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Abstract
A reliable future development plan of an oilfield would require that all of the elements in the petroleum system are
modeled in an integrated manner if a timely response, a more realistic economical evaluation, and risk analysis are needed for
better decisions making.
The main goal for future development of Tomoporo field is to change the traditional focus (petroleum system elements by
separated) by enabling to multidisciplinary team members to take advantage of their expertises within a collaborative
environment based on interaction among petroleum system components.
The Tomoporo field's hydrocarbon reserves have been largely developed in offshore, but barely in onshore. It has been
planned to increase production twice through new producing wells in onshore area which presents several limitations for
handling production. Also a plan for pressure support, and improved oil recovery have been considered by implementing a
waterflooding project.
This paper shows an innovative integrated asset methodology, applied for forecasting scenarios where reservoir, surface
network, geographic location aspects, economy, risk, and uncertainty analysis were considered. The evaluation of forecasting
scenarios was performed by implementing an integrated asset modeling (IAM) where all of simulation scenarios were
coupled with a surface network model. Such network modeling included itself three integration levels to address complexity
of surface facility needed for future offshore-onshore field development. In addition, an innovative link from reservoirsurface network models to the economic model was developed for a fully assisted asset modeling, resulting in faster and
more reliable scenarios evaluation.
The IAM for Tomoporo field provided valuable information for all team members of the production stream, maximizing
benefits from decision making based on a fully coupled asset model. This integrated approach determined that greater
recovery factor and less reservoir pressure drop are achieved if an onshore flow station is added for new onshore wells in
spite of existing capabilities in offshore surface facilities.
The IAM approach triggered warnings about future needs (investment, expenses), and also to be alert in minimizing
bottlenecks in order to ensure no violation of surface capacity constraints. In addition, it allowed to define operating limits of
water injection plants, enabling that optimum operation conditions are set, and the added value of the Tomoporo field
development be maximized.
Introduction
Lack of asset management policies for current and future production from oilfields may lead to an either overestimated or
underestimated added value during any stage of asset life cycle. It might also imply loss of production opportunities. In such
cases, an asset development based on an integrated modeling of all petroleum system components (reservoir model, surfaces
model, and financial model) that takes into account risk and uncertainty, becomes essential.
Some oilfields may have significant reserve volumes in zones with few drilled wells and limitations in surface facilities
capabilities owing to sensitive areas for exploration and production activities. Thus, an integrated approach that considers
such unfavorable conditions for better decision making and improvement in project definition in terms of field operations is a
must.
This paper attempts to explain how an integrated assessment of Tomoporo field was made considering its biased current
development (mainly offshore). This evaluation was based on an innovative workflow considering multiple integration levels
SPE 157556
in asset's components, also taking into account geographic nature where asset's component are set, type of reservoir model
(analytical or numerical), and so on. Also uncertainty and risk analysis are considered in order to improve project definition
and the success in terms of field operations (production, drilling campaign, etc).
The case study is developed in Tomoporo field, located in Maracaibo Lake basin, Venezuela. Details about field
characteristics, the methodology used for the assessment, and results derived from application of the methodology are
presented.
Project Background
Field Data
Tomoporo field is located southeast of Maracaibo Lake basin. This field becomes one of those which conform the
production growth axis in Western Venezuela, along with Franquera and La Ceiba fields. Basic data from Tomoporo field is
shown in figure 1.
Tomoporo field was discovered in 1988 with the offshore well VLG-3729. Later in 1999 an exploratory onshore well
(TOM-0007) pointed out Tomoporo's onshore reserves. A plan to increase production through drilling clustered wells was
visualized just after drilling some onshore delineation wells, as a result of the high productivity shown by earlier onshore
wells. Such plan also has triggered opportunities of reserves development from neighboring oilfields (Franquera and La
Ceiba). Tomoporo's production comes from Misoa formation (Eocene epoch), specifically from members B-1 to B-5, being
B-1 and B-4 the most prolific members (figure 2). Ninety five wells have been drilled with production rates vary from 800 to
