Sei sulla pagina 1di 3

Market Dateline PP 7767/09/2010(025354)

RHB Research Institute

RHB Equity 360°


15 March 2010 (Notion, MBM; Technical: Tan Chong, Cahya Mata Sarawak)

Top Story : Notion Vtec – Moving Up the Value Chain Outperform


New Coverage
- Notion Vtec (Notion) is an integrated precision engineering specialist and tools maker.
- Notion is expected to extensively produce for Samsung 2.5’’ baseplates components with initial production
of 100K units per/month rising sharply to 1m units per/month (by June) and 2m pieces per/month by end-
2010 respectively. We expect this to grow significantly in FY11-12 as Notion steps-up its capability to
produce higher-value components.
- Recall that Nikon acquired a 8.98% via a private placement exercise raised about RM33.8m. The proceeds
will be used for its plant in Thailand with plans for further expansion. We expect Notion Nikon to further
develop its expertise and technical know-how in order to service Nikon which will further improve
production efficiently.
- We estimate revenue growth in FY10, FY11, and FY12 to driven mainly by: 1) stronger demand in the 2.5’’
HDD segment particularly the robust orders from Samsung; and 2) stronger contribution from its camera
division given volume loading from Nikon.
- We estimate a fair value of RM 4.59 based on 10x FY11 EPS. Initiate coverage with an Outperform
recommendation.

Corporate Highlights

MBM : Entered Into Distributorship/Dealership Agreements Outperform


News Update
- MBM’s subsidiary, FAST has entered into two separate agreements with Autovox for the sole and exclusive
sale rights to distribute ABT Sportsline and Heico Sportiv products in Malaysia last Friday. Both
agreements stipulate that FAST will also be responsible for the import, logistics and coordination of
installation of ABT Sportsline products and Heico Sportiv.
- Separately, MBM’s other subsidiary DMSB was appointed as dealer for HMMSB, the distributor of HINO
commercial vehicles in Malaysia and an associate of MBM. A further announcement will be made for other
trading terms and conditions which will be included into a formal Dealership Agreement upon execution.
- The agreement made between MBM and Autovox might be able to open the door for MBM to get into talks
with the Volkswagen Group for a future business relationship. The agreement with Heico Sportiv on the
other hand has helped to expand MBM’s business scope for Volvo.
- Maintain Outperform and fair value of RM3.93/share.

Technical Highlights

Daily Trading Strategy : Revisiting The 1,300 Stronghold Soon


- Last Friday’s weakness was within our expectation, as the FBM KLCI underwent a temporary consolidation
following the recent sharp rally.
- Based on the current technical readings, the FBM KLCI could face further pullback towards a lower
technical gap near the 1,300.74 - 1,312.18 region and the 10-day SMA nearby.
- But we remain convinced that the recent bullish technical breakout from 1,300 will remain intact, even
though the index may revisit the stronghold in the near future.
- In other words, any weakness towards 1,300 will likely to see the return of fresh bargain-hunting activities.
- To revive its bullish momentum, the FBM KLCI must retake the 1,334.34 high to pave ways for a further
march to the upper technical gap near 1,354.79.
- For the medium-term outlook, based on the crucial breakout of 1,300, the index is still aiming at the 1,390
key resistance level, in our view.

Daily Technical Watch: Tan Chong Motor Holdings – Follow-through upside early this week…
- 10-day SMA: RM3.287
- 40-day SMA: RM3.163
- Support: IS = RM3.36 S1 = RM3.10 S2 = RM2.80
- Resistance: IR = RM3.65 R1 = RM4.00

Weekly Trading Idea : Cahya Mata Sarawak – An Opportunity To Bargain Buy Near RM2.10 Bargain Buy
- Strategy: Bargain Buy near RM2.10 for further rally ahead.
- Target: IR = RM2.41 R1 = RM2.71
- Support: IS = RM2.10 S1 = RM1.87 S2 = RM1.60
- Exit: Cut loss if it loses the 10-day SMA near RM1.985.

Commodities & Currencies : xxxx


- Light Sweet Crude Oil futures (Crude): Short-term weakness should be absorbed near the US$80
psychological level.
- Crude Palm Oil futures (CPO): The 10-week SMA near RM2,562 and the breakout point at RM2,500
will cap near-term downside.
- Ringgit (RM)/US$: An immediate test to the major 3.29 level looks imminent.
- Japanese Yen (JPY)/US$: Yen to resume its uptrend towards 87 in the near term.
- Euro Dollar (EUR)/US$: Euro is ready to rebound from the previous downtrend against the US$.
- US Dollar Index (DXY): Any pullback could see a revisit of 78, near the 21-week SMA of 77.98.

