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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL Clinton Still Leads, Trump Seen as Toughest Challenge for Democrats November 6-10, 2015

Q1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************

 

Total Rep

Dem

Ind

Dem. Primary Voters

%

%

%

%

%

Strongly approve

24

2

53

18

53

Somewhat approve

21

6

27

25

30

Somewhat disapprove

9

13

4

9

6

Strongly disapprove

39

75

10

37

7

Don't know/No answer

7

3

6

11

4

Q2. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?

 

Oct15d

%

Right direction

33

10

61

27

61

26

Wrong track

62

88

33

66

32

64

Don't know/No answer

6

2

6

7

7

10

Q3. What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today?

Economy & jobs

20

21

18

21

18

19

Immigration/illegal immigrants

6

8

4

6

3

5

Health care/ coverage

5

6

5

4

4

2

Education/school loans

3

1

8

2

7

2

Poverty/homelessness

3

2

4

2

4

2

Miscellaneous government issues

3

2

2

4

3

3

Budget/national debt/deficit

3

5

1

4

1

3

Income gap/plight of middle class

3

1

6

2

8

3

Environment/global warming

2

*

3

1

4

1

Racism/race relations

2

1

4

2

3

4

Miscellaneous social issues

2

2

1

3

2

1

Foreign policy/foreign affairs

2

1

1

2

1

2

Barack Obama/the president

2

6

*

2

*

3

Religious values/prayer in schools

2

3

1

1

1

2

Moral values/family values

2

5

1

2

1

2

Crime/violence

2

2

4

2

-

2

Terrorism

2

1

1

2

2

1

Islamic Extremist groups/Isis

2

3

2

1

1

1

Other

29

26

27

32

31

36

Don't know/No answer

5

4

7

5

6

6

Q4. What do you think is the most important economic problem facing this country today?

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************

 

Total Rep

Dem

Ind

Dem. Primary Voters

%

%

%

%

%

Federal budget

37

57

21

37

19

Jobs and unemployment

23

22

28

21

25

Income inequality

20

3

33

21

42

Taxes

9

8

7

10

7

Other

9

9

10

9

7

Don't know/No answer

1

1

1

1

--

Q5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?

 

Oct15a

%

Approve

33

6

61

30

61

36

Disapprove

52

84

23

52

23

53

Don't know/No answer

15

10

16

18

16

11

Q6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

Approve

44

13

78

38

80

47

Disapprove

51

85

20

54

18

48

Don't know/No answer

5

3

2

8

2

5

Q7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation with ISIS militants in Iraq and Syria?

 

Jul15e

Approve

31

11

55

27

54

34

Disapprove

54

80

30

56

31

52

Don't know/No answer

14

8

16

17

16

14

Q8. In general, which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama presidency so far? Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat disappointed or very disappointed?

 

Sep14b

Very satisfied

15

2

35

9

33

9

Somewhat satisfied

29

5

42

34

49

32

Somewhat disappointed

19

20

14

21

11

22

Very disappointed

36

72

8

35

6

35

Don't know/No answer

1

*

1

2

1

2

Q9. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable or not favorable?

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************

 

Total

Rep

Dem

Ind

Dem. Primary Voters

Oct15a

%

%

%

%

%

%

Favorable

45

8

89

38

89

40

Not favorable

45

86

8

46

8

52

Don't know/No answer

10

6

3

16

3

8

Q10. Do you think the gap between rich and poor in this country is a problem that needs to be addressed now, a problem but one that does not need to be addressed now, or not a problem?

 

May15c

Addressed now

68

45

86

69

89

65

Not addressed now

12

18

8

11

8

16

Not a problem

17

33

5

17

3

17

Don't know/No answer

3

4

1

3

1

3

Q11. Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in Washington enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

 

Oct15d

Enthusiastic

3

2

3

2

3

2

Satisfied but not enthusiastic

16

5

29

13

26

17

Dissatisfied but not angry

48

47

46

49

46

53

Angry

32

45

20

33

24

23

Don't know/No answer

2

1

2

3

1

4

Q12. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

************* REGISTERED VOTERS **************

A lot

44

54

41

39

42

43

Some

34

33

34

36

32

34

Not much

16

10

18

18

21

14

No attention so far

6

4

6

7

5

7

Don't know/No answer

*

-

1

-

-

1

Q13. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a Republican presidential primary or caucus, or a Democratic presidential primary or caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?

