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Pre-Feasibility Study

(Distribution Agency)

Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority


Ministry of Industries & Production
Government of Pakistan
www.smeda.org.pk
HEAD OFFICE
4th Floor, Building No. 3, Aiwan-e-Iqbal Complex, Egerton Road,
Lahore
Tel: (92 42) 111 111 456, Fax: (92 42) 36304926-7

helpdesk@smeda.org.pk
REGIONAL OFFICE
Punjab

REGIONAL OFFICE
Sindh

REGIONAL OFFICE
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

REGIONAL OFFICE
Balochistan

3rd Floor, Building No. 3,


Aiwan-e-Iqbal Complex,
Egerton Road Lahore,
Tel: (042) 111-111-456
Fax: (042) 36304926-7
helpdesk.punjab@smeda.org.pk

5th Floor, Bahria


Complex II, M.T. Khan Road,
Karachi.
Tel: (021) 111-111-456
Fax: (021) 35610572
helpdesk-khi@smeda.org.pk

Ground Floor
State Life Building
The Mall, Peshawar.
Tel: (091) 111-111-456
Fax: (091) 5286908
helpdesk-pew@smeda.org.pk

Bungalow No. 15-A


Chaman Housing Scheme
Airport Road, Quetta.
Tel: (081) 2831623, 2831702
Fax: (081) 2831922
helpdesk-qta@smeda.org.pk

Note: All SMEDA Services / information related to PM's Youth Business Loan are Free of Cost
May, 2014

Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

Table of Contents
1.
DISCLAIMER ....................................................................................................................... 2
2.
PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT ....................................................................................... 3
3.
INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA ............................................................................................ 3
4.
INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME .......................................................................................... 4
5.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................... 4
6.
BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT ................................................................................. 5
7.
CRITICAL FACTORS .......................................................................................................... 5
8.
INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES ........................................................... 6
9.
GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT ...................................................... 7
10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS ..................................................................................... 7
11. DISTRIBUTION PROCESS FLOW ..................................................................................... 7
12. PROJECT COST SUMMARY .............................................................................................. 8
12.1
PROJECT ECONOMICS .................................................................................................. 8
12.2
PROJECT FINANCING .................................................................................................... 9
12.3
PROJECT COST............................................................................................................. 9
12.4
SPACE REQUIREMENT .................................................................................................. 9
12.5
HUMAN RESOURCE REQUIREMENT ............................................................................ 10
12.6
REVENUE GENERATION .............................................................................................. 10
12.7
OTHER COSTS ............................................................................................................ 11
13. CONTACT DETAILS OF CONSULTANS / EXPERTS ................................................... 12
14. ANNEXURES ..................................................................................................................... 13
14.1
INCOME STATEMENT .................................................................................................. 13
14.2
BALANCE SHEET ........................................................................................................ 14
14.3
CASH FLOW STATEMENT ........................................................................................... 15
14.4
USEFUL PROJECT MANAGEMENT TIPS ..................................................................... 16
14.5
USEFUL LINKS ............................................................................................................ 17
15. KEY ASSUMPTIONS......................................................................................................... 19

Pre-Feasibility Study

1.

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

DISCLAIMER

This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general
idea and information on the subject. Although, the material included in this document is
based on data / information gathered from various reliable sources; however, it is based
upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case. The information has been
provided on as is where is basis without any warranties or assertions as to the
correctness or soundness thereof. Although, due care and diligence has been taken to
compile this document, the contained information may vary due to any change in any of
the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ substantially from the presented
information. SMEDA, its employees or agents do not assume any liability for any
financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in consequence of undertaking
this activity. The contained information does not preclude any further professional
advice. The prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to carry out additional
diligence and gather any information which is necessary for making an informed
decision, including taking professional advice from a qualified consultant / technical
expert before taking any decision to act upon the information.
For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website:
www.smeda.org.pk

SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

Pre-Feasibility Study

2.

