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2008-ASL

M&S
HONG KONG EXAM]NATIONS AND ASSESSMENT AUTHORITY

HONG KONG ADVANCED LEVEL EXAMINATION 2OO8

MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS AS-LEVEL

8.30 am

- 11.30 am (3 hours)

This paper must be answered in English

I
I

l.

This paper consists of Section A and Section B.

2.

Answer

3.

Answer any FOUR questions in Section B, using the AL(C) answer book.

4.

Unless otherwise specified, all working must be clearly shown.

5.

Unless otherwise specified, numerical answers should be either exact or given to 4 decimal places.

ALL

questions in Section A, using the AL(E) answer book.

'l

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4. A and B are two events. A' and B' are the complementary events of A and B respectively.
l9r
Suppose P(A)=i , P(lvB)=i,
PQqIB)=i and P(B)=* ,where 0<i<l
.

(a)

Using P(l I B) , express P(A a

(b)

Find the value

(c)

Find

(d)

Are the two events

of

P(l'^ B)

fr

B)

in terms

of

,t

A'

and

B'

mutually exclusive? Explain your answer.


(7 marks)

5.

The amount of money spent by a randomly selected customer of a jewellery shop is assumed to be
normally distributed with a mean of $ p and a standard deviation of $6 000 . Suppose 24.2Yo of
the customers spend more than $30 000 in the shop.

(a)

Find the value

(b)

It is given that Mrs. Chan spends


spends more than $16 500 .

of p
less than $30

000 in the shop. Find the probability that

she

(6 marks)

6.

Atest

is taken by a class

of

18 students. The marks

are as follows:

sj v

U U JLrys 68 -ttj
74 79
79
79
59
72
7i 60 7t 82 k
-ti
\
,

where

is Jane's mark.

It is known that the mean mark of the class

(a)

Find the value

(b) If 3

of

fr

is the same irrespective

of including or excluding Jane's.

student marks are selected randomly from the set of the 18 student marks, find the
I of them is the mode of the set of the 18 student marks.

probability that exactly

(c)

A student mark is classified as an outlier if it lies outside the interval (p-2o, p+2o)
where p is the mean and o is the standard deviation of the set of marks.

(i)

Find all the outlier(s) of the set of the 18 student marks.

(ii)

In order to assess the students'performance in the test, all outliers are removed from the
set. Describe the change in the median and the standard deviation of the student marks
due to such removal.
(7 marks)

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8.

Abiologist studied the population of fruit fly I under limited food supply. Let r be the number of
dayssincethebeginningoftheexperimentand NO bethenumberoffruitfly I attime /. The
biologist modelled the rate of change of the number of fruit tly A by

N'(')
where

(a) (i)
(ii)

(b)

,rl

and

=I + 'o
,he-^'

are

'

Express

('> o)

positive constants.

,r[jl - r-] u, a linear tunction of r


LN'(t) 'l

It is given that the intercepts on the vertical axis and the horizontal axis ofthe graph of
the linear function in (i) are 1.5 and 7.6 respectively. Find the values of h ard k.
(4 marks)

Take h = 4.5

k = 0.2 and assume that N(0) = JQ

(i) Let v= h+ekt,find


'dt I

t
I

'

Hence, or otherwise,

find N(r)

i
+

(iD

The population of fruit

M(r)=
\"/
where

fly B

can be modelled by

x(t*L"-k'\*t
-'[- t- ) " '

is a constant. It is known

that M(20) = N(20)

(l)

Find the value

(2)

Thebiologistclaimsthatthenumberoffruitfly

of 6.

I willbesmallerthanthatoffruit

[Hint: Consider the difference between the rates of change of the two populations.]
(1l marks)

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10.

Assume that the number of visitors arriving at each corurter in an immigration hall is independent
and follows a Plisson distrlbution with a rneanpl-3.9 visitols per minute. A counter is classified as
busy if at least 4 visitors arriving at it in one minute.

":'

(a)

Find the probability that a counter is busy in a certain minute.


