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IOWA

Interviews with 2,002 adult Iowans conducted by telephone by ORC


International on January 15 - 20, 2016. The margin of sampling error for
results based on the total sample is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
The sample also includes 266 who were likely to participate in the
Republican presidential caucus and 280 who were likely to participate in
the Democratic presidential caucus.
This sample includes 1,202 interviews among landline respondents and 800
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:


Thursday, January 21 at 4:00 p.m.

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 266 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS.
RP1.

If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following
people you would be most likely to support. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly
Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum,
Donald Trump (RANDOM ORDER)
Jan. 15-20
2016

Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Huckabee
Paul
Christie
Fiorina
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
RP2.

37%
26%
14%
6%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
*
4%

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015
33%
20%
11%
16%
4%
2%
3%
2%
3%
1%
1%
*
*
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
1%

25%
11%
13%
23%
5%
2%
2%
3%
4%
2%
*
*
2%
4%
*
N/A
N/A
*
*
3%

22%
8%
5%
14%
5%
7%
5%
3%
7%
2%
1%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
9%
*
2%
4%

Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Jan. 15-20
2016

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion

49%
22%
28%
*

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015
26%
26%
48%
*

27%
23%
50%
*

15%
19%
66%
*

RP2A. Has anyone personally contacted you about caucusing on February 1 for the candidate you support?
Jan. 15-20
2016
Yes
No
No opinion
POLL IA1
3

28%
72%
*
-2-

January 15-20, 2016

RP3.

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name
a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER)

The economy
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Fiorina
Paul
Christie
Huckabee
Kasich
Gilmore
Santorum
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
Illegal immigration
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Huckabee
Christie
Fiorina
Paul
Gilmore
Kasich
Santorum
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA1
3

Jan. 15-20
2016
54%
16%
8%
6%
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
*
5%

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015
52%
49%
37%
10%
8%
5%
5%
8%
3%
10%
9%
6%
7%
9%
7%
4%
4%
10%
3%
1%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
5%
2%
3%
3%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
N/A
3%
2%
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
8%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
1%
3%

Jan. 15-20
2016
51%
23%
12%
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
1%

Nov. 28-Dec 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015
49%
44%
35%
16%
11%
12%
11%
12%
11%
9%
10%
4%
6%
8%
5%
1%
1%
4%
2%
3%
3%
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
N/A
3%
3%
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
10%
N/A
N/A
3%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
3%
4%
-3-

January 15-20, 2016

RP3.

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name
a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER)

Foreign policy
Jan. 15-20
2016
27%
26%
25%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
*
2%

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4


2015
2015
30%
18%
13%
14%
21%
14%
9%
14%
2%
3%
8%
11%
4%
2%
3%
5%
3%
4%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
*
2%
N/A
2%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
3%
3%
5%

Social issues, such as abortion and


same-sex marriage
Jan. 15-20
2016
Cruz
29%
Trump
18%
Rubio
12%
Carson
10%
Huckabee
9%
Bush
6%
Paul
4%
Fiorina
2%
Kasich
1%
Santorum
1%
Christie
*
Gilmore
*
Graham
N/A
Jindal
N/A
Pataki
N/A
Someone else (vol.)
2%
None/ No one (vol.)
3%
No opinion
4%

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4


2015
2015
17%
12%
19%
13%
8%
10%
21%
27%
6%
6%
4%
6%
4%
2%
7%
8%
2%
1%
1%
2%
3%
4%
*
*
*
*
N/A
3%
*
1%
1%
*
4%
2%
4%
4%

Trump
Rubio
Cruz
Bush
Huckabee
Carson
Paul
Christie
Fiorina
Kasich
Gilmore
Santorum
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA1
3

-4-

January 15-20, 2016

RP4.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)

Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself


Jan. 15-20
2016
Cruz
Trump
Rubio
Carson
Huckabee
Bush
Christie
Kasich
Fiorina
Paul
Gilmore
Santorum
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

29%
28%
15%
8%
6%
4%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
3%

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4


2015
2015
22%
25%
11%
18%
4%
7%
2%
1%
3%
5%
*
1%
*
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
1%
*
1%

12%
20%
10%
25%
6%
7%
3%
2%
3%
2%
*
1%
1%
4%
*
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%

Aug. 7-11
2015
10%
12%
4%
14%
11%
6%
3%
3%
5%
6%
1%
1%
1%
5%
*
2%
9%
1%
1%
5%

Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November


Jan. 15-20
2016
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Paul
Fiorina
Gilmore
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA1
3

46%
27%
16%
4%
3%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
*
3%

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4


2015
2015
42%
17%
11%
11%
7%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
5%

33%
8%
17%
25%
6%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
1%
5%
-5-

Aug. 7-11
2015
22%
7%
9%
5%
16%
3%
2%
3%
*
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
11%
1%
2%
7%
January 15-20, 2016

