Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Iowa
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
4.4%
1. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
Getting better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
About the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Getting worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential caucus in Iowa?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .60%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential caucus?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Rick Perry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Scott Walker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Rick Perry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Scott Walker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
6. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucus
in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [Candidate Name] ... ?
Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
9. Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in Washington?
Enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Satisfied but not enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Disatisfied but not angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
10. Has Hillary Clintons use of a personal email and server while she was Secretary of State
made you more likely or less likely to support her for the nomination?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
More likely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Has not mattered . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
Less likely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
12. Do you think the policies of a Bernie Sanders Administration would ...
Asked of Democratic primary voters
13. Would you favor or oppose raising taxes on the investment firms and financial institutions
that trade stocks and bonds?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Favor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
14. In the last few years have the Republicans in Congress compromised with Barack Obama
too much or too little?
Asked of Republican primary voters
16. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US?
They should be allowed to stay in the US and eventually apply for citizenship.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
They should be allowed to stay in the US legally, but not be allowed to apply for
citizenship. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
They should be required to leave the US. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
17. Which comes closest to your position on abortion? Do you think abortion should be...
Legal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Legal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25%
Illegal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Illegal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
18. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
21. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
4.4%
1. Trend of Economy
Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
Gender
Getting better
About the same
Getting worse
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
39%
40%
3%
21%
34%
43%
3%
15%
44%
37%
4%
24%
50%
19%
6%
15%
32%
48%
4%
16%
38%
45%
1%
21%
36%
39%
4%
17%
40%
39%
3%
18%
18%
64%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(806)
(861)
(281)
(307)
(735)
(344)
(1,562)
100%
(1,668)
(21)
(18)
(67)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
60%
14%
9%
7%
8%
3%
61%
13%
9%
7%
8%
1%
60%
14%
8%
6%
7%
4%
66%
15%
9%
6%
4%
0%
50%
17%
16%
9%
6%
2%
60%
13%
7%
6%
12%
3%
66%
12%
6%
7%
4%
5%
61%
13%
8%
7%
8%
3%
44%
14%
23%
1%
16%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(807)
(863)
(281)
(307)
(737)
(344)
(1,563)
100%
(1,670)
(21)
(18)
