Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
VOLUME1,2011
MansoorMAITAH,AbudeltefGALALH,ElshibaniBASHIR
FacultyofEconomicsandManagement,CzechUniversityofLifeSciences,Prague
Thisresearchstudylookedattheanalysisofthepractical
relationshipbetweenEVAandstockreturns,astheresearch
dealt with analyzing the success of the investment policy
basedongenerallyacceptedaccountingindicators.Having
reviewedthetheoreticalresearchonascaleofEVAinterms
oftherelationshipbetweenstockpricesandearnings,and
theEVA,theextentofthebenefitofscaleoftheEVAinthe
design of investment policies will be used to achieve
extraordinaryreturns.Wealsopresentedresearchresults
ofpreviousstudiesinthisarea.Ingeneral,theresultsof
thestudysupporttheoperationofthepreviousstudiesthat
indicatedthatinspiteoftheexistenceoflogicaljustification
oftherelationshipbetweenthetheoryofEVA,stockprices
and revenues, results do not justify this relationship. The
paperwasprocessedwithintheframeworkoftheResearch
Project of MSM 6046070906 "The economics of Czech
agricultural resources and their effective use within the
frameworkofmultifunctionalagrifoodsystems".
G11ValueAddedStockReturnInvestmentInterest
Assets
AccordingtoSternStewart&Co,theEVAcanbecalculated
as
EVA=AdjustedNOPATAdjustedCostofCapital (2)
Where
EVA
IstheEconomicValueAdded.
AdjustedNOPAT Is the adjusted net operation income
after tax and without deducting the
interest.
Therefore, the EVA takes a positive value if the adjusted
netoperatingprofitaftertaxisgreaterthanthevalueofthe
adjustedcostofinvestedcapital,InthecontrastEVAtakes
anegativevalueifthevalueoftheadjustednetoperating
profitislessthantheadjustedcostoftheinvestedcapital.
SternStewart&Cohasundertakenseveraladjustmentsto
thenetoperatingprofitaccountingtopreventtheimpactof
accountingpoliciesontheprofit.Thecompanyintroduced
adjustmentstotheconceptoftheinvestedcapital,whichis
used in the calculation of the average cost of capital,
Therefore, the reasons for these adjustments are made
withtheaimofcalculatingtheneteconomicprofitnotthe
accountingprofit.Sotheexclusionofcertainaccounting
adjustments, which do not involve cash flows, and the
capital adjustment to reflect the assets value invested on
thecompany,alongwithexcludingtheeffectofaccounting
policies leads to the possibility of a comparison between
eithertheresultsoftheperformanceofdifferentcompanies
ordifferentsectionswithinthesamecompany,.Italsohelps
to reduce the opportunities for management to use
accountingpoliciesdesignedtocontrolprofitabilitythatare
salutingtheremovaloftheimpactofthesepolicies.(Stern
Stewart&Co)haspointedoutthattheseamendmentsare
essential in view to containing the net operating profit
accountingonmanyofthevalues,whichdonotreflectthe
cash flows, and are subject to the impact of different
accountingpolicies.
According to the EVA concept, the net EVA generated
affects the market value of the company. On the other
hand, raising the EVA for any company will increase its
market value. Stern Stewart also provided another
measureforthecompany'sperformance:themarketvalue
added(MVA).Thisiscalculatedas:
MVA=MVofthefirmCapital (3)
Where:
MVA
IstheFirmMarketValueAdded
MV
IstheFirmMarketValue
Capital
Isthecapitalinvestedonthefirmaftermakingthe
adjustmentsuggestedbySternStewart&Co
54
THERELATIONSHIPBETWEENECONOMICVALUEADDEDANDSTOCKRETURN,ANEMPIRICALSTUDYTOTEST
THETHEORETICALCLAIM
valueaddedofthecompanyinthefuture(withtheabsence
ofgrowth),theMVA,canbecalculatedasfollows(Peterson,
1997):
MVA=EVAK
(4)
Where:
K
IstheRequireRateofReturnwhichreflectsthecost
ofthecapital
Also,theSternStewartCompanyhasundertakenagreat
marketingcampaignfortheconceptofEVAmeasurement
andthevariousadjustmentsthatshouldbedoneonthenet
accountingprofitinadditiontothebrand(EVA),Theresults
ofthiscampaignhaveallowedthecompanytoexpandtoa
largernumberofcustomers,with300clientsrepresenting
facilitiesand,greatbusiness,withmanycompaniesaround
world. A set of statements for attracting customers (eye
catching statements), were also included in the
advertisements for the company. For example, the EVA
measureisthekeytocreatingwealthforshareholders,so
thetruemeasureofacompany'sperformanceistheEVA,
nottheearningspershareorreturnoninvestmentorreturn
onequityproperty.Stewart(19911994)saidproponentsof
themeasurethatanychangeinthevalueofthecompany
wasduetoachangeitsEVA(Tully,19931994).