RP4.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)

Is the strongest leader


Jan. 15-20
2016
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Huckabee
Fiorina
Gilmore
Kasich
Paul
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA1
3

47%
27%
11%
5%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%

-6-

January 15-20, 2016

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 280 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS.
DM1. If the Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the
following people you would be most likely to support? Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie
Sanders (RANDOM ORDER)
Jan. 15-20
2016
Sanders
Clinton
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015

51%
43%
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
1%

36%
54%
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
*
3%

37%
55%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
3%

31%
50%
1%
12%
*
1%
1%
*
4%

DM2. Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Democratic caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Jan. 15-20
2016
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015

64%
16%
20%
*

38%
22%
39%
*

40%
21%
38%
*

30%
16%
54%
*

DM1A. And who would be your second choice?


FIRST CHOICE SECOND CHOICE
(Question DM1) (Question DM1A)
Sanders
Clinton
OMalley
Biden
Chaffee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL IA1
3

51%
43%
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
1%

38%
35%
15%
N/A
N/A
N/A
4%
6%
2%

-7-

January 15-20, 2016

DM3. Im going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle
that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may
not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job
handling: (RANDOM ORDER)
The economy
Jan. 15-20
2016
Sanders
Clinton
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

58%
36%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
*
1%

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4


2015
2015
42%
47%
7%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
2%

36%
57%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
1%

Aug. 7-11
2015
31%
42%
3%
14%
*
1%
1%
3%
4%

Health care
Jan. 15-20
2016
Sanders
Clinton
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

51%
45%
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
1%

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4


2015
2015
31%
63%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
*
2%

32%
61%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
2%
1%

Aug. 7-11
2015
28%
54%
*
13%
*
*
*
2%
2%

Foreign policy
Jan. 15-20
2016
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA1
3

65%
25%
6%
N/A
N/A
N/A
3%
*
*

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015
72%
21%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
*
3%

74%
19%
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
2%

-8-

66%
9%
2%
18%
*
1%
1%
3%
1%

January 15-20, 2016

DM4. Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself
Jan. 15-20
2016
Sanders
Clinton
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015

57%
38%
5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
1%

44%
46%
5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
2%

42%
50%
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
2%

33%
41%
3%
16%
*
1%
1%
2%
3%

Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November


Jan. 15-20
2016
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4


2015
2015

60%
38%
*
*
1%
1%

77%
18%
3%
1%
*
2%

76%
20%
2%
1%
1%
1%

Would do the most to help the middle class

Sanders
Clinton
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA1
3

Jan. 15-20
2016

Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015

67%
30%
2%
*
1%
*

50%
43%
4%
*
*
2%

-9-

January 15-20, 2016

DM5. Would you rather see the next president: (OPTIONS 2/3 ROTATED)
Jan. 15-20
2016
Generally continue Barack Obamas policies
Change to more conservative policies
Change to more liberal policies
No opinion

POLL IA1
3

48%
14%
33%
4%

-10-

January 15-20, 2016

5.

Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president? (RANDOM ORDER)

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 266 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS.

The economy
Terrorism
Foreign policy
Social issues, such as abortion
and same sex marriage
Illegal immigration
Health care
Other (vol.)
No opinion

Jan. 15-20
2016

Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015

37%
20%
17%

29%
27%
13%

10%
7%
5%
3%
1%

9%
10%
8%
2%
2%

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 280 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS.

The economy
Health care
Social issues, such as abortion
and same sex marriage
Foreign policy
Terrorism
Illegal immigration
Other (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA1
3

Jan. 15-20
2016

Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015

46%
20%

38%
22%

16%
6%
6%
3%
1%
2%

10%
10%
13%
4%
3%
1%

-11-

January 15-20, 2016

6.

How well do you feel the government in Washington represents the views of people like yourself?

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 266 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS.
Jan. 15-20
2016
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion

3%
9%
30%
58%
*

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 280 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 6 PERCENTAGE PTS.
Jan. 15-20
2016
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion

