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INDIAN IMPERATIVE
Umashankar Venkatesh
This paper looks into the antecedents of farm produce distribution and consumption
in India, the evolving organized retailing and the ensuing movement against such
moves in various states of India. For the purposes of this paper the term farm
produce includes agricultural and horticultural produce and its retailing is referred
to as agri-retail. The paper, based on socio-economic parameters, critically looks
at the arguments for and against organized farm produce retail and builds a case
for organized retail in this sector in India.
INTRODUCTION
93 Venkatesh
the two main tenets of this Act as (a) sales and purchases outside the
market yard are prohibited, in order to allow the government to control
and regulate the markets; (b) it specifies that agro-processors procure
raw materials only from the notified markets. They conclude that these
provisions have led to a state where a few licensed or registered
participants or agents or traders effectively could control the markets,
making the Act a deterrent for the development of a competitive
marketing system in the country. Moreover, inter-state variations in
the Act have resulted in creating bottlenecks in the development of a
nation-wide integrated market for agricultural commodities.
They further report that taking cognizance of these constraints the
central government has come up with a Model Act on Agricultural
Marketing containing provisions that
(i) Enable private and cooperative sectors to establish and operate
(including levy of service charges) agricultural marketing
infrastructure and supporting services,
(ii) Allow direct marketing of agricultural commodities from production
point, without the necessity of going through licensed traders and
regulated markets.
(iii) Permit contract farming programs by processing and marketing
firms with the legal support provided by the APMC and granting
tax concessions on account of market fee, cess, duties, taxes under
the contract farming program.
(iv) Rationalize the market fee structure.
95 Venkatesh
to 22 per cent by 2010. The organized retail sector is projected to grow
at a compounded growth rate of 40 percent, from 8 billion dollars to
22 billion dollars (Moriarty et al, 2007).
Table 1: Growth in Organized Retail in India
2002
(million $)
2007
(million $)
CAGR
(%)
Large segments
1924
5024
21
Other segments
1315
2645
15
239
422
12
3478
8091
18
391
326
65
1624
1462
162
33
35
20
1075
293
315
467
2266
590
852
824
16
15
22
12
359
141
98
120
822
284
298
240
18
15
25
15
97
54
43
310
202
108
26
30
20
CATEGORY
Non-store retailing
Total organized retail
The 4 Large segments:
FOOD
Chain stores
Single large stores
CLOTHING
Manufacturer retailers
Chain stores
Single large stores
CONSUMER DURABLES
Manufacturer retailers
Chain stores
Single large stores
BOOKS & MUSIC
Chain stores
Single large stores
Source: Ernst & Young (2006) - The Great Indian Retail Story
India has one of the largest numbers of retail outlets in the world. Of the 12
million retail outlets present in the country, nearly 5 million sell food and
related products. Even with this large number of outlets, organized retail
accounts for only 4 per cent of the total market, opening huge growth
potential in this segment. Food retail has also grown the most amongst the
four highest selling consumer product categories (see Table: 1).
Journal of Services Research, Volume 8, Number 1 (April-September 2008)
97 Venkatesh
process which was started in the mid 1980s revolved around reduction
in direct taxes, removal or dilution of licensing regimes, and facilitating
investments from large companies both domestic and foreign. These
reforms have had a major beneficial impact on the economy. By 2006,
the average share of imports and exports in GDP had risen to 24 percent,
up from 6 percent in 1985. Inflows of foreign direct investment
increased to 2 percent of GDP from less than 0.1 percent of GDP in
1990. The combined fiscal deficit of central and state governments
has been reduced from 10 percent of GDP in 2002 to just over 6
percent of GDP by 2006, with the ratio of debt to GDP falling from 82
percent in 2004 to 75 percent by March 2007. There has been a massive
increase in output, with the potential growth rate of the economy
estimated to be around 8.5 percent per year in 2006. GDP per capita is
now rising at 7.5 percent annually, in contrast to an annual growth of
GDP per capita of just 1.25 percent in the three decades from 1950 to
1980. Faster growth has resulted in India becoming the third largest
economy in the world (after the United States and China and just ahead
of Japan) in 2006, when measured at purchasing power parities,
accounting for nearly 7 percent of world GDP (OECD, 2007).