(3 marks)

(b)

An officer checks

counters in a certain minute. Find the probability that at least one busy

counter is found.
(2 marks)

(c)

If

10 counters are open, find the probability that more than


minute.

ofthem

are busy in a certain

(3 marks)

(d)

Suppose l0 counters are open and one of them is randomly selected. Find the probability that
more than 7 of them are busy and the randomly selected counter is not busy in a certain
minute.
(3 marks)

(e)

The immigration hall is called congested if more than 90% of the open counters are busy in a
minute. Suppose 15 counters in the hall are open. A senior officer checks the counters in a
certain minute. It is given that more than 7 of the first 10 checked counters are busy. Find
the probability that the hall is congested.
(4 marks)

2008-AS-M & S-7

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'II

imported "choy s*" !y selecting 40


12. offrcials of the Food Safety centre of a city inspect the
for an unregistered insecticide' A lorry of
samples of "Choy i.,." to. each lorry and testing
;Crr'"v Sum" is .iurrin.a as risky if more than 2 samples show positive results in the test'

l% oftheFarm l "ChoySum"
Farm,4 supplies"ChoySum"tothecity. Pastdataindicatedthat
supplied by Farm A is
Sum"
positive ,"*ti, in the test. on a certain day, "choy
showed
transportld by

number of lorries to the city'

(a)

risky'
Find the probability that a lorry of "Choy Sum" is

(b)

transportitg rislE "Choy


Find the probability that the 5ft lorry is the first lorry

(3 marks)

tu-',,
marks)

of t such that the probability of


lorries of "choy Sum" are-insp_ected, find the least value
0'05
greater
than
is
finding at least o.t. iotry of risky "Choy Sum"

(c) If t

(3 marks)

(d)

that l'5% of the Farm B "choy


also supplies "choy Sum" to the ciry' It is known
day, "choy Sum" supplied by Farm
sum,, showed positive resulis in the test. on a certain

Farm

andFarmBistransportedbySand12lorriesrespectivelytothecity.

(i)

by Farm
Find the probability that a lorry of "Choy Sum" supplied

(ii)

Find the probability that exactly

2
(iii)
' It is given that exactly
proUaUility that these

is

rislE'

of these 20 lorries of "choy Sum" are risfty'

20

lorries of "choy Sum" are


lorries transport "Choy Sum" from Farm 'B '

of these

END OFPAPER

2008-AS-M & S-9

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Marks

Solution

l.

(a)

t,-r)(-r-,')

(i)

#=,.[])t*t.V]#(*)2

Remarks

For binomial expansion

+"

o 3a2 ') +"'


28

= I --x+-I-

l-o -3
lT- 2
"11t-=u

-l

IM

on (l+

IA

For any two terms correct.


pp-l for omitting '...'

ax)

IM

For both

IA

For both correct

Is
.'.a=-3

(ii) The expansion


I
t

t={

ana

is valid

fo, l! . !

IA

..+=,*1[l).!(L\'
"z[:o] s[:oJ

(b)
\u'

t
..)

.)

,'

/ios- 843

l1l

q 8oo
Ji _2s2e
800

i
I
t.

IA

For RHS, accept

1A

Accept 3.16125 and 3.161

(7)

{l

il

'{)

2.

(a)

y3 -rry=|

9
r.) o
" du-(I ro'*
d, ") =

IM

tu'

*)
-h

dv-

du

IA

-u

3y2

Alternative Solution

'tl
u=l---

du^lt lra--v
--dy'yt

IM

dy=
du

(b)

y2
2y3

a=z^X

IA

+l

lnu = x2 ln2

1M

1M

du

udx
du
dx

- 2xln'

-rxz

.2xrn2

1A

Alternative Solution

=2" - "*2k'2
du
- "x2tn2 .2xln2
d.r

IM

=2"'.2xln2

1A

IM

26

1.05375

zl+s'zult's+...

LZ

VI

902
---=
t6

I^II

(v)a-@

(or\
l-l--t

(g

,V)d.

^V)a=
uo-iin-to-S-5[itrtu6lV

(or

'l:
(e,lr Ie.l-

I^II

(g

wr)a-

(S)a = (fl

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!f = ,

2-'*9

NI

t'

YI

,l16
(g

(c)

.r.t

=oz

"'

v V)a- (g)a + (p.)a = (g ny)4 :.

(q)

YI

(s)a.(s lv)a=@wv)a

(e)

,n

(9)

'lt?ur tggg'91

eruu 3uo1 e rege Snrp eqlgo uorle4uesuoc eql 'e'l

VI

998'91=

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ntl

{eess'lr

vt

er+,r.o_rffl rr-

fr *ffii,,

+ tys-azt- [(s + r)ut - Q+

t9S8'9I + \.s-aZt-[(S +

r;u11

=
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t)vt- Q+ rut]g'S -

r'e'!

