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INTRODUCTION
WHAT IS NFV
WHY IS NFV IMPORTANT
MARKET IMPACTS
NFV TRANSACTIONS
SUMMARY
6. NFV MARKET MAP
7. COMPANY IMPLICATIONS
8. HOT COMPANIES
9. APPENDIX A MULTIPLES
SNAPSHOT
10. APPENDIX B GLOSSARY OF
TERMS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
NAT
IMS
EPC
DNS
PCRF /
Policy
CDN
BRAS
DPI
WanOp
Load
Balancing
Firewall
SBC
NFV and Software Defined Networking (SDN) are complementary and drive similar benefits, but address very different networking
applications. NFV is the virtualization of network functions, where software defined networking (SDN) is the separation of the control
plane and forwarding / data plane to centralize and automate the control of network behavior. Once network functions are virtualized,
they can be dynamically deployed across the carrier network, necessitating an SDN based centralized control mechanism which is an
operational must in programing and automating the network.
Carrier NFV
Virtualization
NFV
Virtualize network
function in
software - Virtual
Network Function
(vNF)
Run on standard
hardware
Run on virtual
machine
High Performance
SDN
De-couple control
plane from
forwarding / data
plane
Centralize control
plane
Run on standard
hardware
Open APIs
Programmability
Orchestration
As carrier revenue growth flattens, the cost to grow the network footprint and capacity is becoming unmanageable. Adding subscribers has
quickly become a game of share shift among companies which is driving marketing costs higher. Carriers need to look to network
operations in order to sustain profitability growth in the face of saturation. Carriers are particularly eager to drive capex down and take
advantage of the abundance of cheap higher performance computing to achieve that goal. By using standard servers, they not only reduce
the equipment cost, but importantly reduce size and power requirements.
Carriers see the need for increased network flexibility and application awareness as key to remaining competitive. Further, they must
drastically reduce the time to market for new revenue generating features by breaking the bond equipment suppliers have over them with
proprietary designs that are expensive and slow to innovate. Multi-year network upgrade cycles become much more agile and are based on
incremental revenue driven network and service enhancements.
Market Impacts
NVF is a key carrier priority and the tier 1 carriers are not only in support of, but also leading the effort to standardize and implement
solutions over the coming quarters. NFV is in several carrier trials and many vendors have committed to key NFV focused roadmaps. We
expect to see continued trials in 2014 moving towards production deployments over the next few years.
NFV not only represents a major change to how L4-L7 functions are implemented, but it will likely change the vendor landscape and
pricing. Over a five year horizon, we see carrier capex and opex declining as they try to control costs and while they increasingly shift
spending away from expensive networking hardware to software based solutions. We believe by 2018, software based networking solutions
will have taken a significant share of the traditional carrier networking hardware market, that was about $150B in 2013.
Networking Equipment
($150B Annually)
Software-based
Networking
(NFV)
2013
2018
Carriers long term goals are to drive down total capex spending and significantly reduce networking equipment capex.
Key to this will be the shift from proprietary hardware base implementation to software which will lower the barrier
to entry for new equipment suppliers to enter the market and drive down pricing.
The stranglehold a handful of equipment suppliers have had that could make the large capital and R&D investments
in building expensive custom hardware platforms and silicon is now being eliminated. Many of the legacy equipment
suppliers are being forced to change their ways and now plan to offer virtual software solutions as well. However,
these solutions may see significant performance limitations as in many cases they are based on legacy telco design
principles for high availability, chassis based implementations, and not designed to take advantage of distributed
multi-core processing.
NFV represents a new opportunity for many non-networking suppliers as a new revenue source. In our discussions,
we believe many of the large tier 1 carrier considering NFV designs are not only talking to legacy suppliers on how
best to transition their networks long term, but non-traditional networking suppliers such as IBM, Amdocs and
Oracle are gaining significant mindshare and credibility in these discussions.
We have already seen NFV related M&A on the rise and as new technology suppliers enter the market, we expect to
see a significant consolidation to occur. We expect to see non-traditional well capitalized Enterprise focused suppliers
continue to make acquisitions in the L4-L7 software networking space.
Target
Buyer
2/15/14
Shenik
Aeroflex
1/30/14
Trendium, Inc.
JDSU
1/22/14
AirWatch, LLC
VMWare
1/14/14
Corente
Oracle
12/16/13
WANDL, Inc.
