Aviation Legacy Alternative

Working Group

Increased Capability and Capacity

3 June 2004

1
Working Group Team Members
Captain Korn – D8 (osr)
CDR Martino, LCDR Vogelbacher, LCDR
Lorenzen – OCA
LCDR Craig and Rebecca Fisher – SEA
CAPT Campbell – OCD
CDR Sundgaard – ARSC
CDR Strangfeld - WKS
DR Nordstrom - Center for Naval Analysis
2
 Charter
Conduct a comprehensive analysis regarding
possible alternative implementation plans
for the aviation leg of the Integrated Coast
Guard Systems (ICGS) Integrated
Deepwater System (IDS) Plan

3
 Alternatives
I. Legacy asset sustainment at existing
capacity
II. Legacy asset sustainment with select ICE
aircraft
III. Notional force structures to satisfy
capacity and capability for PGA Levels I
and II

4
 Assumptions
¾ Alternatives I and II include the same number of UAVs as the IDS
plan. Alternative III UAVs coincide with PGA.
¾ Includes limited organic airborne use of force capability and associated
costs.
¾ Dash-8 can perform the AI mission and can be purchased through the
BICE contract at the current contract cost of $23.8M per integrated and
missionized airframe.
¾ Except for HH-65 reengining, cost estimates for sustainment reflect
NCGI not ICGS.
¾ C-130J AC&I for the first 6 aircraft not included, would apply to both
IDS and CG TOC calculations equally.
¾ Flight Hours- FW: 1000 and RW: 700 for MCH, 800 for MRR
¾ Annual OE costs increase by 4% to account for aging aircraft.

5
 Alternative I A Aircraft by Year
300

250

200 VUAV (66)

No Aircraft

150 HH-60J MRR (35)

100 H-65/MCH
SRR/MCH (84)
Casa 235 (2) HAE-UAV (7)
50
HU25 Dash 8 (19)

C-130H C-130J (26)

0
05

10

15

20

25

30

35
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Fiscal Year
6
 Alternative I B Aircraft by Year
300

250

VUAV (66)
200
No. Aircraft

150 H-60 MRR (35)

100 H-65/MCH
SRR/MCH (84)
HAE-UAV (7)

50
HU25 Dash 8 (19) Casa 235 (2)

C-130H C-130J (26)

0
05

10

15

20

25

30

35
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Fiscal Year

7
 Legacy Asset Condition
SPS v2.0
C130 HU25 HH60 HH65
Requirements
Safety
Current
Legacy Sustainment
Reliability
Current
Legacy Sustainment
Operational Capability
Current
Legacy Sustainment

Meets Partially Meets Does Not Meet

8
 Aviation Alternative FY05 – FY09 Legacy Asset Sustainment Plan
FY04 Dollars (Millions)

Total Project
Projects by Asset Class FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 Cost
HH-65
HH-65 ICGS Engine Replacement (note 1) $75.0 $113.0 $33.3 $221.3
HH-65 Tail Rotor $2.9 $2.9 $2.9 $8.7
HH-65 Radar/EOIR $27.4 $27.4 $27.4 $27.4 $109.6
HH-65 Technology Refresh $0.0
HH-65 Total: $75.0 $140.4 $63.6 $30.3 $30.3 $339.6

HH-60
HH-60 Avionics Upgrade $15.0 $25.0 $25.0 $25.0 $18.0 $108.0
HH-60 SLEP $8.3 $6.5 $4.5 $4.5 $23.8
HH-60 Radar/EOIR $9.0 $9.0 $9.0 $9.0 $36.0
HH-60 T700 Engine Upgrade $4.0 $6.0 $6.0 $16.0
HH-60 Total: $15.0 $42.3 $44.5 $44.5 $37.5 $183.8

HC-130
C-130 APS-137 search radar replacement $7.8 $22.3 $30.4 $19.3 $79.8
C-130 radar replacement (weather) $3.7 $4.7 $4.7 $4.7 $17.8
C-130 Avionics Modernization Program $0.0
HC-130 Total: $7.8 $26.0 $35.1 $24.0 $4.7 $97.6

HU-25
HU-25 Engine Replacement $0.0
HU-25 Total: $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

Aircraft Subtotal: $97.8 $208.7 $143.2 $98.8 $72.5 $621.0

Note 1: Except for H-65 Engine Replacement, which is ICGS, all costs are NCGI.
Note 2: Moving H-65 reengining from ICGS to NCGI would save an estimated $120M.
Note 3: Moving HH-65 MCH upgrades from NCGI to ICGS would increase costs by an estimated $580M. 9
 Legacy Sustainment/Capability
HH-65
Current State
Projects by Asset Class of Fleet ICGS/IDS Alt IA Alt IB
MCH Upgrade (Includes tail
rotor, radar, EOIR)
HH-65 Engine Improvement
HH-65 Landing Gear
Recapitalization
HH-65 Tail Rotor
HH-65 Weather Radar/EOIR
HH-65 CNS/ATM
HH-65 Connectivity
HH-65 Armed for HLS
HH-65 Sliding Cabin Door
(OE)