(68)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
34%
15%
18%
30%
40%
13%
17%
35%
29%
17%
19%
43%
32%
9%
16%
30%
32%
13%
25%
30%
33%
18%
19%
34%
41%
15%
10%
32%
34%
15%
18%
23%
37%
19%
20%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(807)
(863)
(281)
(307)
(737)
(344)
(1,564)
100%
(1,670)
(21)
(18)
(68)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
3%
25%
1%
10%
4%
1%
0%
4%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
6%
3%
29%
5%
4%
2%
23%
0%
14%
5%
0%
0%
5%
1%
3%
0%
2%
0%
6%
2%
32%
6%
2%
4%
29%
1%
5%
4%
2%
0%
4%
2%
1%
0%
2%
1%
7%
4%
26%
2%
7%
1%
27%
0%
8%
6%
0%
0%
1%
4%
4%
0%
5%
0%
15%
5%
23%
0%
1%
1%
19%
2%
8%
3%
4%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
4%
0%
2%
5%
38%
6%
4%
3%
25%
0%
12%
5%
0%
0%
6%
2%
3%
0%
1%
1%
6%
2%
27%
3%
4%
4%
30%
0%
9%
3%
0%
0%
4%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
31%
9%
4%
3%
26%
1%
10%
5%
1%
0%
3%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
5%
3%
29%
5%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(705)
(403)
(302)
(118)
(118)
(300)
(169)
(664)
(1)
(9)
(30)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
6%
21%
1%
9%
11%
0%
0%
6%
6%
3%
0%
4%
3%
5%
1%
10%
7%
8%
7%
22%
1%
9%
10%
0%
0%
3%
5%
2%
0%
7%
3%
3%
1%
12%
10%
6%
4%
19%
1%
9%
11%
0%
0%
9%
6%
4%
0%
1%
3%
7%
1%
8%
4%
12%
17%
21%
2%
5%
5%
0%
0%
5%
9%
0%
0%
10%
5%
4%
0%
0%
9%
9%
6%
18%
1%
6%
13%
0%
0%
7%
4%
0%
0%
5%
6%
3%
1%
9%
11%
10%
2%
24%
1%
11%
12%
0%
0%
3%
7%
2%
0%
2%
1%
6%
2%
13%
5%
6%
3%
16%
1%
10%
12%
1%
0%
9%
1%
8%
0%
2%
2%
4%
0%
11%
7%
11%
5%
21%
1%
9%
11%
0%
0%
6%
6%
3%
0%
4%
2%
5%
1%
10%
7%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(704)
(403)
(301)
(118)
(118)
(299)
(169)
(664)
(1)
(9)
(30)
Gender
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
10%
1%
33%
5%
43%
1%
7%
10%
3%
29%
6%
47%
1%
4%
10%
0%
36%
4%
41%
0%
8%
1%
0%
22%
4%
74%
0%
0%
11%
7%
32%
1%
45%
0%
4%
15%
0%
34%
6%
34%
1%
9%
9%
0%
45%
8%
28%
1%
10%
8%
1%
34%
5%
45%
1%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(646)
(258)
(387)
(141)
(106)
(265)
(133)
(593)
(23)
(13)
(17)
Gender
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
26%
0%
19%
13%
19%
4%
18%
25%
1%
18%
19%
16%
7%
14%
27%
0%
20%
9%
22%
2%
21%
17%
0%
31%
14%
12%
8%
19%
29%
0%
22%
7%
22%
7%
13%
26%
1%
15%
17%
20%
3%
18%
34%
0%
14%
7%
24%
1%
20%
26%
0%
18%
13%
21%
4%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(636)
(258)
(378)
(141)
(97)
(265)
(133)
(584)
(23)
(13)
(17)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
39%
11%
54%
36%
10%
47%
41%
12%
47%
36%
17%
51%
38%
12%
48%
40%
12%
56%
39%
5%
50%
39%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,417)
(721)
(696)
(266)
(251)
(609)
(289)
(1,335)
(18)
(17)
(47)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
4%
10%
41%
45%
4%
7%
36%
53%
4%
13%
45%
38%
3%
15%
55%
28%
11%
10%
33%
45%
3%
8%
42%
47%
2%
11%
32%
56%
4%
10%
41%
45%
0%
2%
34%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(807)
(859)
(281)
(307)
(737)
(340)
(1,560)
100%
(1,667)
(21)
(18)
(68)
Gender
More likely
Has not mattered
Less likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
4%
74%
22%
4%
73%
23%
4%
75%
21%
1%
79%
20%
5%
76%
19%
5%
70%
26%
5%
77%
18%
4%
73%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(645)
(258)
(387)
(141)
(106)
(265)
(133)
(593)
(23)
(13)
(17)
10
Gender
Favor the rich
Favor the middle class
Favor the poor
Treat all groups equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
24%
52%
6%
19%
30%
52%
4%
14%
19%
52%
7%
22%
28%
68%
0%
5%
34%
50%
7%
9%
23%
42%
8%
27%
11%
57%
8%
24%
24%
52%
6%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(642)
(258)
(385)
(141)
(106)
(265)
(130)
(590)
(23)
(13)
(17)
11
Gender
Favor the rich
Favor the middle class
Favor the poor
Treat all groups equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
4%
43%
28%
25%
2%
49%
32%
18%
6%
39%
25%
31%
1%
37%
40%
22%
4%
48%
34%
14%
6%
39%
22%
