GOP Presidential Primary Poll

8/5/15
Sponsor(s)

FOX 13 Tampa Bay, FOX35 Orlando, Florida Times-Union

Target Population

Likely Florida Republican presidential primary voters

Sampling Method

Landline: Registered Florida voters were selected randomly and

surveyed on the evening of August 3rd, 2015 on their landline
telephone using an interactive voice response system.
Mobile: Registered Florida voters unable to be reached by landline
were surveyed using their mobile device on August 3rd, 2015.

Weighting

Only respondents determined likely to vote in the 2016 Republican

presidential primary were included in the survey.
The poll was weighted for age, race, and gender according to 2012
presidential primary voter statistics.

sd
**

Total Number of Respondents

547 (weighted)

Margin of Error

4.1% (95% confidence)

GOP Presidential Primary Poll

8/5/15
1. If the 2016 Florida Republican presidential primary to determine the Republican nominee for president were held today and your choices were:
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Rick Perry
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
and Scott Walker,
for whom would you vote?

GOP Presidential Primary Poll

8/5/15
1. (continued)

Age

Race
African
Hispanic /
American
Latino

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Bush

26.2%

19.4%

11.9%

27.8%

29.5%

26.2%

Carson

8.3%

0.0%

12.2%

6.8%

9.5%

Christie

1.2%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Cruz

8.2%

4.2%

14.8%

Fiorina

1.8%

7.7%

Graham

0.0%

Huckabee

Gender

Mode

Other

Male

Female

Landline

Mobile

21.0%

27.9%

20.2%

22.9%

29.4%

28.5%

14.1%

9.0%

12.9%

0.0%

2.6%

6.8%

9.7%

9.1%

3.9%

2.9%

1.4%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

1.1%

1.4%

1.5%

0.0%

8.7%

6.2%

7.3%

20.7%

15.9%

11.9%

7.7%

8.6%

8.9%

4.4%

0.0%

1.5%

1.9%

2.0%

0.0%

0.0%

5.1%

1.7%

1.9%

1.9%

1.2%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

4.2%

3.9%

0.0%

7.5%

2.3%

4.0%

0.0%

7.1%

0.0%

4.4%

3.9%

4.7%

1.2%

Jindal

2.4%

0.0%

2.8%

2.0%

2.9%

1.8%

0.0%

9.3%

0.0%

2.6%

2.2%

2.9%

0.0%

Kasich

3.1%

0.0%

2.8%

1.4%

5.1%

3.3%

0.0%

1.7%

0.0%

3.7%

2.5%

3.6%

0.0%

Pataki

.3%

0.0%

0.0%

.7%

0.0%

.3%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

.6%

.3%

0.0%

Paul

1.8%

8.5%

2.8%

2.0%

.7%

2.0%

0.0%

0.0%

3.7%

3.2%

.6%

1.4%

4.4%

Perry

.7%

0.0%

0.0%

.8%

1.0%

.7%

7.3%

0.0%

0.0%

1.1%

.4%

.9%

0.0%

Rubio

6.5%

7.7%

6.3%

8.9%

4.2%

6.7%

0.0%

5.4%

6.4%

6.2%

6.8%

6.4%

6.9%

Santorum

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Trump

26.6%

44.6%

40.3%

26.1%

21.1%

25.9%

27.0%

32.6%

38.3%

30.4%

23.0%

20.4%

60.1%

Walker
Someone
else

5.8%

3.9%

0.0%

5.0%

8.5%

6.3%

11.1%

0.0%

2.6%

5.6%

6.1%

6.7%

1.2%

1.3%

0.0%

2.8%

0.0%

2.3%

1.4%

0.0%

0.0%

2.8%

1.8%

.9%

1.2%

2.1%

Undecided

1.5%

0.0%

3.5%

.7%

1.9%

1.6%

0.0%

0.0%

6.4%

.9%

2.1%

1.7%

.4%

Primary

GOP Presidential Primary Poll

8/5/15
2. Age

Race

Gender

Mode

Total

White

African
American

Hispanic /
Latino

Other

Male

Female

Landline

Mobile

18-29

5.0%

4.3%

5.4%

12.4%

3.7%

8.4%

1.7%

1.5%

24.0%

30-44

12.0%

10.5%

9.2%

26.3%

32.9%

15.3%

8.8%

7.3%

37.1%

45-64

40.0%

39.0%

56.9%

49.0%

41.8%

38.8%

41.2%

40.2%

39.0%

65+

43.0%

46.2%

28.6%

12.3%

21.5%

37.6%

48.3%

51.0%

0.0%

Age

GOP Presidential Primary Poll

8/5/15
3. Race

Age

Gender

Mode

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

Landline

Mobile

White
African
American
Hispanic /
Latino

90.0%

78.3%

78.9%

87.7%

96.5%

91.9%

88.1%

92.7%

75.3%

1.0%

1.1%

.8%

1.4%

.7%

.9%

1.1%

1.2%

0.0%

8.0%

19.9%

17.6%

9.8%

2.3%

6.0%

9.9%

5.2%

23.0%

Other

1.0%

.8%

2.8%

1.1%

.5%

1.2%

.9%

.9%

1.6%

Race

GOP Presidential Primary Poll

8/5/15
4. Gender

Age

Race

Mode

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

African
American

Hispanic /
Latino

Other

Landline

Mobile

Male

49.0%

82.3%

62.5%

47.5%

42.8%

50.1%

44.9%

36.6%

56.2%

44.3%

74.3%

Female

51.0%

17.7%

37.5%

52.5%

57.2%

49.9%

55.1%

63.4%

43.8%

55.7%

25.7%

Gender

GOP Presidential Primary Poll

8/5/15
5. Political Affiliation

Age

Political
Affiliation

Race

Gender

Mode

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

African
American

Hispanic /
Latino

Other

Male

Female

Landline

Mobile

Republican

83.3%

86.3%

52.7%

81.5%

93.1%

85.2%

35.3%

71.1%

55.7%

80.4%

86.1%

88.8%

53.4%

Democrat

3.5%

4.9%

12.4%

3.1%

1.2%

2.7%

19.9%

7.8%

18.9%

3.8%

3.1%

2.3%

9.8%

Independent

13.3%

8.8%

34.9%

15.4%

5.7%

12.1%

44.8%

21.1%

25.4%

15.8%

10.8%

8.9%

36.8%

GOP Presidential Primary Poll

8/5/15
6. Collection Mode

Age

Race

Gender

Total

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

African
American

Hispanic /
Latino

Other

Male

Female

Landline

84.4%

24.6%

51.6%

84.8%

100.0%

86.9%

100.0%

55.0%

74.6%

76.3%

92.1%

Mobile

15.6%

75.4%

48.4%

15.2%

0.0%

13.1%

0.0%

45.0%

25.4%

23.7%

7.9%

Mode