Documenti di Didattica
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Valuation
Valuation
Valuation
Valuation
Valuation
under
under
under
under
under
VALUE
272
329
167
406
123
MARKET APPROACH
6
7
8
9
Valuation
Valuation
Valuation
Valuation
56
78
54
106
77
251
Client Name
Value Of Equity Under Income Approach
S.No.
Value Terminal
Value
A
NPV
Total
Value of
Firm
C
Debt
Total
No. of Value of Control
Final
Value of Equity
Equity Premium Value
Equity Shares
Share
25% of Share
E=C-D
F
G=E/F
H
G+H
328966
1513
217
54.37
272
397710
1513
263
65.74
329
202393
1513
134
33.45
167
325
81.24
406
WACC
Growth
0.10
0.05
148720
1513
98
24.58
123
0.20
0.11
Client Name
Value Of Equity Under Market Approach
S.No.
Mkt.
Mutiple Client Name
Control
Premium
Value 25%
6.6
155.7
19.0
7
7
7
45
1059
129
11
265
32
0.8
1.9
2.0
78.6
78.6
78.6
62
149
157
16
37
39
4.6
156.1
13.9
9.5
9.5
9.5
43
1478
132
11
370
33
5.9
132.8
12.5
14.3
14.3
14.3
85
1898
178
21
475
45
Note : Considering the above companies CESC is found to be most comparable and therefore
values derived using CESC data only are considered for final decision making.
ch
Final
Value
of Share
56
1323
162
78
186
197
54
1848
165
106
2373
223
Client Name
Value Of Equity Under Net Asset Approach
S.No.
Value of Control
Final
Equity Premium Value
Share
25% of Share
G
I
G+H+I
Valuation of Share as per Book Value
Value of all the assets
220394
Less :
Secured Loans
79810
Unsecured Loans
5000
Current Liabilities
& Provisions
40867
Misc. Expenses
1021
126698
93696
1513
62
220394
126698
93696
92399
0.20
18739
73660
0.25
294640
388336
84810
303526
1513
15.49
77
Value of Share
201
50.17
251
Client Name
COMPARATIVE PROJECTED BALANCE SHEETS
2013
Projected
Projected
Projected
Projected
Projected
2014
2015 E
2016 E
2017 E
2018 E
2010
2011
2012
Share Capital
15125.12
15125.12
15125.12
15125.12
15125.12
15125.12
15125.12
15125.12
15125.12
77949.71
92769.46
98574.61
103213.33
104786.02
105562.83
108940.72
114164.88
120624.96
Secured Loans
59931.29
54271.79
65555.84
79019.80
79810.00
80209.05
82615.32
87159.16
91081.32
198.91
0.00
2500.00
5000.00
5000.00
5000.00
5000.00
5000.00
5000.00
10739.48
7490.48
7798.72
7960.93
8876.58
12409.65
16545.86
19317.09
20928.36
### 210319.18
213597.71
218306.64
228227.02
240766.25
252759.77
344631.73
347394.47
350433.48
353685.22
Unsecured Loans
Deffered Tax Liability
Total Funds Employed
163944.51 169656.85
Fixed Assets
Gross Block
189680.75
Less : Depreciation
Total Fixed Assets
Capital Work in Progress
Mines development expenditure
Inter Division Account
190326.02
191250.78
192802.34
194650.32
85469.35
94556.41
103376.25
112196.32
120998.64
137420.90
153981.30
153981.30
153981.30
104211.40
95769.61
87874.53
80606.02
73651.68
207210.83
193413.17
196452.18
199703.93
8770.10
22166.41
72399.58
117579.03
137579.03
7000.00
17000.00