POLL IA1
3

4%
31%
36%
27%
1%

-12-

January 15 20, 2016

METHODOLOGY
A total of 2,002 Iowa adults were interviewed by telephone statewide by live interviewers calling both
landline and cellphones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the
entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of
the state.
Respondents were asked questions about whether they are registered to vote, their likelihood of voting, past
voting behavior, and interest in the campaign. Based on the answers to those questions, 546 respondents
were classified as likely caucus-goers, including 266 who were likely to participate in the Republican
presidential caucus and 280 who were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucus.
The Iowa regions are composed of the following counties: the "East" region is composed of Cedar, Clinton,
Dubuque, Jackson, Johnson, Jones, Linn, Muscatine and Scott counties; the "East Central" region is
composed of Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Chickasaw, Clayton, Delaware,
Des Moines, Fayette, Floyd, Grundy, Henry, Howard, Iowa, Jefferson, Keokuk, Lee, Louisa, Mitchell,
Poweshiek, Tama, Van Buren, Wapello, Washington and Winneshiek counties; the "Des Moines Area"
region is composed of Dallas, Madison, Polk, Story and Warren counties; the "Central" region is composed
of Adair, Appanoose, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Emmet, Franklin,
Greene, Guthrie, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Humboldt, Jasper, Kossuth, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion,
Marshall, Monroe, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Ringgold, Union, Wayne, Webster, Winnebago, Worth and
Wright counties; and the "West" region is composed of Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Cass, Cherokee,
Clay, Crawford, Dickinson, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, O'Brien, Osceola,
Page, Plymouth, Pottawattamie, Sac, Shelby, Sioux, Taylor and Woodbury counties.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to
produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of
the population of Iowa to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted
among these subgroups but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are
not displayed.

POLL IA1
3

-13-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP1
If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following
people you would be most likely to support.
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------3%
2%
6%
6%
1%
1%
26%
24%
1%
1%
*
*
3%
4%
1%
1%
2%
3%
14%
11%
1%
1%
37%
42%
*
*
*
*
4%
5%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
6%
1%
26%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
14%
1%
37%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
6%
1%
26%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
14%
1%
37%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----3%
5%
1%
27%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
13%
1%
37%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------4%
5%
*
30%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
14%
1%
34%
*
*
4%
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
2%
N/A
5%
N/A
1%
N/A
24%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
5%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
10%
N/A
1%
N/A
43%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
5%
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------4%
9%
3%
21%
2%
*
2%
2%
4%
21%
2%
28%
*
*
3%
+/-8.5

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------3%
3%
*
30%
*
*
4%
*
2%
10%
*
41%
1%
*
6%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----6%
8%
*
24%
2%
*
6%
*
1%
14%
1%
30%
1%
1%
5%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----4%
4%
2%
30%
1%
*
4%
*
1%
13%
*
37%
1%
1%
4%
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-14-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP1
If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following
people you would be most likely to support.
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
6%
1%
26%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
14%
1%
37%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
6%
1%
26%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
14%
1%
37%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
6%
1%
26%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
14%
1%
37%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----3%
5%
1%
28%
1%
*
3%
*
1%
15%
*
38%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------2%
6%
1%
31%
1%
*
4%
*
2%
12%
1%
33%
1%
*
6%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
5%
N/A
5%
N/A
2%
N/A
21%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
N/A
15%
N/A
1%
N/A
42%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
4%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-15-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP2
Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------49%
50%
22%
24%
28%
26%
*
1%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
22%
28%
*
+/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
22%
28%
*
+/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
22%
28%
*
+/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
22%
28%
*
+/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
22%
28%
*
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------47%
20%
33%
*
+/-8.5

College
Grad
------50%
26%
22%
1%
+/-8.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----52%
22%
26%
*
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
51%
N/A
23%
N/A
26%
N/A
*
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------48%
22%
30%
1%
+/-8.0

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----48%
23%
29%
*
+/-6.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----54%
19%
27%
*
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----50%
23%
28%
*
+/-8.5

Conservative
------52%
20%
28%
1%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
48%
N/A
24%
N/A
28%
N/A
1%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-16-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP2A
Has anyone personally contacted you about caucusing on February 1 for the candidate you support?
Base = Republican likely caucus goers who plan to support a specific candidate

Yes
No
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------28%
25%
72%
75%
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Yes
No
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
72%
*
+/-6.0

Yes
No
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
72%
*
+/-6.0

Yes
No
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
72%
*
+/-6.0

Yes
No
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
72%
*
+/-6.0

Yes
No
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
72%
*
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------24%
76%
*
+/-8.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----25%
75%
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
24%
N/A
76%
N/A
*
+/-8.0

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------26%
73%
1%
+/-8.0

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----26%
73%
*
+/-6.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Non
College
Grad
-------N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----30%
69%
1%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----23%
77%
*
+/-8.5

Conservative
------30%
70%
1%
+/-7.5

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
31%
N/A
69%
N/A
*
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-17-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP3A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate
do you think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------4%
2%
6%
6%
1%
2%
16%
10%
3%
3%
*
*
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
3%
8%
5%
*
*
54%
61%
*
*
*
1%
5%
4%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
6%
1%
16%
3%
*
1%
1%
2%
8%
*
54%
*
*
5%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
6%
1%
16%
3%
*
1%
1%
2%
8%
*
54%
*
*
5%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----4%
6%
1%
15%
3%
*
2%
1%
2%
8%
*
53%
*
1%
4%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------5%
7%
1%
18%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
6%
*
53%
*
*
4%
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
2%
N/A
6%
N/A
2%
N/A
10%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
N/A
6%
N/A
*
N/A
62%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------6%
8%
1%
12%
6%
*
*
3%
5%
9%
*
48%
*
1%
3%
+/-8.5