33%
3%
52%
21%
23%
4%
44%
27%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(637)
(258)
(379)
(141)
(105)
(260)
(130)
(584)
(23)
(13)
(17)
12
Gender
Favor
Oppose
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
26%
44%
30%
27%
51%
22%
25%
35%
40%
13%
64%
23%
33%
33%
35%
22%
49%
29%
38%
30%
32%
26%
44%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(705)
(403)
(302)
(118)
(118)
(300)
(169)
(664)
(1)
(9)
(30)
13
Gender
Too much
The right amount
Too little
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
81%
9%
10%
85%
9%
7%
76%
10%
15%
68%
13%
19%
77%
17%
6%
84%
7%
9%
87%
4%
8%
81%
9%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(701)
(403)
(298)
(118)
(118)
(299)
(166)
(661)
(1)
(9)
(30)
14
Gender
They are a true Conservative
Experience in policy and politics
Experience in business/private sector
Can defeat Democratic nominee
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
25%
19%
36%
20%
27%
19%
33%
21%
22%
20%
39%
19%
34%
28%
30%
8%
19%
14%
45%
21%
27%
20%
32%
20%
19%
14%
38%
28%
25%
18%
36%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(704)
(403)
(301)
(118)
(118)
(299)
(169)
(664)
(1)
(9)
(30)
15
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
8%
47%
40%
9%
51%
49%
8%
43%
62%
14%
23%
35%
7%
58%
41%
7%
52%
48%
7%
45%
44%
8%
47%
35%
11%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(804)
(847)
(281)
(307)
(725)
(337)
(1,545)
100%
(1,651)
(21)
(18)
(67)
16
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
20%
25%
38%
17%
17%
23%
43%
16%
22%
28%
33%
17%
20%
30%
34%
17%
20%
30%
34%
16%
20%
22%
39%
18%
18%
25%
43%
15%
19%
25%
38%
17%
15%
22%
55%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(804)
(860)
(281)
(307)
(735)
(340)
(1,558)
100%
(1,664)
(21)
(18)
(67)
17
5.7%
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
3%
25%
1%
10%
4%
1%
0%
4%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
6%
3%
29%
5%
4%
0%
22%
0%
21%
4%
2%
0%
2%
2%
1%
0%
2%
1%
7%
5%
21%
4%
5%
3%
31%
1%
6%
5%
0%
0%
6%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
5%
2%
30%
5%
3%
6%
16%
1%
0%
5%
0%
0%
1%
2%
11%
0%
5%
0%
10%
0%
33%
6%
4%
1%
25%
0%
19%
4%
2%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
2%
0%
2%
4%
29%
4%
3%
4%
26%
1%
2%
5%
0%
0%
6%
2%
3%
0%
2%
0%
10%
2%
29%
5%
4%
2%
32%
0%
11%
4%
1%
0%
6%
3%
2%
0%
2%
0%
2%
3%
24%
3%
4%
3%
17%
1%
8%
5%
0%
0%
3%
1%
3%
0%
3%
0%
12%
2%
34%
7%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(705)
(217)
(373)
(86)
(330)
(371)
(361)
(302)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
3%
25%
1%
10%
2%
23%
0%
14%
4%
29%
1%
5%
1%
27%
0%
8%
1%
19%
2%
8%
3%
25%
0%
12%
4%
30%
0%
9%
3%
28%
1%
9%
1%
13%
1%
13%
Gender
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
4%
1%
0%
4%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
6%
3%
29%
5%
4%
5%
0%
0%
5%
1%
3%
0%
2%
0%
6%
2%
32%
6%
2%
4%
2%
0%
4%
2%
1%
0%
2%
1%
7%
4%
26%
2%
7%
6%
0%
0%
1%
4%
4%
0%
5%
0%
15%
5%
23%
0%
1%
3%
4%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
4%
0%
2%
5%
38%
6%
4%
5%
0%
0%
6%
2%
3%
0%
1%
1%
6%
2%
27%
3%
4%
3%
0%
0%
4%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
31%
9%
4%
4%
1%
0%
4%
2%
2%
0%
1%
0%
7%
3%
26%
5%
4%
6%
0%
0%
4%
2%
5%
0%
4%
0%
1%
3%
42%
3%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(705)
(403)
(302)
(118)
(118)
(300)
(169)
(534)
(138)
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
6%
21%
1%
9%
11%
0%
0%
6%
6%
3%
0%
4%
3%
5%
1%
10%
7%
8%
6%
19%
0%
14%
12%
0%
0%
7%
7%
2%
0%
2%
5%
1%
0%
16%
3%
6%
6%
20%
1%
8%
10%
0%
0%
4%
6%
3%
0%
5%
2%
6%
1%
7%
11%
8%
3%
30%
5%
1%
12%
0%
1%
7%
4%
6%
0%
6%
2%
6%
1%
5%
3%
9%
1%
20%
0%
13%
12%
0%
0%
4%
7%
2%
0%
3%
5%
3%
1%
13%
9%
5%
10%
21%
2%
5%
10%
0%
1%
7%
4%
4%
0%
5%
0%
6%
1%
7%
5%
11%
2%
23%
0%
10%
11%
0%
0%
6%
10%
2%
0%
3%
3%
6%
1%
8%
7%
6%
10%
19%
3%
7%
12%
0%
0%
4%
1%
5%
0%
5%
2%
3%
0%
11%
7%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(704)
