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Psychotherapy Volume 30/Spring 1993/Number 1

ELEMENTS OF THE SOCRATIC METHOD:


II. INDUCTIVE REASONING

JAMES C. OVERHOLSER
Case Western Reserve University

The Socratic method uses systematic 1979; Beck & Emery, 1985), rational-emotive
questioning and inductive reasoning to therapy (Ellis, 1962), and psychodynamic ther-
help clients derive universal definitions. apy (Rychlak, 1968; Stein, 1991). Despite its
value, die Socratic method rarely is described in
The present manuscript describes adequate detail. The Socratic method uses sys-
inductive reasoning as used in tematic questioning to guide the flow of inductive
psychotherapy. Inductive reasoning can reasoning in therapy sessions. The goal of the
be based on enumerative generalizations, Socratic method is to cultivate abstract conceptual
analogical comparisons, and eliminative skills (Nelson, 1980). Often, the focus is on help-
causal reasoning. Enumerative ing the client to derive a universally applicable
definition of an abstract concept relevant to ther-
generalizations use pattern identification apy (e.g., love, trust, success, friendship).
to support a conclusion about an entire Throughout this process, the therapist and client
group of events. Analogical comparisons collaborate in the search for knowledge and
help clients transfer knowledge from definitions. Both therapist and client attempt to
familiar to novel situations. Eliminative minimize their preconceived beliefs in order to
remain cautious and skeptical about the infor-
causal reasoning involves manipulating mation they possess. Although potentially capa-
environmental conditions to examine ble of becoming a distinct approach to psycho-
possible causes of specific problematic therapy, the Socratic method is best viewed as a
events. After a probable cause has been style of clinical interviewing that is compatible
identified, it can be modified through with most forms of psychotherapy. The clinical
treatment. The clinical utility and application of systematic questioning has been
described in a previous report (Overholser,
fallacies of logical reasoning are 1993). The present manuscript describes the use
discussed as they apply to each of the of inductive reasoning as part of the Socratic
three forms of inductive reasoning. In method.
general, inductive reasoning plays a Inductive reasoning is used to draw general
central role in the Socratic method and inferences from experience with specific events
can be a valuable tool in psychotherapy. and therefore can be used to help clients tran-
scend their personal experiences and construct a
broad view of reality (Rescher, 1980). Inductive
The Socratic method plays an important role in reasoning can help clients distinguish between
cognitive therapy (Beck, Rush, Shaw, & Emery, facts, beliefs, and opinions (Gambrill, 1990).
The basic process in inductive reasoning involves
analyzing similarities and differences among spe-
I am indebted to Mark Fine, Abe Wolf, Sue Knell, Jane
cific experiences in order to extract a general
Kessler, Dave Brinkman, Dalia Adams, Hilary Einhom Katz,
Patti Watson, and three anonymous reviewers for valuable and
principle about a class of events (Pellegrino,
supportive comments on earlier versions of this manuscript.
1985). As used in psychotherapy, inductive rea-
Correspondence regarding this article should be addressed soning helps clients develop appropriate expecta-
to James C. Overholser, Department of Psychology, Case tions and coping strategies at a fairly abstract
Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44106-7123. level. Three forms of inductive reasoning have