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------3%
4%
2%
19%
1%
*
2%
*
*
7%
*
56%
*
*
6%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----5%
8%
1%
13%
4%
*
4%
*
1%
8%
*
49%
*
1%
6%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----5%
6%
1%
18%
2%
*
2%
*
3%
7%
*
51%
*
1%
5%
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-18-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP3A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate
do you think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
6%
1%
16%
3%
*
1%
1%
2%
8%
*
54%
*
*
5%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
6%
1%
16%
3%
*
1%
1%
2%
8%
*
54%
*
*
5%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
6%
1%
16%
3%
*
1%
1%
2%
8%
*
54%
*
*
5%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----4%
5%
*
17%
3%
*
1%
*
1%
8%
*
55%
*
1%
4%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------3%
6%
*
20%
3%
*
2%
*
1%
8%
*
50%
*
1%
6%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
5%
N/A
5%
N/A
2%
N/A
15%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
7%
N/A
*
N/A
56%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
5%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-19-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP3B
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate
do you think would do the best job handling:
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------3%
3%
4%
4%
1%
*
23%
19%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
1%
*
*
1%
2%
12%
9%
*
*
51%
60%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
23%
1%
*
2%
*
1%
12%
*
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
23%
1%
*
2%
*
1%
12%
*
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----4%
4%
1%
24%
1%
*
2%
*
1%
12%
*
52%
*
*
1%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------5%
5%
*
25%
1%
*
2%
*
1%
13%
*
48%
*
*
1%
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
3%
N/A
4%
N/A
*
N/A
19%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
9%
N/A
*
N/A
60%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------7%
4%
1%
23%
2%
*
2%
*
2%
18%
*
40%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------1%
4%
1%
24%
*
*
1%
*
*
9%
*
58%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----4%
3%
1%
20%
2%
*
2%
*
1%
13%
*
52%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----2%
5%
1%
20%
*
*
1%
*
1%
9%
*
59%
*
*
2%
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-20-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP3B
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate
do you think would do the best job handling:
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
23%
1%
*
2%
*
1%
12%
*
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
23%
1%
*
2%
*
1%
12%
*
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
23%
1%
*
2%
*
1%
12%
*
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----4%
3%
1%
26%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
50%
*
*
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------1%
5%
1%
27%
1%
*
2%
*
*
9%
*
53%
*
*
1%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
4%
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
N/A
16%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
14%
N/A
*
N/A
55%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-21-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP3C
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate
do you think would do the best job handling:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------5%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
25%
25%
1%
1%
*
*
4%
3%
1%
1%
3%
3%
26%
23%
*
*
27%
34%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
3%
2%
25%
1%
*
4%
1%
3%
26%
*
27%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
3%
2%
25%
1%
*
4%
1%
3%
26%
*
27%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----6%
3%
2%
24%
1%
*
4%
1%
2%
27%
*
27%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------6%
4%
1%
28%
1%
*
3%
1%
4%
28%
*
25%
*
*
1%
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
5%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
25%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
23%
N/A
*
N/A
34%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------10%
6%
2%
20%
2%
*
1%
*
5%
30%
*
22%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------3%
2%
2%
29%
*
*
5%
1%
1%
24%
*
29%
*
*
3%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----7%
3%
1%
25%
2%
*
5%
1%
1%
30%
*
22%
1%
*
3%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----4%
2%
1%
27%
1%
*
4%
1%
2%
23%
*
33%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-22-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP3C
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate
do you think would do the best job handling:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
3%
2%
25%
1%
*
4%
1%
3%
26%
*
27%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
3%
2%
25%
1%
*
4%
1%
3%
26%
*
27%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
3%
2%
25%
1%
*
4%
1%
3%
26%
*
27%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----6%
3%
1%
26%
1%
*
5%
1%
1%
26%
*
28%
*
*
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------4%
5%
1%
28%
1%
*
3%
1%
2%
26%
*
27%
*
*
3%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
6%
N/A
3%
N/A
2%
N/A
25%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
N/A
26%
N/A
*
N/A
27%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-23-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP3D
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate
do you think would do the best job handling:
D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------6%
3%
10%
10%
*
*
29%
28%
2%
2%
*
*
9%
9%
1%
2%
4%
4%
12%
13%
1%
1%
18%
25%
2%
*
3%
2%
4%
2%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
10%
*
29%
2%
*
9%
1%
4%
12%
1%
18%
2%
3%
4%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
10%
*
29%
2%
*
9%
1%
4%
12%
1%
18%
2%
3%
4%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----6%
9%
*
29%
2%
*
10%
1%
4%
13%
1%
19%
2%
2%
2%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------6%
10%
*
31%
3%
*
10%
2%
3%
14%
1%
16%
*
3%
2%
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
3%
N/A
8%
N/A
*
N/A
29%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
9%
N/A
2%
N/A
3%
N/A
13%
N/A
1%
N/A
25%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------5%
10%
*
24%
5%
*
12%
2%
3%
14%
2%
19%
1%
2%
2%
+/-8.5