6000 STBD.
FRANQUERA FIELD
Basic Data
MOPORO FIELD
STOIIP : 5.217 MMbls
Porosity (%): 15
300 KM
LA CEIBA FIELD
- Gas Lift
Coast Line
Misoa
EPOCH
FORMATION
PLEISTOCENE
EL MILAGRO
B-1.0
B-1.1
ONIA
PLIOCENE
LAGUNILLAS
MIOCENE
Bachaquero
B-1
B-1.2
LA PUERTA
B-1.3
B-1.4
Laguna
B-1.5
Ojeda
B-1.6
LA ROSA
PAUJI
B-2
M I S O A
B-1
EOCENE
B-2
B-3
B-4
B-3
B-5
B-6
B-4.0
B-4.1
B-4
South
America
B-4.2
B-4.3
B-4.4
B-4.5
B-4.6
B-4.7
B-4.8
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BARUA V
TOM-1X
LA CEIBA
COAST LINE
FRANQ
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Assessment of
reservoir and surface
models
NO
Segmentation of the
surface model
Production Profile
Strategy
accomplishment
YES
Economic Evaluation,
Risk and Uncertaintly
Analysis
Reservoir -Wells
Coupling
Wells-Surface
connections
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Petrleo
Diferencia
Field Oil
Primary
Recovery
Production
Total Sin
Acumulado
Difference
Iny.
MMSTB
MMSTB
MMSTB
High-Rate Injectors
Medium-Rate Injectors
Low-Rate Injectors
MMSTB
Primary Recovery
(new producers)
Tasa
High-Rate
Injectors
Alta
950
950
+150
Tasa
Medium-Rate
Injectors
Intermedia
925
925
+125
880
880
+80
Tasa
Low-Rate
Injectors
Baja
Base Case
(do nothing)
Injection Scenarios
High-Rate Injectors
Medium-Rate Injectors
Low-Rate Injectors
B4_Region 1
B4_Region 3
B1_Region 1
B4_Region1
B4_Region 3
B1_Region 1
High-Rate Injectors
Medium-Rate Injectors
Low-Rate Injectors
Primary Recovery
(new producers)
Base Case
(do nothing)
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Onshore
Offshore
Oil Pipeline 30x 51 Km
Electrical
Substation Q
Coast Line
Moporo I Compressor
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Flow direction
Level III
Level II
Gas Network
Unigas Compressor
Level I
Multiphase Flow (Reservoir and
Surface Models)
Reservoir Wells
Coupling
FS5
FS1
FS6
Q multiphase
FS2
Scrubber
outlet
FS3
BQ
FS4
Ta
DQ
Q gas
Tb
Separator
Tc
Td
P
Production
manifold Inlet
Liquids
Multiphase Source
(wells from neighboring
reservoirs )
Integration Level I
Level 1 aimed to pass wells boundary conditions from reservoir model to wells model in the network. Coupling was
located on borehole so that fluids behavior can be evaluated by pressure-gradient prediction for multiphase flow in pipes
(without VFP tables). Productivity Index (PI) of both existing and new producing wells was modeled and tunned according to
wellbore conditions and multiphase flow patterns.
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In this level, multiphase flow in each well was evaluated from borehole to flow station, specifically to production
manifold inlet. 86 existing wells and 45 new wells were modeled into 6 flow stations (EF7-7, EF8-7, EF9-7, EF10-7, EF11-7,
and EF-MOP-I). 25 injection wells were connected to a water injection plant (PI-MOP-I). Both reservoir and this level of
network are solved sequentially with the goal of obtaining a balanced system.
Integration Level II
In this level was modeled pressure drop in flow station, water injection plants, etc. Multiphase flow was evaluated from
production manifold inlet to gas scrubber. Wells from neighboring reservoirs were modeled as single source, hence flow
streams converge into a node before arrive the production separator. Liquid flow behavior after separator (from pipeline to
tank farm) was not modeled. The gas flow after gas scrubber was modeled instead. Also new flow station (EF-MOP-I) and
water injection plant along with two water injection manifolds were modeled as sources with defined boundary conditions.
Integration Level III
In this level, single phase flow of gas at low pressure from flow stations to gas plant (MOP-I) was modeled. Both
compressor inlet pressure and gas rate represented boundary conditions for gas plant MOP-I. Gas flow and pressure from
neighboring flow stations to gas plant were also modeled, considering flow station as a source. Compressor inlet pressure
governed pressure profile from integration level III to I.
