Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
DOI 10.1007/s10551-013-1760-9
Received: 21 June 2012 / Accepted: 10 May 2013 / Published online: 13 June 2013
Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013
Abstract Using a unique dataset provided by the international rating agency GES, we investigate the effects of
corporate sustainability and industry-related exposure to
environmental and social risks on the market value of
MSCI World firms. The results show a negative relationship in the earlier years of our sample period. However, the
analysis reveals that the capital market perception of sustainability has changed owing to the financial crisis.
Looking at the height of the crisis in September 2008, the
month in which Lehman Brothers shocked the worlds
capital markets by filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, we find that the previously negative perception of
corporate sustainability across its various dimensions was
positively affected and offset. In addition, as a moderated
regression analysis shows, the crisis led to a positive perception of corporate sustainability in industries that are
exposed to higher environmental and social risks. Our
study has the practical implication that executives, in particular in industries with high environmental and social
risks, should increase their commitment to corporate sustainability due to the changes in the institutional setting
triggered by the financial crisis.
Keywords Corporate sustainability Environmental risks
Financial crisis Global Engagement Services (GES)
Instrument variable regression Moderated regression
analysis Social risks
Introduction
The current financial crisis not only shocked the capital
markets but also led to a change in the societys perception of
profit maximization and its inherent risks. In October 2011,
members of the Occupy Wall Street movement claimed that
they had greater fear of the public risks of global climate
change and social inequality than of their personal risk of
being arrested and charged. The protesters directly connected
these risks to the greed of firms and capital markets, an attitude
that was shared even by a broad spectrum of political organizations (Wall Street Journal, 17 October, 2011). Thus, the
financial crisis seems to have strengthened public concerns
about the traditional neo-liberal shareholder value paradigm
that currently rules the major capital markets and which
dominated the corporate world before the concept of sustainability appeared on the stage in the late 1990s. Under these
circumstances, it is worth questioning how the worlds capital
markets perceive commitment to corporate sustainability and
what impact the financial crisis had on this perception.
This paper contributes to at least two strands of the literature. First, we expand the empirical literature on the connection between corporate sustainability, sustainability at
the industry level and shareholder value creation. Our study
is the first to use a large sample of MSCI World firms with
sustainability ratings by Global Engagement Services
(GES), an established international rating agency specializing in socially responsible investments. Other studies on
the value relevance of corporate sustainability focus on local
markets (e.g. Hassel et al. 2005; Semenova and Hassel 2008;
Semenova et al. 2009; Guenster et al. 2011), whereas this
study addresses all of the worlds developed stock markets.
In addition, the sample has a panel data structure, which
covers the period December 2003June 2011, which allows
us to control for individual heterogeneity. Applying a
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K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
476
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K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
employ workers in developing countries under questionable conditions, e.g. Coca-Cola and Nike (Baron 2001;
Martin 2002; Lawrence 2010).
Stakeholder theory and related empirical work suggest
that firms that follow the principles of sustainability have
lower cost of capital due to lower stakeholder risks and a
broader investor base (Heinkel et al. 2001; Sharfman and
Fernando 2008; Bartkoski et al. 2010; Dhaliwal et al.
2011; El Ghoul et al. 2011; Goss and Roberts 2011).
Godfrey (2005) developed a comprehensive framework
describing how corporate sustainability in the form of
philanthropy can create shareholder value by generating
positive moral capital amongst communities and stakeholders. This moral capital can serve as insurance-like
protection for a firms relationship-based intangible assets
and in turn may reduce its exposure to stakeholder risks. A
reduction in risk implies lower cost of capital and, all other
factors being equal, higher firm value.
However, besides the benefits of corporate sustainability
described by these theories, when assessing the overall
effects of corporate sustainability on firm value, the
potential benefits have to be balanced against the costs,
which can be broken down into additional capital cost,
material and services, and labour (McWilliams and Siegel
2001). For instance, modern plants, equipment and end-ofpipe facilities have to be financed, purchased and amortized. To enhance the ecological efficiency of the production process, additional research and development have to
be undertaken and money spent on in-house or external
training. Although widely ignored in the literature, the
costs that are most capable of substantially reducing future
cash flows are the opportunity costs that arise due to sustainability-induced constraints on management decisions.
Firms that strive to maintain a sustainable image have to
abandon profitable but unethical business strategies such as
wage dumping, child labour and the use of environmentally
hazardous production materials. Since it remains an
empirical question whether the cost of sustainability
exceeds the benefit or vice versa, our first hypothesis is two
sided.
Hypothesis 1 The level of corporate sustainability affects
the market value of a firm.
If there is no evidence for Hypothesis 1, this can be
explained by microeconomic considerations. In Lundgrens
(2011) model, firms invest in corporate sustainability until
their related marginal benefits equal the marginal costs.
Different observed levels of corporate sustainability are the
result of different benefit and cost structures rather than of
the varying abilities of management to follow the generally
value-enhancing business strategy of corporate sustainability. As a consequence, the chosen level of corporate
sustainability is always individually optimal and not
477
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478
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K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
479
Hypothesis 4 The capital markets perception of corporate sustainability depends on industries exposure to
environmental and social risks.