27000.00
37000.00
14791.15
13474.77
10882.52
11454.42
9163.54
7330.83
5864.66
4691.73
3753.38
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
### 209639.47
220394.25
221541.66
216277.84
228143.91
240457.31
6532.34
6858.96
7201.91
7562.00
7940.10
127772.65 131410.79
Investments
13571.80
26071.80
14050.50
6221.28
520.66
682.56
276.77
143.72
150.91
158.45
166.37
174.69
183.43
8601.72
8113.15
8369.94
8968.78
7175.02
9327.53
10726.66
11799.33
12625.28
Sundry Debtors
10929.18
10709.44
16712.30
17906.45
14325.16
18622.71
21416.11
23557.73
25206.77
10309.98
6811.46
2696.83
343.35
1133.82
460.03
13554.70
13112.40
12435.40
17260.27
5680.69
4990.35
4665.07
3732.06
4851.67
5579.42
6137.37
6566.98
47621.81
31997.30
33046.19
32027.37
26516.97
33420.39
51443.28
54781.51
57017.85
17967.91
16675.21
22061.31
31995.74
35387.29
37156.65
39014.49
40965.21
43013.47
8245.43
4424.16
7914.05
6849.53
5479.62
7123.51
8192.04
9011.24
9642.03
26213.34
21099.37
29975.36
38845.27
40866.91
44280.16
47206.52
49976.45
52655.50
21408.47
10897.93
3070.83
-6817.90
-14349.94
-10859.77
4236.75
4805.06
4362.35
1191.59
1276.33
1276.33
1276.33
1021.06
765.79
510.52
255.27
0.00
### 210319.18
213597.71
218306.64
228227.02
240766.25
252759.77
Inventories
(C)
Misc. Expenditure
Total Application of Funds
163944.51 169656.85
Debt/Equity Ratio
0.65
0.50
0.60
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.71
Rs in Lacs
2019 E
15125.12
127681.80
96546.20
5000.00
20928.36
265281.49
353685.22
153981.30
199703.93
47000.00
3002.71
0.00
249706.63
8337.11
192.60
13256.54
26467.10
16337.64
6895.33
63149.22
45164.14
10124.13
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
6300.87 -7577.22 -4928.21 -3780.54 -2913.34 -2229.12
55288.27
7860.94
0.00
265904.69
0.71
Client Name
COMPARATIVE INCOME STATEMENTS
2010
2011
2012
2013
Projected
2014
75659.32
79558.02
93554.57
115499.01
92399.21
120118.97
138136.82
151950.50
162587.03
170716.38
4262.50
8721.05
2659.66
1618.82
1295.06
1554.07
1864.88
2237.86
2685.43
3222.51
79921.82
88279.07
96214.23
117117.83
93694.26
121673.04
140001.70
154188.35
165272.46
173938.90
40018.60
46621.87
64600.67
90608.48
69299.41
90089.23
103602.61
113962.87
121940.27
128037.29
Employee Cost
1440.85
2072.26
2363.04
2282.02
1847.98
2402.38
2762.74
3039.01
3251.74
3414.33
5715.71
7157.29
1263.28
1542.52
923.99
1201.19
1381.37
1519.50
1625.87
1707.16
-167.29
0.00
0.00
50.41
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-147.97
72.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
279.60
102.40
0.00
47.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.02
0.00
47139.50
56026.00
68226.99
94530.45
72071.38
93692.80
107746.72
118521.39
126817.87
133158.78
EBIDTA
32782.32
32253.07
27987.24
22587.38
21622.88
27980.24
32254.98
35666.97
38454.60
40780.12
Depreciation
EBIT
Interest & Finance Chgs.
