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MTE-14

BACHELOR'S DEGREE PROGRAMME (BDP)


Term-End Examination
June, 2014
01921
ELECTIVE COURSE : MATHEMATICS
MTE-14 : MATHEMATICAL MODELLING
Time : 2 hours

Maximum Marks : 50
(Weightage : 70%)

Note : Answer any five questions. Use of calculators is


not allowed.
1.

(a)

Using dimensional analysis, write the


expressions for each of the following
situations :
(i)

The hydrostatic pressure P of blood


where P is a product of blood density d,
height h of the blood column between
the heart and some lower point in the
body, and gravity g.

(ii)

The force F opposing the fall of


raindrops through air. Assume that F
is the product of viscosity p., velocity v,
and the diameter r of the drop. Neglect
density.

(b) Discuss the static stability and dynamic


stability for the following demand and
supply functions :
Dt = 0.8 pt + 60
St = 0.7 pt + 40
MTE-14

P.T.O.

2.

3.

(a) Formulate the model equation for a ball


dropped from a height h metres against a
resistance proportional to the square of its
velocity. Find the velocity of the ball at
any time t. Also, find the limiting velocity
as t

(b) Consider a logistically growing population. If


the population is harvested at a rate
proportional to the population at that
instant, formulate the modified logistic
equation taking into account the effect
of harvesting. If the initial population is K,
obtain the solution and discuss it as t

(a) The differential equations


-dS= psi + XS,
dt
dI
- = 13SI YI
dt
model a disease spread by contact where S is
the number of susceptibles, I is the number
of infectives, 13 is the contact rate, Y is the
removal rate and X, is the birth rate of
susceptibles.
(i)

Identify which term in the RHS of each


differential equation arises from birth
of susceptibles.

(ii) Discuss the model given by the above


two differential equations.
MTE-14

(b) Modelling a problem can be done in several


ways. We give below the different problems
related to tumour growth. Identify the type
of model (deterministic, continuous,
stochastic or discrete) which is most
appropriate in each of the following
situations :
(i)

Effect of treatment given at regular


intervals.

(ii) Effect of drugs on a patient who is


given the drug for a given duration of
time.
(iii) Effect of radiation on tumour cells :
some cells may continue to grow but
some may be damaged.
(iv) Finding the time taken for a tumour to
double in size.
4.

(a) There are two species A and B in a forest. A


feeds on B. The increase in population of A
is proportional to the population of B, while
the decrease in population of B is
proportional to population of A. Set up the
model equations describing this situation.
Also solve the model equations and discuss
the nature of the critical points.

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P.T.O.

(b)

(c)

A colony of bacteria increases at a rate that


is proportional to the number of bacteria in
the colony. If the population quadruples in
two years, find the size of the colony after
eight years.

State the law used for the formulation of


Gaussian model of dispersion.

5. (a) The return distribution on the 2 securities


A and B, is as follows :
Return

Chance

Event
(j)

Pij = P2j

Rij

R2j

0.33

19

18

0.25

17

16

0.17

11

11

0.25

10

Find which security is more risky in the


Markowitz sense.
(b) A drug is induced in patient's bloodstream at
a constant rate of r gm/sec. Simultaneously
the drug is removed at a rate proportional to
the amount x(t) of the drug present at any
time t.
Determine the differential equation
governing the amount x(t). If the initial
concentration of the drug in the bloodstream
is x0, find the concentration of the drug at
any time t.
MTE-14

6. (a) Two firms X and Y produce the same


commodity. Due to production
constraints, each firm is able to produce 1, 3
and 5 units. The cost of producing qx
units for firm X is [6 + q: 2qx + 5] and
firm Y has identical cost function
[6 + qy2 2qy + 5] for producing qy units.
p is the price of one unit for firm X. We
assume that the market is in equilibrium.
The outcomes are the profits of the firm
shown in the form of a matrix
A = [N] (pay-off matrix). Write (i) an
a21, if demand function D(p) is
(ii) a22
given as D(p) = 50 p.

(b) Assume that the Moon is at a distance of


3,00,000 km from the Earth and that it takes
28 days for it to orbit the Earth once.
Geostationary satellites are those which are
at rest relative to the Earth. Using these two
statements derive the altitude of the
geostationary satellite from the centre of the
Earth.

7. (a) A particle of mass m is thrown vertically


upward with velocity v0. The air resistance
is mg c v2 where c is a constant and v is the
velocity at any time t. Show that the time
taken by the particle to reach the highest
point is given by
v0 .s/C- = tan (gt J ).
MTE-14

5
P.T.O.

(b) Consider a single server queueing system


with Poisson input, exponential service
times. Suppose the mean arrival rate is 3
calling units per hour, the expected service
time is 0.25 hours and the maximum
permissible calling units in the system is
two. Derive the steady state probability
distribution of the number of calling units in
the system and then calculate the expected
number in the system.

MTE-14

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MTE-14

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MTE-14

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