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James C. Overholser

been identified: enumerative generalizations, an- information accumulates, it becomes easier for
alogical comparisons, and eliminative causal rea- therapist and client to identify patterns in the cli-
soning. Each will be described as it relates to ent's life. The generalization process can be ap-
psychotherapy. plied by asking the client a series of questions
(e.g., "How does this problem relate to the things
Enumerative Generalizations we discussed last week?" "What can we learn
Induction by enumeration involves identifying from the conflict you had with your parents that
a general category that applies to all members of could help us here?"). This process helps clients
a group based on experience with only some see patterns in their lives and begin to anticipate
group members (Zechmeister & Johnson, 1992). recurrent problems. Then, useful coping strate-
Ideally, a strategy can be developed that is both gies can be identified and implemented.
sensitive (i.e., identifies all members of the
group) and specific (i.e., identifies only members Subtypes of Generalizations
that belong to that specific group) (Medin & Bar-
salou, 1987). However, most categories have no Inductive reasoning can be used to infer gener-
clear boundaries (McCloskey & Glucksberg, alizations about people, events, goals (Medin &
1978), thus making the generalization process Smith, 1984) and abstract social concepts (Lingle
very complicated. et al., 1984). Generalizations about people often
identify categories of people (e.g., extrovert) and
Clinical Utility of Enumerative Generalizations evaluate the extent to which a person fits the gen-
The goal of the enumeration process is to com- eral category. Clients develop social expectations
bine information into meaningful units so as to based on these categories. However, clients may
reduce the massive amount of information clients inappropriately generalize from a small sample
need to understand (Evans, 1989). Using this to the population as a whole. For example, a
enumeration process, clients can learn to reason socially anxious male reported "Mary is single,
from specific events to general principles, classi- unattached, and pretty, and she rejected my ad-
fying specific entities into general categories vances. Sue is single, unattached, and pretty.
(Burks, 1980). This provides much useful infor- Therefore she will reject my advances." The cli-
mation about all members of that category ent developed the view that all attractive women
(Medin & Barsalou, 1987) allowing clients to were too good for him and would not be inter-
comprehend situations in which limited infor- ested in getting to know him. However, this cli-
mation is available (Lingle, Altom, & Medin, ent failed to take into account other relevant con-
1984). ditions such as their personal preferences, sexual
Clients often perform enumerative generaliza- orientation, and the timing of his interactions
tions in a faulty and idiosyncratic manner. Many with these women.
types of irrational thinking are based on inaccu- Generalizations about people also apply to the
rate overgeneralizations (Ellis, 1977). Clients view clients hold toward themselves (i.e., self-
tend to seek information that supports their pre- concept). Clients with narrowly defined self-con-
established beliefs (Evans, 1989; Snyder & cepts are more likely to be influenced by life
Swann, 1978). This bias for confirmatory evi- stress and vulnerable to depression and physical
dence is more likely to be present when testing illness (Linville, 1985; 1987). Furthermore, cli-
hypotheses about oneself (Strohmer, Moilanen, ents often focus on one type of life experience,
& Barry, 1988) than with hypotheses about other creating a biased view of their self-concept. For
people (Strohmer & Newman, 1983). Thus, example, a pessimistic client reported: "My mar-
many cognitive distortions about oneself develop riage is terrible, I can't find a decent job, and
a self-perpetuating nature. Therapy is needed to I've put on 15 pounds. What a loser I've turned
correct and replace these idiosyncratic and dys- out to be." This client needed to learn that he
functional cognitions. Therapy can be useful in could be a good person despite poor performance
encouraging clients to seek a variety of informa- in certain areas of his life. Discussing what
tion before inferring a generalization. "loser" meant to the client helped him distance
Inductive generalizations involve the gradual himself from these recent events and identify a
accumulation of evidence. Over time, clients dis- broader sample of events from which to judge
cuss a variety of events in their lives. As the himself. Instead of focusing on his view of being