Juniper
60
12/13/13
Algorithms.io
LumentData
12/13/13
Skytide
Citrix
12/13/13
Newfield Wireless
Tektronix
12/13/13
Cloudmeter
Splunk
21
12/13/13
NI
JDSU
200
12/13/13
Volubill
CSG
12/10/13
Cloudmeter, Inc.
Splunk
21
11/16/13
Oracle
11/13/13
Fiberlink
IBM
11/13/13
Celcite
Amdocs
11/13/13
Aircom
Teoco
11/13/13
HighCloud Security
HyTrust
11/6/13
Cisco
863
10/13/13
Now Factory
IBM
10/13/13
Cmphonix
Untangle Sys
10/13/13
Virtela
NTT
525
10/13/13
Netoptics
Ixia
190
10/13/13
Aexio
Infovista
28.5
1,540
130
Target Description
SDN, NFV, Cloud test and measurement
Service intelligence and performance management
Mobile device management and security
SDN controller for LAN and WAN
Network planning, management, design, optimization
SDN infrastructure
Ann. Date
Target
Buyer
Target Description
10/3/13
Xtify, Inc.
IBM
9/13/13
Bugsense
Splunk
9/13/13
Atix
Amdocs
120
Self-Optimized Networking
7/23/13
Sourcefire, Inc.
Cisco
2,395
6/20/13
Cisco
180
6/4/13
IBM
1,977
3/13/13
Nimbula, Inc.
Oracle
3/13/13
Tekelec
Oracle
3/8/13
Arieso Ltd.
JDSU
85
2/13/13
Acme Packet
Oracle
1,700
2/13/13
Intucell
Cisco
475
2/13/13
LineRate
F5
125
2/11/13
VMWare
185
Self-Optimized Networking
Virtual LB, acceleration, SSL offload and traffic
management.
Storage hypervisor, server virtualization
2/4/13
Juniper
10
1/29/13
Cisco
1/13/13
Neuralitic
1/13/13
Vineyard
12/18/12
12/18/12
Guavus
Procera
28
Dell Inc.
BroadHop, Inc.
Cisco
12/13/12
DataRaker Inc.
Oracle
12/12/12
Contrail
Juniper
176
12/12/12
Endance
Emulex
130
12/5/12
Zenprise, Inc.
Citrix
327
11/29/12
Cisco
141
11/16/12
Dell Inc.
11/15/12
Cloupia, Inc.
Cisco
125
11/12/12
Vyatta
Brocade
44
11/12/12
Onpath
Netscout
32
10/12/12
Opnet
Riverbed
1,000
10/4/12
vCider, Inc.
Cisco
9/24/12
IBM
8/7/12
VMWare
8/7/12
Apere, Inc.
Citrix
Network security
7/30/12
Oracle
Virtual infrastructure
7/13/12
Virtuata, Inc.
Cisco
7/12/12
Nicira
VMWare
7/12/12
Ascade AB
CSG
7/2/12
DynamicOps, Inc.
VMWare
7/2/12
BreakingPoint Systems
Ixia
160
6/12/12
Byte Mobile
Citrix
435
5/7/12
Ixia
154
1,260
19
-
Ann. Date
Target
Buyer
5/3/12
Truviso LLC
Cisco
3/28/12
ClearAccess, Inc.
Cisco
3/13/12
SonicWALL L.L.C.
Dell
Network security
Dell
Juniper
83
App security
Traffix
F5
130
2/24/12
2/22/12
2/1/12
1/5/12
Target Description
JDSU
15
11/21/11
Simena, LLC
NetScout
21
10/20/11
BNI Video
Cisco
99
8/26/11
PacketMotion, Inc.
VMWare
8/21/11
Cisco
31
8/15/11
F5
7/19/11
Aptimize Limited
Riverbed
34
7/12/11
Cloud.com, Inc.
Citrix
164
6/29/11
Oracle
368
6/20/11
Dell
Infrastructure virtualization
6/17/11
Bridgewater Systems
Amdocs
216
5/16/11
VMWare
4/19/11
Telenor Connexion AB
Ericsson
3/27/11
Psytechnics Limited
Netscout
17
Security
Network visiblity, analytics,
policy
L4-L7 Network Services
SDN / Network Infrastructure
IMS / Mobile Core
Backoffice / Orchestration
App visibility, analytics, policy
2011
2012
2013
Networking
Orchestration
Backoffice/IT
SDN / Hypervisor
Company Implications
Over the next several years, we see NFV as being highly disruptive to many of the legacy service provider equipment
suppliers.