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K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
Countries
Country
Industries
Frequency
Percent
4-Digit GICS
Frequency
Percent
United States
7,675
41.10
Capital goods
1,818
9.73
Japan
3,257
17.44
Materials
1,651
8.84
Great Britain
1,293
6.92
Banks
1,430
7.66
Canada
826
4.42
Energy
1,142
6.11
France
823
4.41
Utilities
1,019
5.46
Australia
729
3.90
Insurance
856
4.58
Germany
632
3.38
Diversified financials
839
4.49
Sweden
409
2.19
Real estate
836
4.48
Italy
388
2.08
801
4.29
Hong Kong
387
2.07
Retailing
724
3.88
Switzerland
Spain
358
317
1.92
1.70
719
702
3.85
3.76
Shanghai
254
1.36
Transportation
669
3.58
The
Netherlands
223
1.19
669
3.58
Finland
188
1.01
656
3.51
Belgium
168
0.90
Media
644
3.45
Norway
132
0.71
639
3.42
Denmark
129
0.69
Telecommunication services
547
2.93
Greece
117
0.63
423
2.26
Austria
97
0.52
Consumer services
422
2.26
Portugal
87
0.47
411
2.20
Ireland
New Zealand
71
57
0.38
0.31
405
397
2.17
2.13
196
1.05
61
0.33
18,676
100.00
Israel
38
0.20
Luxembourg
15
0.08
Unknown
0.02
Cyprus
Unknown
Total
123
0.02
18,676
100.00
Total
481
Dimension
Description
IENV
Industry environmental
risk
Describes the environmental risks inherent in a specific industry at a specific point in time. Industries are
defined by their 6- or 8-digit GICS codes
FEPF
Firm environmental
performance
FEPR
Firm environmental
preparedness
Captures the efforts of the management in environmental sustainability, for instance, environmental
certification, environmental policy and programmes
ISOC
Describes the social risks inherent in a specific industry at a specific point in time. Industries are defined by
their 6- or 8-digit GICS codes
FEMP
Firm rating for the compliance with general human rights issues, such as exclusion of child labour and
discrimination
FCOM
Captures the engagement of a firm in the community. Indicators are, for instance, policies for local
community involvement, a document policy towards prevention of corruption and a policy to identify the
social impacts of the firms investments
FSUP
Captures the efforts of a firm in screening its entire supply chain for compliance with human rights.
Indicators are the existence of a corresponding management system and a supplier policy that covers the
core value of the International Labor Organization
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K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
Mnemonic
Description
MV
MV
Market value, calculated as the product of ordinary shares and share price scaled by total assets (WC02999A)
BV
WC03501A
Common equity, which, amongst others, includes common stock value, retained earnings, capital surplus, capital
stock premiums and cumulative gain or loss of foreign currency translation. BV is scaled by total assets
(WC02999A)
NI
LO
WC01751A
Net income available to common, excluding extraordinary items. NI is scaled by total assets (WC02999A)
Loss, which takes the value of NI if NI is negative and a value of zero otherwise
BVI
Interaction variable of BV and a dummy that takes the value of 1 if the accounting standards are IAS/IFRS and zero
otherwise
BVL
Interaction variable of BV and a dummy that takes the value of 1 if the accounting standard is local and zero otherwise
NII
Interaction variable of NI and a dummy that takes the value of 1 if the accounting standards are IAS/IFRS and zero
otherwise
NIL
Interaction variable of NI and a dummy that takes the value of 1 if the accounting standard is local and zero otherwise
LOI
Interaction variable of LO and a dummy that takes the value of 1 if the accounting standards are IAS/IFRS and zero
otherwise
LOL
Interaction variable of LO and a dummy that takes the value of 1 if the accounting standard is local and zero otherwise
SG
WC08631A
Sales growth, calculated as follows: (Current years net sales or revenues divided by last years total net sales or
revenues - 1)*100
LEV
Leverage, calculated as the relation of total debt (WC03255A) to total assets (WC02999A)
TA
WC02999A
EGY
ENERDP033
Represents total assets, i.e. the sum of total current assets, long-term receivables, investment in unconsolidated
subsidiaries, other investments, net property plant and equipment and other assets
Total direct and indirect energy consumption, scaled by sales (WC01001A)
ACC
SOHSDP027
Number of injuries and fatalities reported by employees and contractors whilst working for the company, divided by
the number of employees (WC07011) and sales (WC01001A)
123
market participants perceive losses as temporary and limited liability prevents negative market values (Hayn 1995;
Basu, 1997). Since quarterly data are released with a fairly
short delay, and capital markets are assumed to have the
ability to accurately anticipate accounting information, no
time lag is included. Nevertheless, all results that are
reported later in this paper have been checked for sensitivity to a time lag of three month and are found to be
robust to this modification.
Column A of Table 5 shows the regression results for all
the observations with available accounting and market
data. It is noticeable that the absolute value of the loss
variables coefficient is larger than its counterpart for net
income. This result is not in line with economic theory
because it implies that higher losses are connected to a
higher market value. Furthermore, the marginal effects of
book value of equity under IAS/IFRS, which is the sum of
the coefficients on BV and BVI, and local accounting
standards, which is the sum of the coefficients on BV and
BVL, are negative. Therefore, the estimates of the reference
