3 Category NamValue

3 Breakdown 1
3 Breakdown 2
3 Breakdown 3
2 Random NumbValue
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
2 Random Numb
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0

Frequency
0
1
2

0.3
0.3
0.4

66
47
37
97
74
75
76
41
70
37

2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0

3
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
max
maxrow
maxcol

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
15
3

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

19
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

21
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

22
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

23
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

24
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

25 max
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Henry Car Rental Agency

Forecasting

Moving averages - 3 period moving average

Enter
Enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the data
data area
area

Num pds
Data
Period
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
Period 4
Period 5
Period 6
Period 7
Period 8
Period 9
Period 10
Period 11
Period 12

Demand
126
200
243
167
132
211
243
167
131
208
251
171

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast
Error

Total
Average

Next period

210

189.6666666667 -22.66666667
203.3333333333 -71.33333333
180.6666666667 30.333333333
170
73
195.3333333333 -28.33333333
207
-76
180.3333333333 27.666666667
168.6666666667 82.333333333
196.6666666667 -25.66666667
-10.66666667
-1.185185185
Bias

Forecasting

Absolute

Squared

Abs Pct Err

22.66666667 513.7777778
13.57%
71.33333333 5088.444444
54.04%
30.33333333 920.1111111
14.38%
73
5329
30.04%
28.33333333 802.7777778
16.97%
76
5776
58.02%
27.66666667 765.4444444
13.30%
82.33333333 6778.777778
32.80%
25.66666667 658.7777778
15.01%
437.3333333 26633.11111
248.12%
48.59259259 2959.234568
27.57%
MAD
MSE
MAPE
SE
61.68249475

Demand

Forecast

casting

Forecast

Henry Car Rental

Forecasting

Weighted moving averages - 3 period moving average

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Enter
Enter
weights
weights in
in INCREASING
INCREASING order
order from
from top
top to
to
bottom.
bottom.

Data
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
Absolute

Demand Weights
1
126
1 3 periods ago
2
200
2 2 periods ago
3
243
3 1 periods ago
4
167
209.1667 -42.1667 42.16667
5
132
197.8333 -65.8333 65.83333
6
211
162.1667 48.83333 48.83333
7
243
177.3333 65.66667 65.66667
8
167
213.8333 -46.8333 46.83333
9
131
199.6667 -68.6667 68.66667
10
208
161.6667 46.33333 46.33333
11
251
175.5
75.5
75.5
12
171
216.6667 -45.6667 45.66667
Total
-32.8333
505.5
Average -3.6481 56.1667
Bias
MAD
SE
Next peri203.833

iod moving average

Forecasting

r Analysis
Squared Abs Pct Err

1778.028 25.25%
4334.028 49.87%
2384.694 23.14%
4312.111 27.02%
2193.361 28.04%
4715.111 52.42%
2146.778 22.28%
5700.25 30.08%
2085.444 26.71%
29649.81 284.81%
3294.42 31.65%
MSE
MAPE
65.0822

Demand

Forecast

ecast

Henry Car Rental

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha (between
(between 00 and
and 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then
enter
enter aa starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting forecast
forecast isis not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete
Forecasting
Exponential
smoothing
the
the error
error analysis
analysis for
for all
all rows
rows above
above the
the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.

Alpha
Data
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period
Period

0.35

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Demand
126
200
243
167
132
211
243
167
131
208
251
171

Next peri194.108

Forecasts and Error Analysis

Forecast Error
AbsoluteSquared Abs Pct Err
126
0
0
0 00.00%
126
74
74
5476 37.00%
151.9
91.1
91.1 8299.21 37.49%
183.785 -16.785
16.785 281.7362 10.05%
177.9103 -45.9103 45.91025 2107.751 34.78%
161.8417 49.15834 49.15834 2416.542 23.30%
179.0471 63.95292 63.95292 4089.976 26.32%
201.4306 -34.4306 34.4306 1185.466 20.62%
189.3799 -58.3799 58.37989 3408.212 44.56%
168.9469 39.05307 39.05307 1525.142 18.78%
182.6155 68.3845 68.3845 4676.439 27.24%
206.5501 -35.5501 35.55008 1263.808 0.2079
Total 194.593 576.7046 34730.28 300.93%
Average 16.2161 48.0587 2894.19 25.08%
Bias
MAD
MSE MAPE
SE 58.9324

Forecasting

Abs Pct Err

Demand

Forecast