Market share

1QFY13

One of the leading domestic brokerage houses in the country, KSec has more than 1,197 branches across 352 cities, with over
1.1mn customer ACs. It has maintained its market share in the
2.7-2.9% range over the past seven quarters. K-Sec contributed
~9.5% of consolidated earnings as of FY15.

1QFY13

34

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

K-Sec : Financials
K Sec (Rs mn)

1QFY14

2QFY14

3QFY14

4QFY14

1QFY15

2QFY15

3QFY15

4QFY15

1QFY16

2QFY16

3QFY16

K Sec Vol (bn)

36.92

42.48

37.2

39.46

60.53

66.21

73.78

83.72

78.13

75.93

64.81

2.2

2.4

2.3

2.4

2.9

2.7

2.8

2.9

2.7

2.7

2.7

Total Income

1470

1520

1680

1600

2230

2240

2230

2890

2500

2700

2280

YoY (%)

11.4

(1.9)

15.1

(1.8)

51.7

47.4

32.7

80.6

12.1

20.5

2.2

Brokerage (bps)

0.07

0.06

0.08

0.07

0.06

0.06

0.05

0.06

0.05

0.06

0.06

PBT

480

600

710

550

1030

1000

910

1470

1020

1200

830

YoY (%)

37.1

1.7

24.6

48.6

114.6

66.7

28.2

167.3

(1.0)

20.0

(8.8)

PAT

310

400

460

440

680

660

600

960

670

780

550

YoY (%)

34.8

21.1

238.5

119.4

65.0

30.4

118.2

(1.5)

18.2

(8.3)

Market Shares (%)

(Rs mn)
Avg. Daily Vol (bn)
YoY (%)

Total Income
YoY (%)

PBT
YoY (%)

PAT
YoY (%)

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

FY18E

39.03

71.07

76.40

80.22

89.85

10.5

82.1

7.5

5.0

12.0

6,269

9,598

10,036

10,341

11,361

8.3

53.1

4.6

3.0

9.9

2,343

4,414

4,015

4,343

4,999

24.3

88.4

(9.0)

8.2

15.1

1,602

2,896

2,634

2,849

3,279

39.9

80.8

(9.0)

8.2

15.1

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

35

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Capital Market Business

Kotak Asset Management Company (K-AMC)

Equity AUM
Avg. AUM
Rs551bn

Rs 131bn;
~14% share

Off shore
AUM

Alternate
Funds

Rs211bn; 22%
share

Rs 56bn; 6%
share

Total income

Contribution to

Rs 780mn

PAT : 2.0%

Per share
value for
KMB: Rs 24

Data as of Dec-15; per share vale after 20% holdo discount and includes Rs 9 for Alternative and offshore funds

36

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Kotak AMC

20

18

19

18

18

18

15

15

16

18

17

18

16

16

17

18

18

19

22

26

23

25

22

10

12

14

14

14

47

48

50

48

52

43

40

36

41

39

42

4QFY13

1QFY14

2QFY15

3QFY15

4QFY15

1QFY16

2QFY16

3QFY16

540

590

590

51

48

45

47

1QFY15

18

4QFY14

17

3QFY14

17

2QFY14

19

3QFY13

PMS

18

Total Income and PAT


Total Income

PAT

380

320

360

290

420

470

510

370

400

410

600

370

800

200
0

(200)
3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

(400)

3QFY13

Over FY16-18E, we have factored ~12% CAGR in the offshore


AUMs. At 5% of FY18E AUMs of Rs 292bn, we assign valuation
of Rs 14.5bn i.e. Rs 8/share for KMB. After a 20% holdco
discount, offshore assets contributes Rs 6/sh to our SOTP

Insurance

2QFY13

We expect alternative assets business to grow at a mere 5%


CAGR over FY16-18E. We value this business at 7.5% FY18E
AUM of Rs 65.3bn to arrive at valuation of Rs 4.9bn i.e. Rs 2.7/
Share of KMB. After a 20% holdco discount, Alternative assets
contributes Rs 2/sh to our SOTP

Offshore Funds

17

230

We have valued domestic AUMs at 5% FY18E to arrive at


valuation of Rs 35.3bn i.e. Rs 19.3 /share of KMB (i.e. 2.6% of
total TP). After a 20% holdco discount, K-AMC contributes Rs
15/sh to our SOTP

Alternate assets

19

2QFY13

Equity

1QFY13

Over FY16-18E, we have factored in AUM CAGR of ~10% thus,


leading to total income growth of 7% CAGR. PAT growth is
expected to be 9% CAGR.