model lack economic reason. It is known from other
empirical studies (Collins et al. 1997; Hirschey et al. 2001;
Rajgopal et al. 2003) that removing statistical outliers can
solve this problem. After removing outliers in a three-step
procedure, defined as observations with an externally studentized residual greater than 12 (8 in the second and 4 in
2.12
1.00
7.00
Median
SD
Min
Max
-0.13***
BVL
***
LO
0.15
-0.60
0.00
0.02
SD
Max
0.00
Median
Min
0.00
Mean
lnTA
0.99
-3.55
0.19
0.00
0.09
BVI
0.27
***
0.03***
-0.09***
LEV
***
-0.04
0.00
SG
0.98
-0.49
0.21
0.00
0.10
BVL
0.17
***
0.02***
-0.04
-0.02
***
0.02
-0.02
***
-0.01
**
0.02
-0.02
**
**
0.02
0.08
***
**
***
-0.03
0.08
***
0.08***
0.19
0.01
0.00
***
***
-0.10
0.00
0.37
0.40
***
0.62***
-0.30***
1.00
7.00
1.00
1.89
4.00
3.39
FEPR
**
-0.04
***
-0.03
***
0.02**
0.20
***
LOL
LOI
NIL
NII
-0.14
BVI
***
0.01
LO
***
**
0.02
-0.03***
-0.02***
NI
***
***
-0.14
-0.07***
0.40
0.40
***
0.04
-0.18***
***
0.10
***
-0.12
***
0.65
***
-0.18***
0.78***
1.00
7.00
1.00
1.64
3.00
2.66
FEPF
MV
BV
FSUP
FCOM
-0.22
FEMP
***
0.66
***
-0.42
ISOC
FEPR
-0.27***
FEPF
***
1.00
IENV
3.76
4.00
Mean
IENV
***
1.08
-0.49
0.02
0.00
0.01
NII
0.27
***
-0.01
-0.01
0.01
0.00
-0.04
***
-0.05
***
-0.10***
-0.09
0.00
-0.10***
-0.11
-0.27***
***
-0.04
***
-0.12***
-0.13***
1.00
7.00
1.00
2.21
4.00
3.77
ISOC
***
***
0.22
-0.47
0.01
0.00
0.00
NIL
0.31
***
0.07***
-0.04
0.02
**
-0.02
**
***
-0.11
0.10
***
-0.21***
0.24
0.01
-0.01
-0.12
-0.15***
***
0.53***
0.58***
1.00
7.00
1.00
1.44
3.00
2.89
FEMP
***
***
***
0.00
-0.49
0.01
0.00
0.00
LOI
0.24
***
0.08***
-0.01
0.06
0.02
**
-0.08
0.02
**
-0.27***
0.05
0.01
0.02**
0.01
-0.10***
0.44***
1.00
7.00
1.00
1.34
3.00
2.90
FCOM
***
***
0.00
-0.47
0.01
0.00
0.00
LOL
***
-0.01
0.27
***
***
-0.03
0.03
0.00
-0.05
0.10
***
-0.18***
0.18
0.02
**
0.05***
-0.01
-0.11***
1.00
7.00
1.00
1.37
1.00
1.97
FSUP
4805.42
-3691.93
64.46
6.27
8.86
SG
-0.48
***
-0.17***
0.05
***
0.03
***
0.00
0.11
***
0.15
***
0.01
0.03
***
0.01
0.36***
1.00
0.36***
33.06
0.00
1.28
0.68
1.05
MV
3.97
0.00
0.19
0.23
0.26
LEV
-0.45
***
-0.51***
0.02
***
0.00
0.01
0.17
***
0.03
***
0.35***
0.26
***
0.02**
0.20***
1.00
1.03
-3.55
0.23
0.37
0.37
BV
25.35
12.22
1.65
16.43
16.68
lnTA
-0.19***
-0.12***
0.03***
0.25***
0.36***
0.33***
0.65***
0.01*
0.13***
0.67***
1.00
1.08
-0.60
0.03
0.01
0.02
NI
123
1.00
0.08***
1.00
0.01
-0.01
0.00
-0.02***
0.04***
Regression Models
To test for the effects of the various levels and dimensions of
corporate sustainability on firm value, the market value of a
firms equity is regressed on its GES ratings and all of the
independent variables in the reference model, which are now
interpreted as control variables and summarized under CTRL.
0.04***
Variables
Column A: before
removing outliers
Column B: after
removing outliers
BV
1.3808***
0.9431***
(0.1020)
(0.0398)
-0.12***
NI
Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels
-0.11***
LO
-0.24***
-0.10***
0.06***
0.01
0.00
-0.16***
-0.01
0.00
-0.12***
-0.06***
0.01
SG
LEV
lnTA
-0.05***
0.02
0.02
-0.09***
***
1.00
1.00
-0.01
-0.12
0.04
0.34
LOL
0.02**
1.00
0.51***
0.02
***
***
***
-0.10
0.53
LOI
***
0.46***
0.04
***
***
1.00
-0.06***
0.21
NIL
-0.12***
1.00
0.48***
-0.11
***
***
0.39***
NII
0.27
***
-0.23***
BVL
0.02
**
1.00
1.00
-0.01
BVI
LO
***
LOI
NIL
NII
BVL
BVI
LO
Table 4 continued
123
***
LOL
SG
1.00
lnTA
K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
LEV
484
BVI
BVL
11.0762***
8.7503***
(0.5773)
(0.2633)
-11.5836***
-8.6348***
(0.7280)
(0.3154)
-1.6401***
-0.0919*
(0.1234)
(0.0487)
-1.7591***
-0.2674***
(0.1406)
(0.0526)
NII
-6.8652***
(0.6821)
-6.2689***
(0.3336)
NIL
-6.7727***
-5.9098***
(0.9242)
(0.3874)
5.9914***
5.4080***
(0.9939)
(0.4556)
7.3164***
5.3147***
LOI
LOL
SG
LEV
lnTA
(1.4505)
(0.5493)
0.0093
0.0019
(0.0077)
(0.0034)
0.2713***
-0.2193***
(0.0710)
(0.0297)
-0.4581***
-0.2523***
(0.0085)
(0.0034)
Observations
18,676
16,619
Firms
Adj. R2
2,266
1,993
0.2321
0.5135
Date
485
GES
Tape
Missing accounting
or market data
Statistical
outliers
Sample after
removing outliers
End of Q04/2003
890
233
657
46
611
End of Q02/2004
1,000
297
703
94
609
End of Q04/2004
994
248
746
59
687
End of Q02/2005
1,000
292
708
59
649
End of Q04/2005
1,000
205
795
80
715
End of Q02/2006
999
195
804
74
730
End of Q04/2006
1,000
128
872
75
797
End of Q02/2007
1,002
162
840
65
775
End of Q04/2007
1,883
254
1,629
255
1,374
End of Q02/2008
1,941
267
1,674
213
1,461
End of Q04/2008
End of Q02/2009
1,696
1,676
150
142
1,546
1,534
172
80
1,374
1,454
End of Q04/2009
1,659
93
1,566
112
1,454
End of Q02/2010
1,658
103
1,555
113
1,442
End of Q04/2010
1,655
60
1,595
164
1,431
End of Q02/2011
Total
1,679
227
1,452
396
1,056
21,732
3,056
18,676
2,058
16,619
Sample before
removing outliers
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K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
Results
Endogeneity and Method of Estimation
Regression Results
The degree to which a firm follows the concept of sustainability is at the discretion of the management, and the
net benefits that arise from a given level of corporate
sustainability may depend on size, which is proxied by
market capitalization. Therefore, the regression models
potentially suffer from endogeneity due to reverse causality. Other potential sources of endogeneity are measurement errors in the sustainability proxies and omitted
variables. In these cases, the coefficient estimates are
biased and the results of the empirical analysis are unreliable (Wooldridge 2010, Chap. 8). To mitigate the problem
of endogeneity, we estimate each model using an instrument variable approach.