Inaddition,totheclaimhecanusetheEVAchangesinthe
interpretation of the value of the company and its stock
returns better than traditional accounting standards
(Stewart,1994).
The spread of the concept of EVA and a high number of
customers(SternStewart&Co)totheemergenceofmany
performancemetricsofeconomiccompetitionmarketedby
differentcompanies,hasledthecompetitiontobenotedin
the newspapers and financial magazines. These called it
thewarscalesbetweendifferentcompanies,forexample,
the scale of Cash Flows Return on Investment rate
(CFROI),whicharemarketedby(HOLTValueAssociation
),theTotalBusinessReturn(TBR),whicharemarketedby
(Boston Consulting Group), Shareholders Value Added
(SVA) the Company (LEK /Aclar ),discounted economic
profitsforMarakonAssociates,andfinallyEconomicValue
managementKPMG.
Thetheatricalclaimshaveledtheimportanceofstandard
EVAinthecreationofshareholderswealth,andtheroleof
EVAintheinterpretationofstocksreturnandchangesin
themarketvalueofthecompany,tospreadtheconceptto
manypublicationsandbooksonperformancemeasuresof
internal and external accounting .in addition, there have
beencallstodisclosethemeasureofthevalueaddedof
thebusinessinsteadofcompaniesdisclosingearningsper
shareoftheprofit,andtheresultsofthebusinessandstock
performance reports in newspapers and financial
magazines (Zarowin 1995). Despite all this, there is a
logicalexplanationforthetheoreticalrelationshipbetween
theEVAandsharespricesandrevenues,butwhereisalso
criticismonthisscaleincluding:
ThemeasurementofEVAreliableonthevalueisreflected
inthehistoricalstatementsaccountsaftermakingvarious
adjustments.Itpresentsthehistoricaleventsbutdoesnot
reflecttheexpectationoftheEVAinthefuture.Therefore,
usingittodeterminethecompanyvalueandtoforecastthe
direction of stock price is not appropriate, because its
association expectation is related to the future not the
historicalevents.
Despite the significant publicity for the measurement of
EVA, it may convince many researchers to believe that it
www.researchjournals.co.uk
TocalculationofEVAneedsadjustmentonthenumberson
thefinancialstatements.Theseadjustmentsneedasetof
data,whichappearsontheseriesoffinancialstatementsIn
contrasttoresidualincomeandcanbecalculateddirectly
.Accordingtomanystudies(Biddleetal19971999),there
arenosignificantdifferencesandeffectsbetweenthevalue
of each of the residual income derived from Equation (1)
andtheEVAderivedfromEquation(2).Therefore,thereis
no theatrical value to these adjustments, which were
proposed by (Stern Stewart & Co) on the accounting
numberstomeasuretheEVA.
In addition to the criticisms on the theory to measure the
validityoftheuseofEVAtointerpretthechangesinstock
priceandrevenues,manyempiricalstudiesshowthefield
ofclaimsofthesupportersofthetheoreticalofmeasureof
EVA. (Biddle et al, 1997, 1999; Velez Pareja 2001;
Peixoto,2002)
Although the validity theory of the existence of the
relationship between EVA , the shares price, and value
exists the usefulness of any indicator of performance
measured by the presence of relationship the moral
processbetweentheindicatorandbehaviorofactualstock
prices on the securities market is unknown (Kothari,
2001).Therefore, the general objective of the study is an
empiricalinvestigationoftherelationshipbetweenEVAand
stock prices, and an analysis of the benefit of the use of
EVAinthedesignofinvestmentpoliciesthatcanbeused
toachieveextraordinaryreturns.Thiswilllookataprivate
data set of registered businesses in the stock market in
Egypt.
Toachievetheoverallobjective,thefirstpartofthestudyis
ananalysisofthefields,whichstudiesthepreviousprocess
intheselectionoftherelationshipbetweenthescaleofthe
EVA,stockpriceanddividends.Sectionthreeofpresents
theliteraturereviewofthestudywhilesectionfourpresents
the study hypotheses and section five deals with the
methodologyofthestudy.Thelastpartincludesasummary
ofresearchanditsresults.
AccordingtothetheoreticalrelationshipbetweentheEVA
andstockpricesandrevenues,thehighEVAgeneratedby
thefacilityincreasesitsvalue,andthusisreflectedinthe
highpricesofthesharesoftheseestablishedcompanies.