998'9t

^,

Zl+ (Zul- Sq)e'S = ,

J+Zt-(Sq-Zq)e's=0'.'
. 0=r .0-/ ueqq

hII
J + tro-aZl
tls +

{u1-

lz

{q1s'e

,o

YI

(6q7

acurs) C+
\.s_aZt-[(S+ t)q-(Z+r)q]g'9=

(s*t 7+r\ l.
r sl ='

I
tPlno-'z'r.[

WI

' Z+/\ ry
(S+t
, _ , .Jr.r=*
Je

\o_az.r*[

(e)

'e

\L)

,Z- ,tE
ZV& yrxZ

'*Z- '{E
Zi%Z=

YI

hII

Zulxz'

-,(e

,*Z'-i-

rynp ry
_.__r_=_
np

$lJ?Iueu

^p

uoBnlos

sryeIAtr

(c)

^p

Solution
(d)

P(A' A B')

=l-P(Av

Marks

Remarks

B)

=t-a
20
Alternative Solution I

P(A'

B')=P(A') -P(A' a B)

-f,_1)_ft)
_

[,_r./_[4.]

Alternative Solution 2
P(A' r: B') = P(A') + P(B)

- P(A' w B')
= P(A') + P(B) - P((A r: B)')
3
)-[,-1 1)
=[,-1).(,t s/1. lo/1.610)

il

20

*0

IM

B'

Hence A, and

are not mutually exclusive.

For P(,4'n B')*0


Follow through

Alternative Solution

;,"*++).(,_*)
=3

+P(A'v

A'

Hence

and

B'

B')

since

P(l'u.B')

IM

<I

are not mutually exclusive.

For

P(l

') +

(B')

P(A'

v B,)

Follow through

(7\

5. (a) Let $X be the amount of money spent by a randomly


r(x > :oooo)= o.zqz

,
I

rtoooo_ tt)

,(
.'.

(b)

oooo )

p(o

selected customer.

IM

o.ro,

.3oooo- P)

6000 )

For standardization

o.rr*

...3oooo_t =o.z

IA

i'e'

1A

6000
# = 25800

The required probability

_p0osoo<x<:oooo)
p(x < 3oooo)

^(rosoo-2s8oo
[ 6000

\-l

rt-\z

IA

P(l6soo<x<3oooo)

3oooo-2s8oo)

6000

_p(-t.ss <z <o.l)

IA

t-0.242
_ 0.4394 + 0.258
0.758

x 0.9201

1A
6

28

For denominator

6Z

()

1,_/

Surssnu IIe oJe^{ sexeJo


slaqel pue ur8rro:og (1-dd)
edeqs rog
sa1o1dru,(sz

rog

sldecrslut rog

YI
VI
YI

s
e
trrrrr-l':'r't"

|:
+,-l
t/
y,,

Ai

t /lo

_--..'-"'1t'

I-

;,

t-

t-

s-

s-

L-

B-

Z_=x

-l't: -- -:

t=t

t,
I

t'
I

'

lz

(x

+e/

l/
xj/

"=nrt-'
(q)

\z)

z- = x sl

VI

VI

rf

sr

ol eloldruxse Issrue^ eqlJo uoqenbe erll '.'

Z+x -Z-<-x
Z+x +Z-<-t
tull
LUII
DUE oo+=z-xE

oo-=z-xt

o1 e1o1dur,{w Ie}uozIJoLI

eql;o uotlenbe eql

'.'

x
!I

7''a<-x
7+x
" --- unl .'. (e)
r=*e x url = z-xt
Z.
@<-x

'L

--L

(t)
lc0IIoc
sr

(r) uoqm ,(po pap:elry


q8norql

a^oqe ro 'd'p

^r,olloJ

VI
VI

plepuels aqr
i-p?191,-"r-'r-(,31ry:3rtlj-Tlr?P-?y?1,I:-?yi$i soseercep uoIlBIAep

eleqr (u)
i:?:?1-1t19-q-*-fl-:i-i1llf-i uetpeu eql ut eaueqc ou sI
'Dqfiouusr gg'snq1

YI
GOen

tdeccy

tZt

hII

WI

Joleuuouep ro{

VI

0988'0 UO

fi tss wsg'ze' 6Sltzstt s9) L' 906Lt LZt' 6 x Z - t D sl Ie^.IoluI

Sutpuodseuoc eq1

xZ+l

' SO6LELZt6 sr $lrBru tuepnrs

8I

eqtJo uolpl^ep prBpu4s

eqJ (l)