Since it is difficult to find valid and relevant instruments
for corporate sustainability in a price-level regression, we
do not claim to have found perfect instruments, but rather
the best available instruments. For the environmental
dimensions of corporate sustainability, these are the 6-digit
GICS industry averages of the potentially endogenous
variables calculated without the instrumented observation
and the industry average of energy consumption scaled by
sales. The proxies for corporate sustainability in the social
dimension are instrumented by their industry averages and
the industry average of the total accidents per employees
scaled by sales. Using industry averages as instruments
solves the problem of pure reverse causality that is not the
result of omitted variables because a firms market valuation is unlikely to affect the level of corporate sustainability of other firms in the same industry. The calculation
procedure also largely averages out random measurement
errors. However, there can be industry-specific factors that
affect both valuation of the firms and their chosen level of
the corporate sustainability. If these effects are constant
over time, they will be mitigated by fixed effects estimation. If they vary over time, they will prevent the
123
487
Hyp.
Exp.
(a)
(b)
Variables
Hyp.
Exp.
(c)
(d)
(e)
IENV
H2
-0.0329***
-0.0332***
ISOC
H2
-0.0302***
-0.0228***
-0.0208***
(0.0044)
(0.0044)
(0.0048)
(0.0052)
(0.0057)
FEPF
H1
FEPR
H1
-0.0061
FEMP
H1
FCOM
H1
(0.0038)
-0.0036
(0.0040)
-0.0049
-0.0011
(0.0042)
(0.0045)
FSUP
H1
0.0018
(0.0055)
BV
0.9552***
(0.0919)
(0.0917)
NI
8.7162***
(0.7098)
LO
BVI
BVL
NII
NIL
LOI
LOL
0.9566***
BV
0.9388***
(0.0915)
(0.0972)
(0.1006)
8.7030***
(0.7107)
NI
8.6904***
(0.6970)
8.6614***
(0.6819)
8.4205***
(0.6652)
-8.6282***
-8.6188***
LO
-8.5906***
-8.5593***
-8.3554***
(0.7626)
(0.7637)
(0.7494)
(0.7343)
(0.7137)
-0.1025
-0.1076
-0.0784
-0.0240
-0.0411
(0.1181)
(0.1181)
(0.1215)
(0.1293)
(0.1318)
-0.2752**
-0.2750**
-0.2512**
-0.2986**
-0.3351***
(0.1167)
(0.1164)
(0.1187)
(0.1248)
(0.1271)
-6.2491***
-6.2401***
-6.1640***
-5.8863***
-5.2990***
(0.7963)
(0.8010)
(0.8147)
-5.9008***
-5.8013***
-4.9586***
(0.8375)
(0.8312)
(0.8557)
LOI
5.4156***
4.8546***
4.2495***
(0.9021)
(0.9185)
(1.0200)
LOL
5.3260***
5.0148***
4.0153***
(0.8034)
(0.8027)
-5.9537***
-5.9317***
(0.8464)
(0.8479)
5.4559***
5.4533***
(0.9056)
(0.9052)
5.3637***
5.3473***
BVI
BVL
NII
NIL
0.9451***
0.9675***
(0.9535)
(0.9551)
(0.9441)
(0.9419)
(0.9726)
SG
0.0018
(0.0029)
0.0016
(0.0029)
SG
0.0020
(0.0029)
0.0040
(0.0030)
0.0225*
(0.0127)
LEV
-0.1981***
-0.1968***
LEV
-0.1953***
-0.1541***
-0.1619***
(0.0532)
(0.0531)
(0.0525)
(0.0550)
(0.0622)
-0.2522***
-0.2521***
-0.2523***
-0.2528***
-0.2614***
(0.0057)
(0.0057)
(0.0057)
(0.0059)
(0.0064)
Time dummies
YES
YES
Time dummies
YES
YES
YES
Firm dummies
YES
YES
Firm dummies
YES
YES
YES
Observations
16,556
16,556
Observations
16,555
13,890
11,590
lnTA
lnTA
Firms
1,968
1,968
Firms
1,968
1,781
1,399
Adj. R2
0.5202
0.5201
Adj. R2
0.5193
0.5334
0.5465
Heteroskedasticity and cluster robust standard errors from GMM estimation are displayed in parentheses. Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels. Variables are defined as in Tables 2 and 3
123
488
K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
Hyp.
Exp.
IENV
H2
FEPF
H1
FEPR
H1
(a)
(b)
Variables
Hyp.
Exp.
(c)
(d)
(e)
-0.0390***
-0.0376***
ISOC
H2
-0.0383***
-0.0270***
-0.0295***
(0.0049)
(0.0050)
(0.0053)
(0.0053)
(0.0070)
-0.0288
FEMP
H1
FCOM
H1
FSUP
H1
(0.0449)
-0.0140
(0.1309)
-0.0068
-0.0694**
(0.0290)
(0.0335)
0.1004
(0.1041)
BV
NI
LO
BVI
BVL
NII
0.9475***
0.9611***
BV
0.8782***
0.8223***
0.8505***
(0.1055)
(0.1022)
8.0837***
(0.6807)
(0.1304)
(0.1108)
(0.1124)
8.1269***
(0.6891)
NI
7.7301***
(0.6466)
7.8526***
(0.6467)
7.8451***
(0.7046)
-7.9594***
-8.0296***
LO
-7.5834***
-7.7448***