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT

The objective of the pre-feasibility study is primarily to facilitate potential entrepreneurs


in project identification for investment. The project pre-feasibility may form the basis of
an important investment decision and in order to serve this objective, the document /
study covers various aspects of project concept development, start-up, production,
marketing, finance and business management.
The purpose of this document is to facilitate potential investors in Distribution Agency
by providing them with a general understanding of the business with the intention of
supporting potential investors in crucial investment decisions.
The need to come up with pre-feasibility reports for undocumented or minimally
documented sectors attains greater imminence as the research that precedes such
reports reveal certain thumb rules; best practices developed by existing enterprises by
trial and error, and certain industrial norms that become a guiding source regarding
various aspects of business set-up and its successful management.
Apart from carefully studying the whole document, one must consider critical aspects
provided later on, which form basis of any investment decision.

3.

INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA

The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) was established in
October 1998 with an objective to provide fresh impetus to the economy through
development of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).
With a mission "to assist in employment generation and value addition to the national
income, through development of the SME sector, by helping increase the number, scale
and competitiveness of SMEs" , SMEDA has carried out sectoral research to identify
policy, access to finance, business development services, strategic initiatives and
institutional collaboration and networking initiatives.
Preparation and dissemination of prefeasibility studies in key areas of investment has
been a hallmark of SME facilitation by SMEDA.
Concurrent to the prefeasibility studies, a broad spectrum of business development
services is also offered to the SMEs by SMEDA. These services include identification of
experts and consultants and delivery of need based capacity building programs of
different types in addition to business guidance through help desk services.

SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

Pre-Feasibility Study

4.

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME

Prime Ministers Youth Business Loan, for young entrepreneurs, with an allocated
budget of Rs. 5 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide subsidised financing
at 8% mark-up per annum for one hundred thousand (100,000) beneficiaries, by
designated financial institutions, initially through The National Bank of Pakistan (NBP)
and The First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL).
Loans from Rs. 0.1 million to Rs. 2.0 million with tenure up to 8 years inclusive of 1 year
grace period, and a debt: equity of 90: 10 will be disbursed to SME beneficiaries+
across Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, Gilgit
Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA).

5.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Distribution Agency is proposed to be located at any densely populated city such as


Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar or Quetta to distribute Fast Moving Consumer
Goods (FMCG) such as Branded Tea, Powdered Milk and Confectionary Items to the
Local market. This business can also be undertaken in all small 2nd tier towns, in
addition to suburban towns of large cities.
This proposed distribution agency will distribute around 06 tonnes each of tea and
powdered milk and 08 tonnes each of biscuits and chocolate / toffees etc per month to
the retailers. The assumed sales force has the capacity to distribute around 50 tonnes
of product and initially they will be utilizing 56% of proposed capacity.
Total Cost Estimate of the project is Rs. 1.249 million with Fixed Investment of Rs.
1.067 million and Working Capital of Rs. 0.182 million
Given the cost assumptions IRR and payback are 39 % and 3.4 years respectively.
The most critical considerations or factors for success of the project are
1. Product and Brands to be distributed
2. Negotiation and Marketing Skills
3. Credit Recovery

SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

Pre-Feasibility Study

6.

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT

Product: It has been suggested that for the proposed distribution business, the
company would act as a main institutional distributor for Fast Moving Consumer
Goods (FMCG) products. The business would distribute; one established tea brand,
any one of packaged Milk, as new brands are growing in the market and any two of
confectionery products i.e. biscuits & toffees etc.

Location: Distribution Agency can be set-up in any major city with significant
population such as Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar and Quetta. This
business can also be done in all small second tier towns in addition to suburban
towns of large cities.

Target Market: The demand of distribution service providers is increasing which is


directly proportionate to the increase in FMCG manufacturing companies which are
expanding substantially with the current economic growth and consumerism.
Therefore the potential target market for the proposed distribution agency setup is
retail stores in densely populated cities such as Karachi, Lahore, Peshawar, Quetta,
Rawalpindi, Islamabad and all second and third tier cities / towns of Pakistan.

Employment Generation: The proposed project will provide direct employment to 05


people. Financial analysis shows the unit shall be profitable from the very first year of
operation

7.