Projected
2015 E
Projected
2016 E
Projected
2017 E
Projected Rs in Lacs
2018 E
2019 E
9137.84
8984.66
8830.79
8788.25
8923.19
16422.26
16560.40
16712.35
16874.93
17045.65
23644.48
23268.41
19156.45
13799.13
12699.69
11557.98
15694.58
18954.62
21579.66
23734.47
6395.20
5118.03
5131.51
2955.92
2983.72
3025.95
3155.44
3461.13
3957.99
4783.62
17249.28
18150.38
14024.94
10843.21
9715.97
8532.03
12539.14
15493.49
17621.67
18950.85
5750.00
3070.00
2715.00
2107.00
3400.98
395.49
1198.38
3671.45
5723.65
7444.15
17.81
37.81
52.06
42.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-3249.00
308.24
162.21
915.65
3533.07
4136.21
2771.22
1611.28
623.20
EBT
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
191.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5767.81
-141.19
3075.30
2311.45
4316.63
3928.56
5334.59
6442.68
7334.93
8067.35
11481.47
18291.57
10949.64
8531.76
5399.35
4603.47
7204.55
9050.82
10286.74
10883.50
1890.64
756.26
3781.28
3327.53
3327.53
3327.53
3327.53
3327.53
3327.53
3327.53
265.16
446.73
642.63
565.51
499.13
499.13
499.13
499.13
499.13
499.13
9325.67
17088.58
6525.73
4638.72
1572.69
776.81
3377.89
5224.16
6460.08
7056.84
12
Cash EPS
14
18
13
11
14
16
17
18
18
Client Name
Projected Cash Flow Statement
Net profit/(Loss) before Taxes (EBT)
Adjustment for :
Tax Provisions
Dividend & Dividend Tax
Depreciation
Misc Exp
Rs in Lacs
Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected
2015 E
2016 E
2017 E
2018 E
2019 E
8532.03 12539.14 15493.49 17621.67 18950.85
2013
10843.21
Projected
2014
9715.97
-2311.45
-3893.04
8788.25
0.00
Adjusted Profit
13426.97 10751.15 17454.34 20193.56 22191.76 23590.29 24102.49
Increase / Decrease in Non Cash Current Assets
-1334.66
6300.87 -7577.22 -4928.21 -3780.54 -2913.34 -2229.12
Increase / Decrease in Current Liabilities & Provi
9032.12
2937.29
6946.32
7062.57
5541.15
4290.32
3255.97
(Net of Deffered Tax)
Net Cash Flow/ from operating activities
21124.43 19989.31 16823.45 22327.92 23952.37 24967.27 25129.34
Cash flow from Investing activities
Purchase of Assets ,Capital WIP & Mines
Investments
Secured Loan
Unsecured Loan
###
###
### -9233.25
###
###
###
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
790.47
343.35
1133.82
0.00
0.00
Client Name
Net Present Values of Parameters
2011
2012
2013
8532
Projected
2014
5399
5399
5399
8923
14323
14323
12700
4318
8382
8382
Projected
2015 E
4603
4146
4603
16422
21026
19160
11558
3930
7628
6951
Projected
2016 E
7205
5845
7205
16560
23765
19735
15695
5336
10358
8602
Projected
2017 E
9051
6613
9051
16712
25763
19496
18955
6445
12510
9467
Projected Rs in Lacs
2018 E
2019 E
10287
10884
6770
6451
10287
10884
16875
17046
27162
27929
18730
17551
21580
23734
7337
8070
14243
15665
9822
9844
PAT
18292
10950
NPV of PAT
PAT
(A)
18292
10950
8532
Depreciation
(B)
8985
8831
8788
Cash Profits (A)+(B)
27276
19780
17320
NPV of Cash Profits
EBIT
(1)
23268
19156
13799
Tax on EBIT
(2)
7911
6513
4692
NOPAT
(1) - (2)
15357
12643
9107
NPV of NOPAT
NET INVESTMENT
Depreciation
(a)
8985
8831
8788
8923
16422
16560
16712
16875
17046
Non Cash WC Change(b)
-7012
-3712
-7535
-8323
4164
2002
1011
234
-404
Capex Change
3638
39746
38483
10755
1147
-5264
11866
12313
9249
Net Investment (a)-(b)-
12359
-27203
-22159
6491
11111
19822
3836
4327
8200
FCFF
27716
-14559
-13052
14873
18739
30181
16346
18570
23865
NPV Of FCFF
14873
17076
25063
12369
12806
14997
Add : Net Loans taken or repaid
-5858
13784
15964
790
399
2406
4544
3922
5465
Total
21857
-775
2912
15663
19138
32587
20890
22492
29330
Less : Interest paid
5118
5132
2956
2984
3026
3155
3461
3958
4784
FCFE
16739
-5907
-44
12679
16112
29432
17428
18534
24546
NPV of FCFE
12679
14512
23876
12735
12197
14550
Note : Values of the year ended 31-03-2010 are not discounted as the gap between valuation date and 31-03-2010 is just one month, therefore
the actual values are assumed to be discounted values to rule out unnecesary difficulty of discounting for 13 months, 25 months in next years.
