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INTRODUCTION
The atmospheric lapse rate is the change in temperature with
altitude. Factors such as location and time of the year affect the
atmospheric lapse rate. The amount of water vapour present in
the air also strongly affects the lapse rate. Dry air cools at
about 10 C/km (the dry adiabatic lapse rate), while moist air
usually cools at less than 6 C/km (moist adiabatic lapse rate).
Adiabatic means that no outside heat is involved in the
warming or cooling of the air parcels.
When air becomes cold enough, water vapour in a rising parcel
of air condenses. Heat is released when the phase changes
from gas to liquid as little work is done in the water molecules.
The heat, that is released, decreases the cooling that takes place
in the air parcel. As a result, a rising parcel of dry air cools
faster than a moist parcel of air. And conversely a sinking
parcel of dry air warms faster than a sinking parcel of moist
air. Moist air is forced to rise when it reaches a mountain range
and this rising air cools at moist adiabatic lapse rate. This
vapour, some or all, eventually condensed and falls down as
rain or snow. As compared to the air before encountering the
mountain range it is drier and warmer. Thus, at lower elevation
range, temperature follows moist adiabatic lapse rate and dry
adiabatic lapse rate at higher elevation.
Spatial-temporal patterns of temperature variability are
relevant in hydrological modeling. Extrapolating of
temperature from meteorological stations, which are often
sparse in high elevation as compared to that in lower elevation,
is a common practice. Extrapolating or interpolating of
temperatures on climatic time scales is considered to be a
relatively straightforward meteorological variable, as for longterm climatology temperature fields are continuous and
horizontal temperature gradients are typically low, where the
Department of Agricultural Engineering, North Eastern Regional Institute
of Science and Technology, Nirjuli (Itanagar) 791109, Arunachal
Pradesh
E. mail* (Corresponding Author): arnabbandyo@yahoo.co.in
Manuscript No. 1365
16
3.
4.
Data Acquisition
The hourly data of meteorological parameters, maximum and
minimum temperature were collected for 18 stations of
Arunachal Pradesh for the period of five years (2008 2012).
The data were directly downloaded from MOSDAC website
(http://www.mosdac.gov.in/). These data were recorded by
AWSs (Automatic Weather Stations) installed at different
locations by NESAC (North East Space Application Centre).
The name, latitude, longitude, and altitude of these stations are
given in the Table 1 and locations of these stations are shown
in Fig. 1. As it can be seen from Table 1, the data conditions
for both the stations of NEEPCO are very poor and unusable.
It was therefore decided to exclude these two stations from
further calculations and the study was carried out with the
remaining 16 stations.
2.
Sl.
No.
Station Name
Data Ends
1. Anini
28.79
95.89
2068
01-10-2008
18-09-2012
2. Basar
27.98
94.70
578
28-03-2008
18-10-2012
3. Bomdila
27.26
92.42
2217
31-01-2008
28-12-2012
4. Daporijo
27.99
94.22
600
14-03-2008
01-11-2011
5. Itanagar
27.07
93.59
440
11-03-2008
20-04-2012
6. Jang
27.55
92.02
3417
01-01-2008
31-03-2010
7. Khonsa
27.19
95.47
131
22-03-2008
20-10-2012
Remarks
17
8. Koloriang
27.87
93.35
1040
30-04-2009
21-03-2012
9. Namsai
27.67
95.86
140
26-11-2007
07-07-2012
27.51
93.54
618
20-12-2010
27.40
93.74
618
22-12-2010
12. Pasighat
28.07
95.34
153
25-03-2008
20-12-2012
13. Roing
28.14
95.83
914
27-09-2008
18-07-2011
14. Seppa
27.32
93.00
363
09-04-2008
10-12-2010
15. Tawang
27.59
91.87
3048
03-12-2007
31-12-2012
16. Teju
27.92
96.17
185
19-03-2008
25-05-2012
17. Yingkiong
28.64
95.02
200
10-03-2008
23-09-2011
18. Ziro
27.56
93.80
1688
26-11-2007
31-12-2010
(1)
Where,
Tij = air temperature (C) modeled by the equation;
Aij = lapse rate (for temperature parameter i, and month j) [C
(100 m)-1];
Bij = temperature at sea level (C at 0 m altitude);
Altitude = elevation above sea level, 102 m;
18
Performance Criteria
R2 =
( Altitude Altitude ) (T T )
n
i =1
( Altitude Altitude ) (T T )
n
i =1
i =1
(2)
where,
n = number of observations.