Cisco (CSCO) is most exposed. In the long term, we believe it will remain a key supplier of many of the virtual
network features, but is obviously exposed to pricing and margin pressures due to its significant enterprise proprietary
hardware business. We see the convergence of virtual networking features happening at the enterprise premises first
and CSCO will likely offer a suite of virtual features at a significantly lower price than the discrete boxes it sells to
enterprises today.
Juniper (JNPR) is modestly exposed as much of the equipment it sells to carriers is in the core routing, core security
and high-capacity edge routing which are likely to remain as custom hardware devices for years. We believe JNPR
lacks a story around NFV, but could leverage an aggressive roadmap (both organic and likely through M&A) to gain
share in pieces of the network it does not currently serve.
Ericsson (ERIC) and Alcatel Lucent (ALU) are both modestly exposed. Although both play in the IMS and should be
able to remain relevant, but their long term positions as dominant suppliers to the carrier market is becoming
precarious especially as very large enterprise players enter the market and challenge both ERIC and ALU on wireless
network product and professional services sales.
Oracle (ORCL), Amdocs (DOX), IBM (IBM) should benefit from this network transition. We believe these
suppliers see NFV as a good opportunity to enter the carrier networking environment as a key long term strategy to
help diversify their business and tap into the large pool of carrier network spending. We anticipate additional carrier
focused acquisitions by these players in the coming quarters.
VMWare (VMW) is a key supplier of virtualization and now overlay networking solutions for the data center, and we
believe VMW could leverage its NSX to potentially become a bigger player in the network virtualization and
centralized automation of the network.
F5 (FFIV) is a key supplier of data center and carrier load balancing products. The company hopes to expand its
carrier sales in IMS (through its acquisition of Traffix) and in network security. We believe it could establish itself as a
key player in carrier network virtualization through its own solutions and through additional M&A.
Citrix (CTXS) is a supplier of virtual application delivery and firewall functions with its industry leading Netscaler
SDX platform. CTXS has partnered with Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and CSCO to offer virtual firewall and IPS
and we believe CTXS plans to offer several other virtual network functions from the SDX platform. We see CTXS as
an acquirer in this market segment.
RedHat (RHT) is supplier of OpenStack products, a key open source orchestration platform for compute, storage and
networking in the data center and carrier network.
Below, we have highlighted several smaller public and privately-held companies we think are well positioned to see
high sales growth over the coming years and are likely acquisition targets.
Hot Companies
Company
6WIND
Description
Network performance software for OEMs delivering advanced networking functions in mobile infrastructure equipment,
networking appliances, and data center networking.
A10 Networks
Networking and security solutions that help organizations accelerate, optimize, and secure their applications.
Affirmed Networks
Allot (ALLT)
Barefoot Networks
Merchant silicon solutions designed for low cost, high performance white box switching
BTI
Packet / Optical infrastructure and service solutions for service providers and cloud providers.
Calsoft Labs
System integrator and technology consulting and product engineering services globally with focus on Networking infrastructure,
Cloud infrastructure, and Mobility.
Connectem
Cumulus Networks
Network virtualization framework for cloud service providers, hybrid clouds, access providers, and private clouds and
enterprises.
Open Linux based networking operating system.
Cyan (CYNI)
Embrane
Multi-service software architecture that delivers network services to enterprises and service providers.
Gigamon (GIMO)
Guavus
Illumio
Lemko
Software and hardware based mobile broadband operating systems for wireless communication networks.
Lyatiss
Application defined networking solutions that offer networking analytics and capabilities to cloud infrastructure users.
Mavenir (MVNR)
Software-based networking solutions for mobile networks to deliver IP-based voice, video, rich communications and enhanced
messaging services.
Metaswitch Networks
Voice, IMS and next gen networking functions for service providers.
Midokura
Netsocket
Automation applications running on a completely virtualized network infrastructure for distributed enterprise branch
offices/small to medium-sized businesses and the Service Providers
Overture Networks
Ethernet edge and aggregation solutions to service providers, network operators, and enterprise customers.