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------6%
10%
*
33%
*
*
8%
1%
5%
12%
*
18%
3%
3%
3%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----7%
14%
*
30%
3%
*
14%
1%
2%
8%
*
15%
1%
4%
2%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----4%
11%
*
31%
*
*
10%
1%
5%
15%
*
20%
1%
2%
*
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-24-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP3D
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate
do you think would do the best job handling:
D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
10%
*
29%
2%
*
9%
1%
4%
12%
1%
18%
2%
3%
4%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
10%
*
29%
2%
*
9%
1%
4%
12%
1%
18%
2%
3%
4%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
10%
*
29%
2%
*
9%
1%
4%
12%
1%
18%
2%
3%
4%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----7%
9%
*
28%
3%
*
11%
1%
3%
13%
*
18%
2%
2%
3%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------4%
11%
*
36%
2%
*
12%
1%
2%
11%
1%
16%
1%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
6%
N/A
8%
N/A
*
N/A
23%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
5%
N/A
1%
N/A
5%
N/A
14%
N/A
1%
N/A
20%
N/A
4%
N/A
3%
N/A
6%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-25-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP4A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------4%
3%
8%
9%
2%
4%
29%
28%
1%
1%
*
*
6%
6%
2%
3%
1%
1%
15%
12%
*
*
28%
29%
*
*
1%
1%
3%
3%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
2%
29%
1%
*
6%
2%
1%
15%
*
28%
*
1%
3%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
2%
29%
1%
*
6%
2%
1%
15%
*
28%
*
1%
3%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----4%
7%
2%
28%
1%
*
6%
1%
1%
15%
*
28%
*
1%
3%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------5%
8%
2%
31%
1%
*
7%
2%
1%
12%
*
26%
*
1%
3%
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
3%
N/A
8%
N/A
4%
N/A
27%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
6%
N/A
3%
N/A
1%
N/A
12%
N/A
*
N/A
30%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------7%
10%
1%
26%
4%
*
6%
3%
2%
20%
*
19%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------2%
6%
3%
31%
*
*
6%
1%
*
12%
*
32%
*
1%
5%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----5%
10%
1%
29%
3%
*
9%
1%
1%
16%
*
20%
*
1%
4%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----3%
8%
*
30%
1%
*
7%
*
1%
17%
*
29%
*
1%
4%
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-26-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP4A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
2%
29%
1%
*
6%
2%
1%
15%
*
28%
*
1%
3%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
2%
29%
1%
*
6%
2%
1%
15%
*
28%
*
1%
3%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
2%
29%
1%
*
6%
2%
1%
15%
*
28%
*
1%
3%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----6%
8%
2%
29%
2%
*
6%
*
*
15%
*
30%
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------2%
9%
2%
35%
1%
*
8%
*
1%
13%
*
25%
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
6%
N/A
6%
N/A
2%
N/A
23%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
3%
N/A
2%
N/A
17%
N/A
*
N/A
31%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
4%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-27-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP4B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------3%
3%
4%
3%
1%
2%
27%
24%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
16%
15%
*
*
46%
49%
*
*
*
*
3%
2%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
27%
*
*
*
*
1%
16%
*
46%
*
*
3%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
27%
*
*
*
*
1%
16%
*
46%
*
*
3%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----3%
3%
1%
26%
*
*
*
*
1%
16%
*
46%
*
*
3%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------3%
4%
2%
27%
*
*
*
*
1%
18%
*
42%
*
*
3%
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
3%
N/A
3%
N/A
2%
N/A
24%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
15%
N/A
*
N/A
50%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------5%
4%
1%
20%
1%
*
*
*
2%
25%
*
37%
*
*
6%
+/-8.5