(c)

ZLZ _

s0I

fr
8tr

Z;. lt
srr
tr

(e)

lL= )t
ecIIIs

(q)

sq1

,$rpquqord pe4nber

VI
'p4
$lJsrrreu

,I

sr sryeur

oqtJo ueeru eql

uopnlos

SITBI I

Remarks

Solution

(c)

(i)

f (r\ =3x -2

f '(x) =

x+2
(x+2)(3)-(3x-2)(l)

For numerator

(x+2)2
8
a

(x+2)'
So the equation

3h-2
v-ffi=

of Z, is .y - k = f'(h)(x - h)
8

rn*;(*-n1

(h+2)2 y

-(3h-2)(h+2) =916-91,
8x - (h +2)2 y +3h2 - 4h - 4 = o

(iD (1) If

Z1

8(o)

Follow through

passes through the origin, then

(ft +z)2 (o) +3h2

4h

h=2 or ]
J

(rejectedsince

...p=3(2)-2

=1

(2) +2

4=o

(pp-l)

P liesinthefirstquadrant)

of t, =@)-t-=-2
-8
Hence the equation of Z, is y -l

i.e.2x+Y-5=0

if

*^not

rejected

SloPe

t,

= -2(x

-2)

I
q

t
l

(2)

The x-intercept

So the required area


5

(r3x-2
rz x*2 *.!(1-z)ru
2\2 )"

1A+IA

OR

=... * f?G -2x)dx

=fr('-#)*.i(i)u,

IM

For

"8

oR

1.0063

I
I

of Z2 is I
I

x+2

[3x-8hlx+

,ii.;

=!*glo2

30

Io

qSnorql /Y\olloJ

'lreJJoJ sr rurelc s,1sr8o1otq eql ecueH

YI
'

OZ

<

ueqaa,

Surseercu

sr

(7)p

' OZ < I roJ (rN < (r)y,,t os


- (l)ltt puu (02)N = (97)61 ecutg

LtEt'st=#<r'e'r

YI
SZ'gZN

hII

7r,r.o_a

$I eql Jod

ueq/h

0<

rco-ag'l

YI

(r,N-(r),ltt'.'

+l

*'o-a9Z'SZl
+r

rrrral

,-.^_as'l
'c-Y--(
OZ

VI

s's

(t),Yr1 raPtsuo3 Q)

0602'wY *

(oz#+lrur00r

-l

_ag't-DlZ=
'z'o-

(l),m

VI
os+

= e+l<oztz.o-a

z'o

.-l

srr*$d)rz

(oz)tt = (oz)nr (t) (g)


s'9

os*--*;ulool = (r)N 'a't


=, os' 99=(g)51 scurg

VI

9'Sq00I-0S

hII
YI

(0.,r.0r*s'u.') )+

(tz.oa+ 9'7)u1961 =

3 + lnluoor =

^r#J

hII

S.t+
r
tp(,zorz.d#l
=
,z.oa

,r#l=(r)r.r
.,02ry
VI

tz'OaZ'l

=
^P

(r)

(q)

'''oa*$'l=A
ft)

('d'p

YI

('d'p U o1lceuoc) VL6t'O o


9L

YI

9'L-

SI
0

="

o-s'i={-

euo reqlrg

>

ol

lceuoc) LlSt'l o

9'r' ='l

g'l=4V

hII

(g)

[
tlul+11-=ll---:-lul
L U6 I
(r),Nl

YI

,._4,1 +

(o=4 =
$lJelueu

*-=(r),N

(t)

(e)

'8

uollnlos

$lruhtr

e.

(a)

I
l0 (,F*
=
'

(i)

Marks

Solution

Remarks

rro
at
Jo +0, lr*7

2(4)

40

*zrlt*zs' *zrlt*s2 *zr[t*t.s2.il.'o?

['

IM

)
)

= 1.305182044

IA

=1.3052
So the increase oftemperature is

about 1.3052"C

'

(u) d(t +i l=--r-Jr


dt\40 -\ ) qorlt*t2

t.1u,')= '
o,z(+0, )
tt"+
a'-(

IA

'

40(t +

)2

>0

IA

Hence it is an over-estimate.

