The collapse of USSR in 1991 was caused by internal problems and had
nothing to do with the Cold War. Assess this view.
The collapse of USSR is defined as the establishment of the commonwealth of independent states on 21 December 1991. However, as soon as the August Coup was launched, USSR fate to cease in existence was already sealed. No doubt internal problems such economic decline and separatist sentiments are the root cause of the collapse of USSR in 1991, Cold War brought forward the collapse of USSR in 1991. Therefore, this essay seeks to argue that the collapse of USSR in 1991 was predominantly caused by internal problems, but Cold War development such as the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe in 1989 and Reagans military buildup and his policies instilled and worsened feelings among the hardliners that Gobachevs weakness to control the situation and that the dominance of USSR and CPSU was under threat, causing them to launch the August Coup. Not only did Gobachevs domestic policies in bid to resolve the internal problems such as economic decline of USSR increase resentment and thus separatist feelings, they also angered the hardliners, and thus laid grounds for its ultimate dissolution. To purge the system off corruption and inefficiency, and to gather public support for his reforms, not knowing that it would go beyond his control, in late 1986, Gobachev introdu ced glasnost which entailed a series of political reforms and made the systemic inefficiencies of USSR as exemplified by the 1986 Chernobyl Incident very clear. On the other hand, parestroika worsened the economy and increased political discontent. By the beginning of 1991, gross national production has fallen by 2%. To appease the people, and in part also to shift power away from the hardliners to smoothen the process of his reforms, in June 1988, Gobachev replaced the Supreme Soviet with the new Congress of Peoples Deputies, two-third of whose members were chosen directly through elections. Although the partys privileged position guaranteed by Article 6 of the Soviet constitution was not abolished until 1990, Gobachevs domestic policies nevertheless effected a fundamental shift in the balance of political power within USSR. This discredited Gobachev in the eyes of the hardliners because they saw it as a threat to the dominance of CPSU. More importantly, under the stimulus of these instruments he set in, public opinion increasingly swayed towards Boris Yeltsin, the politician who wanted full democracy and capitalism, such that by the time August Coup occurred, there was no way he could restore his position and status, thereby cementing the fall of USSR. However, Cold War development such as the liberation of satellite states also worsened the feelings among the hardliners that Gobachevs weakness was threatening the dominance of USSR, leading to its fall. When Gobachevs December 1988 UN speech sparked off a wave of anti-communist movement across Eastern Europe, not only did Gobachev not clamp down on the movements, he even disallowed the old-line communist officials to do so by
threatening to remove them if they did. Even though the strongman in
Romania, Nicolae Caeusescu, managed to mobilise his troops to fire at the demonstrators, he was promptly overtaken and executed. As such, following Solidaritys accession to power in the June 1989, Hungary, Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia and the rest of Eastern Europe also abandoned communism. More importantly, the liberation of satellite states triggered and inspired the republics within USSR to follow suit and break away. In March 1990, Lithuania led the way by defiantly declaring independence. Then Latvia, Estonia, Georgia, Ukraine and Armenia followed suit. In response, in December 1990, Gobachev reshuffled his government to include several notorious hardliners, thereby setting the platform for the outbreak of the August Coup. On the other hand, trying to maintain his liberal credentials, he formulated the Union Treaty. Prior to this, the hardliners were already angered by the fact that he caused the demise of the Soviet empire. In doing so, he incurred the wrath of the hardliners because they saw his concession to nationalism as a betrayal of the integrity of USSR, causing them to launch the August Coup. Furthermore, Cold War development such as Reagans military buildup and his policies also brought about the de facto surrender of USSR in terms of the arms race, the ideological conflict and superpower rivalry which in turn infused and gradually built up feelings among the hardliners that Gobachevs weakness was threatening the dominance of USSR, contributing to their intent to launch the August Coup. Ronald Reagan launched in 1981 the 5year $1.5trillion defense program for 1982-1986 which included 2 strategic weapons systems, MX ICBM and Trident II SLBM to drastically increase American military power. Reagan also funded the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI), which the Kremlin dreaded because it would give the US the ability to strike unilaterally at USSR. As a result, Gobachev swallowed a drastically asymmetrical reduction of thermal nuclear weapons to put an end to the arms race. Whereas the US only had to destroy 293 launchers, USSR had to destroy 851 launchers. On top of that, Gobachev even accepted a remarkably intrusive monitoring system that included short notice, on-site inspections by the other signatory to ensure compliance. Reagans Third World policies which supported rebel movements in areas with sovietsupported government such as Nicaragua, Afghanistan, Angola and Cambodia, through the provision of large amount of weapons and military trainings, and more covertly, through the suspension of economic aid, also raised the cost of Soviet military and economic aid to its client states. Consequentially, the resistance forces, particularly in Afghanistan, bled the Soviets both militarily and economically so much so that by late 1988, USSR had to withdraw from the Third World. Coupled with Reagans insistence on his ballistic missile plans which obstructed the adoption of START agreements, Gobachev abandoned the concept of international class struggle and announced his unilateral venture to reduced Soviet troops by 500,000 in his 1988 UN speech. All of these built up a feeling of distrust towards Gobachev among the hardliners such that when he initiated the
Union Treaty in November 1990, the accumulated feelings of distrust would
be triggered to set in motion the August Coup. In conclusion, internal problems predominantly caused the collapse of USSR because it caused Gobachev to carry out his half-hearted reforms in trying to strike a middle ground between the hardliners and the liberals, thereby alienating both and in turn creating political disunity which segregated the country. However, Cold War development also contributed to the fall of USSR because it built up a feeling of distrust towards Gobachev among the hardliners which fuelled their intent to carry out the Coup. Even though internal problems are more significant than Cold War development in influencing the hardliners to carry out the Coup because they concern problems that are inherent to the sovereignty of USSR, Cold War development nevertheless built up a momentum of discontent towards Gobachev in the hardliners that brought about the Coup. Hence, the fall of USSR does have something to do with the Cold War.