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Inductive Reasoning

a failure, this client learned to gather evidence throughout her everyday life. She felt that when-
documenting his success in various activities. ever her performance was less than 100%, it was
Generalizations about events cluster together a a complete failure. Therapy and assignments
number of common actions comprising a particu- were used to help her appreciate the vast array
lar type of event or repetitive problem situation. of possibilities between perfection and failure.
For example, a client complained her life was These involved recording activities throughout
"terrible." When asked to explain what made her her day and rating her success from 1-99%, en-
life so terrible, she complained that no one re- couraging a range of ratings. Furthermore, she
membered her birthday. Another example of "ter- was occasionally given paradoxical assignments
rible" occurred when she had a flat tire in a bad in which she was instructed to strive for a medio-
neighborhood on a rainy night. However, when cre performance so that obtaining 100% would
asked to define terrible in the abstract, she con- be a failure of the assignment, whereas 50%
cluded terrible events cause permanent harm to would be optimal.
a person. She was able to see her problems were
minor inconveniences, not terrible events. Al- Process of Generalization as Used
though her flat tire could have resulted in terrible in Psychotherapy
consequences, she realized it was best viewed as The generalization process involves three
an inconvenience. steps: the critical evaluation of the client's gener-
Generalizations regarding goals focus on alization, pattern identification to revise the gen-
qualities that help the client attain a desired eralization, and validation to test the new gener-
outcome. Goal-related concepts are influenced alization. The use of generalizations often begins
by the frequency and strength with which a par- when the client makes a statement that includes
ticular action is related to the final goal (Medin a broad generalization. Critical evaluation is used
& Smith, 1984). For example, a depressed cli- to identify the logical implications of the client's
ent reported: "I've applied for three jobs in ad- generalization. Therapists help clients examine
vertising, and didn't get any of them. I know the implications of their generalizations by elic-
I'll never find a good job." This generalization iting further statements that support or contradict
was biased because the observed sample did the original generalization (Nelson, 1980). Ther-
not adequately represent the characteristics of apist and client use a methodical search for un-
the population as a whole. In actuality, the cli- derlying contradictions that may impede the gen-
ent was not qualified for a job in advertising, erality of the statement (Navia, 1985; Seiple,
but could easily get a job in sales. Therapeutic 1985). For example, a client complained he had
discussions helped this client see how his pessi- no "real friends." He was asked to define what
mism had biased his reasoning. Questions he meant by a "real friend." He stated a real
forced him to define what a "good job" meant friend was someone he could trust with any pos-
to him, and therefore learn to broaden his scope session or information he had, someone with
of possible employment opportunities. whom he could enjoy many social activities, and
Generalization principles also apply to abstract someone that liked him even when he was in a
concepts such as truth, justice, friendship, cour- bad mood. Therapist and client discussed differ-
age, or beauty (Lingle et al., 1984). For abstract ent people in the client's life to evaluate these
concepts, the generalization process becomes criteria. The client realized there were several
ambiguous and relies on the client's interpreta- people he trusted and enjoyed, and who could
tion more than observation (Gergen, 1988; Lin- be seen as real friends. Alternatively, the client
gle et al., 1984). Clients often set themselves up remembered several "real friends" from his past
for failure by looking at their lives from extreme who had not met these criteria. Thus, he needed
perspectives. Bifurcation occurs when clients ex- to redefine what he meant by a "real friend" so
amine only two possible alternatives (e.g., suc- as to include the friends he already had.
cess vs. failure), thereby ignoring the various in- After identifying weaknesses in the original
termediate gradations. A false dilemma is created generalization, therapist and client collabora-
when the client implies that only two outcomes tively develop a revised generalization based on
are possible, one good and one unacceptable out- common elements across different examples. To-
come (Zechmeister & Johnson, 1992). For exam- gether, therapist and client construct the meaning
ple, a client emphasized the goal of perfection of key terms (Keeney, 1987). The therapist re-