Also this assumption would affect final valuation by very insignificant amount.
month, therefore
ths in next years.
Client Name
Market Multiples
1 Competitor 1
Price to
Cash to EBITDA/ Market Cap/
Equity P/E
Book Valu EPS
EV
Sales
12560
6.58
0.79
4.58
5.92
85.00
2 Competitor 2
14000
155.7
1.89
156.09
132.79
117.70
3 Competitor 3
22144
19.03
2.00
13.90
12.47
2.33
34.53
1.58
30.81
27.15
18.70
4 Industry Average
Market Cap/
Client Name
GROWTH ESTIMATES
2010
2011
75659.32 79558.02
5.15
32782.32 32253.07
-1.61
23644.48 23268.41
-1.59
17249.28 18150.38
5.22
11481.47 18291.57
59.31
2018 E
2019 E
93554.57
###
92399
120119
138137
151950
162587
17.59
23.46
-20
30
15
10
7
27987.24 22587.38 21622.88 27980.24 32254.98 35666.97 38454.60
-13.23
-19.29
-4.27
29.40
15.28
10.58
7.82
19156.45 13799.13 12699.69 11557.98 15694.58 18954.62 21579.66
-17.67
-27.97
-7.97
-8.99
35.79
20.77
13.85
14024.94 10843.21 9715.97 8532.03 12539.14 15493.49 17621.67
-22.73
-22.69
-10.40
-12.19
46.97
23.56
13.74
10949.64 8531.76 5399.35 4603.47 7204.55 9050.82 10286.74
-40.14
-22.08
-36.71
-14.74
56.50
25.63
13.66
170716
5
38454.60
0.00
23734.47
9.99
18950.85
7.54
10883.50
5.80
2012
2013
2014
2015 E
2016 E
2017 E
Client Name
Forecasting of Depreciation
Rs in Lacs
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Opening
Addition
Total Opening Dep of
WDV
WDV
Dep
this yr
95769.61
924.76 96694.37 94456.41 8830.79
87863.58
1551.56 89415.14 103287.20 8788.25
80626.89
1847.98 82474.87 112075.45 8923.19
73551.68 149981.41
### 120998.64 16422.26
207110.83
2762.74
### 137420.90 16560.40
193313.17
3039.01
### 153981.30 16712.35
179639.84
3251.74
### 170693.64 16874.93
166016.64
3414.33
### 187568.58 17045.65
Closing
WDV
87863.58
80626.89
73551.68
207110.83
193313.17
179639.84
166016.64
152385.32
Opening
Gross
190326.02
191250.78
192802.34
194650.32
344631.73
347394.47
350433.48
353685.22
Addition
924.76
1551.56
1847.98
149981.41
2762.74
3039.01
3251.74
3414.33
Closing
Gross
191250.78
192802.34
194650.32
344631.73
347394.47
350433.48
353685.22
357099.55
Assumption : Depreciation rate has been taken at 5.% on Straight Line Method as per Schedule XIV of Companies Act
Total
Dep
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
Projected
Projected
Projected
Projected
Projected
Projected
Client Name
Estimation of Deffered Tax
Year
Opening
WDV
Addition
Total
WDV
Dep of
this yr
Closing
WDV
Co. Act
Dep of
this yr
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
87863.58
76061.05
66291.98
189456.68
163490.11
141663.71
123300.08
1551.56
1847.98
149981.41
2762.74
3039.01
3251.74
3414.33
89415.14
77909.04
216273.39
192219.42
166529.12
144915.46
126714.41
13354.09
11617.06
26816.71
28729.31
24865.41
21615.38
18879.12
76061.05
66291.98
189456.68
163490.11
141663.71
123300.08
107835.28
8788.25
8923.19
16422.26
16560.40
16712.35
16874.93
17045.65
Difference
4565.84
2693.87
10394.45
12168.91
8153.06
4740.44
1833.47
Defferred
Tax Adj.
