Matthew Crosston

15.08.2014

Column: Politics

Region: USA in the World

Cold War Think Tanks: Back to Business

2014 is starting to look and sound and feel an awful lot like 1964. If
you find yourself sitting at home wondering how 50 years could go by
with so much historical change and global shifting and yet still end
up basically back at the starting point of a quasi-Cold War between
the United States and Russia, then please allow me to offer one
slightly unique explanation as to how this has all come to pass: its
my fault.

Well, alright, its not exactly my personal fault, for I am a member of what we call in the United States as Generation
X. I am also a recognized expert on Russia. And unfortunately those two things (Generation X Russian expert) are
about as rare a sighting as a unicorn wave-surfing the Loch Ness monster off the shores of Ibiza. The reason for this
might be somewhat surprising to our readers and is most certainly NOT openly discussed in our various academic,
professional, and diplomatic conferences. There is not a dearth of Generation X Russian experts because somehow
we all magically just forgot there was a place called Russia starting in the early 1990s. No, there is a giant numerical
gap because we forgot the wonderfully inexplicable uniqueness of Russia, despite over 1000 years of political
intrigue and historical evidence. We forgot that Russia will NEVER be irrelevant.
The celebration in the West of the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the end of history and the eternal victory of
democracy over all other political systems was quietly and unassumingly accompanied by an almost unconscious DEEMPHASIS in prestigious American graduate schools. Russia was pushed aside because, after all, it had not only lost
the Cold War: surely its destiny was to become a quasi-democracy, a political also-ran and an economic swamp that
would be basically unimportant on the global stage. The fact that Russia faced a demographic crisis in the first half
of the 1990s, actually watching its overall population SHRINK as opposed to grow, and the academic and
governmental communities in the United States shook their collective heads and felt justified in thinking that if
democracy was not in fact the end of history, it was at least the end of needing to focus on Russia. And so by 1997,
when many Gen Xers would naturally be advancing through their advanced doctoral degrees and various PhD
programs, selecting dissertation committees and deciding on deep and complex theses, we were subtly but decisively
given a strong piece of advice: leave Russia alone.
Now, keep in mind this was well-intentioned advice. By 1997-1998 Russia seemed to most in the West as, at best, a
place to perhaps investigate the problems of crime and corruption or flawed democratic transition. That is how the
West viewed Russia from a high-level academic perspective, from the level of elite graduate schools training
Generation X, mentoring this next generation of experts to take the mantle and lead American-Russian relations into
the 21st century. The ultimately not-so-subtle hint was simple yet powerful: if you truly want a job in academia and
want to be able to do important work, Russia is just SOOOO YESTERDAY. If you want to be on the cutting edge,
look to the Middle East. Hop on the Islamist bandwagon, THAT is where the REAL action (and job demand) is going
to be! Of course, the seismic event on September 11, 2001, just a short three years later, seemed to scream to the
now advanced PhD Generation X students that their mentors were prophets and had to be obeyed! And thus: the
Lost Generation.
Barely any new thinkers or innovative minds have emerged from Generation X when it comes to studying and
understanding the Russian Federation. When you examine and code media sources and academic work, from which
news organizations reach out to for quotes and expert opinion about Russia today, one is hard-pressed to find a

quote from anyone under 45 or anything not sickeningly dependent on a Soviet assumption for explaining behavior.
Please keep in mind I am not trying to be particularly age-ist in my argumentation. The problem is not so much as
to how old a person is but rather under what system of educational rigor and mentorship would a person likely to
have been trained given their particular year of birth. Is it merely coincidence that almost every single Russian
foreign policy maneuver today is characterized more often than not as some sort of revanchist attempt to resurrect
(symbolically or literally) the power and glory of the Soviet Union? Is it merely odd happenstance that Putin is
evaluated only in terms of Soviet dictatorship and not even from the perspective of Machiavellian realpolitik? Go
back and look for yourselves. Read as many sources of information you can find. Whether it be the missile defense
shield in Poland and the Czech Republic, or Iran, or Syria, or the bombings near the Sochi Olympics, or finally
Maidan and Eastern Ukraine, what one sees are analyses that basically could have been cut from the New York
Times in 1964 and just had the key words altered. No imagination, no innovation, nothing new whatsoever. We have
become dullards.
Perhaps worse still, Russias stubborn unwillingness to remain in that little irrelevant black box created by American
academia these past 15-20 years means that there is now a NEW generation of PhD students emerging once again
intrigued, concerned, and fascinated by Russia. This new generation, the Millenials, will be entering PhD programs
within the next 5-10 years. The problem, as I see it, is that the majority of the programs they enter and with which
they feed their renewed Russian interests will STILL be run by the Baby Boomers, a generation that cut its teeth
under the Cold War and still believes it as the only political vision available for Russia. There are very few
Generation X scholars running and directing programs today to impact these new minds, to open up to them new
possibilities and new angles, to encourage them to think on the global stage about Russia in the 21st century with a
mind that is not shackled instinctively by the mid-20th Soviet century. This, to me, does not bode well for the future
of American-Russian relations. It doesnt bode well for the future of Russian Studies. But if I want to find anyone to
blame, then I need but to walk over to my generations mirror and look directly at my fellow Gen Xers.
This is our future. A future that looks depressingly familiar with our intellectual past. A future shaped by a Lost
Generation that allowed itself to be too easily swayed by present-day currents and pressures of job placement. Let
the shame be upon us.
Dr. Matthew Crosston is Professor of Political Science and Director of the International Security and
Intelligence Studies program at Bellevue University, exclusively for the online magazine New Eastern
Outlook