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2 Compound Events
*Probability of A AND B*
What does AND mean?
Can you be
A boy AND a girl
A Freshman AND a girl
A Senior AND a Freshman
A grasshopper AND an insect
SpongeBob & Papa Smurf
Yes
No
Dependent Events
The first event effects the 2nd
The probability of the 2nd is
different now that the first
happened
Without Replacement
Event 1
Rolling a 6 on
one die
Pick winning
horse in first
race
Pick winning
horse in first
race
Draw an Ace
(without
replacing)
Event 2
Rolling a 6 on a
second die
Pick winning horse
in second race
Independent Dependent
X
X
Ex: You have a bag of 50 red and 50 green M&Ms. You pick out a
green M&M and eat it.
a) What is the probability that the second will be Red?
P(Red, given Green) = 50/99
b) What is the probability that the second will be Green?
P(Green, given Green) = 49/99
IV. Probability of Dependent Events
V. EXAMPLES
1.) At the University of Kentucky, a random selection of 140
people was asked what political party they associated themselves
with. The people were grouped into two categories, students or
professors. For notation purposes, we will use S(student),
P(professor), D(democrat), R(republican), I(independent).
Suppose a person was selected at random out of the 140, find the
following probabilities:
Person
Democrat Republican Independent Row Total
Type
(D)
(R)
(I)
Professor
5
34
9
48
Student
63
21
8
92
Column
68
55
17
140 *Grand
Total
Total
a) Compute P(D) and P(P).
68
48
P(D) = 140 0.486 P(P) = 140 0.343
b) Compute P(D, given P)
P(D, given P) =
# Democratic Pr ofessors
# Pr ofessors
5
48
0.104
0.036
140 48 140