77
James C. Overholser

quests additional information through questions gen, 1985). Furthermore, induction by enumera-
or self-monitoring assignments conducted be- tion is limited by its susceptibility to falsification
tween sessions. Pattern identification occurs (Popper, 1965). A generalization based on numer-
when therapist and client work together to iden- ous supporting examples can be falsified by one
tify common elements across the diverse items counter-instance (Carnap, 1966). In order to pro-
(Chessick, 1982; Lingle et al., 1984) by observ- tect against falsification, the supporting examples
ing a sample of events and detecting underlying should be as diverse as possible (Carnap, 1966)
regularities that allow further instances to be cat- and the client should check for possible counter-
egorized accurately (Harnad, 1987). The general- examples (Holland, Holyoak, Nisbett, & Tha-
ization may need to be broken down into its com- gard, 1986). Thus, clients need to ask them-
ponent parts to identify similarities among selves: "Are the examples relevant? Typical?
category members (Medin & Barsalou, 1987). Adequate?."
Pattern identification is influenced by the avail- Risk of falsification can be reduced by framing
ability, relevance, and vividness of the informa- hypotheses in terms of probabilities or percent-
tion obtained (Evans, 1989) and the frequency ages instead of universal statements. Inductive
and recency with which that category has been reasoning estimates the probability of a conclu-
used (Lingle et al., 1984). Clients must learn to sion depending on the quality and quantity of
focus on relevant and ignore irrelevant similari- evidence supporting it (Zechmeister & Johnson,
ties (Reed, 1972). 1992). Thus, enumerative generalizations can
Finally, validation involves testing the gener- provide estimates about the probability of differ-
alization under a variety of circumstances. Both ent alternatives (Burks, 1980).
actual and hypothetical tests may be used. Thera- Despite the importance of the falsification ap-
pist and client evaluate the strength and diversity proach, it is important to avoid overemphasiz-
of evidence supporting the generalization. As the ing the search for conflicting data. It is often use-
size and representativeness of the observed sam- ful to refine or expand the generalization so it
ple increases, the probability of an accurate gen- can accommodate the conflicting data (Lakatos,
eralization increases (Salmon, 1973; Zechmeister 1970). In essence, a generalization should not be
& Johnson, 1992). If a generalization is based discarded until a better one is available (Lakatos,
OB a sample that does not adequately represent 1970). The old generalization often retains its
Hie group as a whole, the generalization will not usefulness, but with some limitations that have
reflect die properties of the larger population. been identified by the counter-instances (Pop-
Enumerative generalizations are strengthened per, 1968).
by: 1) a greater number of supporting instances,
2) a variety of supporting examples, and 3) a Analogical Comparisons
balanced distribution of types of examples (Car- Inductive analogies build on enumeration pro-
nap, 1945). The number of instances is the least cesses (Hesse, 1968). However, instead of infer-
important element, being neither necessary nor ring from an observed sample to the entire popula-
sufficient for a proper inductive generalization tion as is common in enumerative generalizations,
(Manicas & Kruger, 1976). Thus, instead of sim- analogies infer from one sample to another (Simco
ply gathering a large number of supportive exam- & James, 1976). Reasoning by analogy involves
ples, it is better to seek corroborating information comparing two objects, events or people based on
under a wide variety of circumstances (Black, relevant but not obvious similarities. The observed
1952). If the original generalization cannot ac- similarities are assumed to indicate other similarit-
count for all possible cases, a new generalization ies exist but have not yet been identified. Analogies
is proposed and evaluated. A cycle of proposing are used to emphasize abstract properties that are
and refining parameters is used to improve the shared across situations (Holland et al., 1986).
identification of features that define a categorical Thus, inductive analogies lay the foundation for
generalization (Fried & Holyoak, 1984). conclusions that extend well beyond any observed
similarities.
Limitations of Inductive Generalizations
Inductive generalizations are artificial group- Clinical Utility of Analogical Reasoning
ings imposed on natural variations and are The use of analogies can increase the client's
strongly influenced by language and culture (Ger- cognitive flexibility (Brown, 1989), helping cli-