Republican primary

39

89

6

32

36

Democratic primary

36

3

84

23

36

Not likely to vote

12

3

6

22

15

Never vote

(vol.)

1

-

*

1

1

Don't know/No answer

12

4

5

21

12

Q14. Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President in 2016?

 

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

Oct15a

%

%

Hillary Clinton

52

56

Bernie Sanders

33

32

Martin O'Malley

5

1

Someone Else (vol.)

1

5

None of them (vol.)

3

3

Don't know/No answer

6

4

Q15. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?

Sep15a1

Mind made up

49

43

Too early

50

56

Don't know/No answer

1

1

Q16. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these Democratic presidential candidates do you think has the best chance of winning the general election in November 2016?

 

Oct15a

Hillary Clinton

76

59

Martin O'Malley

3

*

Bernie Sanders

18

15

Someone Else (vol.)

*

19

None of them (vol.)

*

1

Don't know/No answer

3

5

Q17. If Hillary Clinton became the 2016 Democratic nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support her, support her but with reservations, support her only because she is the Democratic Party nominee, or not support her?

Enthusiastically support

43

47

Support with reservations

32

27

Support only because nominee

14

11

No support

9

14

Don't know/No answer

1

1

Q18. If Bernie Sanders became the 2016 Democratic nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Democratic Party nominee, or not support him?

Enthusiastically support

35

Support with reservations

25

Support only because nominee

22

No support

12

Don't know/No answer

7

Q19. Which Republican presidential candidate do you think would be MOST difficult for the Democratic nominee to defeat in the general election in November?

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

 

%

Donald Trump

31

Ben Carson

15

Jeb Bush

13

Marco Rubio

13

John Kasich

3

Ted Cruz

2

Carly Fiorina

2

Chris Christie

1

Jim Gilmore

1

*

Lindsey Graham

*

Bobby Jindal

*

Rand Paul

*

Rick Santorum None of them

5

Don't know/No answer

13

Q20. We'd like to get your opinion of some public figures. For each of the following people, please say whether your opinion is favorable, not favorable, undecided, or whether you haven't heard enough about him or her yet to have an opinion.

a. Bill Clinton

************* REGISTERED VOTERS ***************

 

Total Rep

Dem

Ind

Dem. Primary Voters

Apr15d

%

%

%

%

%

%

Favorable

50

21

75

50

77

50

Not favorable

34

63

8

34

9

27

Undecided

9

9

9

10

7

14

Haven't heard enough

6

5

6

6

6

7

Don't know/No answer

1

2

1

1

1

2

b.

Hillary Clinton

 

Oct15a

Favorable

35

6

73

27

72

33

Not favorable

48

83

13

52

14

53

Undecided

13

9

10

17

12

11

Haven't heard enough

4

2

3

5

3

3

Don't know/No answer

*

*

*

*

*

 

-

c. Bernie Sanders

 

Favorable

27

6

44

29

53

26

Not favorable

25

46

11

22

7

28

Undecided

16

21

12

16

12

13

Haven't heard enough

30

25

32

32

27

31

Don't know/No answer

1

1

1

1

*

2

Q21. Would you describe the Democratic Party today as united or divided?

 

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

Apr08b

%

%

United

59

42

Divided

37

56

Don't know/No answer

5

2

Q22. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to make the right decisions about the economy -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

 

Oct15a

Very confident

39

51

Somewhat confident

45

33

Not too confident

8

8

Not at all confident

8

9

Don't know/No answer

*

*

Q23. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to make the right decisions about gun laws -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident

38

Somewhat confident

38

Not too confident

14

Not at all confident

9

Don't know/No answer

1

Q24. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton’s ability to help reduce the gap between the rich and the poor in the U.S. -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident

25

Somewhat confident

42

Not too confident

23

Not at all confident

10

Don't know/No answer

*

Q25. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton’s ability to handle an international crisis -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident

