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Derivative: a
To hedge risks.
Derivatives
Chicago
Chicago
Board of Trade
Chicago Mercantile Exchange
LIFFE (London)
Eurex (Europe)
BM&F (Sao Paulo, Brazil)
TIFFE (Tokyo)
and many more (see list at end of book)
550
500
450
OTC
Exchange
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07
Agreement
Traded
Entering
Long
Short
Spot
Delivery
10
Forward
It
The
The
E(S)=S0.
A compensation for the party taking the short
position for the loss of investment income
occasioned by holding the asset (R).
Suppose the contract is to mature in one year.
Then:
F1|0 = S0 (1+r)
12
Example:
13
Why?
If
for F1|0.
and make a profit of F1|0 - S0 (1+r) > 0
14
Why?
If
back in 1 year.
make a profit of S0 (1+r) - F1|0 > 0
15
where
16
17
On
This
What
Spot
Bid
2.0558
Offer
2.0562
1-month forward
2.0547
2.0552
3-month forward
2.0526
2.0531
6-month forward
2.0483
2.0489
19
S T - K
Profit
Price of Underlying
at Maturity, ST
20
Profit
Price of Underlying
at Maturity, ST
K - S T
21
Agreement
Similar
to forward contract.
Whereas
Agreement to:
Buy 100 oz. of gold @ US$900/oz. in
December (NYMEX)
Sell 62,500 @ 2.0500 US$/ in March
(CME)
Sell 1,000 bbl. of oil @ US$120/bbl. in April
(NYMEX)
23
24
The
The
Options:
The
There
On
The
Let
where
The
The
The
An
30
Strike
Price
Oct
Call
Jan
Call
Apr
Call
Oct
Put
Jan
Put
Apr
Put
15.00
4.650
4.950
5.150
0.025
0.150
0.275
17.50
2.300
2.775
3.150
0.125
0.475
0.725
20.00
0.575
1.175
1.650
0.875
1.375
1.700
22.50
0.075
0.375
0.725
2.950
3.100
3.300
25.00
0.025
0.125
0.275
5.450
5.450
5.450
31
Call
It
0
-5
80
90
Terminal
stock price ($)
100
33
Profit ($)
5
0
80
90 100
-10
Terminal
stock price ($)
-20
-30
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 7th Edition,
Copyright John C. Hull 2008
34
Put
profitable
0
-7
Terminal
stock price ($)
40
50
60
70
80
90 100
36
40
50
Terminal
stock price ($)
60
70
80
90 100
-10
-20
-30
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 7th Edition,
Copyright John C. Hull 2008
37
Payoff
K
K
ST
Payoff
ST
Payoff
K
ST
ST
38
An
Hedgers
Speculators
Arbitrageurs
Some of the largest trading losses in derivatives have
occurred because individuals who had a mandate to be
hedgers or arbitrageurs switched to being speculators (See
for example Barings Bank, Business Snapshot 1.2, page 15)
40
An
40,000
Value of Holding
($)
35,000
No Hedging
30,000
Hedging
25,000
Stock Price ($)
20,000
20
25
30
35
40
42
The
What
43
Suppose that:
The spot price of gold is US$900
The 1-year forward price of gold is
US$1,020
The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per
annum
44
Suppose that:
US$900
The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per
annum
45
Suppose that:
oil is US$125
The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5%
per annum
The storage costs of oil are 2% per
annum
46
Suppose that:
oil is US$80
The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5%
per annum
The storage costs of oil are 2% per
annum
47
An
What
49
50