Pertino
Cloud-based, Network-as-a-Service platform that combines the power and pervasiveness of the cloud with overlay network
virtualization, software-defined networking (SDN), service-oriented network functions virtualization (NFV), and real-time
orchestration.
Pica8
Open networking platforms based on merchant silicon, that are easy to program, robust to operate, and low-cost to procure.
Plexxi
Pluribus
Hardware accelerated next-generation, virtualized switches and a distributed Netvisor offering a fully programmable network
fabric provide true network virtualization for cloud and enterprise data-centers.
Qosmos
Distributed network intelligence (NI)/deep packet inspection (DPI) technologies for network monitoring and policy control.
Razorsight
Saisei Networks
IP flow-based Internet traffic management solutions for wireline and wireless/mobile broadband service providers and
enterprises. worldwide.
Sonus (SONS)
Voice and IMS network solutions for service providers and enterprises.
Tail-f
ConteXtream
10
Company
VArmour
Description
Network security for virtual network overlays.
Vello Systems
OpenFlow enabled software defined application platform allows the network to act as a dynamic pool of resources for everchanging application requirements to speed deployment and increase agility.
Vistapointe Networks
Mobile analytics tools to effectively monitor subscriber, device and network parameters to streamline operations and enhance
marketing initiatives.
Xpliant
Merchant silicon solutions designed for low cost, high performance white box switching
11
EV
($M)
-
EV/Revenue
(2014E)
-
$49,736
$45,7
21
1,240
-
1.5x
0.6
525
13,59
8
410
6,772
5,560
1.5
852
785
4.0
4,098
3,710
1.7
2,270
3,160
1.5
116,556
1.8
9,995
84,59
3
9,260
Cyan provides various carrier-grade networking solutions that transform legacy networks
into open high-performance networks.
166
94
0.9
16
97
Company
6WIND
Description
6WIND S.A. provides a commercial software solution that solves network performance
challenges for OEMs.
A10 Networks
(ATEN)
A10 Networks provides networking and security solutions that help organizations
accelerate, optimize, and secure their applications.
Accenture (ACN)
Aeroflex (ARX)
Affirmed
Networks
Alcatel Lucent
(ALU)
Allot (ALLT)
Amdocs (DOX)
Arista Networks
Barefoot
Networks
BigSwitch
BroadSoft
(BSFT)
Brocade
Communications
Systems (BRCD)
BTI
Calsoft Labs
Ciena (CIEN)
Cinarra Systems
Cisco Systems
(CSCO)
Citrix Systems
(CTXS)
Connectem Inc.
ConteXtream
Cumulus
Networks
Cyan (CYNI)
Dell
Dialogic (DLGC)
689
11,327
2
-
3.7
2.9
12
Company
Embrane
Description
Embrane designs and develops a multi-service software architecture that delivers network
services to enterprises and service providers.
EMC (EMC)
EMC Corporation develops, delivers, and supports information infrastructure and virtual
infrastructure technologies, solutions, and services.
Emulex (ELX)
Ericsson (ERIC)
Market
Cap ($M)
-
EV
($M)
-
EV/Revenue
(2014E)
-
47,793
45,77
3
1.9
591
536
1.1
38,922
31,84
2
0.9
665
466
0.7
Extreme
Networks
(EXTR)
F5 Networks
(FFIV)
8,096
7,518
4.3
Fujitsu Limited
(FJTSY)
11,641
16,26
4
0.4
Genband
Genband develops multimedia and cloud communications solutions for fixed and mobile
service providers, cable operators, wholesale market.
Gigamon
(GIMO)
Gigamon designs, develops, and sells products and services that provide customers
visibility and control of network traffic.
973
867
4.9
Guavus
Guavus designs and develops decision making solutions for the telecommunications
industry.
HP together with its subsidiaries, provides products, technologies, software, solutions,
and services to individual consumers and SMBs.
54,076
64,99
4
0.6
Hewlett-Packard
Company (HPQ)
Huawei
581
513
Illumio
Infinera (INFN)
1,013
825
1.3
187,679
216,4
68
2.2
940
886
1.7
2,977
2,436
1.3
Juniper Networks designs, develops, and sells products and services that provide network
infrastructure for networking requirements of service providers.