This reflects directly upon the rapid urbanization on one hand and
increasing disposable income and consequent rise in purchasing power
on the other. The urban population in the country, which was 28 percent
in 2001, is expected to increase to 38 percent by 2026. The urban
growth would account for over two-thirds (67 percent) of total
population increase by 2026. Out of the total population increase of
371 million during 2001-2026 in the country, the share of increase in
urban population is expected to be 249 million (National Commission
on Population, 2006). Also, urbanization is creating time pressures
and need for paid-for conveniences. Any sales format that is able to
deliver on this would come up trumps, depending upon what the
regulatory framework of the society concerned allows. As Coyle
(2006), indicates supermarkets provide a one-stop shopping
experience and are therefore better equipped to meet the needs of
higher income urban consumers than traditional food retail outlets, as
they are able to provide under one roof, a broad variety of fresh,
processed and semi and fully prepared food as well as other
merchandise and services.
2. Rising per capita income: An increase in per capita income obviously
has an impact on the levels of disposable income, assuming that
inflationary trends do not mitigate or overwhelm the rise in disposable
income, and this in turns enhances the purchasing power. Studies have
shown that as income rises absolute spending on food may increase
Journal of Services Research, Volume 8, Number 1 (April-September 2008)
Source: Coyle, William (2006), A revolution in food retailing underway in the Asia-Pacific
region, Amber Waves; 4(3), pp. 22-29.
(Note: Income figures in 000 per annum at 2001-02 prices, households in 000 numbers)
Source: The Great Indian Market, NCAER (2005).
99 Venkatesh
3. Younger age group demographics: Countries like India where
population is relatively young (2001: median age 22.51 yrs; 2026:
est. at 31.35 yrs) imply growing buying power as well as increasing
profits for companies (for instance in an aging economy like Japan,
supermarkets are facing shrinking sales and profits). As per the
National Commission on Population (2006), the youth population
in the age- group 15-24 years is expected to increase from 195
million in 2001 to 240 million in 2011 and then continue to decrease
to 224 million in 2026. Although this represents an eventual
decrease in its proportion in the total population from 19 percent
in 2001 to 16 percent in 2026, the absolute numbers are
considerably large to keep fuelling the retail demand.
As per the GRDI 2007 report, modern retail is more welcome
in markets where there is a large population of young and employed
people with disposable incomes (Moriarty et al, 2007). This
segments has a propensity to spend and accepts new formats (of
retailing) more readily. These young professionals are usually
pushed for time and therefore happily pay for speed, choice and
convenience. As Coyle (2006), in his study indicates that in
increasingly complex and often congested urban markets, through
their highly efficient procurement & distribution system, modern
chain stores are able to offer consumers lower prices; greater
convenience; and higher quality and safer food options.
4. Intensifying demand both in volume as well as variety in urban
centers: This is a phenomenon that is sweeping through the gamut
of A, B and C class cities in India. Traditional metropolitan cities
now have company in the form of new and upcoming mini-metros.
As per the 2001 Census of India there are 35 Indian cities that
have a population one million or more representing a rapidly
growing consumer market with rising incomes. They are referred
to as second-tier cities, and the Indian government is keen to
encourage economic expansion there. The impact of Indias robust
economic growth has spread to smaller cities. According to the
National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER), in
2006 half of Indias 10.7 million households with an annual income
of up to US$23,000 were in smaller cities such as Vadodara, Nagpur,
Ahmedabad and Vijayawada. Economic growth in these smaller
cities is increasingly driven by a manufacturing boom and the
expansion of business services outsourcing industries
(Euromonitor, 2007).
Across countries and income levels worldwide, consumers are
choosing to spend their additional income on some combination
Journal of Services Research, Volume 8, Number 1 (April-September 2008)
101 Venkatesh
towards disposability and casting out - from apparel to cars to mobile
phones to consumer durables (Ernst & Young, 2006: pp. 20).
6. Liberalized trade regimes allowing freer inflow of agroproduce amongst other consumer goods, besides easier norms
for FDI ingress into domestic markets: The Government of India
has allowed Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in real estate since
early 2005. FDI in real estate is likely to boost joint ventures between
Indian and international developers. This should logically result in
India witnessing a marked improvement in warehousing as well as
the quality of malls and shopping centers.
As far as import liberalization of food items is concerned India
has managed to push its doors wide open to produce from foreign
farms without much political opposition domestically. There has
been a creeping liberalization of Indias agricultural trade as spiraling
food prices has induced the government to lower import barriers.
Customs duties on most major food items in short supply are
now at zero or an all-time low, for instance India has now zero
duty on major staples such as wheat, wheat flour, corn, pulses, and
jute. The effective duty on edible oils is less than 20 percent for
crude palm and soya oil, though they compete directly with Indias
own oilseed production. Moreover, under South Asia Free Trade
Agreement (SAFTA), duty has been reduced from 16-40 percent
to zero on meat, fish, milk, dairy products and dry fruits from
Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan and Maldives. Duty on these items has
been reduced to 12 percent from 20 percent on goods imported
from Pakistan and Sri Lanka (Srinivas, 2008).