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Inductive Reasoning

ents understand their problems from a different Analogies based on medical practices involve
perspective. Clients are encouraged to step be- a description of basic medical procedures as re-
yond their conventional views of the problem and lated to the problem areas. For example, the de-
develop a new perspective. However, the utility scription of someone getting dirt in a wound can
of the analogy depends on the client's ability to be used to describe how a sore will fail to heal
recognize and use similarities between the novel unless properly tended. Although it may hurt, the
and familiar situations (Holland et al., 1986). wound must be opened and cleaned (psychother-
Reasoning by analogy involves looking beyond apy) in order to reduce the infection (psychopa-
surface similarities (appearances), and examining thology) that may develop. It is important to
the structural similarities (functions) of two pro- clean the wound in a sterile environment (psy-
cesses (Holyoak & Koh, 1987), preserving the chotherapy) with a skilled professional.
relational structure between the familiar and the Analogies based on mechanical processes ex-
novel situation (Johnson-Laird, 1989). If this is trapolate from the actions seen in mechanical op-
done properly, analogies help reduce new and erations. For example, describing a car as run-
complex problems into a simpler and more famil- ning on four cylinders, where each cylinder is
iar core (Spiro et al., 1989). A sense of relief necessary for smooth running, can be used to
occurs when people realize that new problems point out the need for human functioning to be
can be dealt with by transferring familiar infor- based on more than one focus. Human function-
mation to the new problem, reducing the client's ing can be described as based on four primary
risk of feeling frustrated and overwhelmed elements: work, family, friends, and spiritual be-
(Bransford, Franks, Vye, & Sherwood, 1989). liefs (or other areas relevant to a particular cli-
ent). Complete neglect of any element will dis-
Subtypes of Analogies rupt overall performance, much the same way as
Analogies can be intradomain and interdomain a car attempting to run on only three cylinders.
(Holland et al., 1986). Intradomain analogies in- If any one of these "cylinders" is not working, it
volve examining similar problems from the past, disrupts the functioning of the entire person.
or similar problems in different situations (e.g., Strategical analogies are based on the tactical
divorce versus retirement). Clients learn to map strategies involved in various activities, such as
knowledge from one area to another, maintaining the patience required in fishing, or the planning
the relationships among problem and solution required in chess. Clients who feel comfortable
(Gentner, 1989). The client can be assisted in with a behavior or attitude when using it in one
identifying coping strategies found effective and situation may learn to apply the same behavior
those ineffective in dealing with the original to another. For example, Zimbardo (1977) has
problem. Then, parallel relationships can be described the shy person as similar to a conserva-
drawn between the original and current problems. tive investor in a risky economic market, being
Interdomain analogies involve abstract similar- more concerned about risk of loss than with pos-
ities across blatantly different events. Interdo- sibility of gain. Shy clients can learn to appreci-
main analogical arguments can be based on at ate the benefits of risk-taking and begin at-
least five different content areas: natural, medi- tempting new behaviors in social situations.
cal, mechanical, strategical, and relational com- Relational analogies are based on parallel rela-
parisons. Analogies based on natural processes tionships between two or more parties. For exam-
attempt to transfer information from some well- ple, clients can learn to extrapolate from the na-
known aspect of nature and apply it to a parallel ture of the relationship of parent to child, coach
problem situation. For example, a comparison to players, or general to troops. Various aspects
can be drawn between snow on roofs during a of the interactions can be used to exemplify new
bad winter and emotional strain during a stressful ways of managing current interpersonal prob-
period. Some houses have steeply pitched roofs lems. For example, one client with low self-es-
where everything that hits them blows off the teem worked as a court reporter. It was helpful
roof. Other homes have flat roofs requiring dif- for her to see how her difficulties identifying, her
ferent care. For these homes, it takes work to get positive features were similar to a jury that was
up on the roof and shovel off the snow before it biased to convict her. She tended to discount or
causes unnecessary strain and excessive pressure disqualify any positive features without objec-
on the foundation and structure of the house. tively testing the evidence. In session, courtroom