(217)
(373)
(86)
(330)
(371)
(361)
(302)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
6%
21%
1%
9%
11%
0%
0%
6%
6%
7%
22%
1%
9%
10%
0%
0%
3%
5%
4%
19%
1%
9%
11%
0%
0%
9%
6%
17%
21%
2%
5%
5%
0%
0%
5%
9%
6%
18%
1%
6%
13%
0%
0%
7%
4%
2%
24%
1%
11%
12%
0%
0%
3%
7%
3%
16%
1%
10%
12%
1%
0%
9%
1%
7%
20%
1%
9%
12%
0%
0%
5%
5%
1%
19%
2%
11%
8%
0%
0%
4%
7%
Gender
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Scott Walker
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
3%
0%
4%
3%
5%
1%
10%
7%
8%
2%
0%
7%
3%
3%
1%
12%
10%
6%
4%
0%
1%
3%
7%
1%
8%
4%
12%
0%
0%
10%
5%
4%
0%
0%
9%
9%
0%
0%
5%
6%
3%
1%
9%
11%
10%
2%
0%
2%
1%
6%
2%
13%
5%
6%
8%
0%
2%
2%
4%
0%
11%
7%
11%
4%
0%
2%
3%
5%
1%
9%
8%
7%
1%
0%
11%
0%
3%
2%
15%
3%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(704)
(403)
(301)
(118)
(118)
(299)
(169)
(534)
(138)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
61%
35%
3%
71%
28%
1%
58%
38%
3%
45%
45%
9%
67%
32%
1%
55%
39%
6%
67%
30%
3%
54%
42%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(679)
(208)
(361)
(82)
(319)
(356)
(349)
(296)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
61%
35%
3%
63%
34%
3%
58%
37%
5%
61%
37%
2%
60%
36%
3%
60%
35%
5%
63%
34%
2%
60%
36%
4%
64%
34%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(679)
(397)
(282)
(117)
(114)
(287)
(162)
(512)
(135)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
3%
6%
28%
63%
5%
5%
20%
70%
1%
4%
29%
66%
6%
20%
41%
33%
2%
4%
17%
77%
3%
9%
38%
50%
4%
3%
26%
68%
2%
9%
30%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(705)
(217)
(373)
(86)
(330)
(371)
(361)
(302)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Satisfied but not enthusiastic
Disatisfied but not angry
Angry
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
3%
6%
28%
63%
2%
4%
26%
68%
4%
10%
30%
56%
1%
10%
37%
52%
1%
9%
26%
64%
4%
6%
32%
59%
3%
3%
17%
77%
3%
6%
28%
63%
2%
3%
26%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(705)
(403)
(302)
(118)
(118)
(300)
(169)
(534)
(138)
Ideology
Favor
Oppose
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
26%
44%
30%
18%
51%
30%
26%
46%
28%
39%
30%
31%
19%
54%
27%
32%
36%
32%
24%
48%
29%
28%
42%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(705)
(217)
(373)
(86)
(329)
(371)
(361)
(302)
Gender
Favor
Oppose
Not sure
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
26%
44%
30%
27%
51%
22%
25%
35%
40%
13%
64%
23%
33%
33%
35%
22%
49%
29%
38%
30%
32%
23%
47%
30%
37%
35%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(705)
(403)
(302)
(118)
(118)
(300)
(169)
(534)
(138)
Ideology
Too much
The right amount
Too little
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
81%
9%
10%
94%
3%
3%
82%
10%
8%
49%
19%
32%
94%
3%
3%
69%
14%
17%
88%
5%
7%
71%
14%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(701)
(214)
(372)
(86)
(329)
(368)
(358)
(302)
Gender
Too much
The right amount
Too little
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
81%
9%
10%
85%
9%
7%
76%
10%
15%
68%
13%
19%
77%
17%
6%
84%
7%
9%
87%
4%
8%
82%
9%
9%
79%
8%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(701)
(403)
(298)
(118)
(118)
(299)
(166)
(530)
(138)
Ideology
They are a true Conservative
Experience in policy and politics
Experience in business/private sector
Can defeat Democratic nominee
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
25%
19%
36%
20%
42%
12%
24%
22%
20%
21%
36%
22%
6%
28%
56%
11%
38%
12%
31%
20%
14%
25%
40%
21%
31%
20%
31%
18%
21%
19%
36%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(704)
(216)
(373)
(86)
(330)
(371)
(361)
(302)
Gender
They are a true Conservative
Experience in policy and politics
Experience in business/private sector
Can defeat Democratic nominee
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
25%
19%
36%
20%
27%
19%
33%
21%
22%
20%
39%
19%
34%
28%
30%
8%
19%
14%
45%
21%
27%
20%
32%
20%
19%
14%
38%
28%
24%
20%
32%
24%
29%
18%
43%