7. Long history of exploitative practices on part of intermediaries
in the agro food supply chain: Distress sales of farm produce has
been an age old problem of Indian agriculture. This refers to the
sale of farm produce at the village itself resulting in poor price
realization. There is also the phenomenon of farm output being
pledged even before its harvest to either pay for agri-inputs or other
debts on part of the farmers. Distress sale in agriculture is rampant
because of the following causes
a. Fragmented land holding,
b. Marginal farmers and subsistence farming
c. Perishable produce;
d. Poor or inadequate storage and processing capabilities;
e. Poor communication or awareness of market related
information;
Journal of Services Research, Volume 8, Number 1 (April-September 2008)
103 Venkatesh
whereas by 2006 it had gone down to 444.5 grams per day. In the case
of pulses, per capita net availability today is almost half of what it was
five decades ago - 32.5 grams per day in 2006 compared with 60.7
grams per day in 1951 (Bhattacharya, 2008).
Out of every rupee spent in 2004-05 by the average rural Indian
on consumption, 55 paise was spent on food. Of this, 18 paise was
spent on cereals and cereal substitutes, 8 paise on milk and milk
products, 6 paise on vegetables, 5 paise on edible oil, 5 paise on sugar,
salt and spices, and 5 paise on beverages, refreshments and processed
food. The corresponding figure for the urban Indian population is that
out of every rupee spent, 43 paise was spent on food. Of this, 10 paise
was spent on cereals and cereal substitutes, 8 paise on milk and milk
products, 6 paise on beverages, refreshments and processed food, and
4 paise on vegetables (National Sample Survey Organisation, 2007).
Significantly, the cost of fuel is not included in this and that will again
add up to the already heavy burden of food cost, especially in the
context for rural India and the burgeoning slum dwellers in large Indian
cities. What this means is that more than half of their income goes
towards subsistence in terms of staving hunger leaving very little for
education, healthcare, and shelter.
Table 2: Prevalence of Undernourishment in Total Population (%)
Country
1969
1971
Bangladesh
31
39
35
40
30
30
Myanmar
34
18
10
Nepal
56
52
20
26
17
17
Pakistan
27
29
24
19
23
24
Sri Lanka
22
20
28
26
22
22
India
39
38
25
21
20
20
Source: http://www.fao.org/es/ess/faostat/foodsecurity/Files/PrevalenceUndernourishment_en.xls
105 Venkatesh
governments. Adding to this, if there is a federal structure (as in the
case of the APMC Act discussed above), uniform policies and
implementation of the same also become difficult.
It is obvious from the discussion in the previous sections of this
paper that the policy (as under the APMC Act) has acted contrarily to
the interests of the farmers by making a few intermediaries the centers
of power in the channeling of agricultural produce to the consumers.
The backlash against agri-retail players like Reliance Fresh in the
states of Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand etc. have been
highlighted in the recent past in the media. What needs to be juxtaposed
against these so called popular protests is that whether farmers and
producers were ever a party to such protest. These sporadic unrests
most probably are locally fomented and are nothing but matters of
law and order where the respective state government is doubly
indictable as on one hand they have been unable to deal with a handful
of miscreants who have indulged in hooliganism and damaged private
as well as public property and on the other they have not been able to
(or willing to) help law abiding companies who were given permission
under the law of the land to operate in these states. In the last few years
cases of farmers in various states of India committing suicide because
of debts, poor harvests, poor price realization and distress sales has
increased. As per official statistics, 8,263 farmers have committed
suicide in seven states (Maharashtra, Karnataka, Kerala, Andhra
Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Punjab and Gujarat) between 2003 and March
2007 (Ghosh, 2007). The Tata Institute of Social Sciences (TISS, 2005),
in its report, submitted to the Mumbai High Court on the issue of farmer
suicides in Maharashtra has concluded that repeated crop failures,
inability to meet the rising cost of cultivation, and indebtedness seem
to create a situation that forces farmers to commit suicide.
It is therefore clear, that by letting the status quo remain as such
and vesting control of agricultural produce marketing with
intermediaries, we have aided and abetted the deaths of so many farmers
in the country. It seems that the welfare of one segment of the society,
i.e. the small retailers and intermediaries has to be paid for by the death
of farmers.
But there is evidence that this perceived dragon of organized retail
which is supposed going to decimate the traditional food retail sector
in India does not really have a foundation, based on empirical studies
or case studies. To present the case of Brazil, which is akin to India in
many of its socio-economic and demographic parameters and
characteristics, researchers have found no evidence that the advent of
organized supermarkets in Brazil has killed the traditional mom and
Journal of Services Research, Volume 8, Number 1 (April-September 2008)
107 Venkatesh
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Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.