79
James C. Overholser

procedures were used playfully to challenge the the client's life is similar in some ways to the
client's report of recent events as if she were a issues revealed through the analogy. To be effec-
biased witness. Over time, she learned to ap- tive, the analogy must preserve the relationship
praise her performance from a less critical between problem and solution (Gordon, 1978).
perspective. A faulty or misleading analogy can be produced
by a comparison of irrelevant similarities (Darner,
Process of Analogies as used in Psychotherapy 1987).
The process of using analogical comparisons
in psychotherapy begins with systematic observa- Eliminative Causal Reasoning
tion. The client describes a problem situation and Induction by elimination relies on principles
the therapist uses questions or assignments to developed by David Hume (1748) and John Stu-
elicit background information about the problem art Mill (1890) to identify the necessary and suf-
situation. After background information has been ficient conditions for an event to occur. The prin-
obtained, pattern identification is used to identify ciple of elimination states that any factor that is
the main elements of the problem. Then, the ther- absent when the effect occurs can be eliminated
apist either proposes or requests the client find as a necessary condition for the effect (Skyrms,
a parallel but familiar problem situation which 1986). Conversely, a factor that is present when-
already has been solved. Transfer of knowledge ever the effect has not occurred can be eliminated
involves identifying the corresponding roles as a sufficient condition for the effect (Skyrms,
across the two situations (Holland et al., 1986). 1986). Thus, causal reasoning involves examin-
After problem and solution are transferred from ing the occurrences of an effect under a variety
the analogy to the current problem situation, ther- of circumstances (Skyrms, 1986).
apist and client evaluate the accuracy of the
transfer. Clinical Utility of Causal Reasoning
Analogies can guide a problem-solving pro- Attributions regarding causality play an im-
cess by transferring knowledge from familiar to portant role when understanding and deciding
novel situations (Gick & Holyoak, 1980; 1983; upon a course of action (Kelley, 1973). Causal
Vosniadou & Ortony, 1989). Analogies facilitate reasoning most often occurs in response to unex-
the generation of alternatives, identifying new pected events (Hastie, 1984) and situations
coping options stemming from the analogy. An whereby the client fails to obtain a desired goal
analogy provides the starting point for a hypothe- (Weiner, 1985). Causal reasoning helps clients
sis (Werkmeister, 1957). Often, the working hy- understand, predict, and control their behavior.
pothesis is geared toward the future, providing For example, problems like insomnia, impo-
insights into new ways of coping with a problem tence, and loneliness can be caused by numerous
situation. Thus, analogies often involve a "For- common factors. Learning which of many possi-
ward search," asking the client "Given the re- ble causes needs to be controlled can become
sources available, what can be done to solve this confusing and overwhelming. Effective treatment
problem?" (Holyoak & Thagard, 1989). relies on understanding and changing the causal
Verification involves therapist and client plan- sequence (Overholser, 1991). Although classify-
ning to implement the new coping option. Analo- ing one event as the cause of another can be
gies can paint a picture that is easy for clients somewhat arbitrary (Efran, Lukens, & Lukens,
to remember (Martin, Cummings, & Hallberg, 1990), clarifying possible causal and maintaining
1992). Therefore, clients will be more likely to factors can lay the foundation for treatment plan-
change their behavior when confronted with the ning. By changing environmental or intrapsychic
problematic situation again. If successful, the factors, the presenting problem often can be alle-
common principle underlying both the problem viated. If a necessary causal condition can be
and its analogy should be extracted (Gentner, stopped from occurring, the problem can be pre-
1989). vented (Skyrms, 1986).
Causal attributions are more susceptible to the
Limitations of Analogies influence of others if the person has low self-
The utility of an analogy depends on the rele- confidence, little social support, or has been feel-
vance of the comparison dimensions (Pellegrino, ing overwhelmed by problems (Kelley, 1967).
1985). It is assumed that the current situation in Also, depressed clients are likely to distort the

