3-Way Ballot W-Bloomberg - XTABS

OLIVE TREE STRATEGIES REGISTERED VOTERS STUDY/ OCTOBER 2015
PAGE 31
Table 6-1
QUESTION P5:
As you may know, some unlikely candidates have been doing well in both the Republican and Democratic primaries, like Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. It has been suggested
that if the major party candidates are these non-traditional candidates it would be wise for someone to run as a third-party or independent candidate.
If there were a third candidate in the Presidential race, for whom would you vote between Donald Trump, the Republican, Bernie Sanders, the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg, an
independent candidate?
BANNER 1
BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE
GENDER
AGE
GENDER/AGE
ETHNICITY
4 POINT REGION
=========== ============================= =================================== ============================= =======================
MEN
MEN
MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN
NORTH
MIDTOTAL MEN WOMEN 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ WHITE BLACK HISP ASIAN OTHER -EAST SOUTH WEST WEST
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
DATA
=====
UNWGT
-----
1320
100%
634
48%
686
52%
351
27%
191
14%
237
18%
265
20%
277
21%
259
20%
207
16%
167
13%
282
21%
295
22%
110
8%
891
68%
172
13%
185
14%
53
4%
19
1%
239
18%
492
37%
282
21%
59
4%
40
6%
19
3%
19
5%
17
9%
2
1%
19
7%
2
1%
22
8%
12
6%
7
4%
14
5%
9
3%
-5
-4%
58
7%
2
1%
10
6%
-8
-14%
-3
-18%
14
6%
-2
-
30
11%
17
6%
41
3%
TOTAL TRUMP
-----------
351
27%
180
28%
171
25%
105
30%
58
30%
59
25%
68
26%
61
22%
84
32%
54
26%
42
25%
79
28%
73
25%
19
17%
247
28%
41
24%
50
27%
9
17%
4
21%
68
28%
121
25%
74
26%
89
29%
345
26%
TOTAL SANDERS
-------------
292
22%
140
22%
153
22%
86
25%
41
21%
57
24%
49
19%
59
21%
62
24%
42
20%
35
21%
65
23%
64
22%
24
21%
189
21%
39
23%
40
21%
17
31%
7
39%
54
22%
124
25%
44
15%
71
23%
304
23%
TOTAL BLOOMBERG
---------------
346
26%
182
29%
164
24%
86
24%
47
25%
57
24%
75
28%
81
29%
66
25%
63
30%
54
32%
67
24%
69
