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only when it looks down and notices the abyss. When it loses its authority, the
regime is like a cat above the precipice: in order to fall, it only has to be
reminded to look down
In Shah of Shahs, a classic account of the Khomeini revolution, Ryszard
Kapuscinski located the precise moment of this rupture: at a Tehran crossroads,
a single demonstrator refused to budge when a policeman shouted at him to
move, and the embarrassed policeman withdrew; within hours, all Tehran knew
about this incident, and although street fights went on for weeks, everyone
somehow knew the game was over.
Is something similar going on in Egypt? For a couple of days at the beginning, it
looked like Mubarak was already in the situation of the proverbial cat. Then we
saw a well-planned operation to kidnap the revolution. The obscenity of this was
breathtaking: the new vice-president, Omar Suleiman, a former secret police
chief responsible for mass tortures, presented himself as the human face of
the regime, the person to oversee the transition to democracy.
Egypts struggle of endurance is not a conflict of visions, it is the conflict
between a vision of freedom and a blind clinging to power that uses all means
possible terror, lack of food, simple tiredness, bribery with raised salaries to
squash the will to freedom.
When President Obama welcomed the uprising as a legitimate expression of
opinion that needs to be acknowledged by the government, the confusion was
total: the crowds in Cairo and Alexandria did not want their demands to be
acknowledged by the government, they denied the very legitimacy of the
government. They didnt want the Mubarak regime as a partner in a dialogue,
they wanted Mubarak to go. They didnt simply want a new government that
would listen to their opinion, they wanted to reshape the entire state. They dont
have an opinion, they are the truth of the situation in Egypt. Mubarak
understands this much better than Obama: there is no room for compromise
here, as there was none when the Communist regimes were challenged in the
late 1980s. Either the entire Mubarak power edifice falls down, or the uprising is
co-opted and betrayed.
And what about the fear that, after the fall of Mubarak, the new government will
be hostile towards Israel? If the new government is genuinely the expression of
a people that proudly enjoys its freedom, then there is nothing to fear:
antisemitism can only grow in conditions of despair and oppression. (A CNN
report from an Egyptian province showed how the government is spreading
rumours there that the organisers of the protests and foreign journalists were
sent by the Jews to weaken Egypt so much for Mubarak as a friend of the
Jews.)
One of the cruellest ironies of the current situation is the wests concern that the
transition should proceed in a lawful way as if Egypt had the rule of law until
now. Are we already forgetting that, for many long years, Egypt was in a
permanent state of emergency? Mubarak suspended the rule of law, keeping
the entire country in a state of political immobility, stifling genuine political life. It
makes sense that so many people on the streets of Cairo claim that they now
feel alive for the first time in their lives. Whatever happens next, what is crucial
is that this sense of feeling alive is not buried by cynical realpolitik.