for
Year
162.21
915.65
3533.07
4136.21
2771.22
1611.28
623.20
Assumption : 50% of the addition to Fixed Assets is for less than 180 days attracting half the rate of depreciation
Rs in Lacs
Defferred
Tax
C /O
7960.93
8876.58
12409.65
16545.86
19317.09
20928.36
21551.56
Client Name
Estimation of WACC
0.10
Calculation of WACC
CAPM Model
Discounting Rate = Risk Free Rate + Beta(Equity Risk Premium)
Risk Free Rate from Govt Security Bonds from NSE
Beta ( Refer Beta Sheet)
Expected Rate of Return (refer CAGR sheet)
Equity Risk Premiu : Expexted Rate of Return- Risk free retrun
0.0850
1.4033
0.1030
0.0180
0.1103
0.12
0.34
0.0792
Equity
+Reserve
Debt
###
###
Weighted
Total Cost of
Cost of
Equity
Equity
### 0.1103
0.0645
Weighted Weighted
Cost of
Cost of
Cost of
Debt
Debt
Capital
0.0792
0.0329
0.10
Client Name
estimation of beta
AVERAGE BETA
1.403
Monthly
four year
Year
range
CESC Ltd
1.15
Name
1.403333
Competitor 1
1.84
Competitor 2
1.39
Competitor 3
2.12
Competitor 4
0.78
Competitor 5
1.14
Industry Average 1.403333
Beta
as
on
5/17/201
4
1.03
1.52
1.14
1.88/2.03
0.89
1.2
Source: www.topstock.research.com
Client Name
estimation of Expected rate of return
BSE INDEX Value (Rs.)
Apr-09
Apr-14
CAGR
13736
22484
0.10357705
Client Name
Estimate of Provision for Tax
Rs in Lacs
Year
EBT
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
12699.69
11557.98
15694.58
18954.62
21579.66
23734.47
Co. Act
Dep of
this yr
8923.19
16422.26
16560.40
16712.35
16874.93
17045.65
Income Tax
EBTDA Dep of
this yr
### 11617.06
### 26816.71
### 28729.31
### 24865.41
### 21615.38
### 18879.12
EBT
10005.83
1163.54
3525.67
10801.56
16839.22
21900.99
Provision
For Tax
@.3399
3400.98
395.49
1198.38
3671.45
5723.65
7444.15
Client Name
Common Size Income Statements
2010
2011
2012
2013
Projected
2014
Projected
2015 E
Projected
2016 E
Projected
2017 E
Projected
2018 E
Projected
2019 E
100
5.634
100
10.962
100
2.843
100
1.402
100
1.402
100
1.294
100
1.350
100
1.473
100
1.652
100
2
TOTAL INCOME
106
111
103
101
101
101
101
101
102
102
Generation Expenses
Employee Cost
Admin. & Other Expenses
Prior period items
Resetting premium paid
Impairment of Assets
53
2
8
-0.2
-0.2
0.4
59
3
9
0.00
0.09
0.13
69
3
1
0.00
0.00
0.00
78
2
1
0.04
0.00
0.04
75
2
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
75
2
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
75
2
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
75
2
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
75
2
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
75
2
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
62
70
73
82
78
78
78
78
78
78
EBIDTA
Depreciation
43
12
43
12
37
12
30
12
23
12
23
22
23
22
23
22
24
22
24
23
EBIT
Interest
31
8
31
7
25
7
18
4
12
4
2
4
1
4
1
5
1
5
1
6
EBT
23
24
19
14
-2
-3