Bulletin Board

Co/Sector News Impact Recom


Digi Digi yearns for more 900MHz spectrum so that it Neutral. We understand that there could be OP,
can reach out to a wider segment of the delays in the spectrum re-farming exercise, FV=RM23
population. Currently, Celcom and Maxis have which was scheduled to take place later this .90
more spectrum as they had acquired other year. While more spectrum would help in Digi’s
celcos. (StarBiz) push to extend services to the underserved
areas, for now, Digi’s network still has sufficient
capacity to cater for its voice traffic.
Sime Darby Sime Darby plans to launch at least one project s Positive, as we have mentioned in our report OP, FV =
month over the next six months, according to dated 24 Feb that Sime’s property division was RM9.85
managing director of Sime Darby Property, Datuk expected to post weaker-than-expected earnings
Tunku Putra Badlishah. In March, it launched in FY06/10 due to delays of certain property
Seri Pilmoor in Ara Damansara, a high-end launches. If Sime Darby is able to launch one
freehold residential development with GDV of new project a month, we believe there may be a
RM469m. This project comprises 74 bungalow chance that the property division may be able to
units and 34 semi-D homes, priced between meet market its own previously guided sales
RM2.8-4.6m each and Sime Darby targets to sell target of approximately RM1.5bn a year from
all the units within two years. Besides this, Sime property development. Nevertheless, to be
Darby is also launching another residential conservative, we maintain our sales projections
project in Denai Alam this month, although no for the property division, which assumes revenue
details were given as to the GDV of this project. of about RM1.25bn from property development.
This project was supposed to be launched in
Dec, but was delayed as Sime Darby wanted to
add some new features to the homes.
(StarBizWeek)

Important Dates

Company Entitlement details Ex-date Payment date


New entitlements
NTPM First interim single-tier dividend of 14.5% 30-Mar-10 16-Apr-10
Going “ex” on 16 Mar
Hai-O Enterprise Share split on 1-into-2 basis + bonus issue on 1-for-5 basis 16-Mar-10 -
Guan Chong 1st interim div of 0.5 sen tax exempt + 0.75 sen less tax 16-Mar-10 26-Mar-10
SP Setia Final dividend of 9 sen less 25% tax 16-Mar-10 31-Mar-10
Boustead Holdings 4th interim dividend of 4 sen less 25% tax 16-Mar-10 31-Mar-10
Boustead Holdings 4th interim dividend of 6 sen single tier 16-Mar-10 2-Apr-10
Mithril 6th interest payment on 8-year 3% RCSLS 2004/2012 16-Mar-10 5-Apr-10
Boustead Heavy Industries Single tier first interim dividend of 6 sen 16-Mar-10 8-Apr-10
CNI Holdings Interim dividend of 8 sen less 25% tax 16-Mar-10 8-Apr-10
Xingquan Int’l Sports Tax exempt interim dividend of 2.5 sen 16-Mar-10 16-Apr-10

...For more details, see individual reports attached

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad (previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers
Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are
subject to change without notice, and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be construed as
an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall
give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.

This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this
report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The
appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts any liability for
any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.

RHBRI and the Connected Persons (the “RHB Group”) are engaged in securities trading, securities brokerage, banking and financing activities as well as providing investment banking and financial advisory services. In the
ordinary course of its trading, brokerage, banking and financing activities, any member of the RHB Group may at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for its own account or the accounts of
customers, in debt or equity securities or loans of any company that may be involved in this transaction.

“Connected Persons” means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors, officers, employees and agents of each of them. Investors
should assume that the “Connected Persons” are seeking or will seek investment banking or other services from the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRI’s
previous reports.

This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect information known to, professionals in other business areas of
the “Connected Persons,” including investment banking personnel.

The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based upon various factors, including quality of research, investor
client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.

The recommendation framework for stocks and sectors are as follows : -

Stock Ratings

Outperform = The stock return is expected to exceed the FBM KLCI benchmark by greater than five percentage points over the next 6-12 months.

Trading Buy = Short-term positive development on the stock that could lead to a re-rating in the share price and translate into an absolute return of 15% or more over a period of three months, but fundamentals are not
strong enough to warrant an Outperform call. It is generally for investors who are willing to take on higher risks.

Market Perform = The stock return is expected to be in line with the FBM KLCI benchmark (+/- five percentage points) over the next 6-12 months.

Underperform = The stock return is expected to underperform the FBM KLCI benchmark by more than five percentage points over the next 6-12 months.

Industry/Sector Ratings

Overweight = Industry expected to outperform the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

Neutral = Industry expected to perform in line with the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

Underweight = Industry expected to underperform the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended securities, subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made
available upon request.

This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.

Potrebbero piacerti anche