53

57

Somewhat confident

30

24

Not too confident

10

6

Not at all confident

7

10

Don't know/No answer

-

1

Q26. How confident are you in Hillary Clinton’s ability to make the right decisions when it comes to regulating large banks and financial institutions -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident

30

37

Somewhat confident

40

39

Not too confident

16

8

Not at all confident

11

14

Don't know/No answer

2

2

Q27. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders’ ability to make the right decisions about the economy -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

 

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

Oct15a

%

%

Very confident

32

34

Somewhat confident

36

29

Not too confident

17

12

Not at all confident

9

16

Don't know/No answer

6

9

Q28. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders’ ability to make the right decisions about gun laws -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident

22

Somewhat confident

35

Not too confident

19

Not at all confident

15

Don't know/No answer

9

Q29. How confident are you in Bernie Sander’s ability to help reduce the gap between the rich and the poor in the U.S. -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident

30

Somewhat confident

34

Not too confident

19

Not at all confident

11

Don't know/No answer

5

Q30. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders’ ability to handle an international crisis - are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident

16

21

Somewhat confident

41

36

Not too confident

23

17

Not at all confident

12

18

Don't know/No answer

8

8

Q31. How confident are you in Bernie Sanders’ ability to make the right decisions when it comes to regulating large banks and financial institutions - are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very confident

29

34

Somewhat confident

36

29

Not too confident

17

13

Not at all confident

11

17

Don't know/No answer

6

7

Q32. Which one of these candidate qualities is most important to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016?

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

 

%

Can bring about needed change

25

Is honest and trustworthy

22

Is a strong leader

19

Has the right experience

15

Cares about people like me

14

Don't know/No answer

3

Q33. Thinking about the Democratic party's nominee for President in 2016, which is more important to you -- a nominee who agrees with your position on most issues, or a nominee who can win the general election in November?

 

Sep15a1

Agrees on issues

62

62

Can win in November

36

35

Don't know/No answer

2

4

Q34. Would you rather have a Democratic nominee for President who is willing to compromise some of their positions with Republicans in Congress in order to get things done, or will stick to their positions even if it means not getting as much done?

Compromise

76

Stick to positions

21

Don't know/No answer

2

Q35. Would you rather see the next Democratic presidential nominee generally continue Barack Obama's policies, or mostly change to different policies?

Continue Barack Obama's policies

60

Change to different policies

35

Don't know/No answer

5

Q36. Do you think Hillary Clinton says what she believes most of the time, or does she say what she thinks people want to hear?

 

May08a

Yes, says what she believes

52

45

No, says what people want

46

50

Don't know/No answer

3

5

Q37. If she were elected President, do you think Hillary Clinton could bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington, or couldn't she do that?

 

Feb08a

Could

62

60

Could not

35

32

Don't know/No answer

3

8

Q.38. If she were elected president, how likely is it that Hillary Clinton will be able to get her policies enacted very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

 

%

Very likely

24

Somewhat likely

57

Not very likely

14

Not at all likely

3

Don't know/No answer

1

Q39. If she were elected President, do you think Hillary Clinton would raise taxes on people like yourself, or wouldn't she do that?

Would

30

Would not

64

Don't know/No answer

6

Q40. How much influence do you think special interests have on Hillary Clinton -- a lot, some, not much or none at all?

 

Apr08a

%

A lot

34

38

Some

50

47

Not much

11

8

None at all

2

3

Don't know/No answer

2

4

Q41. Do you think Bernie Sanders says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?

Yes, says what he believes

62

No, says what people want

28

Don't know/No answer

10

Q42. If he were elected President, do you think Bernie Sanders could bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington, or couldn't he do that?

Could

51

Could not

41

Don't know/No answer

9

Q43. If he were elected president, how likely is it that Bernie Sanders will be able to get his policies enacted very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?

Very likely

8

Somewhat likely

63

Not very likely

18

Not at all likely

6

Don't know/No answer

5

Q44. If he were elected President, do you think Bernie Sanders would raise taxes on people like yourself, or wouldn't he do that?