Follow through

A\

(b) (i)

- 630lnxs + 1960 = 968


50(lnxs)2 -3l5lnx6 + 496 = 0

100(ln16)2

31
" l0

IA

t6

lrl -r,r =

1A

xo *22.1980 or 24.5325

(ii)

w'(x) =

2001n

.'.w'(x)<0

630

when

IA

lootr-630< o (.'x>22)

.'.lnx < 3.15

i.e. 22. r.
(lll)

"3'15

1A

23.3361

Accept x <23.3361

dW dlY dx
-

dx

dt

dt

200lnx

630

x40

r-;
+ t'

.tll

IM

l=0, x=22
dwl 2ootn22-630.'/llo
" dl
40
22
lr=o

When

IM

= -0.0134
Hence the rate of change of electricity consumption
units per year.

(iv)

The electricity consumption


W(22 + 1.305182044)

= 100(1n23.3 0518204q2

at I = l0

IA

at I = 0 is

-0.0134

is approximately

IM
630ln23.30 5182044+ 1960

IA

=967.7502 tnits

Since the estimate in (a)(i) is an over-estimate, the actual temperature when


, = l0 is x <23.305182044.

W(x)

fot 22<x<23.3361 by(b)(ii)'

isdecreasing
Therefore the actual electricity consumption is larger than this estimate.

Moreover,

],,
)

1A

l1

32

Follow through

lcsrroc

roleJerunu JoJ vl
I

rJ.loc uuoJ Jol8Jelunu JoJ trl


lCerlOC
(c)) Sursn
3u
Jopuruouep JoJ htrl

cc
n

VI
/I+WI+I^tr

9I0'0

^v

tnnn00960'0

(exes

np; o - i ,rGtzts

LenrD

IP

+ slGeus Lsns' 0)

,Qrlrqeqord pennber eq1

mIF
lcexoc JolBJerunu

JoJ

YI

rloc urroJ JolBJorunu JoJ IAtrI


ICaIIOC

firn00960'0

r'l+hil+hl

(c)) Sursn
8ur
roleuruouep JoJ WI

lGtzts tg v s' o - i rGtztg


(r)
VI
lceuoc urroJ roJ I

II

VI+WI

L9? 9'

0l *

x
s(6Ez,ts Lsrs' 0)]

s ts v s' o)
o rGtzt
,$rpqeqord pannbsr eq1 (e)

9t0'0 =

Gtzts tgvs'o - t) uGtzts t9?9'o) ofr +

OI

7 " rGtzts Lens' 0 - i

sGEZEs L9?e'0)

ofc =

,Qrpquqord pennber

eq1

(p)

(e)

YI
,Qt pqeqord

,rrrooor1loo:

hil

s0se3 JoJ

hII

Ienuourg roJ

lcolloc

,Gtztstsvs'0 -

htrI+WI

(e&esDv;o -

r)

8(6zrsrgrs'0) 0lJ +

6GEZtsLe?s'O oll + 0{6tztsLsv;0) =


&lgqeqord partnber eq1 (c)

lz)

VI
hII

,\lI

,{flllqeqord Jerurourg roJ

(eeustgvs'o),Gtztstsvs'o - I) + GtztsLgns'O
zGtztsLgrs'o - r) +
Gtzestgvs'o)GrctsDvs'o - r) + Gtztstgvs'il *

hII

hil

,t11yqeqo:d rrrleuoaC roJ

VI

gLs6'0

&lllqeqord pertnber eq1

z uo-iiqo-S-s IIEmIIV8ls6'0 =

,Gtzts ts v s' O + (erc* t9 t 9' o - 0 rG tzts ts v9' o) rtc +


zGtzESLgng'o- ) zGtT,tsLsn;OP +

,(a*tster;o - DGtztsLg?9'o) ]c
,$y11qeqord pa:rnbar

-86-i1fr

=
eq1

ios-sIiiEu5itV-

,G*tsnvs'o-t)-r=

WI

8LS6'0 =

YI
(pelceqc

sr

Jermoc

qlt eql JoUe

prmoJ ore srelunoc ,tsnq

ou)4-1=

,tlyrquqord pelnber eq1

(q)

(e)
89rS'0 0

VI
,{lyrqeqord uossrod roJ I tl
lcerros sasBc JoJ IAII

6tZtSL9v9'0 =

(ir.izirio)
IAil+htrl

T-t-t-

t-

( c-ac6'e
o

o'r'z6't o't-'r6't

ot-'o6't )