CRITICAL FACTORS

Critical success factors that affect the decision to invest in the proposed business are:
i)
Products and Brand
Product and Brands to be distributed would act as a key success factor for the proposed
distribution business. Greater the brand awareness in the market, higher would be the
chances of business success. It is suggested that prospective entrepreneur should
obtain distribution agreement for at least one successful brand.
ii)
Background Experience
Background experience plays an important role in operating a small to medium scale
Distribution Agency, especially when dealing with customers, deciding the business
development activities to be carried out and negotiating on commercial terms and
conditions, etc.
SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

iii)
Marketing Skill
The entrepreneur must have effective PR & marketing skills. These marketing skills
should enable the entrepreneur to carryout business development activities to target
potential customers and also to maintain existing client base.
iv)
Strong Sub-distributor
A strong sub-distributor network also plays an important role in generating additional
business. Such a network is imperative in developing a strong customer base which
might remain restricted if operated alone.
v)
Skilled & Experienced Manpower
The knowledge and experience of the entrepreneur is not sufficient to run the business
smoothly. A major proportion of business development activities and accounts
receivables are managed by sales personnel employed by the agency. Therefore, it is
crucial for the distribution agency to hire experienced and skilled sales staff that can
bring in new business and retain existing customer base.

8.

INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES

For the proposed project it is assumed that 336 tonnes / annum of various consumer
goods will be distributed across the city where the distribution company is set-up with
5% sales volume growth assumption. For this purpose a staff of total 05 persons will be
justifying their job description in various capacities.
It has been suggested that for the proposed distribution business, the company would
act as a main institutional distributor for Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG)
products. The business would distribute; one established tea brand, any one of
packaged Milk, as new brands are growing in the market and any two of confectionery
products i.e. biscuits & toffees etc.
Products for distribution have been selected for the proposed business by foreseeing
their high potential and anticipated expansion in the manufacturing of these products.
However, as these products are perishable, efficient distribution operations would be
necessary. In order to leverage the opportunity for further business expansion, intensive
distribution practice would be followed which means that the business would place its
products and services in as many outlets as possible, employing the First in First Out
method.
It is proposed that Milk should not be stored in the warehouse for more than 03 days,
whereas, tea and confectionery may remain in stock for 07 days at most. However, it is
SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

suggested that time for a product to leave the warehouse and be distributed should be
as minimum as possible.

9.

GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT

The growing trend of consumerism and increase in population has increased


opportunities for the FMCG distribution business in Pakistan. The influx of rural
population into urban areas has also increased the demand of consumer goods,
therefore, proposed Distribution Agency can be set-up in any major city with significant
population such as Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar and Quetta. This business
can also be done in all small second tier towns, in addition to suburban towns of large
cities.

10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS


Pakistan has a domestic market of above 185 million consumers with growing incomes
& changing consumption habits. Population growth, increase in per capita income, and
urbanization have led to demand of distribution agencies. Consumerism and
introduction of new products have fuelled demand. The target market for the proposed
set-up is retail stores in densely populated cities such as Karachi, Lahore, Peshawar,
Quetta, Rawalpindi, Islamabad & all second and third tier cities / towns of Pakistan.

11. DISTRIBUTION PROCESS FLOW


Manufacturing or trading companies dealing in consumer goods when interested in
appointing a distributor for their products, advertise in newspapers and call for
expression of interest from local companies interested in the distribution. Companies
evaluate following capabilities of the interested distributors:

Location of distributors business premises.


Financial position and credit standing of the distributor.
Knowledge and experience of the distributor.
Storage and showroom facilities of the distributor.
Ability of the distributor to secure adequate business and to cover the market.
Capacity of the distributor to provide after sale service.
General reputation of the distributor and his sales force.
Willingness of the distributor to handle the entrepreneurs products.
Degree of co-operation and promotion service he is willing to provide.

SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

Nature of other products, if any handled by the distributor.


In a country like Pakistan one needs an effective distribution system that provides
market coverage and is economical. The choice of a channel by traders or
manufacturers depends upon the nature of the product e.g. for low priced consumer
products like soap, a vast network is needed and manufacturers prefer to hire the
services of a independent distributor rather than having their own distribution set-up,
which is a high cost option. For industrial goods, a direct channel or a very short
channel is considered to be appropriate. The nature of the product- whether it is bulky
or perishable, and the cost and efficiency of the distributors are some other factors that
manufacturers and traders consider while selecting a distributor.