FORECAST
CASE
NAME
PRIMARY
RECOVERY
NEW
PRODUCERS
CasoRP_Eclipse2_sin_MPOI
Local_4
CasoRP_Eclipse2
inj_B1_6
LOW-RATE
INJECTION
CasoRS_Eclipse2
CasoRS_Baja_Eclipse2_MOPI
inj_B1_7
WATERFLOODING
SCENARIOS
MEDIUM-RATE
INJECTION
CasoRS_Medio_Eclipse2
CasoRS_Medio_Eclipse2_MOPI
inj_B1_2
HIGH-RATE
INJECTION
CasoRS_Alto_Eclipse2
CasoRS_Alto_Eclipse2_MOPI
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Np (MMBN)
RF (%)
Gp (MMMSCF)
Wp
(MMBW)
NOT INTEGRATED
802.5
11.9
189.5
172.2
INTEGRATED
745.6
11.0
168.8
128.3
CasoRP_Eclipse2
751.0
11.1
170.1
129.9
inj_B1_6
NOT INTEGRATED
879.9
13.0
202.1
235.9
CasoRS_Eclipse2
INTEGRATED
846.8
12.5
190.7
199.6
CasoRS_Baja_Eclipse2_MOPI
848.5
12.5
191.0
202.8
inj_B1_7
NOT INTEGRATED
925.9
13.7
212.9
316.8
CasoRS_Medio_Eclipse2
INTEGRATED
904.3
13.4
203.8
284.0
CasoRS_Medio_Eclipse2_MOPI
909.2
13.4
205.0
284.0
inj_B1_2
NOT INTEGRATED
949.6
14.0
214.6
366.3
CasoRS_Alto_Eclipse2
INTEGRATED
949.4
14.0
213.3
345.9
CasoRS_Alto_Eclipse2_MOPI
954.1
14.1
214.3
344.2
FORECAST
CASE
NAME
PRIMARY
RECOVERY
NEW
PRODUCERS
CasoRP_Eclipse2_sin_MPOI
Local_4
LOW-RATE
INJECTION
WATERFLOODING
SCENARIOS
MEDIUM-RATE
INJECTION
HIGH-RATE
INJECTION
SEPARATION CAPACITY
FLOW
STATION /
MANIFOLD
N OF
EQUIPMENTS
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
EF-1-7
MP-2-7
EF-4-7
MP-5-7
EF-6-7
EF-7-7
EF-8-7
EF-9-7
EF-10-7
EF-11-7
EF-MOPORO I
4
0
3
0
4
4
4
3
3
3
4
SCRUBBER CAPACITY
LIQUID
GAS
CAPACITY CAPACITY
(MBD)
(MMSCFD)
60
0
45
0
60
60
72
54
54
75
152
72
0
54
0
72
72
100
75
75
20
75
N OF
EQUIPMENTS
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
1
2
STORAGE CAPACITY
GAS
N OF
CAPACITY
EQUIPMENTS
(MMSCFD)
55
0
55
0
53
75
90
90
90
60
75
2
0
2
0
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
PUMP CAPACITY
LIQUID
CAPACITY
(MBD)
N OF
EQUIPMENTS
LIQUID
CAPACITY
(MBD)
2000
0
2000
0
2000
2000
3000
3000
3000
2000
26960
2
0
3
0
4
4
4
6
6
5
8
20400
0
36900
0
49200
50400
63900
81200
63000
62500
96
Surface Models
Reservoir Model
Economic Evaluation
Multidisciplinary
Integrated Model
10
SPE 157556
Scenarios Consolidation
Economic Evaluatin
Deterministic Assessment
Strategies
and Sensibility Analysis
Stochastic Assessment
Strategies
Results
Forecast
Production
Base Case
Primary Recovery
Operation Cost
Low-rate Injection
Investment
Medium-rate
Injection
OPERATION COST
High-rate
Injection
Prices
This methodology allowed to get faster economical evaluations, and also to evaluate economical indicators as function of
time (figure 15). Also allowed visualizing how investments, profits, and others variables were being performed as functions
of time. It yielded to detect differences between scenarios that impact the planning and design of exploitation strategies.
