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The purpose of a water balance, then, is to answer the question "How do we know that
the state of the system may not overtop the available storage? " or " How do we know
that the state of the system may not be reduce to zero at a time of heavy water demand?"
The following sections present the traditional approach to answering these questions
and a more robust approach.
Traditional water-balance approach
The traditional approach to a water balance is to use the systematic climatological
rrecord with either averages or once-through operation. The approach using averages is
to use only a 12- season model with one season representing one month. Thus, even if
the climatological time series has 30 years of data, the average approach uses the
average of the January values, the February values, and so on through December. An
alternative approach for the traditional water balance is to use the full- time series of
climatological data but only have a once-through simulation. In order to assess the
sensitivity of the initial state of the system, for example an empty reservoir, a large
number of once-through simulations must be run for each initial system state.
The fall back position of the traditional approach is to perform sensitivity analyses, by
assigning a wet or dry sequence wwithin the average time series. Often the
climatological variables are arbitrarily increased or decreased by some percentage in an
attempt to simulate a wetter or dryer than average year. Another fall back of the
traditional approach is to use a random time series of equally likely climatological
variables. These variables, precipitation for example, are generated stochastically, but
used determiniscally in the water balance.
leach pad. The robust water-balance model also can be used to design the lixiviant pond
volume, or the volume of water treatment required, as well as many other operational
variables.
Figure 1: Total annual and six-year moving average precipitation showing wet and dry
periods.
Desing example
The following example project demonstrates the use of the robust water-balance
approach.
This project is a 2,8 million tonnes per year (tpy) gold heap leach project in northern
Peru. Previous designs had been done, and this project was an expansion to an existing
project. The existing process ponds had been sized and constructed to store 182,500
cubic meters (m3) of fluid, and these ponds, were to remain with the owner's desire to
not construct either new ponds or expand the size of the existing ponds due to land
space constraints.
Desing procedure
After developing a six-year plan for expansion of the heap leach pad, a water balance
was done using the 33-year precipitation record in relation to the six-year project life.
The mine life was estimated by the owner to be approximately six years based on the
proven ore reserves. The problem was to calculate the quantity of makeup water
required to expand the heap leach pad to 2.8 million tpy.
larger maximum makeup water requirements occur during the end of the peruvian dry
season in the months of September and October.
Figure 6 shows the cumulative monthly makeup water volume over the life of the
project. This makeup water must come from either an outside source, such as a well
field or from a storage pond separate from the operational pond(s).
Analysis of Figure 6 shows that the maximum cumulative makeup of 80,000m3 of
water occurs during the first six months of operation, when operational pond volumes
are generally low (Figure 4 ). This demonstrates that there is a combination of the 33year climatological record and operating conditions which would increase the
cumulative monthly makeup water volume by approximately four or five times the
average cumulative makeup water volume shown on Figure 6