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------2%
4%
1%
32%
*
*
*
*
*
10%
*
50%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----6%
7%
*
26%
1%
*
*
*
*
17%
*
40%
*
*
3%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----2%
2%
1%
30%
*
*
*
*
*
13%
*
47%
*
*
4%
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-28-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP4B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
27%
*
*
*
*
1%
16%
*
46%
*
*
3%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
27%
*
*
*
*
1%
16%
*
46%
*
*
3%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
4%
1%
27%
*
*
*
*
1%
16%
*
46%
*
*
3%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----4%
4%
1%
26%
*
*
*
*
1%
15%
*
46%
*
*
3%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------1%
5%
1%
29%
*
*
*
*
1%
16%
*
45%
*
*
2%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
5%
N/A
4%
N/A
*
N/A
22%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
19%
N/A
*
N/A
47%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-29-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP4C
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
C. Is the strongest leader
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------3%
3%
5%
3%
2%
2%
27%
26%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
11%
9%
*
*
47%
52%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
5%
2%
27%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
47%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
5%
2%
27%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
47%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----3%
5%
2%
27%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
47%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------2%
7%
1%
31%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
44%
1%
*
*
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
3%
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
N/A
26%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
9%
N/A
*
N/A
53%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------3%
5%
1%
23%
2%
*
1%
*
1%
19%
*
43%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------3%
5%
2%
30%
*
*
2%
*
*
7%
*
48%
1%
1%
1%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----6%
4%
2%
28%
2%
*
3%
*
1%
12%
*
37%
2%
2%
3%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----3%
4%
1%
32%
*
*
2%
*
1%
10%
*
43%
1%
1%
1%
+/-8.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-30-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question RP4C
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think:
C. Is the strongest leader
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
5%
2%
27%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
47%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
5%
2%
27%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
47%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
5%
2%
27%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
47%
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----4%
4%
1%
26%
1%
*
2%
*
*
12%
*
48%
*
*
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------1%
5%
1%
32%
1%
*
2%
*
*
11%
*
44%
1%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
4%
N/A
3%
N/A
3%
N/A
23%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
13%
N/A
*
N/A
50%
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-31-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM1
If the Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me
which of the following people you would be most likely to support.
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------43%
32%
56%
45%
4%
4%
4%
3%
51%
63%
38%
49%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----47%
3%
48%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------43%
3%
50%
*
3%
2%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------39%
3%
55%
*
2%
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------49%
4%
44%
1%
*
2%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----32%
1%
63%
*
3%
*
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----54%
4%
39%
*
3%
*
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----63%
2%
34%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------45%
3%
49%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
43%
N/A
4%
N/A
52%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016

POLL IA1
3

-32-

January 15 20, 2016

Question DM2
Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Democratic caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------64%
63%
65%
68%
16%
19%
12%
14%
20%
18%
22%
17%
*
*
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
16%
20%
*
+/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
16%
20%
*
+/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
16%
20%
*
+/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
16%
20%
*
+/-6.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
16%
20%
*
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----66%
15%
20%
*
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------62%
20%
17%
*
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------61%
16%
23%
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------68%
15%
17%
*
+/-8.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----70%
16%
14%
*
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----65%
12%
24%
*
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----73%
14%
14%
*
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------70%
19%
11%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
66%
N/A
16%
N/A
18%
N/A
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-33-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM1A
And who would be your second choice?
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers with a first choice

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
46%
22%
33%
15%
14%
17%
16%
38%
29%
47%
38%
4%
4%
4%
5%
6%
7%
6%
7%
2%
*
4%
3%
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
15%
38%
4%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
15%
38%
4%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
15%
38%
4%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
15%
38%
4%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
15%
38%
4%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----38%
13%
40%
3%
4%
1%
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------36%
14%
40%
2%
7%
1%
+/-8.5

Non
College
Grad
-------37%
16%
33%
6%
6%
2%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------33%
15%
43%
1%
7%
2%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----46%
16%
30%
2%
6%
1%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----23%
17%
45%
4%
6%
4%
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----25%
14%
47%
2%
8%
4%
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------34%
18%
39%
4%
4%
2%
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
34%
N/A
17%
N/A
38%
N/A
4%
N/A
6%
N/A
2%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-34-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM3A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best
handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even
if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------36%
27%
46%
38%
3%
1%
4%
3%
58%
70%
46%
57%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
3%
58%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
3%
58%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------31%
4%
64%
2%
*
*
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------42%
2%
54%
2%
*
*
+/-8.0

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------32%
4%
63%
*
*
2%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----45%
5%
48%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----50%
2%
47%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-35-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM3A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best
handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even
if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
3%
58%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
3%
58%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
3%
58%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----40%
3%
57%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----29%
4%
66%
1%
*
*
+/-8.5

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------38%
3%
59%
*
*
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
38%
N/A
3%
N/A
57%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-36-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM3B
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best
handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even
if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
B. Health care
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------45%
38%
52%
46%
2%
4%
1%
2%
51%
55%
47%
51%
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
*
1%
1%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
2%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
2%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------43%
3%
53%
*
1%
*
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------50%
3%
45%
*
2%
*
+/-8.0