Critical Gap in Sustainment or Capability

Not Part of IDS Proposal, But Must Be Included

Gap in Sustainment or Capability will be Eliminated 10

 Legacy Sustainment/Capability
HH-60

Current State
Projects by Asset Class of Fleet ICGS/IDS Alt IA Alt IB
Avionics Upgrade
HH-60 SLEP

HH-60 T700 Engine Upgrade

HH-60 Radar/FLIR
Replacement
HH-60 CNS/ATM
HH-60 Connectivity
H-60 Armed for HLS

Critical Gap in Sustainment or Capability

Not Part of IDS Proposal, But Must Be Included

Gap in Sustainment or Capability will be Eliminated 11

 Legacy Sustainment/Capability
HC-130H
Current State ICGS/IDS
Projects by Asset Class of Fleet (6 total) Alt IA Alt IB
C-130 APS-137 search radar
2013
replacement
C-130 radar replacement
(weather)
C-130 Avionics Modernization
Program
C-130 Organic PDM Facility
C-130 CASPER Upgrades
C-130 Connectivity
C-130 J/H Flight Simulator
C-130 Wing Re-Wire (1700
Series) (OE)
CASPER Sparing

Critical Gap in Sustainment or Capability

Not Part of IDS Proposal, But Must Be Included

Gap in Sustainment or Capability will be Eliminated 12

 Legacy Sustainment/Capability
HU-25

Current State
Projects by Asset Class of Fleet ICGS/IDS Alt IA Alt IB
HU-25 Reengining
HU-25 MILSATCOM
HU-25 CNS/ATM

HU-25 Avionics Upgrade (OE)

Critical Gap in Sustainment or Capability

Not Part of IDS Proposal, But Must Be Included

Gap in Sustainment or Capability will be Eliminated 13

 AC&I Cost Comparison
600.0
Point of
Reevaluation
500.0

400.0

$M ICGS
300.0 ALT 1A
ALT 1B

200.0

100.0

0.0
05

10

15

20

25

30

35
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Fiscal Year

14
 TOC Comparison
1600.0

1400.0

1200.0

1000.0

ICGS
800.0 ALT 1A
ALT 1B

600.0

400.0

200.0

0.0

004 006 008 010 012 014 016 018 020 022 024 026 028 030 032 034
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

15
 AC&I and TOC Comparison

Reduction of
TOC $(M) Cum AC&I Cum AC&I AC&I FY05- AVG Fleet Age
Alternative 2015 2022 2035 FY05-35 FY05-09 09 $(M) in 2035 (years)
ICGS/IDS $ 9,161 $ 13,812 $ 22,780 $ 3,622 $ 1,765 - 37
IA $ 9,079 $ 15,590 $ 30,159 $ 7,134 $ 837 $ 927 9
IB $ 9,088 $ 15,275 $ 29,157 $ 6,660 $ 921 $ 843 10
II $ 10,680 $ 17,731 $ 34,454 $ 7,512 $ 1,012 $ 752 17
III PGA I $ 10,768 $ 18,552 $ 31,282 $ 7,756 $ 1,016 $ 749 15
III PGA II $ 13,061 $ 22,892 $ 38,592 $ 9,899 $ 1,484 $ 281 18

16
 ICGS
Average Fixed Wing Fleet Ages
Alternative I A
40
Alternative I B

35

30

25
Years

20

15

10

0
04

06

08

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

System Timeline

17
 Fixed Wing Flight Hour Capacity Comparison

75000

70000

65000

60000

55000
Flight Hours

ALT I A FW
50000 ALT I B FW
IDS FW

45000

40000

35000

30000

25000
04

06

08

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Fiscal Year

18
 Capability Gaps:
F/W Air
SPS v2.0 Requirements ICGS ICGS after Legacy
Current SPS v2.0 Alternatives
MSST/NSF Organic Air Lift
CBRNE D&D
MDA (Strategic & Tactical)
SAR
Speed (Air Intercept)
COP Interoperability
FAA Icing Standards
IIP

Meets Partially Meets Does Not Meet

19
 Current F/W Coverage
C130Hs in: Alaska, Barbers, Sacto, Clearwater, ECity

20 20
 Capability Gaps:
R/W Air

SPS v2.0 Requirements ICGS ICGS SPS Legacy

Current v2.0 Alternatives
COP Interoperability
AUF (Armor/Weps/Fuel)
CBRNE D&D
Boarding Team Delivery
(VI/VDEL)
DHS/DoD Interoperability
FAA Icing Standards

