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Effect: Lets us first understand the effect of negative marking on our marks.
Playing Blind: With minus .25 for wrong response from amongst the given four options, even if
you guess blindly you are likely to gain .0625 for every question. How?
Out of the four options if you choose one, as per the simple probability rule (number of
favorable outcome / total number of possible outcome) there is 25% probability of getting
the question correct.
i.e. for every four questions attempted you can gain 1 mark and lose .75 marks (.25 x 3).
i.e. you gain .25 marks for every four questions attempted in which you guessed blindly.
Which means you gain .0625 marks (.25/4) for every question
+12.5 for 200 questions. ?
Negate One Option: If you are able to negate/eliminate one option then your gain can increases
to .166 marks per question. If you negate one option out of the given four options, then
Your chances of marking it correctly increases to 1/3 i.e. 33.33%
i.e. for every three questions you attempt you gain 1 mark and loose .50 marks.
i.e. you gain .5 marks for every three questions you attempt.
Which results in a gain of .166 marks per question (.50/3).
+33.33 for 200 questions. ?
Negate Two Options: If you are smarter and are able to negate/eliminate two options out of the
given four then your gain per question can go up to .375 per question.
If you negate two options then your chance of choosing the correct option increases to
1/2 i.e. 50%.
i.e. for every two questions you attempt you have all the chances of gaining 1 mark and
loosing just .25 marks.
i.e. you gain .75 marks for every two questions you attempt.
Which will fetch you .375 marks for every question (.75/2)
+75 for 200 questions.
?
Negate Three Options: There can be questions where you are not sure of the answer. But if
you are able to use the method of elimination and negate three options somehow, then what is
the problem in choosing the fourth option.
Now when you are aware of the effect of negative marking system is going to have on your
score you can use it to your advantage. As per your hunch of how you are fairing in your
examination and knowing the effect of negative marking you can use this grid for playing the
guessing game:
Hunch:
Very sure of
Selection
Blind Guess
Never Play.
Avoid Playing.
Game.
Hunch:
Borderline
Case
Hunch:
Not qualifying
with this
performance.
|
|
We recommend.
| You
Should.
We recommend.
| You Should.
| Definitely play.
Can improve your rank.
| Game
Do it. ?
|
|
|
Do it.
Note: During the round 1 of attempting the test if you are not able to answer questions but see an options which
can be negated, mark them with the pencil. This will help you later, while making guesses.
The Final Words: Probability simply means likelihood. The above is a recommendation from our
side. You must have got many tips for your exams from your mentors at TS/CP. While
attempting the test do what suits you the best at that time.
(
) | Be Cool. Be Confident. Its always hot in May. We dont recall any of you
born in the Alps or Antartica.