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Exposure Assessment
Marina E. Eremeeva
meremeeva@georgiasouthern.edu
September 1, 2011
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Introduction
Exposure
Assessment
Components
Focus
chemical
physical
biological
Risks
significant
small
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Occupational exposure
Environmental exposure
Exposure level
High
Low
Duration of exposure
Short
Extended
Sporadic
Population affected
Healthy adults
Activity
Similar
Variable
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Types of Studies
1. Cohort study (relative risk or incidence rate ratio)
2. Cross-sectional study (prevalence ratio)
3. Case-control study (odds-ratio)
4. Time series study (exposure variability)
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< 20
20-39
> 40
1.00
1.52
1.43
2.43
<0.4
1.40
1.67
3.18
3.25
0.4-1.5
1.60
4.36
4.46
8.21
>1.5
2.33
4.13
9.59
15.50
*Risks are expressed relative to a risk of 1.00 for persons who neither smoked not drunk
Source: Rothman K. & Keller A. 1972. The effect of joint exposure to alcohol and tobacco on risk of
cancer of the mouth and pharynx. J. Chron. Dis. 25: 711-716.
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Case selection
Control
selection
Exposure
markers
Cofounders
analyzed
Additional
notes
Wertheimer
& Leeper
(1979)
Saviz et al.
(1988)
Controls selected
via random digit
phone dialing
methods.
Matched to cases
by age, gender, &
phone exchange
area.
278 controls,
259 had 5-level
wire codes
assessed
222 interviewed
207 measurement
data.
Gender, age
Housing, income
Socio-economic
Smoking, drug,
pregnancy
Traffic delay
Parental age
Race, education
Family cancer
In vivo alcohol exposure
X-ray, influenza,
medication
Birth defects, order,
weight
Illness
Residential stability
Medical X-ray
Control selection
procedures
resulted in the
controls being
more residentially
stable than the
cases.
Matched analysis
not performed.
Adjusted relative
risks estimates
were described
but not presented
in the table and
did not change the
results.
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Source: Wertheimer N. & Leeper E. 1979. Electrical wiring configurations and childhood cancer. Am J Epidemiol. 109:273-84. 7
Savitz D.A., et al. 1988. Case-control study of childhood cancer and exposure to 60-Hz magnetic fields. Am J Epidemiol. 128:21-38.
Source-Receptor Models:
exposure route and pathways
Exposure Pathway - physical course a
pollutant takes from the source to a subject
Exposure Route the way a pollutant enters
the body
Source-Receptor Model includes the routes
and pathways of exposure and aids to
understand how exposure occurs
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Environment
Emissions/dispersion
Environmental concentrations
Micro-environmental concentrations
Exposure
Human
Whole-body uptake
Health impact
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10
4 mM
: 2.5 mM
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Exposure routes
Biomarker
Ingestion
Serum
Skin absorption
Exhaled breath
Inhalation
12
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13
Alveolar space
Exhaled
chemical
Pulmonary blood
Fat tissues
Venous blood flow
Liver
Metabolism
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14
http://cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/cfm/recordisplay.cfm?deid=202847
15
Used to calculate
Exposure Index
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16
Exposure concentration
(mgm-3)
Cumulative exposures
(mgm-3 x yr)
Index
Odds ratio
Index
Odds ratio
Index
Odds ratio
< 16
1.0
< 100
1.0
< 700
1.0
16-22
1.0
> 100
2.4
2.5
22-27
0.7
>1800-5100
4.6
> 27
2.6
>5100
5.2
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18
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Source: Wigzell et al. 2000. J. Exp. Anal. Env. Epid. 10:307-314// Classroom exercise
19
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Source: Wigzell et al. 2000. J. Exp. Anal. Env. Epid. 10:307-314// Classroom exercise
20
Quantitation of Exposure
Often has lognornal distribution
Best characterized by Geometric Mean (GM) and
Geometric Standard Deviation (GSD)
=
ln
GM= exp
Arithmetic Mean =
2=
lnln
1
GSD=exp
(average of exposure)
22
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23
24
Exposure Classification,
Measurement, or Modeling
Main Aim to obtain accurate, precise and biologically
relevant exposure estimates using the most efficient and
cost effective tools
Tools for exposure estimates and analyses
o questionnaires
o air pollution monitors
o statistical techniques
Methods
o direct
o indirect
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25
Increase in
accuracy and
precision
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Increase in
cost of
assessment
26
Biological
monitoring
Personal
monitoring
Indirect methods
Environmental
monitoring/
modeling
Questionnaires
/diaries
PBPK modeling
Dose models
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Exposure models
27
Exposure Classification
Occurrence of exposure
o
o
yes /no
no/low/medium/high
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expert assessment
self-assessment
28
Exposure Measurement
Subjective methods (cheapest)
o expert assessment
o self-assessment
Objective methods (measurement of concentration)
o stationary ambient air models
o personal exposure monitors
o water and soil contamination
o biological monitoring
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29
Exposure Modeling
Typically can be carried out in conjunction with
exposure measurements to aid model building or
model validation
Types of modeling
o
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30
Type of data
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Approximation to
actual exposure
Best
Worst
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Validation Studies
In epidemiological studies, it is not feasible to
obtain detailed exposure information on each
subject of the study so validation on a
representative subset of a larger population is
ideal
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32
33
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Well-designed strategy
Well-trained and knowledgeable personnel
Estimated cost
Feasibility and pilot studies
Bias
Clear protocols
34
Terminology
to know, to use and to remember
Accuracy
Bias
Limit of detection (LOD)
Precision
Power
Reliability
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Reproducibility
Robustness
Sensitivity
Specificity
Validity
35
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36