Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
12/31/2013
$50.0
$10.0
$3.0
$2.0
$3.5
$0.5
15.00%
6.00%
3.00%
35.00%
Instructions
Overview: the DCF is a fundamental valuation technique that values your business based on the future cash flows.
Step 1: Input the valuation date, operating metrics, interest rate (reflects the weighted average cost of capital to your specific business),
long term revenue growth rate (reflects the long term, steady state growth of your company), and tax rate.
Step 2: Forecast the company's key financials and calculate the corresponding free cash flows.
Step 3: The spreadsheet discounts the Projection Period and Terminal cash flows to the present using the discount rate.
Step 4: The sum of future cash flows determines the aggregate value of the business today (summarized below)
Outputs
Company Value
Company Value / 2013 Revenue
Company Value / 2013 EBITDA
$45.5
0.9x
4.5x
Operating Summary
Revenue
% growth
12/31/2013
50.0
--
12/31/2014
53.0
6.0%
12/31/2015
55.9
5.4%
12/31/2016
58.6
4.9%
EBITDA
% of sales
Depreciation
% of sales
Amortization
% of sales
EBIT
% of sales
10.0
20.0%
3.0
6.0%
2.0
4.0%
5.0
10.0%
10.6
20.0%
3.2
6.0%
2.0
3.8%
5.4
10.2%
11.2
20.0%
3.4
6.0%
2.0
3.6%
5.8
10.4%
11.7
20.0%
3.5
6.0%
2.0
3.4%
6.2
10.6%
12.2
20.0%
3.7
6.0%
2.0
3.3%
6.6
10.7%
12.7
20.0%
3.8
6.0%
2.0
3.1%
6.9
10.9%
13.2
20.0%
3.9
6.0%
2.0
3.0%
7.2
11.0%
Income Taxes
% tax rate
Net Operating Profit After Tax ("NOPAT")
% of sales
1.8
35.0%
3.3
6.5%
1.9
35.0%
3.5
6.6%
2.0
35.0%
3.8
6.8%
2.2
35.0%
4.0
6.9%
2.3
35.0%
4.3
7.0%
2.4
35.0%
4.5
7.1%
2.5
35.0%
4.7
7.1%
Plus: Depreciation
% of sales
Plus: Amortization
% of sales
Less: Capital Expenditures
% of sales
Less: Change in Working Capital
% of sales
Plus/Less: Change in Other Operating Assets/Liabilities
% of sales
Free Cash Flow ("FCF")
% of sales
3.0
6.0%
2.0
4.0%
(3.5)
(7.0%)
0.0
0.0%
0.0
0.0%
4.8
9.5%
3.2
6.0%
2.0
3.8%
(3.7)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.1%)
0.0
0.0%
5.0
9.4%
3.4
6.0%
2.0
3.6%
(3.9)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.1%)
0.0
0.0%
5.2
9.3%
3.5
6.0%
2.0
3.4%
(4.1)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.0%)
0.0
0.0%
5.4
9.2%
3.7
6.0%
2.0
3.3%
(4.3)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.0%)
0.0
0.0%
5.6
9.2%
3.8
6.0%
2.0
3.1%
(4.4)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.0%)
0.0
0.0%
5.8
9.2%
3.9
6.0%
2.0
3.0%
(4.6)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.0%)
0.0
0.0%
6.0
9.1%
0.5
1.0%
0.5
1.0%
0.6
1.0%
0.6
1.0%
0.6
1.0%
0.6
1.0%
0.7
1.0%
This Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Template (Template) and all components thereof are provided on an as is basis and your use of the Template is at your own risk. Axial makes no guarantees or warranties of any
kind as to the adequacy, completeness, sufficiency, or accuracy of the Template. In no event shall Axial be liable to you, or to any third party, for any lost profits, incidental, consequential, punitive, special, or indirect
damages arising out of or in connection with the use of the Template.