As the case of the validity of these allegations, the
theoreticalcompositionofinvestmentportfolioscontainsthe
sharesofenterpriseswithhighEVA,sowemustachieve
extraordinary returns compared to all the average market
returnsandreturnsonportfoliosthatcontainthesharesof
enterpriseswithlowEVA.
In addition, many studies have tested the relationship
between prices and earnings indicators of EVA and the
remainingincomeandaccountingindicatorsrecognizedas
dependentvariables.Oneoftheleadingstudiesinthisarea
hastargetedthetestingtherelationshipbetweentheEVA
ofalldividendsandthevalueoftheentity.Thestudytested
whether the data valueadded and value components of
thishelpexplainthestockreturnsandchangesinthevalue
ofthecompaniesmoredatafromtheaccountingprofitsor
55
THERELATIONSHIPBETWEENECONOMICVALUEADDEDANDSTOCKRETURN,ANEMPIRICALSTUDYTOTEST
THETHEORETICALCLAIM
Toachievetheoverallobjectiveofthestudyandbasedon
thebalanceoftheaccountingresearchinthefield,wetest
therelationshipbetweenstockpriceandearningsandthe
EVA.Inthispaper,wewilltesttwoassumptions.Thefirst
onewillmeasuretherelationshipbetweenthereturnson
sharesofbusinessesandtheEVAgeneratedbythistopic
installations,andaimstotestthevalidityoftheprosecution
theory that the businesses with high EVA lead to an
increase in the wealth of shareholders .Therefore, the
portfolio containing shares with high EVA is supposed to
achieve a high rate of return compared with the average
returns in the stock market .The hypothesis can be
formulatedasfollows:
Thefirsthypothesis:
Using the EVA to design the investment policies leads to
increasing normal returns on investment compare with
marketreturn.
Thesecondhypothesis:
TheuseofinvestmentpoliciesbasedontheEVAachieves
higheraveragereturnsthantheaveragereturnsachieved
by the investment policy based on generally accepted
accountingindicators.
Researchsamplewasselectedfromagroupofregistered
enterprisesinthestockmarketinEgypt.Thetermofstudy
included three years in the period from the beginning of
2005 to 2007. The study sample included over 40
businesses (23), representing the most active companies
according to the official bulletin of the Stock Exchange in
Cairo and Alexandria (17). And we can test the major
hypothesesforresearch,andachievetheoverallobjective
usingtheavailabilityofthefollowingdata:
1. Annualfinancialstatementsfortheyear2005(touse
thedatafornetaccountingprofitandthebookvalue
ofpropertyrights,andtocalculatetherateofreturn
onthepropertyrightsandthevalueoflongtermloans
andcosts).
2. Theannualdividendstoshareholdersandthedateof
distribution.
3. Stockpricesdailyenterprisegroupwasunderstudy
sincethebeginningof2005and2007toaccountfor
dividendsaccrueddailyandduringtheperiod.
4. Thedailyvaluefortheindextocalculatetheaverage
marketreturninthesameperiodofthestudy.
Thefollowingconditionsapplytodeterminethefinalsample
to search:
Usedatafromthefinancialstatementsofaccounting
atthebeginningofthestudyperiod.
Availability of data on daily closing prices for the
businessesunderstudy.
UsethedatafromEgyptstockmarketindex(CASE30).
Theapplicationoftheconditionsprecedenttotheexclusion
of three companies listed among the companies most
active in 2007, but that the date of registration of these
companiesinthestockmarketisarelativelyrecentdate.In
addition, that there is no series of integrated data on the
pricesoftradedsharesduringthestudyperiod.Therefore,
the final sample for the study included 28 companies
registeredinthestockmarket,givingatotalmarketvalue
of31.78billionpounds.Table1describesthecompanies
bythemarketvalueofthebusiness.
56
THERELATIONSHIPBETWEENECONOMICVALUEADDEDANDSTOCKRETURN,ANEMPIRICALSTUDYTOTEST
THETHEORETICALCLAIM
Mit Theindexvalueontheendofday(t)
Mit1Themarketindexvalueintheperfuseday(t1)
5. Collecting the daily returns on a monthly basis per
shareofthesampleandthemarketindexasfollows:
CRit=t=1t=kRit (7)
Where:
Crit Sumofsharereturnontheday(t)
K
Thetotaltimeofstudy(42months)
Rit Theshare(i)returnontheday(t)
Soweestimatetheaccumulatedreturnofthemarketindex
duringthestudyperiodusingdatamarketreturninsteadof
themarketreturn.