-3
-4
-5
Client Name
GRAPH DEPICTING INCOMES
Rs in Lacs
Year
Sales
EBITDA
EBIT
EBT
EAT
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 E
2016 E
2017 E
2018 E
2019 E
75659
32782
23644
17249
11481
79558
32253
23268
18150
18292
93555
27987
19156
14025
10950
115499
22587
13799
10843
8532
92399
21623
12700
9716
5399
120119
27980
11558
8532
4603
138137
32255
15695
12539
7205
151950
35667
18955
15493
9051
162587
38455
21580
17622
10287
170716
40780
23734
18951
10884
Growth
180000
%age
160000
140000
Row 7
120000
Row 8
100000
Row 9
80000
Row 10
60000
Row 11
40000
20000
0
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 E
Year
2016 E
2017 E
2018 E
2019 E
20000
0
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 E
Year
2016 E
2017 E
2018 E
2019 E
Client Name
GRAPH DEPICTING GROWTHS IN %AGES
Year
Sales
EBITDA
EBIT
EBT
EAT
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 E
2016 E
2017 E
2018 E
2019 E
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5
-1.61
-1.59
5.22
59.31
18
-13.23
-17.67
-22.73
-40.14
23
-19.29
-27.97
-22.69
-22.08
-20
-4.27
-7.97
-10.40
-36.71
30
29.40
-8.99
-12.19
-14.74
15
15.28
35.79
46.97
56.50
10
10.58
20.77
23.56
25.63
7
7.82
13.85
13.74
13.66
5
0.00
9.99
7.54
5.80
Growth
80.00
%age
60.00
40.00
Row 6
20.00
0.00
0.00
-20.00
EBITDA Growth
Row 8
59.31
-40.14
-22.08
-36.71
-14.74
56.50
25.63
13.66
5.80
Row 9
EAT Growth
-40.00
-60.00
Year
-40.00
-60.00
Year
Client Name
COMPARATIVE RATIO ANALYSIS
2010 2011
Net Worth (Total Equity)
Capital Employed
EBIT
EAT
Net Fixed Assets
Total Assets
Total Liabilities
2012
2013
Activity Ratios
Capital Turnover Ratio
0.49 0.49
Fixed Assets Turnover Ra 0.59 0.61
Working Capital Turnove 3.53 7.30
Current Assets Turnover 1.59 2.49
Debtors Turnover Ratio
6.92 7.43
Debtors Collection Perio 52.73 49.13
Cash & Bank Turnover R 7.34 11.68
0.51
0.57
0.55
0.55
30.47 -16.94
2.83
3.61
5.60
6.45
65.20 56.59
34.69 336.39
0.45
0.58
0.42
0.54
-6.44 -11.06
3.48
3.59
6.45
6.45
56.59 56.59
81.49 261.11
0.65
0.64
32.60
2.69
6.45
56.59
10.19
0.69
0.67
31.62
2.77
6.45
56.59
11.59
Profitability Ratios
Operating Margin
Profit Margin
Return on Equity Ratio
Return on Assets Ratio
0.43
0.15
7
0.09
0.41
0.23
11
0.14
0.30
0.12
6
0.06
0.20
0.07
4
0.04
0.23
0.06
3
0.02
0.23
0.06
2
0.02
0.23
0.04
3
0.03
0.23
0.05
4
0.04
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio
1.82
1.52
1.10
0.82
0.65
0.65
0.75
1.09
Risk Ratios
Total Liabilities / Total E
Total Assets / Total Equi
0.29
1.91
0.20
1.53
0.27
1.82
0.33
2.06
0.34
2.08
0.37
2.13
0.38
2.17
0.39
2.19
2018 E 2019 E
135750
231831
21580
10287
240457
297475
52655
143430
244353
23734
10884
249707
312856
55288
0.70
0.68
37.27
2.85
6.45
56.59
13.07
0.70
0.68
21.72
2.70
6.45
56.59
10.45
0.23
0.06
4
0.04
0.24
0.06
4
0.04
1.10
1.08
0.39
2.19
0.39
2.18