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
4.6
4.6
4.6
4.3
4.2
4.2
3.9
3.8
3.7
3.6
3.4
3.3
3.2
3.1
3.0
2.9
2.8
2.7
31.6
30.4
29.4
Present Value of TV
Perpetual Growth Rate
14.00%
15.00%
16.00%
2.50%
59.0
54.3
50.3
14.00%
15.00%
16.00%
2.50%
4.3x
4.0x
3.7x
3.00%
62.0
56.8
52.5
3.50%
65.3
59.6
54.8
Discou
nt Rate
14.7
6.6
9.5
15.00%
1.00%
3.00%
0.50%
Discou
nt Rate
Discou
nt Rate
3.00%
4.5x
4.2x
3.9x
3.50%
4.8x
4.4x
4.0x
Discount Rate
Company Value Calculation
FCF over Projection Period
Terminus
Company Value
Company Value Attribution
% Value in Projection Period
% Value in Terminus
Implied Valuation Multiples
Company Value / 2013 Revenue
Company Value / 2014 Revenue
Company Value / 2013 EBITDA
Company Value / 2014 EBITDA
Implied Terminal EBITDA Multiple
16.00%
16.00%
31.6
17.0
48.5
30.4
14.4
44.8
29.4
12.3
41.6
31.6
17.8
49.4
30.4
15.1
45.5
29.4
12.8
42.2
65.0%
35.0%
67.9%
32.1%
70.5%
29.5%
63.9%
36.1%
66.9%
33.1%
69.7%
30.3%
1.0x
0.9x
4.9x
4.6x
4.3x
0.9x
0.8x
4.5x
4.2x
4.0x
0.8x
0.8x
4.2x
3.9x
3.7x
1.0x
0.9x
4.9x
4.7x
4.5x
0.9x
0.9x
4.5x
4.3x
4.2x
0.8x
0.8x
4.2x
4.0x
3.9x
This Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Template (Template) and all components thereof are provided on an as is basis and your use of the Template is at your own risk. Axial makes no guarantees or warranties of any
kind as to the adequacy, completeness, sufficiency, or accuracy of the Template. In no event shall Axial be liable to you, or to any third party, for any lost profits, incidental, consequential, punitive, special, or indirect
damages arising out of or in connection with the use of the Template.
Legend
Blue = Inputs
Green = Core Links
Black = Calculations
nding
12/31/2020
67.9
3.2%
12/31/2021
69.8
2.9%
12/31/2022
71.6
2.6%
12/31/2023
73.3
2.3%
13.6
20.0%
4.1
6.0%
2.0
2.9%
7.5
11.1%
14.0
20.0%
4.2
6.0%
2.0
2.9%
7.8
11.1%
14.3
20.0%
4.3
6.0%
2.0
2.8%
8.0
11.2%
14.7
20.0%
4.4
6.0%
2.0
2.7%
8.3
11.3%
2.6
35.0%
4.9
7.2%
2.7
35.0%
5.1
7.2%
2.8
35.0%
5.2
7.3%
2.9
35.0%
5.4
7.3%
4.1
6.0%
2.0
2.9%
(4.8)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.0%)
0.0
0.0%
6.2
9.1%
4.2
6.0%
2.0
2.9%
(4.9)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.0%)
0.0
0.0%
6.3
9.1%
4.3
6.0%
2.0
2.8%
(5.0)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.0%)
0.0
0.0%
6.5
9.1%
4.4
6.0%
2.0
2.7%
(5.1)
(7.0%)
(0.0)
(0.0%)
0.0
0.0%
6.6
9.0%
0.7
1.0%
0.7
1.0%
0.7
1.0%
0.7
1.0%
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.4
2.2
2.1
2.1
2.0
1.8
1.9
1.8
1.6
Present Value of TV
Perpetual Growth Rate
14.00%
15.00%
16.00%
2.50%
17.0
14.4
12.3
3.00%
17.8
15.1
12.8
3.50%
18.8
15.8
13.4
16.00%
31.6
18.8
50.3
30.4
15.8
46.2
29.4
13.4
42.7
62.7%
37.3%
65.9%
34.1%
68.7%
31.3%
1.0x
0.9x
5.0x
4.7x
4.8x
0.9x
0.9x
4.6x
4.4x
4.4x
0.9x
0.8x
4.3x
4.0x
4.0x