Debt

The e-VYSB merger with a new clientele from various


geographies will help grow AUMs for Kotak AMC.

Avg AUM

280

Of the countrys ~43 fund houses that had Rs 13.4trn average


assets under management (AAUM) at the end of Feb 2015,
Kotak ranks 8th with an AAUM size of Rs 589bn. Its market has
improved to 4.4% vs. 3.4/3.9% in Mar-15/Mar-14 and has
moved up from the 9th position in the same period.

1QFY13

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


37

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Kotak AMC : Financials


AUM (Rs bn)
Debt (%)
Equity (%)
Alternate Assets (%)
Offshore Funds(%)
Insurance (%)
PMS (%)
Total Income (Rs mn)
YoY (%)
PBT (Rs mn)
PAT (Rs mn)

1QFY14
628
52
5
8
16
17
2
370
32.1
110
70

Rs mn
Average AUM (Rs bn)
Growth YoY
Total Income
Chg (%)
PBT
Chg (%)
PAT
Chg (%)

2QFY14
605
51
5
10
16
17
1
510
121.7
260
170

3QFY14
599
48
6
10
17
18
1
470
14.6
180
120

FY13
359
16.8
1,171
2.4
29.5
(85.4)
34.7
(75.8)

4QFY14
566
45
6
10
18
20
1
420
13.5
50
40

1QFY15
666
47
7
9
18
18
1
290
(21.6)
0
0

FY14
335
(6.8)
1,770
51.2
600.0
1,936.7
410.0
1,082.5

2QFY15
657
43
9
9
19
19
1
360
(29.4)
0
-10

FY15
417
24.3
1,370
(22.6)
(250.0)
(141.7)
(290.0)
(170.7)

3QFY15
714
40
10
9
22
18
1
320
(31.9)
-90
-10

4QFY15
806
36
12
7
26
18
1
380
(9.5)
-160
-180

FY16E
583
40.0
2,041
49.0
714.3
(385.7)
471.5
(262.6)

1QFY16
942
41
14
6
23
18
1
540
86.2
210
200

2QFY16
960
39
14
6
25
15
1
590
63.9
240
230

FY17E
641
10.0
2,181
6.9
790.6
10.7
521.8
10.7

3QFY16
957
42
14
6
22
15
0
590
84.4
130
40

FY18E
706
10.0
2,328
6.8
855.7
8.2
564.8
8.2

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


38

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Capital Market Business

Kotak Mahindra Capital Co (KMCC)

Total Income
Rs 780mn

PAT
Rs160mn

Contribution to
PAT : ~1%

Per share value for KMB:


Re 1

Data as of Dec-15; per share vale after 20% holdo discount

39

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

KMCC : Investment Banking

KMCC is one of the leading Investment Banks in India. In FY15,


KMCC successfully completed 17 marquee transactions across
various product formats. On the equity side, KMCC successfully
completed two IPOs, two government disinvestments, one IPP,
four block deals and eight QIPs, raising a total of Rs 347bn, and
was ranked the no. 1 book running lead manager.
We have factored income growth of 11% CAGR and net
earnings CAGR of 6.5% over FY16-18E.
We have assigned 1x to KMCCs core networth to arrive at a
fair value of Rs 2.6bn / Rs 1.4 per share of KMB (i.e. 0.2% of
total TP). After a 20% holdco discount, KMCC contributes Re
1/sh to our SOTP

KMCC : Financials
(Rs mn)