-7.7841***
(0.7446)
(0.7447)
(0.7051)
(0.7099)
(0.7727)
-0.1369
-0.1484
-0.0341
0.0226
-0.0186
(0.1243)
(0.1277)
(0.1641)
(0.1458)
(0.1403)
-0.2679**
-0.2778**
BVL
-0.1903
-0.1643
-0.1620
(0.1343)
(0.1402)
(0.1427)
NII
-4.8914***
-5.1992***
-4.5043***
(0.8020)
(0.7872)
(0.8182)
NIL
-4.4146***
-4.5160***
-4.6910***
(1.1290)
(0.8449)
(1.0117)
LOI
3.8665***
4.1693***
3.0369***
(0.9367)
(0.9176)
(1.0373)
LOL
3.4617***
3.5938***
3.7626***
(0.1247)
(0.1233)
-5.5598***
-5.6712***
BVI
(0.7954)
(0.7809)
-5.4538***
-5.4871***
(0.8305)
(0.8576)
4.7348***
4.8701***
(0.9067)
(0.8825)
LOL
4.7313***
4.8200***
(0.9470)
(0.9644)
(1.2201)
(0.9727)
(1.1615)
SG
0.0012
(0.0028)
0.0012
(0.0029)
SG
0.0002
(0.0039)
0.0016
(0.0032)
0.0076
(0.0154)
LEV
-0.2329***
-0.2229***
LEV
-0.1966***
-0.1660***
-0.1873**
(0.0604)
(0.0563)
(0.0578)
(0.0619)
(0.0728)
-0.2487***
-0.2493***
-0.2488***
-0.2508***
-0.2576***
(0.0059)
(0.0058)
(0.0058)
(0.0060)
(0.0068)
Time dummies
YES
YES
Time dummies
YES
YES
YES
Firm dummies
YES
YES
Firm dummies
YES
YES
YES
Observations
15,121
15,121
Observations
13,284
11,638
9,742
NIL
LOI
lnTA
lnTA
Firms
1,896
1,896
Firms
1,789
1,640
1,294
Adj. R2
0.5227
0.5257
Adj. R2
0.5256
0.5163
0.5134
KleibergenPaap (KP)
17.1523
40.4726
KP
4.5025
53.0325
5.3760
p-value (KP)
0.0002
0.0000
p-value (KP)
0.1050
0.0000
0.0680
Hansen-J
0.0014
0.3533
Hansen-J
0.4660
0.1843
0.1641
p-value (J)
0.9710
0.5538
p-value (J)
0.4950
0.6686
0.6859
Heteroskedasticity and cluster robust standard errors from GMM estimation are displayed in parentheses. Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels. Variables are defined as in Tables 2 and 3. The Kleibergen-Paap (KP) Wald F-statistic tests
the relevance of the instruments. Its null hypothesis is that the instruments are uncorrelated with the endogenous regressors (Kleibergen and Paap
2006). Hansen-J is a test of the over-identifying restrictions. Its null hypothesis is that the instruments are exogenous (Hansen 1982)
123
H3
CRISIS 9 FEPF
H3
CRISIS 9 FEPR
1,968
0.5208
Firm dummies
Observations
Firms
Adj. R2
0.5203
1,968
YES
16,556
YES
YES
(0.0001)
0.0000
(0.0042)
0.0056
(0.0042)
-0.0056
H3
CRISIS 9 FSUP
Adj. R2
Firms
Firm dummies
Observations
Time dummies
CTRL
(FSUP|CRISIS = 1)
H1
H3
H1
H3
H1
H3
H2
Hyp.
FSUP
(FCOM|CRISIS = 1)
CRISIS 9 FCOM
FCOM
(FEMP|CRISIS = 1)
CRISIS 9 FEMP
FEMP
(ISOC|CRISIS = 1)
CRISIS 9 ISOC
ISOC
Variables
Exp.
0.5224
1,968
YES
16,555
YES
YES
0.0096*
(0.0052)
(0.0046)
0.0167***
(0.0042)
-0.0071*
(0.0064)
-0.0095
(0.0033)
0.0179***
(0.0048)
-0.0274***
(c)
0.5335
1,781
YES
13,890
YES
YES
(0.0070)
-0.0004
(0.0053)
0.0015
(0.0047)
-0.0019
(0.0073)
-0.0174**
(0.0041)
0.0050
(0.0053)
-0.0224***
(d)
0.5480
1,399
YES
11,590
YES
YES
(0.0072)
0.0015
(0.0065)
-0.0022
(0.0059)
0.0037
(0.0008)
-0.0371***
(0.0062)
-0.0191***
(0.0057)
-0.0180***
(e)
Heteroskedasticity and cluster robust standard errors from GMM estimation are displayed in parentheses. Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels.
Variables are defined as in Tables 2 and 3
YES
YES
16,556
Time dummies
YES
0.0005
(0.0333)
(0.0042)
0.0089**
(0.0038)
-0.0084**
-0.0295***
(0.0049)
-0.0293***
(0.0033)
(0.0031)
(0.0049)
0.0057*
0.0053*
-0.0352***
(0.0045)
-0.0346***
(b)
(0.0044)
(a)
CTRL
(FEPR|CRISIS = 1)
H1
FEPR
?
(FEPF|CRISIS = 1)
H1
FEPF
H3
CRISIS 9 IENV
H2
IENV
Exp.
(IENV|CRISIS = 1)
Hyp.
Variables
123
123
H3
CRISIS 9 FEPF
H3
CRISIS 9 FEPR
(0.0133)
15.9803
0.0012
0.0808
0.9600
KleibergenPaap
p-value (KP)
Hansen-J
p-value (J)
0.8620
0.2970
0.0000
35.2655
0.5246
1,896
15,121
YES
YES
YES
(0.0370)
-0.0130
(0.0129)
0.0073
(0.0330)
H3
CRISIS 9 FSUP
p-value (J)
Hansen-J
p-value (KP)
KP
Adj. R2
Firms
Observations
Firm dummies
Time dummies
CTRL
(FSUP|CRISIS = 1)
H1
H3
H1
H3
H1
H3
H2
Hyp.
FSUP
(FCOM|CRISIS = 1)
CRISIS 9 FCOM
FCOM
(FEMP|CRISIS = 1)
CRISIS 9 FEMP
FEMP
(ISOC|CRISIS = 1)
CRISIS 9 ISOC
ISOC
Variables
Exp.