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

 

%

Would

34

Would not

52

Don't know/No answer

13

Q45. How much influence do you think special interests have on Bernie Sanders -- a lot, some, not much or none at all?

A lot

13

Some

32

Not much

29

None at all

18

Don't know/No answer

7

Q46. Which Democratic candidate do you think is running a more negative campaign Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders?

Hillary Clinton

33

Bernie Sanders

27

Both

1

Neither

22

Don't know/No answer

17

Q47. If a candidate for president supports (INSERT ITEM), would that make you more likely to vote for the candidate, would it make you less likely, or would the candidate's support of (INSERT ITEM) not make much difference in your vote?

a. legalizing the use of marijuana

More likely

29

Less likely

17

Not much difference

53

Don't know/No answer

1

b.

stricter laws covering the sale of guns

More likely

58

Less likely

14

Not much difference

28

Don't know/No answer

*

c.

the death penalty

More likely

13

Less likely

33

Not much difference

52

Don't know/No answer

3

Q48. Currently, groups not directly controlled by a candidate are allowed to accept contributions of any amount to spend on political campaigns. Do you think these kinds of contributions should be limited by law or should they remain unlimited?

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************

 

Total Rep

Dem

Ind

Dem. Primary Voters

%

%

%

%

%

Should be limited

72

68

78

70

78

Remain unlimited

22

23

20

22

21

Don't know/No answer

6

9

2

8

1

Q49. If a candidate is supported by one of these groups that accepts contributions of any amount to spend on campaigns, would that make you more likely to vote for the candidate, less likely to vote for the candidate, or wouldn’t it affect your vote?

More likely

4

3

5

3

4

Less likely

32

31

31

32

36

Won't affect vote

61

64

61

59

59

Don't know/No answer

4

2

3

5

2

Q50. Do you have a positive or negative view of socialism?

 
 

Jan12b

%

Positive

32

13

52

29

56

33

Negative

52

76

32

52

29

49

Don't know/No answer

16

11

16

19

15

18

Q51. Do you think the United States should or should not take the leading role among all other countries in the world in trying to solve international conflicts?

 

Apr15d

U.S. should take lead

40

47

41

36

42

41

U.S. should not take lead

53

44

52

58

52

54

Don't know/No answer

7

9

7

5

6

4

Q52. How would you say things are going for the U.S. in its fight against the militant group ISIS in Iraq and Syria? Would you say things are going very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly?

 

Jul15e

Very well

2

1

2

2

2

2

Somewhat well

19

10

29

17

27

26

Somewhat badly

36

29

42

36

49

36

Very badly

36

54

22

36

20

28

Don't know/No answer

7

6

5

9

2

8

Q53. In general, would you favor or oppose increasing taxes on wealthy Americans and large corporations in order to help reduce income inequality in the U.S.?

Favor

63

38

84

63

86

Oppose

31

55

12

31

10

Don't know/No answer

6

7

4

7

3

Q54. Do you favor or oppose the death penalty for persons convicted of murder?

************* TOTAL RESPONDENTS **************

 

Total Rep Dem

Ind

Dem. Primary Voters

Sep15a

%

%

%

%

%

%

Favor

52

71

39

51

39

59

Oppose

39

20

51

41

53

31

Don't know/No answer

9

9

10

8

8

10

Q55. Would you favor or oppose a ban on the sale of all handguns, except those that are issued to law enforcement officers?

 

Jan11a

Favor

27

16

40

24

36

32

Oppose

71

82

58

74

63

65

Don't know/No answer

2

2

2

2

1

3

Q58. Currently, there are a total of six Democratic presidential debates scheduled between now and mid-March. Would you like to see more Democratic presidential debates, fewer debates or is the number of debates about right?

More debates

13

10

16

14

18

Fewer debates

19

26

14

19

13

About right

61

56

67

59

68

Don't know/No answer

7

9

2

8

2

 

Unweighted

Weighted

Total respondents

1,495

Total registered voters

1,259

1,185

Total Republicans

398

365

Total Democrats

426

438

Total independents

671

692

Total Democratic primary voters

418

431