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Inductive Reasoning

causal attribution process so as to blame them- and the combined activities of climbing stairs and
selves for negative events (Sweeney, Anderson, bending over produced mild dizziness but not
& Bailey, 1986). The attribution process may panic. Therefore, these could be eliminated as
become biased so as to perpetuate a negative sufficient causes of her panic.
view of oneself (Strohmer et al., 1988). Thus,
many clients can benefit from therapy that fo- Process of Causal Reasoning as Used
cuses on developing different causal attributions. in Psychotherapy
Causal reasoning builds on the generalities es-
Subtypes of Causal Reasoning tablished through enumerative induction (Burks,
Causal reasoning is based on strategies of con- 1980). Causal explanations are often influenced
firmation and disconfirmation (Downing, Stem- by the questions asked of the client (Hilton,
berg, & Ross, 1985; Mill, 1890; Schustack & 1990). Thus, systematic questioning continues to
Steinberg, 1981). Confirmation involves identi- play an important role. The process of using
fying a cause by (1) the joint presence of cause eliminative causal reasoning in psychotherapy in-
and effect and (2) the joint absence of presumed volves systematic observation of the problem be-
cause and effect. Thus, causal reasoning based havior, hypothesis formation, and hypothesis
on confirmation examines both the occurrence testing.
and nonoccurrence of an effect. It attempts to Systematic observation occurs when the client
identify possible causes that are associated with describes a problem situation and the therapist
the presence but not the absence of an effect. For requests additional information via questions or
example, a client with mild but chronic depres- assignments. Gathering a wide range of informa-
sion was asked to record her mood and activities tion helps encourage the evaluation of many pos-
throughout the week. She quickly noticed that sible causes (Amoult & Anderson, 1988). For
when she was alone and inactive, her mood example, one woman whose child had drowned
worsened. When she was active and socializing, several years earlier still experienced "unpredict-
her mood improved. This hypothesis was then able" episodes of severe depression. She re-
tested by encouraging the client to initiate a so- corded fluctuations in her mood over time and
cial activity whenever she felt herself becoming realized her depression was associated with
depressed. places, events, and images that reminded her of
Disconfirmation involves critically examining her son or his death.
a possible cause by looking for (1) the presence Hypothesis formation occurs when the thera-
of the cause without the effect or (2) the presence pist and client collaboratively identify common
of the effect without the cause. In either case, antecedent events and develop a preliminary
the causal hypothesis would be rejected and a causal hypothesis. Causal hypotheses are based
new one sought. However, most people empha- on covariation in which cause and effect system-
size occasions in which both presumed cause and atically covary over time (Kelley, 1973). Cues
effect are present, and minimize the importance to identifying a cause include (1) the consistent
of disconfirming evidence (Downing et al., 1985; covariation between cause and effect, (2) cause
Schustack & Sternberg, 1981). The emphasis on preceding effect in time (Einhorn & Hogarth,
confirmation instead of disconfirmation encour- 1986), (3) temporal contiguity in which there are
ages evaluating whether a cause is sufficient times when both cause and effect are present and
(rather than necessary) for an effect to occur other times when both are absent (Kelley, 1973),
(Downing etal., 1985). (4) consistency over time so that whenever the
Although the confirmation approach can be presumed cause is present the effect occurs (Kel-
useful, it can be misleading. For example, a cli- ley, 1967), and (5) distinctiveness whereby an
ent with a panic disorder observed her panic effect uniquely occurs while the presumed cause
symptoms over time. She noticed that her panic is present and does not occur when the cause is
was associated with certain events (e.g., when absent (Kelley, 1967). Because any one cue by
she felt tired or hungry, while bending over or itself can be misleading, clients are advised to
climbing stairs). Disconfirmation involved con- use multiple cues in combination (Einhorn & Ho-
fronting these events to see if they did in fact garth, 1986).
aggravate her symptoms. She found that fatigue After a preliminary causal hypothesis has been
and dietary factors played no role in her panic, proposed, its logical implications and plausible