Meets Partially Meets Does Not Meet

21
 Summary of Alternative I B
• Improved Capacity: +13,000 FW and + 10,500 RW hours
• Improved Capability: MSST/NSF Lift, MDA, SAR, Air
Intercept, IIP, Airborne use of Force, VI/VDEL.
• FY05-09 AC&I Cost Avoidance of $843M Over Proposed IDS
• Cumulative TOC competitive to 2015, +1.75B to 2022
• Markedly younger fleet age – No ICGS recap after 2022
unrealistic

22
 Discussions
• Have Built a Body of Analysis
– Korn I (Fixed Wing)
– Korn II (Rotary Wing)
– DMOES
– PGA
– Korn III (Alternate Legacy Aviation Plan)
• What Do We Do Next?
• Awaiting Your Direction
23
Questions?

24
BACKUP SLIDES

25
 Capability Comparison/Year
Legacy Alternatives

AUF-II

AI
Boarding Team
Delivery Vertical
Insertion

MSST/NSF LIFT
2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035
AUF-II
ICGS

AI
Boarding Team
Delivery Vertical
Insertion

MSST/NSF LIFT

Measures: AUF II (Missionized Fleet) Air Intercept MSST/NSF LIFT

Green 100% > 1,200 Hrs > 18 C-130
Yellow 50-99% 600-1,200 Hrs 10-18 C-130
26
Red < 50% < 600 Hrs < 10 C-130
 HH-65 HITRON Options
POPDIV POPDIV
POPDIV Contract, Contract,
HITRON Contract, HITRON East HITRA
HH-65 Units Current Jax HITRON Miami HITRA Mobile HITRON Jax and West Mobile
Los Angeles 4 3 4 4 4 3 5
Miami 9 5 10 6 7 5 9
Atlantic City 6 5 5 5 5 5 6
TRADIV 5 5 5 5 7 7 6
POPDIV 6 6 6 6 0 0 0
HITRA Mobile 0 4 4
HITRON Jacksonville 8 6 0 0 7 5 0
HITRON West 0 0 5 0
Total HH-65 Aircraft 38 30 30 30 30 30 30

DDAS/HH-65 120 120 120 120 120 120

M3710 DDAS 1546 236 436 636 836 236 1636
Total HITRON DDAS 800 720 600 0 840 1200 0
Total DDAS 2346 956 1036 636 1676 1436 1636
DDAS (total for
Current, delta for
alternatives based on
historic levels) 895 61 141 -259 781 541 741
DDAS delta, from
M3710 Standards 0 -1390 -1310 -1710 -670 -910 -710

R/W Hours 24150 19350 19350 19350 19350 19350 19350

Change in Pilots 0 -24 -20 -16 -16 -28 0

HITRON DDAS 120 Days per HITRON aircraft (HITRA Mobile concept adds up to 1800 DDAS from other Airstas)
M3710 DDAS DDAS available from other than HITRON Airstas
Total DDAS Sum of HITRON and non-HITRON
DDAS Current For Current column, this is historical 3-year realized DDAS. For other columns, delta from potential

27
 Alternative 2
• Combines the Legacy Sustainment Alternative Solution Set I-B with:
• -BICE P3 Maritime Patrol Aircraft (16)
Includes: 8 “Slick” & 8 Dome
• -BICE UH-60A helicopters 16 Total/14 Operational
• -Results in the Coast Guard & ‘Border Guard’ as only aviation agencies in
DHS.
• -Articulation of assumptions vital:
• Lack of specific information associated with ICE’s air operations,
maintenance, material condition of their aircraft and their costs.
• -Assumed assimilation of BICE MPA aircraft operating and maintenance
dollars.
• -February 2004 Booz-Allen-Hamilton DHS Aviation Assessment was the
primary reference in the development of this alternative Description
28
 Alternative 3
• Aligns aviation capability and capacity with
MSMPv2.0 and SPSv2.0.
• Team started with the Legacy Sustainment
Alternative I B as baseline
• Costed out additional platforms to achieve an end-
state force structure aligned with modeling at the
PGA Level 1 and PGA Level 2 forecasts.