,{Urqeqord pennbar eq1


$lJeruau

e)

uormlos

$FBIAI

(a)

Solution

Remarks

The requ

l.g0e-1.8 l.gle-1.8 l.g2e-I.8 l.g3e-1.8

+-+-+-+0!|2!3!4l

lM for P(X s 4)
lM for Poisson probability

1.g4e-I.8

with correct 2

0.963593339
= 0.9636

(b)

oo

=r(rri#)

o. =p( z<

=p(Z >2)=0.5-0.47i2=0.0228

-3\

-l '25)
[
)= '('
Pt =l- Po - Pz =l-0.0228-0.1056

(c) (D

08

<

= 0'5

0'3944 = 0' 1056

= 0.8716

IM

For standardization

1A

For any one correct

IA

For all correct

The required probability


=

cl pzpt2

lM for form correct

+ C? pz2 po

= 3(0. l0s6x0 .87 rc)z + 3(0. 1056)2 (0.0228)


x 0.241431455
x 0.2414

(ii) The required

probability

= ctpz2 poz

*fi.rrn'po

lM

pro

for form correct

= 6(0. I 056)2 (0.022q2 + I 2(0. I 056)(0. 87 I 6)2 (0. 0228) + (0.S7 I 6)4
x 0.599107436

(d)

0.5991

The required probability

t's'i.-' * (o.l0s6)2 .

r#,

0.241431455) +

t'soi.-"

l.lg635%ng

= 0.0883

34

(0. ssstoi436)

lM for any 2 cases


lM for denominator
lA for all correct

using (a)

) Sursn Joleurruouep loJ htrl


lceJ.loc urroJ JoJ

wl

\L)

VI

Llsg'0
08rr9r tt0'0

htrt+I^trI

*
"

&gllqeqord parnber eq1 (rs)

lsexoc sews II3 JoJ htrI


lcerros esec

1 ,(ue JoJ

hll

zLto'0 x
VI
08LtgILtl'0 x
WI+I^It o(rct esozzt o) r r(rct as ozzt o - D .?rl [ . (e s t L6n Loo' il,Gs t 6t too o - r) f cl +
l(lrososozzo'o) r,(rctanzzo'o - r) zlrl[(r9 t L6nLoo'O LGst L6n Loo'o - r),'JJ +
- r) rfrJI o(tgt L6nLoo'il sGgtrctnco- r) fe] =

Ir(utawzzud

ot(L6l6gozzo'o

firpquqord perrnber eq1 (lr)


tzzU'0 x

VI

[,(sr

o'o) rr(s I 0'0

- il olc

+ (s o'o)
ur(st 0'0
t

168690220'0 =
D] - r =
,firpqeqord pelnber eq1

- I) .rIJ + or(s t o'o -

(l)

(p)

(r)
'

YI

L sl 1 Jo enle^ lsuel eql ecuaH

ezzztssts.s

=yffi!.,

96'0q > 9$Z0SZ66',out1


96'0> ft9z0sz66'0

NI
hII

'i::,':"*'::i:
s0'0 <
aL6v Lol'O

z(t9tL6n

Loo'o

(t9et6rt00'0)r-t(tgtL6vLoo'o-

+ G9e L6v

too'dcsttur

too'o__

_l _:
"'+

r) +

! . ,*t* rn

<

?(89

L6v

Loo'

il

+ Gw

tav n0'0 -

+
rGs e.t6n Loo' il $ c

r-

r) r-1([9

uev nu Or-1,

rGs e L6v Loo' o -

...

L6n Loo' o) f

:D3.s t

I
I
I

uorlnlos e^rlBrusllv
s0' 0

,Gw tev nu o -

I
I
I

I
I
I
I
I

c i r"l

\Z)

VI
hII

tr00'0 =
Gst6vtoo'o) rGstrcvtoo'o - r) =
,$rlrqeqord pernber eq1

(q)

()

((t)(p)

YI

sr00'0

pepre^\e eq UBJ)

,11 rpqeqord lerruourg roJ hll


lcauoc seses JoJ IAII

t9tL6tL00'0

[.(ro'o)rr(ro'o -

I^trI+WI

olJ+ (r0'0)6r(10'0 - r),fJ + or(ro'o -

r)]

r=
(e)

.Z

uormlos

$lrBI

s{J?lueu

6t

(r)