9%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(704)
(403)
(301)
(118)
(118)
(299)
(169)
(534)
(138)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
21%
12%
67%
14%
11%
75%
22%
11%
67%
40%
20%
40%
12%
13%
75%
29%
12%
59%
20%
12%
68%
20%
13%
67%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(704)
(217)
(373)
(85)
(330)
(370)
(361)
(302)
Gender
Allowed to stay and apply for
citizenship
Allowed to stay, but no citizenship
Required to leave
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
21%
12%
67%
19%
13%
68%
24%
10%
66%
39%
23%
38%
13%
5%
82%
21%
11%
68%
16%
10%
74%
21%
12%
67%
23%
7%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(704)
(402)
(301)
(118)
(118)
(299)
(169)
(533)
(138)
10
6.6%
Ideology
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
10%
1%
33%
5%
43%
1%
7%
7%
0%
27%
5%
58%
0%
3%
10%
0%
32%
3%
51%
1%
3%
9%
0%
39%
9%
32%
1%
11%
10%
3%
29%
6%
47%
1%
4%
10%
0%
36%
4%
41%
0%
8%
1%
0%
22%
4%
74%
0%
0%
11%
7%
32%
1%
45%
0%
4%
15%
0%
34%
6%
34%
1%
9%
9%
0%
45%
8%
28%
1%
10%
10%
0%
37%
5%
41%
1%
7%
10%
6%
21%
6%
49%
0%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(646)
(118)
(253)
(216)
(258)
(387)
(141)
(106)
(265)
(133)
(510)
(117)
Ideology
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
26%
0%
19%
13%
19%
4%
18%
26%
0%
18%
24%
17%
0%
16%
23%
0%
27%
6%
18%
7%
18%
33%
1%
15%
15%
20%
1%
15%
25%
1%
18%
19%
16%
7%
14%
27%
0%
20%
9%
22%
2%
21%
17%
0%
31%
14%
12%
8%
19%
29%
0%
22%
7%
22%
7%
13%
26%
1%
15%
17%
20%
3%
18%
34%
0%
14%
7%
24%
1%
20%
28%
0%
19%
13%
20%
1%
18%
19%
0%
21%
13%
15%
17%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(636)
(118)
(253)
(207)
(258)
(378)
(141)
(97)
(265)
(133)
(510)
(117)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
55%
34%
11%
64%
26%
10%
58%
33%
9%
50%
41%
10%
57%
32%
12%
55%
35%
10%
56%
30%
15%
47%
39%
14%
61%
29%
10%
51%
44%
6%
57%
33%
10%
45%
40%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(603)
(114)
(244)
(193)
(247)
(356)
(141)
(102)
(240)
(120)
(476)
(110)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
5%
20%
44%
31%
7%
24%
42%
27%
3%
22%
44%
31%
7%
19%
43%
30%
4%
14%
45%
36%
6%
24%
43%
27%
1%
31%
50%
18%
10%
13%
44%
33%
6%
18%
42%
34%
2%
21%
41%
36%
6%
22%
44%
28%
1%
15%
48%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(646)
(118)
(253)
(216)
(258)
(388)
(141)
(106)
(265)
(134)
(511)
(117)
Ideology
More likely
Has not mattered
Less likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
4%
74%
22%
5%
83%
12%
1%
73%
26%
6%
75%
19%
4%
73%
23%
4%
75%
21%
1%
79%
20%
5%
76%
19%
5%
70%
26%
5%
77%
18%
5%
75%
20%
0%
77%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(645)
(118)
(253)
(216)
(258)
(387)
(141)
(106)
(265)
(133)
(510)
(117)
Ideology
Favor the rich
Favor the middle class
Favor the poor
Treat all groups equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
24%
52%
6%
19%
18%
69%
1%
12%
24%
55%
4%
17%
18%
48%
8%
26%
30%
52%
4%
14%
19%
52%
7%
22%
28%
68%
0%
5%
34%
50%
7%
9%
23%
42%
8%
27%
11%
57%
8%
24%
18%
56%
6%
20%
43%
39%
3%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(642)
(118)
(252)
(214)
(258)
(385)
(141)
(106)
(265)
(130)
(508)
(117)
Ideology
Favor the rich
Favor the middle class
Favor the poor
Treat all groups equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
4%
43%
28%
25%
2%
46%
29%
23%
6%
43%
25%
26%
1%
42%
31%
27%
2%
49%
32%
18%
6%
39%
25%
31%
1%
37%
40%
22%
4%
48%
34%
14%
6%
39%
22%
33%
3%
52%
21%
23%
5%
43%
26%
27%
2%
47%
29%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(637)
(116)
(252)
(211)
(258)
(379)
(141)
(105)
(260)
(130)
(502)
(117)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
75%
7%
18%
91%
4%
5%
77%
10%
14%
68%
4%
28%
78%
8%
14%
74%
6%
21%
80%
13%
7%
73%
4%
24%
71%
5%
24%
81%
6%
13%
76%
7%
17%
78%
4%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(643)
(118)
(253)
(213)
(255)
(387)
(141)
(106)
(265)
(130)
(507)
(117)