29
 TOC Elements (non-recurring)
• Acquisition Cost • Ground support
• Provisioning Equipment
• Mission systems • Computer based Training
• NRE (aircraft & MS) at ATC
• Required mods • Program Management
• Simulator • Aircraft Program Office
• Initial Aircrew • Initial Maintenance
training(ATC and courses
Unit)
30
 TOC Elements (recurring)
• Annual reprovisioning • Recurrent pilot training
• Unit level • Recurrent crew position
maintenance training
• Programmed Depot • Recurrent maintenance
level Maintenance training
• Pilot costs • Product Line costs
• Maintenance (ARSC)
personnel costs • Fuel Costs

31
 AC&I Comparison
600.0

500.0

400.0

$M
ICGS
300.0 ALT 1A
ALT 1B

200.0

100.0

0.0
04

06

08

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

32
 “MITRE found that the PGA process, and the resulting analytic results,
was likely the most complete & comprehensive campaign level study
conducted by any uniformed service in recent times.” 30 Mar 2004

Joint DHS Requirements

Capability / Performance

Post- 9/11 CG Mission Demands

p (MSMP v2.0)
a
h eG
e T
los 1998 Performance Targets
C

1998 Deepwater Performance

(MSMP v1.9)

We Are Deg Proposed Solution

rad
Here ing
Leg
a cy C
apa
bili
ty/C
apa
cit y

1998 2001 2004 2022 2028

(Original Implementation) 33
 Capability Comparison Overall
• AVG Fleet
Achieve Achieve Age
Alternative MSST Lift NSF Lift FW AI AUF PGA I PGA II in 2035
ICGS/IDS NO NO NO NO NO NO 37
IA YES YES YES YES NO NO 9
IB YES YES YES YES NO NO 10
II YES YES YES YES NO NO 17
III PGA I YES YES YES YES YES NO 15
III PGA II YES YES YES YES YES YES 18

34
IDS Proposed F/W Coverage

Green – C-130
Yellow – CASA 300M
35
RW Gaps in D17

Green – HH-60
Blue – AB139
Yellow – HH65 36
RW Gaps in D1
Hague Line

Maritime SAR Boundary

Hague Line

Green – HH-60
Blue – AB139
Yellow – HH65
37
 ICGS Aircraft/Year
250

200

VUAV (66)

150
No. Aircraft

H-60 (35)
AB-139 (29)

100

H-65/MCH (81)

50

HAE-UAV (7)
HU25 (17)
Casa 235 (29)
C-130H (5)
0
2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
Fiscal Year

38
 AC&I and TOC Comparison: Alt I B vs. IDS

Alternative IB - Legacy Sustainment with Dash-8 Replacing all HU-25 Aircraft by 2015

$1,400

$1,200

Alternative IB TOC

$1,000

$800
$(M)

ICGS TOC

$600

Alternative IB AC&I

$400

$200
ICGS AC&I

CIP
$0
05

10

15

20

25

30

35
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Year

39
 Average Rotary Wing Fleet Ages
ICGS

40
Alternative 1A & B
35

30

25
Years

20

15

10

0
04

06

08

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

System Timeline

40
 Rotary Wing Flight Hour Capacity Comparison

190000

170000

150000
Flight Hours

ALT I A RW
130000 ALT I B RW
IDS RW

110000

90000

70000

04 006 008 10 012 014 016 018 020 022 24 026 028 030 032 034 36 038 040
20 2 2 20 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 2 2 2 2 2 20 2 2

Fiscal Year

41
 Capacity/Capability Comparison: Alt I A vs. IDS
Alternative IA - Legacy Asset Sustainment

350,000

300,000
PGA Level II

250,000
PGA Level I
Flight Hours

200,000
ICGS Flight Hours
Alternative Fixed-Wing Hours

150,000

100,000
Alternative Rotary-Wing Hours

50,000

0
05

10

15

20

25

30

35
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Year

Reduction AVG Fleet

Achieve Achieve TOC $(M) of Age
MSST Lift NSF Lift FW AI AUF PGA I PGA II 2015 2022 2035 AC&I FY05- in 2035
Alternative
ICGS/IDS
YES
NO
YES
NO
YES
NO
YES
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
$
$
9,079 $
9,161 $
15,590 $ 30,159 $
13,812 $ 22,780 -
42
927 10
37
23
 Capacity/Capability Comparison: Alt I B vs. IDS
Alternative IB - Legacy Sustainment with Dash-8 Replacing all HU-25 Aircraft by 2015

350000

300000
PGA Level II

250000
PGA Level I
Flight Hours

200000
ICGS Flight Hours
Alternative Fixed-Wing Hours

150000

100000

Alternative Rotary-Wing Hours

50000

0
05

10

15

20

25

30

35
20

20

20

20

20

20

20

Year

Reduction AVG Fleet

Achieve Achieve TOC $(M) of Age
MSST Lift NSF Lift FW AI AUF PGA I PGA II 2015 2022 2035 AC&I FY05- in 2035
Alternative YES YES YES YES NO NO $ 9,088 $ 15,275 $ 29,157 $ 43
843 10
ICGS/IDS NO NO NO NO NO NO $ 9,161 $ 13,812 $ 22,780 - 37
25