13,514
11,66
7
2.3
Lemko is an IP software company that develops mobile broadband operating systems for
wireless communication networks.
335
1,563
363
1,239
3
2.5
International
Business
Machines (IBM)
Ixia (XXIA)
JDS Uniphase
(JDSU)
Juniper Networks
(JNPR)
Lemko
Lyatiss
Ixia provides converged Internet protocol (IP) network validation and network visibility
solutions.
JDSU provides communications test and measurement solutions.
Lyatiss develops application defined networking solutions that offer networking analytics
and capabilities to cloud infrastructure users.
Matrixx Software
Matrixx Software delivers real-time charging and balance management for any
combination of payment, access technology and service.
Mavenir
(MVNR)
Mellanox
Technologies
(MLNX)
Metaswitch
Networks
Mavenir develops software-based networking solutions for mobile networks to deliver IPbased voice, video, rich communications and enhanced messaging services.
Mellanox produces and supplies semiconductor interconnect products for computing,
storage, and communications applications in the high-performance computing, Web 2.0
Metaswitch Networks provides communication services and solutions to business and
residential customers.
13
Company
Midokura
NetApp (NTAP)
Description
Midokura develops network virtualization software solutions.
NetApp engages in design, manufacture, and marketing of networked storage solutions.
NetScout
Systems (NTCT)
NetScout Systems designs, develops, manufactures, markets, licenses, sells, and supports
unified service delivery management, service assurance, and application and network
performance management solutions.
Netsocket
Nokia (NOK)
Market
Cap ($M)
14,348
1,440
25,166
EV
($M)
10,07
1
1,295
EV/Revenue
(2014E)
1.5
21,92
3
149,3
97
1.3
3.0
Oracle (ORCL)
Oracle develops, manufactures, markets, hosts, and supports database and middleware
software, applications software, and hardware systems.
161,727
Overture
Networks
231
123
1.5
41
40
3,206
3,272
2.8
Pertino
Pica8 Inc.
Plexxi
Pluribus
3.8
Procera
Networks (PKT)
Procera Networks provides intelligent policy enforcement solutions based on deep packet
inspection technology that enable mobile and broadband network operators and entities
to manage and control their private networks.
Qosmos SA
Radcom
(RDCM)
Razorsight
Riverbed
Technology
(RVBD)
Saisei Networks
Samsung
Electronics
(SSNLF)
Silver Peak
Systems
Sonus Networks
(SONS)
150,891
110,8
92
0.5
Silver Peak Systems develops wide area network (WAN) optimization solutions.
834
636
2.1
653
8,588
-
406
8,236
-
0.9
22.1
-
Spirent (SPT)
Splunk (SPLK)
Tail-f Systems
VArmour
Razorsight Corporation offers SaaS based profit analytics solutions for communications
service providers.
Saisei Networks provides IP flow based Internet traffic management solutions for
wireline and wireless/mobile broadband service providers, cable operators, government
agencies, schools and universities, and enterprises.
Sonus Networks provides networked solutions for communications service providers and
enterprises.
Spirent develops network and device testing and tools for service management and field
test to improve troubleshooting and quality.
Splunk provides software solutions that provide real-time operational intelligence.
Tail-f Systems provides software solutions and tools that enable developers of network
management systems to build or extend their applications.
Network security for virtual network overlays.
14
Company
Vello Systems
Veryx
Vistapointe
Networks
VMWare (VMW)
Windriver
Xpliant
Description
Vello Systems offers an OpenFlow enabled software defined application platform allows
the network to act as a dynamic pool of resources for ever-changing application
requirements to speed deployment and increase agility.
Market
Cap ($M)
EV
($M)
EV/Revenue
(2014E)
Veryx develops testing solutions for SDN, Carrier Ethernet, Layer 2, IPv4, IPv6,
Network Management and Time Synchronization technologies.
Vistapointe Networks provides mobile analytics tools to effectively monitor subscriber,
device and network parameters to streamline operations and enhance marketing
initiatives.
VMware provides virtualization infrastructure solutions.
37,905
32,18
0
5.3
15
CDN Content Delivery Network. A set of highly distributed network elements that optimize and serve content to endusers with high availability and high performance. CDNs serve a wide variety of content including web pages, downloadable
objects (media files, software, documents), applications (e-commerce, portals), and live streaming video.
17
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