81
James C. Overholser

rival hypotheses need to be examined. Hypothe- of headaches several times each week, with no
sis testing involves using hypothetical or actual clear pattern readily observable. Therapist and
environmental changes to modify one condition client examined whether the persistent headaches
at a time. Subsequent changes in outcome are were due to job stress, dietary factors, marital
observed. Manipulation of environmental factors conflict, or other factors. Furthermore, even
can be done both logically and empirically, in a when a pattern was observed wherein job stress
prospective or retrospective (historical) manner. was associated with headaches, not every episode
A hypothesis is tested using deductive logic of the cause (job stress) resulted in the effect (a
(Kruglanski, 1988) to examine its ability to suc- headache). However, it was possible to manipu-
cessfully predict future events (Giere, 1983). late one condition and see how the problem
Thus, if circumstances can be observed or manip- changed. When his diet was deliberately
ulated so the presumed cause is present, the ef- changed, it had no effect on his headaches. Later,
fect should occur (Skyrms, 1986). If a particular when the client took an extended vacation, the
effect occurs in two very different situations, any marital problems continued but the job stress
element common to the two situations is a proba- was temporarily eliminated and his headaches
ble cause. Alternatively, if a problem occurs in subsided.
only one of two very similar situations, factors People often ignore sample size and base rate
present in the one situation are likely to be the data (Schustack & Sternberg, 1981). Adequate
cause. Systematic variation of the presumed and representative sampling are needed to ensure
causes can eliminate rival hypotheses (Cohen, accurate causal hypotheses (Crocker, 1981). Ex-
1970). As rival hypotheses are manipulated and amining possible alternative explanations can
examined, the most important cause often can be avoid the premature acceptance of a faulty expla-
identified. The importance of a cause is reduced nation (Gambrill, 1990). Confusing cause and ef-
if other plausible causes are also present (Kelley, fect involves perceiving a consequence to be a
1973). Finally, therapist and client evaluate the causal variable (Damer, 1987). For example, a
strength and diversity of evidence supporting the novice therapist assumed that marital discord
causal hypothesis. caused the client's excessive alcohol consump-
tion. However, by observing the problems over
Limitations of Causal Reasoning time, it was determined that the alcohol abuse
Causal reasoning is a difficult process for many served to trigger most of the domestic arguments.
clients. Perception of possible causes can be in- Cognitive biases affect causal reasoning. The
fluenced by the client's prior expectations (Alloy client's beliefs about cause and effect will influ-
& Tabachnik, 1984) and can be biased by the ence what information is observed and empha-
improper weighting of one variable in respect to sized (Crocker, 1981; Kelley, 1973). Beliefs and
the others. Thus, some clients overemphasize the expectations can aid the inference process or
role they play in causing their problems, while cause it to go astray (Jaspars, 1988). The thera-
others minimize their role. Also, clients may ne- pist can provide an independent and impartial
glect a common cause, such as when two effects view of the behavior when searching for possible
(e.g., poor school grades and loss of appetite) causes (Groeben, 1990). It is important to ques-
are both caused by a third variable (e.g., recent tion a client's premises early so clients do not
trauma). In most situations, numerous factors in- continue with a biased line of reasoning and
teract to produce an effect (Mackie, 1965). How- reach a conclusion that appears to be true but is
ever, clients often look at their problems from a based on faulty assumptions (Crossley & Wilson,
narrow perspective, failing to examine all rele- 1979). For example, an adult female client with
vant causes. For example, an adult male client agoraphobia longed for a close relationship and
saw his chronic depression as related to his long- marriage. She reported that her problems always
standing social difficulties, but biological, devel- subsided when she was involved with a man.
opmental, and cognitive variables were also rele- When discussing relationships, she made vague
vant. Examining his problems from multiple per- statements about how her life and her agorapho-
spectives helped him gain a better understanding bia would be improved if she got married. The
of himself and his depression. therapist asked a series of questions to force the
Many cause-effect relationships occur on an client to address her unspoken ideas: "How
irregular basis. For example, a client complained would your life be different if you were mar-

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Inductive Reasoning

ried?", "How would your life stay the same after cies allow clients to retain invalid hypotheses and
marriage?", "So what would marriage accom- distorted views of their world. Rather than trying
plish?". Over sessions, the client was able to see to increase the objectivity of clients, it may be
that her progress depended on her effort and atti- more appropriate to help clients see their prob-
tude, and was largely independent of any roman- lems from different and more adaptive perspec-
tic relationships occurring over the course of tives (Efran et al., 1990). Inductive reasoning
therapy. can be used to help clients distance themselves
from the emotional aspects of their problems and
Conclusions expand their conceptualization of their problems.
Inductive reasoning is compatible with most
forms of cognitive psychotherapy. It ensures the References
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