Base Case
Primary Recovery
Sensitivity Analysis
In order to determine which variables had greater impact on WKH VFHQDULRV profitability, a sensitivity analysis was
performed for each one of proposed scenarios. Variables such as net present value (NPV), rate of return, investment
efficiency were used. It also allowed identifying critical variables in order to make efforts to mitigate risk. In this study was
found that production and oil prices showed high sensitivity resulting in those of highly impact on project implementation
(figure 16).
SPE 157556
11
Stochastic Analysis
After finishing sensitivity analysis, stochastic analysis was performed applying stochastic methods such as decision tree
and Monte Carlo analysis.
Decision tree allowed analizing, in a schematic way, several pathways of actions that a project might take considering
decision making under uncertainty (figure 17).
Monte Carlo simulation was evaluated under FRPSDQ\V HFRQRPLFDO VWDWHPHQWV $OVR WKH SUobability distributions of
variables with uncertainties such as capital, operating costs, fluids production, and oil prices were considered.
A risk analysis was performed plotting net present value (NPV) vs. semi-standard deviation of NPV, which is known as
HIILFLHQF\WKUHVKROGJUDSK. This graph allowed classifying scenarios selecting those that present low risk (standar deviation
of NPV) and high NPV.
Also cumulative probability curves were generated to show the probability of having negatives and positives NPV from
forecasting scenarios. None of evaluated scenarios showed negative NPV. The high-rate scenario is one of the least risky,
which represents the drilling campaign of both producing and injector wells and total injection rate of 100,000 BWPD (figure
18).
12
SPE 157556
NPV @ 10%
VPN@10%
GrficoThreshold
de Frontera
Efficient
Graph
Semi
Desviacin
Estndar
Semi-Standard
Deviation
Figure 18. Efficiency threshold Graph
Curva
de probabilidad
Acumulada
Cummulative
Probability Curve
NPV @ 10%
VPN@10%
Figure 19. Cumulative Probability Graph
Conclusions
Coupled models provide common asset management strategies for all disciplines of the petroleum production system.
More realistic and accurate predictions were obtained for Tomoporo field from this new approach on integrated asset
modeling, reducing uncertainties, assuring control of field operations, and adding value for this asset.
Integrated simulation models are robust and versatile, allowing reservoir, facilities, and processes engineers run
sensibilities over any components of the total asset, detecting their impact on the whole system.
The IAM for Tomoporo field provided valuable information for all team member of the production stream, maximizing
benefits from decision making based on a fully coupled asset model.
This integrated approach determined that greater recovery factor and less reservoir pressure drop are achieved if an
onshore flow station is added for new onshore wells in spite of existing capabilities in offshore surface facilities.
The IAM approach also triggered warnings about future needs to minimize bottlenecks, to ensure no violation of surface
capacity constraints, and to define operating limits of water injection plants, enabling that optimum operation conditions are
set, and the added value of the Tomoporo field development be maximized.
SPE 157556
13
None of evaluated forecasting escenarios showed negative NPV cumulative values (risk), hence all scenarios are
profitable. Nevertheless, high-rate water injection scenario was the best case.
Production volumes and cash flow from both integrated and no-integrated models showed significant differences (from
15% to 35%).
Integrated simulation models are robust and versatile, allowing reservoir, facilities, and processes engineers run
sensibilities over any components of the total asset, detecting their impact on the whole system.
Nomenclature
AVOCET = Integrated Asset Modeler (Schlumberger)
BWPD
= Barrels of Water per Day
EF
= Flow Station named in field operations
EF-MOP_I =Flow Station MOP_I
ESP
= Electrical Submersible Pumo
FE
= Flow Station
IAM
= Integrated Asset Modeling
IOR
= Improved Oil Recovery
MMSCFD =Million Standard Cubic Feet Per Day
MMSTB =Million Standard Barrels
NPV
= Net Present Value
OOIP
= Original Oil in Place
PC-MOP-I =Compressor Plant MOP-I
PI-MOP-I = Water Injection Plant MOP-I
PI
= Productivity Index
STBD
= Standard Barrels per Day
VFP
= Vertical Flow Performance
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14
SPE 157556
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