0.8620
0.2970
0.0692
7.0870
0.5168
1,789
13,284
YES
YES
YES
(0.0923)
0.0632
(0.0208)
0.0036*
(0.1008)
0.0274
(0.0082)
-0.0189**
(0.0046)
0.0175***
(0.0057)
-0.0364***
(c)
0.2980
2.4240
0.0000
44.0512
0.5006
1,640
11,638
YES
YES
YES
(0.4890)
-0.0258
(0.0333)
0.0605*
(0.0349)
-0.0863**
(0.0273)
-0.0144*
(0.0049)
0.0086*
(0.0054)
-0.0230***
(d)
0.0073
9.8400
0.0811
6.7270
0.5511
1,294
9,742
YES
YES
YES
(0.0836)
-0.0513
(0.0291)
-0.0154
(0.0908)
-0.0359
(0.0123)
-0.0447***
(0.0090)
-0.0211**
(0.0065)
-0.0236***
(e)
Heteroskedasticity and cluster robust standard errors from GMM estimation are displayed in parentheses. Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels. Variables are defined as
in Tables 2 and 3. The KP Wald F-statistic tests the relevance of the instruments. Its null hypothesis is that the instruments are uncorrelated with the endogenous regressors (Kleibergen and Paap 2006). Hansen-J is a test
of the over-identifying restrictions. Its null hypothesis is that the instruments are exogenous (Hansen 1982)
1,896
0.5129
15,121
Observations
Adj. R2
YES
Firm dummies
Firms
YES
Time dummies
(0.0333)
0.0086
YES
(0.0326)
0.0474***
-0.0203
(0.0049)
-0.0388
(0.0050)
(0.0052)
-0.0333***
(0.0044)
-0.0332***
0.0087*
(0.0067)
0.0145***
-0.0420***
-0.0477***
(b)
(0.0057)
(a)
CTRL
(FEPR|CRISIS = 1)
H1
FEPR
?
(FEPF|CRISIS = 1)
H1
FEPF
H3
CRISIS 9 IENV
H2
IENV
Exp.
(IENV|CRISIS = 1)
Hyp.
Variables
490
K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
(0.0062)
YES
YES
16,556
1,968
0.5209
Time dummies
Firm dummies
Observations
Firms
Adj. R2
0.5212
1,968
16,556
YES
YES
YES
(0.0022)
-0.0063***
(0.0020)
-0.0064***
(0.0015)
0.0001
(0.0081)
0.0285***
(0.0079)
Adj. R2
Firms
Observations
Firm dummies
Time dummies
CTRL
(ISOC 9 FSUP|CRISIS = 1)
Exp.
H4
H4
H4
Hyp.
ISOC 9 FSUP
CRISIS 9 FSUP
FSUP
(ISOC 9 FCOM|CRISIS = 1)
ISOC 9 FCOM
CRISIS 9 FCOM
FCOM
(ISOC 9 FEMP|CRISIS = 1)
ISOC 9 FEMP
CRISIS 9 FEMP
FEMP
CRISIS 9 ISOC
ISOC
Variables
0.5266
1,968
16,555
YES
YES
YES
(0.0013)
-0.0088***
(0.0011)
-0.0033***
(0.0010)
-0.0055***
(0.0059)
0.0242***
(0.0062)
0.0145**
(0.0042)
0.0257***
(0.0048)
-0.0240***
(c)
0.5371
1,781
13,890
YES
YES
YES
(0.0015)
-0.0078***
(0.0014)
-0.0077***
(0.0013)
-0.0001
(0.0064)
0.0225***
(0.0063)
-0.0011
(0.0046)
0.0181***
(0.0052)
-0.0221***
(d)
0.5509
1,399
11,590
YES
YES
YES
(0.0030)
-0.0115***
(0.0023)
-0.0103***
(0.0022)
-0.0012
(0.0094)
0.0283***
(0.0082)
0.0050
(0.0066)
-0.0085
(0.0057)
-0.0166***
(e)
Heteroskedasticity and cluster robust standard errors from GMM estimation are displayed in parentheses. Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels. Variables are defined as in Tables 2 and 3
YES
(0.0020)
-0.0034*
(0.0020)
-0.0020
(0.0013)
-0.0014
(0.0082)
0.0156*
-0.0059
(0.0073)
(0.0065)
-0.0031
0.0277***
0.0118*
-0.0388***
(0.0068)
-0.0323***
(b)
(0.0058)
(a)
CTRL
(IENV 9 FEPR|CRISIS = 1)
?
?
H4
IENV 9 FEPR
CRISIS 9 FEPR
FEPR
(IENV 9 FEPF|CRISIS = 1)
Exp.
H4
Hyp.
IENV 9 FEPF
CRISIS 9 FEPF
FEPF
CRISIS 9 IENV
IENV
Variables
123
123
YES
YES
Time dummies
(0.0158)
-0.0056***
-0.0636***
(0.0112)
(0.0085)
0.0072
(0.0453)
0.2805***
(0.0412)
YES
YES
(0.0127)
-0.0372***
(0.0079)
-0.0396***
(0.0087)
0.0023
(0.0345)
0.1697***
(0.0456)
-0.0177
(0.0286)
(0.0359)
-0.0510
0.1525***
(0.0257)
0.2041***
-0.0751***
(0.0191)
(b)
-0.0876***
(a)
CTRL
(IENV 9 FEPR|CRISIS = 1)
?
?
H4
IENV 9 FEPR
CRISIS 9 FEPR
FEPR
(IENV 9 FEPF|CRISIS = 1)
Exp.
H4
Hyp.
IENV 9 FEPF
CRISIS 9 FEPF
FEPF
CRISIS 9 IENV
IENV
Variables
YES
(0.0094)
-0.0054
(0.0062)
0.0031
(0.0090)
-0.0085
(0.0391)
0.0488
(0.0356)
-0.0927***
(0.0103)
(0.0112)
0.0035
(0.0086)
-0.0191**
(d)
(0.0844)
-0.0335
(0.0148)
-0.0016
(0.0067)
-0.0201***
(e)
(ISOC 9 FSUP|CRISIS = 1)
Time dummies
CTRL
YES
YES
YES
YES
(0.0157)
-0.0206
(0.0127)
-0.0300**
(0.0115)
0.0094
YES
-0.0439***
-0.0108**
(0.0054)
(0.0069)
-0.0331***
(0.0329)
0.0972***
(0.1196)
0.3079**
(0.0129)
0.0433***
(0.0073)
-0.0203***
(c)
ISOC 9 FSUP
Exp.
0.1389*
(0.0761)
H4
H4
H4
Hyp.
CRISIS 9 FSUP
FSUP
(ISOC 9 FCOM|CRISIS = 1)
ISOC 9 FCOM
CRISIS 9 FCOM
FCOM
(ISOC 9 FEMP|CRISIS = 1)
ISOC 9 FEMP
CRISIS 9 FEMP
FEMP
CRISIS 9 ISOC
ISOC
Variables
492
K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
Hansen-J
p-value (J)
p-value (J)
2.0740
3.7290
0.4440
Hansen-J
0.7220
p-value (KP)
0.0003
0.0000
KP
p-value (KP)
0.4971
37.1560
23.6104
0.4218
KP
Adj. R
Number of firms
1,896
1,896
Number of firms
Adj. R
493
Heteroskedasticity and cluster robust standard errors from GMM estimation are displayed in parentheses. Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels.