6. Compare portfolio returns on stocks with the highest
EVA.Averagemarketportfolioreturnsand,theability
tocomparetheextentofthisportfoliotodeterminethe
sectors (segments) in the market securities portfolio,
which can be used to achieve extraordinary returns
comparedtomarketreturn.
Totestthesecondhypothesisofthestudywecomparethe
returns generated by the investment policy based on the
scaleoftheEVA,withtherevenuesofinvestmentpolicies
basedonindicatorsofaccountingpractices,usingearning
multiplier indicator, which measures the relationship
between the share price in the period and earnings per
shareoftheprofit.Thisiscalculatedasfollows:
PE=PtEPS
PE EarningsMultiplier
Pt Sharepriceonthetime(t)
Theearningmultiplierhasbeencalculatedforalltheshares
ofenterprisessubjecttostudyatthebeginningofthestudy
period(1January2005)andtheinvestmentpolicydesigned
basedonthedataofearningmultiplierbyfollowingthese
steps:
1. Orderthecompaniesinoursampleinaccordanceto
the earning multiplier in the beginning of the period,
and the composition of investment portfolio contains
all the companies which meet minimum earnings
multiplier after the exclusion of companies with a
multiplier negative (minimum 20% of companies
according to the value earning multiplier). So the
investmentinthesecompaniesleadstoachievinghigh
investmentreturnscomparedwithanaveragemarket
andtherestofthefirmswithahighvalueofearning
multiplier.
2. Measuringthestockreturnforallcomponentsofthe
sampleunderstudyonadailybasisovertheperiodof
study (1.1 2005 to 31.12.2007) in accordance with
Equation (5) and to collect these revenues over the
studyperiod,usingtheequation(7).
3. Comparethestocksportfoliorevenuewiththelowest
earnings multiplier with the market portfolio average
returns, to measure the ability of these wallets to
identifysectorswithintheportfolioofsecuritiesmarket
that can be used to generate unusual revenues
comparedwiththemarketyield,Inaddition,compare
thereturnsontheportfolioreturnsequityportfoliowith
high EVA to determine the superiority investment
Numberof
views
mean
intermediate
Trimmedmean
Standard
error
Standard
deviation
Low
value
High
value
First
quarter
Third
quarter
40
1588
505
1202
404
2829
8.8
16590
162
1689
TableNo.1:Descriptiveanalysisofthecompaniesunderstudybythemarketvalueofthebusiness(valueinmillionEGP)
www.researchjournals.co.uk
57
THERELATIONSHIPBETWEENECONOMICVALUEADDEDANDSTOCKRETURN,ANEMPIRICALSTUDYTOTEST
THETHEORETICALCLAIM
policybasedonEVAfrominvestmentpoliciesbased
onacceptedaccountingstandards.
Totestthemajorhypothesesofthestudyandtoachieve
the overall objective our study has been divided in two
stages.Thefirststagemeasuredthereturnsachievedby
the stock's portfolio with high EVA and compared these
returns with those achieved by the stock market over the
period study. The aim of this stage was to test the first
hypothesis of the study. The revenues have been
estimateddailyandcollectedduringthestudyperiod.Table
2showstheresultsofthisstage.
1. The stocks portfolio with high EVA Achieved a
negative accumulated return over the period of the
study (43.8%), while the market index achieved a
negative return of 76.3% on the same period. The
averageannualyieldoftheaggregatestocksportfolio
with high EVA 14.38%, whiles the average for the
marketportfoliowas(21%).Inspiteofachievinga
negative return for each of the portfolios, the
performanceofthestocksportfoliowithhighEVAwas
superior to the market performance during the study
period.
Thestocksportfoliowiththelowestearnings'multiplier
istheonlyonethathasachievedapositivereturnon
accumulated during the study period, and the
percentageis2.5%,comparedtoanegativereturnof
43.8%,forthestocks'portfolioofwithhighEVA.The
benchmarkmarketreturnreachedanegativeof76.3%
forthesameperiod.Thisreferstobeoutperformedfor
thestockportfoliowiththelowestmultipleofearnings
tothestockportfolioperformancewithhighEVAand
theaveragemarketreturn.
2.
Months
Marketindex Portfolioofstocks
CASE
withhighEVA
Portfolioofstock
withthelowest
multiplierof
earning
2.5
0.8
4.2
4.7
5.8
3.2
4.5
7.3
0.6
3.5
10.8
3.1
15.5
11.9
5.3
15.9
12.7
7.1
25.3
18.3
14.1
38.3
16.2
15.3
41.2
16.7
8.2
3. Theretainedearningsfortheperiodof24months(the
period between 12 months and 36 months) for the
market portfolio was 28.5%, while the aggregate
return for the stock's portfolio with high EVA for the
sameperiodwas19.7%).