12. PROJECT COST SUMMARY


A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the commercial viability of
Distribution Agency under the Prime Ministers Youth Business Loan. Various cost and
revenue related assumptions along with results of the analysis are outlined in this
section.
The projected Income Statement, Cash Flow Statement and Balance Sheet are
attached as appendix
12.1 Project Economics
All the figures in this financial model have been calculated for distribution of 28 Tons /
Month of Packed Tea, Powdered Milk, Biscuits and Confectionary Items. Monthly Sales
of these items based on certain assumptions such as Distributors price and quantity of
sales are calculated to be Rs. 8.32 million.

Following table shows Internal Rate of Return, Net Present Value and Payback Period.
Table 1 - Project Economics
Description

Details

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)


Payback Period (yrs)
Net Present Value (NPV)

39%
3.4
3,269,732

Returns on the scheme and its profitability are highly dependent on effective
management of logistics, general reputation of distributor and its sales force.
SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

12.2 Project Financing


Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank
loan:
Table 2 - Project Financing
Description

Details

Total Equity (10%)

Rs.124,900

Bank Loan (90%)

Rs.1,124,100

Markup to the Borrower (%age/annum)

8%

Tenure of the Loan (Years)

08

Grace period (Year)

01

12.3 Project Cost


Following requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business:
Table 3: Capital Investment for the Project

Capital Investment

Amount (Rs.)

Renovation (Office & Godown)

50,000

Office Equipments

67,000

Security Deposit

400,000

Furniture

50,000

Delivery Vehicles

400,000

Rent Deposit

100,000

Total Capital Costs

1,067,000

Working Capital

182,000

Total Project Cost

1,249,000

12.4 Space Requirement


Space required for Distribution Agency is 2,000 Sq. ft. where 200 Sq. ft. will be used for
Management Office and 1,800 Sq. ft. will be used as Godown.
Table 4: Space Requirement

Description

For Office & Godown


Total Rent

Area
Sq. Ft.
2,000

Monthly Rent
Charges (Rs.)

Yearly Rent(Rs.)

40,000

480,000

40,000

480,000

SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

Table 5: Office Equipment & Furniture Costs

Description

Quantity

Cost

Amount

Computer & UPS

25,000

25,000

Printer

10,000

10,000

Fax & Telephone

12,000

12,000

UPS & Battery

20,000

20,000

Furniture

50,000

50,000

Total

117,000

12.5 Human Resource Requirement


Table 6: Human Resource Requirement

Description

Nos.

Salary per month

Total Salary

Owner Manager
Sales Staff / Outdoor Booking

01
01

20,000
12,000

20,000
12,000

Manager Accounts & Store


Driver / Loader

01
01

12,000
10,000

12,000
10,000

01
05

10,000
64,000

10,000
64,000

Security Guard
Total Staff

The table above provides detail of human resources required to run a Distribution
Agency of Small and Medium Scale. Salaries of all employees are estimated to increase
at 10% annually.
12.6 Revenue Generation
The revenues are based on assumption of monthly Sale Proceeds of Rs. 8.32 Million of
Branded Tea, Powdered Milk, Biscuits and Confectionary items with an annual sales
volume growth rate of 5% and price growth rate of 7%. On an average distribution
margin is 2% of total sale proceeds.

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Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

Table 7 - Project Economics

Distribution of Items

Monthly Sales

Commission
on Sales (2%)

Incentives on
Sales-Monthly

Branded Tea

3,000,000

60,000

15,000

Powdered Milk

3,000,000

60,000

15,000

Biscuits / Cookies

1,040,000

20,800

6,240

Candy / Toffee / Chocolates

1,280,000

25,600

7,680

166,400

43,920

Sub-Total
Total Sales

8,320,000

210,320

12.7 Other Costs


An essential cost to be borne by the company is maintenance of vehicles as delivery
vans have to cover a number of remote areas in different part of the city. On an average
Rs. 45,500 is assumed to be monthly fuel and vehicle maintenance expense.
Working Capital Requirements: It is estimated that an additional amount of
approximately Rs. 182,000 will be required as cash in hand to meet the initial working
capital requirements during operation. The requirement is based on the utilities,
salaries, fuel, office rent, insurance expense, maintenance and miscellaneous expense
for at least one month. The following table gives the break up.
Table 8 Working Capital Requirement

Salaries
Rent
Utilities
Maintenance & Fuel for Vehicle
Office Expenses
Life Insurance Expense
Total

Months
01
01
01
01
01
01

Charges (Rs.)

SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

64,000
40,000
20,000
45,500
10,000
2,500
182,000

11

Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

13. CONTACT DETAILS OF CONSULTANS / EXPERTS


Following are a few significant distributors with sub-distribution options:

Universal Distributors Limited (UDL), www.universaldistribution.org/


International Brands Limited (IBL), www.iblgrp.com/
Burque Corporation, Premier Distributor, www.burque.com.pk/
Muller & Phipps (M & P), www.mulphico.pk/

SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

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Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

14. ANNEXURES
14.1

Income Statement

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Pre-Feasibility Study

14.2

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

Balance Sheet

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Pre-Feasibility Study

14.3

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

Cash Flow Statement

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Pre-Feasibility Study

14.4

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

Useful Project Management Tips

Technology

List of Machinery & Equipment

Computer & UPS

Printer

Fax & Telephone

UPS & Battery

Furniture

Energy Requirement: Should not be overlooked and alternate source of energy for
critical operations be arranged in advance

Marketing

Sales & Distribution Network: Expert's advice and distribution agreements are
required with distributors & retailers.

Price - Bulk Discounts, Cost plus Introductory Discounts: Price should never be
allowed to compromise on quality. Price during introductory phase may be lower and
used as a promotional tool. Service cost estimates should be carefully documented
before price setting. Government controlled prices should be displayed, where
applicable.

Human Resources

List of Human Resource

Owner

Sales Staff / Outdoor Booking

Manager Accounts & Store

Driver / Loader

Security Guard

Adequacy & Competencies: Recruitment of skilled and experienced staff should


be considered an investment.

Performance Based Remuneration: Attempt to manage human resource cost


should be focused through performance measurement and performance based
compensation.

SMEDA Services / Information related to PMs Youth Business Loan are FREE OF COST -

16

Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

Training & Skill Development: Encouraging training and skill of self & employees
through experts and exposure to best practices is a route to success. Least cost
options for Training and Skill Development (T&SD) may be linked with compensation
benefits and awards.

14.5

Useful Links

Prime Ministers Office


www.pmo.gov.pk
Small & Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA)
www.smeda.org.pk
National Bank of Pakistan (NBP)
www.nbp.com.pk
First Women Bank Limited (FWBL)
www.fwbl.com.pk
Government of Pakistan
www.pakistan.gov.pk
Ministry of Industries & Production
www.moip.gov.pk
Ministry of Education, Training & Standards in Higher Education
http://moptt.gov.pk
Government of Punjab
www.punjab.gov.pk
Government of Sindh
www.sindh.gov.pk
Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk
Government of Balochistan
www.balochistan.gov.pk
Government of Gilgit Baltistan
www.gilgitbaltistan.gov.pk
Government of Azad Jammu & Kashmir
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Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

www.ajk.gov.pk
Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (TDAP)
www.tdap.gov.pk
Securities & Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP)
www.secp.gov.pk
Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI)
www.fpcci.com.pk
State Bank of Pakistan (SBP)
www.sbp.org.pk

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Pre-Feasibility Study

Distribution Agency (Rs.1.25 Million)

15. KEY ASSUMPTIONS


Item
Sales Volume Increase
Sales Price Increase
Increase in Cost of Sales
Increase in Staff Salaries
Increase in Utilities
Increase in Rent
Increase in Office Expenses
Debt / Equity Ratio
Depreciation: Premises Renovation
Furniture
Loan Period
Loan Installments
Financial Charges (Loan Rate)
Bad Debts

Assumption(s)
5%
7%
10 %
10 % per year
10 % per year
10 % per year
10 % per year
90 : 10
10 % per annum (Diminishing Balance)
10 % per annum (Diminishing Balance)
8 Years, inclusive of 1 year grace
period
Monthly
8 % per annum
3% of Sales

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19

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