Variables are defined as in Tables 2 and 3. The KP Wald F-statistic tests the relevance of the instruments. Its null hypothesis is that the instruments are uncorrelated with the endogenous
regressors (Kleibergen and Paap 2006). Hansen-J is a test of the over-identifying restrictions. Its null hypothesis is that the instruments are exogenous (Hansen 1982)
17.9300
0.0013
0.0044
15.1300
9.4990
0.0498
14.1719
0.0145
0.000
0.1030
0.5365
0.4715
30.3240
9.1560
0.1916
9,742
1,294
1,640
1,789
YES
YES
11,638
13,284
YES
Firm dummies
Observations
15,121
15,121
Observations
YES
YES
Firm dummies
Variables
Table 12 continued
Hyp.
Exp.
(a)
(b)
Variables
Hyp.
Exp.
(c)
(d)
(e)
123
494
K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
CRISIS
ISUS
1
Panel A: Conditional marginal effects of corporate sustainability on market value before the crisis
FEPF
FEPR
0
0
-0.0044
-0.0058
-0.0072*
-0.0086**
-0.0010**
-0.0113**
-0.0127**
(0.0052)
(0.0045)
(0.0039)
(0.0038)
(0.0040)
(0.0046)
(0.0054)
-0.0059
-0.0058
-0.0057
-0.0057
-0.0056
-0.0056
-0.0055
(0.0067)
(0.0056)
(0.0047)
(0.0042)
(0.0042)
(0.0047)
(0.0055)
FEMP
0.0090
0.0036
-0.0019
-0.0074*
-0.0129***
-0.0184***
-0.0239***
FCOM
(0.0055)
-0.0012
(0.0049)
-0.0013
(0.0045)
-0.0014
(0.0042)
-0.0016
(0.0041)
-0.0017
(0.0043)
-0.0018
(0.0047)
-0.0019
(0.0055)
(0.0049)
(0.0047)
(0.0048)
(0.0052)
(0.0059)
(0.0068)
FSUP
0.0037
0.0025
0.0013
0.0001
-0.0012
-0.0024
-0.0036
(0.0068)
(0.0059)
(0.0056)
(0.0062)
(0.0074)
(0.0090)
(0.0107)
-0.0080
-0.0115
Panel B: Conditional marginal effects of corporate sustainability on market value during the crisis
FEPF
0.0091
0.0057
(0.0068)
(0.0057)
(0.0052)
(0.0054)
(0.0064)
(0.0078)
(0.0094)
FEPR
0.0163**
0.0099
0.0036
-0.0027
-0.0090
-0.0153**
-0.0216**
(0.0075)
(0.0061)
(0.0053)
(0.0054)
(0.0062)
(0.0077)
(0.0094)
FEMP
0.0300***
0.0212***
0.0125**
0.0037
-0.0050
-0.0138**
-0.0225***
(0.0060)
(0.0055)
(0.0052)
(0.0052)
(0.0056)
(0.0061)
(0.0069)
FCOM
0.0136**
0.0058
-0.0019
-0.0097
-0.0175**
-0.0252***
-0.0330***
(0.0061)
(0.0058)
(0.0058)
(0.0062)
(0.0070)
(0.0079)
(0.0090)
FSUP
0.0218***
0.0103
-0.0012
-0.0127
-0.02420**
-0.0357***
-0.0472***
(0.0084)
(0.0072)
(0.0071)
Panel C: Differences in the marginal effects from panels A and B
(0.0082)
(0.0101)
(0.0125)
(0.0151)
0.0074*
0.0053
0.0033
0.0012
-0.0046
(1)(0)
0.0135**
(0.0066)
(0.0053)
(0.0045)
(0.0044)
(0.0052)
(0.0066)
(0.0082)
FEPR
(1)(0)
0.0221***
0.0158***
0.0094**
0.0030
-0.0034
-0.0097
-0.0161*
(0.0065)
(0.0052)
(0.0045)
(0.0045)
(0.0053)
(0.0067)
(0.0082)
FEMP
(1)(0)
0.0209***
0.0177***
0.0144***
0.0112**
0.0079
0.0047
0.0014
(0.0052)
(0.0048)
(0.0046)
(0.0046)
(0.0049)
(0.0054)
(0.0061)
0.0148**
0.0072
-0.0005
-0.0082
-0.0158**
-0.0235***
-0.0311***
(0.0057)
(0.0054)
(0.0053)
(0.0056)
(0.0062)
(0.0070)
(0.0080)
0.0180**
0.0078
-0.0025
-0.0128**
-0.0230***
-0.0333***
-0.0436***
(0.0079)
(0.0068)
(0.0064)
(0.0068)
(0.0079)
(0.0094)
(0.0111)
FSUP
(1)(0)
(1)(0)
0.0094**
-0.0012
FEPF
FCOM
0.0115**
0.0022
Heteroskedasticity and cluster robust standard errors from GMM estimation are displayed in parentheses. Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels. Variables are defined as in Tables 2 and 3
123
The results are also visualized in Fig. 2 for the environmental dimensions and Fig. 3 for the social dimensions.