23%
27
25%
243
27%
46
27%
47
25%
10
18%
3%
64
27%
128
26%
81
29%
73
24%
342
26%
167
13%
91
14%
76
11%
52
15%
29
15%
28
12%
29
11%
30
11%
47
18%
22
11%
22
13%
33
12%
35
12%
8
7%
109
12%
22
13%
31
17%
5
9%
1
3%
33
14%
57
11%
32
11%
46
15%
153
12%
PROBABLY TRUMP
95
7%
45
7%
50
7%
24
7%
20
11%
16
7%
18
7%
17
6%
19
7%
17
8%
9
6%
26
9%
16
6%
8
7%
76
9%
11
7%
6
3%
1
2%
1
7%
18
7%
32
7%
20
7%
26
8%
100
8%
UNDECIDED/LEAN TRUMP
88
7%
43
7%
45
7%
29
8%
9
5%
15
6%
21
8%
14
5%
18
7%
14
7%
11
7%
20
7%
22
7%
3
3%
62
7%
8
5%
14
7%
3
5%
2
11%
17
7%
33
7%
22
8%
17
5%
92
7%
129
10%
56
9%
73
11%
35
10%
16
9%
19
8%
30
12%
28
10%
21
8%
17
8%
17
10%
30
11%
32
11%
11
10%
86
10%
20
12%
17
9%
4
7%
2
11%
32
13%
56
11%
17
6%
24
8%
129
10%
PROBABLY SANDERS
83
6%
46
7%
38
5%
33
9%
10
5%
18
8%
8
3%
14
5%
25
10%
17
8%
3
2%
17
6%
9
3%
11
10%
47
5%
13
8%
14
8%
6
10%
4
20%
11
5%
43
9%
16
6%
13
4%
93
7%
UNDECIDED/LEAN SANDERS
80
6%
38
6%
42
6%
18
5%
15
8%
20
8%
11
4%
17
6%
15
6%
8
4%
15
9%
18
6%
22
8%
2
1%
57
6%
6
4%
9
5%
7
14%
1
7%
11
4%
24
5%
12
4%
34
11%
82
6%
DEFINITELY BLOOMBERG
160
12%
90
14%
70
10%
42
12%
21
11%
32
13%
37
14%
29
10%
33
13%
39
19%
18
10%
30
11%
30
10%
11
10%
104
12%
26
15%
22
12%
8
15%
32
13%
67
14%
35
12%
27
9%
159
12%
PROBABLY BLOOMBERG
105
8%
56
9%
49
7%
30
9%
20
10%
12
5%
11
4%
33
12%
22
9%
10
5%
24
14%
28
10%
13
4%
9
8%
77
9%
12
7%
15
8%
3%
22
9%
34
7%
20
7%
29
10%
103
8%
80
6%
36
6%
44
6%
13
4%
7
4%
13
6%
26
10%
20
7%
10
4%
13
6%
12
7%
10
4%
26
9%
7
7%
62
7%
7
4%
10
5%
2
3%
10
4%
27
5%
27
9%
16
5%
80
6%
UNDECIDED, FIRM
213
16%
84
13%
129
19%
46
13%
27
14%
48
20%
52
20%
40
14%
32
12%
36
17%
16
10%
41
14%
64
22%
24
22%
133
15%
32
19%
28
15%
14
27%
5
28%
38
16%
73
15%
51
18%
51
17%
209
16%
DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION
118
9%
48
8%
70
10%
28
8%
18
9%
16
7%
21
8%
36
13%
16
6%
13
6%
20
12%
30
11%
25
8%
16
14%
79
9%
14
8%
20
11%
4
7%
2
10%
17
7%
48
10%
32
11%
22
7%
120
9%
**D/S (TRUMP - SANDERS)
DEFINITELY TRUMP
DEFINITELY SANDERS
UNDECIDED/LEAN BLOOMBERG
OLIVE TREE STRATEGIES
306 1320
23% 100%