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------40%
2%
56%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----49%
1%
49%
*
*
*
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----67%
2%
31%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-37-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM3B
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best
handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even
if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
B. Health care
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
2%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
2%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----45%
2%
51%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Democrat
----49%
3%
47%
*
*
1%
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----32%
1%
66%
*
1%
*
+/-8.5

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------45%
2%
53%
*
*
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
45%
N/A
2%
N/A
51%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-38-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM3C
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best
handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even
if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------65%
65%
66%
64%
6%
6%
7%
6%
25%
28%
22%
26%
3%
1%
4%
3%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
6%
25%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
6%
25%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------70%
5%
23%
1%
1%
*
+/-8.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------77%
3%
19%
2%
*
*
+/-8.0

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------58%
9%
30%
3%
1%
*
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----64%
8%
24%
5%
*
*
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----81%
3%
15%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-39-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM3C
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best
handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even
if you may not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
6%
25%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
6%
25%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
6%
25%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Democrat
----72%
6%
18%
3%
*
*
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----63%
3%
31%
3%
*
*
+/-8.5

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------72%
6%
19%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
64%
N/A
7%
N/A
26%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-40-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question DM4A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Democratic candidate do you think:
A. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------38%
28%
48%
40%
5%
4%
5%
4%
57%
67%
46%
56%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
5%
57%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
5%
57%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
5%
57%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
5%
57%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
5%
57%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----39%
4%
56%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------33%
6%
61%
*
*
*
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------34%
5%
60%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------42%
4%
54%
*
*
*
+/-8.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----28%
5%
67%
*
*
*
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----45%
5%
48%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----55%
2%
41%
*
*
1%
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------37%
5%
58%
*
*
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
37%
N/A
5%
N/A
57%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016
Question DM4B

POLL IA1
3

-41-

January 15 20, 2016

Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Democratic candidate do you think:
B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election in November
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------60%
44%
77%
62%
*
*
1%
1%
38%
55%
21%
36%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
*
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
*
38%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
*
38%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
*
38%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
*
38%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----60%
*
38%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----64%
*
35%
*
1%
*
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------55%
*
44%
*
*
1%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------55%
1%
42%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------66%
*
33%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----55%
*
44%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----76%
1%
22%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----74%
*
24%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------68%
*
31%
*
*
1%
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
59%
N/A
1%
N/A
38%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016
Question DM4C

POLL IA1
3

-42-

January 15 20, 2016

Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Democratic candidate do you think:
C. Would do the most to help the middle class
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------30%
25%
36%
32%
2%
2%
1%
2%
67%
73%
60%
66%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
2%
67%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
2%
67%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
2%
67%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
2%
67%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/no one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----30%
2%
67%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----32%
1%
67%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------27%
1%
72%
*
*
*
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------27%
2%
70%
*
1%
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------34%
1%
65%
*
*
*
+/-8.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----19%
1%
80%
*
*
*
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----35%
1%
63%
*
*
*
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----47%
2%
51%
*
*
1%
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------31%
1%
68%
*
*
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
30%
N/A
2%
N/A
67%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016
Question DM5
Would you rather see the next president:

POLL IA1
3

-43-

January 15 20, 2016

Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Continue Obama's policies


Have conservative policies
Have liberal policies
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------48%
42%
55%
51%
14%
17%
11%
14%
33%
39%
27%
31%
4%
2%
7%
3%
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Continue Obama's policies


Have conservative policies
Have liberal policies
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
14%
33%
4%
+/-6.0

Continue Obama's policies


Have conservative policies
Have liberal policies
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
14%
33%
4%
+/-6.0

Continue Obama's policies


Have conservative policies
Have liberal policies
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
14%
33%
4%
+/-6.0

Continue Obama's policies


Have conservative policies
Have liberal policies
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
14%
33%
4%
+/-6.0

Continue Obama's policies


Have conservative policies
Have liberal policies
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
14%
33%
4%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----52%
12%
34%
3%
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------50%
12%
35%
4%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------46%
17%
32%
5%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------55%
10%
32%
3%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----49%
6%
45%
*
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----57%
12%
26%
5%
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----59%
10%
28%
3%
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------55%
6%
37%
2%
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
47%
N/A
14%
N/A
35%
N/A
4%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-44-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president?
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Total
----6%
3%
20%
16%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
6%
The economy
46%
Other
1%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Total
----6%
3%
20%
16%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
6%
The economy
46%
Other
1%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Total
----6%
3%
20%
16%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
6%
The economy
46%
Other
1%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Total
----6%
3%
20%
16%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
6%
The economy
46%
Other
1%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Total
----6%
3%
20%
16%

Men
----7%
1%
20%
6%
6%
58%
1%
*
+/-8.5

Women
----4%
5%
20%
27%
5%
34%
1%
3%
+/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----7%
4%
23%
15%
5%
44%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----7%
3%
22%
19%
6%
40%
1%
2%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