10
54.2
24.6
12.6
11
48.8
23.0
11.8
12
43.1
24.50
13.8
13
42.5
27.7
11.6
14
54.0
35.7
15.6
15
61.9
40.2
21.7
16
53.6
41.8
22.9
17
51.7
34.5
18.4
18
60.5
32.5
19.6
19
71.6
34
19.9
20
53.4
27.8
16.4
21
67.3
35.2
13.8
22
66.4
40.6
17.0
23
73.5
52
19.8
24
82.1
51.7
18
25
86.9
62.4
17.7
26
77.5
51.7
15.7
27
78.9
44.2
13.9
28
81.8
45.4
8.1
29
83.1
46.6
3.3
30
82.2
47.9
5.3
31
84.1
47.3
0.1
32
80.5
43.2
0.4
33
84.1
43.7
0.0
34
81.1
45.4
1.1
35
79.5
48.1
1.5
36
76.3
43.8
2.5
4. ThestockportfoliowithhighEVA,startedachievinga
positive accumulated return during the third year of
study. The value of this revenue is +10%, while the
marketindexachievedapositivereturn+3.6%during
thesameperiod.
The previous results shows the market index achieved a
negativerevenuegreaterthanthenegativeyieldmadeby
the stocks portfolios with high EVA .This may indicate a
benefit of the composition of portfolios based on EVA,
however,inthecaseforthemarkettrendtoincreasethe
yieldfortheequityportfolio,theEVAreturnissignificantly
lowerthanthemarketreturn.Itcanbeexplainedbythese
results, the systemic risk for shares with high EVA and
marketriskwasloweredtherefore,changesinthepricesof
thesestocksandtheirreturnsarelessthanchangesinthe
marketindexbothinthecaseofariseoradeclinesothe
return(positiveornegative)fortheinvestigatoroftheshares
withhigheEVAisalwayslessthanthemarketreturn.In
general, the previous results did not support the first
hypothesis of the study, which aimed to test the theory
allegationswhichreferredtotheuseoftheEVAtodesign
theinvestmentpoliciesconducivetoextraordinaryreturns
compared to market return. The second aim of our study
wastocomparethereturnachievedbyinvestmentpolicies
basedontheindexearningmultiplierandreturnsachieved
by the investment policy adopted on the EVA. So we
measured the returns earned for the stocks portfolio with
www.researchjournals.co.uk
TableNo.2:CumulativeHoldingPeriodReturnsin%.Duringthe
studyperiod(stocksportfoliowithahighEVA).
58
THERELATIONSHIPBETWEENECONOMICVALUEADDEDANDSTOCKRETURN,ANEMPIRICALSTUDYTOTEST
THETHEORETICALCLAIM
4.
Theaggregatereturnofthestocksportfoliowiththe
lowest earnings multiplier of the ratios was 13.8%,
18% and 2.5% ,respectively for a period of 12
months,24monthsand36monthsinarow,Thiswas
abetterreturnthanthereturnachievedforeachone,
thestockportfoliowithhighEVAandmarketportfolio
overthesameperiod.
Thestockportfoliowiththelowestearningsmultiplier
started to have a positive earnings return during the
third year of the study The value of this return was
14.7%,whilethe revenue of the stocks portfolio with
high EVA in the same period was +11%, while the
market index achieved a positive return was 1.6%
duringthesameperiod.Theseresultsindicatethatthe
superiority of the portfolio based on the earning
multiplier index overall was better than the
performanceofthemarketportfolioandstockportfolio
withhighEVA.Therefore,uselessinvestmentpolicies
arebasedonEVA.Finally,thepreviousresultsdidnot
support the second hypothesis of the study, which
aimed to test the veracity of the theoretical claims,
which referred to the benefit of the using the
investmentpoliciesbasedonthescaleoftheEVAto
achieveanaveragerevenuegreaterthantheaverage
returns achieved by the investment policy based on
the generally accepted accounting indicators, This
alsosupportstheresultsofapreviousstudiesonthe
phenomenonofearningmultiplier.
toachievingupnormalreturnscomparedwiththeaverage
marketreturn.Ourresultsareconsistentwiththeresultsof
previous studies. In general, the results of our study
provide practical evidence added to the accumulated
resultsofthepreviousstudies,whichreferstothelackof
veracityofthetheoryclaimsrelationshipbetweentheEVA,
stockpricesandstocksreturns.
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