PAGE 32
Table 6-2
QUESTION P5:
BANNER 2
BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE
MARITAL
CHILDREN
GENDER/ETHNICITY
STATUS
AT HOME
EDUCATION
INCOME
EMPLOYMENT
=================================== =========== =========== ================= ======================== ===================================
UNWHITE WHITE BLACK BLACK HISP HISP
NOT
HS OR SOME
$20K- $60KFULL PART EMPLRET- STUDTOTAL MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN MRRD MRRD
YES
NO
LESS COLL COLL+ <$20K $60K $100K $100K+ TIME TIME OYED
HM
IRED
ENT
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----1320
100%
389
29%
502
38%
125
9%
46
4%
86
6%
99
8%
702
53%
617
47%
393
30%
925
70%
453
34%
414
31%
451
34%
186
14%
534
40%
242
18%
313
24%
506
38%
145
11%
83
6%
157
12%
325
25%
81
6%
59
4%
31
8%
27
5%
2
2%
-1
-1%
10
12%
40
6%
19
3%
-6
-2%
65
7%
19
4%
41
10%
21
11%
12
2%
4
1%
24
8%
15
3%
-1
-1%
15
19%
12
7%
17
5%
-2
-2%
TOTAL TRUMP
-----------
351
27%
116
30%
132
26%
30
24%
11
23%
27
32%
23
23%
197
28%
154
25%
103
26%
248
27%
114
25%
118
28%
119
26%
58
31%
130
24%
66
27%
89
29%
141
28%
36
25%
30
36%
39
25%
78
24%
19
23%
TOTAL SANDERS
-------------
292
22%
85
22%
105
21%
28
22%
11
25%
17
20%
23
23%
157
22%
134
22%
109
28%
183
20%
96
21%
76
18%
120
27%
37
20%
118
22%
62
26%
65
21%
127
25%
37
26%
14
17%
27
17%
61
19%
21
25%
TOTAL BLOOMBERG
---------------
346
26%
119
31%
124
25%
38
30%
8
17%
21
24%
26
26%
175
25%
170
28%
93
24%
252
27%
119
26%
119
29%
107
24%
36
19%
163
31%
59
24%
83
27%
126
25%
34
24%
19
23%
42
27%
97
30%
25
31%
167
13%
52
13%
58
11%
18
14%
4
9%
19
22%
11
11%
88
13%
79
13%
48
12%
119
13%
64
14%
42
10%
61
13%
32
17%
55
10%
23
9%
54
17%
64
13%
16
11%
19
23%
14
9%
39
12%
9
12%
PROBABLY TRUMP
95
7%
37
9%
39
8%
5
4%
6
13%
2
3%
4
4%
58
8%
37
6%
31
8%
64
7%
27
6%
38
9%
30
7%
17
9%
32
6%
25
10%
19
6%
41
8%
11
8%
7
8%
8
5%
21
6%
7
8%
88
7%
27
7%
35
7%
7
6%
1
2%
6
7%
8
8%
50
7%
37
6%
24
6%
64
7%
23
5%
37
9%
29
6%
10
5%
43
8%
19
8%
16
5%
37
7%
10
7%
4
4%
17
11%
19
6%
2
3%
129
10%
37
10%
48
10%
12
9%
8
18%
6
6%
12
12%
70
10%
58
9%
49
12%
80
9%
44
10%
40
10%
45
10%
21
11%
43
8%
33
14%
26
8%
58
11%
10
7%
8
10%
15
10%
27
8%
7
9%
PROBABLY SANDERS
83
6%
20
5%
27
5%
11
9%
2
4%
9
11%
5
5%
41
6%
42
7%
35
9%
48
5%
27
6%
19
5%
36
8%
7
4%
42
8%
18
8%
17
5%
38
8%
13
9%
2
2%
6
4%
18
5%
4
5%
80
6%
27
7%
29
6%
5
4%
1
3%
2
3%
6
6%
46
7%
34
6%
25
6%
55
6%
24
5%
18
4%
39
9%
9
5%
33
6%
11
5%
23
7%
30
6%
15
10%
4
5%
6
4%
16
5%
9
11%
160
12%
55
14%
49
10%
24
19%
3
6%
9
10%
13
13%
77
11%
83
13%
48
12%
112
12%
54
12%
58
14%
48
11%
13
7%
84
16%
25
10%
35
11%
68
13%
19
13%
7
8%
20
12%
35
11%
12
15%
PROBABLY BLOOMBERG
105
8%
42
11%
35
7%
9
7%
4
8%
5
6%
10
10%
52
7%
54
9%
26
7%
79
9%
32
7%
37
9%
36
8%
10
5%
39
7%
18
7%
36
12%
38
8%
6
4%
8
10%
12
8%
31
10%
9
12%
80
6%
22
6%
39
8%
6
5%
1
2%
7
8%
2
2%
46
7%
34
5%
19
5%
61
7%
33
7%
24
6%
23
5%
12
7%
40
8%
16
6%
12
4%
20
4%
9
6%
4
5%
10
7%
30
9%
4
5%
UNDECIDED, FIRM
213
16%
41
11%
92
18%
23
18%
9
20%
9
11%
19
19%
105
15%
108
17%
54
14%
159
17%
74
16%
66
16%
72
16%
34
18%
77
14%
38
16%
52
17%
85
17%
18
13%
10
11%
30
19%
52
16%
13
16%
118
9%
28
7%
51
10%
7
6%
7
15%
11
13%
9
9%
67
9%
52
8%
34
9%
84
9%
50
11%
35
8%
33
7%
22
12%
47
9%
17
7%
23
7%
27
5%
18
13%
11
13%
18
12%
37
11%
4
4%
DEFINITELY TRUMP
DEFINITELY SANDERS