POLL IA1

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------6%
3%
19%
17%

College
Grad
------12%
*
20%
12%

Non
College
Grad
-------3%
4%
21%
19%

5%
48%
1%
*
+/-8.0

3%
52%
2%
*
+/-8.0

8%
42%
1%
3%
+/-8.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
6%
The economy
46%
Other
1%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016
Question 5

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

-45-

Liberal
----8%
*
21%
24%
6%
39%
*
2%
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----4%
5%
21%
28%
4%
34%
1%
4%
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----9%
5%
27%
7%
6%
42%
1%
2%
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

January 15 20, 2016

Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president?
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Total
----6%
3%
20%
16%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
6%
The economy
46%
Other
1%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------6%
2%
22%
16%
2%
49%
2%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
6%
N/A
3%
N/A
18%
N/A
16%
N/A
N/A
5%
N/A
50%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-46-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for president?
Base = Republican likely caucus goers
Total
----17%
7%
5%
10%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
20%
The economy
37%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Total
----17%
7%
5%
10%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
20%
The economy
37%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Total
----17%
7%
5%
10%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
20%
The economy
37%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Total
----17%
7%
5%
10%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
20%
The economy
37%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Total
----17%
7%
5%
10%

Men
----18%
5%
5%
10%
21%
37%
4%
*
+/-7.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----15%
7%
5%
9%
21%
40%
3%
1%
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

POLL IA1

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------19%
4%
4%
9%

College
Grad
------19%
6%
9%
10%

Non
College
Grad
-------13%
8%
3%
10%

19%
42%
2%
*
+/-8.0

13%
41%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

25%
36%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----16%
6%
4%
10%
23%
40%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
20%
The economy
37%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
18%
N/A
4%
N/A
5%
N/A
9%
N/A
N/A
21%
N/A
39%
N/A
4%
N/A
*
+/-7.5

-47-

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----17%
11%
3%
9%
26%
28%
5%
1%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----16%
12%
9%
4%
20%
34%
4%
1%
+/-8.5

Conservative
------15%
8%
3%
13%
18%
40%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

January 15 20, 2016

Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Republican likely caucus goers
Total
----17%
7%
5%
10%

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Social issues, such as
abortion and same-sex marriage
Terrorism
20%
The economy
37%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-6.0

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
20%
N/A
8%
N/A
7%
N/A
6%
N/A
N/A
19%
N/A
38%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-48-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question 10
How well do you feel the government in Washington represents the views of people like yourself?
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
3%
6%
5%
31%
38%
25%
30%
36%
32%
40%
36%
27%
27%
27%
27%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-6.0 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
31%
36%
27%
1%
+/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
31%
36%
27%
1%
+/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
31%
36%
27%
1%
+/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
31%
36%
27%
1%
+/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
31%
36%
27%
1%
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----6%
36%
37%
20%
2%
+/-6.5

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------4%
26%
39%
29%
2%
+/-8.0

Non
College
Grad
-------2%
32%
34%
30%
2%
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

College
Grad
------8%
31%
37%
23%
*
+/-8.0

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----5%
32%
38%
24%
*
+/-8.5

White
Women
-----6%
26%
38%
26%
3%
+/-8.5

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----8%
28%
32%
32%
1%
+/-7.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------3%
27%
40%
29%
*
+/-7.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
3%
N/A
32%
N/A
36%
N/A
27%
N/A
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-49-

January 15 20, 2016

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- January 15 to 20, 2016


Question 10
How well do you feel the government in Washington represents the views of people like yourself?
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
--------3%
3%
9%
9%
30%
29%
58%
59%
*
*
+/-6.0 +/-7.5

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
9%
30%
58%
*
+/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
9%
30%
58%
*
+/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
9%
30%
58%
*
+/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
9%
30%
58%
*
+/-6.0

Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all well
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
9%
30%
58%
*
+/-6.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
$50K
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Women
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Non
College
Grad
-------3%
8%
32%
56%
*
+/-8.5

College
Grad
------2%
11%
27%
61%
*
+/-8.5

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----1%
10%
28%
61%
*
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
3%
N/A
10%
N/A
28%
N/A
59%
N/A
*
+/-7.5

5064
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------2%
11%
32%
55%
*
+/-8.0

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
----2%
9%
30%
59%
*
+/-6.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Women
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

55 and
Older
-----2%
9%
28%
60%
*
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----3%
14%
22%
62%
*
+/-8.5

Conservative
------1%
9%
29%
61%
*
+/-7.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
2%
N/A
12%
N/A
28%
N/A
58%
N/A
*
+/-8.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA1
3

-50-

January 15 20, 2016

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