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Trump's case for the presidency rests at least in part on his standing as a
political outsider. The poll finds that a broad swath of GOP voters (55%) say
they feel completely unrepresented by the government in Washington, and
among those voters, Trump holds a 47% to 19% lead over Cruz.
The poll also finds Trump is widely seen as the candidate best able to win in
November: 63% of Republicans say so, compared with 16% who see Cruz as
best positioned to win and 10% who name Rubio.
But in hypothetical general election, Trump appears to fare slightly worse than
either Cruz or Rubio when matched up against either Hillary Clinton or Bernie
Sanders. All six match-ups are close, with no one candidate leading another
outside the margin of error of 3.5 percentage points for registered voters. But
Rubio and Cruz each hit 50% support when matched against Clinton, while
Trump stalls at 47%.
Cruz: Trump 'could be unstoppable' if he wins Iowa
Rubio and Sanders produce a near-even split, 49% Sanders to 48% Rubio,
while the Democratic senator hits 50% against either Trump or Cruz.
Overall, a majority of registered voters (56%) now say they think Trump will win
his party's nomination for president, and that rises to 68% among Republican
voters. Last summer, 40% of registered voters said they thought Bush would top
the GOP ticket in 2016 -- now, just 5% say so.
The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone January 21-24 among a
random national sample of 1,002 adults. Results for the full sample have a
margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. For results
among the 405 registered voters who are Republicans or independents who
lean toward the Republican Party, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus
5.0 percentage points.