PAGE 35
Table 6-5
QUESTION P5:
BANNER 5
BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE
REGISTERED
VOTERS
PARTY (2-3-2)
PARTY/GENDER
=========== ================= ===================================
DEM
IND
GOP
DEM
FEIND
FEGOP
FETOTAL YES
NO
DEM
IND
GOP MALE MALE MALE MALE MALE MALE
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
PARTY/AGE
PARTY/EDUC
=================================== ===================================
DEM
DEM
IND
IND
GOP
GOP
DEM
DEM
IND
IND
GOP
GOP
18-54 55+ 18-54 55+ 18-54 55+ <COLL COLL+ <COLL COLL+ <COLL COLL+
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
1320
100%
1320
100%
525
40%
408
31%
387
29%
260
20%
265
20%
211
16%
197
15%
163
12%
224
17%
326
25%
199
15%
248
19%
159
12%
203
15%
184
14%
359
27%
165
13%
269
20%
138
10%
239
18%
148
11%
59
4%
59
4%
23
4%
-7
-2%
43
11%
12
5%
11
4%
3
1%
-10
-5%
25
16%
18
8%
18
5%
5
3%
-10
-4%
3
2%
30
15%
13
7%
26
7%
-3
-2%
-4
-1%
-4
-3%
37
16%
6
4%
TOTAL TRUMP
-----------
351
27%
351
27%
147
28%
79
19%
126
32%
71
27%
76
29%
44
21%
35
18%
65
40%
60
27%
93
29%
54
27%
52
21%
26
16%
76
37%
50
27%
102
28%
45
27%
50
18%
29
21%
80
34%
45
30%
TOTAL SANDERS
-------------
292
22%
292
22%
124
24%
86
21%
82
21%
59
23%
65
25%
41
19%
45
23%
40
24%
43
19%
76
23%
48
24%
63
25%
23
15%
46
22%
37
20%
76
21%
48
29%
53
20%
33
24%
43
18%
39
26%
TOTAL BLOOMBERG
---------------
346
26%
346
26%
147
28%
111
27%
87
23%
83
32%
64
24%
67
32%
44
22%
32
20%
55
25%
91
28%
56
28%
55
22%
57
36%
44
22%
43
23%
105
29%
42
25%
77
29%
34
25%
56
23%
31
21%
167
13%
167
13%
78
15%
29
7%
61
16%
40
15%
38
14%
13
6%
15
8%
38
24%
22
10%
52
16%
25
13%
22
9%
7
4%
34
17%
27
15%
54
15%
23
14%
14
5%
15
11%
39
16%
22
15%
PROBABLY TRUMP
95
7%
95
7%
42
8%
19
5%
35
9%
20
8%
22
8%
11
5%
7
4%
14
8%
21
9%
29
9%
14
7%
10
4%
8
5%
21
10%
14
8%
27
8%
15
9%
12
5%
6
5%
26
11%
8
6%
88
7%
88
7%
27
5%
31
8%
30
8%
11
4%
17
6%
20
9%
12
6%
13
8%
17
7%
13
4%
15
7%
20
8%
11
7%
21
10%
9
5%
21
6%
7
4%
24
9%
7
5%
15
6%
14
10%
129
10%
129
10%
62
12%
25
6%
42
11%
28
11%
33
13%
7
3%
18
9%
20
12%
21
10%
35
11%
26
13%
19
8%
6
4%
16
8%
26
14%
42
12%
19
12%
17
6%
9
6%
25
10%
17
11%
PROBABLY SANDERS
83
6%
83
6%
35
7%
29
7%
19
5%
19
7%
15
6%
17
8%
13
6%
10
6%
10
4%
23
7%
11
6%
22
9%
8
5%
16
8%
4
2%
18
5%
16
10%
18
7%
11
8%
10
4%
9
6%
80
6%
80
6%
28
5%
32
8%
21
6%
11
4%
16
6%
17
8%
14
7%
10
6%
12
5%
17
5%
11
5%
22
9%
9
6%
14
7%
8
4%
15
4%
12
8%
18
7%
13
9%
8
3%
13
9%
160
12%
160
12%
75
14%
49
12%
37
10%
45
17%
29
11%
33
16%
16
8%
12
7%
25
11%
52
16%
22
11%
25
10%
24
15%
18
9%
19
10%
53
15%
22
13%
31
12%
18
13%
28
12%
9
6%
PROBABLY BLOOMBERG
105
8%
105
8%
37
7%
36
9%
33
9%
21
8%
16
6%
18
9%
17
9%
17
10%
16
7%
21
7%
15
8%
19
8%
17
10%
21
10%
12
7%
23
6%
13
8%
29
11%
7
5%
17
7%
16
10%
80
6%
80
6%
36
7%
27
7%
17
4%
16
6%
20
7%
16
8%
10
5%
3
2%
14
6%
18
5%
18
9%
11
4%
16
10%
5
3%
12
7%
29
8%
7
4%
17
6%
9
7%
11
4%
7
5%
UNDECIDED, FIRM
213
16%
213
16%
67
13%
87
21%
58
15%
29
11%
39
15%
40
19%
47
24%
16
10%
43
19%
42
13%
25
12%
54
22%
33
21%
25
12%
34
18%
48
13%
20
12%
57
21%
30
22%
36
15%
23
15%
118
9%
118
9%
40
8%
45
11%
34
9%
19
7%
21
8%
18
9%
27
13%
10
6%
23
10%
24
7%
16
8%
25
10%
20
13%
13
7%
20
11%
29
8%
10
6%
32
12%
12
9%
24
10%
10
7%
DEFINITELY TRUMP
DEFINITELY SANDERS

3-Way Ballot W-Bloomberg - XTABS

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OLIVE TREE STRATEGIES REGISTERED VOTERS STUDY/ OCTOBER 2015

DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION

**D/S (TRUMP - SANDERS)

OLIVE TREE STRATEGIES

OLIVE TREE STRATEGIES REGISTERED VOTERS STUDY/ OCTOBER 2015

DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION

**D/S (TRUMP - SANDERS)

OLIVE TREE STRATEGIES

OLIVE TREE STRATEGIES REGISTERED VOTERS STUDY/ OCTOBER 2015

DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION

**D/S (TRUMP - SANDERS)

OLIVE TREE STRATEGIES

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