For a perfect correlation, the value of R2 is 1.0, i.e., when the
temperature values correlate perfectly with the altitude. A
lower value (close to 0) of R2 indicates poor correlation.
Table 2: Monthly variation of lapse rate (A) for maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures
Month
Amax(C(100m)-1)
Amin(C(100m)-1)
Amean(C(100m)-1)
1.
January
0.32
0.44
0.36
2.
February
0.47
0.49
0.47
3.
March
0.46
0.53
0.49
4.
April
0.49
0.49
0.49
5.
May
0.51
0.50
0.50
6.
June
0.48
0.45
0.46
7.
July
0.49
0.44
0.46
8.
August
0.53
0.46
0.48
9.
September
0.56
0.51
0.52
10.
October
0.49
0.54
0.50
11.
November
0.49
0.53
0.50
12.
December
0.46
0.50
0.46
13.
Annual
0.464
0.476
0.455
Sl. No.
19
20
Fig. 5: Monthly and yearly lapse rates (A) for maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures.
Such lower values of lapse rates are in agreement with lapse
rate found by other studies in the nearby region, eastern Nepal
for example (Shilpakar et al., 2008) situated in the eastern
Central Himalaya. It can be seen that the annual lapse rate for
minimum temperature is highest and mean temperature being
the lowest. These figures also show that, in the elevation range
studied, it is not necessary to assume different lapse rates for
different elevation zones.
Fig. 5 illustrates that for maximum temperature, maximum
lapse rate is obtained in the month of September (0.56 C (100
m)-1) and minimum in the month of January (0.32 C (100 m)1
). Maximum and minimum lapse rates are obtained in the
month of October (0.54 C (100 m)-1) and January (0.44 C
(100 m)-1) for minimum temperature. For mean temperature,
maximum and minimum lapse rates are obtained in the month
of September (0.52 C (100 m)-1) and January (0.36 C (100
m)-1) as can be seen from. It can be inferred that maximum
lapse rate is obtained in the month of September and October
whereas minimum lapse rate is obtained in the month of
January for all the three temperature parameters.
It is observed that for maximum temperature, the lapse rate
starts to increase from January till May after which it shows a
decreasing trend from May to June and increases again from
June till it attains a peak value in the month of September after
which it continues to decrease till December. For minimum
temperature, lapse rate starts to increase from January till
March after which it shows a decreasing trend from March till
June and again increases from June and attains maximum
value in the month of October and then decreases till
December. For mean temperature, lapse rate increases from
January till May after which it decreases and become almost
21
Fig. 6: Monthly and yearly maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures at sea level (B).
Table 3: Monthly variation of maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures at sea level (B)
Sl. No.
Month
Bmax (C)
Bmin (C)
Bmean (C)
1.
January
21.83
12.55
16.44
2.
February
24.63
14.56
19.17
3.
March
25.89
17.69
21.42
4.
April
28.11
20.60
24.00
5.
May
31.29
23.40
26.93
6.
June
32.00
25.59
28.39
7.
July
32.14
26.18
28.81
8.
August
33.38
26.29
29.23
9.
September
33.34
26.02
29.00
10.
October
30.66
22.50
25.82
11.
November
27.25
17.77
21.87
12.
December
23.53
14.40
18.11
13.
Annual
28.52
20.28
23.80
22
Fig. 7: Coefficients of determination (R2) for developed regression models corresponding to monthly and yearly
maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures.
Table 4: Monthly variation of coefficient of determination (R2) for maximum, minimum, and mean temperature lapse
rate models
Month
R2max
R2min
R2mean
1.
January
0.46
0.73
0.70
2.
February
0.77
0.82
0.84
3.
March
0.75
0.85
0.85
4.
April
0.82
0.77
0.83
5.
May
0.86
0.85
0.87
6.
June
0.79
0.83
0.84
7.
July
0.83
0.85
0.87
8.
August
0.85
0.86
0.88
9.
September
0.88
0.84
0.88
10.
October
0.86
0.89
0.89
11.
November
0.61
0.86
0.80
12.
13.
December
Annual
0.63
0.85
0.78
0.93
0.79
0.91
Sl. No.
23
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
REFERENCES
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