FY14

FY15

FY16E

FY17E

FY18E

Total Income

840

890

1,024

1,100

1,265

YoY (%)

0.9

6.0

15.0

7.5

15.0

PBT

180

160

189

193

215

(23.5)

(11.1)

18.3

1.7

11.7

140

130

126

128

143

(16.2)

(7.1)

(3.1)

1.7

11.7

YoY (%)
PAT
YoY (%)

KMCC : Quarterly trend


(Rs mn)

1QFY14

2QFY14

3QFY14

4QFY14

1QFY15

2QFY15

3QFY15

4QFY15

1QFY16

2QFY16

3QFY16

220.0

120.0

260.0

250.0

120.0

110.0

130.0

520.0

210.0

290.0

280.0

Chg (%)

(4.3)

(40.0)

44.4

13.6

(45.5)

(8.3)

(50.0)

108.0

75.0

163.6

115.4

PBT

50.0

(30.0)

80.0

70.0

(60.0)

(70.0)

(60.0)

350.0

30.0

120.0

80.0

(37.5)

(150.0)

166.7

16.7

(220.0)

133.3

(175.0)

400.0

(150.0)

(271.4)

(233.3)

40.0

(20.0)

70.0

50.0

(40.0)

(70.0)

(60.0)

300.0

30.0

70.0

60.0

(33.3)

(150.0)

250.0

25.0

(200.0)

250.0

(185.7)

500.0

(175.0)

(200.0)

(200.0)

Total Income

Chg (%)
PAT
Chg (%)

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research

40

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Kotak Life Insurance Co.

Kotak Life Insurance Company (Kotak Life)

AUM

Total PAT

Solvency Ratio

Rs 147.6bn

Rs 1.74bn

3.2%

Per share value for KMB:


Rs 16

Data as of Dec-15; per share vale after 20% holdo discount

41

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Kotak Life Insurance (K-life)


PAT and Growth
YoY (%, RHS)

150.0

700
600

100.0

500
400

50.0

300

200

100
3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

(50.0)

3QFY13

2QFY13

We have factored APE CAGR of ~22% over FY16-18E and NBAP


margins of ~16%. We value K-Life at Rs 36.8bn (74% stake) i.e.
~Rs 20/share. After a 20% holdco discount, K-life contributes
Rs 16/sh to our SOTP

PAT (Rs mn)

800

1QFY13

Solvency Ratio (%)

AUM
AUM (Rs bn)

3.2

YoY (%, RHS)

160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
-

30.0

3.1

25.0
20.0

3.2

3.0
3.0
2.9

15.0

3.2

3.1
3.0

3.2

3.1
3.0

2.9 2.9

3.0

10.0

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

2QFY13

3QFY16

2QFY16

1QFY16

4QFY15

3QFY15

2QFY15

1QFY15

4QFY14

3QFY14

2QFY14

1QFY14

4QFY13

3QFY13

2QFY13

1QFY13

1QFY13

5.0
4QFY13

Kotak Life Insurance is a 74:26 JV between KMB (and its


subsidiaries) and Old Mutual. It is one of the fastest growing life
insurance cos with market share of ~1.5% (Feb-16). K-Life
contributed ~14% to the total AUMs and ~7.5% to total profits
as on FY15.

3QFY13

Source: Banks, HDFC sec Inst Research


42

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

RECOMMENDATION HISTORY

Kotak Mahindra Bank

TP

800

Date

CMP

Reco

Target

30-Mar-16

685

BUY

747

750
700
650
600
550

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

Jul-15

Jun-15

May-15

Apr-15

Mar-15

500

Rating Definitions
BUY
: Where the stock is expected to deliver more than 10% returns over the next 12 month period
NEUTRAL
: Where the stock is expected to deliver (-) 10% to 10% returns over the next 12 month period
SELL
: Where the stock is expected to deliver less than (-) 10% returns over the next 12 month period

43

KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK : INITIATING COVERAGE

Disclosure:
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view(s) in this report.
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may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Further Research Analyst or his
relative or HDFC Securities Ltd. or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest.
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44

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