3utpe3 ,{q pereputq ere.,'t seleplpuBc atuos 'rleJ

(z)

'lurq ue^IE eqlJo osn e{BIu


plnoc peldtua11e oI{1( esoql pu peldue[B seleplpuec ,{ueu ool loN 'rood

'(f) (q) eleldruoc


'uorler8alut op

01

o1

uot1rultsqns,(1dde ]ou plnoc seleplpuecJo requnu

V 'llJ

uoo,^

loq uotlBleJ eql

qll,^A

(l)
(r) (q)

(l)

'punoJ eJel* so{elsttu sselorcc euros q8noql'poo8 ,ften

'poo3,ften

(r)

'an-lnc e Jo lerruou pue lue8uel


IEIIIlueJ lou ele.!\ sel8plpusc Jo requnu v 'rle{

(l) (c)
(q)

,Qpepdo4
Jo lno

(e)

L9

0lr)

uI eCueuuoJJod
9

(e)

(r) (e)s

0s

'(Z) ttud qcer lou plnoc scueq puu .,ut8tto


0ql q8norql sessed r7,, Jo uolllpuoc aql esn 01 pelleJ seleprpuec .(ue61 'rood

aql

'pooD
'saloldur.,(se oql pug plnoc seleprpuec lsoIAI 'poo8 ,{ren

IBJoUAC

(suorlsanb

y) g uoqcag

',(russeceu lou sI qclqa ',(lyectueqceu: uoIlBIAop


ptpuuls aql elelnclec ol palJl euros q8noqlle uotlsenb sql elpuuq plnoc seleppuec ,(ueyq 'poog
sr ftrlrqeqord luolllpuoc e leql oJE,^ B lou ele,t\ soleplpuec

r0qunN
uorlsen)

Jo ooroqc

oluos 'rIE{

'pelnber

'sluela .,1uepuedeput,, Jo leql qlIA pesnJuoc pue sluala ((ellsnlcxe


,(11eqnru,,;o uorlrugop eqlJo elns Jou ere,^^ SelBpIpLIEo ,(ueu areqrrl (p) Ued ldecxe'poo3,ften
',(pedo.rd ,(
ppoc salsplpuc
Jo lltutl eqlJo uollelou IEcIItuaqlBu aql lueserd lou

eulos 'poog

'uoItrBIlueroJJIp

ur uollcuru cruqlueSol ol{l Jo esn eql ql!


^

JeIIIIUBJ

lou

oJe,^

seleprpuec

oluos

'pooc

'pelnber uolleulxordde

(e) ur uorsuedxa eqt ,(1dde

eql

1ou

plnoc solprpuec

,(uery '(q) ued ur rood reqld

'prlA sr uorsuedxe lelr.uourq eql qclq,^

Jo senlu^ 3o e8ue: eql lno llo,{\ tou plnoc soteprpuec

JOJ

euog '(t)(e) ued ur pooE ,ften

JequnN
IEJeueD uI ocusuuoJlod

uoqsen|
(,tos1nduo3)

uo;1ceg

aJuEruJoJJod 6solBplpuBJ

Question

Popularity

Number

(%)

(a) (i)

5l

(iD

Performance in General

Very.good.

Poor. Many candidates were not aware that the second derivative of the given
equatron

(b) (i) (ii)

,r

d3

*,

rather

than

fI

Good.

(iii)

Poor. Many candidates did not


failed to apply chain rule to

(iv)

l0(a)

d,2,

find

realise

dI

that

dY
dt

should be found and some

dt

very poor. Most candidates could not interpret their own mathematical f,rndings
and hence failed to make use of the results to make judgement.
97

Very good.

(b)

Very good.

(c)

Good.

(d)

Poor. Many candidates overlooked that a joint probability should be considered.

Fair. Many candidates were able to handle conditional probabilities but some

(e)

were careless.
11(a)

83

Very good.

(b)

Good.

(c) (i) (ii)

Fair.

(d)

Poor. Many candidates had difficulty in identi$ing the


required for the numerator of the conditional probability.

some candidates did not do the counting right and missed some of the
eligible events.

40

joint

probabilities

tv

'8ur>1urqt c1leure1s.ds e,r.ordrut pue s1decuoc

go Surpuelsropun reueq ur dloq ue+o ucc uotluluese:d reelc pue sloqru(s IEcIleuoI{}Btu Jo esn

redot4 't

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