The marginal effects of the corporate sustainability ratings
are represented by the grey lines, whereas the dark lines
show the marginal effect after crisis. The dashed and dotted
lines indicate the 95 % confidence intervals. The dark lines
for perception after the crisis have steeper negative slopes,
which reflect positive perceptions of corporate sustainability when industry risks are high and negative perceptions when industry risks are low. Together with the results
495
Table 14 Conditional marginal effects of corporate sustainability on market value (instrument variable regression)
Variable
CRISIS
ISUS
1
Panel A: Conditional marginal effects of corporate sustainability on market value during the crisis
FEPF
-0.0438
-0.0366
-0.0294
-0.0222
-0.0150
-0.0078
-0.0006
(0.0373)
(0.0351)
(0.0349)
(0.0367)
(0.0402)
(0.0452)
(0.0510)
-0.0154
-0.0132
-0.0109
-0.0086
-0.0063
-0.0040
-0.0017
(0.0407)
(0.0371)
(0.0353)
(0.0356)
(0.0380)
(0.0420)
(0.0473)
0.2748**
0.2417**
0.2086*
0.1755
0.1424
0.1093
0.0762
FCOM
(0.1199)
-0.1013***
(0.1205)
-0.1098***
(0.1216)
-0.1183***
(0.1230)
-0.1268**
(0.1248)
-0.1353**
(0.1270)
-0.1439**
(0.1294)
-0.1524**
FSUP
FEPR
FEMP
0
0
(0.0370)
(0.0405)
(0.0455)
(0.0516)
(0.0585)
(0.0659)
(0.0737)
-0.0241
-0.0148
-0.0054
0.0039
0.0133
0.0226
0.0320
(0.0795)
(0.0760)
(0.0741)
(0.0741)
(0.0757)
(0.0791)
(0.0839)
-0.1092*
-0.1655**
Panel B: Conditional marginal effects of corporate sustainability on market value after the crisis
FEPF
FEPR
FEMP
FCOM
FSUP
0.1731***
0.1166***
0.0602
0.0038
(0.0500)
(0.0410)
(0.0370)
(0.0395)
(0.0474)
(0.0587)
(0.0717)
0.1146**
0.0773*
0.0399
0.0026
-0.0347
-0.0720
-0.1094*
(0.0521)
(0.0454)
(0.0416)
(0.0415)
(0.0452)
(0.0517)
(0.0603)
0.3612***
0.3172***
0.2733**
0.2294**
0.1854*
0.1415
0.0976
(0.1155)
(0.1120)
(0.1094)
(0.1077)
(0.1070)
(0.1072)
(0.1085)
-0.0493
-0.0548
-0.0602
-0.0656
-0.0710
-0.0764
-0.0818
(0.0490)
(0.0485)
(0.0498)
(0.0528)
(0.0571)
(0.0626)
(0.0689)
0.0848
0.0641
0.0434
0.0227
0.0020
-0.0187
-0.0394
(0.0756)
(0.0746)
(0.0770)
(0.0824)
-0.0377*
-0.1013***
-0.1649***
(0.0955)
(0.0865)
(0.0797)
Panel C: Differences in the marginal effects from panels A and B
FEPF
(1)(0)
FEPR
(1)(0)
FEMP
(1)(0)
FCOM
FSUP
(1)(0)
(1)(0)
-0.0527
0.2167***
0.1532***
0.0896***
0.0260*
(0.0349)
(0.0252)
(0.0175)
(0.0151)
(0.0200)
(0.0287)
(0.0388)
0.1300***
0.0904***
0.0508***
0.0112
-0.0284*
-0.0680***
-0.1077***
(0.0276)
(0.0213)
(0.0164)
(0.0144)
(0.0165)
(0.0214)
(0.0278)
0.0863***
0.0755**
0.0647**
0.0539*
0.0430
0.0322
0.0214
(0.0309)
(0.0298)
(0.0297)
(0.0305)
(0.0323)
(0.0348)
(0.0379)
0.0519
0.0550
0.0582
0.0613
0.0644
0.0675
0.0706
(0.0384)
(0.0387)
(0.0399)
(0.0421)
(0.0450)
(0.0485)
(0.0525)
0.1089*
0.0789
0.0488
0.0188
-0.0113
-0.0413
-0.0714*
(0.0647)
(0.0539)
(0.0442)
(0.0364)
(0.0320)
(0.0323)
(0.0373)
Heteroskedasticity and cluster robust standard errors from GMM estimation are displayed in parentheses. Asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 1 % (***), 5 % (**) and 10 % (*) levels. Variables are defined as in Tables 2 and 3
123
496
123
K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
financial crisis on the capital market perception of industrylevel sustainability. With respect to the crisis-induced shift
in the interaction of firm and industry sustainability, the
test confirms our previously reported results.
The research design in this paper is based on the book
value of assets to mitigate scale effects, which are suspected to cause spurious regression. The literature also
discusses other scale factors as potential deflators, amongst
them the book value of equity and sales (Barth and Kallapur 1996; Barth and Clinch 2009). We check our results
for sensitivity to the choice of these scale factors and find
them to be robust with the only exception being the abovementioned crisis-induced shift in the capital market perception of industry sustainability.
Some empirical studies on the relevance of sustainability for firm valuation regress Tobins Q instead of the
market value of equity on the models explanatory variables, whereas in its simplest form, Tobinss Q is defined
as the quotient of market value of assets and book value of
assets. The market value of assets itself is broken down into
book value of assets plus market value of common stocks
outstanding minus book value of common equity (e.g.
Semenova and Hassel 2008; Guenster et al. 2011). With
some simple algebra, it can be shown that the specifications
that use Tobins Q are equivalent to the basic specifications
in this study if the parameter for book value of equity is
restricted to one and book value of equity is subtracted
from both sides of the regression equation. Our robustness
check for the Tobins Q specification shows that there is no
substantial difference to the results previously reported.
Since the research questions in this paper address how
sustainability is reflected in share prices, they call for
model specifications in price levels. The commonly
employed return specification measures how changes in the
regressors cause changes in the independent variable and
therefore how promptly the information is reflected (Barth
et al. 2001). Although the return specification does not
directly relate to our research questions, we check the
results for sensitivity to the choice of a return specification,
in which the dependent variable is the half-year stock
return R and the regressors are the changes in sustainability
proxies and control variables. The results indicate that the
return specification coefficient estimates are in line with
our results from the levels regressions.
Another robustness check refers to the correction of
statistical outliers as described in the Reference Model
and Removing Statistical Outliers section. Removing
outliers before including the sustainability proxies is necessary to obtain economically reasonable coefficient estimates for the reference model. However, this causes a
sample reduction that may affect the outcome of the
regression estimation. To prevent our results from being
criticized due to this approach, we also check them for
497
123
498
Conclusions
By using a sample of MSCI World firms that are evaluated
by the international rating agency GES in the period
123
K. Lopatta, T. Kaspereit
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